PRO footballScore Prediction guidePro FootballScore Prediction guideThis score prediction guide provides all the information you need to make winning score predictions. It shows you how to break through the box score and get in the game alongside your favorite players, coaches and teams.

ABOUT THE AUTHORBill Hall loves numbers! As a professional money manager, he uses them every day on Wall Street to predict which investments have the best potential for future profits. Bill’s passion for the stock market is rivaled only by his love of sports.

Bill believes that sports wagering provides informed sports fans a fun and exciting chance to get In the game alongside their favorite players, coaches and teams. And when pursued with the same rigor as stock market investing, he’s confident that — for those select few that decide to take their passion for sports to the next level — it’s an opportunity to make a lot of money.

That’s why Bill wrote his book Changing the Game: How to Profit from Your Passion for Sports, the Get In and Win Playbooks and the related Score Prediction Guides. He is committed to showing you how to break through the traditional box score in a way that reveals an entirely new way of thinking about your favorite sports. As you read Bill's books and watch the videos on his website, you’ll gain fascinating new insights into how the games are played and what separates the winners from the losers.

Bill has attained and holds the prestigious credentials of Certified Public Accountant (CPA), Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) and Certified Financial Planner (CFP). During his career, Bill has founded his own accounting firm, served as the managing director of a large regional trust company and held the positions of senior executive officer and CEO in a world renowned publically traded investment management company.

Currently, he is a principal of a wealth management firm that provides financial, investment and tax advice to wealthy families located all over the world. He lives in Cape Elizabeth, Maine.

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WILLIAM HALL, III

PRO football Score PredictionPRO football Score Prediction

PRO FOOTBALLSCORE PREDICTION

GUIDE

Copyright © 2015 by William Hall, III and Andrew Batson

All Rights Reserved.

For more information, visit www.BookwormSports.com

It all starts with Plays: The first step in predicting the score of an NFL game is determining the number of offensive plays each team will have. There are 64 offensive plays in the average NFL game: 27 rushing plays and 37 passing plays. Once you have estimated the number of offensive plays for each team, the next step is to project how each team will use its plays. There are only two ways the plays can be used: (1) Rushing Attempts and (2) Passing Attempts.

From Yards Per Attempt to Total Rushing and Passing Yards: Next up is to determine the average yards per attempt each team will gain on its passing and rushing plays. In the NFL, the average yards per rushing attempt is 4.2 yards and the average yards per passing attempt is 6.4 yards. Once you have rushing and passing plays and rushing and passing yards per attempt, you can calculate the number of net rushing and passing yards that each team will have.

Converting Running and Passing to Points Scored: With an estimate of rushing plays, rushing yards, passing plays and passing yards in hand, you can then apply the Get In and Win Score Sheet factors to forecast how many points each team will score based on their rushing and passing offenses.

The Impact of Turnovers: The final step is to estimate the number of points each team will net based on turnovers: Interceptions, Fumbles and Missed Field Goals. Obviously, takeaways are positive adjustments to the number of points each team will score and giveaways are negative adjustments. The Get In and Win Score Sheet Factors provide the required adjustment for each giveaway and takeaway.

NFL SCORE PREDICTION: THE BOOKWORM’S BY-THE-NUMBERS CHECKLIST

Good luck, have fun and may the odds be with you!!!

The Get In and Win Score Sheet provides the Game Plan: The Score Sheet provides a step-by-step method for forecasting the score of an NFL game. All you have to do is plug the relevant statistics into the easy-to-use Score Sheet and — presto — out pops an accurate prediction of the game score. Best of all, it’s free and can be found in the Free Stuff Section at www.BookwormSports.com.

Get out of the bleachers and use your expert football knowledge to GET IN THE GAME: Of course, crunching the numbers is just where the score prediction fun begins. To really get it right, you need to consider how the teams matchup against each other and adjust the calculated numbers up or down based on your own experience, knowledge and judgment.

