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  • CPRClimateInitiative WorkingPaper2012/1(November)

    ThePoliticsOfClimateChangeInIndia:NarrativesOfEquityAndCoBenefits

    NavrozK.Dubash

    Indiaoccupies an intriguingdualposition in global climatepolitics.As adeveloping economywith a

    substantialpovertyproblemandlowlevelsofhistoricalandpercapitaemissions,Indiaisbothlikelyto

    faceconsiderableimpactsandhaslimitedcapacitytoaddresstheproblem.Asalargecountryandone

    that has transitioned into a rapidly growing economy, India gets called on to participate actively in

    addressingtheglobalclimatechallenge.Indianclimatepoliticshassubstantiallybeenshapedaroundthe

    first perspective, and increasingly, under international pressure, is being forced to grapplewith the

    second.

    Inmakingthistransition,discussionofclimatechangehasalsoshiftedfrombeinganarrowsubsetof

    Indian foreignanddiplomaticpolicy,one thatwasalmostexclusively thepreserveofnegotiatorsand

    diplomats, to a broader debate on whether and how development trajectories should internalize

    climatemitigation and adaptation goals. In the course ofmaking this shift, a far broader swathe of

    Indias society business, media, state bureaucrats, environmentalists have been drawn into the

    climatedebate.Whilethedebatehasbeenjoined,therearebynomeansclearanswers.Theresultisa

    sprawlingapparatusofdomesticclimatepolicywhichhasyettofullybeputinplace,letaloneassessed.

    ThisreviewofIndianclimatepoliticsfirstexaminesthe initialcrystallizationofIndianclimatepositions

    and itsroots innationalclimatepolitics. Itthen turnstoanexaminationoftheways inwhichclimate

    politicshavebeenrevisitedindomesticdebatessinceabout2007.Centralthemesaretheconsistencyof

    anequityframeforIndianclimatepolitics,andtherecentemergenceoftheideaofcobenefitsbased

    actions that deliver both development and climate gains. While this latter formulation is driving

    domestic policies, it is not, as yet, providing a basis for rethinking Indias international negotiating

    position. A third section discusses new directions for Indian climate policy and their moorings in

    domesticclimatepolitics.

  • CPRClimateInitiative WorkingPaper2012/1(November)

    TRACINGTHEARCOFINDIANCLIMATEPOLITICS:THECENTRALITYOFEQUITYNARRATIVES

    Indianclimatepoliticsis,inlargepart,astoryofremarkablecontinuity.Theframeofclimateequity

    understood predominantly in a NorthSouth context around dividing up a global commons was

    establishedrelativelyearlyasthedominantframe.Thisframehasalsohadtheeffectofshapingclimate

    politics around engagement with the international negotiation context, insulating Indian domestic

    political and policy spaces from engagement with climate concerns. This section examines the

    crystallizationoftheequityandclimatechangenarrative,thereasonsfor itscontinuityovertime,and

    thepartialwaysinwhichthatnarrativehasbeenmodifiedandquestionedinrecentyears.

    EstablishingtheFrame

    From its opening line, the Centre for Science and Environments (CSE) evocatively titled Global

    Warming in anUnequalWorld sets the stage for and foreshadows the first two decades of Indian

    climate politics: The idea that India and Chinamust share the blame for heating up the earth and

    destabilising itsclimate isanexcellentexampleofenvironmentalcolonialism.1Reactingtoareport

    fromtheWashingtonDCbasedWorldResourcesInstitute,AgarwalandNarainmakethreepointsthat

    remaincentraltocontemporary Indianunderstandingoftheclimatedebate:contributiontostocksof

    greenhousegasemissions,ratherthanannualflowsofemissions,constitutetheappropriatemetricfor

    assessing responsibility for causing climate change; aper capita allocationof global sinks is theonly

    morally defensible metric, and that a distinction should appropriately be made between survival

    emissionsofthepoorandluxuryemissionsoftherich.

    VoicessuchasCSEs'wereparticularlyimportantintheearlydaysoftheclimatenegotiations,whenthe

    GovernmentofIndia,andtheMinistryofEnvironmentandForestsinparticular,wererelativelynewto

    the issue.2Anearly scholarly treatmentof Indiasnegotiatingposition suggests thatwhileper capita

    based formulations of equity were part of the governments thinking at the time, the CSE report

    encouragedthegovernmenttoadopttheidea3.Oneimportantreasonthisperspectivewasadopted

    was that itwasbroadly shared amongothers active in thedebate. For example, anothermajor and

    influential thinktank, the (then)TataEnergyResearch Institute (TERI),whileadopting a less strident

    andmore behind the scenes approach, also undertook a critique of theWRI report.4 Among those

    engaged in thedebatewithin India, therewasbroadagreementon thepossiblenegative impactsof

    climatechangeon India,thepossibleconstrainingeffectofaclimatetreaty,andtheneedfor Indiato

    insistthatindustrializedcountriesmustbeheldresponsiblefortheiremissions.2

  • CPRClimateInitiative WorkingPaper2012/1(November)

