who is provplan? mission to promote the economic and social well-being of the city, its people, and...
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Who is ProvPlan?Mission to promote the economic and social well-being of the city, its people, and its neighborhoods.
• 501(c)3 non-profit created in 1992• Public/Private Partnership
Strong programmatic capacity• Ready to Learn Providence • YouthBuild Providence• Local Learning Partnership/Making Connections• New Roots Providence
“Information for Change” Agenda• Information intermediary and community convener• Investments in GIS, data analysis, and web technology• Expanding our capacity to examine statewide issues
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CITY
Linking people information with place information
Demographics
Jobs/Employment
Public Health
Education
Property/Land Use
Quality of Life
Public Safety
NEIGHBORHOODS
CENSUS
PARCEL
POLICE POSTS
WARDS
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Providence is growing,becoming more diverse, and getting
younger.
• The city grew by 8%, the state only by 4.5%.
• Fastest growing city in New England and now 2nd largest.
• Minority pop. increased 65% – City now 45% non-Hispanic White.
• Hispanic growth – Population doubled since 1990, now 30% of city.
• City has 17% overall state pop. – and 50% of state minority pop.• 1 in 4 people in city under 18 – 11% increase since 1990.
• Under 18 population is 75% minority – and 45% Hispanic.
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28.0%
26.9%
19.7%
19.3%
16.4%
15.5%
12.6%
10.8%
10.7%
10.5%
10.1%
8.9%
8.3%
8.0%
6.7%
5.8%
4.8%
3.5%
2.7%
2.0%
1.6%
1.5%
-13.0%
-1.4%
-6.0%
-6.0%
Valley 3722 4765
Hartford 4933 6261
Silver Lake 9141 10943
Wanskuck 9448 11270
Reservoir 2546 2963
Federal Hill 6885 7952
L. South Providence 5102 5744
College Hill 8980 9951
Olneyville 5866 6495
West End 14906 16476
Mount Pleasant 9281 10221
Downtown 2460 2678
South Elmwood 2017 2184
Citywide 160728 173618
Charles 5962 6361
Manton 2569 2718
U. South Providence 4736 4965
Smith Hill 6003 6216
Elmhurst 11192 11491
Elmwood 11305 11533
Wayland 3302 3356
Blackstone 7250 7358
Mount Hope 5661 5584
Washington Park 8300 7802
Fox Point 5179 4867
Hope 3982 3464
Source: U.S. Census 1990, 2000 Redistricting Data
Total Growth: 12,890
Neighborhood Pop.1990 - 2000
Population Change by Neighborhood, 1990-2000
as Percent of Neighborhood PopulationProvidence, RI
218
149
940
299
213
1067
1043
1328
629
1802 1570
228
167
417-498
642
229
971-312
54
108-77
-518
3991822
Æ"10
.-,95
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.-,195
.-,95
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Æ!1
Lower South Providence
Upper South Providence
Wayland
Fox Point
Down-townFederal
Hill
Manton
South Elmwood
Olneyville
Washington Park
Smith Hill College
Hill
Mount Hope
Reservoir
Silver Lake
Elmwood
Valley
Mount Pleasant
Hope
Hartford
West End
Wanskuck Charles
ElmhurstBlackstone
Pop. Change 1990-2000 (as % of N'hood)
5% - 13% Decline0 - 5% Decline0 - 7% Growth7% - 15% Growth15% - 20% Growth20% - 28% Growth
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434.1%
226.3%
224.9%
195.7%
546.0%
-21.0%
194.1%
176.5%
121.3%
108.7%
98.7%
89.8%
83.8%
65.1%
63.0%
57.7%
51.5%
41.3%
364.6%
339.8%
250.2%
244.1%
21.5%
23.4%
26.9%
38.9%
Silver Lake 708 4574
Mount Pleasant 461 2462
Reservoir 144 669
Hartford 689 3030
Charles 291 1019
Elmhurst 295 1015
Manton 167 545
Valley 622 2021
Wanskuck 999 2954
Downtown 101 297
South Elmwood 260 719
