what the census tells us - cdhb.health.nz · the census was held on the 5th of march 2013, ... -1...

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Our population is aging Fifteen percent of our population are now aged 65 years or older. This is higher than the national percentage of people aged 65 years or older (14.3%). The census was held on the 5 th of March 2013, two years after it was cancelled as a result of the earthquake on the 22 nd of February, 2011. The Canterbury region has undergone significant changes since the previous census was conducted in 2006. Whilst Statistics New Zealand is yet to release all of the data, the early results of the census indicate how the profile of our population has changed. Consideration of these changes is crucial to the planning of future health services in Canterbury. CENSUS What THE Tells US There has been a 2% decrease in usual residents in Christchurch City, compared with 2006. Not surprisingly, there has been a significant loss in residents from the central and eastern parts of the city. However, the census shows that residents that have moved from red zone areas within the last five years have not tended to move far away. The majority of residents that were living in red zone areas of Christchurch and Waimakariri (including the Port Hills), in 2008, have moved five kilometres or less. The movement to the districts surrounding Christchurch has contributed to Canterbury having three of the fastest growing districts in New Zealand: Selwyn (1st), Waimakariri (3rd) and Ashburton (5th). Population change in greater Christchurch from 2006-2013 Christchurch City boundary Christchurch East Electorate boundary 50 to 499 500 to 999 1000 or greater -50 to -499 -49 to 49 -1000 or greater -500 to -999 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ 2006 Census 2013 Census CDHB usual resident count by five year age group in 2006 and 2013 9,837 fewer usual residents in the Christchurch East electorate area. 32.6% increase in the usual resident population of the Selwyn District 16.7% increase in the usual resident population of the Waimakariri District 13.4% increase in the usual resident population of the Ashburton District We now have greater proportions of Māori, Pacific and Asian ethnicities than in 2006. The percentage of Māori has increased from 7.4% to 8.2%. Overall our Māori population are younger, with 43.7% aged 0-19 (compared to 25.5% of the total Canterbury population). Our population is becoming more ethnically diverse. 8.2% are Māori. 2.6% are Pacific. 7.5% are Asian. Our rebuild population There has been a noticeable increase in the number of males aged 20-29 years of 2,841 since 2006. In comparison, there are only 228 more females of this age. This reflects the workers coming into the region for the Christchurch rebuild. 2,841 more males aged 20-29 than in 2006. 1,281 more two-or-more family households than in 2006. Our families and households There has been a change in family and household composition. There has been a small decrease in the total number of families with dependent children. Interestingly, there has been a large 9.8% decrease in the number of one- parent families with dependent children. There are also 1,281 more two-or-more family households than in 2006, indicating that more families are living together in the same house. 1.2% decrease in the number of families with dependent children. 9.8% decrease in one-parent families with dependent children. What does this mean? Our aging population The Canterbury DHB continues to have an increasing elderly population. While progress has been made to address the needs of older people, new service models will continue to be developed. Our rebuild population The rebuild population will require services to meet their health needs. While most of this need will be focused on acute issues, it is important this popula- tion develops an ongoing point of access to health services by enrolment in general practice. Population growth around Christchurch The increased population in Christchurch’s satellite towns is in both younger and older age groups. In consideration of future health services, the provision of general practice is a key requirement, as well as mobile community services that operate in people’s homes and communities. General Practice Enrolment There was a decrease of approximately 5,000 enrol- ments in general practices in eastern Christchurch following the earthquakes. This is lower than the total number of residents that have left eastern Christchurch. This indicates that many people have retained general practice enrolment close to their former residence. 11.4% of the total New Zealand resident population live in Canterbury. 14.5% of those aged 15 years or older smoke regularly, down from 18.8% in 2006. 15.0% of our population are aged 65 years or older, up from 13.4% in 2006. Our population growth Our resident population has increased from 466,404 in 2006 to 482,181 in 2013. This is a rate of growth of 3.4%. Nationally there has been a 5.3% rate of growth. Age Usual resident count Data sources: Statistics New Zealand, Census of Population and Dwellings, 2013. Distance moved analysis provided by the Strategy and Planning Group – Christchurch City Council. What we do not know * Population estimates & projections The current Statistics New Zealand population es- timates and population projections are still based upon the 2006 Census results. Updated popula- tion estimates using the 2013 Census results will be available in August 2014. Updated population projections will be available in December 2014. The ‘real’ number of rebuild workers Our resident population only includes people that listed their usual residence as being in our region. Rebuild workers that have come from other parts of the country, or overseas, and do not consider Canterbury to be their place of usual residence, were not counted in our resident population. 482,181 * residents.

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Page 1: What THE CENSUS Tells US - cdhb.health.nz · The census was held on the 5th of March 2013, ... -1 0o rg eat-500 to -999-50 to -499-49 to 49 ... of males aged 20-29 years of 2,841

Our population is agingFifteen percent of our population are now aged 65 years or older. This is higher than the national percentage of people aged 65 years or older (14.3%).

