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Single Sample t-Tests

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What is a Single Sample T?

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Page 1: What single samples t test (2)?

Single Sample t-Tests

Page 2: What single samples t test (2)?

Welcome to a presentation explaining the concepts behind the use of a single sample t-test

Page 3: What single samples t test (2)?

Welcome to a presentation explaining the concepts behind the use of a single sample t-test in determining the probability that a sample and a population are similar to or different from one another statistically.

Page 4: What single samples t test (2)?

We will follow an example where researchers attempt to determine if the sample they have collected is statistically significantly similar or different from a population.

Page 5: What single samples t test (2)?

Their hope is that the sample and population are statistically similar to one another, so they can claim that results of experiments done to the sample are generalizable to the population.

Page 6: What single samples t test (2)?

Let’s imagine that this is the population distribution for IQ scores in the country:

Page 7: What single samples t test (2)?

Let’s imagine that this is the population distribution for IQ scores in the country:

Page 8: What single samples t test (2)?

It has a population mean of 100

Page 9: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

Page 10: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

This Greek symbol represents the mean

of a population

Page 11: What single samples t test (2)?

We decide to select a random sample to do experiments on.

m = 100

Page 12: What single samples t test (2)?

So, we randomly select 20 persons

m = 100

Page 13: What single samples t test (2)?

Let’s say that sample of 20 has an IQ score

mean of 70

m = 100

Page 14: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100 = 70

Let’s say that sample of 20 has an IQ score

mean of 70

Page 15: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100 = 70

Note, this x with a bar over it is the symbol for a sample mean.

Page 16: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100 = 70

Again this Greek symbol m is the

symbol for a population mean.

Page 17: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100 = 70

Along with a mean of 70 this sample has a

distribution that looks like this

Page 18: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100 = 70

Along with a mean of 70 this sample has a

distribution that looks like this

Page 19: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100 = 70

So, here’s the question:

Page 20: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100 = 70

Is this randomly selected sample of 20 IQ scores representative of the population?

Page 21: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100 = 70

The Single Sample t-test is a tool used to determine the probability that it is or is not.

Page 22: What single samples t test (2)?

So, how do we determine if the sample is a good representative of the population?

Page 23: What single samples t test (2)?

Let’s look at the population distribution of IQ scores first:

Page 24: What single samples t test (2)?

Let’s look at the population distribution of IQ scores first:

Page 25: What single samples t test (2)?

One thing we notice right off is that it

has a normal distribution

Page 26: What single samples t test (2)?

Normal Distributions have some important

properties or attributes that

make it possible to consider rare or

common occurrences

Page 27: What single samples t test (2)?

Also, Normal Distributions have

some constant percentages that

are true across all normal

distributions

Page 28: What single samples t test (2)?

Attribute #1: 50% of all of the scores are above the mean and the other 50% of the scores are below the mean

Page 29: What single samples t test (2)?

Attribute #1: 50% of all of the scores are above the mean and the other 50% of the scores are below the mean

The Mean

Page 30: What single samples t test (2)?

Attribute #1: 50% of all of the scores are above the mean and the other 50% of the scores are below the mean

The Mean 50% of all scores

Page 31: What single samples t test (2)?

Attribute #1: 50% of all of the scores are above the mean and the other 50% of the scores are below the mean

The Mean50% of all scores

Page 32: What single samples t test (2)?

Before going on let’s take a brief time out

Page 33: What single samples t test (2)?

The next section requires an understanding of the concept of standard deviation.

Page 34: What single samples t test (2)?

If you are unfamiliar with this concept do a search for standard deviation in this software. After viewing it return to slide 36 of this presentation.

Page 35: What single samples t test (2)?

Time in – let’s get back to the instruction

Page 36: What single samples t test (2)?

The Mean

Attribute #2: 68% of all of the scores are between +1 standard deviation and -1 standard deviation

Page 37: What single samples t test (2)?

The Mean

Attribute #2: 68% of all of the scores are between +1 standard deviation and -1 standard deviation from the mean

Page 38: What single samples t test (2)?

The Mean

Attribute #2: 68% of all of the scores are between +1 standard deviation and -1 standard deviation from the mean

+1 sd

Page 39: What single samples t test (2)?

The Mean

Attribute #2: 68% of all of the scores are between +1 standard deviation and -1 standard deviation from the mean

+1 sd-1 sd

Page 40: What single samples t test (2)?

The Mean

Attribute #2: 68% of all of the scores are between +1 standard deviation and -1 standard deviation from the mean

+1 sd-1 sd

68% of all scores

Page 41: What single samples t test (2)?

The Mean

So what this means is – if you were randomly selecting samples from this population you have a 68% chance or .68 probability of pulling that sample from this part of the distribution.

+1 sd-1 sd

68% of all scores

Page 42: What single samples t test (2)?

The Mean

+1 sd-1 sd

68% of all scores

Let’s put some numbers to this idea.

Page 43: What single samples t test (2)?

The Mean

+1 sd-1 sd

68% of all scores

The mean of IQ scores across the population is 100

Page 44: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

With a population standard deviation (s) of 15: +1 standard deviation would at an IQ score of 115 and -1 standard deviation would be at 85

68% of all scores

Page 45: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd

-1 sd

-1s=85

68% of all scores

With a population standard deviation (s) of 15: +1 standard deviation would at an IQ score of 115 and -1 standard deviation would be at 85

Page 46: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

68% of all scores

+1s=115-1s=85

With a population standard deviation (s) of 15: +1 standard deviation would at an IQ score of 115 and -1 standard deviation would be at 85

Page 47: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

68% of all scores So, there is a 68% chance or .68 probability that a sample was collected between IQ scores of 85 and 115

+1s=115-1s=85

Page 48: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

68% of all scores

Attribute 2: 2 standard deviation units above and below the mean constitute 95% of all scores.

+1s=115-1s=85

Page 49: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

68% of all scores

Attribute 2: 2 standard deviation units above and below the mean constitute 95% of all scores.

+1s=115-1s=85

+2 sd+2 sd

Page 50: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

68% of all scores

2 standard deviation units above the mean would be an IQ score of 130 or 100 + 2*15(sd))

+1s=115-1s=85

+2 sd+2 sd

Page 51: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

68% of all scores

2 standard deviation units above the mean would be an IQ score of 130 or 100 + 2*15(sd))

+1s=115-1s=85

+2 sd

+1s=130

-2 sd

Page 52: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

68% of all scores

2 standard deviation units below the mean would be an IQ score of 70 or 100 - 2*15(sd))

+1s=115-1s=85

+2 sd

+1s=115

-2 sd

Page 53: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

68% of all scores

2 standard deviation units below the mean would be an IQ score of 70 or 100 - 2*15(sd))

+1s=115-1s=85

+2 sd

+1s=115-2s=70

-2 sd

Page 54: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

68% of all scores

Now, it just so happens in nature that 95% of all scores are between +2 and -2 standard deviations in a normal distribution.