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To accurately predict the number of points each team will score in an NFL game, all you need to do is make a sensible estimate of the following seven statistics for each of the teams playing in the game:

• Rushing attempts• Net rushing yards• Passing attempts• Net passing yards• Fumbles• Interceptions thrown• Missed field goals

THE BOOKWORM’S BY-THE-NUMBERS APPROACH

NFL SCORE PREDICTION

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OFFENSIVE PLAYS ARE PRECIOUS

IT ALL STARTS WITH PLAYS

VALUING PLAYS AND YARDS

The economic theory behind allocating scarce and valuable investment capital forms the basis for my score prediction method, with offensive plays serving as the underlying currency and points earned being the economic measurement unit.

When managing an investment portfolio, my principle consideration is properly allocating the precious investment capital that has been entrusted to my care. That’s because the amount of capital that any investor has is limited. Thus, it is paramount to deploy the capital carefully to maximize investment returns while minimizing risk.

Plays in a football game can be viewed in the same way as investment capital. Since plays are limited in number (which obviously makes them precious), coaches and quarterbacks should spend them wisely to maximize their value.

RUSHING AND PASSING PLAY VALUESPassing and rushing plays represent a charge or use of capital, with each passing play being assigned a negative value because the play consumes a resource. There are 64 offensive plays in the average NFL game: 37 passing plays (sacks are considered passing plays) and 27 rushing plays.

Since plays are limited in number (which obviously makes them precious), coaches should “spend” them carefully.

In terms of capital allocation, a passing play can have an additional negative impact because the game clock stops on incomplete passes, which allows more time for the opposing team to possess the ball and provides additional opportunities for the opponent to score. Thus, passing plays cost a negative .31 points per play.

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On the other hand, while a rushing play also represents a spent play, the game clock usually continues to run after the rushing play is completed, which has the benefit of reducing the amount of time the opponent can possess the ball. For rushing plays, the value received from keeping the game clock winding down more than compensates for the negative spending associated with using the play to run the football.

That’s why rushing plays have a positive value in my economically based score prediction model. Thus, rushing plays are rewarded and credited a positive value of .07 points per play.

Since the basic purpose of rushing and passing plays is to advance the ball while attempting to score points, a point value can also be determined and assigned to each rushing yard and passing yard.

Rushing yards have a value of .08 points per yard. Because more bad things can happen on a pass play (sack, interception, incompletion) than on a running play, pass plays are more risky, but when a pass is completed the average total yards gained are more than for the average running play. Thus, pass plays are higher-risk but higher-reward and are assigned a value of .10 points per yard.

The following chart summarizes the point values associated with running plays, passing plays and yards gained:

RUSHING PASSING

Play Value .07 points per play -.31 points per play

Yardage Value .08 points per yard .10 points per yard

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STOLEN TREASURE AND DREADFUL DEEDS

TURNOVER VALUESAny experienced NFL fan can tell you that turnovers significantly influence game outcomes. Here’s why: In the average NFL game, each team has approximately 12 scoring possessions, or drives, so each drive is extremely valuable.

Every turnover committed (fumble and interception) or missed field goal uses up one of the 12 scoring opportunities with no points earned. To make matters worse, giveaways provide the opponent with an additional chance to score.

The values for turnovers and missed field goals are reported in the table below.

GIVEAWAYS TAKEAWAYS

Interceptions -1.6 points 3.1 points

Fumbles -2.1 points 1.9 points

Missed Field Goals -4.2 points N/A

TURNOVERS ARE A MAJOR FACTOR

I think about takeaways as stolen treasure because of the high point- value associated with each fumble recovered and pass intercepted.

On the other hand, a turnover (including a missed field goal) is the worst thing that can happen offensively on the football field. That’s because giveaways completely eliminate a scoring drive and often give the other team favorable field position from which to begin their scoring drive. That’s why I refer to fumbles lost, interceptions thrown and missed field goals as dreadful deeds.

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ALLOCATING PLAYS: COACHES SHOULD USE THE MIDAS TOUCH

Now that we know the value of each passing play and each running yard; the point-value corresponding to each passing and running yard; and the points associated with turnovers, the remaining scoring prediction analysis focuses on how each team chooses to use their plays and how successful they are in executing them.

