yellowfin tuna 1975-2005

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Yellowfin Tuna 1975- 2005

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Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005. Major Changes. Catch, effort, and length-frequency data for the surface fisheries have been updated to include new data for 2005 and revised data for 1975-2004. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Page 2: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Major Changes• Catch, effort, and length-frequency data for the surface

fisheries have been updated to include new data for 2005 and revised data for 1975-2004.

• Catch data for the Japanese longline fisheries have been updated for 2000-2003 and to include new data for 2004.

• Catch data for the longline fisheries of Chinese Taipei have been updated for 2002 and new data added for 2003.

• Catch data fore the longline fisheries of Korea have been updated to include new data for 2003

• Catch data for the longline fisheries of the Peoples Republic of China have been updated to include new data for 2003 and 2004.

• Longline catch-at-length data for 2002-2003 have been updated and new data for 2004 added.

• Longline catch per unit effort data have been standardized using a delta-lognormal model, updated to include 2004 data.

• Growth model has been changed to fix length-at-age at the prior distribution of a Richards growth curve based on otolith data

Page 3: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Sensitivity Analyses

• Stock recruitment relationship• Asymptotic length

Page 4: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Data

• Fishery definitions• Catch• Effort• Length frequency

Page 5: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Yellowfin Fishery Definitions

40

30

20

10

0

10

20

30

40

150 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70

10

40

30

20

10

0

10

20

30

40

150 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70

11

12

6

5

40

30

20

10

0

10

20

30

40

150 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70

40

30

20

10

0

10

20

30

40

150 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70

1, 13

2, 143, 15

4, 16 7

9

8

40

30

20

10

0

10

20

30

40

150 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70

Baitboat Unassociated Longline

DolphinFloating Objects

Page 6: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000Fishery -- Pesqueria 1

75 80 85 90 95 00 05

Fishery -- Pesqueria 2

75 80 85 90 95 00 05

Fishery -- Pesqueria 3

75 80 85 90 95 00 05

Fishery -- Pesqueria 4

75 80 85 90 95 00 05

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000Fishery -- Pesqueria 5 Fishery -- Pesqueria 6 Fishery -- Pesqueria 7 Fishery -- Pesqueria 8

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000Fishery -- Pesqueria 9 Fishery -- Pesqueria 10 Fishery -- Pesqueria 11 Fishery -- Pesqueria 12

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000Fishery -- Pesqueria 13 Fishery -- Pesqueria 14 Fishery -- Pesqueria 15 Fishery -- Pesqueria 16

