YNYER HEADLINE PERFORMANCE SCORECARD CHANGE +/- ENG DATE YNYER

Working age population (ages 16-64) -1,635 (-0.2%) +0.3% 2017 696,500

Population aged 16-30 -2,797 (-1.4%) -0.6%% 2017 192, 500

Total output (GVA), £ +600 m (+2.5%) +3.0% 2016 24,619 m

Gross Value Added (Balanced) per head by LEP +474 (+2.3%) +2.0% 2016 21,012

VAT-registered business stock +1,370 (+2.2%) +4.3% 2017 62,285

Total number of jobs +9,000 (+1.8%) +1.7% 2016 515,000

Employment rate (% of 16-64 working age population) -11,500 (-1.6%) +0.8% 2018 527,200

Working age people educated to Level 3+ +600 (+0.0%) +0.3% 2017 404,300

Net additional dwellings (housing completions) +160 (+5.1%) +8.5% 2017 3,310

Residence-based full time gross annual median earnings, £ +151 (+0.6%) 2.1% 2017 26,901

YNYER ECONOMIC PROFILE

This YNYER LEP profile presents economic information from official national sources that intend to analyse current economic

performance and establish the role the LEP plays across the broader Yorkshire and Humber economy. This will provide a base-

line to support the identification of existing strengths, future challenges and opportunities for economic development.

The YNYER LEP covers all of North Yorkshire, York and the East Riding of Yorkshire. Spreading from the Humber estuary, East

Coast and North Yorkshire Moors to the Yorkshire Dales and Forest of Bowland. The LEP covers an area of approximately 4,376

square miles and is home to 1,157,900 people (or 1 person per hectare) with around a quarter of the population aged 65+. The

LEP boundary currently crosses over two other LEP boundaries, overlapping both the Humber and Leeds City region LEPs.

YNYER LEP area.

This brief report will monitor progress against headline performance indicators against a range of themes to support the

evaluation of LEP activities in promoting growth, raising productivity and boosting employment across the local economy.

CHALLENGES Demography

Economy

Place

Quality of Life

20,000 decrease in

working age population

since 2012 (-2%)

0.77 jobs

per working

age person England: 0.85

53,750 increase in population

aged 65+ forecast by 2027

(+20%)

£26,300 gross median full-time

annual workplace earnings Region: £26,900 England: £29,900

3.7 net additional dwellings

per 1,000 population in 2016

3.9 England

2,800 decrease in the 16-30 popula-

tion between 2016 and 2017 (-1.4%)

Pockets of deprivation exist, particularly in

coastal areas

1.6% decrease

in Employment

rate between

2016 and 2017

Declining working age population

Below average proportion of 0-15

population

Declining 16 to 30 population

Declining Employment Rate

Stagnated skills development

Below average GVA

Low rate of house build-

ing, especially in coastal

locations

Below average broadband

coverage

Low earnings compared to regional

and national averages

Productivity comparison (2016)

YNYER LEP England

GVA per head (£) 2016 £21,146 £27,108

GVA per hour worked (£) 2016 £27.50 £33.10

GVA per job filled (£) 2016 £42,378 £53,474

0% Growth in the pro-

portion of the population

qualified to level 3+ between

DEMOGRAPHY

GENERAL POPULATION (2017)

NINo REGISTRATIONS - EU / NON EUROPEAN UNION / OTHER (2018)

ETHNIC BREAKDOWN - PERCENTAGE OF ALL USUAL RESIDENTS (2011)

1,157,857 YNYER population 192,544 population aged 16-30 5,450,130 Region 55,619,430 England 1,078,166 Region 10,639,797 England

696,475 YNYER working age population (ages 16-64)

3,409,554 YNYER 34,950,950 England

Ages 0-15 16-64 65+

YNYER

Region

England

16.5%

19.0%

19.1%

60.1%

62.6%

62.8%

23.2%

18.4%

18.0%

Source: Mid-Year Population Estimates, 2017

Source: DWP, 2018 This graph shows adult overseas nationals entering the UK through National Insurance Number (NINo) registrations. A NINo is

required by any overseas national looking to work or claim benefits in the UK, including those who are self employed or stu-

dents working part time. The data shows the comparative difference between EU immigration and non-EU immigration, high-

lighting the changes that may occur after Brexit.

