why?€¦ · national phone survey of 1,300 2016 voters. this survey took place monday, november 7...
TRANSCRIPT
Why? Report from Election Night Survey
November 2016
1
Methodology
National phone survey of 1,300 2016 Voters. This survey took place Monday, November 7 – Wednesday November 9, 2016 among 1,300 voters or (on Monday only) those with a high stated intention of voting in 2016. In addition to a 900 voter base sample, oversamples of 200 Rising American Electorate voters (unmarried women, minorities and millennials) and 200 battleground state voters (AZ, FL, OH, IA, NC, NV, NH, PA, VA, WI) were included. Data shown in this deck is among all 2016 voters unless otherwise noted. Margin of error for the full sample is +/-3.27 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level. Of the 1,300 respondents, 65 percent were interviewed via cell phone in order to accurately sample the American electorate.
48 47
3 2
47 49
4
HillaryClinton
DonaldTrump
GaryJohnson
Stein/Other
HillaryClinton
DonaldTrump
Johnson/Stein/Other
+1
Thinking about the presidential election, did you vote for -- Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Libertarian
Gary Johnson, or Green Party Candidate Jill Stein?
Clinton wins popular vote nationally, trails in battleground states-
2
+2
PRESIDENTIAL VOTE
Nationally Battleground States
89
9 2
HillaryClinton
DonaldTrump
Johnson/Stein/Other
42 48
10
HillaryClinton
DonaldTrump
Johnson/Stein/Other
3
Democrats
Thinking about the presidential election, did you vote for -- Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Libertarian Gary
Johnson, or Green Party Candidate Jill Stein?
Both equally consolidated their bases, but short of 2012
7
90
3
HillaryClinton
DonaldTrump
Johnson/Stein/Other
Independents Republicans
+80 +6 +83
PRESIDENTIAL VOTE
85
9 1 3
HillaryClinton
DonaldTrump
GaryJohnson
Jill Stein
4
Sanders Primary Voters
Thinking about the presidential election, did you vote for -- (ROTATE CLINTON/TRUMP) Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican
Donald Trump, (ROTATE JOHNSON/STEIN) Libertarian Gary Johnson, or Green Party Candidate Jill Stein?
Both parties incompletely united
81
10 4 0
DonaldTrump
HillaryClinton
GaryJohnson
Jill Stein
Non-Trump Primary Voters
PRESIDENTIAL VOTE
13% HELD BACK 14% HELD BACK
People say they are hopeful because change will be good
5
Generally speaking, right now are you feeling - hopeful or doubtful - about America's future? (IF HOPEFUL) Tell me why you say you are hopeful?
Why Hopeful Total Battleground RAE Unmarried
Women
Change is good 47 43 48 57
Trump – positive 36 40 33 20
Stuff will get done 9 6 8 7
Pro-Republican government 8 8 7 9
Corruption will be cleaned up 5 7 4 7
No more Obama 5 3 7 3
Hillary won’t be president 3 3 2 2
Should support the president 3 3 3 2
Other/Don’t know/Refused 13 13 17 20
6
Trump & “change” dominate framework for prospect of hopeful future;
Trump and “president” are framework for doubts
Hopeful about country’s future
Doubtful
7
RISING AMERICAN ELECTORATE &
TRUMP COALITION
78
42
21
11 10 8
72
48
23 19
13 10
75
45
22
10 12 8
70
55
23 29
12 11
71
25
32
12 11
2010 2012 2014 2016 2010 2012 2014 2016 2010 2012 2014 2016 2010 2012 2014 2016 2010 2012 2014 2016 2010 2012 2014 2016
Rising American Electorate
Unmarried women
Millennial African
Americans
PERCENT OF ELECTORATE
Hispanics White
The Rising American Electorate – now majority of voters
Actual vote share Projected vote share
The Rising American Electorate (RAE) consists of millennials, minorities and unmarried women. Prior to 2016, RAE was defined as youth, minorities and unmarried women. Vote share for millennials and RAE in 2010, 2012, and 2014 is for 18-29 year olds.
