woodside energy ltd. “african petroleum as an independent” 9 th african oil and gas, trade and...
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Woodside Energy Ltd.
“African Petroleum as an Independent”
9th African Oil and Gas, Trade and Finance Conference and Showcase Maputo, Mozambique
Peter GrantGeneral Manager, UK
2 June 2005
NOT AN OFFICIAL UNCTAD RECORD
2
Disclaimer and Important Notice
This presentation contains forward looking statements that are subject to risk factors associated
with oil and gas businesses. It is believed that the expectations reflected in these statements are
reasonable but they may be affected by a variety of variables and changes in underlying
assumptions which could cause actual results or trends to differ materially, including but not
limited to: price fluctuations, actual demand, currency fluctuations, drilling and production
results, reserve estimates, loss of market, industry competition, environmental risks, physical
risks, legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments, economic and financial market conditions in
various countries and regions, political risks, project delay or advancement, approvals and cost
estimates.
All references to dollars, cents or $ in this presentation are to Australian currency, unless
otherwise stated.
3
2004 Result Highlights • Record reported profit of A$1084M
• NPAT (pre-significant items) A$651M, up 23.6%
• Strong underlying business, EBITDAX A$1526M, up 10%
• Net operating cashflow A$1318M, up 10%
• New reserves bookings exceeded annual production
Peer Group 10 Year Total Shareholder Return (to end Dec 04)
0
5
10
15
20
25
%
Source Data: Bloomberg
TSR: % increase in share price over 10 years, assuming dividends fully reinvested in company. No 10 year data for Pioneer & CNOOC
WPL leads top quartile TSR of peer group
4
February 2005 Production Profile
Existing Business
Committed Projects
Production Opportunities
Exploration
NWSV T1-4 NWSV Oil Laminaria Legendre Ohanet
Mutineer Exeter Otway Enfield Standalone Chinguetti
Production Opportunities
Projection as at Nov 2004
Existing Business Committed Projects
Tiof, Neptune, Train 5, Jahal Kuda Tasi, Blacktip, Stybarrow, Midway, Vincent. Production opportunities may include development options, production enhancement, business development
Exploration
Ohanet production for 2005-2010 derived using flat oil price of US$24/bbl.
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
MM
Bo
e
Risked potential from exploration spend
5
Development opportunity pipeline
•On track. Hull Steel Cutting commenced
•Project •Status•First
•Production•Investment
Decision•Design
Work
•Stalled •Stalled•Sunrise •Stalled Subject to legal and fiscal certainty
• In progress •Q2 2005 •Q4 2008•Train 5 Design work progressing
•Angel •Q4 2005 •Q4 2008 Design work has commenced
•Neptune (GoM) •In progress •2H 2005 •Late 2007/08 FEED studies underway
•Vincent •Reviewing •Reviewing •Reviewing Concept study underway
Independent project review done•Stybarrow •In progress •Reviewing •Reviewing
•Tiof (Mauritania) •Reviewing •Reviewing Appraisal and studies underway•Reviewing
•Jahal Kuda Tasi •Reviewing •Reviewing Negotiating PSC terms and access •Reviewing
FEED = Front End Engineering Design
FID = Final Investment Decision
•Q2 2005 •Q4 2007•Blacktip FEED studies complete end 2004
Blue = changes since February 2005
6
Pluto – new gas discovery in mature basin (April 2005)
Flowed 46.5MMscfg per day
Woodside permits
North West Shelf permitsGorgon
West Tryal Rocks
Chrysaor
Dionysus
Iago
Urania
Wilcox
SearipplePerseus
Goodwyn
Keast/Dockrell
Echo/Yodel
Dixon
Corvus
Cherring
Hampton
Saffron
Angel
Sage
North Rankin
GoodwynSouth
TidepoleReindeer/Caribou
Stag
Wandoo
Legendre
MutineerHermesExeter
EaglehawkEgret
CossackWanaea
Io/JantzPluto
Wheatstone
Seismic section showing amplitude brightening over crest