+1s=115-1s=85

+2 sd

+1s=115-2s=70

-2 sd

Page 55: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

95% of all scores

+1s=115-1s=85

+2 sd

+1s=130-2s=70

-2 sd

Now, it just so happens in nature that 95% of all scores are between +2 and -2 standard deviations in a normal distribution.

Page 56: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

95% of all scores

This means that there is a .95 chance that a sample we select would come from between these two points.

+1s=115-1s=85

+2 sd

+1s=130-2s=70

-2 sd

Page 57: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

95% of all scores

+1s=115-1s=85

+2 sd

+1s=130-2s=70

-2 sd

Attribute #3: 99% of all scores are between +3 and -3 standard deviations.

Page 58: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

99% of all scores

+1s=115-1s=85

+2 sd

+1s=130-2s=70

-2 sd

-3s=55

-3 sd

+3s=55

+3 sd

Attribute #3: 99% of all scores are between +3 and -3 standard deviations.

Page 59: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

99% of all scores

+1s=115-1s=85

+2 sd

+1s=130-2s=70

-2 sd

-3s=55

-3 sd

-3s=55

+3 sd

These standard deviations are only approximates.

Page 60: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

99% of all scores

+1s=115-1s=85

+2 sd

+1s=130-2s=70

-2 sd

-3s=55 -3s=55

+3 sd-3 sd

Here are the actual values

Page 61: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

99% of all scores

+1s=115-1s=85

+2 sd

+1s=130-2s=70

-2 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

-3s=55

+3 sd

Here are the actual values

Page 62: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

99% of all scores

+1s=115-1s=85

+2 sd

+1s=130-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd-2.58 sd

-3s=55

+3 sd

Here are the actual values

-2.58 s=55

Page 63: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

99% of all scores

+2 sd

+1s=130

-1.96 sd-2.58 sd

-3s=55

+3 sd

Here are the actual values

-1.96 s=70

-2.58 s=55

+1s=115-1 s=85

Page 64: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

99% of all scores

+2 sd

+1s=130

-1.96 sd-2.58 sd

-3s=55

+3 sd

Here are the actual values

-1.96 s=70

-2.58 s=55

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

Page 65: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

99% of all scores

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 sd-2.58 sd

-3s=55

+3 sd

Here are the actual values

+1.96 sd

-1.96 s=70

-2.58 s=55

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

Page 66: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

99% of all scores

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 sd-2.58 sd

+2.58 s=145

+2.58 sd

Here are the actual values

+1.96 sd

-1.96 s=70

-2.58 s=55

Page 67: What single samples t test (2)?

+1 sd-1 sd

99% of all scores

+1.96 sd-1.96 sd-2.58 sd +2.58 sd

Based on the percentages of a normal distribution, we can insert the percentage of scores below each standard deviation

point.

m = 100

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 s=130

+2.58 s=145

-1.96 s=70

-2.58 s=55

Page 68: What single samples t test (2)?

+1 sd-1 sd

99% of all scores

+1.96 sd-1.96 sd-2.58 sd +2.58 sd

Attribute #4: percentages can be calculated below or above each standard deviation point in the distribution.

m = 100

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 s=130

+2.58 s=145

-1.96 s=70

-2.58 s=55

Page 69: What single samples t test (2)?

99% of all scores

+1 sd-1 sd +1.96 sd-1.96 sd-2.58 sd +2.58 sd

m = 100

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 s=130

+2.58 s=145

-1.96 s=70

-2.58 s=55

Page 70: What single samples t test (2)?

99% of all scores

95% of all scores

+1 sd-1 sd +1.96 sd-1.96 sd-2.58 sd +2.58 sd

m = 100

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 s=130

+2.58 s=145

-1.96 s=70

-2.58 s=55

Page 71: What single samples t test (2)?

99% of all scores

95% of all scores

68% of all scores

+1 sd-1 sd +1.96 sd-1.96 sd-2.58 sd +2.58 sd

m = 100

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 s=130

+2.58 s=145

-1.96 s=70

-2.58 s=55

Page 72: What single samples t test (2)?

99% of all scores

95% of all scores

68% of all scores

With this information we can determine the probability that scores will fall into a number portions of the distribution.

+1 sd-1 sd +1.96 sd-1.96 sd-2.58 sd +2.58 sd

m = 100

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 s=130

+2.58 s=145

-1.96 s=70

-2.58 s=55

Page 73: What single samples t test (2)?

For example:

Page 74: What single samples t test (2)?

0.5%

There is a 0.5% chance that if you randomly

selected a person that their IQ

score would be below a 55 or a -

2.58 SD

+1 sd-1 sd +1.96 sd-1.96 sd-2.58 sd +2.58 sd

m = 100

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 s=130

+2.58 s=145

-1.96 s=70

-2.58 s=55

Page 75: What single samples t test (2)?

2.5%

There is a 2.5% chance that if you randomly

selected a person that their IQ

score would be below a 70 or a -

1.96 SD

+1 sd-1 sd +1.96 sd-1.96 sd-2.58 sd +2.58 sd

m = 100

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 s=130

+2.58 s=145

-1.96 s=70

-2.58 s=55

Page 76: What single samples t test (2)?

16.5%

There is a 16.5% chance that if you randomly

selected a person that their IQ

score would be below a 85 or a -

1 SD

+1 sd-1 sd +1.96 sd-1.96 sd-2.58 sd +2.58 sd

m = 100

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 s=130

+2.58 s=145

-1.96 s=70

-2.58 s=55

Page 77: What single samples t test (2)?

50%

There is a 50% chance that if you randomly

selected a person that their IQ

score would be below a 100 or a

0 SD

+1 sd-1 sd +1.96 sd-1.96 sd-2.58 sd +2.58 sd

m = 100

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 s=130

+2.58 s=145

-1.96 s=70

-2.58 s=55

Page 78: What single samples t test (2)?

There is a 50% chance that if you randomly

selected a person that their IQ

score would be above a 100 or a

0 SD

50%

+1 sd-1 sd +1.96 sd-1.96 sd-2.58 sd +2.58 sd

m = 100

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 s=130

+2.58 s=145

-1.96 s=70

-2.58 s=55

Page 79: What single samples t test (2)?

There is a 16.5% chance that if you randomly

selected a person that their IQ

score would be above a 115 or a

+1 SD

16.5%

+1 sd-1 sd +1.96 sd-1.96 sd-2.58 sd +2.58 sd

m = 100

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 s=130

+2.58 s=145

-1.96 s=70

-2.58 s=55

Page 80: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 sd

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

+2.58 s =145

+2.58 sd

There is a 2.5% chance that if you randomly

selected a person that their IQ

score would be above a 130 or a

+2.58 SD

2.5%

Page 81: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 sd

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

+2.58 s =145

+2.58 sd

There is a 0.5% chance that if you randomly

selected a person that their IQ

score would be above a 145 or a

+2.58 SD

.5%

Page 82: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 sd

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

+2.58 s =145

+2.58 sd

What you have just seen illustrated is the concept of probability density or the probability that a score or observation would be selected above,

below or between two points on a distribution.

