world car awards the road ahead · 2019-11-07 · ces highlights 2016 the road to world car takes...
TRANSCRIPT
THE ROAD AHEADW O R L D C A R A W A R D S
I N T R O D U C T I O N
Mike Rutherford
Vice-Chairman, World Car Awards
Mike Rutherford, WCA Vice-Chairman, focuses on
the brands, global vehicle manufacturing groups,
continents and countries that have enjoyed the most
success so far in the 2016 World Car Awards.
Car awards don’t come bigger - or more sought-after - than
those presented by WCA every Springtime in America’s
most exciting city.
Trouble is, there are only five large and heavy trophies
up for grabs at our prize-giving ceremony in New York at
the end of March. And scores of major car makers plus
countless smaller but still important niche manufacturers
in all corners of the globe are desperate to get their hands
on them.
But at this delicate, tense, deliciously exciting stage of the
2016 competition, the cold and harsh truth is that only 14
manufacturers from seven car producing nations are still
in the running for WCA glory at our awards ceremony on
the morning of the second press day (March 24) at the New
York International Auto Show.
World Car Awards Vice-Chairman, Mike Rutherford
For the World Car Awards programme, its hundreds of
media and VIP guests, plus those 14 quietly confident
but nervous manufacturers representing just seven car
producing nations, March 24 2016 will be a bit like the
automotive equivalent of Olympic Finals day.
Every car or car manufacturer who has made it through
to this late stage of the WCA process can consider itself
victorious in the sense that it has officially qualified as a
2016 WCA Finalist - and nobody can ever take that fact
away from such vehicles and their makers.
But there’s a difference between being a worthy finalist
and an outright winner of a World Car Awards trophy.
Mazda is a no fuss, less is more company that should never
be under-estimated. And as Table 1 (next page) suggests,
of all the firms in all the world it’s this one that’s surely one
of the favourites to return from NYC to its home town of
Hiroshima in possession of at least one World Car trophy.
After all, the Japanese maker of urban, family and sports
cars has qualified with more finalists (four) than any other
brand.
But Audi, BMW, Jaguar, Land Rover, Mercedes and Toyota
(all on three) are joint second favourites, with Chevrolet
(two) just behind them, and Cadillac, Honda, Hyundai,
Skoda, Volkswagen and Volvo the outsiders (with one
apiece).
But here’s another way of looking at it. In terms of car
manufacturing groups rather that individual marques -
JLR (Jaguar Land Rover) is better placed than any other in
the world for a WCA win or wins as it has qualified with an
unprecedented six finalists.
JLR enjoyed its best ever year in 2015 when it became the
fastest-growing group on the planet for vehicle sales. But
as 70-plus World Car jurors across the globe have recently
decreed via the ballot box, Jags and Land Rovers aren’t
just selling better than ever - they’re also stronger than
ever contenders for World Car trophies in NYC.
As for continents and countries, it’s an astonishing fact
that at the awards ceremony, Europe will have more
finalist cars than all the other parts of the world combined.
And Germany just manages to edge out increasingly strong
Japan and England the underdog, as the nation with the
most finalists.
Not that any of this guarantees World Car wins for the
biggest, strongest, firms, regions or countries.
Hyundai and Skoda are welcome newcomers to the WCA
Finals. And, respectively, they might - just might - further
upset the global ‘automotive establishment’ by departing
New York and returning to South Korea and the Czech
Republic armed with coveted World Car trophies.
Frankly, I wouldn’t bet against it.
