what really wins money · the patriarch shows you how to profit best from the horse racing...

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please turn over... H i, and welcome to September’s What Really Wins Money. As the football season is well and truly under-way, I wanted to kick-off this edition of the newsletter with a look at Both Teams to Score betting and how you can profit from it. I then share two very exciting place-laying strategies. The first required a bit of Miss Marple-esque detec- tive work and the second I found very recently. With the US Open just finished, we take a look at how to properly research tennis matches. Good research makes for better decisions, which makes for better profits. I’ll be adding a library of tennis articles in future editions of What Really Wins Money, so this initial tennis research article is an ideal primer for you. The Patriarch shows you how to profit best from the horse racing promotions at Bet 365. His ideas are an excellent way to give you a better chance of nailing those free bets. The Statman turns his attentions to how we can piggy back the hard work done by the official handicappers and profit from All-Weather handicap racing. I’m pleased to report that the ‘Home-Grown’ betting systems continue to profit long-term. Catch up with them for another month. And we end with the Systems and Tipsters Update, which has had a spring clean. We’ll be adding new services to proof throughout September. The videos return this month: there is so much infor- mation to impart to your poor ole grey matter. These will appear throughout September at www.whatreally winsmoney.co.uk. FOOTBALL TRADING STRATEGY The Simple Both Teams to Score Profit-Maker… Y ou know I like my betting niches, particularly where football is concerned, and here’s another to add to the collection (a collection which includes betting at half-time, and in the 85th minute, amongst other niches). My focus on this occasion is the Both Teams to Score niche. Both Teams to Score will be referred to as ‘BTTS’ throughout this article. BTTS does what it says. We simply bet whether a match will see both teams scoring; or only one team (or neither team) scoring. It’s as simple as that. Take a look at www.oddschecker.com and you’ll get an idea of the kinds of odds offered on the BTTS market. The options we can choose from are ‘Yes’ and ‘No’. In an ideal world, of course, this would be an evens bet, but bookmakers need to include their profit margin. WINNING RESEARCH STRATEGIES: Follow These Simple Steps to Find Profitable Tennis Matches ............................. 6 THE PATRIARCH PRESENTS… Make Bet 365’s Bonuses Pay! ................................ 8 THE STATMAN PRESENTS... The Handicap Stats You Need (at a Perfect Time for the All-Weather Winter Campaign) .............. 9 REVIEWS ‘Home-Grown’ System Updates .......................... 11 REVIEWS Systems and Tipsters Update ............................... 13 INSIDE THIS ISSUE: What Really Wins Money An Independent Review of Tipsters and Betting Systems September 2014 Volume 7 Issue 8

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Page 1: What Really Wins Money · The Patriarch shows you how to profit best from the horse racing promotions at Bet 365. ... An Independent Review of Tipsters and Betting Systems September

please turn over...

Hi, and welcome to September’s What Really Wins Money. As the football season is well and

truly under-way, I wanted to kick-off this edition of the newsletter with a look at Both Teams to Score betting and how you can profit from it.

I then share two very exciting place-laying strategies. The first required a bit of Miss Marple-esque detec-tive work and the second I found very recently.

With the US Open just finished, we take a look at how to properly research tennis matches. Good research makes for better decisions, which makes for better profits. I’ll be adding a library of tennis articles in future editions of What Really Wins Money, so this initial tennis research article is an ideal primer for you.

The Patriarch shows you how to profit best from the horse racing promotions at Bet 365. His ideas are an excellent way to give you a better chance of nailing those free bets.

The Statman turns his attentions to how we can piggy back the hard work done by the official handicappers and profit from All-Weather handicap racing.

I’m pleased to report that the ‘Home-Grown’ betting systems continue to profit long-term. Catch up with them for another month.

And we end with the Systems and Tipsters Update, which has had a spring clean. We’ll be adding new services to proof throughout September.

The videos return this month: there is so much infor-mation to impart to your poor ole grey matter. These will appear throughout September at www.whatreally winsmoney.co.uk.

FOOTBALL TRADING STRATEGY

The Simple Both Teams to Score Profit-Maker…

You know I like my betting niches, particularly where football is concerned, and here’s another

to add to the collection (a collection which includes betting at half-time, and in the 85th minute, amongst other niches).

My focus on this occasion is the Both Teams to Score niche. Both Teams to Score will be referred to as ‘BTTS’ throughout this article.

BTTS does what it says. We simply bet whether a match will see both teams scoring; or only one team (or neither team) scoring. It’s as simple as that.