Page 83: What single samples t test (2)?

Back to our example again.

Page 84: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 sd

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

+2.58 s =145

+2.58 sd

Page 85: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 sd

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

+2.58 s =145

+2.58 sd

Here is the sample we randomly selected

= 70

Page 86: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 sd

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

+2.58 s =145

+2.58 sd

The sample mean is 30 units away from the

population mean (100 – 70 = 30).

= 70

Page 87: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 sd

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

+2.58 s =145

+2.58 sd

The sample mean is 30 units away from the

population mean (100 – 70 = 30).

= 7030

Page 88: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 sd

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

+2.58 s =145

+2.58 sd

Is that far away enough to be

called statistically significantly

different than the population?

= 70

Page 89: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 sd

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

+2.58 s =145

+2.58 sd

How far is too far away?

= 70

Page 90: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 sd

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

+2.58 s =145

+2.58 sd

Fortunately, statisticians have come up with a

couple of distances that are considered too far away to be a part of the population.

= 70

Page 91: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 sd

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

+2.58 s =145

+2.58 sd

These distances are measured in

z-scores

= 70

Page 92: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 sd

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

+2.58 s =145

+2.58 sd

= 70

Which are what these are:

z scores

Page 93: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 sd

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

+2.58 s =145

+2.58 sd

= 70

Let’s say statisticians determined that if the sample mean you collected is below a -1.96 z-score or above a +1.96 z-score that that’s

just too far away from the mean to be a part of the population.

Page 94: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 sd

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

+2.58 s =145

+2.58 sd

= 70

We know from previous slides that only 2.5% of the scores are below a -1.96

Page 95: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 sd

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

+2.58 s =145

+2.58 sd

= 70

We know from previous slides that only 2.5% of the scores are below a -1.96

2.5%

Page 96: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 sd

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

+2.58 s =145

+2.58 sd

= 70

Since anything at this point or below is considered to be too rare to be a part of this population, we would conclude that the population and the sample are statistically significantly

different from one another.

2.5%

Page 97: What single samples t test (2)?

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 sd

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

+2.58 s =145

+2.58 sd

= 70

And that’s our answer!

2.5%

Page 98: What single samples t test (2)?

What if the sample mean had been 105?

Page 99: What single samples t test (2)?

Since our decision rule is to determine that the sample mean is statistically significantly different than the population mean if the sample mean lies outside of the top or bottom 2.5% of all scores,

Page 100: What single samples t test (2)?

Since our decision rule is to determine that the sample mean is statistically significantly different than the population mean if the sample mean lies outside of the top or bottom 2.5% of all scores,

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 sd

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

+2.58 s =145

+2.58 sd

2.5% 2.5%

Page 101: What single samples t test (2)?

Since our decision rule is to determine that the sample mean is statistically significantly different than the population mean if the sample mean lies outside of the top or bottom 2.5% of all scores,

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 sd

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

+2.58 s =145

+2.58 sd

= 105

2.5% 2.5%

Page 102: What single samples t test (2)?

. . . and the sample mean (105) does not lie in these outer regions,

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 sd

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

+2.58 s =145

+2.58 sd

= 105

2.5% 2.5%

Page 103: What single samples t test (2)?

Therefore, we would say that this is not a rare event and the probability that the sample is significantly similar to the population is high.

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 sd

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

+2.58 s =145

+2.58 sd

= 105

2.5% 2.5%

Page 104: What single samples t test (2)?

By the way, how do we figure out the z-score for an IQ score of 105.

Page 105: What single samples t test (2)?

We use the following formula to compute z-scores across the normal distribution:

Page 106: What single samples t test (2)?

We use the following formula to compute z-scores across the normal distribution:

- mSD

Page 107: What single samples t test (2)?

We use the following formula to compute z-scores across the normal distribution:

- mSDHere’s our

sample mean: 70

Page 108: What single samples t test (2)?

We use the following formula to compute z-scores across the normal distribution:

70 - mSDHere’s our

sample mean: 70

Page 109: What single samples t test (2)?

We use the following formula to compute z-scores across the normal distribution:

70 - mSD

Here’s our Population mean: 100

Page 110: What single samples t test (2)?

We use the following formula to compute z-scores across the normal distribution:

70 - 100SD

Here’s our Population mean: 100

Page 111: What single samples t test (2)?

We use the following formula to compute z-scores across the normal distribution:

70 - 100SD

Here’s our Standard

Deviation: 15

Page 112: What single samples t test (2)?

We use the following formula to compute z-scores across the normal distribution:

70 - 10015

Here’s our Standard

Deviation: 15

Page 113: What single samples t test (2)?

We use the following formula to compute z-scores across the normal distribution:

70 - 10015

Page 114: What single samples t test (2)?

We use the following formula to compute z-scores across the normal distribution:

3015

Page 115: What single samples t test (2)?

We use the following formula to compute z-scores across the normal distribution:

2.0

Page 116: What single samples t test (2)?

A z score of 2 is located right here

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 sd

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

+2.58 s =145

+2.58 sd

= 70

2.5% 2.5%

Page 117: What single samples t test (2)?

In some instances we may not know the population standard deviation s (in this case 15).

Page 118: What single samples t test (2)?

Without the standard deviation of the population we cannot determine the z-scores or the probability that a sample mean is too far away to be apart of the population.

Page 119: What single samples t test (2)?

Without the standard deviation of the population we cannot determine the z-scores or the probability that a sample mean is too far away to be apart of the population.

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 sd

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

+2.58 s =145

+2.58 sd

Page 120: What single samples t test (2)?

Without the standard deviation of the population we cannot determine the z-scores or the probability that a sample mean is too far away to be apart of the population.

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 sd

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

+2.58 s =145

+2.58 sd

50%

Page 121: What single samples t test (2)?

Without the standard deviation of the population we cannot determine the z-scores or the probability that a sample mean is too far away to be apart of the population.

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 sd

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

+2.58 s =145

+2.58 sd

16.5%

Page 122: What single samples t test (2)?

Without the standard deviation of the population we cannot determine the z-scores or the probability that a sample mean is too far away to be apart of the population.

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 sd

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

+2.58 s =145

+2.58 sd

2.5%

Page 123: What single samples t test (2)?

Without the standard deviation of the population we cannot determine the z-scores or the probability that a sample mean is too far away to be apart of the population.

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 sd

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

+2.58 s =145

+2.58 sd

Etc.

Page 124: What single samples t test (2)?

Therefore these values below cannot be computed:

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 sd

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

+2.58 s =145

+2.58 sd

Page 125: What single samples t test (2)?

Therefore these values below cannot be computed:

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 sd

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

+2.58 s =145+2.58 sd

Page 126: What single samples t test (2)?