Mazda is surely one of the favourites to bring home a WCA trophy
Hyundai is a welcome newcomer to the WCA finals
T H E R O A D T O W O R L D C A R T A K E S M A N Y P A T H S
F I N A L I S T C A R S P E R
B R A N D
M A Z D A 4
A U D I 3
B M W 3
J A G U A R 3
L A N D R O V E R 3
M E R C E D E S - B E N Z 3
T O Y O T A 3
C H E V R O L E T 2
C A D I L L A C 1
H O N D A 1
H Y U N D A I 1
S K O D A 1
V O L K S W A G E N 1
V O L V O 1
F I N A L I S T C A R S
P E R V E H I C L E
M A N U F A C T U R I N G
G R O U P
J L R 6 ( U K )
V W 5 ( G E R M A N Y )
M A Z D A 4 ( J A P A N
B M W 3 ( G E R M A N Y )
D A I M L E R 3 ( G E R M A N Y )
G M 3 ( U S A )
T O Y O T A 3 ( J A P A N )
H O N D A 1 ( J A P A N )
H Y U N D A I 1 ( S O U T H
K O R E A )
V O L V O 1 ( S W E D E N )
F I N A L I S T C A R S P E R
C O N T I N E N T
E U R O P E 1 8
A S I A 9
N O R T H A M E R I C A 3
F I N A L I S T C A R S P E R
N A T I O N
G E R M A N Y 1 0
J A P A N 8
U K 6
U S A 3
C Z E C H R E P U B L I C 1
S O U T H K O R E A 1
S W E D E N 1
F I N A L I S T C A R S P E R
N A T I O N - P E R C E N T A G E
S H A R E
G E R M A N Y 3 3 . 3 %
J A P A N 2 6 . 7 %
U K 2 0 %
U S A 1 0 %
C Z E C H R E P U B L I C 3 . 3 %
S O U T H K O R E A 3 , 3 %
S W E D E N 3 . 3 %
THE STATE OF THE CAR FIRMS & CAR-PRODUCING NATIONS
T H E R O A D T O W O R L D C A R T A K E S M A N Y P A T H S
T H E R O A D T O W O R L D C A R T A K E S M A N Y P A T H S
M E R C E D E S - B E N Z
M E R C E D E S - A M G C
6 3 C O U P É – W O R L D
P E R F O R M A N C E C A R
M E R C E D E S - B E N Z G L E
C O U P E – W O R L D L U X U R Y
C A R
M E R C E D E S - B E N Z G L C
– W O R L D C A R O F T H E
Y E A R
S K O D A
S K O D A S U P E R B –
W O R L D C A R O F T H E
Y E A R
T O Y O T A
T O Y O T A P R I U S – W O R L D
C A R O F T H E Y E A R
T O Y O T A M I R A I
( H Y D R O G E N F U E L C E L L )
– W O R L D G R E E N C A R
T O Y O T A P R I U S ( H Y B R I D )
– W O R L D G R E E N C A R
V O L K S W A G E N
V O L K S W A G E N P A S S A T
G T E – W O R L D G R E E N
C A R
V O L V O
V O L V O X C 9 0 – W O R L D
L U X U R Y C A R
H Y U N D A I
H Y U N D A I T U C S O N –
W O R L D C A R O F T H E
Y E A R
J A G U A R
J A G U A R X E – W O R L D
C A R O F T H E Y E A R A N D
W O R L D C A R D E S I G N O F
T H E Y E A R
J A G U A R X F – W O R L D
L U X U R Y C A R
L A N D R O V E R
L A N D R O V E R D I S C O V E R Y
S P O R T – W O R L D C A R O F
T H E Y E A R A N D W O R L D
C A R D E S I G N O F T H E
Y E A R
R A N G E R O V E R
S P O R T S V R – W O R L D
P E R F O R M A N C E C A R
M A Z D A
M A Z D A C X - 3 – W O R L D
C A R O F T H E Y E A R A N D
W O R L D C A R D E S I G N O F
T H E Y E A R
M A Z D A M X - 5 – W O R L D
C A R O F T H E Y E A R A N D
W O R L D C A R D E S I G N O F
T H E Y E A R
A U D I
A U D I A 4 S E D A N / A U D I
A 4 A V A N T – W O R L D C A R
O F T H E Y E A R
A U D I Q 7 – W O R L D
L U X U R Y C A R
A U D I R 8 C O U P E –
W O R L D P E R F O R M A N C E
C A R
B M W
B M W 3 3 0 E P L U G - I N -
H Y B R I D – W O R L D G R E E N
C A R
B M W 7 S E R I E S – W O R L D
L U X U R Y C A R
B M W X 1 – W O R L D C A R
O F T H E Y E A R
G E N E R A L M O T O R S
C A D I L L A C C T 6 – W O R L D
C A R D E S I G N O F T H E
Y E A R
C H E V R O L E T C A M A R O –
W O R L D P E R F O R M A N C E
C A R
C H E V R O L E T V O L T –
W O R L D G R E E N C A R
H O N D A
H O N D A C I V I C T Y P E R I –
W O R L D P E R F O R M A N C E
C A R
2 0 1 6 F I N A L I S T S B Y
M A N U F A C T U R E R
CES HIGHLIGHTS 2016
T H E R O A D T O W O R L D C A R T A K E S M A N Y P A T H S
B Y P E T E R L Y O N , C H A I R M A N O F T H E W O R L D C A R A W A R D S
At this year’s Consumer Electronics Show (CES) in Las
Vegas, the world’s top technology companies unveiled
their coolest new products from virtual reality to smart
home gadgets, and autonomous driving ideas to the latest
in electric vehicle hardware. Let’s take a brief look at some
of the automotive highlights.