    The substantive agreement between these two nongovernmental heavyweights contributed to a

    broadernationalconsensus.Thus,attheoutsetofsubstantivenegotiationsin1991,Indiasdelegation

    leader had stated: The problem is caused not by emissions of greenhouse gases as such but by

    excessivelevelsofpercapitaemissionsofthosegasesItfollows,therefore,thatdevelopedcountries

    withhighpercapitaemission levelsare responsible for incrementalglobalwarming theprincipleof

    equityshouldbethetouchstoneforjudginganyproposal.5

    Bytheconclusionoftheprocess,Indiahadplayedasubstantialroleinshapingapositionoftheglobal

    Southalongtheselinesthroughcoalitiondiplomacyandcarefultextualwork.Forexample,buildingon

    the ideasarticulatedabove, Indiamodified the IPCCs formulationof common responsibilitiesacross

    countries to common but differentiated responsibilities reflecting the importance India placed on

    appropriatelyallocating responsibilityacrosscountries forcausing theproblemandhence foraction.6

    Indiaalsoplayedaleadingroleincallingfornewandadditionalfundingandforcreationofaseparate

    institutionalmechanismforclimatefunding.2

    It is important to locate these positions in the contextwithinwhich theywere forged.7 In the early

    1990s,therewasagroundswellofoptimismregardingglobalcooperationonenvironmentalproblems,

    fuelled largely by the success of the Montreal Protocol. At the same time, perspectives on global

    environmental issues were not innocent of two decades of tension over economic cooperation,

    heightened by a decade of structural adjustment in the 1980s. Developing countries made little

    headway in shaping mechanisms for global economic cooperation during this period, and with

    consequent diminished faith in the global system. As a consensus building device, sustainable

    developmentatbestpaperedoverthesecracks;thereremainedconcern indevelopingcountriesthat

    environmentalobjectiveswouldlimitgrowth.Afirewallbuiltarounddifferentiationbetweennorthand

    south,with a corresponding setof financialobligationswas seenas theminimumnecessary toallay

    developingcountryconcerns.

    HalfaToeintheWater:TheCleanDevelopmentMechanism

    Indias engagement with the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) represents a relatively minor

    modificationfromtheestablishedframeofIndianclimatepolitics.ButitalsoshowshowIndianclimate

    politicsisformedincontinualdialoguewithglobaldiscussions.InkeepingwithIndiasavowedposition

    ofkeepingthepressureonindustrializedcountriesformitigationaction,IndiasinitialreactiontoCDM

  • CPRClimateInitiative WorkingPaper2012/1(November)

    (thenActivitiesImplementedJointly)wasoneofscepticism,informedbyaviewthatCDMwouldbea

    wayfordevelopedcountriestogetdevelopingcountriestogettheworkdoneonthecheap.6

    Within a few years, however, the perspective changed, driven by new actors who crafted a new

    understandingofthemechanism.TheConfederationofIndianIndustries,aleadingindustryassociation

    advocatedIndianparticipationintheCDMandinitsinstitutionaldesign.6ThisadvocacybyCIIwasalso

    given heft by academic research on the subject undertaken by influential nongovernmental

    organizations such as TERI.2 An acceptance and even embrace of CDM was made possible by re

    interpretingCDMas consistentwitha contractual frame foraction that Indiahadbeenadvocating

    Indiawouldtakeonmitigationcommitmentsonlywhentheywerefinanciallysupportedtodoso.6

    India rapidlybecamea leader ingeneratingCDMprojects,accounting for53%ofprojectsgenerated

    globally in 2005, although more recently India has been substantially outpaced by China.8 CDM

    therefore created an important constituency for direct engagement with one aspect of the global

    climateregime Indianbusinesswithpotential implications fordomesticpoliticsofclimatechange.

    However,itisimportantnottooverstatethecaseIndianbusinessremainssurprisinglydisengagedand

    fragmentedinitsengagementwithclimatepolitics.

    RevisitingtheFrame

    TheearlyframingofIndianclimatepoliticshasprovedtoberemarkablydurable,leadingtoaconsistent

    negotiatingpositionovertwodecades.Thisinternationalstancealsoinformeddomesticclimatepolitics:

    climatechangeisanissueofnorthsouthglobalcontestation;Indiashouldusetheinternationalprocess

    tohold industrialized countries toaccount;and the issueof climate change is relatively irrelevant to

    domestic politics. Atteridge attributes this consistency in part to personalities the role of a small

    numberofseniorbureaucratsoperating incomparative isolationfromotherforeignpolicy influence

    andtothedominanceoftheequityframe.9However,theseexplanationsbythemselvesareinsufficient

    toexplainconsistency in Indianclimatepolitics. It isalsonecessarytoexplorethecontinuedbasis for

    publicsupportfortheequityframe(oratleasttheabsenceofactivedisagreement).