When we only know the population mean we use the Single Sample t-test.

Page 127: What single samples t test (2)?

Actually whenever we are dealing with a population and a sample, we generally use a single-sample t-test.

Page 128: What single samples t test (2)?

In the last example we relied on the population mean and standard deviation to determine if the sample mean was too far away from the population mean to be considered a part of the population.

Page 129: What single samples t test (2)?

The single sample t-test relies on a concept called the estimated standard error

Page 130: What single samples t test (2)?

The single sample t-test relies on a concept called the estimated standard error to compute something like a z-score to determine the probability distance between the population and the sample means.

Page 131: What single samples t test (2)?

We call it estimated because as you will see it is not really feasible to compute.

Page 132: What single samples t test (2)?

Standard error draws on two concepts:

Page 133: What single samples t test (2)?

1. sampling distributions

Page 134: What single samples t test (2)?

1. sampling distributions2. t-distributions

Page 135: What single samples t test (2)?

Let’s begin with sampling distributions.

Page 136: What single samples t test (2)?

Let’s begin with sampling distributions.

What you are about to see is purely theoretical, but it provides the justification for the formula we will use to run a single sample t-test.

Page 137: What single samples t test (2)?

Let’s begin with sampling distributions.

What you are about to see is purely theoretical, but it provides the justification for the formula we will use to run a single sample t-test.

x̄� – μSEmean

Page 138: What single samples t test (2)?

x̄� – μSEmean

the mean of a sample

Page 139: What single samples t test (2)?

x̄� – μSEmean

the mean of a sample

the mean of a population

Page 140: What single samples t test (2)?

x̄� – μSEmean

the mean of a sample

the mean of a population

the estimated standard error

Page 141: What single samples t test (2)?

x̄� – μSEmean

In our example,

this is 70

Page 142: What single samples t test (2)?

70 � – μSEmean

In our example, this is 70

Page 143: What single samples t test (2)?

70 � – μSEmean

And this is 100

Page 144: What single samples t test (2)?

70 � – 100SEmean

And this is 100

Page 145: What single samples t test (2)?

70 � – 100SEmean

The numerator here is easy to compute

Page 146: What single samples t test (2)?

-30SEmean

The numerator here is easy to compute

Page 147: What single samples t test (2)?

-30SEmean

This value will help us know the distance between 70 and 100

in t-values

Page 148: What single samples t test (2)?

-30SEmean

If the estimated standard error is

large, like 30, then the t value would be:

-30/30 = -1

Page 149: What single samples t test (2)?

A -1.0 t-value is like a z-score as shown below:

Page 150: What single samples t test (2)?

A -1.0 t-value is like a z-score as shown below:

m = 100

+1 sd-1 sd

+1 s=115

-1 s=85

+1.96 sd

+1.96 s=130

-1.96 s=70

-1.96 sd

-2.58 s=55

-2.58 sd

+2.58 s =145

+2.58 sd

Page 151: What single samples t test (2)?

But since we don’t know the population standard deviation, we have to use the standard deviation of the sample (not the population as we did before) to determine the distance in standard error units (or t values).

Page 152: What single samples t test (2)?

The focus of our theoretical justification is to explain our rationale for using information from the sample to compute the standard error or standard error of the mean.

Page 153: What single samples t test (2)?

The focus of our theoretical justification is to explain our rationale for using information from the sample to compute the standard error or standard error of the mean.

– μx̄�SEmean

Page 154: What single samples t test (2)?

Here comes the theory behind standard error:

Page 155: What single samples t test (2)?

Here comes the theory behind standard error:

Imagine we took a sample of 20 IQ scores from the population.

Page 156: What single samples t test (2)?

Here comes the theory behind standard error:

Imagine we took a sample of 20 IQ scores from the population. This sample of 20 would have its own IQ mean, standard deviation and distribution.

Page 157: What single samples t test (2)?

Here comes the theory behind standard error:

Imagine we took a sample of 20 IQ scores from the population. This sample of 20 would have its own IQ mean, standard deviation and distribution.

x̄� = 70

SD = 10

Page 158: What single samples t test (2)?

Here comes the theory behind standard error:

Imagine we took a sample of 20 IQ scores from the population. This sample of 20 would have its own IQ mean, standard deviation and distribution. And then let’s say we took another sample of 20 with its mean and distribution,

x̄� = 70

Page 159: What single samples t test (2)?

Here comes the theory behind standard error:

Imagine we took a sample of 20 IQ scores from the population. This sample of 20 would have its own IQ mean, standard deviation and distribution. And then let’s say we took another sample of 20 with its mean and distribution,

x̄� = 70 x̄� = 100

Page 160: What single samples t test (2)?

Here comes the theory behind standard error:

Imagine we took a sample of 20 IQ scores from the population. This sample of 20 would have its own IQ mean, standard deviation and distribution. And then let’s say we took another sample of 20 with its mean and distribution, and another

x̄� = 70 x̄� = 100

Page 161: What single samples t test (2)?

Here comes the theory behind standard error:

Imagine we took a sample of 20 IQ scores from the population. This sample of 20 would have its own IQ mean, standard deviation and distribution. And then let’s say we took another sample of 20 with its mean and distribution, and another

x̄� = 70 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 120

Page 162: What single samples t test (2)?

Here comes the theory behind standard error:

Imagine we took a sample of 20 IQ scores from the population. This sample of 20 would have its own IQ mean, standard deviation and distribution. And then let’s say we took another sample of 20 with its mean and distribution, and another, and another

x̄� = 70 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 140

Page 163: What single samples t test (2)?

Here comes the theory behind standard error:

Imagine we took a sample of 20 IQ scores from the population. This sample of 20 would have its own IQ mean, standard deviation and distribution. And then let’s say we took another sample of 20 with its mean and distribution, and another, and another, and so on…

x̄� = 70 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 140

Page 164: What single samples t test (2)?

Let’s say, theoretically, that we do this one hundred times.

Page 165: What single samples t test (2)?

Let’s say, theoretically, that we do this one hundred times.

We now have 100 samples of 20 person IQ scores:

Page 166: What single samples t test (2)?

Let’s say, theoretically, that we do this one hundred times.

We now have 100 samples of 20 person IQ scores:

Page 167: What single samples t test (2)?

Let’s say, theoretically, that we do this one hundred times.

We now have 100 samples of 20 person IQ scores: We take the mean of each of those samples:

x̄� = 110 x̄� = 102 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 114 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90 x̄� = 95

x̄� = 100 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 100

Page 168: What single samples t test (2)?

And we create a new distribution called the sampling distribution of the means

x̄� = 110 x̄� = 102 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 114 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90 x̄� = 95

x̄� = 100 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 100

Page 169: What single samples t test (2)?

And

x̄� = 110 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 70 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90 x̄� = 95

x̄� = 100 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 105

Page 170: What single samples t test (2)?