In a sign of the times, CES’s focus has changed over the past
several years to the extent that it is now vying with NAIAS
as a global stage to launch new automotive technology and
even new models - like the Chevy Bolt electric car.
For those buyers who can’t splurge on a Tesla, the 4-door
Bolt hatchback is being hailed as revolutionary in that it
can travel over 200 miles on a charge, costs less than
$30,000 (with tax credits) and will go on sale in 2017.
Meanwhile, Ford kicked off its press conference at CES by
revealing plans to expand aggressively into the $5.4 trillion
transportation services market, having struck a new deal
with Amazon’s Echo and Alexa voice-recognition service.
The company also shared plans for autonomous vehicles
using LiDAR sensors, vision, ultrasonic and radar to sense
a car’s external environment.
Volkswagen’s new CEO, Dr. Herbert Diess, appeared on
the CES stage with a long apology to the American people
for the company’s problematic emission systems issues.
Diess then demonstrated Volkswagen’s vision for cars of
the future.
Las Vegas challenging Detroit for the cream of new concept reveals
Chevrolet Bolt hatchback: “Revolutionary”
Dr. Herbert Diess on stage at the Consumer Electronics Show
Precariously perched under a huge metal structure, Audi’s
virtual dashboard using AMOLED screens and haptic
feedback was impressive.
Mercedes Benz unveiled a concept car called the Intelligent
Aerodynamic Automobile (IAA). In a vehicle boasting
features that reminded onlookers of the protagonist’s
car in Luc Besson’s “Taxi,” this show car transforms into
aerodynamic mode extending its tail by 15 inches, and
expands its wheel rims outwards when it reaches 50mph.
Faraday Future captured the stand out award at CES
this year for its outrageously styled FFZERO1, a 1,000
horsepower electric concept car that supposedly will
leap from zero to 60 mph in under three seconds. But the
company also raised eyebrows for showing a “hypercar”
that has no working prototype. Indeed, the car was
criticized by some local media as a “hypecar” and not a
“hypercar.” Faraday’s dubious funding was also revealed
to come from Chinese billionaire Jia Yueting with news
that the company has plans to break ground on a $1 billion
factory north of Las Vegas in the coming weeks.
And last but not least, who could resist the world’s first
Jetson’s-like one-manned drone “ehang 184” from Chinese
company Ehang? It has four arms and 8 propellers, features
a top speed of 62mph, and pre-programmable automated
flight from point A to B. The ultimate in autonomous
driving, oops flying.
T H E R O A D T O W O R L D C A R T A K E S M A N Y P A T H S
Volkswagen’s e-Golf Touch is a prototype electric vehicle
featuring a 9.2 inch touch infotainment system that takes
input via voice and gestures. Looking further into the
future, the Volkswagen BUDD-e is a long-range all-electric
microbus developed from the original VW Bus.
It does away with door handles and can be opened using
voice command or hand gestures. In addition to a unique
rear-mounted “drop-box,” which works like a 24-hour
mail box allowing packages to be deposited anywhere,
on-board apps feed connectivity to the driver’s smart
home in a process that can unlock home doors for guests
from an owner’s car, check the contents of a fridge or put
appliances in “away mode” when you drive away.
Toyota showed off a variety of concept cars including its
continued push towards hydrogen-powered vehicles with
the FCV Plus. This fuel cell concept is designed to run on
hydrogen, but also capable of using hydrogen from an
external tank to generate electricity for a home or office.
The company’s research boss showed rare brevity in
reference to autonomous vehicles by stating that much of
the science to get fully-autonomous cars on the road has
yet to be developed.
Fiat Chrysler was all about in-car connectivity, unveiling the
latest version of their Uconnect system that supports both
Apple CarPlay and Android Auto. A new Dodge Charger
with custom law enforcement displays and controls was
also featured.
ehang 184 drone: Who could resist?