Federal Hill 1154 2554
Citywide 24982 52146
Olneyville 1877 3730
U. South Providence 1078 2046
Smith Hill 1231 2262
Wayland 63 104
L. South Providence 1942 3166
West End 5390 8502
Washington Park 1544 2339
Elmwood 4632 6543
College Hill 357 496
Mount Hope 464 589
Hope 111 137
Blackstone 130 158
Fox Point 272 215
Source: U.S. Census 1990, 2000 Redistricting Data
Change in Hispanic Population by Neighborhood, 1990-2000
as Percent of 1990 Neighborhood Hispanic PopulationProvidence, RI
Hispanic Pop.1990 - 2000
Citywide Hispanic
Population Change: 27,164
BlackstoneElmhurst
CharlesWanskuck
West End
Hartford
Hope
Mount Pleasant
Valley
Elmwood
Silver Lake
Reservoir
Mount Hope
College Hill
Smith Hill
Washington Park
Olneyville
South Elmwood
Manton
Federal Hill
Down-town
Fox Point
Wayland
Upper South Providence
Lower South Providence
Æ!1
Æ"44
Æ!6
.-,95
.-,195
Æ"146
.-,95
Æ"10
28
26
41139
196
968
1224
795
459
1911
3112
1400
1031
720
1955 728
1399
1853
378
125
3866
2341
2001
525
-57
Hispanic Change 1990-2000 (as % of N'hood)
21% Decline0 - 25% Growth25% - 50% Growth50% - 150% Growth150% - 300% Growth300% - 546% Growth
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2.0%
0.7%
-21.6%
-27.6%
-30.0%
-31.2%
-34.0%
-35.7%
-36.2%
-36.5%
-39.6%
-40.4%
-41.8%
-42.9%
-44.0%
-46.0%
-51.9%
-21.8%
-19.7%
-17.8%
-16.6%
-23.4%
-12.6%
-10.9%
-4.7%
-1.2%
Mount Hope 2434 2483
College Hill 7245 7295
Blackstone 6775 6692
Wayland 2984 2844
Elmhurst 10596 9438
Fox Point 4254 3717
Hope 3315 2764
Downtown 2095 1723
Charles 5522 4436
Manton 2282 1788
Wanskuck 6836 5343
Citywide 103775 79451
Mount Pleasant 8541 6184
Federal Hill 5329 3730
U. South Providence 1354 931
South Elmwood 1287 849
West End 3538 2274
Elmwood 1904 1214
Reservoir 1891 1201
Smith Hill 2977 1798
Washington Park 4545 2708
Hartford 3617 2105
Silver Lake 8136 4643
Valley 2771 1551
L. South Providence 582 314
Olneyville 2965 1426
Change in Non-Hispanic White Population by Neighborhood, 1990-2000
as % of 1990 Neighborhood Non-Hispanic White Population Providence, RI
Source: U.S. Census 1990, 2000 Redistricting Data
Non-Hispanic White
Population Change: -24,324
N.H.White Pop.1990 - 2000
BlackstoneElmhurst
CharlesWanskuck
West End
Hartford
Hope
Mount Pleasant
Valley
Elmwood
Silver Lake
Reservoir
Mount Hope
College Hill
Smith Hill
Washington Park
Olneyville
South Elmwood
Manton
Federal Hill
Down-town
Fox Point
Wayland
Upper South Providence
Lower South Providence
Æ!1
Æ"44
Æ!6
.-,95
.-,195
Æ"146
.-,95
Æ"10
-551
-83
-140
-537
-423
-438
-690-690
-1264
-1599
-1179
-1493 -1086
49
50
-372
-2357
-494
-1158
-1539
-3493
-1512
-1220
-1837
-268Non-Hispanic White Change 1990-2000(as % of N'hood)
41% - 51.9% Decline21% - 40% Decline0 - 20% Decline0 - 2% Growth
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591.2%
515.0%
481.1%
267.6%
243.6%
223.4%
207.9%
116.2%
92.7%
55.2%
46.9%
27.6%
25.7%
23.9%
6.6%
5.9%
-35.2%
-29.3%
-28.4%
-27.2%
-25.8%
-25.0%
-23.7%
-20.9%
-10.8%
-4.8%
Mount Pleasant 148 1023
Silver Lake 167 1027
Charles 90 523
Manton 71 261
Valley 202 694
Federal Hill 364 1177
Elmhurst 191 588
Reservoir 228 493
Downtown 165 318
Wanskuck 1498 2325
Hartford 452 664
South Elmwood 312 398
Olneyville 701 881
Smith Hill 731 906
Washington Park 1620 1727
Citywide 23828 25243
Wayland 105 100
College Hill 492 439
U. South Providence 2133 1688
Hope 371 283
L. South Providence 2658 1993
Blackstone 151 112
West End 4245 3089
Mount Hope 2294 1642
Fox Point 297 210
Elmwood 4142 2682