N
7
Woodside in Africa
Exploration interestsDevelopments: Existing and plannedWoodside offices
IndianOcean
Africa
AtlanticOcean
8
2004 Highlights – Africa
• Mauritania– Chinguetti project approved, on track for Q1 2006 start-up
– Tevet oil discovery, Tiof appraisal & Chinguetti development continued
– Equity up from 35% to 53.846% . Government exercised right to 12% of Chinguetti. Woodside now 47.383% in Exclusive Exploitation Perimeter
• Algeria – First full year contribution to condensate-LPG revenues from Ohanet
• Sierra Leone– New country entry to prospective deepwater exploration
• Kenya– Interests focused down from 7 to 3 blocks
9
2005 Update: Mauritania• Chinguetti project construction on track for
start-up during Q1 2006
• Drilling costs higher than anticipated due to subsurface conditions
• Tiof appraisal continuing
• Anticipate active offshore drilling program including up to 6 exploration wells in 2H 2005
• Onshore Taoudeni Basin farm-in (Ta11, Ta12 exploration blocks) recently approved
Tevét
BandaChinguetti
Tiof
Pelican
Block 7
PSC C6
PSCA
PSCB
PSC C2
6
5
4
3
2
7
ProspectGas Discovery
Salt Structure
3D seismic area
Oil Discovery
Nouakchott
Zouerate
Ta11
Ta12
Nouakchott
Zouerate
Ta11
Ta12
10
2005 Update: Kenya• Original 7 blocks now focussed into
three blocks
• Acquired an additional 3565 km 2D seismic, (2003 7885 km)
• Exploration well planned in 2006
K E N Y A
T A N Z A N I AMombasa
Nairobi
Block L-5
Block L-7
Block L-11
0 100
kilometres
Woodside / Dana JV
5km
11
2005 Update: Sierra Leone & Liberia
14°0'0"W 12°0'0"W 10°0'0"W
6°0'0"N
8°0'0"N
0 50 100
Kilometres
LIBERIA
SIERRA LEONE
Freetown
LB-15
LB-16
LB-17SL-7
SL-6
SL-5
SL-4
SL-3SL-2
SL-1
Monrovia
• Adjoins Blocks 16 and 17 won 100% by Repsol
• Repsol and Woodside each hold a 50% in two blocks immediately west in Sierra Leone (SL-6, SL-7)
• Acquired 3600km2 3D seismic over Blocks 6 and 7 offshore Sierra Leone (Repsol operated)
• Successful bid for offshore exploration Block 15 (100%) in Liberia’s first offshore licensing round. Initial four-year work commitment of geological and geophysical studies, 600km 2D and 1600km2 3D seismic
12
2005 Update: Libya
• Commence drilling exploration wells in late-2005 in EPSA-3 blocks
• Successful bids for 4 EPSA-4 offshore blocks in first open bid-round in Libya’s history
• 2D & 3D seismic starts end-2005 (Offshore)
• Acquiring 8300km 2D and 760 km2 3D seismic over 5 EPSA-3 blocks (awarded late-2003)
• Feasibility studies continue at Atshan Field
13
2005 Exploration Plan (as at Feb’05)Totals 2004
Actual
14Exploration Wells
2005Planned
23
Exploration Wells
Australia 2004Actual
6 13
2005Planned
ExpectedExploration Spend
~ A$ 275M(Feb 2005)
West Africa18%
Australia30%
Gulf of Mexico14%
North Africa16%
International22%
Exploration Wells
GoM 2004Actual
2 2
2005Planned
Exploration Wells
Africa 2004Actual
6 8
2005Planned
15
World Proven Oil and Gas Reserves
South andCentral America
North America
Asia Pacific
Africa
Proven oil reserves – 2003 (billion barrels)
Proven gas reserves – 2003 (trillion cubic feet)
Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2004
102
64
47
727
102
106
254
258
476
2533
487
2200
Middle East
Europeand Eurasia
17
Regional Comparisons – Economic Indicators
Source: 2005 CIA World Factbook
GDP GrowthInflation
Unemployment
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Sub-Sahara Africa
North Africa
Malaysia
Brunei
Trinidad and Tobago%
18G
abon
Erit
rea
Nig
erLi
beria
Eth
iopi
a
Tan
zani
aC
ongo
, T
he R
epub
lic o
f
Gui
nea
Bis
seau
Som
alia
Sie
rra
Leon
e
Con
go,
The
Dem
ocra
tic R
epub
lic o
f
Zam
bia
Nig
eria
Ben
inK
enya
Sao
Tom
e M
ozam
biqu
e
Rw
anda
Cot
e d'
Ivoi
reU
gand
aC
had
Sen
egal
Mau
ritan
iaC
amer
oon
Sud
anZ
imba
bwe
Ang
ola
Gui
nea
Gha
na Indo
nesi
a
Ven
ezue
la
Egy
ptM
oroc
co Alg
eria
Liby
aT
unis
iaN
amib
ia Mal
aysi
a
Sou
th A
fric
aT
rinid
