Will ASEANs Dream Be the Dream of Us (Graph)

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<ul><li><p>8/11/2019 Will ASEANs Dream Be the Dream of Us (Graph)</p><p> 1/26</p><p>Will the Dream of ASEAN be</p><p>Indonesians Dream?</p><p>(or, Will It be Indonesians Nightmare?)</p><p>Akhmad Akbar Susamto</p></li><li><p>8/11/2019 Will ASEANs Dream Be the Dream of Us (Graph)</p><p> 2/26</p><p>-------- The Evolution of ASEAN Community --------</p></li><li><p>8/11/2019 Will ASEANs Dream Be the Dream of Us (Graph)</p><p> 3/26</p><p>-------- The Evolution of ASEAN Community --------</p><p> The roots of the ASEAN groupingcan be traced back at least to theSoutheast Asia Treaty</p><p>Organization (SEATO).</p><p> The SEATO was signed in 1949,with a purpose to fightcommunism in Southeast Asia.</p><p> Members of the SEATO: UnitedStates, United Kingdom, France,Pakistan, Philippines andThailand.</p></li><li><p>8/11/2019 Will ASEANs Dream Be the Dream of Us (Graph)</p><p> 4/26</p><p>-------- The Evolution of ASEAN Community --------</p><p> The motivation for increasingeconomic co-operation in the1990s was the threat of</p><p>competition from China.</p></li><li><p>8/11/2019 Will ASEANs Dream Be the Dream of Us (Graph)</p><p> 5/26</p><p>-------- The Evolution of ASEAN Community --------</p><p>The AEC helps to establish a level</p><p>playing field across the region, creating</p><p>a culture of fair business competition</p><p>for among the ASEAN member states</p><p>and ultimately enhancing the regionseconomic performance.</p></li><li><p>8/11/2019 Will ASEANs Dream Be the Dream of Us (Graph)</p><p> 6/26</p><p>-------- The Evolution of ASEAN Community --------</p><p> Recalling that the motivationbehind ASEAN integration isthe threat from China, the</p><p>future of ASEAN communitywill depend on how individualmember states China is able tobuild partnership with China.</p><p> The need for ASEAN</p><p>cooperation would become lessattractive once .</p><p>However, he said the spirit to establish</p><p>a single economy is slowly diminishing</p><p>as many Asean countries start to revive</p><p>their protectionist instincts. </p></li><li><p>8/11/2019 Will ASEANs Dream Be the Dream of Us (Graph)</p><p> 7/26</p><p>-------- The Evolution of ASEAN Community --------</p><p> Besides, as each memberexperiences good growth, thewill and desire to unite within</p><p>the region will, paradoxically,dwindle.</p><p>However, he said the spirit to establish</p><p>a single economy is slowly diminishing</p><p>as many Asean countries start to revivetheir protectionist instincts.</p></li><li><p>8/11/2019 Will ASEANs Dream Be the Dream of Us (Graph)</p><p> 8/26</p><p>-------- The Evolution of ASEAN Community --------</p><p> The need for ASEANcooperation would become lessattractive once . Besides, as each</p><p>member experiences goodgrowth, the will and desire tounite within the region will,paradoxically, dwindle.</p><p>However, he said the spirit to establisha single economy is slowly diminishing</p><p>as many Asean countries start to revive</p><p>their protectionist instincts.