69 66 59
70 67 62
95 93 89
67 71
65 67 60
56
30 33 35 30 31 34
4 6 8
31 27 29 32
37 35
2008 2012 2016 2008 2012 2016 2008 2012 2016 2008 2012 2016 2008 2012 2016
Democratic Presidential Candidate Republican Presidential Candidate
Unmarried Women
African American
+39 +33 +24 +36 +28 +91 +87 +81 +36
PRESIDENTIAL VOTE
+44 +36 +35
Rising American Electorate
Hispanic
+40
Millennials
+23 +21
Thinking about the presidential election, did you vote for -- (ROTATE CLINTON/TRUMP) Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump,
(ROTATE JOHNSON/STEIN) Libertarian Gary Johnson, or Green Party Candidate Jill Stein?
GOP can't get off ground but Democratic performance down
The Rising American Electorate (RAE) consists of millennials, minorities and unmarried women. Prior to 2016, RAE was defined as youth, minorities and unmarried women. The vote share for millennials and RAE in 2008 and 2012 uses data for 18-29 year olds.
66 60 56 54
44 44
32 37 35
44 51
46
2008 2012 2016 2008 2012 2016
+23 +21 +10 +7 +2 +34
Thinking about the presidential election, did you vote for -- (ROTATE CLINTON/TRUMP) Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump,
(ROTATE JOHNSON/STEIN) Libertarian Gary Johnson, or Green Party Candidate Jill Stein?
Millennial vote stable and white millennial vote up
Millennials White Millennials
PRESIDENTIAL VOTE
The vote share for millennials in 2008 and 2012 uses data for 18-29 year olds.
70 67 62
47 46 49
60 52
48 42
38 40
30 31 34
50 53 47
40 48 46
57 61
57
2008 2012 2016 2008 2012 2016 2008 2012 2016 2008 2012 2016
Democratic Presidential Candidate Republican Presidential Candidate
+36 +28 +3 +7 +2 +20
PRESIDENTIAL VOTE
+4 +2 +15
White Unmarried
Women
+40
White Married Women
+23 +17
Thinking about the presidential election, did you vote for -- (ROTATE CLINTON/TRUMP) Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump,
(ROTATE JOHNSON/STEIN) Libertarian Gary Johnson, or Green Party Candidate Jill Stein?
Marriage gap shrinks: married vote Clinton, weaker unmarried from minorities
Married Women
Unmarried Women
88
68 65 62 59 58 56 49
42 41 35
23 8
26 29 34 35 38 35
47 53 53
61
72
AfricanAmerican
Seculars Hispanic Unmarriedwomen
RisingAmericanElectorate
Collegewomen
Millenial Marriedwomen
Whiteunmarried
women
Men White non-collegewomen
White non-college
men
Hillary Clinton Donald Trump
Now let me ask you about the election for Congress. Did you vote for (ROTATE) the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
+80 +36 +24 +20 +11 +12 +26 +49
PRESIDENTIAL VOTE
+21 +2
Thinking about the presidential election, did you vote for -- (ROTATE CLINTON/TRUMP) Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump,
(ROTATE JOHNSON/STEIN) Libertarian Gary Johnson, or Green Party Candidate Jill Stein?
White working class now almost as Republican as minorities are Democratic
+28 +42
4 4 3
11
6
10
21
37
ElectionDay
Last fewdays
Weekbefore
Duringdebates
Monthbefore
InSeptember
During thesummer
Before thesummer
13
When did you finally decide to vote for (INSERT CANDIDATE CHOSEN ): on Election Day, in the last few days before the election, the week before the election, during the debates, a month before the election, sometime in September, during the summer or before that?
WHEN DECIDED
Over 10 percent decided in the final week of the campaign
Convention or earlier
Last Week Fall
36
50 52 43 47 45
53 45
HillaryClinton
DonaldTrump
HillaryClinton
DonaldTrump
HillaryClinton
DonaldTrump
HillaryClinton
DonaldTrump
14
When did you finally decide to vote for (INSERT CANDIDATE CHOSEN IN PRS16VT1/F): on Election Day, in the last few days before the election, the week before the election, during the debates, a month before the election, sometime in September, during the summer or before that?