And

x̄� = 110 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 70 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90 x̄� = 95

x̄� = 100 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 105

70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

Page 171: What single samples t test (2)?

And

x̄� = 110 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 70 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90 x̄� = 95

x̄� = 100 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 105

70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

Page 172: What single samples t test (2)?

And

x̄� = 110 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 70 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90 x̄� = 95

x̄� = 100 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 105

70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

Page 173: What single samples t test (2)?

And

x̄� = 110 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 70 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90 x̄� = 95

x̄� = 100 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 105

70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

Page 174: What single samples t test (2)?

And

x̄� = 110 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 70 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90 x̄� = 95

x̄� = 100 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 105

70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

Page 175: What single samples t test (2)?

And

x̄� = 110 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 70 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90 x̄� = 95

x̄� = 100 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 105

70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

Page 176: What single samples t test (2)?

And

x̄� = 110 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 70 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90 x̄� = 95

x̄� = 100 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 105

70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

Page 177: What single samples t test (2)?

And

x̄� = 110 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 70 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90 x̄� = 95

x̄� = 100 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 105

70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

Page 178: What single samples t test (2)?

And

x̄� = 110 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 70 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90 x̄� = 95

x̄� = 100 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 105

70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

Page 179: What single samples t test (2)?

And

x̄� = 110 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 70 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90 x̄� = 95

x̄� = 100 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 105

70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

Page 180: What single samples t test (2)?

And

x̄� = 110 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 70 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90 x̄� = 95

x̄� = 100 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 105

70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

Page 181: What single samples t test (2)?

And

x̄� = 110 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 70 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90 x̄� = 95

x̄� = 100 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 105

70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

Page 182: What single samples t test (2)?

And

x̄� = 110 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 70 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90 x̄� = 95

x̄� = 100 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 105

70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

Page 183: What single samples t test (2)?

And

x̄� = 110 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 70 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90 x̄� = 95

x̄� = 100 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 105

70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

Page 184: What single samples t test (2)?

And

x̄� = 110 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 70 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90 x̄� = 95

x̄� = 100 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 105

70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

Page 185: What single samples t test (2)?

And

x̄� = 110 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 70 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90 x̄� = 95

x̄� = 100 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 105

70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

etc. …

Page 186: What single samples t test (2)?

And then we do something interesting. We take the standard deviation of this sampling distribution.

Page 187: What single samples t test (2)?

And then we do something interesting. We take the standard deviation of this sampling distribution. If these sample means are close to one another then the standard deviation will be small.

Page 188: What single samples t test (2)?

And then we do something interesting. We take the standard deviation of this sampling distribution. If these sample means are close to one another then the standard deviation will be small.

70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

Page 189: What single samples t test (2)?

And then we do something interesting. We take the standard deviation of this sampling distribution. If these sample means are far apart from one another then the standard deviation will be large.

70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125

Page 190: What single samples t test (2)?

This standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the means has another name:

Page 191: What single samples t test (2)?

This standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the means has another name: the standard error.

Page 192: What single samples t test (2)?

This standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the means has another name: the standard error.

x̄� – μSEmean

the estimated standard error

Page 193: What single samples t test (2)?

Standard error is a unit of measurement that makes it possible to determine if a raw score difference is really significant or not.

Page 194: What single samples t test (2)?

Standard error is a unit of measurement that makes it possible to determine if a raw score difference is really significant or not.

Think of it this way. If you get a 92 on a 100 point test and the general population gets on average a 90, is there really a significant difference between you and the population at large? If you retook the test over and over again would you likely outperform or underperform their average of 90?

Page 195: What single samples t test (2)?

Standard error is a unit of measurement that makes it possible to determine if a raw score difference is really significant or not.

Think of it this way. If you get a 92 on a 100 point test and the general population gets on average a 90, is there really a significant difference between you and the population at large? If you retook the test over and over again would you likely outperform or underperform their average of 90?

Standard error helps us understand the likelihood that those results would replicate the same way over and over again . . . or not.

Page 196: What single samples t test (2)?

So let’s say we calculate the standard error to be 0.2. Using the formula below we will determine how many standard error units you are apart from each other.

Page 197: What single samples t test (2)?

So let’s say we calculate the standard error to be 0.2. Using the formula below we will determine how many standard error units you are apart from each other.

x̄� – μSEmean

t =

Page 198: What single samples t test (2)?

So let’s say we calculate the standard error to be 0.2. Using the formula below we will determine how many standard error units you are apart from each other.

92 – 900.2

t =standard error

your score

population average

Page 199: What single samples t test (2)?

So let’s say we calculate the standard error to be 0.2. Using the formula below we will determine how many standard error units you are apart from each other.

20.2

t =

Page 200: What single samples t test (2)?

So let’s say we calculate the standard error to be 0.2. Using the formula below we will determine how many standard error units you are apart from each other.

20.2

t =This is the raw

score difference

Page 201: What single samples t test (2)?

So let’s say we calculate the standard error to be 0.2. Using the formula below we will determine how many standard error units you are apart from each other.

10.0t =

And this is the difference in

standard error units

Page 202: What single samples t test (2)?

So let’s say we calculate the standard error to be 0.2. Using the formula below we will determine how many standard error units you are apart from each other.

10.0t =And this is the

difference in standard error units, otherwise known as a t statistic

or t value

Page 203: What single samples t test (2)?

So, while your test score is two raw scores above the average for the population, you are 10.0 standard error units higher than the population score.

Page 204: What single samples t test (2)?

So, while your test score is two raw scores above the average for the population, you are 10.0 standard error units higher than the population score.

While 2.0 raw scores do not seem like a lot, 10.0 standard error units constitute a big difference!

Page 205: What single samples t test (2)?

So, while your test score is two raw scores above the average for the population, you are 10.0 standard error units higher than the population score.

While 2.0 raw scores do not seem like a lot, 10.0 standard error units constitute a big difference!

This means that this result is most likely to replicate and did not happen by chance.

Page 206: What single samples t test (2)?

But what if the standard error were much bigger, say, 4.0?

Page 207: What single samples t test (2)?

But what if the standard error were much bigger, say, 4.0?

x̄� – μSEmean

t =

Page 208: What single samples t test (2)?

But what if the standard error were much bigger, say, 4.0?

92 – 904.0

t =standard error

your score

population average

Page 209: What single samples t test (2)?

But what if the standard error were much bigger, say, 4.0?

24.0

t =

Page 210: What single samples t test (2)?

But what if the standard error were much bigger, say, 4.0?

0.5t =

Page 211: What single samples t test (2)?

Once again, your raw score difference is still 2.0 but you are only 0.5 standard error units apart. That distance is most likely too small to be statistically significantly different if replicated over a hundred times.

Page 212: What single samples t test (2)?

Once again, your raw score difference is still 2.0 but you are only 0.5 standard error units apart. That distance is most likely too small to be statistically significantly different if replicated over a hundred times.

We will show you how to determine when the number of standard error units is significantly different or not.