</p></li><li><p>8/11/2019 Will ASEANs Dream Be the Dream of Us (Graph)</p><p> 9/26</p><p>-------- The Evolution of ASEAN Community --------</p><p>t will be a larger ASEAN market forall the Asean countries</p><p>It requires the hard decision of whichcountry should lead in whichindustry.</p><p>Asean is not big enough to haveseveral different car industries. It has</p><p>got to focus on one or two countries. Ifeach Asean country wants to have acar industry, then we will be killingourselves in terms of economiccompetition</p></li><li><p>8/11/2019 Will ASEANs Dream Be the Dream of Us (Graph)</p><p> 10/26</p><p>---- Future ASEAN: Opportunities for Indonesia ----</p><p> The evolution of ASEAN towards aborderless community offers newopportunities for Indonesia.</p><p> It expands the target market ofIndonesian goods and services.</p></li><li><p>8/11/2019 Will ASEANs Dream Be the Dream of Us (Graph)</p><p> 11/26</p><p>---- Future ASEAN: Opportunities for Indonesia ----</p><p> From consumers perspective, thecreation of a single ASEAN market</p><p>is also beneficial as it will create</p><p>incentives for businesses to further</p><p>develop creative and innovative</p><p>products and services as they</p><p>willhave to compete with a numberof new players in the market..</p></li><li><p>8/11/2019 Will ASEANs Dream Be the Dream of Us (Graph)</p><p> 12/26</p><p>------ Future ASEAN: Challenges for Indonesia ------</p><p> The evolution of ASEAN towards aborderless community also bringsgreater challenges for Indonesiathat need to be tackled.</p><p> .exposing local business tounfettered competition which they</p><p>fear they are ill-prepared to deal</p><p>with</p><p> Possible marginalization of unskilled</p><p>workers</p></li><li><p>8/11/2019 Will ASEANs Dream Be the Dream of Us (Graph)</p><p> 13/26</p><p>------ Future ASEAN: Challenges for Indonesia ------</p><p> Risk of over-exuberant inflows of</p><p>capital</p></li><li><p>8/11/2019 Will ASEANs Dream Be the Dream of Us (Graph)</p><p> 14/26</p><p>-----------Is Indonesia Ready for the Future?-----------</p><p>The need for Indonesian government toassist in preparing their local industries,</p><p>particularly small and medium</p><p>enterprises (SMEs), to tap into the</p><p>benefits of the AEC as well as that of asingle production base</p><p>.</p></li><li><p>8/11/2019 Will ASEANs Dream Be the Dream of Us (Graph)</p><p> 15/26</p><p>-------- Some Closing Remarks --------</p><p>The impact of AEC will only becomeapparent after 2015 and depends onfactors that are not always easy toforesee.</p><p>It is true that we need to have a longvision.</p><p>It is also true that AEC should be seenas the end of the beginning rather</p><p>than the ultimate integration itself.</p><p>But, there is no need to rush!</p><p>Lets have a short break, take a very</p><p>deep breath and see how the AECworks.</p></li><li><p>8/11/2019 Will ASEANs Dream Be the Dream of Us (Graph)</p><p> 16/26</p><p>Rank Country Value</p><p>1 United States 0.8242 Japan 0.694</p><p>3 Norway 0.643</p><p>4 Finland 0.621</p><p>5 Sweden 0.619</p><p>6 Germany 0.616</p><p>7 Korea, Republic 0.576</p><p>8 Swi tzerl and 0.539</p><p>9 Denmark 0.51610 Singapore 0.510</p><p>11 Austral ia 0.506</p><p>12 Canada 0.461</p><p>13 Austria 0.443</p><p>14 New Zea land 0.408</p><p>15 Netherl and 0.405</p><p>16 France 0.373</p><p>17 