Faraday Future captured the stand out award for its FFZERO1
AUTONOMOUS CARS: SO NEAR AND YET SO FAR
T H E R O A D T O W O R L D C A R T A K E S M A N Y P A T H S
B Y G E R R Y M A L L O Y , W O R L D C A R A W A R D S D I R E C T O R A N D P R E S I D E N T
Autonomous cars are coming. On that point virtually
everyone in the industry agrees.
But beyond that point there is very little agreement,
particularly in terms of when they will arrive and just what
form they will take when they do.
If many mass media reports are to be believed, they’ll be
here by 2020 if not before. Some have proclaimed they’re
here already.
They can be forgiven for such pronouncements for, in many
cases, they are driven by the hyperbole of automakers, or
in some cases ‘wannabe’ automakers, themselves.
Several manufacturers have publicly set a 2020 target for
the technology, raising collective expectations. And the
use of terms such as “Autopilot” for the latest iteration of
Tesla’s Advanced Driver Assistance System (ADAS), for
example, confuses the issue further.
What is not being said, at least not very loudly, is that there
are multiple levels of autonomy, at least in the current
lexicon, and what is being touted for 2020 or before is a
long way from the fully driverless, go-anywhere in-any-
weather vehicle that the term evokes in many minds.
In a presentation at CES 2016 in Las Vegas, Gill Pratt, CEO
of the recently-established, billion-dollar funded, Toyota
Research Institute, summed the situation up concisely:
“These systems (at their current stage of development)
can only handle certain speed ranges, certain weather
conditions, certain street complexity, or certain traffic.”
He added that, “Most of what has been collectively
accomplished has been relatively easy because most
driving is easy. Where we need autonomy to help us is
when the driving is difficult.”
To expand on that point, the U.S. National Highway Traffic
Safety Administration (NHTSA) has developed a hierarchy
Dr Gill Pratt: Toyota Research Institute CEO
Some of the challenges to getting there are technical –
things like a lack of international protocols and standards
that allow vehicles to communicate with each other. And
mapping technology sufficient to locate the vehicles
precisely without relying on visual cues, particularly in bad
weather. Others are regulatory, or even ethical.
One of the problems already encountered with autonomous
test vehicles is that they may be too cautious. By sticking
rigorously to speed limits and traffic laws, they’re out
of step with other traffic and may become targets for
collisions with other vehicles.
Those closest to the challenges are, perhaps, the most
cautious in predicting when they’ll all be overcome.
Axel Gern, head of the autonomous vehicle department
at Mercedes-Benz Research and Development North
America, is optimistic about the near-term potential for
autonomous operation in prescribed highway driving
conditions. But when asked about full autonomy in dense
city environments, he opined that 10 years would be “a
very aggressive timeline!”
of vehicle automation, where ‘Level 0’ is no autonomy at all
and ‘Level 4’ – the highest level – is no driver input at all.
On a larger scale, the International Organization of Motor
Vehicle Manufacturers (OICA) has established a similar
ladder of automation levels ranked from 0 to 5.
In either case, vehicles at the highest level will need
destination or navigation input but won’t require that a
driver be prepared to take control at any time during the
drive.
That initial input might even be provided remotely, so the
vehicle could operate without anyone on-board. They’ll
also be capable of operating on any road in any weather
conditions, at least to the same extent that a human driver
could.
We’re not there yet. Not even close, beyond some very
narrowly defined locales and circumstances.
Where we are, with today’s most sophisticated ADAS, is
well along the path to semi-autonomous driving – near
autonomous in many highway driving scenarios. But that
next step is a big one.
T H E R O A D T O W O R L D C A R T A K E S M A N Y P A T H S
AUTONOMOUS DRIVING :TRENDS AND INSIGHTS
T H E R O A D T O W O R L D C A R T A K E S M A N Y P A T H S
B Y B E R N D H I T Z E M A N N , C H I E F O P E R A T I N G O F F I C E R A T P R I M E R E S E A R C H U K
The exposure of autonomous driving substantially increased
over the last five years through special events, concept and
serial production cars. The steep learning curve over the last
three years also changed journalists‘ perceptions.
Legislation (on federal & national level)
Safety
Industry standards for Car-to-Car and Car-to-X communications
Ethics (e.g. system decision in crash situation)
Integrity of technology
Consumer acceptance
Infrastructure investments
Data protection
Extra costs
New players (like Apple, Google)
New business models & scenarios (e.g. car sharing)
Safety is the key to consumeracceptance of autonomous driving.
0 1 2 3
very challengingmixed
“From your point of view, how challenging are the following aspects to enable autonomous driving?”