Year -- Año

Tons

-- T

onel

adasCatch

FO south FO central FO coastal FO north

DOL south

DOL coastalDOL northNA southNA north

LL southLL northBB

DIS south DIS northDIS coastalDIS central

Page 7: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

Fishery -- Pesqueria 1

75 80 85 90 95 00 05

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

Fishery -- Pesqueria 2

75 80 85 90 95 00 05

1

2

3

4

Fishery -- Pesqueria 3

75 80 85 90 95 00 05

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

Fishery -- Pesqueria 4

75 80 85 90 95 00 05

0

1

2

3

4

Fishery -- Pesqueria 5

0

1

2

3

4

5Fishery -- Pesqueria 6

0

1

2

3

Fishery -- Pesqueria 7

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

Fishery -- Pesqueria 8

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4Fishery -- Pesqueria 9

0

1

2

3

4

Fishery -- Pesqueria 10

0

5

10

15

Fishery -- Pesqueria 11

100

200

300

400

Fishery -- Pesqueria 12

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

Fishery -- Pesqueria 13

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

Fishery -- Pesqueria 14

1

2

3

4

Fishery -- Pesqueria 15

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

Fishery -- Pesqueria 16

Year -- Año

Thou

sand

s of

day

s an

d hu

ndre

ds o

f tho

usan

ds o

f hoo

ksM

iles

de d

ias

y ci

ento

s de

mile

s de

anz

uelo

s

Effort

FO south

FO central

FO coastal

FO north

DOL south

DOL coastal

DOL northNA southNA north

LL southLL northBB

DIS south

DIS north

DIS coastal

DIS central

Page 8: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

CPUE

FO south

FO central

FO coastal FO north

DOL south

DOL coastalDOL north

NA southNA north

LL southLL northBB

DIS south

DIS north

DIS coastal

DIS central

0

1

2

3

4

5

6Fishery -- Pesqueria 1

75 80 85 90 95 00 05

0123456

Fishery -- Pesqueria 2

75 80 85 90 95 00 05

0

1

2

3

4

5Fishery -- Pesqueria 3

75 80 85 90 95 00 05

0

1

2

3

Fishery -- Pesqueria 4

75 80 85 90 95 00 05

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0Fishery -- Pesqueria 5

0.00.5

1.0

1.52.0

2.5

3.0

Fishery -- Pesqueria 6

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

Fishery -- Pesqueria 7

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5Fishery -- Pesqueria 8

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0Fishery -- Pesqueria 9

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

Fishery -- Pesqueria 10

0

1

2

3

4Fishery -- Pesqueria 11

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0Fishery -- Pesqueria 12

0

1

2

3

4

5

6 Fishery -- Pesqueria 13

0

2

4

6

8

10

12Fishery -- Pesqueria 14

0

1

2

3

4

Fishery -- Pesqueria 15

0

1

2

3

4

5Fishery -- Pesqueria 16

Year -- Año

Sca

led

CP

UE

-- C

PU

E e

scal

ado

Page 9: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Fixed Parameters

•Natural Mortality

•Fecundity at age

•Sex ratio at age

•Selectivity curves for the discard fisheries

•The steepness of the stock recruitment relationship = 1 (no relationship)

Page 10: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Natural Mortality

Age in quarters -- Edad en trimestres

Qua

rterly

M --

M T

rimes

tral

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

Page 11: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Sex Ratio

Age in quarters

Per

cent

fem

ale

0 5 10 15 20 25

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

Page 12: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Relative Fecundity

Age in quarters

Rel

ativ

e fe

cund

ity x

mat

urity

0 5 10 15 20 25

01

23

45

6

Page 13: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Estimated parameters•Recruitment

•Temporal anomalies, (no Seasonal component)

•Catchability•Temporal anomalies

•Selectivity

•Initial population size and age-structure

•Mean length at age

•Variation of length at age

Page 14: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Results

• Fit to the length frequency• Growth• Fishing mortality• Selectivity• Recruitment• Biomass• Catchability

Page 15: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Fit to the length-frequency

FO south FO central FO coastal FO north

DOL south

DOL coastalDOL northNA southNA north

LL southLL northBB

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

Fishery -- Pesqueria 1

50 100 150 200

Fishery -- Pesqueria 2 Fishery -- Pesqueria 3

50 100 150 200

Fishery -- Pesqueria 4

Fishery -- Pesqueria 5 Fishery -- Pesqueria 6 Fishery -- Pesqueria 7

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

Fishery -- Pesqueria 80.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

Fishery -- Pesqueria 9 Fishery -- Pesqueria 10

50 100 150 200

Fishery -- Pesqueria 11 Fishery -- Pesqueria 12

50 100 150 200

Length (cm) Talla

Pro

port

ion

of th

e ca

tch

-- P

ropo

rció

n de

la c

aptu

ra

Page 16: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Growth

Age in quarters -- Edad en trimestres

0

50

100

150

200

Mea

n le

ngth

(cm

) Tal

la m

edia

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

Current assessment -- Evaluacion actualPrior

Page 17: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Fishing mortality

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2Ages 2-5 -- Edades 2-5 Ages 6-9 -- Edades 6-9

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2Ages 10-13 -- Edades 10-13 Ages 14-17 -- Edades 14-17

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2Ages 18-21 -- Edades 18-21 Ages 22-25 -- Edades 22-25

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2Ages 26-29 -- Edades 26-29

75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05

Year -- Año

Ave

rage

tota

l F --

Pro

med

io d

e F

tota

l

Page 18: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Age Specific Fishing Mortality