Page 213: What single samples t test (2)?

One more example:

Page 214: What single samples t test (2)?

One more example:

Let’s say the population average on the test is 80 and you still received a 92. But the standard error is 36.0.

Page 215: What single samples t test (2)?

One more example:

Let’s say the population average on the test is 80 and you still received a 92. But the standard error is 36.0. Let’s do the math again.

Page 216: What single samples t test (2)?

One more example:

Let’s say the population average on the test is 80 and you still received a 92. But the standard error is 36.0. Let’s do the math again.

x̄� – μSEmean

t =

Page 217: What single samples t test (2)?

One more example:

Let’s say the population average on the test is 80 and you still received a 92. But the standard error is 36.0. Let’s do the math again.

92 – 8036.0

t =standard error

your score

population average

Page 218: What single samples t test (2)?

One more example:

Let’s say the population average on the test is 70 and you still received a 92. But the standard error is 36.0. Let’s do the math again.

1236.0

t =

Page 219: What single samples t test (2)?

One more example:

Let’s say the population average on the test is 70 and you still received a 92. But the standard error is 36.0. Let’s do the math again.

0.3t =

Page 220: What single samples t test (2)?

In this case, while your raw score is 12 points higher (a large amount), you are only 0.3 standard error units higher.

Page 221: What single samples t test (2)?

In this case, while your raw score is 12 points higher (a large amount), you are only 0.3 standard error units higher. The standard error is so large (36.0) that if you were to take the test 1000 times with no growth in between it is most likely that your scores would vary greatly (92 on one day, 77 on another day, 87 on another day and so on and so forth.)

Page 222: What single samples t test (2)?

In summary, the single sample test t value is the number of standard error units that separate the sample mean from the population mean:

Page 223: What single samples t test (2)?

In summary, the single sample test t value is the number of standard error units that separate the sample mean from the population mean:

Let’s see this play out with our original example.

x̄� – μSEmean

t =

Page 224: What single samples t test (2)?

Let’s say our of 20 has an average IQ score of 70.

Page 225: What single samples t test (2)?

Let’s say our of 20 has an average IQ score of 70.

x̄� – μSEmean

t =

Page 226: What single samples t test (2)?

Let’s say our of 20 has an average IQ score of 70.

70 – μSEmean

t =

Page 227: What single samples t test (2)?

We already know that the population mean is 100.

70 – μSEmean

t =

Page 228: What single samples t test (2)?

We already know that the population mean is 100.

70 – 100SEmean

t =

Page 229: What single samples t test (2)?

Let’s say the Standard Error of the Sampling Distribution means is 5

70 – 100SEmean

t =

Page 230: What single samples t test (2)?

Let’s say the Standard Error of the Sampling Distribution means is 5

70 – 1005

t =

Page 231: What single samples t test (2)?

The t value would be:

70 – 1005

t =

Page 232: What single samples t test (2)?

The t value would be:

-305

t =

Page 233: What single samples t test (2)?

The t value would be:

-6t =

Page 234: What single samples t test (2)?

So all of this begs the question: How do I know if a t value of -6 is rare or common?

Page 235: What single samples t test (2)?

So all of this begs the question: How do I know if a t value of -6 is rare or common?

• If it is rare we can accept the null hypothesis and say that there is a difference between the sample and the population.

Page 236: What single samples t test (2)?

So all of this begs the question: How do I know if a t value of -6 is rare or common?

• If it is rare we can accept the null hypothesis and say that there is a difference between the sample and the population.

• If it is common we can reject the null hypothesis and say there is not a significant difference between veggie eating IQ scores and the general population IQ scores (which in this unique case is what we want)

Page 237: What single samples t test (2)?

So all of this begs the question: How do I know if a t value of 5 is rare or common?

• If it is rare we can accept the null hypothesis and say that there is a difference between the sample and the population.

• If it is common we can reject the null hypothesis and say there is not a significant difference between veggie eating IQ scores and the general population IQ scores (which in this unique case is what we want)

Here is what we do: We compare this value (6) with the critical t value.

Page 238: What single samples t test (2)?

What is the critical t value?

Page 239: What single samples t test (2)?

What is the critical t value?

The critical t value is a point in the distribution that arbitrarily separates the common from the rare occurrences.

Page 240: What single samples t test (2)?

What is the critical t value?

The critical t value is a point in the distribution that arbitrarily separates the common from the rare occurrences.

Page 241: What single samples t test (2)?

What is the critical t value?

The critical t value is a point in the distribution that arbitrarily separates the common from the rare occurrences.

rare occurrence

Page 242: What single samples t test (2)?

What is the critical t value?

The critical t value is a point in the distribution that arbitrarily separates the common from the rare occurrences.

rare occurrence

rare occurrence

Page 243: What single samples t test (2)?

What is the critical t value?

The critical t value is a point in the distribution that arbitrarily separates the common from the rare occurrences.

rare occurrence

common occurrence

rare occurrence

Page 244: What single samples t test (2)?

What is the critical t value?

The critical t value is a point in the distribution that arbitrarily separates the common from the rare occurrences.

This represents the rare/common possibilities used to determine if the sample mean is similar the population mean).

rare occurrence

common occurrence

rare occurrence

Page 245: What single samples t test (2)?

If this were a normal distribution the red line would have a z critical value of + or – 1.96

rare occurrence

common occurrence

rare occurrence

Page 246: What single samples t test (2)?

If this were a normal distribution the red line would have a z critical value of + or – 1.96

rare occurrence

common occurrence

rare occurrence

Page 247: What single samples t test (2)?

If this were a normal distribution the red line would have a z critical value of + or – 1.96

rare occurrence

common occurrence

rare occurrence

Page 248: What single samples t test (2)?

If this were a normal distribution the red line would have a z critical value of + or – 1.96 (which is essentially a t critical value but for a normal distribution.)

rare occurrence

common occurrence

rare occurrence

Page 249: What single samples t test (2)?

A t or z value of + or – 1.96 means that 95% of the scores are in the center of the distribution and 5% are to the left and right of it.

Page 250: What single samples t test (2)?

A t or z value of + or – 1.96 means that 95% of the scores are in the center of the distribution and 5% are to the left and right of it.

common occurrence

rare occurrence

rare occurrence

Page 251: What single samples t test (2)?

A t or z value of + or – 1.96 means that 95% of the scores are in the center of the distribution and 5% are to the left and right of it.

rare occurrence

common occurrence

rare occurrence

+1.96-1.96

Page 252: What single samples t test (2)?

A t or z value of + or – 1.96 means that 95% of the scores are in the center of the distribution and 5% are to the left and right of it.

rare occurrence

common occurrence

rare occurrence

+1.96-1.96

Page 253: What single samples t test (2)?

A t or z value of + or – 1.96 means that 95% of the scores are in the center of the distribution and 5% are to the left and right of it.

rare occurrence

common occurrence

rare occurrence

+1.96-1.96

Page 254: What single samples t test (2)?