    AcceptanceoftheequityframehasbeenwidespreadduringthetwodecadesoftheUNFCCCprocess.

    Significantly, this consensus included technical and professional participants in the global climate

    debate,whocouldhavebeenexpectedtobemoreawareofclimate impacts. Indeed, interviewswith

    such experts reported that they found participation in international assessments a waste of time

    becausepoliticalactionisseenasindustrializedcountriesresponsibility.10KandlikarandSagar11note

  • CPRClimateInitiative WorkingPaper2012/1(November)

    thatthedominantframingoftheproblemasacollectiveglobalprobleminnocentofpastresponsibility

    further alienates southern researchers who view the problem through an equity lens. Beyond

    researchers, Indianenvironmentalactivistshavealsohistoricallyapproached theclimateagendawith

    scepticismandasadistractionfromlocalenvironmentalproblems12.

    Thisrelativelymonolithicpoliticalstancehasdevelopedmultipleandcontendingstrandsinrecentyears

    foravarietyofreasons.Mostsignificant,theglobalnegotiatingcontexthaschanged.Inthebuildupto

    theconclusionofthe firstcommitmentperiodoftheKyotoProtocol, largedevelopingcountrieswere

    placedundergrowingpressureatasuccessionofConferenceOfParties(COPs)fromBali(2007)onwards

    to articulate formulations for and the conditionsunderwhich theywould accept climatemitigation

    responsibilities.13,14,15Thevariousformulationsdebatedovertime,suchas sustainabledevelopment

    policiesandmeasures,nationallyappropriatemitigationactionsandgreenhousegasintensitytargets

    all force engagement with what countries are willing to do within their borders. India has had to

    perforceengagethisquestion.

    Inaddition,theglobalgeopoliticalcontexthaschangedconsiderablysincetheearly1990sinwaysthat

    arehighlyrelevanttoIndia.6AlongwithotherrapidlyindustrializingcountriesIndiahasbenefitedfrom

    several years of high economic growth despite a period of global economic slowdown, and ismore

    assertivelyclaimingaseatattheglobalhightable.Intheclimatetalks,thisassertionhasbeenfacilitated

    by formationof the BASICblocof countries (Brazil, India, SouthAfrica andChina). Significantly, in

    termsofper capita indicatorsof economicprogressor greenhouse gas emissions, Indiahasmore in

    commonwith leastdevelopedcountriesthanwiththeemergingrapidly industrializingeconomies,but

    through itsownnegotiationstrategiesandexternalperceptiontendstobe increasingly identifiedwith

    thelatterratherthanwiththeformer,16apointthathasarousedcriticismfromlongstandingalliesin

    theG77suchasBangladesh.17Indiasownforeignpolicycompulsions,suchasnegotiationoftheIndo

    USNucleardeal,have led topressures for climate changepositions tobemore closely alignedwith

    broaderforeignpolicy.18

    INDIANCLIMATEPOLITICSREVISITED

    IntheperiodsurroundingtheCopenhagenCOPin2009,theGovernmenthadissuedseveralstatements

    andpronouncements,includingacommitmenttolimitIndiasemissionspercapitatotheaveragelevels

    of industrialized countries, a Copenhagen emission intensity pledge, and a National Action Plan on

    ClimateChange(whicharediscussedlaterinthisreview).Severalcommentatorshavenotedand

  • CPRClimateInitiative WorkingPaper2012/1(November)

    applaudedthesemeasures,andsoughttointerpretthemaspartofalargershiftinIndiasclimatepolicy

    andpolitics.19,20Thisperceptionofashift isbasedonachange in languageattheglobal levelandthe

    institution of various national climate programmes. While there have undoubtedly been interesting

    developments, toa substantialextent theperceptionofa seachange isoverdrawn.While Indiahas

    indeedkeptpacewithdeclarationsof intentfromotherdevelopingcountriesnotablytheCopenhagen

    pledges and institutedsome farreachingdomesticprogrammes, itwouldbe incorrect toread from

    thisa fundamental shift indomesticpoliticsof climate change in India. Inpart, the change inglobal

    messagingwasdrivenbypersonalitypoliticsintheformofthethenincumbentMinisterofEnvironment

    andForests,JairamRamesh.6Beyondthis,however,thedomesticpoliticalstoryisasubtle,incomplete

    andcontestedshiftinemphasisandframing.Here,Iexplorethisshiftasitismanifestedfirstindebates

    amongvarioussectorsofIndianpoliticalsociety,andthenwithreferencetoparticularkeythemesthat

    haveemergedintheIndianclimatedebate.