Take a look at www.oddschecker.com and you’ll get an idea of the kinds of odds offered on the BTTS market. The options we can choose from are ‘Yes’ and ‘No’. In an ideal world, of course, this would be an evens bet, but bookmakers need to include their profit margin.

WINNING RESEARCH STRATEGIES:

Follow These Simple Steps to

Find Profitable Tennis Matches ............................. 6

THE PATRIARCH PRESENTS…

Make Bet 365’s Bonuses Pay! ................................ 8

THE STATMAN PRESENTS...

The Handicap Stats You Need (at a Perfect Time

for the All-Weather Winter Campaign) .............. 9

REVIEWS

‘Home-Grown’ System Updates .......................... 11

REVIEWS

Systems and Tipsters Update ............................... 13

INSIDE THIS ISSUE:

What Really Wins MoneyAn Independent Review of Tipsters and Betting Systems

September 2014 Volume 7 Issue 8

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In the case of South Korea v Uruguay (above), the odds are reasonable. Yes is 10/11 and No is evens.

There are other cases where the odds are skewed a little in favour of one outcome over the other. The odds for Yes in the St Albans v Bromley match, for instance, is 8/13; and for No the odds are 4/3. Generally, we will be getting near to an evens bet.

As well as the traditional BTTS market (Yes or No after 90 minutes), bookmakers do offer some ready alterna-tive BTTS markets, which can increase our payout.

Here’s a list of BTTS markets offered by William Hill online (www.willhill.com) as an example…

Match Result and Both Teams to Score – In this market, the bookmaker wants you to predict which team will win, and whether both teams will score.

Both Teams to Score and Under/Over 2.5 Goals – There are four options in this market:

• Yes and Over 2.5 Goals – here both teams have scored and the match has finished with 3+ goals in total.

• No and Over 2.5 Goals – here only one team has scored and the match has finished with 3+ goals in total.

• Yes and Under 2.5 Goals – here both teams have scored but the match has finished with under 3 goals in total.

• No and Under 2.5 Goals – here both teams have scored but the match has finished with 3+ goals in total.

First-half Both Teams to Score; Second-half Both Teams to Score – The options are Yes or No.

To Keep a Clean Sheet – The options are Yes or No. This is a form of BTTS betting, isn’t it? This market suggests both teams will not score.

Here’s a BTTS-specific strategy you might like to keep an eye on this season. Take a look at this list of matches below. Can you tell me what these matches have in common?

HT FT BTTS27 Aug 4pm – F.S. Metta L.U. v Skonto Riga - 1.14 away 0-3 0-3 n

530pm - Ferencvaros v Dunaujvaros 1.08 home 2-0 2-0 n745pm - Leverkusen v F.C. Copenhagen - 1.29 home

3-0 4-0 n

28 Aug 4pm – F.C. Jurmala v Ventspils - 1.08 away 0-1 0-7 n515pm – P.A.O.K. v Zimbru Chisinau - 1.31 home 2-0 4-0 n730pm - Torino v R.N.K Split - 1.33 home 1-0 1-0 n745pm - Inter v Stjarnan - 1.12 home 2-0 6-0 n745pm - Mgladbach v Sarajevo - 1.23 home 3-0 7-0 n745pm - Tottenham v A.E.L. - 1.19 home 1-0 3-0 n745pm - Villarreal v F.C. Astana - 1.18 home 1-0 4-0 n

30 Aug 3pm - Man City v Stoke -1.19 home 0-0 0-1 n330pm - Red Bull Salzburg v Sturm Graz - 1.15 home

1-2 2-3 y

3pm - Hacken v Mjallby - 1.39 home 0-1 1-1 y6pm - Ath Bilbao v Levante - 1.36 home 1-0 3-0 n6pm - Wolfsberger A.C. v F.C. Wiener Neustadt - 1.35 home

0-0 0-1 n

730pm - Panaitolikos v Olympiakos (O.L.Y.) - 1.33 away

0-0 1-1 y

8pm - Atl Madrid v Eibar - 1.27 home 2-1 2-1 y31 Aug 6pm - Porto v Moreirense – 1.19 home 0-0 3-0 n2 Sep 330pm - Debrecen v Szeged 2011 -1.21 home 0-1 1-1 y

4pm - Levadia Tallinn v Saue J.K. - 1.02 home 3-0 5-0 n5pm - Tallinna F.C. Dnipro v Sillamae Kalev - 1.02 away