A t or z value of + or – 1.96 means that 95% of the scores are in the center of the distribution and 5% are to the left and right of it.

rare occurrence

common occurrence

rare occurrence

+1.96-1.96

Page 255: What single samples t test (2)?

A t or z value of + or – 1.96 means that 95% of the scores are in the center of the distribution and 5% are to the left and right of it.

rare occurrence

common occurrence

rare occurrence

+1.96-1.96

Page 256: What single samples t test (2)?

So if the t value computed from this equation:

Page 257: What single samples t test (2)?

So if the t value computed from this equation:

x̄� – μSEmean

t =

Page 258: What single samples t test (2)?

So if the t value computed from this equation:

… is between -1.96 and +1.96 we would say that that result is not rare and we would fail to reject the null hypothesis.

x̄� – μSEmean

t =

Page 259: What single samples t test (2)?

So if the t value computed from this equation:

… is between -1.96 and +1.96 we would say that that result is not rare and we would fail to reject the null hypothesis.

– μx̄�SEmean

t =

rare occurrence

common occurrence

rare occurrence

+1.96-1.96

Page 260: What single samples t test (2)?

However, if the t value is smaller than -1.96 or larger than +1.96 we would say that that result is rare and we would reject the null hypothesis.

Page 261: What single samples t test (2)?

However, if the t value is smaller than -1.96 or larger than +1.96 we would say that that result is rare and we would reject the null hypothesis.

rare occurrence

common occurrence

rare occurrence

+1.96-1.96

Page 262: What single samples t test (2)?

So if the t value computed from this equation:

Page 263: What single samples t test (2)?

So if the t value computed from this equation:

x̄� – μSEmean

t =

Page 264: What single samples t test (2)?

So if the t value computed from this equation:

… is between -1.96 and +1.96 we would say that that result is not rare and we would fail to reject the null hypothesis.

x̄� – μSEmean

t =

Page 265: What single samples t test (2)?

As a review, let’s say the distribution is normal. When the distribution is normal and we want to locate the z critical for a two tailed test at a level of significance of .05 (which means that if we took 100 samples we are willing to be wrong 5 times and still reject the null hypothesis), the z critical would be -+1.96.

Page 266: What single samples t test (2)?

As a review, let’s say the distribution is normal. When the distribution is normal and we want to locate the z critical for a two tailed test at a level of significance of .05 (which means that if we took 100 samples we are willing to be wrong 5 times and still reject the null hypothesis), the z critical would be -+1.96.

+ 1.96- 1.96

Page 267: What single samples t test (2)?

Because we generally do not have the resources to take 100 IQ samples of those who eat veggies, we have to estimate the t value from one sample.

Page 268: What single samples t test (2)?

Because we generally do not have the resources to take 100 IQ samples of those who eat veggies, we have to estimate the t value from one sample.

x̄� = 110 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 70 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90 x̄� = 95

x̄� = 100 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 105

Page 269: What single samples t test (2)?

Because we generally do not have the resources to take 100 IQ samples of those who eat veggies, we have to estimate the t value from one sample.

x̄� = 110 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 100 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 70 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90 x̄� = 95

x̄� = 100 x̄� = 120 x̄� = 90

x̄� = 115 x̄� = 105

x̄� = 110

Page 270: What single samples t test (2)?

Because we generally do not have the resources to take 100 IQ samples of those who eat veggies, we have to estimate the t value from one sample.

x̄� = 110

Page 271: What single samples t test (2)?

Because we generally do not have the resources to take 100 IQ samples of those who eat veggies, we have to estimate the t value from one sample.

So let’s imagine we selected a sampleof 20 veggie eaters with an average IQ score of 70.

x̄� = 70

Page 272: What single samples t test (2)?

Because we generally do not have the resources to take 100 IQ samples of those who eat veggies, we have to estimate the t value from one sample.

So let’s imagine we selected a sampleof 20 veggie eaters with an average IQ score of 70.

Because we did not take hundreds of samples of 20 veggie eaters each, average each sample’s IQ scores, and form a sampling distribution from which we could compute the standard error and then the t value, we have to figure out another way to compute an estimate of the standard error.

x̄� = 70

Page 273: What single samples t test (2)?

Because we generally do not have the resources to take 100 IQ samples of those who eat veggies, we have to estimate the t value from one sample.

So let’s imagine we selected a sampleof 20 veggie eaters with an average IQ score of 70.

Because we did not take hundreds of samples of 20 veggie eaters each, average each sample’s IQ scores, and form a sampling distribution from which we could compute the standard error and then the t value, we have to figure out another way to compute an estimate of the standard error. There is another way.

x̄� = 70

Page 274: What single samples t test (2)?

Since it is not practical to collect a hundreds of samples of 20 from the population, compute their mean score and calculate the standard error, we must estimate it using the following equation:

Sn

SEmean =

Page 275: What single samples t test (2)?

Since it is not practical to collect a hundreds of samples of 20 from the population, compute their mean score and calculate the standard error, we must estimate it using the following equation:

Sn

SEmean =

Standard Deviation of the sample

Page 276: What single samples t test (2)?

We estimate the standard error using the following equation:

Sn

SEmean =

Standard Deviation of the sample

Page 277: What single samples t test (2)?

We estimate the standard error using the following equation:

We won’t go into the derivation of this formula, but just know that this acts as a good substitute in the place of taking hundreds of samples and computing the standard deviation to get the actual standard error.

SEmean =

Standard Deviation of the sample

Square root of the sample size

Sn

Page 278: What single samples t test (2)?

So remember this point: The equation below is an estimate of the standard error, not the actual standard error, because the actual standard error is not feasible to compute.

Page 279: What single samples t test (2)?

So remember this point: The equation below is an estimate of the standard error, not the actual standard error, because the actual standard error is not feasible to compute.

Sn

SEmean =

Page 280: What single samples t test (2)?

So remember this point: The equation below is an estimate of the standard error, not the actual standard error, because the actual standard error is not feasible to compute.

However, just know that when researchers have taken hundreds of samples and computed their means and then taken the standard deviation of all of those means they come out pretty close to one another.

Sn

SEmean =

Page 281: What single samples t test (2)?

Now comes another critical point dealing with t-distributions.

Page 282: What single samples t test (2)?

Now comes another critical point dealing with t-distributions. Because we are working with a sample that is generally small, we do not use the same normal distribution to determine the critical z or t (-+1.96).

Page 283: What single samples t test (2)?

Now comes another critical point dealing with t-distributions. Because we are working with a sample that is generally small, we do not use the same normal distribution to determine the critical z or t (-+1.96). Here is what the z distribution looks like for samples generally larger than 30:

Page 284: What single samples t test (2)?

Now comes another critical point dealing with t-distributions. Because we are working with a sample that is generally small, we do not use the same normal distribution to determine the critical z or t (-+1.96).