Age in quarters -- Edad en trimestres

5 10 15 20 25 30

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

Ave

rage

tota

l F --

Pro

med

io d

e F

tota

l 1975 - 19921993 - 2005

Page 19: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

0

2

4

6

Fishery -- Pesqueria 1

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8Fishery -- Pesqueria 2

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

Fishery -- Pesqueria 3

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

Fishery -- Pesqueria 4

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8

10

Fishery -- Pesqueria 5

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8Fishery -- Pesqueria 6

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8

Fishery -- Pesqueria 7

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8Fishery -- Pesqueria 8

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

1

2

3

4

5

6Fishery -- Pesqueria 9

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14Fishery -- Pesqueria 10

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

1

2

3

4

5

Fishery -- Pesqueria 11

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

1

2

3

4

5

6Fishery -- Pesqueria 12

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8

10

Fishery -- Pesqueria 13

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8

10

Fishery -- Pesqueria 14

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8

10

Fishery -- Pesqueria 15

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8

10

Fishery -- Pesqueria 16

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

Age in quarters -- Edad en trimestres

Sel

ectiv

ity --

Sel

ectiv

idad

Selectivity

FO south

FO central

FO coastal

FO north

DOL south

DOLcoastal

DOL northNA south

NA north

LL south

LL north

BB

DIS south DIS northDIS coastalDIS central

Page 20: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

0

2

4

6

Fishery -- Pesqueria 1

75 80 85 90 95 00 05

Fishery -- Pesqueria 2

75 80 85 90 95 00 05

Fishery -- Pesqueria 3

75 80 85 90 95 00 05

0

2

4

6

Fishery -- Pesqueria 4 Fishery -- Pesqueria 5 Fishery -- Pesqueria 60

2

4

6

Fishery -- Pesqueria 7 Fishery -- Pesqueria 8 Fishery -- Pesqueria 90

2

4

6

Fishery -- Pesqueria 10 Fishery -- Pesqueria 11 Fishery -- Pesqueria 12

Year -- Año

Cat

chab

ility

and

its

com

pone

nts

Cap

tura

bilid

ad y

sus

com

pone

ntes

Catchability

FO south FO central FO coastal

FO north

DOL southDOL coastalDOL north

NA southNA north

LL southLL northBB

Page 21: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Recruitment

Year -- Año

Rel

ativ

e re

crui

tmen

t -- R

eclu

tam

ient

o re

lativ

o

75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05

0

1

2

3

4

5

Page 22: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Recent length-frequency data (FO)

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.042004 Quarter -- Trimestre 1

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04 2004 Quarter -- Trimestre 2

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.042004 Quarter -- Trimestre 3

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04 2004 Quarter -- Trimestre 4

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.042005 Quarter -- Trimestre 1

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04 2005 Quarter -- Trimestre 2

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.042005 Quarter -- Trimestre 3

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04 2005 Quarter -- Trimestre 4

50 100 150 200

Length (cm) Talla

Pro

port

ion

of th

e ca

tch

-- P

ropo

rció

n de

la c

aptu

ra

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.042004 Quarter -- Trimestre 1

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.042004 Quarter -- Trimestre 2

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.042004 Quarter -- Trimestre 3

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.042004 Quarter -- Trimestre 4

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.042005 Quarter -- Trimestre 1

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.042005 Quarter -- Trimestre 2

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.042005 Quarter -- Trimestre 3

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.042005 Quarter -- Trimestre 4