    DomesticConstituencies

    Climatechangehashistoricallybeenanonissue in Indianorganizedpoliticsgivenpressingshortterm

    domestic concerns of poverty, provision of basic services and economic management. This seems

    unlikelytochange.AsaformerMinisterofEnvironmentandForestsputsit:Climatechangeasanissue

    isnot a constituencymover.21At the same time, the issueof climate changehas received growing

    attentionwithintheorganizedpoliticalsystem,albeitwithintheexistingframing.Highlyinstructiveare

    twodebatesinParliamentheldbeforeandaftertheCopenhagenCOP.TheLokSabhaorlowerhouse

    debatesignalledanacceptanceoftheseriousnessofclimatechangeasaproblem,somediscussionof

    local impacts,andaclearandrepeatedarticulationofdevelopedcountryresponsibilityforaction.The

    postCopenhagendebateintheRajyaSabha(upperhouse)focusedalmostexclusivelyonclimatechange

    asanissueofforeignpolicy,andspecificallyonwhetherthegovernmenthadadheredsufficientlyfirmly

    to itsred lines,theobjectiveofwhichweretoensurethatIndiadoesnotsubject itselftoobligations

    thatlimitgrowthanddevelopment.Notably,therewasnotasinglespeakerwhoexploredwhetherthe

    Copenhagen Accord sufficiently addressed the challenge of climate change. Indias interests were

    entirely constructed in terms of national space for development and not around an effective global

    climateagreement.However,someattentiontolocalimpactsbyelectedParliamentariansprovidesan

    indication,howevermild,ofatrendtowardengagementwiththeissueinwaysdirectlyrelevanttolocal

    constituents.

  • CPRClimateInitiative WorkingPaper2012/1(November)

    Inanotherbarometerofnationalpolitics,coverageofclimatechange in themediahasbeen steadily

    increasing,althoughexistingstudiesarelimitedtotheEnglishlanguageprintmediaalone.22,23Inastudy

    ofEnglishnewspapers fromSeptember2009toMarch2010, Jogesh foundthatglobalclimatepolitics

    dominatedthecoverage(57%)whiledomesticpoliticsandpolicies(whichalso included intrigueabout

    the composition of Indias negotiating team) accounted for 21% of coverage. Climate science and

    businessstoriesaccountedfor10%and5%respectively.Thesedatasuggestthecontinueddominance

    oftheinternationalnegotiatingprocessinclimatecoverage.However,thereweresomeopinionpieces

    that noted emerging economy emissions can no longer be entirely ignored in a global negotiation

    process, although these were outnumbered by opinion pieces that argued the problem is caused

    entirelybyindustrializedcountries.Acommonperspectivewasthatemergingeconomiesshouldindeed

    domore,but in thecontextof leadership foraction from industrializedcountriesandwhen theyare

    supported to do so through finance and capacity. Taken collectively, the media trends suggest a

    continueddominanceoftheinternationalprocessandaconvictionintheresponsibilityofindustrialized

    countriestoleadaction,alongwithsomeindicationsofconditionalconsiderationtodomesticpolicyand

    action.

    Indian environmentalists would appear to be a natural constituency for robust support of national

    mitigation action. However, Indian environmentalists perspectives have been largely shaped by a

    broaderideaofSouthernenvironmentalismasinextricablytiedtoconcernsofequity.12Thisleadsthem

    toalignwith,indeedforgeasinthecaseofCentreforScienceandEnvironment,thedominantnational

    narrative on industrialized country responsibility and per capita based allocations of carbon space.

    Moreover, environmentalists have been concerned that domestic environmental agendas risk being

    subvertedby the climate agendawithproblematic consequences, such as a climatedrivenpolicy tilt

    towardnuclearpowerorplantation forestry,both issuesofcontention in Indianenvironmentalism .24

    Morerecently,therehasbeenaslowprogressionfromthisperspectivetowardonethatseesvalue in

    integrating climate change into a broader environmentalism in a manner that simultaneously takes

    seriouslyjustice, localenvironmentanddevelopmentagendas,andclimatescience.12,24Achievingthis

    synthesisis,however,stillaworkinprogress.

    Recent work suggests that there is a broadening and deepening of crosssectoral networks around

    climate change, for example networks of municipalities, of national and international NGOs and of

    regional NGOs.25 These networks typically operate by attaching their favoured solution to climate

    change,inanefforttoderivebenefitfromthegrowingrelevanceoftheclimateproblem.However,in

  • CPRClimateInitiative WorkingPaper2012/1(November)

    an illustrationofthecontinuedholdofthecentralframingofclimatechange in India,thesenetworks

    constrain themselves tomaintain consistencywith thedominantnational frame,andoftenbumpup

    against the insistence on a continued divide between national and international policy on climate

    change.Forexample,duringasetofregionalhearingsonclimate impacts,aregionalnetworksteered

    clearofdirectcritiqueoftheGovernmentofIndia,infavourofmaintainingalargerSouthernsolidarity

    fortheinternationalprocess.