PRESIDENTIAL VOTE
Close broke for Trump heavily
+14 +2 +8
Convention or Earlier
Last Week During Debates September
+9
40 36
29
43 35
55 50
64
52 61
Mar-16 Jul-16 Nov-16
Clinton Trump
26
15 22
31 23
64 69
58 57
72
Mar-16 Jul-16 Nov-16
White Non-College Women
White Non-College Men
PRESIDENTIAL VOTE
White working class men Trump base, but the women broke late
Post-RNC Pre-DNC
Final Debate
End of Primaries
Post-RNC Pre-DNC
Final Debate
End of Primaries
Thinking about the presidential election, did you vote for -- (ROTATE CLINTON/TRUMP) Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump,
(ROTATE JOHNSON/STEIN) Libertarian Gary Johnson, or Green Party Candidate Jill Stein?
+15 +14 +35 +9 +26 +38 +54 +36 +26 +49
35 31
39
29
35 38
47 43 53
61
Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16
Clinton Trump
+16
27 27 23 21
23
49 52 60 61
72
Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16
White Non-College Women
White Non-College Men
PRESIDENTIAL VOTE
White working class men Trump base, but the women broke late
Thinking about the presidential election, did you vote for -- (ROTATE CLINTON/TRUMP) Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump,
(ROTATE JOHNSON/STEIN) Libertarian Gary Johnson, or Green Party Candidate Jill Stein?
+3 +4 +24 +22 +40 +25 +37
NBC/WSJ polls from August, September, October and pre-Election in November. 4-way vote presented except for in September.
+26 +49
17
WINNING ON ECONOMIC CHANGE
18
Clinton closed debates with mission: “to grow the economy to make it
fairer..stand up for families against powerful interests , against corporations”
9-1 corporations."
I have made the cause of children and
families really my life's work. That's what
my mission will be in the presidency. I will
stand up for families against powerful
interests, against corporations.
I'm reaching out to all
Americans.. We need everybody
to help.. Grow the economy to
make it fairer, to make it work for
everyone
Well I would like to say to everyone watching tonight that I'm reaching out to all Americans, Democrats, Republicans and
independents, because we need everybody to help make our country what it should be, to grow the economy, to make it
fairer, to make it work for everyone. We need your talents, your skills, your commitment, your energy, your ambition. You
know, I've been privileged to see the presidency up close, and I know the awesome responsibility of protecting our country and the
incredible opportunity of working to try to make life better for all of you. I have made the cause of children and families really my
life's work. That's what my mission will be in the presidency. I will stand up for families against powerful interests, against
corporations. I will do everything that I can to make sure that you have good jobs with rising incomes, that your kids have
good educations from preschool through college. I hope you will give me a chance to serve as your president.
19
Clinton closed on unity and opportunity, not economic change
I think we can all agree it’s been a long campaign but tomorrow you get to pick our next president. So here are a few things that I hope you’ll think about. First it’s not just my name and my opponent’s name on the ballot. It’s the kind of country we want for our children and grandchildren. Is America dark and divisive. Or hopeful and inclusive? Our core values are being tested in this election. But everywhere I go people are refusing to be defined by fear and division. Look we all know we have come through some hard economic times and we have seen some pretty big changes. But I believe in our people. I love this country and I’m convinced that our best days are still ahead of us if we reach for them together. I want to be a president for all Americans not just those who support me in this election for everyone because we all have role to play in building a stronger fairer America. The second thing we want you to know is this I will work my heart as president to make life better for you and your family. We won’t always get it right but you can count on this I never quit and I never will. I’ll get up every day determined to make America safe and strong and make our economy work for every not just those at the top. And finally working for children and families has been the cause of my life but it’s never been more important than it is right but it’s never been more important that it is right now. This has to be or mission to give our kids and every American the chance to live up to their god given potential. So tonight I am asking for your vote and tomorrow let’s make history together.