White Mixed Ethnic Groups Asian/ Asian British Black/ African/ Caribbean/ Other Ethnic Group

YNYER LEP 97.0% 0.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.2%

Region 88.8% 1.6% 7.3% 1.5% 0.8%

England 85.4% 2.3% 7.8% 3.5% 1.0%

Source: Census, 2011

LIFE EXPECTANCY (2017)

PROJECTED POPULATION CHANGE 2011-2041

MALE FEMALE

Region

England

78.7

79.5

82.4

83.1

Source: ONS, 2017

It is not possible to secure a robust life expectancy figure at LEP level. However, the life expectancies of each local authority is

consistently higher than the region, suggesting that the LEP average is also higher than the regional and national averages.

Population estimates and projections give an indication of how the population has changed and will continue to change.

These population estimates suggest a plateau in the population growth of the area by the 2040s. The graph clearly shows the

difference in the population growth rate between the national averages and the population growth of the LEP.

PERCENTAGE POPULATION GROWTH AND PROJECTIONS 2011-2041

Source: ONS, 2011-2041

Source: ONS, 2001-2041

ECONOMY

OUTPUT (2016)

BUSINESS BASE (2017)

YNYER: £24.3bn economy

+£677m GVA growth on 2015

Source: ONS, 2017

GVA (£ million) BY INDUSTRY (BALANCED APPROACH) (2016)

Source: ONS, 2017

Gross value added (GVA) by industry (balanced approach), is the value generated by any unit engaged in the production of

goods and services. The balanced approach combines the production (GVA(P)) and income (GVA(I)) approaches giving a more

robust measure of productivity. The graph shows that in YNYER the greatest value is generated by the distribution; transport;

accommodation and food sector, while the lowest sector is information and communication services.

Source: IDBR, 2017

Productivity comparison (2016)

YNYER LEP England

GVA per head (£) 2016 £21,146 £27,108

GVA per hour worked (£) 2016 £27.50 £33.10

GVA per job filled (£) 2016 £42,378 £53,474

YNYER LEP Y&H Region England

Total VAT-registered business stock 2017 62,285 - - - 0-9 employees 2017 52,740 84.7% 82.6% 84.8%

10-49 employees 2017 8,020 12.9% 14.0% 12.2%

50-249 employees 2017 1,375 2.2% 3.0% 2.5%

250+ employees 2017 155 0.2% 0.4% 0.4%

Sole proprietorships 2017 11,590 18.6% 16.2% 14.1%

BUSINESS DEMOGRAPHY (2016)

JOBS DENSITY (2016)

Source: IDBR, 2017

EMPLOYMENT BASE BY INDUSTRY (2017)

YNYER has an above average two-year and five-year business survival rate, higher than both the region and England. Employ-

ment in accommodation & food services and retail is proportionally higher in YNYER than the regional and national averages,

whereas the region as a whole is proportionally higher in manufacturing, health and education, highlighting the specialisms of

different geographical areas, within the national economy.

Jobs LQ

01: Crop and animal production 25,500 3.73

11: Manufacture of beverages 1,875 3.18

10: Manufacture of food products 17,500 2.75

55: Accommodation 17,000 2.22

91: Libraries, archives and museums 3,500 2.11

08: Other mining and support activities 500 1.89

31: Manufacture of furniture 2,500 1.64

75: Veterinary activities 1,875 1.60

16: Manufacture of wood and wood products 1,875 1.59

27: Manufacture of electrical equipment 2,250 1.45

*sectors employing at least 500 people

Source: BRES, 2018

515,000 YNYER

jobs in (2016)

0.88 jobs per work-

ing age person

0.85 England

Source: ONS, 2017

TOP 10 SPECIALIST INDUSTRIES (2017)

YNYER LEP Y&H Region England

Active enterprises 2016 49,460 195,725 2,499,060

Enterprise birth rate (per 1,000 businesses) 2016 117.5 139.1 149.7

Enterprise death rate (per 1,000 businesses) 2016 98.1 113.1 116.5

Enterprise two-year survival rate (%) 2016 78.7 75.6 75.8

Enterprise five-year survival rate (%) 2016 46.4 43.2 44.0

Source: BRES, 2018

LABOUR MARKET

OUT OF WORK BENEFITS (2018)