Source: U.S. Census 1990, 2000 Redistricting Data
Change in Black/African American Population by Neighborhood, 1990-2000
as Percent of 1990 Neighborhood Black/African American PopulationProvidence, RI
Black/AA Pop.1990 - 2000
Black/African American
Population Change: 1,415
153
-445
813
-652
175492190
875
212180
860 -1156
265 -1460
86
107
-665
-53-87
-5
-39
-88433827
397
Æ"10
.-,95
Æ"146
.-,195
.-,95
Æ! 6
Æ"44
Æ!1
Lower South Providence
Upper South Providence
Wayland
Fox Point
Down-townFederal
Hill
Manton
South Elmwood
Olneyville
Washington Park
Smith Hill College
Hill
Mount Hope
Reservoir
Silver Lake
Elmwood
Valley
Mount Pleasant
Hope
Hartford
West End
Wanskuck Charles
ElmhurstBlackstone
Black/AA Change (as % of N'hood)
28.4% - 35.2% Decline20% - 28.4% Decline0% - 20% Decline0% - 50% Growth50% - 200% Growth200% - 270% Growth270% - 591.2% Growth
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Source: US Census
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EDUCATION
• 38 of 45 schools were in need of improvement as ofSchool Year 2003-04; only 2 were high performing.
• 15 schools were improving or making progress, but almost twice as many (29) showed insufficient progress.
• The district had a SY2004-05 school mobility rate of 36% compared to 17% statewide.
- Mobility rate is the total number of students entering or leaving a school between October 1st and June 1st divided by the average daily membership in the school.
Providence suffers from low student achievement, significant student mobility,
and a high dropout rate.
• The district had a SY2004-05 dropout rate of 27% compared to 15% statewide.
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Source: Providence School Department
Providence School Department Enrollment, 1987-2005
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School-Age Population: Race
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Wanskuck Charles
Mount Hope
Hope
Blackstone
College
Hill
Wayland
Fox Point
Down-town
Upper South Prov.
Lower South Prov.
Washington Park
South Elmwood
ElmwoodReservoir
West EndSilver Lake
Hartford
Olneyville
Valley
Smith Hill
ElmhurstMount Pleasant
Manton
Federal Hill
High School Graduate or Higher, 2000
28 - 35%35 - 50%50 - 70%70 - 85%> 85%
96.5%
94.0%
91.2%
91.1%
78.8%
77.6%
77.5%
75.4%
74.6%
69.9%
68.0%
67.0%
65.8%
64.6%
64.4%
59.3%
57.8%
56.6%
56.5%
56.4%
55.3%
54.6%
51.1%
48.7%
48.2%
47.7%
Blackstone
Wayland
Hope
College Hill
Fox Point
Elmhurst
Downtown
Mount Hope
South Elmwood
Mount Pleasant
Charles
Reservoir
Citywide
Manton
Wanskuck
Federal Hill
Silver Lake
Hartford
Smith Hill
Washington Park
Valley
Elmwood
Lower S. Prov.
West End
Upper S. Prov.
Olneyville
High School Graduate or Higher, 2000
Providence, RI Neighborhoods
Source: Census 2000 SF3
Universe: Population over 25 years.
City rate: 65.8% State rate: 78.0%
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Median Family Income in Providence
Numbers on map indicate median family income for block groups rounded to nearest $1,000.
Source: Census 2000 SF3
68
31
69
47
33
42
41
21
118
40
54
58
38
35
12
2432
52
83
29
94
77
32
58
35
73
11
83
21
42
3065
22
25
26
54
22
1125
53
18
23
26
16
58
27
43
11
49
45
40
23
40
54
32
28
22
27
37
16
60 54
40
20
20
39
16
21
25
41
28
33
49
51
99
22
2385
30
22
89
91
20
62
22
17
16
36
19
41
28
52
17
35
15
11
28
32
46
14
27
22
18
37
3319
26
27
15
68
35
2118
27
35
43
46
33
18
46
30
48
57
21
15
25
102
21
33
15
29
35
11
21
22
58
36
108
24
19
21
12
103
112
19
36
17
24
23
34
24
32
29
29106
US Prov.