50 100 150 200

Length (cm) Talla

Pro

port

ion

of th

e ca

tch

-- P

ropo

rció

n de

la c

aptu

ra

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

2004 Quarter -- Trimestre 1

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

2004 Quarter -- Trimestre 2

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

2004 Quarter -- Trimestre 3

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

2004 Quarter -- Trimestre 4

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

2005 Quarter -- Trimestre 1

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

2005 Quarter -- Trimestre 2

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

2005 Quarter -- Trimestre 3

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

2005 Quarter -- Trimestre 4

50 100 150 200

Length (cm) Talla

Pro

port

ion

of th

e ca

tch

-- P

ropo

rció

n de

la c

aptu

ra

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

2004 Quarter -- Trimestre 1

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

2004 Quarter -- Trimestre 2

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

2004 Quarter -- Trimestre 3

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

2004 Quarter -- Trimestre 4

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

2005 Quarter -- Trimestre 1

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

2005 Quarter -- Trimestre 2

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

2005 Quarter -- Trimestre 3

0.0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

2005 Quarter -- Trimestre 4

50 100 150 200

Length (cm) Talla

Pro

port

ion

of th

e ca

tch

-- P

ropo

rció

n de

la c

aptu

raFO south FO central FO coastal FO north

2 3 41

Page 23: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

0.00.0050.0100.0150.0200.0250.030

2004 Quarter -- Trimestre 1

0.00.0050.0100.0150.0200.0250.030

2004 Quarter -- Trimestre 2

0.00.0050.0100.0150.0200.0250.030

2004 Quarter -- Trimestre 3

0.00.0050.0100.0150.0200.0250.030

2004 Quarter -- Trimestre 4

0.00.0050.0100.0150.0200.0250.030

2005 Quarter -- Trimestre 1

0.00.0050.0100.0150.0200.0250.030

2005 Quarter -- Trimestre 2

0.00.0050.0100.0150.0200.0250.030

2005 Quarter -- Trimestre 3

0.00.0050.0100.0150.0200.0250.030

2005 Quarter -- Trimestre 4

50 100 150 200

Length (cm) Talla

Proportion of the catch -- Proporción de la captura

0.00.0050.0100.0150.0200.025

2004 Quarter -- Trimestre 1

0.00.0050.0100.0150.0200.025

2004 Quarter -- Trimestre 2

0.00.0050.0100.0150.0200.025

2004 Quarter -- Trimestre 3

0.00.0050.0100.0150.0200.025

2004 Quarter -- Trimestre 4

0.00.0050.0100.0150.0200.025

2005 Quarter -- Trimestre 1

0.00.0050.0100.0150.0200.025

2005 Quarter -- Trimestre 2

0.00.0050.0100.0150.0200.025

2005 Quarter -- Trimestre 3

0.00.0050.0100.0150.0200.025

2005 Quarter -- Trimestre 4

50 100 150 200

Length (cm) Talla

Proportion of the catch -- Proporción de la captura

Recent length-frequency data (Unassociated)

NA southNA north

Page 24: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Recent length-frequency data (Dolphin associated)

DOL southDOL coastalDOL north

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.0152004 Quarter -- Trimestre 1

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.0152004 Quarter -- Trimestre 2

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.0152004 Quarter -- Trimestre 3

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.0152004 Quarter -- Trimestre 4

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.0152005 Quarter -- Trimestre 1

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.0152005 Quarter -- Trimestre 2

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.0152005 Quarter -- Trimestre 3

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.0152005 Quarter -- Trimestre 4

50 100 150 200

Length (cm) Talla

Proportion of the catch -- Proporción de la captura

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.015

0.0202004 Quarter -- Trimestre 1

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.015

0.0202004 Quarter -- Trimestre 2

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.015

0.0202004 Quarter -- Trimestre 3

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.015

0.0202004 Quarter -- Trimestre 4

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.015

0.0202005 Quarter -- Trimestre 1

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.015

0.0202005 Quarter -- Trimestre 2

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.015

0.0202005 Quarter -- Trimestre 3

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.015

0.0202005 Quarter -- Trimestre 4

50 100 150 200

Length (cm) Talla

Proportion of the catch -- Proporción de la captura

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.015

0.0202004 Quarter -- Trimestre 1

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.015

0.0202004 Quarter -- Trimestre 2

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.015

0.0202004 Quarter -- Trimestre 3

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.015

0.0202004 Quarter -- Trimestre 4

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.015

0.0202005 Quarter -- Trimestre 1

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.015

0.0202005 Quarter -- Trimestre 2

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.015

0.0202005 Quarter -- Trimestre 3

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.015

0.0202005 Quarter -- Trimestre 4

50 100 150 200

Length (cm) Talla

Proportion of the catch -- Proporción de la captura

Page 25: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Recent length-frequency data (longline)