TOP 5 SECTORS FOR EMPLOYMENT (2017)

EMPLOYMENT RATE (2018)

YNYER: 77.3%

Region: 73.5%

England: 75.1%

ECONOMIC ACTIVITY RATE (2018)

YNYER: 80.2%

Region: 77.3%

England: 78.6%

Source: BRES, 2016

TOP 5 EMPLOYMENT GROWTH SECTORS (2017)

Source: BRES, 2012-2016

Mining & utilities

62,500 jobs

Education

59,000 jobs Construction

53,500 jobs

Public Administration

54,500 jobs

Information & communication

45,500 jobs

Retail

+2,500 jobs Public administration

+3,000 jobs

Services to buildings

and landscaping

+3,000 jobs

Postal and courier

+2,500 jobs

Food and Beverage

Service Activities

+7,000 jobs

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

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t o

f W

ork

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YNYER Region ENG

OCCUPATIONS

SKILLS (2016)

Average Attainment 8 score per

pupil (2015/16)

YNYER: 51.8

England: 50.1

Average Progress 8 score per pupil

(2015/2016)

YNYER: 0.05

England: -0.03

Percentage of pupils who achieved

a A* to C (2015/16)

YNYER: 67.8

England: 63.3

The average attainment 8 score is a calculation based on the average grades achieved across 8 subject areas, showing an

overall score for educational attainment. Average progress 8 scores are measured between –1 and +1, these scores show

how pupils attainment compares to other similar pupils in different areas. Overall these scores show that YNYER performs

better than the national average in attainment, progression and achievement.

Highest level of qualification (ages 16-64)

38.6% people educated to NVQ Level 4+

Region average: 33.0% England average: 38.3%

18.6% people educated to NVQ Level 3

Region average: 17.5% England average: 17.3%

4.2% people with an apprenticeship Region average: 3.7% England average: 2.9%

6.0% people with no qualifications Region average: 9.5% England average: 7.6%

Apprenticeship starts by sector

15,360 apprenticeships starts 2016 to 2017.

5,620 in Health, Public Services and Care

37% of apprenticeship starts

3,680 in Retail and Commercial

Enterprise

24% of apprenticeship starts

2,790 in Business, Administration and

Law

18% of apprenticeships

Source: APS 2018

Occupation type YNYER Yorkshire & Humber England

Managers, Directors and Senior officials 11.5% 9.7% 11.2%

Professional Occupations 18.5% 17.9% 20.4%

Associate Prof & Tech Occupations 14.1% 13.0% 14.7%

Administrative and Secretarial Occupations 10.1% 10.0% 10.3%

Skilled Trades Occupations 12.7% 11.4% 10.1%

Caring, Leisure and Other Service

Occupations

8.2% 9.6% 8.9%

Sales and Customer Service Occupations 6.9% 8.1% 7.5%

Process, Plant and Machine Operatives 6.6% 7.6% 6.2%

Elementary Occupations 11.0% 12.1% 10.4%

Source: DFE 2018

PLACE

MEAN HOUSE PRICE

HOUSING AFFORDABILITY RATIO (2018)

TENURE (2011)

NET ADDITIONAL DWELLINGS

PER 1,000 POPULATION (2018)

Source: ONS 2018

LEP:

England:

3.7

3.9

Source: Census, 2011

Source: ONS 2018

The housing affordability ratio supports the mean house price map

above. The highest housing affordability ratio in 2017 was Ryedale at

9.31, while the lowest is recorded in Scarborough at 6.03.

All values are above the regional housing affordability ratio however

East Riding of Yorkshire (6.18), Scarborough (6.03) and Selby (6.45)

are all below the England ratio value (7.9).

The most expensive housing in the LEP area is located centrally in Harrogate and York within the Leeds commuter belt. The

most affordable housing is can be found along the coast in the East Riding of Yorkshire, Scarborough and parts of Ryedale.