As a professional money manager, I am trained to selectively allocate — or spend — a client’s investment funds because everyone’s investment capital is limited. Analyzing how a portfolio is allocated can tell you a lot about an investor’s approach to the financial markets and their risk tolerance.

I view football plays in the same way as investment capital and studying how a team allocates its limited number of plays (or its football investment capital) can provide an insider’s perspective into their approach to winning football games.

As an example, consider the Seattle Seahawks. While many teams in the NFL have taken to the air in recent years as offensive coordinators have built their game plans around favorable rules restricting defensive contact with receivers, the Seahawks have instead adopted a run-heavy offensive approach which emphasizes ball control and limiting turnovers.

“It’s a commitment,” said Seahawks offensive coordinator Darrell Bevell. “It’s something that we’re totally committed to.” When head coach Pete Carroll was asked about the Seahawks’ commitment to the run, he confidently offered this summary of his overall philosophy: “It’s the most consistent, proven championship formula in the history of this game.”

Seattle’s ground-and-pound system has indeed been successful as the Seahawks were the 2013 NFL Champions and the runner-up in 2014.

PLAYS ARE PRECIOUS

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Carroll’s run-first view was formed early in his NFL coaching career which began in the mid-1980s. It was the success of the Buffalo Bills, the Dallas Cowboys and Denver Broncos in the 1990s that focused Carroll on the importance of a potent running attack.

That’s because from 1990 to 1993, Buffalo went to four consecutive Super Bowls while leading the NFL in rushing in 1991 and 1992 and finishing seventh in running yards gained in 1990 and eighth in 1993. When the Cowboys won the Super Bowl in 1992, they were fifth in rushing. And Dallas was even better when they won it again in 1993 and 1995, ranking second in the league in rushing in both seasons.

The Broncos, the Super Bowl winners in 1997 and 1998, stacked up as the fourth best running team in 1997 and second best in 1998. According to Carroll, “The running game enables a team to control the ball, convert short-yardage and goal-line situations, and wear down the opposition.”

Running back Marshawn Lynch is the bell cow of Seattle’s running game which was tops in the league in 2014. Lynch is a bruising, move-the-chains type who can quickly turn arm tackles into turnstiles. His punishing bowling ball-like running style can wear down defenses and is a perfect fit for Carroll’s grind-it-out formula for winning championships.

Recall, that a team has only about 64 offensive plays to allocate in an NFL game. Looking at a team’s historical run-pass distribution and then considering how they matchup against their opponent’s defense should be your guide when estimating how a team will allocate its limited offensive opportunities.

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GET IN AND WIN SCORE SHEETS

A QUICK REVIEW

To recap, to predict the score of an NFL game, you’ll need to make an accurate estimate of the following seven statistics:

• Rushing attempts• Net rushing yards• Passing attempts• Net passing yards• Fumbles• Interceptions thrown• Missed field goals

THE GET IN AND WIN PRO FOOTBALL SCORE SHEETS

To help organize the score prediction process, I created proprietary Get In and Win Pro Football Score Sheets. The Score Sheets provide a step-by-step method for forecasting the score of an NFL game.

All you have to do is plug the relevant statistics into the easy-to-use Score Sheet and – presto – out pops an accurate score prediction of the game score.

On the next page you’ll find a blank Get In and Win Pro Football Score Sheet.

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GET IN AND WIN SCORE SHEETPRO FOOTBALL

GAME: DATE:

LEARN MORE ON HOW TO PREDICT NFL SCORES USING SCORE SHEETS! Visit www.BookwormSports.com for your copy of Changing the Game, and theGet In and Win Pro Football Playbook.

SCORE PREDICTION

TAKEAWAYS TAKEAWAYS

GIVEAWAYS GIVEAWAYS

PASSING

RUSHING

Interceptions Interceptions

Fumbles

Giveaway Points

-1.6

-2.1

Missed FGs -4.2 Missed FGs

Fumbles

Play Cost Passing Plays

Yards

Passing Points

-0.31

0.10Yardage Value

Interceptions Interceptions

Fumbles

Takeaway Points

3.1

1.9Fumbles

Play Cost Rushing Plays

Yards

Rushing Points

0.07

0.08Yardage Value

PLAY AVGPLAY AVGFACTOR VALUE

VISITOR HOME

PLUS HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE 3

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WALL STREET USES DUPONT ANALYSIS

The Score Sheet allows you to drill into the detail and analyze the individual factors that determine the score of the game with just a few simple inputs.