CLINTON CLOSING MESSAGE
20
Obama's closing message: build on the progress with experience
We've seen America turn recession into recovery. Our businesses create 15.5 million new jobs. Putting more people back to work than all the other advanced economies combined. A resurgent auto industry has led the fastest manufacturing growth since another Clinton was President. Incomes are rising. Poverty is falling. Twenty million more Americans have health insurance. Those are just the facts. And with just one more day to go, we now have the chance to elect a 45th President who will build on our progress. Who will finish the job. Who already has the respect of leaders around the world and the people they serve. Who is smart and who is steady and who is tested. Someone who comes to this office as well-prepared as anyone who has ever run -- The next President of the United States, Hillary Clinton. And that's how I know she will work her heart out for you – for everybody still in need of a good job or a raise; for every child who needs a sturdier ladder out of poverty; for every student who needs relief from student debt; every immigrant who wants to contribute to this country they love; for every American who has not yet felt the progress of these past eight years. She will work. And she will deliver. She won’t just tweet.
OBAMA CLOSING MESSAGE
18
13
39
30
34
36
54
60
Much more Somewhat more Much more Somewhat more
21
Please tell me which one you agree with more, even if neither is exactly right.
Voters dissatisfied with economy's progress and fairness
We need a bold and comprehensive agenda to rewrite the rules of our economy so it
works for everyone and not just the wealthy.
We can make our economy work for everyone by building on our progress with
incremental changes.
Jobs still don't pay enough to live on and it is a struggle to save anything.
The economy is starting to get to full employment and a lot of people are finding
jobs that pay more.
11
13
10
12
8
10
31
28
31
23
17
28
42
44
45
47
52
44
63
63
64
69
80
66
Things I care about strongly Somewhat more Haven't paid attention strongly Somewhat more
22
Please tell me which one you agree with more, even if neither is exactly right.
RAE & working class say people in power aren’t listening
People in power haven't paid much attention to what I worry about.
The things I care about get the attention of people in power.
Total
Rising American Electorate
Unmarried Women
Minority
White Non College Women
White Non-College Men
39
33
37
28
24
39
65
55
53
51
44
62
28
32
32
34
40
27
34
43
45
47
53
36
Much more Somewhat more Much more Somewhat more
23
Please tell me which one you agree with more, even if neither is exactly right.
Majority of unmarried women can't deal with a $500 bill
I would be able to handle a sudden unexpected $500 expense.
I would not be able to handle a sudden unexpected $500 expense.
Total
White non-college men
Rising American Electorate
White non-college women
Minority
Unmarried Women
34
11
61
29 39
22 36 43
52
25
80
46
58
36
59 65
27 44
8
32 25 36
21 18
41
66
14
48 39
57
29 33
Spoke for working class strongly Appealed to resentments strongly
+66 +11 +21
Now I am going to read some pairs of short statements some people have made about our nation. After I read each
pair, please tell me which statement comes closer to your own view even if neither statement is exactly right.
Lots of RAE, including unmarried women, thought Trump
expressed legitimate frustration
24
Trump spoke for a lot of working class Americans who were rightly frustrated.
Total
+32
Donald Trump appealed to racial resentments more than working class problems.
Clinton
Voters
+41
Trump
Voters Unmarried
Women
White Non-
College
Men
White Non-
College
Women Minority
+30 +2 +19
White
Unmarried
women
9
17
29
36
11
31
31
24
16
19
22
27
27
28
30
30
31
37
I just could not vote for Hillary Clinton
Will knock out ISIS and keep us safe
Would shake up the elite establishment and bring bigchange
Will block bad trade deals that cost jobs and will putAmerica first
His plans to build a border wall and get tough on illegalimmigration
A successful businessman who knows how to create jobs
His plans to cut taxes and regulations to grow theeconomy
He will block liberals from dominating the Supreme Court
His plans to repeal and replace Obamacare
Trump VoterConsidered Trump
Economy big part of Trump vote, shaking up elites for those who considered
25
(IF TRUMP) Now let me read you a list of reasons to support Donald Trump. Which THREE describe the most important reasons why you voted for Donald Trump? (IF CONSIDERED TRUMP) why you considered voting for Donald Trump?