0-5 0-13 n

3 Sep 3pm - Latvia U21 v Croatia U21 - 1.34 away 0-0 1-3 y4pm - Russia v Azerbaijan -1.25 home 3-0 4-0 n4pm - Slovenia U21 v Andorra U21 - 1.05 home 1-0 5-0 n6pm - Ukraine v Moldova - 1.29 home 0-0 1-0 n630pm - Viktoria Koln v Sportfreunde Siegen - 1.3 home

3-0 5-0 n

745pm - Rep of Ireland v Oman - 1.32 home 1-0 2-0 n4 Sep 3pm - Hungary U21 v Spain U21 - 1.19 away 0-0 0-1 n

315pm - Kazakhstan U21 v France U21 - 1.21 away

1-3 1-5 y

4pm - Bosnia v Liechtenstein - 1.1 home 3-0 3-0 n520pm - Slovakia v Malta - 1.2 home 1-0 1-0 n530pm - Netherlands U21 v Georgia U21 - 1.13 home

0-0 0-1 n

645pm - Sweden v Estonia - 1.25 home 1-0 2-0 n715pm - Croatia v Cyprus - 1.28 home 1-0 2-0 n

5 Sep 5pm - Germany U21 v Rep of Ireland U21 - 1.2 home

0-0 2-0 n

It is my intention to be as accurate in fact, detail and comment as possible. However, the publishers and their representatives cannot be held responsible for any error in detail, accuracy or judgement whatsoever. What Really Wins Money is sold on this understanding. ISSN: 1741 9018 All subscription correspondence to: What Really Wins Money, Subscription Office, Unit 3, Hainault Works, Hainault Road, Little Heath, Romford, RM6 5NF. Tel: 0208 597 0181 Fax: 0208 597 4040. Registered office: Canonbury Publishing Ltd. Curzon House, 24 High Street, Banstead, Surrey, SM7 2LJ. Registered in England No. 4765425 Vat Reg No. 811 5700 64 © Copyright What Really Wins Money 2014

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5pm - Lithuania U21 v England U21 - 1.22 away 0-0 0-1 n5pm - Malta U21 v Turkey U21 - 1.14 away 0-1 0-3 n

7 Sep 745pm - Faroe Islands v Finland - 1.28 away 1-0 1-3 y745pm - Germany v Scotland - 1.18 home 1-0 2-1 y745pm - Gibraltar v Poland - 1.09 away 0-1 0-7 n745pm - Portugal v Albania - 1.29 home 0-0 0-1 n

If you answered ‘All of the favourites are priced at 1.4 or lower’, then you’d be correct.

I hope you can follow the table above. The first column is the half-time score; the second column is the full-time score; and the last column details whether both teams scored (Y=Yes and N=No).

What is apparent from this small sample is the number of wins to nil. What is also apparent is the number of half-time scorelines to nil (i.e. only one team scored in the first half).

This could be a very simple method of finding poten-tial matches where both teams will not score. From those BTTS niches at www.willhill.com, I would shortlist the following markets:

• Both Teams to Score and Under/Over 2.5 Goals.

• Match Result and Both Teams to Score.• First-half Both Teams to Score.

It may be worth recording the odds offered for these niche markets.

There is another way, a more systematic way, in which you can highlight matches in which both teams are likely to score (i.e. ‘Both Teams to Score – Yes’).

Let’s look at what information we need to gather in order to determine whether both teams will score in a match…

1. The head-to-heads…

If teams have a history of scoring against each other in recent head-to-heads, this in itself could be a reasonable pointer towards a ‘Both Teams to Score – Yes’ bet. Here’s a quick example for you from a match I am researching currently:

(The head-to-head stats can be found at www.soccerway.com.)

In six of these teams’ last seven head-to-heads, both teams have scored. I would have preferred, of course, to have seen a few more 3-3 scorelines, just to give us added assurances.

2. Clean sheets stats…

If you focus on matches which are featured at www.soccerstats.com (by clicking on ‘All leagues’ you will notice that they have greatly expanded the number of leagues they cover), then you can identify matches where both teams find it difficult to keep clean sheets.

The ‘CS’ column shows you that Brann have had only four clean sheets all season (those matches with a ‘+’) and Sandnes have had only three clean sheets all season.

3. Failed-to-score stats…

If teams show a consistency of scoring goals, then they can be relied upon to ‘keep up their side of the bargain’ in so far as a ‘Both Teams to Score – Yes’ bet goes. The ‘FS’ (failed to score) column at Soccer-stats identifies these stats for you. Here, Brann have failed to score in only five matches all season and Sandnes in eight matches out of 23 all season.