    TheIndianbusinesscommunityhasonlyrecentlywokenuptotheissueofclimatechange,butinpartial

    and fragmentedways. In1998,oneobserverdescribed industry as unmobilized anduninvited.2As

    described above, the business community then took a limited interest in the CDM process. More

    recently, a section of organized business, the Confederation of Indian Industry, hasweighed inwith

    public positions in support of Indias Copenhagen voluntary emissionsintensity target, and has also

    engagedwith voluntary emissions disclosure initiatives.6However, another segment of business, the

    Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry, issued a denouncement of the target,

    arguingthatanyactionby Indiaand Indian industryshouldbe linkedtoprovisionoffinance.7Notably

    both these views are extremely partial, and exclude the entire range of small and medium sized

    enterprisesinIndia.

    DomesticDebatesNewDirections

    AsthediscussionofvarioussectorsoftheIndianpolicysuggests,theclimatedebateinIndiahasbecome

    morecomplexandmultiplestranded in recentyears.Here, Idiscuss threeaspectsof thedebate that

    havebeenparticularly salient to shaping Indian climatepolitics: the hidingbehind thepoordebate,

    perspectivesonclimateadaptation,andthe importanceofenergysecurityasadominantnarrativefor

    Indianenergy.

    In 2007,GreenpeaceIndia issued a report examining disparities in emissions levels across economic

    classesinIndia,andaccusingIndianelitesofhidingbehindthepoor.Thereportselfdeclaredlysought

    toprovokeadebateon climate justicewithin Indiabyhighlightinghigh levelsofdisparitiesbetween

    emissionlevelsacrossthetopandbottomclassesandbetweenruralandurbanIndia,apointvalidated

    byother,morerobuststudieswithlargerdatasets.26However,comingasitdidshortlybeforetheBali

    COP and a drum roll of calls for India to take on emission limitation obligations due to growing

    consumption by its middle classes, the report also aroused intense criticism within India as under

    cuttingIndiasnegotiationstance.Counterreportsshowedemissionsatequivalentincomeclasseswere

    muchhigherintheUSthaninIndia,suggestingthatthesalientframeforclimatejusticeremained

  • CPRClimateInitiative WorkingPaper2012/1(November)

    crosscountrycomparisons.Forexample, in2004 theemissionsof the top10%ofurban Indiawere7

    tonsCO2/yrcomparedtoaverageconsumptionlevelsof20tonsCO2/yrintheUS,andjustover10tons

    CO2/yrinGermany.27

    WhilesomewithinIndiahavesuggestedthe internaldisparitiescall intoquestionthe legitimacyofthe

    Indianpercapitaposition,atleasttotheextentitisnottiedtoattentiontorectifyinginternaldisparities28otherssuggestthatthedevelopedworld ishidingbehind Indiasrichasmuchasthe Indianrichare

    hidingbehind thepoor.29Onbalance, thehidingbehind thepoordebatehasbynomeansdislodged

    broadacceptanceofthepercapitanormasawayofaddressingclimatejustice,butithasnuancedthe

    debate by highlighting Indias domestic distributive challenges. By so doing, it has, to some limited

    extent,forcedtheclimatespotlightinward,andnotonlyonexternalNorthSouthdisparities.

    A second important theme is growing awarenessof climate damages and an attendant attention to

    climate adaptation, in rhetoric and reality.A growingnumberof studies are emerging that carefully

    documentandpublicizeclimateimpactsandcosts.Forexample,onestudyconclusivelyfindscultivation

    ofapples intheHimalayanbelt isshiftingtohigheraltitudes,afindingconfirmedbybothquantitative

    data and farmer perceptions.30Another examines and decomposes the cost of sea level rise to one

    coastal state.31 The Government of India has also taken concrete measures to systematize data

    gathering on climate impacts32 as well as encouraging states to undertake systematic efforts to

    mainstream climate concerns into sectoral planning.33 These efforts are backed by large scale and

    comprehensivemappingof resourcesand theeffectsof climate changeon them, forexample in the

    watersector.34

    However, it would be a mistake to assume that growing attention to and concern over climate

    adaptation necessarily translates into growing commitment to climate mitigation. As even Indias

    environmentalists argue, unilateralmitigation by Indiawill do little, given that Indias emissions are

    aboutonetwentiethoftheglobaltotal.12Indianmitigationactiononlyhelpstotheextentthatitcould

    leveragemoreaggressiveglobalactionbyothers,notablydevelopedcountries.18Concernwithclimate

    impactsandadaptation,therefore,reinforcesratherthanunderminesconcernswithequitablesharing

    ofthemitigationburden.

