winning in networks (may 2010 version)
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My thinking on the opportunities and challenges in the network era.TRANSCRIPT
Network Era: Opportunities and Challenges
Professor N. Venkat VenkatramanDavid J. McGrath Jr. Professor of Management
Boston University School of [email protected]
May 10, 2010
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Overview
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Imagine life without……
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Towards Network Era:A Brief History
1,900,000,000
4,400,000,000
*March 31, 2010
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A brief history… (continued):YouTube and Hulu generate 2X traffic than the entire Internet in 2000
Source: Cisco
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And there’s Facebook….
400 million active users70% outside USA100 Million access using mobile
devices50% log on in any given day500 billion minutes per month
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Tweets seem to be purpose-driven
Link
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From 1995 till today..
• Developments in information technology have been dramatic and significant
• Shifts in management practices have been incremental and slow
• A new business infrastructure is emerging– Global– Digital– Connected
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Towards Global Digital Network Era….
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Information technology is impacting products..
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Products linked on all-IP infrastructure
Towards40-50 billion
devices
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Impacting next generation business processes..
video
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Processes designed for the global All-IP infrastructure
Next-generationprocesses
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….and service delivery…
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Services delivered on the All-IP infrastructure
Next-generation
services
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The new business infrastructure….
Live
WorkPlay
Learn
Connect
Innovate
Consume
Transact
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And.. It is accelerating compared to other technologies in the past….
Source: IBM
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1. How will IT-enabled capabilities impact business sectors?
2. How should we frame strategies for the network era? ?
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Sketching out the possibilities…
IBM, 2005
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Sketching out the possibilities…
IBM, 2005
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Sketching out the possibilities…
IBM, 2005
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Sketching out the possibilities…
IBM, 2005
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Sketching out the possibilities…
IBM, 2005
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Sketching out the possibilities…
IBM, 2005
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Sketching out the possibilities…
IBM, 2005
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Sketching out the possibilities…
IBM, 2005
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The World is ‘Flat’ but Connected…
And…connected
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Let us introduce three technology laws
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And take them together..
“Computer”
“Connectivity”“Cloud”
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A working framework to understand how IT impacts business…
TechnologyDomain
BusinessDomain
ProcessProduct Service
Moore’sLaw
Metcalfe’sLaw
BandwidthLaw
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Overview
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Setting 1: Computer Industry
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Computer industry [circa 1980]
Source: Bill Gates TestimonySource: Bill Gates Testimony
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Computer industry [circa 2002]
Source: Bill Gates Testimony
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Key ideas…
1. Vertical integration giving way to horizontal layers of specialized capabilities
– When and how do new layers emerge? When do layers disappear or morph?
– Can you disrupt an industry by introducing a new layer where you hold an advantage?
2. Winning requires dominating a layer and connecting across layers
– What’s your pattern of connections across the layers?– How do your competitors connect across the layers?
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Setting 2: Automotive
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GM OnStar: The Beginning…
1995
Automobile– “computers on wheels”
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Lines of Software Code
‘Black Box’
Automobile– “computers on wheels”
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“Cost of electronicsin cars” (~20--50%)
GM OnStar & Telematics
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GM OnStar
Real-time Interactions for Safety and Convenience
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• 2,600 Automatic Crash Responses• 10,400 Emergency Services• 6,000 Good Samaritan Calls• 600 Stolen Vehicle Assistance• 62,700 Remote Door Unlocks• 54,500 Remote Vehicle Diagnostics• 3.4 million OnStar Diagnostics E-mails Sent• 30,200 Roadside Assistance Calls• 961,000 Turn-by-Turn Routes Delivered• 29 million OnStar Hands-Free Calling Minutes
Monthly data as of 2008Source: OnStar
Ford (and Microsoft): Sync
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In-Car WiFi(2010)
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My Ford Touch @ CES 2010
Further Transformations with Alternative Energy Sources
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Setting 3: Music Mobile Phones & ?
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Music in the analog era….
Hardware Turntables, cassette players, tape decks, Sony Walkman etc.
Content(music)
Albums offered by record labelsin standard formats (33-45-78 rpm; & cassette tapes)
Channel Sold in Physical outlets (general and specialty) & Mail-order Catalogs
CustomerNetwork
Albums and tapes borrowed withinfriends communities.
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Music in the digital era…..
Hardware Digital audio players
Content(music)
Major lables plus rise of independent labels posting music online
Digital Rights Management Apple Fairplay; Windows Play For Sure
Channel Sold in stores (CDs); Rise of Onlinedownloads
CustomerNetwork
P2P file sharing; personal CD burning and sharing with friends
Software MP3; itunes; Windows Media; Quicktime; Realone etc.
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Precursor to today’s
social network?
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Role of iTunes in the music ecosystem
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Apple’s orchestration of the music ecosystem
ContentAvailability
iPodAdoption
ComplementorNetworks
CustomerNetworks
Direct
Indirect
Music in the network era……
Hardware Multiple network-enabled devices
Content(music)
CDS offered by major labels; rise of independent labels;
Digital Rights Management
Apple Fairplay; Windows Play For Sure:Open Mobile Alliance (OMA)
Channel Sold in stores (CDs); Online downloads;downloaded to phones; Networked streaming
CustomerNetwork
P2P file sharing; personal CD burning; social and automated recommendations
Software MP3; Apple itunes; Windows Media; Quicktime; Realone etc.
MobileOperators
Mobile network for accessing music
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Network of Linkages in Music
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Hardware
Operating System
Applications
Content
Channel
Mobile Operators
Customer Network
Apple App Store: Extension of iTunes Store
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From iPod to iPhone: Role of iTunes and App Store
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From iPhone to iPad:Role of iTunes and App Store
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Amazon versus Apple
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What should Jeff Bezos do?
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The Evolving Publishing Network
Device
Channel
Content
Software
‘App’
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Overview
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Winning in Networks
PortfolioOf
Products
PortfolioOf
Businesses
PortfolioOf
Capabilities
PortfolioOf
Relationships
• Firm-centric• Vertical Integration• Ownership• Inside-out
• Network-centric• Virtual Integration• Relationships• Outside-in
Can You make the shift?
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In closing……
“The difficulty lies not so much in developing new ideas as in escaping from old ones.”
John M. Keynes