When analyzing stocks on Wall Street, many professional investors use a technique called DuPont analysis to drill deeper into the elements influencing corporate profitability. There are five factors that determine how much money a company will make: (1) asset turnover; (2) operating margins; (3) amount of debt; (4) interest rate paid on debt; and (5) effective income tax rate.

By breaking corporate financial performance into distinct parts and focusing on the individual pieces, professional money managers can evaluate how effectively a company is using its assets, leading them to investment opportunities that are not apparent to less sophisticated investors.

I created The Get In and Win Pro Football Score Sheet to provide NFL fans with a tool similar to DuPont Analysis. That’s because the Score Sheet separates the key statistics that determine how many points a team will score in a game into distinct pieces so football fans can get a better understanding of the factors influencing team performance.

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IT’S GAME TIME!

GET IN THE GAME

To pull all of this together, let’s use a Score Sheet to predict the scores of some games so you can see how all of this works.

That means it’s time to get your pencil sharpened so we can get down to it!

Recall that the first step in formulating an accurate score prediction is estimating the following key game statistics for each team:

• Rushing attempts• Net rushing yards• Passing attempts• Net passing yards• Fumbles• Interceptions thrown• Missed field goals

How do you come up with an estimate for each of these statistics?

To avoid guessing, I suggest looking at the per-game season averages for each team. You can get these stats for free by sorting through various football websites but I recommend using www.pro-football-reference.com.

You can also find them in the membership section of my website www.bookwormsports.com but you’ll be asked to pay a small weekly administrative fee to cover the cost of organizing them and presenting them to you in an easy-to-use format.

While the Bookworm Stats may cost a couple of bucks a week, I think you’ll find that they are worth it because with the Bookworm Stats in hand you can spend your time making score predictions instead of digging up and refining the underlying information.

Once you have gathered your stats, you’re ready to move on in the score prediction process.

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For fun, let’s use the Score Sheets to see how the NFL’s conference-championship weekend might have turned out had the AFC and NFC teams switched opponents – meaning what would have happened if the Colts had played the Seahawks and the Patriots and had played the Packers.

The table below reports the 2014 per-game season-average key statistics for the Indianapolis Colts and the Seattle Seahawks prior to their NFL conference championship games.

COLTS SEAHAWKSOffense Defense Offense Defense

Rushing Attempts 26.0 25.8 32.5 24.1

Rushing Yards 101.4 111.8 168.4 84.5Rushing Yds per Att 3.9 4.3 5.2 3.5Passing Attempts 43.2 37.2 30.6 34.2

Passing Yards 307.1 222.9 205.8 188.2Passing Yds per Att 7.1 6.0 6.7 5.5

Interceptions 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.9

Fumbles 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.7Missed Field Goals 0.1 0.4

We can use these statistics and put them in a Get In and Win Pro Football Score Sheet to predict the score of an imaginary game played between the Colts and the Seahawks at Seattle’s CenturyLink field.

You’ll see the results on the next page.

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COLTS SEAHAWKSNFL

AverageColts

OffenseSeahawks

DefenseSeahawksOffense

ColtsDefensePredicted Predicted

Rushing Att 26.7 26.0 24.1 23.5 32.5 25.8 31.4Rushing Yds 111.3 101.4 84.5 76.9 168.4 111.8 169.1Yds per Att 4.2 3.9 3.5 3.3 5.2 4.3 5.3

Points 7.8 Points 15.7

Passing Att 37.3 43.2 34.2 39.7 30.6 37.2 30.5Passing Yds 236.8 307.1 188.2 244.1 205.8 222.9 193.7Yds per Att 6.4 7.1 5.5 6.1 6.7 6.0 6.3

Points 12.1 Points 9.9GIVEAWAYSInterceptions 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.4 0.7 0.3Fumbles 0.6 0.9 0.7 1.0 0.4 0.9 0.6Missed FG 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4