LL southLL north

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.015

2003 Quarter -- Trimestre 1

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.015

2003 Quarter -- Trimestre 2

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.015

2003 Quarter -- Trimestre 3

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.015

2003 Quarter -- Trimestre 4

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.015

2004 Quarter -- Trimestre 1

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.015

2004 Quarter -- Trimestre 2

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.015

2004 Quarter -- Trimestre 3

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.015

2004 Quarter -- Trimestre 4

50 100 150 200

Length (cm) Talla

Proportion of the catch -- Proporción de la captura

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.015

0.020

0.0252003 Quarter -- Trimestre 1

0.0

0.0050.010

0.015

0.020

0.025 2003 Quarter -- Trimestre 2

0.0

0.0050.010

0.015

0.020

0.0252003 Quarter -- Trimestre 3

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.015

0.020

0.025 2003 Quarter -- Trimestre 4

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.015

0.020

0.0252004 Quarter -- Trimestre 1

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.015

0.020

0.025 2004 Quarter -- Trimestre 2

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.015

0.020

0.0252004 Quarter -- Trimestre 3

0.0

0.005

0.010

0.0150.020

0.025 2004 Quarter -- Trimestre 4

50 100 150 200

Length (cm) Talla

Proportion of the catch -- Proporción de la captura

Page 26: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Environmental index

Rel

ativ

e re

crui

tmen

tR

eclu

tam

ient

o re

lativ

o

-0.010 -0.005 0.0 0.005 0.010

0

1

2

3

Relative spawning biomassBiomasa relativa de reproductores

Rel

ativ

e re

crui

tmen

tR

eclu

tam

ient

o re

lativ

o

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

0

1

2

3

Stock - recruitment

Page 27: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Biomass

Year -- Año

75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05

0

200000

400000

600000

800000

Tons

-- T

onel

adas

Biomass of fish 1.5+ years old -- Biomasa de peces de 1.5+ años de edad

Page 28: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Spawning Biomass

Year -- Año

75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

Fec

undi

ty in

dex

Fec

undi

dad

indi

cePopulation fecundity -- Fecundidad de la poblacion

Page 29: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Average weight

FO south FO central FO coastal FO north

DOL south

DOL coastalDOL northNA south

NA north

LL southLL north

BB

Surface

Longline

0

10

20

30

40

50

Fishery -- Pesqueria 1

75 80 85 90 95 00 05

Fishery -- Pesqueria 2 Fishery -- Pesqueria 3

75 80 85 90 95 00 05

Fishery -- Pesqueria 4 Fishery -- Pesqueria 5

75 80 85 90 95 00 05

Fishery -- Pesqueria 6 Fishery -- Pesqueria 7 Fishery -- Pesqueria 8 Fishery -- Pesqueria 9

0

10

20

30

40

50

Fishery -- Pesqueria 100

10

20

30

40

50

Fishery -- Pesqueria 11 Fishery -- Pesqueria 12 Fishery -- Pesqueria 13 Fishery -- Pesqueria 14 Fishery -- Pesqueria 15

Fishery -- Pesqueria 16 Fisheries -- Pesquerias 1-10

75 80 85 90 95 00 05

0

10

20

30

40

50

Fisheries -- Pesquerias 11-12

Year -- Año

Kilo

gram

s --

Kilo

gram

os

Page 30: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

No Fishing

Year -- Año

75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05

0

500

1000

1500

Thou

sand

s of

tons

--

Mile

s de

tone

lada

s

No fishing -- Sin pescaFishing -- Con pesca

Year -- Año

75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Dyn

amic

rat

io o

f fis

hed

to u

nfis

hed

biom

ass

-- L

a pr

opor

ción

din

ámic

a de

pes

cado

a u

nfis

hed

biom

asa

Page 31: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Fishery impact

Year

75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Fish

ery

impa

ct

LonglineDolphinUnassociatedFloating objectsSmall discards

Page 32: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

No Fishing and Fishery Impact

Year -- Año

75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05

0

500

1000

1500

Thou

sand

s of

tons

--

Mile

s de

tone

lada

s

LonglineDolphinUnassociatedFloating objectsSmall discardsBiomass with fishingBiomass with no fishing

