which traffic simulation software is best-updated...vissim. conclusions: • no software nails it...

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Which Traffic Simulation Software is Best?

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Page 1: Which Traffic Simulation Software is Best-Updated...VISSIM. Conclusions: • No Software Nails it • Initial Use of HCM2010 may be Sufficient • Experience Matters (Regional Calibration)

Which Traffic Simulation Software is Best?

Page 2: Which Traffic Simulation Software is Best-Updated...VISSIM. Conclusions: • No Software Nails it • Initial Use of HCM2010 may be Sufficient • Experience Matters (Regional Calibration)

Mike Spack, PE, PTOE

Bryant Ficek, PE, PTOE

Page 4: Which Traffic Simulation Software is Best-Updated...VISSIM. Conclusions: • No Software Nails it • Initial Use of HCM2010 may be Sufficient • Experience Matters (Regional Calibration)
Page 5: Which Traffic Simulation Software is Best-Updated...VISSIM. Conclusions: • No Software Nails it • Initial Use of HCM2010 may be Sufficient • Experience Matters (Regional Calibration)
Page 6: Which Traffic Simulation Software is Best-Updated...VISSIM. Conclusions: • No Software Nails it • Initial Use of HCM2010 may be Sufficient • Experience Matters (Regional Calibration)
Page 7: Which Traffic Simulation Software is Best-Updated...VISSIM. Conclusions: • No Software Nails it • Initial Use of HCM2010 may be Sufficient • Experience Matters (Regional Calibration)

Calibrate to What???

Page 8: Which Traffic Simulation Software is Best-Updated...VISSIM. Conclusions: • No Software Nails it • Initial Use of HCM2010 may be Sufficient • Experience Matters (Regional Calibration)

Results = Reality?

Page 9: Which Traffic Simulation Software is Best-Updated...VISSIM. Conclusions: • No Software Nails it • Initial Use of HCM2010 may be Sufficient • Experience Matters (Regional Calibration)
Page 10: Which Traffic Simulation Software is Best-Updated...VISSIM. Conclusions: • No Software Nails it • Initial Use of HCM2010 may be Sufficient • Experience Matters (Regional Calibration)
Page 11: Which Traffic Simulation Software is Best-Updated...VISSIM. Conclusions: • No Software Nails it • Initial Use of HCM2010 may be Sufficient • Experience Matters (Regional Calibration)
Page 12: Which Traffic Simulation Software is Best-Updated...VISSIM. Conclusions: • No Software Nails it • Initial Use of HCM2010 may be Sufficient • Experience Matters (Regional Calibration)
Page 13: Which Traffic Simulation Software is Best-Updated...VISSIM. Conclusions: • No Software Nails it • Initial Use of HCM2010 may be Sufficient • Experience Matters (Regional Calibration)
Page 14: Which Traffic Simulation Software is Best-Updated...VISSIM. Conclusions: • No Software Nails it • Initial Use of HCM2010 may be Sufficient • Experience Matters (Regional Calibration)

Data Reduction = 76Hours

Page 15: Which Traffic Simulation Software is Best-Updated...VISSIM. Conclusions: • No Software Nails it • Initial Use of HCM2010 may be Sufficient • Experience Matters (Regional Calibration)

Synchro SimTraffic

Page 16: Which Traffic Simulation Software is Best-Updated...VISSIM. Conclusions: • No Software Nails it • Initial Use of HCM2010 may be Sufficient • Experience Matters (Regional Calibration)

Results (overall average delay) – Field vs Software

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

100.0

All‐Way Stop#1

All‐Way Stop#2

Multi‐LaneSignal #1

Multi‐LaneSignal #2

Multi‐LaneSignal #3

Single‐LaneRA #1

Single‐LaneRA #2

Single‐LaneRA #3

Single‐LaneRA #4

Multi‐LaneRA #1

Average Delay (secon

ds)

Intersections

Field Measurements

HCM2010

RODEL

Synchro

SimTraffic

VISSIM

Page 17: Which Traffic Simulation Software is Best-Updated...VISSIM. Conclusions: • No Software Nails it • Initial Use of HCM2010 may be Sufficient • Experience Matters (Regional Calibration)