Points -4.2 Points -3.3TAKEAWAYSInterceptions 0.3 1.0Fumbles 0.6 1.0

Points 2.1 Points 5.0

TOTAL POINTS 17.8 TOTAL POINTS 27.4

Plus Home Field 3

17.8 30.4

GET IN AND WIN SCORE SHEETPRO FOOTBALL

GAME: Indianapolis Colts vs. Seattle SeahawksDATE: January 18, 2015

LEARN MORE ON HOW TO PREDICT NFL SCORES USING SCORE SHEETS! Visit www.BookwormSports.com for your copy of Changing the Game and the Get In and Win Pro Football Playbook.

VISITOR HOME

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As you can see, this Score Sheet Analysis takes the season-average key statistics for the Colts and the Seahawks and then combines them with season-average stats for the entire NFL using a time-tested statistical technique to calculate the expected result for each of the key Get In and Win game statistics. It then reports the score prediction for the Colts-Seahawks matchup.

This Score Sheet forecasts that the Seahawks will defeat the Colts by the score of 30.4 to 17.8 (after considering the 3-point home team advantage in the NFL). Let’s review the key variables used in this Score Sheet:

Number of Plays: During the 2014 season, the Colts averaged about 69 offensive plays per game and the Seahawks averaged about 63 offensive plays. The NFL average is 64 offensive plays per game.

Using these numbers as inputs, the Score Sheet assumes that Colts will have approximately 63 offensive plays and the Seahawks will have 62 in our imaginary Colts-Seahawks matchup.

Rushing Offense: During the 2014 season, the Colts ran the ball 26 times per game, gaining 101.4 yards while averaging 3.9 yards per running attempt. On the other hand, the Seahawks ran the ball 32.5 time per game, gaining 168.4 yards while averaging 5.2 yards per running attempt.

The average NFL team ran the ball 26.7 times per game, gaining 111.3 yards while averaging 4.2 yards per rushing attempt.

After considering how Indianapolis’s rushing offense matches up against Seattle’s rushing defense and Seattle’s rushing offense matches up against Indianapolis’s rushing defense, the Score Sheet forecasts that in our imaginary Colts-Seahawks matchup the Colts will run the ball about 24 times, gain about 77 yards and average 3.3 yards per rushing attempt while the Seahawks will run the ball about 31 times, gain about 169 yards and average 5.3 yards per rushing attempt.

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Passing Offense: During the 2014 season, the Colts attempted to pass the ball 43.2 times per game, gaining 307.1 yards while averaging 7.1 yards per passing play. On the other hand, the Seahawks attempted to pass the ball 30.6 time per game, gaining 205.8 yards while averaging 6.7 yards per passing play.

The average NFL team attempted to pass the ball 37.3 times per game, gaining 236.8 yards while averaging 6.4 yards per passing play.

After considering how Indianapolis’s passing offense matches up against Seattle’s passing defense and Seattle’s passing offense matches up against Indianapolis’s passing defense, the Score Sheet forecasts that in our imaginary Colts-Seahawks matchup the Colts will attempt to pass the ball about 40 times, gain about 244 yards and average 6.1 yards per passing play while the Seahawks will attempt to pass the ball about 31 times, gain about 194 yards and average 6.3 yards per passing attempt.

Giveaways and Takeaways: During the 2014 season, the Colts, threw, on average, 1 interception, fumbled the ball away .9 times and missed .1 field goals per game. On the other hand, the Seahawks threw, on average, .4 interceptions, fumbled the ball away .4 times and missed .4 field goals per game.

The average NFL team threw, on average, .9 interceptions, fumbled the ball away .6 times and missed .3 field goals per game.

After considering how Indianapolis’s offense matches up against Seattle’s defense and Seattle’s offense matches up against Indianapolis’s defense in terms of turnovers, the Score Sheet forecasts that in our imaginary Colts-Seahawks matchup the Colts will throw 1 interception, fumble the ball away 1 time and not miss a field goal while the Seahawks will likely fumble the ball away 1 time.