United Kingdom 0.36418 Hong Kong 0.338</p><p>19 Belgium 0.331</p><p>20 Czech Republic 0.288</p><p>21 Spain 0.204</p><p>22 Italy 0.134</p><p>23 Poland 0.095</p><p>24 Portugal -0.008</p><p>25 Chile -0.037 60.42</p><p>61.75</p><p>66.49</p><p>68.27</p><p>71.48</p><p>75.38</p><p>77.34</p><p>77.6478.83</p><p>79.26</p><p>80.74</p><p>80.86</p><p>82.48</p><p>83.31</p><p>85.38</p><p>85.5585.85</p><p>86.90</p><p>88.59</p><p>90.44</p><p>90.60</p><p>90.67</p><p>91.70</p><p>94100 (1) UNITED STATES</p><p>(2) JAPAN</p><p>(3) NORWAY</p><p>(4) FINLAND</p><p>(5) SWEDEN</p><p>(6) GERMANY</p><p>(7) KOREA, REPUBLIC OF</p><p>(8) SWITZERLAND</p><p>(9) DENMARK(10) SINGAPORE</p><p>(11) AUSTRALIA</p><p>(12) CANADA</p><p>(13) AUSTRIA</p><p>(14) NEW ZEALAND</p><p>(15) NETHERLAND</p><p>(16) FRANCE</p><p>(17) UNITED KINGDOM(18) HONG KONG</p><p>(19) BELGIUM</p><p>(20) CZECH REPUBLIC</p><p>(21) SPAIN</p><p>(22) ITALY</p><p>(23) POLAND</p><p>(24) PORTUGAL</p><p>(25) CHILE</p><p>CATCH UP INDEX 2014 (50 COUNTRIES)</p></li><li><p>8/11/2019 Will ASEANs Dream Be the Dream of Us (Graph)</p><p> 17/26</p><p>26 Saudi Arabia -0.041</p><p>27 Russian Federation -0.107</p><p>28 Romania -0.129</p><p>29 Malaysia -0.136</p><p>30 Kazakhstan -0.149</p><p>31 Ukraine -0.209</p><p>32 Thailand -0.210</p><p>33 Turkey -0.212</p><p>34 China -0.223</p><p>35 Argentina -0.31136 Egypt -0.338</p><p>37 Brazil -0.372</p><p>38 Iran -0.412</p><p>39 Mexico -0.436</p><p>40 Algeria -0.472</p><p>41 Viet Nam -0.475</p><p>42 South Africa -0.487</p><p>43 Venezuela -0.510</p><p>44 Indonesia -0.527</p><p>45 Philippines -0.548</p><p>46 Peru -0.568</p><p>47 Colombia -0.610</p><p>48 India -0.656</p><p>49 Nigeria -1.049</p><p>50 Kenya -1.350 0</p><p>13.85</p><p>31.93</p><p>34.07</p><p>36.00</p><p>36.91</p><p>37.89</p><p>38.65</p><p>39.73</p><p>40.24</p><p>40.40</p><p>42.07</p><p>43.17</p><p>45.01</p><p>46.5647.79</p><p>51.86</p><p>52.34</p><p>52.43</p><p>52.47</p><p>55.24</p><p>55.85</p><p>56.19</p><p>57.19</p><p>60.20</p><p>0 20 40 60 80 100</p><p>(26) SAUDI ARABIA</p><p>(27) RUSSIAN FEDERATION</p><p>(28) ROMANIA</p><p>(29) MALAYSIA</p><p>(30) KAZAKHSTAN</p><p>(31) UKRAINE</p><p>(32) THAILAND</p><p>(33) TURKEY</p><p>(34) CHINA</p><p>(35) ARGENTINA(36) EGYPT</p><p>(37) BRAZIL</p><p>(38) IRAN</p><p>(39) MEXICO</p><p>(40) ALGERIA</p><p>(41) VIET NAM</p><p>(42) SOUTH AFRICA</p><p>(43) VENEZUELA</p><p>(44) INDONESIA</p><p>(45) PHILIPPINES</p><p>(46) PERU</p><p>(47) COLOMBIA</p><p>(48) INDIA</p><p>(49) NIGERIA</p><p>(50) KENYA</p><p>Rank Country Value</p></li><li><p>8/11/2019 Will ASEANs Dream Be the Dream of Us (Graph)</p><p> 18/26</p><p>0</p><p>10</p><p>20</p><p>30</p><p>40</p><p>50</p><p>60</p><p>70</p><p>80</p><p>90</p><p>100</p><p>China (42) India (47) Indonesia(41)</p><p>Japan (1) Korea,Republic of</p><p>(14)</p><p>Malaysia(36)</p><p>Philippines(44)</p><p>Singapore(20)</p><p>Thailand(33)</p><p>Viet Nam(37)</p><p>Score</p><p>Country/Rank</p><p>1. Social Welfare</p></li><li><p>8/11/2019 Will ASEANs Dream Be the Dream of Us (Graph)</p><p> 19/26</p><p>2. Macroeconomics</p><p>0</p><p>10</p><p>20</p><p>30</p><p>40</p><p>50</p><p>60</p><p>70</p><p>80</p><p>90</p><p>100</p><p>China (5) India (47) Indonesia(36)</p><p>Japan (4) Korea,Republic