4. Both sides’ recent performances in their league…

Take a note of how many recent league matches have seen both teams score. For Brann, for instance, I count that they have scored and conceded in four of their last six matches, and for Sandnes, they have scored and conceded in seven of their last nine matches.

5. Both sides’ recent performances in the league at home (for the home side) and away (for the away side)…

In this example, Brann have only scored and conceded in one of their last six home matches. Sandnes have scored and conceded in their last four away matches.

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6. The Both Teams to Score stats which are available…

Soccerstats does offer an at-a-glance statistical view of both teams scoring:

The first column lists the home side’s percentage at home, away and overall. Ditto with the away team on the right-hand side. We can see that both teams scored in 61% of their matches this season: that’s six out of every 10 matches played. Do note that Sandnes have conceded in all away matches this season, which suggests that we have a Brann goal covered; the only question being whether we can have faith in Sandnes scoring (they did score in the last four away matches, remember).

In this rather good example above, there is only one weak spot, wouldn’t you agree? Brann’s recent results at home (they are the home team in this match), have seen five 1-0 results in their last six.

Perhaps you’d like to allocate points to each stage of this strategy and, using a totting-up procedure, back ‘Both Teams to Score – Yes’ only if you hit 75% or higher?

Bottom line…

Do make sure you visit www.whatreallywinsmoney.co.uk, where I’m happy to post my strongest ‘Both Teams to Score –Yes’ bets for you. The strike rates I’ve achieved recently with these strategies have been impressive.

With the 1.4 and lower odds teams, the focus should be on ‘Both Teams to Score – No’ bets. With the second strategy, we are looking for evidence for a ‘Both Teams to Score – Yes’ bet.

Remember, you can enhance the odds with the specialist BTTS bets offered by bookmakers such as www.willhill.com.

Pretty nifty, eh? Want another strategy to add to your betting arsenal…?

‘Place laying’ profits

Here’s a couple of betting ideas I’d like you to monitor in the upcoming months. The first strat-

egy I gleaned for free from the video library that is www.youtube.com. It’s freely available information and if you’d like the link to the video, email me or comment at www.whatreallywinsmoney.co.uk.

Firstly, what is place-only laying?

Place-only betting is unique to a handful of book-makers and to the betting exchanges. My specific focus will be www.betfair.com.

At www.betfair.com, click on ‘Horse Racing’. Select a race. There will be a few options available to you for each race:

• Win • Place• AvB• Reverse Forecast/Forecast (on selective races)

Click on ‘Place’. You will see a market at www.betfair.com, like the one shown below:

Under the race title (‘19.10 Kempton’) you will see the terms for this Place market. These terms, for this race, tell us ‘3 to be placed’.

Looking at the race above, therefore, if we select Holiday Magic and back the selection at the current odds of 1.91 for £10, we will win £9.10 if the horse finishes first, second, or third.

If we choose, instead, to lay Holiday Magic at odds of 1.98, for a backer’s stake of £10, we will win £10 if the horse finishes outside of the top three, and we will lose the liability of £9.80 if the horse finishes first, second or third.

It is this latter bet, the lay bet, which we are inter-ested in.

We will be looking for horses which we hope will not finish in the first three (and in some races in the first two – check the terms for each race).

Here’s the first simple strategy which you might like to use… The strategy, alas, does require following the live betting market. I will work on a ‘bet and go’ place-only strategy, so watch out for that in a future edition of What Really Wins Money.

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Here are the steps for this first place-laying strategy:

1) Shortlist handicap races of 10 runners or more on the All-Weather.

2) Look for a short-priced favourite in the Win-Only market under 3.5 in odds.

3) The race must have at least four outsiders priced at 20 or higher.

4) There must be four horses under the odds of 3.5 in the Place market.

5) The potential selection must be drifting in the Win-Only market (i.e. its odds are rising).

6) The selection must be layed at odds of 5 or lower only.

I will bring this strategy to life in the accompanying video. The fact the strategy is an All-Weather-based one suggests that you can take advantage of night meetings throughout the winter.

I’ll be monitoring these rules and improving upon them at www.whatreallywinsmoney.co.uk.

The second place-laying strategy:

I found this place-lay idea in some old correspon-dence. I am not sure who it is from, or which year I received it (oh, the joys of spring cleaning in, erm, September).

