wind energy overview and variability control€¦ · wind energy overview and variability control...
TRANSCRIPT
August, 2018
WIND ENERGY OVERVIEW
AND VARIABILITY CONTROL
Elbia Gannoum - ABEEólica
Ou
rM
emb
ers
2
BRAZILIAN ELECTRIC MATRIX (GW)
Source: ANEEL | ABEEólica 3
82% Renewable
18% Non
Renewable97,0861%
14,659%
13,429%
5,103%
13,008%
9,866%
3,723%
1,991%
Hidrelétrica Biomassa Eólica PCH Gás natural Petróleo Carvão mineral NuclearHydro BiomassBiomass Wind SHC Natural Gas Oil Coal
4
Evolution of the Installed Capacity
27,1 235,4 245,6 341,4 600,5 931,41.527,8
2.521,7
3.476,8
5.972,3
8.726,1
10.740,0
12.767,0
14.413,215.753,7
16.144,9
17.658,9
0
2.000
4.000
6.000
8.000
10.000
12.000
14.000
16.000
18.000
20.00020
05
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2022
Nova(MW)
Acumulada(MW)
Source: ANEEL | ABEEólica
New Accumulated
5
Wind Capacity by State
Installed Capacity
13.42 GW (534 plants)
Capacity under construction
4.24 GW (176 plants)
Total
17.65 GW (710 plants)
8 5280
137
15
34
1
111
1
1
14
80
11.31
GW
2.07
GW
220,8
1.443,1
2.049,9
3.722,5
156,9
781,3
34,5
2.907,6
28,1
2,5
238,5
1.831,9
95,0
912,9
187,2
809,9
281,4
82,0
2.639,2
52,5
315,8
2.356,0
2.237,1
4.532,4
438,3
863,3
5.546,8
1.884,4
MA
PI
CE
RN
PB
PE
SE
BA
RJ
PR
SC
RS
Source: ANEEL | ABEEólica
Investments (US$ bi)
1,9
5,1
3,8
3,0
5,34,9
4,4
3,625,3%
49,3% 46,0%
68,3% 68,0%72,8%
77,0%
57,6%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Eólica Representatividade
Representativeness in relation to investments in renewables
Source: BNEF | ABEEólica 6
Wind Representativeness
History of Energy Auctions
Source: CCEE 7
BRAZILIAN WIND POTENTIAL
Source: Atlas Eólico Brasileiro - 2013 8
World Capacity Factor 2016
Brazil has the world’s highest Capacity Factor
It is 70% higher than the world average
20%
33%
19% 19%
24%
29%
21%
27%
42%
22%24,7%
China EUA Alemanha Índia Espanha Reino Unido França Canadá Brasil Itália
9Source: MME | ABEEólica
China US Germany India Spain UK France Canada Brazil Italy
World
Average
Source: ONS | MRTS | ABEEólica 10
General Characteristcs of Wind Energy
Brazil has one of the world’s
best wind profiles
✓ Constant wind (no big bursts)
✓ Strong and high speed wind
✓ Unidirectional (Northeast)
Northeast – RN South – RS
Storage
National System
Technological Systems
Managing Variable Sources
We have an abundance of
complementary resources
Hydro (reverse seasonality)
Solar PV
Biomass
Wind (aggregation)
Source: ONS | MRTS | ABEEólica 11
12
Records of Wind Energy Generation
23/07/2018
7,062 MWmed
72% of the northeastern demand
Capacity Factor of 71%
13/07/2018
6,558 MWmed
65% of the northeastern demand
Capacity Factor of 67%
Fonte: ABEEólica | ONS
Benefits of Wind Energy
Renewable, nonpolluting energy. No CO2 emissions during generation. Contributes to
Brazil’s part on the Climate Agreement
One of the best cost-benefit on energy tariffs. In recent auctions, wind energy has been
the lowest priced energy source.
Income generation: approximately 4,000 families receive more than R$ 10 million
monthly for land leases
Coexistence with other activities, such as agriculture and cattle breeding
Training of local manpower
15 Jobs for every installed MW
More than 190 Thousand Jobs until now
• 1
14
Wind Energy Indexes and Benefits (2017)
Source: ABEEólica | CCEE | BNEF 14
22 million housessupplied monthly,
on average
20 million tons of CO2
avoided
Systemic gains: Supplyto Northeastern Market
42 TWh of energy generated
US$ 3,5 billion were investedin the wind sector
Source: Instituto Totum15
15
Annual history of RECs transacted in Brazil
1 REC = 1MWh
EnergyGenerator
ElectricalEnergy
Social and Environmental
Attributes
Certification of Renewable Energy