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In an NFL game, a team’s passes intercepted and fumbles recovered must be equal to their opponent’s interceptions thrown and fumbles lost. Thus, the takeaway portion of the Score Sheet for each team is completed using their opponent’s giveaway statistics.

With an estimate of rushing plays, rushing yards, passing plays, passing yards, giveaways and takeaways in hand, the Score Sheet applies the Get In and Win factors to these key statistics to predict how many points each team will score.

Drilling down further into the key performance areas, we see:

Rushing Offense: Seahawks with a 7.9 point predicted advantage (15.7 points for Seattle, compared to 7.8 points for Indianapolis).

Passing Offense: Colts with a 2.2 point predicted advantage (12.1 points for Indianapolis, compared to 9.9 points for Seattle).

Giveaway Points: Seahawks with a .9 point predicted advantage (3.3 points given away by Seattle, compared 4.2 points given away by Indianapolis).

Takeaway Points: Seahawks with a 2.9 point predicted advantage (5 points for Seattle, compared to 2.1 points for Indianapolis).

Adding this all up and considering the 3-point home field advantage, the Score Sheet forecasts that the Seahawks would likely defeat the Colts by the score of 30.4-17.8.

What’s more, from the Score Sheet, you know that the primary factors likely to propel Seattle to victory are the significant advantages the Seahawks have in running the football and in points generated from turnovers. The Score Sheet analysis also reveals that while the Colts have an advantage in passing offense, it’s probably not going to be enough to offset the advantage Seattle gains from successfully running the football.

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Now, let’s take a look at the Packers-Patriots game using the Get In and Win Score Sheet.

The table below reports the 2014 per-game season-average key statistics for the Green Bay Packers and the New England Patriots prior to their NFL conference championship games.

PACKERS PATRIOTSOffense Defense Offense Defense

Rushing Attempts 27.4 28.1 26.5 26.3

Rushing Yards 119.8 121.4 102.4 106.2Rushing Yds per Att 4.4 4.3 3.9 4.0Passing Attempts 35.4 36.9 40.5 38.8

Passing Yards 268.6 223.1 266.4 242.9Passing Yds per Att 7.6 6.0 6.6 6.3

Interceptions 0.4 1.1 0.6 1.1

Fumbles 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.5Missed Field Goals 0.4 0.1

As we did in the previous Colts-Seahawks example, we can use these statistics for Green Bay and New England and put them in a Get In and Win Pro Football Score Sheet to predict the score of an imaginary game played between the Packers and the Patriots at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts.

The results appear on the next page.

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PACKERS PATRIOTSNFL

AveragePackersOffense

PatriotsDefense

PatriotsOffense

PackersDefensePredicted Predicted

Rushing Att 26.7 27.4 26.3 26.9 26.5 28.1 27.9Rushing Yds 111.3 119.8 106.2 114.3 102.4 121.4 111.7Yds per Att 4.2 4.4 4.0 4.2 3.9 4.3 4.0

Points 11.0 Points 10.9

Passing Att 37.3 35.4 38.8 36.8 40.5 36.9 40.1Passing Yds 236.8 268.6 242.9 275.5 266.4 223.1 251.0Yds per Att 6.4 7.6 6.3 7.4 6.6 6.0 6.2

Points 16.1 Points 12.7GIVEAWAYSInterceptions 0.9 0.4 1.1 0.4 0.6 1.1 0.7Fumbles 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.2Missed FG 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1

Points -3.0 Points -2.1TAKEAWAYSInterceptions 0.7 0.4Fumbles 0.2 0.4

Points 2.6 2.1

TOTAL POINTS 26.7 TOTAL POINTS 23.5

Plus Home Field 3

26.7 26.5

GET IN AND WIN SCORE SHEETPRO FOOTBALL

GAME: Green Bay Packers vs. New England PatriotsDATE: January 18, 2015

LEARN MORE ON HOW TO PREDICT NFL SCORES USING SCORE SHEETS! Visit www.BookwormSports.com for your copy of Changing the Game and the Get In and Win Pro Football Playbook.

VISITOR HOME

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This Score Sheet forecasts that the Packers-Patriots matchup is a toss up with a predicted final score of 26.7-26.5 points (after considering New England’s 3-point home field advantage).