    Perhapsthesinglemost importantsourceofactionsthathavetheeffectofclimatemitigation in India

    aredrivenbyanotherobjectiveentirelyenergysecurity.35Bycontrasttoclimatemitigation,pursuitof

    energysecurityenjoysconsiderablepoliticalsupport, inacontextwhere Indiasdomesticsuppliesare

    increasinglyhardtoaccessandorofuncertainquantity,globalenergydemandsandthereforepricesare

  • CPRClimateInitiative WorkingPaper2012/1(November)

    rising, and geopolitical conditions in the Middle East and elsewhere raise growing concerns about

    predictabilityof supply.Manymeasures taken toaddressclimatechange,notablypromotingenduse

    energyefficiency,andpursuingrenewableenergysupply,areconsistentwithdecreasedgreenhousegas

    emissions. In thewordsof Indias financeMinister, It isbecausewe recognize the linkagesbetween

    climatechangeandenergysecuritythatwehaveadoptedaNationalActionPlanonClimateChange.36

    The explicit linkage between development objectives and climate objectives has been facilitated by

    Indiasstatedapproachtoclimateactionbasedonthepursuitofcobenefitsmeasuresthatpromote

    developmentobjectiveswhilealsoyielding cobenefits foraddressingclimatechangeeffectively 37

    This

    is not simply a matter of terminology or classification; the articulation of cobenefits reduces a

    potentiallyimportantsourceofdissonanceinIndiasenergypolicy.Priortoarticulationofthisapproach,

    therewasaperceivedriskamongpolicycirclesthatpromotingcleanenergyandenergyefficiencycould

    bestrategicallyharmful,as itcouldbe interpretedasevidence that Indiacouldandshouldundertake

    climatemitigationusingitsownresources,andalsothatIndiacoulddevelopwithalowerallotmentof

    carbonspace.35Thepoliticalprioritygiventoactionstoaddressenergysecurity,andthealignmentof

    climatemitigationasapotentialcobenefitofsuchaction,hascreatedtheimpetusforpoliciesthathave

    theeffectofclimatemitigation,althoughtheymaynotbeprimarilylabelledassuch.

    ThreeContendingNarratives

    Takencollectively,theevidenceacrosssectorsoftheIndianpolityandtheemergenceofnewareasof

    discussion suggests that debate on climate change has moved beyond an exclusive focus on the

    international negotiations context, to also ask questions about Indias role and domestic policy. But

    thereislittleagreementonwhatIndiasdomesticpositionshouldbewithregardtoclimatechangeand

    whetherandhowthispositionshouldbeembedded inthe internationalclimateregime.Therangeof

    possiblepoliticalpositionscanusefullybesummarizedalongthreeperspectives.38

    Thefirstperspectivemightbecalledthegrowthfirstrealiststance,whichviewsclimatechangemoreas

    ageopoliticalthreatthananenvironmentalone.Consequently,thefocusisonachievingrapidgrowth,

    andstavingoffanyinternationalcommitmentsthatmightthreatengrowth.Equityinclimateoutcomes

    islimitedtoacrosscountryconcern,arisingfromamixofprincipledandstrategicconcerns.

    Asecondposition,sustainabledevelopmentrealistisfocusedonpursuingacobenefitsbasedapproach

    tosustainabledevelopmentathome.However,apersistentscepticismoftheinternationalnegotiation

    processrootedinthelowprobabilityoftheprocessdeliveringafairoutcomeleadstocallstodelink

  • CPRClimateInitiative WorkingPaper2012/1(November)

    domestic policy from the global process. While commitment to equity, including to domestic

    distributionalquestions,islikelytobegenuine,thisisframedasadomesticdebatealone.Thisposition

    can lead to a somewhat schizophrenic stance contesting growth first realists at home andmaking

    commoncauseoverseas.

    A third stance, sustainable development internationalists, differs from the second only in greater

    emphasisontheneedandurgencyforaninternationallyeffectiveclimateregime,andthereforegreater

    willingness to link Indias cobenefits based actions but only cobenefits based actions that are

    justified fromadevelopmentalperspective toaglobal regime.Whilenaturalallieswith thesecond

    category,basedonasharedcommitmenttosustainabledevelopmentoutcomesandequity,inpractice

    thisalliancehas failed tomaterialize,with realistsofbothstripesdismissing internationalistsasnave

    abouttheglobalpoliticsofclimatechange.

    ThecentreofgravityofIndianclimatepoliticsrestswiththesecondpositionsustainabledevelopment

    realists. Interpretationsofa swing toward the thirdperspective39,19weredrivenquite stronglyby the

    personalitypoliticsofanoutspokenMinisterofEnvironmentandForests,ratherthananunderlyingshift

    in Indian climate politics, and did not outlast thatMinisters tenure. Indian climate politics supports

    domestic measures toward adaptation, and mitigation measures that are consistent with domestic

    developmentobjectives.Itdoesnot,however,sofar,supportactiveutilisationofdomesticpolicyasan

    instrument throughwhich toengageand shape the internationalprocess.This isnot to suggest that

    domesticandinternationalclimatepolicyoccupyseparatespheres,farfromit.Indeed,Indiandomestic

    policyhasundoubtedlybeen influencedbyglobalpressures todemonstrateacommitment toaction.