Net Additional

Dwellings: 4,320

TRAVEL TO WORK SELF-CONTAINMENT/ METHOD OF TRAVEL TO WORK (2011)

BROADBAND AND 4G COVERAGE (2018)

Local Authority Percentage 4G Coverage

Craven 41.3%

Richmondshire 46.0%

Scarborough 56.3%

Ryedale 58.7%

Harrogate 73.1%

Hambleton 82.7%

ERY 85.3%

Selby 93.1%

York 96.2%

No area in the LEP has 100% broadband and 4G coverage.

The greatest coverage of 4G and ultrafast broadband is in

York. Scarborough has the lowest coverage of ultrafast

broadband and Craven has the lowest 4G signal. CO2 EMISSIONS (TONNES PER CAPITA) (2016)

LEP:

Region:

England:

7.1

6.9

5.3

Source: Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy , 2016

Source: OFCOM, 2018

Source: OFCOM, 2018

Work from Home Driver/ Passenger in Car or Van Cycle On Foot Train Bus

LEP 4.8% 44.4% 2.9% 9.7% 1.3% 2.5%

Region 2.9% 42.5% 1.6% 7.4% 1.5% 5.3%

England 3.5% 40.1% 1.9% 6.9% 3.5% 4.9%

Source: Census, 2011

Travel to work statistics show the significant movement of workers and residents between the YNYER and Hull and YNYER and Leeds, high-

lighting the extent to which YNYER’s economy is connected to the major urban conurbations on its borders. Additionally, the high percent-

age of people who travel on foot and by cycle as the methods of travel to work in the YNYER area is significantly higher than the national

average suggesting healthy lifestyles and shorter distances between residential and working locations.

INFLOW OUTFLOW

340,500 (81%) LEP workers live in the LEP

80,300 (19%) LEP workers live outside of the LEP

Top 5 Residential locations of LEP Workers

Kingston Upon Hull 19,500 (5%)

Leeds 12,500 (3%)

Bradford 6,800 (2%)

Wakefield 4,100 (1%)

Doncaster 3,700 (1%)

340,500 (77%) LEP residents work in the LEP

103,900 (23%) LEP residents work outside of the

LEP

Top 5 Workplace locations of LEP Residents

Kingston Upon Hull 33,900 (8%)

Leeds 24,200 (5%)

Bradford 6,400 (1%)

Wakefield 5,500 (1%)

Middlesbrough 2,500 (1%)

Source: Census, 2011

QUALITY OF LIFE

INDICES OF MULTIPLE DEPRIVATION (2015)

WELLBEING (2015)

Across the YNYER LEP area, 6.0% of the population live in the 20% most deprived LSOAs compared to 31.5% of the population

that live in the 20% least deprived LSOAs. The areas of deprivation appear to be centred along the coastal areas of the LEP

area. 6% of the population of YNYER live in the 20% most deprived LSOAs. The IMD can be limited in showing pockets of rural

deprivation or isolation, however, it does show areas of wealth on the sub-urban areas around York, Harrogate and Beverley.

AVERAGE ANXIETY RATING (OUT OF 10)

The LEP as a whole has a lower Average Anxiety Rating (2.67) than the national figure of 2.93, both of which are

below the regional level of 2.97. Craven Hambleton and Ryedale are the lowest in the LEP, while York is the high-

est, potentially showing a link between anxiety and rurality.

AVERAGE LIFE SATISFACTION RATING (OUT OF 10)

6.04% of the population

of the LEP live in the

20% most deprived

LSOAs

EARNINGS

FUEL POVERTY (% OF FUEL POOR HOUSEHOLDS) (2016)

RESIDENCE BASED EARNINGS (FULL TIME GROSS ANNUAL MEDIAN PAY) (2017)

WORKPLACE BASED EARNINGS (FULL TIME GROSS ANNUAL MEDIAN PAY) (2017)

Source: ASHE, 2017

Source: ASHE, 2017

The LEP geography shows an increase in the percentage of fuel

poor households by nearly 3% between 2013-2014. Similarly,

the region has increased by 1.5% between 2013-2015. Alt-

hough the figure for the LEP has decreased consistently since

2014, any is below the regional and national averages.

The LEP resident earnings are lower than the work place earn-

ings, suggesting that those with the highest quality employ-

ment are employed outside of the LEP area.

Source: Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy, 2016

LEP:

Region:

England:

10.1%

12.1%

11.1%

PERCENTAGE OF FUEL POOR HOUSEHOLDS (2016)