The census was held on the 5th of March 2013, two years after it was cancelled as a result of the earthquake on the 22nd of February, 2011. The Canterbury region has undergone significant changes since the previous census was conducted in 2006. Whilst Statistics New Zealand is yet to release all of the data, the early results of the census indicate how the profile of our population has changed. Consideration of these changes is crucial to the planning of future health services in Canterbury.

CENSUSWhat

TH

E Tells US

There has been a 2% decrease in usual residents in Christchurch City, compared with 2006. Not surprisingly, there has been a significant loss in residents from the central and eastern parts of the city.

However, the census shows that residents that have moved from red zone areas within the last five years have not tended to move far away. The majority of residents that were living in red zone areas of Christchurch and Waimakariri (including the Port Hills), in 2008, have moved five kilometres or less.

The movement to the districts surrounding Christchurch has contributed to Canterbury having three of the fastest growing districts in New Zealand: Selwyn (1st), Waimakariri (3rd) and Ashburton (5th).

Population change in greater Christchurch from 2006-2013       Christchurch City boundary              Christchurch East Electorate boundary

-1 000 or greater

-500 to -999

-50 to -499

-49 to 49

50 to 499

500 to 999

1 000 or greater

-1 000 or greater

-500 to -999

-50 to -499

-49 to 49

50 to 499

500 to 999

1 000 or greater

-1 000 or greater

-500 to -999

-50 to -499

-49 to 49

50 to 499

500 to 999

1 000 or greater

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

0–4

5–9

10–1

4

15–1

9

20–2

4

25–2

9

30–3

4

35–3

9

40–4

4

45–4

9

50–5

4

55–5

9

60–6

4

65–6

9

70–7

4

75–7

9

80–8

4

85+

Usu

al re

side

nt c

ount

Age

CDHB usual resident count by five year age group in 2006 and 2013 2006Census2013Census

2006 Census 2013 Census

CDHB usual resident count by five year age group in 2006 and 2013

9,837 fewerusual residents in the Christchurch East electorate area.

32.6% increasein the usual resident population of the Selwyn District

16.7% increasein the usual resident population of the Waimakariri District

13.4% increasein the usual resident population of the Ashburton District

We now have greater proportions of Māori, Pacific and Asian ethnicities than in 2006. The percentage of Māori has increased from 7.4% to 8.2%. Overall our Māori population are younger, with 43.7% aged 0-19 (compared to 25.5% of the total Canterbury population).

Our population is becoming more ethnically diverse.

8.2% are Māori.

2.6% are Pacific. 7.5% are Asian.

Our rebuild populationThere has been a noticeable increase in the number of males aged 20-29 years of 2,841 since 2006. In comparison, there are only 228 more females of this age. This reflects the workers coming into the region for the Christchurch rebuild.

2,841 more males

aged 20-29 than in 2006.

1,281 more two-or-more family households than in 2006.

Our families and householdsThere has been a change in family and household composition. There has been a small decrease in the total number of families with dependent children. Interestingly, there has been a large 9.8% decrease in the number of one-parent families with dependent children. There are also 1,281 more two-or-more family households than in 2006, indicating that more families are living together in the same house.

1.2% decrease in the number of families with dependent children.

9.8% decrease in one-parent families with dependent children.

What does this mean?Our aging populationThe Canterbury DHB continues to have an increasing elderly population. While progress has been made to address the needs of older people, new service models will continue to be developed.

Our rebuild populationThe rebuild population will require services to meet their health needs. While most of this need will be focused on acute issues, it is important this popula-tion develops an ongoing point of access to health services by enrolment in general practice.

Population growth around ChristchurchThe increased population in Christchurch’s satellite towns is in both younger and older age groups. In consideration of future health services, the provision of general practice is a key requirement, as well as mobile community services that operate in people’s homes and communities.

General Practice EnrolmentThere was a decrease of approximately 5,000 enrol-ments in general practices in eastern Christchurch following the earthquakes. This is lower than the total number of residents that have left eastern Christchurch. This indicates that many people have retained general practice enrolment close to their former residence.

11.4% of the total New Zealand resident population live in Canterbury.

14.5% of those aged 15 years or older smoke regularly, down from 18.8% in 2006.

15.0% of our population are aged 65 years or older, up from 13.4% in 2006.

Our population growthOur resident population has increased from 466,404 in 2006 to 482,181 in 2013. This is a rate of growth of

3.4%. Nationally there has been a 5.3% rate of growth.

Age

Usu

al re

side

nt c

ount

Data sources: Statistics New Zealand, Census of Population and Dwellings, 2013.

Distance moved analysis provided by the Strategy and Planning Group – Christchurch City Council.

What we do not know*Population estimates & projectionsThe current Statistics New Zealand population es-timates and population projections are still based upon the 2006 Census results. Updated popula-tion estimates using the 2013 Census results will be available in August 2014. Updated population projections will be available in December 2014.