Page 33: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Biomass Comparisons

75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05

0

200000

400000

600000

800000

Tons

- To

nela

das

Year - Año

2006200520042003

Page 34: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Reference points & projections

• Assumptions– For MSY calculations

• Average of 2002-2003 for fishing mortality– For forward projections

• Average of 2002-2003 for catchability• 2004 effort

Page 35: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

SBR

Year -- Año

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Spa

wni

ng b

iom

ass

ratio

Coc

ient

e de

bio

mas

a re

prod

ucto

ra

75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05

Page 36: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

SBRS

panw

ing

biom

ass

ratio

Coc

ient

e de

bio

mas

sa re

prod

ucto

ra

Year -- Año

75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8 2006200520042003

Page 37: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

AMSY by method

Fishery AMSY BAMSY SAMSY BAMSY/BF=0 SAMSY/SF=0 F multiplier

Pesquería RMSP BRMSP SRMSP BRMSP/BF=0 SRMSP/SF=0

Multiplicador de F

All—Todos 287 519 416 379 4 677 0.36 0.37 1.02

OBJ 214 243 316 331 3 520 0.27 0.28 11.06

NOA 259 574 385 228 4 392 0.33 0.34 4.20

DEL 304 745 406 369 4 335 0.35 0.34 2.11

LL 350 562 460 673 4 961 0.39 0.39 25.18

Page 38: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

AMSY with method removed

Fishery AMSY BAMSY SAMSY BAMSY/BF=0 SAMSY/SF=0 F multiplier

Pesquería RMSP BRMSP SRMSP BRMSP/BF=0 SRMSP/SF=0

Multiplicador de F

All—Todos 287 519 416 379 4 677 0.36 0.37 1.02

No FLT 295 231 416 062 4 607 0.36 0.36 1.20

No UNA 296 439 421 719 4 687 0.36 0.37 1.39

No DOL 268 587 419 120 4 894 0.36 0.38 2.08

No LL 282 176 406 755 4 549 0.35 0.36 1.12

Page 39: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

AMSY with effort adjusted

Allgears

Purse-seine only

Longlineonly

Purse-seinescaled

Longlinescaled

Base

AMSY—RMSP 287 519 282 176 373 759 287 625 306 171

BAMSY—BRMSP 416 379 406 755 577 040 433 243 327 698

SAMSY—SRMSP 4 677 4 549 6 755 4 920 3 204

BAMSY/B0—BRMSP/B0 0.36 0.35 0.41 0.37 0.28

SAMSY/S0—SRMSP/S0 0.37 0.36 0.44 0.39 0.25

F multiplier—Multiplicador de F 1.02 1.12 12.41 0.94 19.62

Page 40: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Yield

Fishing mortality relative to current fishing mortalityMortalidad por pesca relativa a la mortalidad por pesca actual

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Rel

ativ

e yi

eld

Ren

dim

ient

o re

lativ

o

Fishing mortality relative to current fishing mortalityMortalidad por pesca relativa a la mortalidad por pesca actual

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Rel

ativ

e po

pula

tion

fecu

ndity

Fecu

ndid

ad re

lativ

a de

la p

obla

cion

Page 41: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

AMSY quantities using F(y)

Year

Sm

sy/S

0

1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

Year

MS

Y

1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

300000

Year

Scu

r/Sm

sy

1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

Year

Fsca

le

1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Page 42: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Sensitivity: h = 0.75

• When the spawning population is 20% of its unexploited level the recruitment is 75% of its unexploited level