ARGUMENTS FOR TRUMP
His plans to repeal and replace Obamacare
He will block liberals from dominating the Supreme Court
His plans to cut taxes and regulations to grow the economy
A successful businessman who knows how to create jobs
His plans to build a border wall and get tough on illegal immigration
Would shake up the elite establishment and bring big change
Will block bad trade deals that cost jobs and will put America first
Will knock out ISIS and keep us safe
I just could not vote for Hillary Clinton
18
14
23
18
23
12
10
15
39
41
57
37
41
28
15
28
20
22
12
18
15
26
60
36
45
42
25
36
40
54
80
59
Much more Somewhat more Much more Somewhat more
26
Please tell me which one you agree with more, even if neither is exactly right.
Immigration not central to Trump vote, and trade more mixed
Immigrants today strengthen our country because of their hard work and talents.
Immigrants today are a burden on our country because they take our jobs, housing and health care.
Globalization and international trade creates more problem than benefits for me.
Globalization and international trade creates more benefits than problems for me.
Total
Democrats
Independents
Republicans
Total
Democrats
Independents
Republicans
17
9
17
12
26
9
32
8
19
11
34
8
18
13
24
9
19 16
23
7
Shift to DemShift to RepShift to DemShift to Rep ClintonTrump ClintonTrump Shift to DemShift to RepShift to DemShift to Rep ClintonTrump ClintonTrump ClintonTrump ClintonTrump
27
+8 +5
Total Unmarried
Women
White Non-
College
Women
+5 +15 +17 +24 +8 +26 +3 +16
Economic contrast would have been stronger close
GOP & Trump
Econ Contrast
GOP & Trump
Econ Contrast
GOP & Trump
Econ Contrast
GOP & Trump
Econ Contrast
GOP & Trump
Econ Contrast
Millennials
White
Unmarried
Women
CONGRESSIONAL VOTE SHIFTS Toward Democratic Candidate Toward Republican Candidate
GOP & TRUMP: Republican (REPCAND16) sometimes questions what Donald
Trump says, but they never spoke up about the hateful and racist things he said about
Mexicans as "rapists" or when Trump refused to renounce the support of former KKK
leader David Duke, or when Trump made disparaging remarks about veterans, Gold
Star families and people with disabilities. Republican candidates took far too long to
speak up about Trump's offensive behavior towards women, even when he referred to
them as "bimbos," "dogs,“ "disgusting," and "fat pigs," and said there should be a
"punishment" for women who seek an abortion. They said nothing about that. So, we
cannot afford to put (REPCAND16) in the U.S. Congress.
After hearing about the Republican candidates for Congress and Donald Trump,/ helping the richest, not the middle class, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today,
would you be voting for – DEMCAND16 or REPCAND16?
ECONOMIC CONTRAST: We need an economy for everyone, not just the rich
and well connected. But Republican (REPCAND16)) supports trickle down
economics and more tax cuts for the richest and special breaks for corporations.
And huge amounts of money are pouring in from the big oil companies and Wall
Street to support him. Well, that's not right. We need to rebuild the middle class.
We need to invest in families, education, jobs with rising incomes. Protect Social
Security by asking the richest to pay their fair share. So, we cannot afford to put
(REPCAND16) in the U.S. Congress.
Clinton vote rooted in experience & temperament to be commander in chief &
governing for all backgrounds, but not economic plans
28
(IF CLINTON) Now let me read you a list of reasons to support Hillary Clinton. Which THREE describe the most important reasons why you voted for Hillary Clinton? (IF CONSIDERED CLINTON) considered voting for Hillary Clinton?
12
21
21
9
15
31
33
36
31
11
15
20
30
31
35
39
44
44
Relentlessly battles for change
Would be the first woman president
You just could not vote for Trump
Will continue Obama's progress
Her plans to grow the economy by raising taxes on the rich andinvesting in the middle class
Supports equal pay for women, a woman's right to choose andPlanned Parenthood
Understands foreign affairs and would be a better Commander inChief
Has the right temperament and experience to be president
Would govern for all Americans no matter their race, religion,gender, or background
Clinton voter
Considered Clinton
Has the right temperament and experience to be president
Would govern for all Americans no matter their race, religion, gender, or background
Understands foreign affairs and would be a better Commander in Chief
Supports equal pay for women, a woman's right to choose and Planned Parenthood
Her plans to grow the economy by raising taxes on the rich & investing in the middle class
Will continue Obama's progress
You just could not vote for Trump
Would be the first woman president
Relentlessly battles for change
ARGUMENTS FOR CLINTON
Clinton prosecuted on treatment of minorities & trust with nukes, but not his
tax cuts & tax returns
29
(SKIP IF TRUMP AND DIDN'T CONSIDER CLINTON) Let me read you a list of doubts about Donald Trump. Regardless of your vote, which TWO describe the most important reasons NOT to vote for Donald Trump?