The ‘real’ number of rebuild workersOur resident population only includes people that listed their usual residence as being in our region. Rebuild workers that have come from other parts of the country, or overseas, and do not consider Canterbury to be their place of usual residence, were not counted in our resident population.

482,181* residents.

Page 2: What THE CENSUS Tells US - cdhb.health.nz · The census was held on the 5th of March 2013, ... -1 0o rg eat-500 to -999-50 to -499-49 to 49 ... of males aged 20-29 years of 2,841

CENSUS Demographic Changes By District 2006 Census 2013 Census

1,053more

residents in Hurunui

than in 2006.

17.6%

65+

of Hurunui residents are aged 65 years or older, up from

14.3% in 2006.

66fewer

residents in Kaikoura than

in 2006.

65+ 19.4%of Kaikoura residents are aged 65 years or older, up from 14.9% in 2006. This is the highest proportion of older people than any other district in Canterbury.

17.8%of

Kaiko

ura residents are

Māori

7,155more

residents in

Waimakariri than in 2006.

65+

16.8%of Waimakariri residents are

aged 65 years or older, up from 13.9% in 2006.

KaikouraUsual Resident Count By Five Year Age Group In 2006 & 2013

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0–4

5–9

10–1

4

15–1

9

20–2

4

25–2

9

30–3

4

35–3

9

40–4

4

45–4

9

50–5

4

55–5

9

60–6

4

65–6

9

70–7

4

75–7

9

80–8

4

85+

Usu

al re

siden

t cou

nt

Age

Kaikoura usual resident count by five year age group in 2006 and 2013

2006 Census 2013 Census

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

0–4

5–9

10–1

4

15–1

9

20–2

4

25–2

9

30–3

4

35–3

9

40–4

4

45–4

9

50–5

4

55–5

9

60–6

4

65–6

9

70–7

4

75–7

9

80–8

4

85+

Usu

al re

sid

ent

coun

t

Age

Hurunui usual resident count by five year age group in 2006 and 2013 2006Census2013Census

HurunuiUsual Resident Count By Five Year Age Group In 2006 & 2013

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

0–4

5–9

10–1

4

15–1

9

20–2

4

25–2

9

30–3

4

35–3

9

40–4

4

45–4

9

50–5

4

55–5

9

60–6

4

65–6

9

70–7

4

75–7

9

80–8

4

85+

Usu

al re

sid

ent

coun

t

Age

Waimakariri usual resident count by five year age group in 2006 and 2013 2006Census2013Census

WaimakaririUsual Resident Count By Five Year Age Group In 2006 & 2013

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

0–4

5–9

10–1

4

15–1

9

20–2

4

25–2

9

30–3

4

35–3

9

40–4

4

45–4

9

50–5

4

55–5

9

60–6

4

65–6

9

70–7

4

75–7

9

80–8

4

85+

Usu

al re

sid

ent

coun

t

Age

Ashburton usual resident count by five year age group in 2006 and 2013 2006Census2013Census

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

0–4

5–9

10–1

4

15–1

9

20–2

4

25–2

9

30–3

4

35–3

9

40–4

4

45–4

9

50–5

4

55–5

9

60–6

4

65–6

9

70–7

4

75–7

9

80–8

4

85+

Usu

al re

side

nt c

ount

Age

Selwyn usual resident count by five year age group in 2006 and 2013 2006Census2013Census

ChristchurchUsual Resident Count By Five Year Age Group In 2006 & 2013

6,987fewer

residents in Christchurch than in 2006.

SelwynUsual Resident Count By Five Year Age Group In 2006 & 2013

AshburtonUsual Resident Count By Five Year Age Group In 2006 & 2013

10,953more

residents in Selwyn than in

2006.

This has made Selwyn the fastest growing district in

New Zealand.

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

0–4

5–9

10–1

4

15–1

9

20–2

4

25–2

9

30–3

4

35–3

9

40–4

4

45–4

9

50–5

4

55–5

9

60–6

4

65–6

9

70–7

4

75–7

9

80–8

4

85+

Usu

al re

side

nt c

ount

Age

Christchurch usual resident count by five year age group in 2006 and 2013 2006Census2013Census

2,952 fewer families with

dependent children in Christchurch.

5,106fewer females in Christchurch aged 15-34 years old. There are 1,188 fewer males in the same age group.

22.3%of Selwyn residents

are under the age of 15. This is the highest

proportion of any district in Canterbury.

1,338 more families with dependent

children in Selwyn than in 2006.

3,669more

residents in Ashburton than in 2006.

1,050more

residents in Ashburton aged 15-34 years old

than in 2006.

of Ashburton residents are of Pacific ethnicity, up from 1.4% in 2006. This is the highest proportion of any district in Canterbury.

3.4%

Please note: Due to the difference in resident populations the scale of each graph varies.      Data source: Statistics New Zealand, Census of Population and Dwellings, 2013.

of those living in red zone areas of Waimakariri in 2008 that have moved within the last five years have stayed in the district.

63%

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