Here is what the z distribution looks like for samples generally larger than 30:

95% of the scores

+ 1.96- 1.96

Sample Size 30+

Page 285: What single samples t test (2)?

As the sample size decreases the critical values increase - making it harder to get significance.

Page 286: What single samples t test (2)?

As the sample size decreases the critical values increase - making it harder to get significance.

Notice how the t distribution gets shorter and wider when the sample size is smaller. Notice also how the t critical values increase as well.

95% of the scores

+ 2.09- 2.09

Sample Size 20

Page 287: What single samples t test (2)?

As the sample size decreases the critical values increase - making it harder to get significance.

Notice how the t distribution gets shorter and wider when the sample size is smaller. Notice also how the t critical values increase as well.

95% of the scores

+ 2.26- 2.26

Sample Size 10

Page 288: What single samples t test (2)?

As the sample size decreases the critical values increase - making it harder to get significance.

Notice how the t distribution gets shorter and wider when the sample size is smaller. Notice also how the t critical values increase as well.

95% of the scores

+ 2.78- 2.78

Sample Size 5

Page 289: What single samples t test (2)?

To determine the critical t we need two values:

Page 290: What single samples t test (2)?

To determine the critical t we need two values:• the degrees of freedom (sample size minus one [20-1 = 19])

Page 291: What single samples t test (2)?

To determine the critical t we need two values:• the degrees of freedom (sample size minus one [20-1 = 19])• the significance level (.05 or .025 for two tailed test)

Page 292: What single samples t test (2)?

To determine the critical t we need two values:• the degrees of freedom (sample size minus one [20-1 = 19])• the significance level (.05 or .025 for two tailed test)

Using these two values we can

locate the critical t

Page 293: What single samples t test (2)?

So, our t critical value that separates the common from the rare occurrences in this case is + or – 2.09

Page 294: What single samples t test (2)?

So, our t critical value that separates the common from the rare occurrences in this case is + or – 2.09

95% of the scores

+ 2.09- 2.09

Sample Size 20

Page 295: What single samples t test (2)?

What was our calculated t value again?

Page 296: What single samples t test (2)?

What was our calculated t value again?

x̄� – μSEmean

t =

Page 297: What single samples t test (2)?

What was our calculated t value again?

70 – μSEmean

t =

Page 298: What single samples t test (2)?

We already know that the population mean is 100.

70 – μSEmean

t =

Page 299: What single samples t test (2)?

We already know that the population mean is 100.

70 – 100SEmean

t =

Page 300: What single samples t test (2)?

We already know that the population mean is 100.

To calculate the estimated standard error of the mean distribution we use the following equation:

70 – 100SEmean

t =

Page 301: What single samples t test (2)?

We already know that the population mean is 100.

To calculate the estimated standard error of the mean distribution we use the following equation:

Sn

SEmean =

70 – 100SEmean

t =

Page 302: What single samples t test (2)?

We already know that the population mean is 100.

The Standard Deviation for this sample is 26.82 and the sample size, of course, is 20

Sn

SEmean =

70 – 100SEmean

t =

Page 303: What single samples t test (2)?

We already know that the population mean is 100.

Let’s plug in those values:

Sn

SEmean =

70 – 100SEmean

t =

Page 304: What single samples t test (2)?

We already know that the population mean is 100.

Let’s plug in those values:

26.8220

SEmean =

70 – 100SEmean

t =

Page 305: What single samples t test (2)?

26.824.47

We already know that the population mean is 100.

Let’s plug in those values:

SEmean =

70 – 100SEmean

t =

Page 306: What single samples t test (2)?

6.0

We already know that the population mean is 100.

Let’s plug in those values:

SEmean =

70 – 100SEmean

t =

Page 307: What single samples t test (2)?

6.0

We already know that the population mean is 100.

Let’s plug in those values:

SEmean =

70 – 1006.0

t =

Page 308: What single samples t test (2)?

We already know that the population mean is 100.

70 – 1006.0

t =

Page 309: What single samples t test (2)?

Now do the math:

70 – 1006.0

t =

Page 310: What single samples t test (2)?

The t value would be:

70 – 1006.0

t =

Page 311: What single samples t test (2)?

The t value would be:

-306.0

t =

Page 312: What single samples t test (2)?

The t value would be:

-5t =

Page 313: What single samples t test (2)?

With a t value of -5 we are ready to compare it to the critical t:

Page 314: What single samples t test (2)?

With a t value of -5 we are ready to compare it to the critical t:

Page 315: What single samples t test (2)?

With a t value of -5 we are ready to compare it to the critical t: 2.093

Page 316: What single samples t test (2)?

With a t value of -5 we are ready to compare it to the critical t: 2.093 or 2.093 below the mean or -2.093.

Page 317: What single samples t test (2)?

Since a t value of +5.0 is below the cutoff point (critical t) of -2.09, we would reject the null hypothesis

Page 318: What single samples t test (2)?

Since a t value of +5.0 is below the cutoff point (critical t) of -2.09, we would reject the null hypothesis

95% of the scores

+ 2.09- 2.09

Page 319: What single samples t test (2)?

Here is how we would state our results:

Page 320: What single samples t test (2)?

Here is how we would state our results:

The randomly selected sample of twenty IQ scores with a sample mean of 70 is statistically significantly different then the population of IQ scores.

Page 321: What single samples t test (2)?

Now, what if the standard error had been much larger, say, 15.0 instead of 6.0?

Page 322: What single samples t test (2)?

Now, what if the standard error had been much larger, say, 15.0 instead of 6.0?

70 – 1006.0

t =

Page 323: What single samples t test (2)?

Now, what if the standard error had been much larger, say, 15.0 instead of 6.0?

70 – 1006.0

t =70 – 100

15.0t =

Page 324: What single samples t test (2)?

Now, what if the standard error had been much larger, say, 15.0 instead of 6.0?

70 – 1006.0

t =30

15.0t =

Page 325: What single samples t test (2)?

Now, what if the standard error had been much larger, say, 10.0 instead of 2.0?

70 – 1006.0

t = 2.0t =

Page 326: What single samples t test (2)?

A t value of -2.0 is not below the cutoff point (critical t) of -2.09 and would be considered a common rather than a rare outcome. We therefore would fail to reject the null hypothesis

Page 327: What single samples t test (2)?

A t value of -2.0 is not below the cutoff point (critical t) of -2.09 and would be considered a common rather than a rare outcome. We therefore would fail to reject the null hypothesis

95% of the scores

+ 2.09- 2.09 - 2.0

Page 328: What single samples t test (2)?

So in summary, the single sample t-test helps us determine the probability that the difference between a sample and a population did or did not occur by chance.

Page 329: What single samples t test (2)?

So in summary, the single sample t-test helps us determine the probability that the difference between a sample and a population did or did not occur by chance.

It utilizes the concepts of standard error, common and rare occurrences, and t-distributions to justify its use.

Page 330: What single samples t test (2)?

End of Presentation