Here are the rules for this particular place-laying strategy:

1) Our focus is only on Flat Turf handicap races under 1 mile (it’s a pity I hadn’t uncovered this during the Turf Flat season which is ending now).

2) Make a note of the ‘Spotlight’ selection (tip: the Spotlight selection is the same as the ‘Diomed’ selection in the race cards at www.racingpost.com).

Here’s an example of a handicap race on the Turf Flat (as opposed to the All-Weather)…

This race qualifies. Why? Well, it is a handicap; it is under 1 mile (1 mile is 8 furlongs, this race is over 6 furlongs) and is at a Flat Turf venue (Ayr in this case).

We need now to find the Spotlight/Diomed selection…

Scroll down to base of the race card and click on ‘Verdict’.

If you are not a member of www.racingpost.com, then this box will appear:

The selection in this race is Polski Max because the horse is in bold capitals, signifying it is the Diomed/Spotlight selection.

Head on over to www.betfair.com now. Click on ‘Horse Racing – Today’s Card’ and select the Place market for the race (in this case the 240 Ayr).

Click on Betfair SP and enter odds of not more than 3.00.

Enter your liability. In the example below, I have chosen £10 for simplicity’s sake:

You can bet-and-go now. If Polski Max’s odds reduce to the 3.00 maximum odds, the lay bet will be placed with a £10 liability (rather than £10 stake).

The staking plan:

This is a unique staking plan. It is a form of loss retrieval.

Follow these steps:

1) Stake a percentage of your betting bank – say 1 point.

2) If you win, your next selection continues with 1 point (or £10 in our case).

3) If you win again, continue with 1 point.

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4) If you lose, add a point so your next selection is 2 points (or £20 in our example).

5) If you lose again, add another point to a maximum of 5 points.

6) If you win 2 in a row, then go back two steps.Here’s an example for you (the points are in brackets)…

W(1) L(1) L(2) L(3) L(4) W(5) W(4) W(2) W(1) L(1) L(2) W(3) W(2) W(1) L(1) W(2) L(1) L(2) W(3) W(2) L(1) W(2) L(1) L(2) W(3) W(2) L(1) W(2).

As with everything new, it will take a while for this to ‘bed in’ to the old grey matter.

Try this out for yourself. I’ll post selections for you at www.whatreallywinsmoney.co.uk.

Do remember we are betting to a fixed liability in this case, and not a fixed stake, so 1 point means 1 point lost; 3 points means 3 points lost.

Bottom line…

A lot of information to impart to you on place betting, and yet another article I feel can be clarified via videos. So I will work on an explanatory video for you to post at www.whatreallywinsmoney.co.uk in the near future.

With anything new, paper trade until your confidence (or otherwise!) in the ideas is established.

WINNING RESEARCH STRATEGIES

Follow These Simple Steps to Find Profitable Tennis Matches

The US Open has been running these last couple of weeks and I’ve been researching some of the

matches for my Delay React Trade (DRT) trading service. Here’s a template you can use to research tennis matches and hopefully come up with some good conclusions with which to profit…

This free website – http://form.tennis.betfair.com – is the free website which has excellent statistics for tennis majors and can be the only resource you need. Click on statistics and you’ll gain access to the stats you need in order to research tennis matches properly:

Here’s how I use the stats here and how you can too to profit:

1. The odds. Note the odds. Let’s look at one of the higher profile matches from the U.S Open… Marin Cilic played Roger Federer. Roger Federer is the favourite at odds of 1.33. It’s important to note the favourite. The idea is to gather evidence as to whether the favourite’s odds are justified or not.

2. The rankings. The rankings are important. The closer the rankings, the closer the match could be. In this match, Marin Cilic is ranked 16th in the world, and Roger Federer third.

3. Head-to-heads. Head-to-heads are key as they can determine whether the underdog has a chance today, and whether the underdog has a history of winning at least one set against today’s opponent.

In this match, Roger Federer has won the last five head-to-heads. It looks rather clear cut then, doesn’t it?

Look also at head-to-heads on today’s surface… For example, the US Open is a hard-court tennis tour-nament. Therefore we need to focus on hard-court head-to-heads. Roger Federer has won the last three hard-court head-to-heads 3-1, 2-0, 2-1.

What do you see here? You see an ability for Marin Cilic to win a set!

This is important. Also note the most recent match between these two players, the sets were 7-6, 6-7, 6-4. I think tie-breakers are important to note (a tie-breaker is a 7-6 set) as it signals parity between the two players. These sets are largely won by the player who wins the key point or points only, and who has a slice of luck.