    TheresulthasbeenaflurryofpolicyactivityintheyearssincetheBaliCOPof2007.

    NEWDIRECTIONSININDIANCLIMATEPOLICY

    Consistentwith the emergenceof a cobenefits frame as thedefining construct for Indianpolicyon

    climate change, theGovernmentof Indiahas embarkedon a seriesofplan andpolicy development

    processesdrivenbythisapproach.Thisprocessdefieseasysummary,becauseitisofrecentvintage,is

    workinprogress,andrelativelylittleanalysisisavailable.Moreover,thefullassemblageofpolicyefforts

    issprawlingand includes internationalpledges,nationalplansandpolicy formulationsandstatelevel

    plans,allofwhichdonotcohereneatly.

    ArguablythehubofthisarrayofpolicymakingeffortsistheNationalActionPlanonClimateChange.37

    TheNAPCCwasbuiltaroundtheestablishmentofeightnationalmissionsaimedatintegrating

  • CPRClimateInitiative WorkingPaper2012/1(November)

    mitigation and adaptation aspectsof climate change intonationalpolicies across a rangeof sectors.

    Someofthesemissionshavespecificfocusandtargets,suchasaSolarMissionaimedatenabling20,000

    MWofsolarpowerby2022.40Others,suchasaNationalWaterMission,havebroaderandmorediffuse

    objectivesincludingwaterconservation,creationofadatabase,andpromotionofbasinlevelintegrated

    watermanagement. 41Othermissions focusonenergyefficiency,agriculture,Himalayanecosystems,

    sustainableagriculture,sustainablehabitat,a green Indiamissionfocusedontheforestsector,anda

    strategicknowledgemission.

    As this list suggests, the scopeof thePlan is sprawling,which itselfhasaroused some criticism.One

    critiquedubs itneither a visionnor aplan.42Anothernotes that there isno commitment to equity,

    although this position informs Indias international stance.43 Moreover, other than the cobenefits

    approach,thereisnocoherentstrategy,eitherconceptualorintermsofoverarchingtargetsetting,that

    ties together the missions. Some of these lacunae are made up in individual missions, but the

    performanceacrossmissionsalsovariesconsiderably.Moretightlydefinedmissions,suchasthoseon

    energy efficiency and solar, have come up with their plans first and begun implementation. Other

    missions, that involve large areas of development policy such aswater and agriculture, have taken

    longertobeapprovedandimplemented.

    Nonetheless, individual missions, notably the solar and energy efficiency mission, are likely to

    substantiallyshapetheIndianpolicyandenergylandscape.Usinganinnovativereverseauctionmethod

    allowingcompaniestobidfortheminimumsubsidytheywouldaccepttoprovidesolarpower,theprice

    ofsolarpowerhasdroppedbyoverhalfoverthecourseofthethreeyearprogram.44Whileitisunclear

    whether this isasustainable trend, there is littledoubt that themissionhas reshaped incentives for

    renewableenergydevelopmentinIndia.Similarly,theenergyefficiencymissionhasintroducedtargets

    forenergyefficiency improvementsacrossawide rangeof industries,accompaniedbya scheme for

    tradingenergyefficiencycertificatesasawayofbringingdownthecostofthoseimprovements.45Both

    missionshavehad their shareof critics.The solarmissionhasbeen criticized forunderplaying rural

    electrification, and for not adequately considering the sustainability of the subsidy.46 The energy

    efficiencymissionhasbeencriticizedfornotadequatelyconsideringsimplerregulatorymeasuresrather

    thantherelativelycomplexmarketbasedenergysavingscertificateapproach.43Nonetheless,fewwould

    doubt thatat least inthesetwocases,themissionshavestimulatedbothactionanddebate inaway

    thatwouldnothaveoccurred intheirabsence. Similarconclusionscannotbedrawn,asofend2012,

    aboutmanyoftheothermissions,whicharelarger,morediffuse,andhaveyettomovetosubstantial

  • CPRClimateInitiative WorkingPaper2012/1(November)

    implementation.Since2010,thecentralgovernmenthasalsorequestedstatestodevelopStateAction

    PlansonClimateChange(SAPCC).TheSAPCCsareintendedtoachievesomecoherenceacrossstatesin

    design and implementationof climatemeasures, andhave alsobeen created in recognitionof state

    jurisdiction over several areas within the NAPCC, particularly those related to adaptation. 33 Initial

    indications from these SAPCCs,which are awork inprogress suggest that therewillbe considerable

    conceptualand implementationchallengestotheseplans.As inothercountries,theplanswillhaveto

    addresstheinterlinkagebetweendevelopmentissuesandtheirclimateaspects,afamiliarchallengeof

    mainstreamingclimatechange intodevelopmentpractice.Pragmatically, issues tied to Indias federal

    structure and to practical questions of provision of financing are likely to pose implementation

    challenges.Forexample,urbanhabitatsareunderthecontrolofstatesandlocalauthorities,butthereis

    alreadyafarreachingcentralgovernmentschemeintendedtosteerfutureurbandevelopment.Climate

    changewillhavetobeintegratedasanobjectivewithinanalreadylitteredinstitutionallandscape.