of</p><p>(16)</p><p>Malaysia(20)</p><p>Philippines(29)</p><p>Singapore(9)</p><p>Thailand(35)</p><p>Viet Nam(38)</p><p>Score</p><p>Country/Rank</p></li><li><p>8/11/2019 Will ASEANs Dream Be the Dream of Us (Graph)</p><p> 20/26</p><p>3. Infrastructure</p><p>0</p><p>10</p><p>20</p><p>30</p><p>40</p><p>50</p><p>60</p><p>70</p><p>80</p><p>90</p><p>100</p><p>China (34) India (48) Indonesia(47)</p><p>Japan (22) Korea,Republic of</p><p>(11)</p><p>Malaysia(29)</p><p>Philippines(46)</p><p>Singapore(2)</p><p>Thailand(43)</p><p>Viet Nam(42)</p><p>Score</p><p>Country/ Rank</p></li><li><p>8/11/2019 Will ASEANs Dream Be the Dream of Us (Graph)</p><p> 21/26</p><p>4. Technological Capacity</p><p>0</p><p>10</p><p>20</p><p>30</p><p>40</p><p>50</p><p>60</p><p>70</p><p>80</p><p>90</p><p>100</p><p>China (24) India (41) Indonesia(45)</p><p>Japan (3) Korea,Republic of</p><p>(2)</p><p>Malaysia(34)</p><p>Philippines(50)</p><p>Singapore(12)</p><p>Thailand(39)</p><p>Viet Nam(48)</p><p>Score</p><p>Country/ Rank</p></li><li><p>8/11/2019 Will ASEANs Dream Be the Dream of Us (Graph)</p><p> 22/26</p><p>5.Innovation Capacity</p><p>0</p><p>10</p><p>20</p><p>30</p><p>40</p><p>50</p><p>60</p><p>70</p><p>80</p><p>90</p><p>100</p><p>China (33) India (38) Indonesia(46)</p><p>Japan (10) Korea,Republic of</p><p>(2)</p><p>Malaysia(25)</p><p>Philippines(48)</p><p>Singapore(7)</p><p>Thailand(11)</p><p>Viet Nam(49)</p><p>Score</p><p>Country/ Rank</p></li><li><p>8/11/2019 Will ASEANs Dream Be the Dream of Us (Graph)</p><p> 23/26</p><p>6. Institutional Capability</p><p>0</p><p>10</p><p>20</p><p>30</p><p>40</p><p>50</p><p>60</p><p>70</p><p>80</p><p>90</p><p>100</p><p>China (7) India (24) Indonesia(26)</p><p>Japan (31) Korea,Republic of</p><p>(34)</p><p>Malaysia(36)</p><p>Philippines(37)</p><p>Singapore(40)</p><p>Thailand(42)</p><p>Viet Nam(15)</p><p>Score</p><p>Country/ Rank</p></li><li><p>8/11/2019 Will ASEANs Dream Be the Dream of Us (Graph)</p><p> 24/26</p><p>7. Business Sector Performance</p><p>0</p><p>10</p><p>20</p><p>30</p><p>40</p><p>50</p><p>60</p><p>70</p><p>80</p><p>90</p><p>100</p><p>China (8) India (37) Indonesia(29)</p><p>Japan (3) Korea,Republic of</p><p>(7)</p><p>Malaysia(25)</p><p>Philippines(39)</p><p>Singapore(6)</p><p>Thailand(12)</p><p>Viet Nam(33)</p><p>Score</p><p>Country/ Rank</p></li><li><p>8/11/2019 Will ASEANs Dream Be the Dream of Us (Graph)</p><p> 25/26</p><p>8. Independency</p><p>0</p><p>10</p><p>20</p><p>30</p><p>40</p><p>50</p><p>60</p><p>70</p><p>80</p><p>90</p><p>100</p><p>China (19) India (34) Indonesia(18)</p><p>Japan (30) Korea,Republic of</p><p>(15)</p><p>Malaysia(38)</p><p>Philippines(24)</p><p>Singapore(44)</p><p>Thailand(25)</p><p>Viet Nam(49)</p><p>Score</p><p>Country/ Rank</p></li><li><p>8/11/2019 Will ASEANs Dream Be the Dream of Us (Graph)</p><p> 26/26</p><p>9. Sustainability</p><p>0</p><p>10</p><p>20</p><p>30</p><p>40</p><p>50</p><p>60</p><p>70</p><p>80</p><p>90</p><p>100</p><p>China (30) India (39) Indonesia(43)</p><p>Japan (21) Korea,Republic of</p><p>(35)</p><p>Malaysia(44)</p><p>Philippines(16)</p><p>Singapore(19)</p><p>Thailand(37)</p><p>Viet Nam(45)</p><p>Score</p><p>Country/ Rank</p></li></ul>

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