4. Recent form for each player on a) all surfaces and b) today’s surface (hard court). Let’s look at Marin Cilic. Here is how I write down his recent form: I write it down by the round he got to in his most recent tournaments. So, Marin has reached third and third in his two tournaments prior to the US Open.

As for Roger Federer, he has reached final, final, final, final, in his four tournaments prior to this US Open. Now that is emphatic, isn’t it?

On to today’s surface: hard courts if you’ll remember. Betfair’s tennis stats enable you to show form by surface.

Let’s look at Marin Cilic on hard courts: third, third round and now the quarter finals of the US Open.

As for Roger Federer, well he has reached the quarter, quarter, final and now the quarter-final of the US Open.

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5. Make note of any dropped sets. A dropped set scoreline will be something like 2-1, 3-1 or a derivative thereof. This is important because the Set Betting market can often be exploited with tennis trading, as well as the more traditional Match Odds market. (Will Cilic or Federer win?)

Cilic has dropped at least one set in six of his last 11 matches on hard courts. As for Federer, well he has dropped a set in five of his last 12 hard-court matches.

6. Form so far in this tournament. We want to see how the players have reached this stage. Look out for a) dropped sets; b) 7-6 tiebreaker sets; c) an ability to fight back after losing a set.

The wins for Cilic this US Open are as follows: 2-0, 3-0, 3-1, 3-2, 3-0. He has dropped at least a set in two of his last three matches. He has had at least one 7-6 tiebreaker set in three of his last four US Open matches, including beating Tomas Berdych last round in a last-set tiebreaker.

The wins for Roger Federer this US Open are as follows: 3-0, 3-0, 3-1, 3-0, 3-2. Federer shows ‘an ability to fight back after losing a set’, coming back from 0-2 against Gael Monfils.

The last piece of the jigsaw is to anticipate what might happen in this match. What do you think will happen from the evidence presented?

From Marin Cilic’s perspective, it seems like he can take at least one set from Roger Federer, as he has done in two of his last three meetings with Federer on hard-court surfaces. How can we profit from this? If we use a betting exchange, then we can lay Roger Federer to win 3-0.

Here is the set betting market:

If Roger Federer wins the first set, we can lay him to win 3-0 sets at far shorter odds than the 2.96

currently available. Why? The market has shortened the odds once Federer wins the first set.

It is this set betting back or lay angle that I like to focus on. Call it a tennis ‘niche’ if you will.

Look for the ability for one player to be able to take a set off his opponent, and lay that opponent to win sets to nil (3-0 in this case) – either pre-match if the odds are short enough, or better yet, when that player wins the first set (3-0 set betting odds will be far shorter).

As it happened in this match, Marin Cilic won in three straight sets, which really was a surprise. Laying Federer 3-0 sets before the match started would have been profitable.

Here’s a quick check list if you want to improve your tennis trading and betting:

1. Find out what surface today’s tournament is on.2. The odds.3. Rankings.4. Head-to-heads.5. Head-to-heads – today’s surface.6. Recent form – all surfaces.7. Recent form – today’s surface.8. Set wins/losses – preponderance of wins to

nil for example.Here are some websites which you will find useful:

• http://www.atpworldtour.com This is the website for the men’s tour and has a great head-to-head facility which mirrors and enhances the stats found at http://form.tennis.betfair.com. You can look simply at head-to-heads, or take a more detailed look at each player.

• http://www.wtatennis.com/ This is the website for the women’s tour and also offers a great head-to-head facility, as well as allowing you a more in-depth look at each player.

• http://tennis.matchstat.com/AllFixtures This is a very specialist site for tennis stat buffs. The stats are really in-depth by game. This website also provides a rather interesting ‘bet rating’ which could be used to help shape your decision making.

• http://www.tennisexplorer.com/matches The stats presented here are a little clearer than the above-mentioned website.

• www.tennis.com This is the website I use for getting results for recent matches.

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Bottom line…

I think tennis is a sport which deserves your atten-tion, particularly if you know how to trade sports, and know how to lay. Try out my ‘lay the 2-0 / 3-0’ set-betting strategy if you can.

I’ll take you on a video tour of these websites at www.whatreallywinsmoney.co.uk.

Now over to the Patriarch and his exploitation of Bet 365’s bonus offers…

THE PATRIARCH PRESENTS…

Make Bet 365’s Bonuses Pay!