2015Expert Panel
challengingLegislation is the BIGGEST challenge
to enable autonomous driving
?
The once most hated advanced driver assistance feature
“Autonomous Driving“ has turned into one of the most
admired features in 2015. In just three years, what a turn-
around!
Brake Assist Systems
Pre-Crash Systems
Intelligent Lights
Pedestrian Detection
Blind Spot Detection
Adaptive Cruise Control
Automated Crash Reporting
Traffic Sign Recognition
Attention Assist
Nightvision Systems
Lane Keeping Systems
Park Assist
Autonomous Driving
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
not important at all very importantmixed
“How important and desirable are the following ‘Advanced Driver Assistance’ features from your point of view?”
2014Expert Panel
2013Expert Panel
2015Expert Panel
Lesser degree of autonomy
“Systems became much better in recent years”
Strongly safety-related
?
EMISSIONS WAKE-UP CALL – CRISIS OR
OPPORTUNITY?
T H E R O A D T O W O R L D C A R T A K E S M A N Y P A T H S
B Y S I D D H A R T H V I N A Y A K P A T A N K A R , W O R L D C A R A W A R D S D I R E C T O R
It has been several years now that the automobile industry
has had to keep up with tougher and tighter emission
norms in various markets.
That one player chose to do this by adopting unfair and
deceptive means is unfortunate. But the fallout of the
Volkswagen scandal has stayed relatively focussed on VW
itself and not the industry at large.
But the emissions crisis that the industry faced courtesy
of that scandal actually points to two very glaring facts –
one for the industry and one for the consumer – that had
perhaps gone unacknowledged until 2015.
The first is what more consumers now know – emission
regimes are not uniform the world over – and different
countries have norms that clamp down on different
components of tailpipe emissions.
Most consumers the world over are happy to simply know
that their vehicle meets local requirements – assuming
that it meant the vehicle is good on all kinds of possible
pollutants.
The VW scandal has highlighted how the US’s EPA
(Environmental Protection Agency) is tougher on nitrogen
oxides, while the European emission control has been
skewed towards carbon oxides.
Let us leave the political reasoning out of this disparity for
now – though there is one – and accept that this is also
led by consumer preferences in fuel type etc. This will get
more uniform now as more and more countries start to get
serious about holistic emission control that is not specific
to just one kind of noxious gas or particulate.
The second factor is perhaps one the industry needs to
start addressing quicker. So far we have had two parallel
worlds if you will. One which saw the developed world really
start to go hard on tailpipe emissions and the developing
countries staying far behind.
The rationale was that they needed to work their way –
or catch up as it were. But the Kyoto protocol and more
recently the Climate Conference in Paris have highlighted
the need for that catch up become accelerated.
The fallout of the Volkswagen scandal has stayed relatively
focussed on VW itself
A country like India has also seen a sudden change in
people’s perceptions that is leading government and
judiciary to take action against high levels of pollution.
Now it is very true that automobiles are not the sole
contributor to that pollution, but tighter emissions will now
become one of the steps these nations need to take to help
meet the commitments they made at Paris.
India for instance has already advanced its move to Euro
VI levels of emissions by 2020 instead of 2024 (India
currently has Euro IV norms in the top cities, and Euro III
elsewhere).
This will mean the automobile makers and oil refining
players will need to speed up their readiness – which in
turn means larger investments in the shorter term. India is
not the only such example.
T H E R O A D T O W O R L D C A R T A K E S M A N Y P A T H S
Soon we will find similar requirements coming from the
likes of Indonesia, Vietnam, and perhaps the next such
wave would come from parts of Africa.
The fact that consumers will pressure such a change is no
longer surprising, and nor is it something manufacturers
wouldn’t already have thought of in their future planning.
That they may now need to do it sooner even by law – is
something that they will need to take into account very
quickly.
The ones who do will have huge benefits almost immediately,
and those who do not will lose share almost overnight. Is
that a wake-up call?
Perhaps it is – but having a more uniform production cycle
for all vehicular engines (and not just platforms and model
lines), will eventually begin to benefit industry with its
economies of scale much more, than the hurt it will feel in
the immediate term while it gets there.
Volkswagen 1.6 TDI engine
Volkswagen CEO Matthias Müller at a recent VW press conference
CELEBRATING 10 YEARS WITH THE NEW YORK INTERNATIONAL AUTO SHOW
wcoty.com or Beth Rhind, Executive Manager, [email protected]
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