wind turbine manufacturer’s perspective3 senvion at a glance 4,000 employees . 2-6.3 mw . nominal...
TRANSCRIPT
Wind Turbine Manufacturer’s Perspective
Jörg Philp Vice President Global Sales Offshore Compiled for 5th Asia Offshore Wind Day - January 24th 2019 - Tokyo
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Agenda
Senvion at a glance
Why entering the global offshore floating wind market?
Advantages & Challenges
It’s all about LCOE
3
Senvion at a glance
4,000 employees
2-6.3 MW nominal power
range
35 offices and production
sites
23 languages spoken
8,050 installed wind
turbines
24/7 remote monitoring
90 service stations
82-152 m range of rotor
diameters
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Beatrice Thornton Bank I
Alpha ventus Ormonde Thornton
Bank II/III Nordsee
Ost Norder- gründe
Nordsee One TWB II Taranto Nearshore Floating
Capacity 2x 5M (10 MW)
6x 5M (30 MW)
6x 5M (30 MW)
30x 5M (150 MW)
48x 6.2M126 (295 MW)
48x 6.2M126 (295 MW)
18x 6.2M126 (111MW)
54x 6.2M126 (332 MW)
32x 6.3M152 (203 MW)
10x 3.0M122 (30 MW)
24 x 4.2M140 (100 MW)
Various Projects (~ 100 MW)
Depth & distance
45m 23km
17-23m 30km
26-29m 56km
17-21m 9km
12-28m 26km
22-25m 57km
3-11m 18km
26-34m 47km
25-35m 45km
20m 2km
10m 2km
>50m >25km
Customer SSE C-Power e.on EWE
Vattenfall Vattenfall C-Power RWE wpd
Northland Power / RWE
Trianel EWE Renexia
Country Asia & Asia
Comments
Winner of the Renewable UK prize for Best Large Project
‘12
Before schedule delivery
Successfully delivered in
2016
Single Preferred
Bidder
Nearshore, 1st offshore wind farm in
Med. Sea
Single Preferred
Bidder
Single Preferred Bidder
Senvion features a 13 years track record in 5/6MW offshore projects
'06-07 '08-09 '09-10 '11 '12-13 '14 '16 '17 '19 "20 "21
Fleet size of 265 WTGs and 1.58 GW installed offshore
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Why entering the global offshore floating wind market?
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Market Forcast
The UK Energy Technology Institute suggests that on current trajectories floating wind power could be down to less than €100/MWh by 2025.
Project pipeline is what is needed to justify the big upfront costs.
Globally, forecasts are for some 15GW of floating wind to be anchored offshore by 2030.
Estimates point to 80% Of the global offshore Wind resource being Located in water depths Of 60 meters…
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Population Density
Coast Line
Water depth & wind
• 80% of world population live in an area of 50km to the coast
• Same distance as from earth to the moon
• In line with greater and more stable wind
General
Correlation of
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70% less installation cost & contingencies
15% less weather requirements du to less
weather risk
10% less operating costs: Less site dependent more standardization
Advantages
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Floating project - Gruissan
Project development Design and construction
floating substructure Wind turbine
Conditions at site Four 6.2M152 to be installed
Water depth average 55 m
Timeline Mid 2016: site
awarded to the consortium
2017-2019: Engineering and permits
2020-2021: Construction
From 2021: Operation for 25 years design life
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Design process, a collaborative approach
WTG Loads Foundation Design Tower Design
Loads and Design Iterations
FINAL DESIGN, PROJECT CERTIFICATE
Offshore Wind Turbine (OWT) consisting of Rotor Nacelle Assembly (RNA), tower, substructure and foundation Coupled iterative analysis Several design loops
CERTIFIED WIND & SITE CONDITIONS TYPE CERTIFIED TURBINE (RNA)
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Challenges from the Turbine OEM Perspective
Demo Projects tend to be small hence lack of scale effects
High engineering and project management resources required
WTG Modification
Large Component exchange
Foundation Design Process is crucial for success
Certification Process
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Regional Challenges
Project Start Control architecture and operation concept incl. hardware integration Major change in yaw system: Step to Hydraulic yaw
Loads model Nacelle hardware adaptions Controller, loads Validation & certification
Prototype Prototype validation/ opt. Internal development, external costs investments
Type Cert Vref increase to min. 57,5m/s Loads reduction for higher wind class or lager rotor, raise of extreme wind speed
1 2 3 4
Japan encounter 2-3 Typhoons a year with 8 to 10 near misses passes
Floating will not be limited
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$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
67% reductionbetween 2017and 2025
32% LCOEreductionbetween 2010and 2016 in theU.K.
It’s all about LCOE
Adj
uste
d St
rike
Pric
e ($
201/
MW
h)
Expected Commercial Operation Date
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Floating is anticipated to follow a downward cost
• High wind regime hence high capacity factor • Large turbine Size
• Economic of scale e.g. predictable & reliable political framework
• Enter the second phase of large scale projects • Reduce platform size / CAPEX
• Improvement of installation • Real collaboration between Designer, OEM
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