Last time, remember, I said that at some later date I’d give my ideas for exploiting Bet 365’s deal

on winners at 4-1 or higher in certain races. Well, I’ve decided to do it now in case it slips my mind, and that really would be a shame.

Here’s a description of the offers as found at www.bet365.com.

So, let’s get the details clear for this Feature Race 4/1 offer.

In two named races every day, Bet 365 have this offer. If you back the winner of the first named race at a price of 4-1 or higher, then in the second one you’ll get a free bet to the same stake you had on your winner.

Or, if you have a winner at 4-1 or more in the second race, then your free bet will be on the first named race the following day.

Here’s how that offer will appear at www.bet365.com:

The two featured races in this example are the 2.40 Ayr and the 3.10 Ayr.

Just to complicate matters, there’s more. Quite separate from the two-a-day scheme, the same deal applies to all races shown live on Channel 4. Again, a winner at 4-1 or higher gets you a free bet on the next Channel 4 race. Should your winner be on the last Channel 4 race of the day then you have to wait for the first Channel 4 race on their next racing day.

Just to illustrate that the two deals are separate, I had a winner on their second race on a Friday but had to wait for their first race on Sunday because of Chan-nel 4’s races on Saturday intervening. I hope that’s made all clear, because Bet 365 themselves don’t exactly do so.

Here’s how that offer appears at www.bet365.com:

In order to access these promotions, go to www.bet365.com. On the far right-hand side of the screen, under the words ‘lost login’, you’ll see the word ‘Services’. Open up the drop box and click on ‘Promotions’. Once at the promotions page, select ‘Horse Racing’.

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Back to our strategy for profiting from these promotions…

I’m not going to suggest that you bet in all of these races. For example, if you have a strong fancy for a horse quoted at less than 4-1, then I’d search around all bookmakers to get the best price for it, and espe-cially one with the best odds guaranteed offer.

Bet 365’s two races per day tend to be quite open races, with nearly all the odds at 4-1 or more. If you don’t fancy anything then leave it alone. But if you have a fancy or a strong fancy then this is what I’d suggest.

We’ll say your horse is priced at 4-1 and that your normal stake for such a bet is £10. If it’s more or less then adjust accordingly. For my normal £10 bet, I’d put a bet of £20 on Bet 365, and then a lay bet on Betfair of £10 at odds as close as possible to the odds of 4-1 on Bet 365.

If your horse loses, you lose just the normal £10 because the lay bet on Betfair covers the rest. If your horse wins, then you win just your normal winnings because you have to pay out to £10 on the exchange; but (and here’s the good bit) you now have a free bet to £20 instead of the £10 you’d have had otherwise. And we all know by now that free bets are money in the bank.

I would normally expect to profit by 80% on free bets, or £16 on the example I’ve quoted. If you’re still unsure about how to use the free bets, then read Clive’s report (called Free Bet Report – email Clive at [email protected] if you don’t have your free copy) to reveal all.

Doing what I have suggested here gives you a very substantial edge in your betting. There’s one last thing to remember too: if the price at the off drifts out to more than the 4-1+ price that you backed your winner at, then you benefit from the extra winnings. Should it shorten to less than 4-1, say 2-1, you still get the price you took when backing it.

Yes, it really is a win-win situation.

If you want a bit more action, here’s something else you can try along the same lines… In the race, there may be two or three horses at odds of more than 4-1 that you think have the race to themselves. (I wouldn’t go beyond three.) Back them all with £10, let’s say, and then lay them all with the same stake at prices as close to your backing prices as you can manage.

Whatever happens, win or lose, you are not going to be much up or down – it all depends on the prices – but what you have done is given yourself two or three good chances of gaining a free bet.

It’s a safety bet where you stand to gain more than you lose, but if that is not exciting enough for you, then on your strongest fancy you could lay at a little less than you staked to win, thus giving you the opportunity of some winnings but retaining your chance of a free bet at the bigger stake.

Clive will clarify the methodology in an accompany-ing video, which will be available to view at www.whatreallywinsmoney.co.uk.

I’m going to finish off with something else I wrote about last month – the hidden information in the Racing Post headings for some races, and how that can indicate winners. Unfortunately, this is not given in their online version – only in the paper one – and I don’t often have access to that. (Note, www.racingpost.com do provide a digital version of their newspaper.)

However, on the days that I did have, the flow of winners has continued without hardly a loser. Surely this can’t be a coincidence?