• Biomass• Recruitment• SBR• Yield Curve• AMSY

Page 43: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Biomass Comparison

Year -- Año

Tons

-- T

onel

adas

75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05

0

200000

400000

600000

800000

Basecase -- Caso baseSteepness -- Inclinacion = 0.75

Page 44: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Recruitment

Year -- Año

Rec

ruitm

ent (

Mill

ions

of f

ish)

Rec

luta

mie

nto

(mill

ones

de

pece

s)

75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05

0

50

100

150Basecase -- Caso baseSteepness -- Inclinacion = 0.75

Page 45: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Recruitment

Environmental index

Rel

ativ

e re

crui

tmen

tR

eclu

tam

ient

o re

lativ

o

-0.010 -0.005 0.0 0.005 0.010

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

Relative spawning biomassBiomasa relativa de reproductores

Rel

ativ

e re

crui

tmen

tR

eclu

tam

ient

o re

lativ

o

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

Page 46: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

SBR

Year -- Año

S

paw

ning

bio

mas

s ra

tioC

ocie

nte

de b

iom

asa

repr

oduc

tora

75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8Basecase -- Caso baseSteepness -- Inclinacion = 0.75

Page 47: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Yield Curve

Fishing mortality relative to current fishing mortalityMortalidad por pesca relativa a la mortalidad por pesca actual

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Rel

ativ

e yi

eld

Ren

dim

ient

o re

lativ

o

Fishing mortality relative to current fishing mortalityMortalidad por pesca relativa a la mortalidad por pesca actual

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Rel

ativ

e po

pula

tion

fecu

ndity

Fecu

ndid

ad re

lativ

a de

la p

obla

cion

Page 48: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Sensitivity to L∞:proportion YFT > given length

0

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.1

0.12

0.14

1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Year

Prop

ortio

n >

give

n le

ngth

150160170185

Page 49: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

150

160

170

180

190

200

210

1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Year

Max

imum

leng

th (c

m)

Maximum length observed by yr

Page 50: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Sensitivity to assumed L∞: Biomass

75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05

0

200000

400000

600000

800000

Tons

- To

nela

das

Year - Año

BasecaseLinf=170Linf=200

Page 51: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Recruitment

Year -- Año

Rec

ruitm

ent (

Mill

ions

of f

ish)

Rec

luta

mie

nto

(mill

ones

de

pece

s)

75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05

0

50

100

150BasecaseLinf=170Linf=200

Page 52: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Spawning biomass ratioS