DOUBTS ABOUT TRUMP
4
8
10
26
13
33
15
49
2
7
12
15
19
25
26
47
Because he's a Republican
Defends Vladimir Putin, Russian aggression overseas andinterference in our election
Only cares about himself
Thinks women should be punished for seeking an abortion andwould overturn Roe v. Wade
Wants big tax cuts for the wealthiest and his own family, whilerefusing to release his tax returns
Said disrespectful and sexually aggressive things about women
Is too thin-skinned to have control of nuclear weapons
Said hateful things about minorities, immigrants, Muslims, andpeople with disabilities
Clinton Voter
Considered Clinton
Said hateful things about minorities, immigrants, Muslims, and people with disabilities
Said disrespectful and sexually aggressive things about women
Is too thin-skinned to have control of nuclear weapons
Thinks women should be punished for seeking an abortion and would overturn Roe v. Wade
Only cares about himself
Wants big tax cuts for the wealthiest and his own family, while refusing to release his tax returns
Defends Vladimir Putin, Russian aggression overseas and interference in our election
Because he's a Republican
1
17
12
18
8
20
23
42
15
8
11
12
20
26
33
44
Because she is a Democrat
Just another DC elite insider who won't get anything done
Will raise taxes
Beholden to too many wealthy donors and Wall Street
Will pack the Supreme Court with liberal Justices
Would be four more years of President Obama's policies
Showed bad judgement as Secretary of State and madethe world less safe
Lied about her private email server and mishandledclassified information
Trump VoterConsidered Trump
Emails dominate doubt about HRC, her wealthy donors opened them to Trump
30
(SKIP IF CLINTON IN PRS16VT1/F AND DIDN'T CONSIDER TRUMP IN CHNCDT) Let me read you a list of doubts about Hillary Clinton. Regardless of your vote, which TWO describe the most important reasons NOT to vote for Hillary Clinton?
DOUBTS ABOUT CLINTON
Lied about private email server & mishandled classified information
Showed bad judgement as Secretary of State & made world less safe
Will pack the Supreme Court with liberal Justices
Would be four more years of President Obama's policies
Just another DC elite insider who won't get anything done
Beholden to too many wealthy donors and Wall Street
Will raise taxes
Because she is a Democrat
12
16
22
23
24
26
38
45
47
For change
Never Trump
Economic plan to tax rich
First woman president
Obama progress
Better Commander in Chief
Temperament
Governs for all
Protects women
Unmarried women pick Clinton to protect women, never heard economic plan
31
(IF CLINTON, CONSIDERERED) Which THREE describe the most important reasons why you voted /considered voting for Hillary Clinton?
UNMARRIED WOMEN
Arguments for Clinton Doubts about Trump
1
3
9
11
18
18
32
45
Republican
Defends Russia
Selfish
Pro-life
Nuclear threat
Tax cuts for rich
Disrespects women
Racist, xenophic, ableist
(SKIP IF TRUMP DIDN'T CONSIDER CLINTON) Regardless of your vote, which TWO describe the most important reasons NOT to vote for Donald Trump?
32
GOP trusted on economy and safety, Democrats on uniting country
Uniting the country
Reviving the middle class
Bringing the right kind of change
The economy
Keeping America safe
+18
+7
+2
+6
+10
Now, I am going to read you a list of issues and I want you to tell me whether, overall, you think (ROTATE) the Democrats or the Republicans would do a better job with each issue.