ad a
nd T
obag
o
Bru
nei
Equ
ator
ial G
uine
a
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
Country
Boe
pe
r ca
pita
per
da
y
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
US
D
Total Production per Capita per Day
GDP per Capita (USD)
Sub-Saharan Africa
North Africa
Other Areas
Hydrocarbon Production and GDP
Sources: 2005 CIA World Factbook, Wood MacKenzieNB: Data not available for all nations
Sub-Saharan North African
Energy Production and GDP (per capita)
19
Case Example: Nigeria
Sources: World Bank, Wood Mackenzie
Population vs GDP
0
20000
40000
60000
19
65
19
70
19
75
19
80
19
85
19
90
19
95
20
00Year
GD
P (
mil
lio
n U
SD
)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Po
pu
lati
on
(m
illi
on
s)
GDP (current US$)
Population, total
Liquids Production
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
19
65
19
70
19
75
19
80
19
85
19
90
19
95
20
00
Year
bb
ls/d
ay
(00
0s)
20
Hydrocarbon Production and Currency Reserves
Sub-Saharan
Sources: 2005 CIA World Factbook, Wood MacKenzieNB: Data not available for all nations
Total Energy Production and Foreign ReservesS
ao T
ome
Erit
rea
Con
go,
The
Rep
ublic
of
Gui
nea
Rw
anda Equ
ator
ial G
uine
aG
abon
Gui
nea
Bis
seau
Zam
bia
Nam
ibia
Cha
dC
amer
oon
Ang
ola
Sen
egal
Ben
inE
thio
pia
Nig
eria
Sie
rra
Leon
eS
omal
iaC
ongo
, T
he D
emoc
ratic
Rep
ublic
of
Libe
riaN
iger
Uga
nda
Mau
ritan
iaS
udan
Moz
ambi
que
Gha
naK
enya
Cot
e d'
Ivoi
reT
anza
nia
Bru
nei
Mal
aysi
aA
lger
iaIn
done
sia
Ven
ezue
la
Liby
aM
oroc
co
Egy
ptS
outh
Afr
ica
Tun
isiaT
rinid
ad a
nd T
obag
o
Zim
babw
e
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
Country
mm
bb
ls/d
ay
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
US
D
Foreign Reserves Data Unavailable
Total Production (mmboe)
Foreign Exchange and Gold Reserves (million USD)
Sub-Saharan Africa
North Africa
Other Areas
North African
21
Regional Comparisons
19
75
19
80
19
85
19
90
19
95
20
00
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
kw
h
Year
Electricity/Capita
Sub-Saharan Africa
North Africa
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
US
D P
PP
Cur
rent
Year
GDP/Capita
Sub-Saharan Africa
North Africa
Source: World Bank
19
75
19
80
19
85
19
90
19
95
20
00
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
kw
h
Year
Electricity/Capita
Sub-Saharan Africa
North Africa
22
Regional Comparisons
Source: World Bank
19
75
19
80
19
85
19
90
19
95
20
00
0
0.0005
0.001
0.0015
0.002
0.0025
0.003
kto
e
Year
Energy Production/Capita
Sub-Saharan Africa
North Africa
24
Summary
• Sub-Sahara Africa lags North Africa in key economic indicators
• North Africa also lags most other developing nations (with hydrocarbon production)
• Why? What are the key challenges?
• How can oil and gas improve economic prosperity?
25
Issues for Emerging Producing Nations
• Technical competencies
• Appropriate regulatory framework
• Infrastructure capacity
• Strategy for investment of revenues
• Building capacity to foster local content
26
Expectation Management
• For many, oil means:
– Rapid economic development
– Freedom from poverty
• In reality, they are often disappointed. Why?
– Inadequate economic planning
– Exploration equals risk
– Unrealistic expectations
– Revenue transparency
27
Localisation and local content
• What it is about:
– Building local capacity and capability
– Timely investment in people
– Companies embracing the concept
• What it is not about:
– Short-term profits
28
Transparency
•Natural resources and revenues are domain of sovereign governments
•Public oversight of revenue management
•Industry and government share responsibility
•Woodside committed (EITI participant)
“Because we believe it’s the right thing to do and we believe it makes sound business sense”
Woodside CEO Don Voelte
29
To Our Partners In Africa
Thank You
LiberiaSierra LeoneMauritania
LibyaKenyaAlgeria