winning in networks (may 2010 version)

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Network Era: Opportunities and Challenges Professor N. Venkat Venkatraman David J. McGrath Jr. Professor of Management Boston University School of Management [email protected] May 10, 2010

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My thinking on the opportunities and challenges in the network era.

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Page 1: Winning in Networks (May 2010 Version)

Network Era: Opportunities and Challenges

Professor N. Venkat VenkatramanDavid J. McGrath Jr. Professor of Management

Boston University School of [email protected]

May 10, 2010

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Overview

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Imagine life without……

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Towards Network Era:A Brief History

1,900,000,000

4,400,000,000

*March 31, 2010

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A brief history… (continued):YouTube and Hulu generate 2X traffic than the entire Internet in 2000

Source: Cisco

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And there’s Facebook….

400 million active users70% outside USA100 Million access using mobile

devices50% log on in any given day500 billion minutes per month

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And.. there are tweets…

*May 1, 2010

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Tweets seem to be purpose-driven

Link

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From 1995 till today..

• Developments in information technology have been dramatic and significant

• Shifts in management practices have been incremental and slow

• A new business infrastructure is emerging– Global– Digital– Connected

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Towards Global Digital Network Era….

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Information technology is impacting products..

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Products linked on all-IP infrastructure

Towards40-50 billion

devices

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Impacting next generation business processes..

video

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Processes designed for the global All-IP infrastructure

Next-generationprocesses

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….and service delivery…

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Services delivered on the All-IP infrastructure

Next-generation

services

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The new business infrastructure….

Live

WorkPlay

Learn

Connect

Innovate

Consume

Transact

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And.. It is accelerating compared to other technologies in the past….

Source: IBM

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1. How will IT-enabled capabilities impact business sectors?

2. How should we frame strategies for the network era? ?

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Sketching out the possibilities…

IBM, 2005

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Sketching out the possibilities…

IBM, 2005

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Sketching out the possibilities…

IBM, 2005

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Sketching out the possibilities…

IBM, 2005

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Sketching out the possibilities…

IBM, 2005

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Sketching out the possibilities…

IBM, 2005

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Sketching out the possibilities…

IBM, 2005

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Sketching out the possibilities…

IBM, 2005

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The World is ‘Flat’ but Connected…

And…connected

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Let us introduce three technology laws

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And take them together..

“Computer”

“Connectivity”“Cloud”

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A working framework to understand how IT impacts business…

TechnologyDomain

BusinessDomain

ProcessProduct Service

Moore’sLaw

Metcalfe’sLaw

BandwidthLaw

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Overview

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Setting 1: Computer Industry

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Computer industry [circa 1980]

Source: Bill Gates TestimonySource: Bill Gates Testimony

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Computer industry [circa 2002]

Source: Bill Gates Testimony

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Key ideas…

1. Vertical integration giving way to horizontal layers of specialized capabilities

– When and how do new layers emerge? When do layers disappear or morph?

– Can you disrupt an industry by introducing a new layer where you hold an advantage?

2. Winning requires dominating a layer and connecting across layers

– What’s your pattern of connections across the layers?– How do your competitors connect across the layers?

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Setting 2: Automotive

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GM OnStar: The Beginning…

1995

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Automobile– “computers on wheels”

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Lines of Software Code

‘Black Box’

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Automobile– “computers on wheels”

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“Cost of electronicsin cars” (~20--50%)

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GM OnStar & Telematics

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GM OnStar

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Real-time Interactions for Safety and Convenience

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• 2,600 Automatic Crash Responses• 10,400 Emergency Services• 6,000 Good Samaritan Calls• 600 Stolen Vehicle Assistance• 62,700 Remote Door Unlocks• 54,500 Remote Vehicle Diagnostics• 3.4 million OnStar Diagnostics E-mails Sent• 30,200 Roadside Assistance Calls• 961,000 Turn-by-Turn Routes Delivered• 29 million OnStar Hands-Free Calling Minutes

Monthly data as of 2008Source: OnStar

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Ford (and Microsoft): Sync

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In-Car WiFi(2010)

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My Ford Touch @ CES 2010

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Further Transformations with Alternative Energy Sources

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Setting 3: Music Mobile Phones & ?

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Music in the analog era….

Hardware Turntables, cassette players, tape decks, Sony Walkman etc.

Content(music)

Albums offered by record labelsin standard formats (33-45-78 rpm; & cassette tapes)

Channel Sold in Physical outlets (general and specialty) & Mail-order Catalogs

CustomerNetwork

Albums and tapes borrowed withinfriends communities.

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Music in the digital era…..

Hardware Digital audio players

Content(music)

Major lables plus rise of independent labels posting music online

Digital Rights Management Apple Fairplay; Windows Play For Sure

Channel Sold in stores (CDs); Rise of Onlinedownloads

CustomerNetwork

P2P file sharing; personal CD burning and sharing with friends

Software MP3; itunes; Windows Media; Quicktime; Realone etc.

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Precursor to today’s

social network?

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Role of iTunes in the music ecosystem

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Apple’s orchestration of the music ecosystem

ContentAvailability

iPodAdoption

ComplementorNetworks

CustomerNetworks

Direct

Indirect

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Music in the network era……

Hardware Multiple network-enabled devices

Content(music)

CDS offered by major labels; rise of independent labels;

Digital Rights Management

Apple Fairplay; Windows Play For Sure:Open Mobile Alliance (OMA)

Channel Sold in stores (CDs); Online downloads;downloaded to phones; Networked streaming

CustomerNetwork

P2P file sharing; personal CD burning; social and automated recommendations

Software MP3; Apple itunes; Windows Media; Quicktime; Realone etc.

MobileOperators

Mobile network for accessing music

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Network of Linkages in Music

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Hardware

Operating System

Applications

Content

Channel

Mobile Operators

Customer Network

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Apple App Store: Extension of iTunes Store

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From iPod to iPhone: Role of iTunes and App Store

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From iPhone to iPad:Role of iTunes and App Store

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Amazon versus Apple

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What should Jeff Bezos do?

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The Evolving Publishing Network

Device

Channel

Content

Software

‘App’

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Overview

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Winning in Networks

PortfolioOf

Products

PortfolioOf

Businesses

PortfolioOf

Capabilities

PortfolioOf

Relationships

• Firm-centric• Vertical Integration• Ownership• Inside-out

• Network-centric• Virtual Integration• Relationships• Outside-in

Can You make the shift?

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In closing……

“The difficulty lies not so much in developing new ideas as in escaping from old ones.”

John M. Keynes

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THANK YOU VERY MUCH

Conversation continues.. [email protected]

Twitter: NVenkatraman