32
29
27
25
17
48
48
43
42
31
25
27
33
33
33
38
42
45
49
49
Much more Somewhat more Much more Somewhat more
33
WHAT NEXT
Let me read you some things the presidential candidates were saying during their campaign. Did you hear any of the presidential
candidates say this during the campaign, yes or no? Did that statement make you more or less likely to support them?
Heard women’s economic agenda, not political reform, education, clean energy
CLINTON ECONOMIC AGENDA
TAKE ON MONEY IN POLITICS: Our democracy should work for everyone, not just the wealthy and well-connected. I will appoint Supreme Court Justices who will protect the right to vote, require outside groups to disclose their political spending so we get dark unaccountable money out of politics, and empower small donors.
INVEST IN CLEAN ENERGY ECONOMY: We can tackle the urgent threat of climate change by becoming the world's clean energy superpower, creating millions of good-paying jobs in the process. I want to invest in renewable energy, install half a billion solar panels by the end of my first term, and generate enough clean energy to power every home by 2020.
WOMEN’S ECONOMIC AGENDA: It's time our policies reflect how families live and work in the 21st century so women can get and keep better paying jobs. Let's ensure equal pay for women, guarantee 12 weeks of paid family leave, expand the child tax credit and make quality affordable childcare a reality.
IMPROVE EDUCATION AT ALL LEVELS: Every child deserves a high-quality education, regardless of their zip code. We must expand access to early childhood education, empower our teachers and invest in our schools at all levels. That means modernizing our schools, updating our curriculums for the 21st century and expanding broadband internet access.
34
11
7
7
17
13
26
29
24
30
41
42
36
53
Much less likely to support
Much more likely to supportDid NOT
Hear
21%
37%
39%
41%
Let me read you some things the presidential candidates were saying during their campaign. Did you hear any of the presidential
candidates say this during the campaign, yes or no? Did that statement make you more or less likely to support them?
The issue: ¼ RAE didn’t hear women’s agenda, 4-in-10 other key RAE policies
CLINTON ECONOMIC AGENDA
TAKE ON MONEY IN POLITICS: Our democracy should work for everyone, not just the wealthy and well-connected. I will appoint Supreme Court Justices who will protect the right to vote, require outside groups to disclose their political spending so we get dark unaccountable money out of politics, and empower small donors.
INVEST IN CLEAN ENERGY ECONOMY: We can tackle the urgent threat of climate change by becoming the world's clean energy superpower, creating millions of good-paying jobs in the process. I want to invest in renewable energy, install half a billion solar panels by the end of my first term, and generate enough clean energy to power every home by 2020.
WOMEN’S ECONOMIC AGENDA: It's time our policies reflect how families live and work in the 21st century so women can get and keep better paying jobs. Let's ensure equal pay for women, guarantee 12 weeks of paid family leave, expand the child tax credit and make quality affordable childcare a reality.
IMPROVE EDUCATION AT ALL LEVELS: Every child deserves a high-quality education, regardless of their zip code. We must expand access to early childhood education, empower our teachers and invest in our schools at all levels. That means modernizing our schools, updating our curriculums for the 21st century and expanding broadband internet access.
35
7 10
6
7
10
26
28
26
34
40
40
42
53
Much less likely to support Much more likely to support Did NOT
Hear
24%
38%
42%
42%
Rising American Electorate
42 24 26
11 13 22 11
54 43 42
31 32 38
27
32 33 43 31 36
48 42
39 44 50 46 51 53 54
Very warm (75-100) Warm (51-74) Very cool (0-25) Cool (26-49)
Republicans in Congress & Trump end as tarnished brands
36
Now, I'd like to rate your feelings toward some people and organizations, with one hundred meaning a VERY WARM, FAVORABLE
feeling; zero meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and fifty meaning not particularly warm or cold.
Mean: 39.0
Net: -15
Mean: 55.5
Net: +15 Net: -15
Mean: 42.1
Net: -8
Mean: 43.7
Net: -1
Mean: 47.7
Barack Obama
Democratic Party
Mean: 37.2
Net: -27
Republicans in Congress
Paul Ryan
Republican Party
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Net: -19
Mean: 41.4
Most favorable Least favorable
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