Let’s drill down into the key performance areas to see what the Score Sheet tells us:

Rushing Offense: Packers with a .1 point predicted advantage (11 points for Green Bay, compared to 10.9 points for New England).

Passing Offense: Packers with a 3.4 point predicted advantage (16.1 points for Green Bay, compared to 12.7 points for New England).

Giveaway Points: Patriots with a .9 point predicted advantage (2.1 points given away by New England, compared 3 points given away by Green Bay).

Takeaway Points: Packers with a .5 point predicted advantage (2.6 points for Green Bay, compared to 2.1 points for New England).

Looking at the Score Sheet, we can see that Green Bay has an advantage in all of the key performance areas except giveaway points which is a result of the Packer’s shaky field goal kicking. Moreover, the Score Sheet confirms that because of their outstanding quarterbacks, Aaron Rodgers for the Packers and Tom Brady for the Patriots, these teams would have been evenly matched had they played a year-end shootout in Foxborough.

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Of course, crunching the numbers is just where the score prediction fun begins. To really get it right, you need to consider how the teams matchup against each other and adjust the calculated numbers up or down based on your own expert insights. That’s because it’s your own experience, knowledge and judgment that will give you the winning edge!

` THE WINNING EDGE: EXPERIENCE, KNOWLEDGE AND JUDGMENT

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An excel Score Sheet (similar to those presented for the Colts-Seahawks and Packers-Patriots games) that performs all the calculations for you is available for free on the Bookworm Sports website (link). It’s in the Free Stuff section (link).

ALL YOU HAVE TO DO IS ENTER YOUR ESTIMATES FOR THE KEY STATS INTO THE SCORE SHEET AND OUT WILL POP THE EXPECTED RESULT OF THE GAME. THE SCORE SHEET DOES ALL THE MATHEMATICAL HEAVY LIFTING FOR YOU!

You can even change your inputs for different game scenarios and watch the score prediction adjust in real time.

IT’S EASY, FUN AND BEST OF ALL, THE RESULT IS STATISTICALLY ACCURATE!

For those interested in the mathematical theory supporting the Score Sheet’s predicted results for each team’s stats, there’s an explanation in the FAQ section of the website (link).

Of course, crunching the numbers is just where the score prediction fun begins. To really get it right, you need to consider how the teams matchup against each other and adjust the calculated numbers up or down based on your own experience, knowledge and judgment. You can purchase the Get In and Win Pro Football Matchup Analysis Charts in the membership section of the website (link).

That’s because, in the end, it’s your own expert insights into the NFL that will give you the winning edge! But the Get In and Win By-The-Numbers Score Sheet Analysis is a great starting point.

And it’s a lot of fun too!!! Try it and I think you’ll agree!!!

Please feel free to email me (bill@BookwormSports.com) with your questions or comments.

GET OUT OF THE BLEACHERS AND IN THE GAME!

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR

WILLIAM HALL, III

Bill Hall loves numbers! As a professional money manager, he uses them every day on Wall Street to predict which investments have the best potential for future profits. Bill’s passion for the stock market is rivaled only by his love of sports.

Bill believes that sports wagering provides informed sports fans a fun and exciting chance to Get In the Game alongside their favorite players, coaches and teams. And when pursued with the same rigor as stock market investing, he’s confident that — for those select few that decide to take their passion for sports to the next level — it’s an opportunity to make a lot of money.

That’s why Bill wrote this guide. He is committed to showing you how to break through the traditional NFL box score in a way that reveals an entirely new way of thinking about the game. As you read it, you’ll gain fascinating new insights into how the game is played and what separates the winners from the losers.

Bill has attained and holds the prestigious credentials of Certified Public Accountant (CPA), Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) and Certified Financial Planner (CFP). During his career, Bill has founded his own accounting firm, served as the managing director of a large regional trust company and held the positions of senior executive officer and CEO in a world renowned publically traded investment management company.

Currently, he is a principal of a wealth management firm that provides financial, investment and tax advice to wealthy families located all over the world. He lives in Cape Elizabeth, Maine.