Washington Park
South Elmwood
ElmwoodReservoir
West End
Silver Lake
HartfordOlneyville
Valley
Smith
Hill
Down-town
Blackstone
Hope
Mount Hope
Charles
Wanskuck
Elmhurst
Mt. PleasantManton
LS Prov.
Federal Hill
Wayland
Fox Point
College
Hill
148
128200
129
131 139
139
Median Family Income, 2000
$10,000 - 25,000$25,000 - 45,000$45,000 - 70,000$70,000 - 118,000$118,000 - 200,000
Providence has the largest concentration of both low-income and high-income families in RI.
40% of children in the city live in poverty (3rd highest in the nation). Child poverty rate in RI is 17%.
Incomes in Providence grew 2.5 times slower than the state rate.
City: $32, 058 State: $54,781
When adjusted for inflation, median family income in the city actually decreased by 6%.
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Unemployment in Providence
Numbers on map indicate percent of civilian labor force unemployed for block groups.
Source: Census 2000 SF3
Half the city’s neighborhoods have areas of unemployment 20% or higher.
RI has the lowest rate of functional adult literacy according to a recent study.
Only 1 in 5 new jobs in RI were located in Providence (1994-2001).
Blackstone
Elmhurst
Wanskuck Charles
MountPleasant
WestEnd
Hope
Valley
Hartford
Elmwood
Mount Hope
Silver Lake
Reservoir Washington Park
College Hill
Smith Hill
South Elmwood
Olneyville
Manton
Upper S. Prov.
Federal Hill Fox Point
Down-town
Lower S.Prov.
Wayland
0
0
2
8
2
2
06
0
43
13
7
6
6
6
22
3
0
11
3
5
64
9
9
0
8
3
1
5
7
4
2
11
6
2
2
5
4
1 4
3
10
3
4
2
5
0
52
27
2
0
3
5
9
6
0
5
6
3
5
13
8
8
9
83
2
9
8
1
8
9
0
3
5
12
0
75
10
10
0
2
2
5
15
13
14
14
10
9
7
10
5
12
11
1114
10
14
15
11
14
12
117
11
14
14
11
1310
10
11
12
11
11
15
12
1110
21
22
1616
15
16
22
22 27
17
16
25
25
29
25
1915
17
21
27
2419
17
16 15 20
19
19171923
1820
18
2825
Unemployment, 20000 - 3.5%3.5 - 7.5%7.5 - 10%10 - 15%15- 28.9%
City rate: 9.3% State rate: 5.6%
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“The Housing Scene”
• Assessment values increased by 47% Greatest growth has occurred on the East Side and South Side.
• Number of vacant units down by 30% Poorer neighborhoods improved, but still have higher vacancy rates.
• Lead levels experience steady decline Incidences of new lead poisoning for children under six declined from 25.6% in 1995 to 6.3% in 2004. RI had 3.7% new cases in 2004.
• Home ownership rates remain low and stagnant City rate is 34%. RI rate is 60%, and the national rate is 66%.
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Since 2000
• 2,796 new units residential units between Jan ’02 and June ‘05
• Citywide median residential sales price more than tripled between 2000 and 2005
• Risk of foreclosures, subprime lending, and long waiting lists for public housing remain.
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New Residential Units Number by Neighborhood
with AffordabilityJanuary 1, 2002 – June 30, 2005
NOTE: Affordability determined by organizational contact in DIS database and designation in DPD "Development Prospects" document (or through DPD correspondence).
Analysis by ProvPlan
Source: Department of Inspection & Standards (Permit Database) and Department of Planning & Development
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The East Side remains the most expensive neighborhood to rent, but a two bedroom anywhere in the city will cost at least $1000, according to the 2005 Year End Rent Survey conducted by RI Housing.
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Source: 2005 American Community Survey
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Source: 2005 American Community Survey
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1989 1999 2005 1989 1999 2005
Sources: 1990 & 2000 US Censuses, 2005 American Community Survey, Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index
-16.2%vs 1989
-0.2% vs 1989
+10.4% vs 1999
+4.7% vs 1999
Median Family Income – 2005 Dollars (Adjusted for Inflation)
-7.5% vs 1989
+4.5% vs 1989
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City Growth
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