    Atamacro level, inthebuilduptoCopenhagen,theGovernmentof Indiaalso introducedapledgeto

    reducetheemissionintensityofitseconomyby2025%from2005levelsby2020.47Notably,thispledge

    follows bymore than a year the establishment of theNAPCC. In order to design a process toward

    meetingthatpledge,theGovernmenthasalsoestablishedan ExpertGrouponLowCarbonStrategies

    for Inclusive Growth under the auspices of its Planning Commission. The group was tasked with

    providing recommendations for inclusion in Indias12th fiveyearplan toward lowcarbongrowth that

    meetstheCopenhagenpledge.Notably,thegroupisalsoexplicitlytaskedwithconsideringhowgrowth

    can bemademore inclusive.While the final report is awaited, the group has submitted an interim

    report that summarizesbroad futuredirections forvariousemissions sectorsunder determinedand

    aggressive scenarios.48 While this effort clearly needs to build on the NAPCC and the subsequent

    missions,thereisnoexplicitlinkbetweentheseprocesses.

    While it is preliminary to comment on the effectiveness of all these approaches, it is increasingly

    apparent that translating low carbon development into action in India will pose a considerable

    governance challenge. The trend so far has been a largely topdown policy effort, albeit with a

    progressivedecentralizationofpolicymaking from thenational to thestate.Therearealso,however,

    separatestateinitiatives,suchasthatofthestateofGujaratwhichestablishedaDepartmentofClimate

    Changepriortoformulationofstateactionplans25andwhichhaslaunchedinitiativesonsolarpower17,

    49, 50 In addition, theproliferationofpolicyprocesses suggests theneed for coordination atmultiple

    levelsofgovernment.

  • CPRClimateInitiative WorkingPaper2012/1(November)

    CONCLUSION

    Indianclimatepoliticsisastoryofremarkableconsistency.Indiawasinstrumentalinshapingtheequity

    frame in global climate negotiations, and this, in turn, was developed through a critique of global

    thinking ledbynongovernmentalorganizations.Fornearlytwodecades,thisconstructionhas ledtoa

    reductionofIndianclimatepoliticstoaquestionofgeopoliticalpositioningandstrategyalone;climate

    policyhasbeendivorcedfromdevelopmentpolicy.

    As the perspectives of different sectors of Indian society reported here suggest, this frame has

    considerablecontinuedcurrency.WhilethereareincreasinglyvoicesthatcallforIndiatotakeonamore

    proactive role in global climate negotiations and tomore aggressively pursue domestic actions, the

    equityframecontinuestobethelargerconceptualumbrellatowhichthesepositionshavereference.

    In a substantial shift, however, the articulation of a cobenefits led approach to climate change has

    unlockedapathtodeeperengagementwithclimatemitigationinamannerthatdoesnotchallengethe

    equity frame. Pursuitof energy securityhasproved tobe aparticularlypowerfuldriverofdomestic

    action, leading to policy measures around energy efficiency and renewable energy, with associated

    climate mitigation cobenefits. So far, however, cobenefits remains an articulation that governs

    domesticpolicy,whiletheequityframecontinuestoguideIndiasinternationalnegotiationsstance.

    Theemergenceofa fieldofdomesticclimatepolicy is likely to introducesignificantcoordinationand

    governance challenges to Indian climate policy. India has begun grappling with how to mainstream

    climate adaptation into sectoral policies such as water and agriculture. Approaches that were long

    dormant, such as energy efficiency, have got a stimulus through the potent combination of energy

    security and climate mitigation. However, this embryonic integration also introduces institutional

    complexityandnewpolitics. Institutionally,climatepolicymustnowbe interwoven into thecomplex

    governanceapparatusofIndiasfederalsystem.Politically,climatechangehasbegunbeingharnessedas

    arhetoricaltooltootherlongstandingpolitical issuessuchasconstructionofnuclearpowerandlarge

    dams.Nonetheless, thegrowingcomplexity isunavoidableand, indeed, tobewelcomed,as itsignals

    deeperengagementwiththefullrangeandimplicationofclimatechangeconcernsinIndia.

    Acknowledgements

    Thiswork is supportedbyagrant from theOakFoundation,which supports theworkof theClimate

    InitiativeattheCentreforPolicyResearch.

  • CPRClimateInitiative WorkingPaper2012/1(November)

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