workshop in osh november 8 2016 violent …...2016/11/08  · workshop in osh november 8th 2016...

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Workshop in Osh November 8 th 2016 Violent extremism and radicalization Pull and Push factors analysis: the community level

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Page 1: Workshop in Osh November 8 2016 Violent …...2016/11/08  · Workshop in Osh November 8th 2016 Violent extremism and radicalization Pull and Push factors analysis: the community level

Workshop in Osh

November 8th 2016

Violent extremism and radicalization

Pull and Push factors analysis:

the community level

Page 2: Workshop in Osh November 8 2016 Violent …...2016/11/08  · Workshop in Osh November 8th 2016 Violent extremism and radicalization Pull and Push factors analysis: the community level
Page 3: Workshop in Osh November 8 2016 Violent …...2016/11/08  · Workshop in Osh November 8th 2016 Violent extremism and radicalization Pull and Push factors analysis: the community level

PULL factors PUSH factors

Wish to live in the Caliphate Lack of religious education among population and imams

Belief to get into the Heaven Low reputation of imams

Desire to increase religious education Secular community as spoiled

Rooks who promise excursions in universities of Turkey Difficult childhood

Internet-imams Low and unsatisfied level of life

Photo and video demonstrating better life in Syria Violence among schoolchildren

Desire for self-realization Wish of youth to discover new countries and adventure

Financial attractiveness, employment Unemployment, labor migration

Attention and support of adolescents with problems Non-paid loans (debts)

Opportunity to get married Family problems (unsatisfied women and children with no

attention)

Love to a partner who is in Syria Stereotypes regarding unmarried girls

Family ties and values Social injustice, discrimination

The “Syrian” dream – world of justice Corruption

Demonstrate own heroism, masculinity, and increase

dignity

Law-breakings

Adventures Unfair relationship from LEA

Easy access to Syria Weak work and coordination between local preventive

structures

Kyrgyzstan: community level

Page 4: Workshop in Osh November 8 2016 Violent …...2016/11/08  · Workshop in Osh November 8th 2016 Violent extremism and radicalization Pull and Push factors analysis: the community level

Tajikistan: community level

PULL factors PUSH factors

Ideology (Religious versus Secular) Limited opportunities among ethnic minorities

Low level of religious education Dissatisfaction (family, work, education)

Debt as a Muslim Exclusion

War against unbelievers Domestic violence

Reunion of family Corruption

To get married LEA prosecution

Relatives calling for jihad Poor life

Mechanism of expressing discontent Unemployment

Revenge Vulnerability of migrants

Justice Migrants’ discrimination

Influence and ambitions

Macho

Finance

Recruiters-phycologists

Page 5: Workshop in Osh November 8 2016 Violent …...2016/11/08  · Workshop in Osh November 8th 2016 Violent extremism and radicalization Pull and Push factors analysis: the community level

Kyrgyzstan: civil society and LEA level

PULL factors PUSH factors

Support of Muslim brothers for justice Some manifestation of secularity

Creation of Caliphate Limitations for practice of some religious

ceremonies

Ideology (from social networks) Psychological and moral

Belief to get into the heaven Social problems

Sex-jihad Lack of social protection (discrimination)

Economic interest, opportunity to earn money Limited opportunities for self-realization

Opportunity to create a family Injustice, inequality

Aventura/adventures for youth, it is cool Corruption in state structures

Interest to use weapon Escape from legal punishment

Impunity (opportunity for self-realization in a

negative way)

Page 6: Workshop in Osh November 8 2016 Violent …...2016/11/08  · Workshop in Osh November 8th 2016 Violent extremism and radicalization Pull and Push factors analysis: the community level

Kyrgyzstan system dynamics map (community)

Page 7: Workshop in Osh November 8 2016 Violent …...2016/11/08  · Workshop in Osh November 8th 2016 Violent extremism and radicalization Pull and Push factors analysis: the community level

Kyrgyzstan mapping (civil society, LEA)

Page 8: Workshop in Osh November 8 2016 Violent …...2016/11/08  · Workshop in Osh November 8th 2016 Violent extremism and radicalization Pull and Push factors analysis: the community level

Tajikistan system dynamics map (community)