All‐Way Stop#1

All‐Way Stop#2

Multi‐LaneSignal #1

Multi‐LaneSignal #2

Multi‐LaneSignal #3

Single‐Lane RA#1

Single‐Lane RA#2

Single‐Lane RA#3

Single‐Lane RA#4

Multi‐Lane RA#1

Results (Intersection LOS) – Field vs SoftwareLO

S A

LOS B

LOS D

LOS C

LOS E

LOS F

HCM2010SynchroVISSIM

SimTraffic

Synchro

SimTraffic

HCM2010SynchroVISSIM

Synchro

HCM2010

SimTrafficVISSIM

HCM2010Synchro

HCM2010

SimTraffic

SynchroVISSIM

HCM2010Synchro

HCM2010Synchro

RODEL RODEL RODEL

SimTrafficVISSIM

SimTrafficVISSIM

SimTrafficVISSIM ALL ALL

HCM2010SimTrafficVISSIM

Page 18: Which Traffic Simulation Software is Best-Updated...VISSIM. Conclusions: • No Software Nails it • Initial Use of HCM2010 may be Sufficient • Experience Matters (Regional Calibration)

95th Percentile Queues (vehicles) – Field vs Software

0

5

10

15

20

25

All‐Way Stop#1

All‐Way Stop#2

Multi‐LaneSignal #1

Multi‐LaneSignal #2

Multi‐LaneSignal #3

Single‐LaneRA #1

Single‐LaneRA #2

Single‐LaneRA #3

Single‐LaneRA #4

Multi‐LaneRA #1

95th Percentile

 Que

ue (veh

icles)

Intersections

Field Measurements

HCM2010

RODEL

Synchro

SimTraffic

VISSIM

Page 19: Which Traffic Simulation Software is Best-Updated...VISSIM. Conclusions: • No Software Nails it • Initial Use of HCM2010 may be Sufficient • Experience Matters (Regional Calibration)

95th Percentile Queue (vehicles from measurements) – Field vs Software

‐15

‐10

‐5

0

5

10

15

All‐Way Stop#1

All‐Way Stop#2

Multi‐LaneSignal #1

Multi‐LaneSignal #2

Multi‐LaneSignal #3

Single‐LaneRA #1

Single‐LaneRA #2

Single‐LaneRA #3

Single‐LaneRA #4

Multi‐LaneRA #1

Num

ber o

f Veh

icles from th

e Field Measuremen

ts

Field Measurements

HCM2010

RODEL

Synchro

SimTraffic

VISSIM

Page 20: Which Traffic Simulation Software is Best-Updated...VISSIM. Conclusions: • No Software Nails it • Initial Use of HCM2010 may be Sufficient • Experience Matters (Regional Calibration)

95th Percentile Queue (% from measurements) – Field vs Software

‐200%

0%

200%

400%

600%

800%

1000%

1200%

1400%

1600%

All‐Way Stop#1

All‐Way Stop#2

Multi‐LaneSignal #1

Multi‐LaneSignal #2

Multi‐LaneSignal #3

Single‐LaneRA #1

Single‐LaneRA #2

Single‐LaneRA #3

Single‐LaneRA #4

Multi‐LaneRA #1

Percen

t from 95th Pe

rcen

tile Que

ue Field M

easuremen

ts

Field Measurements

HCM2010

RODEL

Synchro

SimTraffic

VISSIM

Page 21: Which Traffic Simulation Software is Best-Updated...VISSIM. Conclusions: • No Software Nails it • Initial Use of HCM2010 may be Sufficient • Experience Matters (Regional Calibration)
Page 22: Which Traffic Simulation Software is Best-Updated...VISSIM. Conclusions: • No Software Nails it • Initial Use of HCM2010 may be Sufficient • Experience Matters (Regional Calibration)

Conclusions:

• No Software Nails it

• Initial Use of HCM2010 may be Sufficient

• Experience Matters (Regional Calibration)• Round Your Results (No Tenth of a Second Delays)

• Accurate Results for Long‐Term Improvements are Questionable at Best

• Models are Better at Predicting Delay than Queues

Page 23: Which Traffic Simulation Software is Best-Updated...VISSIM. Conclusions: • No Software Nails it • Initial Use of HCM2010 may be Sufficient • Experience Matters (Regional Calibration)
Page 24: Which Traffic Simulation Software is Best-Updated...VISSIM. Conclusions: • No Software Nails it • Initial Use of HCM2010 may be Sufficient • Experience Matters (Regional Calibration)

Next Steps –More Questions to be Answered:

• What factors have the most influence on achieving better results?

• How many factors should be adjusted before it’s sufficient?

• Would a pass/fail system be better than A to F?

• Should more than one software be used on a project?

Page 25: Which Traffic Simulation Software is Best-Updated...VISSIM. Conclusions: • No Software Nails it • Initial Use of HCM2010 may be Sufficient • Experience Matters (Regional Calibration)