panw

ing

biom

ass

ratio

Coc

ient

e de

bio

mas

sa re

prod

ucto

ra

Year -- Año

75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8BasecaseLinf=170Linf=200

Page 53: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Selectivity

0

2

4

6

Fishery -- Pesqueria 1

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8Fishery -- Pesqueria 2

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

Fishery -- Pesqueria 3

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

Fishery -- Pesqueria 4

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8

10

Fishery -- Pesqueria 5

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8Fishery -- Pesqueria 6

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8

Fishery -- Pesqueria 7

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8Fishery -- Pesqueria 8

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

1

2

3

4

5

6Fishery -- Pesqueria 9

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14Fishery -- Pesqueria 10

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

1

2

3

4

5

Fishery -- Pesqueria 11

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

1

2

3

4

5

6Fishery -- Pesqueria 12

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8

10

Fishery -- Pesqueria 13

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8

10

Fishery -- Pesqueria 14

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8

10

Fishery -- Pesqueria 15

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8

10

Fishery -- Pesqueria 16

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

Age in quarters -- Edad en trimestres

Sel

ectiv

ity --

Sel

ectiv

idad

0

1

2

3

4

5

6Fishery -- Pesqueria 1

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8Fishery -- Pesqueria 2

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

Fishery -- Pesqueria 3

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

1

2

3

4

5

6Fishery -- Pesqueria 4

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8

Fishery -- Pesqueria 5

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8Fishery -- Pesqueria 6

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8

Fishery -- Pesqueria 7

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

Fishery -- Pesqueria 8

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

1

2

3

Fishery -- Pesqueria 9

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14Fishery -- Pesqueria 10

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

1

2

3

4

Fishery -- Pesqueria 11

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

Fishery -- Pesqueria 12

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8

10

Fishery -- Pesqueria 13

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8

10

Fishery -- Pesqueria 14

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8

10

Fishery -- Pesqueria 15

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8

10

Fishery -- Pesqueria 16

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

Age in quarters -- Edad en trimestres

Sel

ectiv

ity --

Sel

ectiv

idad

0

2

4

6

Fishery -- Pesqueria 1

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8Fishery -- Pesqueria 2

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

Fishery -- Pesqueria 3

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

Fishery -- Pesqueria 4

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8

10

Fishery -- Pesqueria 5

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8Fishery -- Pesqueria 6

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8

Fishery -- Pesqueria 7

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8Fishery -- Pesqueria 8

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

1

2

3

4

5 Fishery -- Pesqueria 9

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

Fishery -- Pesqueria 10

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

1

2

3

4

5

6Fishery -- Pesqueria 11

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

Fishery -- Pesqueria 12

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8

10

Fishery -- Pesqueria 13

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8

10

Fishery -- Pesqueria 14

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8

10

Fishery -- Pesqueria 15

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

0

2

4

6

8

10

Fishery -- Pesqueria 16

4 8 12 16 20 24 28

Age in quarters -- Edad en trimestres

Sel

ectiv

ity --

Sel

ectiv

idad

Base case

L∞ = 200

L∞ = 170

Page 54: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

AMSY table

Base case h = 0.75 L∞ = 170 L∞ = 200

Caso base h = 0.75 L∞ = 170 L∞ = 200

AMSY–RMSP 287 377 301 706 296 085 292 675 BAMSY –Brm2 420 343 551 532 421 933 432 480 SAMSY —Srm2 4 775 6 555 4 708 4 958 CRECENT/AMSY—C2002/RMSP 1.06 1.01 1.03 1.04 BRECENT/BAMSY –B2003/BRMSP 0.99 0.76 1.01 0.99 SRECENT/SAMSY –S2003/SRMSP 1.11 0.82 1.14 1.10 SAMSY/SF=0 –SRMSP/SF=0 0.37 0.43 0.36 0.38 F multiplier—Multiplicador de F 0.98 0.67 1.05 1.00

Page 55: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Forward Simulations

• Depletion ratio• Surface fishery catch• Longline catch

Page 56: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

SBR

Year -- Año

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Spa

wni

ng b

iom

ass

ratio

Coc

ient

e de

bio

mas

a re

prod

ucto

ra

75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11

Page 57: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Catch

Year -- Año

Predicted purse-seine catches

Tons

- To

nela

das

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11

Year -- Año

Predicted longline catches

Num

bers

of f

ish

Num

ero

de p

eces

0

100000

200000

300000

75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11

Page 58: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Year -- Año

Predicted purse-seine catches

Tons

- To

nela

das

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11

Year -- Año

Predicted longline catches

Num

bers

of f

ish

Num

ero

de p

eces

0

200000

400000

600000

75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11

Catch with median catchability

Page 59: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Summary: Main Results

• The results are similar to the previous four assessments, except that SBR at SBRAMSY is lower than in the last assessment

• The biomass is estimated to have declined slightly in 2005

• There is uncertainty about recent and future recruitment and biomass levels

Page 60: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

What is robust

• The trend in biomass• The regime shift in recruitment

Page 61: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Plausible Sensitivities and Uncertainties

• The stock recruitment relationship• Asymptotic length• Uncertainty in current biomass and

recruitment

Page 62: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

Conclusions1. The biomass is estimated to have declined

slightly in 20052. The current SBR may be close to the SBR

required to produce AMSY3. The current fishing mortality rates are close

to those required to produce AMSY4. The average weight of a yellowfin in the

catch is much less than the critical weight and increasing the average weight could increase AMSY

5. There have been two different productivity regimes and the levels of AMSY and the biomass required to produce AMSY may differ between the regimes

Page 63: Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005

The END