The latest results I’ve recorded are these… On Bank Holiday Monday, from all of the racing taking place, only one selection was indicated and it was a clear winner. The following Monday, again only one horse qualified and it won too. On the following day, there were three horses indicated which produced two good winners.

Remember, we are looking for races where the horse top-rated on the RP ratings is at least five points clear of the Adjusted Average Winning RPR. On that last day, the Adjusted Average Winning Ratings were 83, 75 and 83. The horses I backed had RP ratings of 88, 86 and 95 respectively. The loser was the first one; the one with the minimum 5-point advantage.

Let’s hand the What Really Wins Money reins over to the Statman now, and a look at handicap stats…

THE STATMAN PRESENTS...

The Handicap Stats You Need (at a Perfect Time for the All-Weather Winter Campaign)

Unlike other publications I could mention (if I had a good lawyer!), I never back-fit my sta-

tistics articles, or look for results first and the where with all afterwards.

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I try to come up with an idea and then see where that takes us as I write the article ‘live’. And that is where we are heading again this month!

Being a lazy sort of chap, I like other people to do as much work for me as possible, but who do we rely on in this cut-throat world I wonder?

Newspaper tipsters maybe? But do we really know how much effort they put in to each race or how large their back-up team is? I’m not so sure!

I have an idea: why don’t we go straight to the top and look at the work done by the official handicap-pers? That’s right: official handicappers are a team of well-paid statistical experts who spend every waking hour watching live racing, videos of racing, replays and so on, before allocating an official rating to each and every horse (after three runs or a victory).

That official rating (you’ll see it at the Racing Post referred to as ‘OR’) then equates to the weight that horse will carry in his or her next race – so pretty important work then!

The official handicappers’ target, ridiculous as it may seem, is for all horses in a handicap to finish in a dead heat.

This means that their ratings are absolutely spot on, so my investigation this month is into just how accurate they are and which horses are worth backing and why. After all, in theory at least, the 66/1-shot has an equal chance with the 2/1-favourite in a handicap, so can we find a twist in the tale that makes us a decent profit?

Naturally, I have to define which horses to back somehow (we can’t back all of them), so I will start by sectioning them by their odds.

The first section will include horses priced up to and including 6/1; the next section horses priced between 7/1-10/1, and the last section will include all horses 10/1 and above.

Background

(Data covers a full 10 years, 2004-2013 inclusive, plus results to date in 2014.)

The first sweep…

Firstly, I’d like to look at the stats for all handicaps, in all age groups, at all UK tracks, over all distances and goings. Figures are recorded to £1 level stakes and include a 5% Betfair commission reduction on Betfair Starting Price final figures.

Horses whose odds are less than 6/1:

Number of selections

Number of winners

Strike rate % Profit/Loss to £1 stakes Betfair Starting Price

Profit/Loss to £1 stakes Industry Starting Price

5,802 1,284 22.13% -£5.60 -£465.80

Not a bad start, to be honest (and worth a deeper look if needed), but we also need to complete the other odds first…

Horses whose odds are between 7/1-10/1:

Number of selections

Number of winners

Strike rate % Profit/Loss to £1 stakes Betfair Start-ing Price

Profit/Loss to £1 stakes Industry Starting Price

4,963 447 9.01% -£253.76 -£907

Horses whose odds are greater than 10/1:

Number of selections

Number of winners

Strike rate % Profit/Loss to £1 stakes Betfair Start-ing Price

Profit/Loss to £1 stakes Industry Starting Price

10,152 372 3.66% -£755.80 -£3,296

Well, that’s another kick where it hurts for your faithful statistician! So there was I, convinced that the longer-priced odds (and thus far better prices on Betfair) would eke us out a small profit.

But no, it seems punters know a lot more than I give them credit for and the shorter-priced options are the only place to be.

Never one to be daunted by the odd mistake, we can now have a look at those horses priced at 6/1 or less who come so close to making a profit and see if we can fine-tune in any way to reap the dividends.

How about if we see if the class of the race makes a big difference – or not, of course? (Note: some races are not numerically classified, hence the difference in final figures.)

In this case, we will be looking at the stats for all handicaps, for all horses, at odds of less than 6/1, sorted by the class of race:

Race Class

Number of selections

Number of Winners

Strike rate %

Profit/Loss to £1 stakes Betfair Starting Price

Profit/Loss to £1 stakes Industry Starting Price

1 23 6 26.09% +£10.14 +£7.33

2 466 94 20.17% -£26.43 -£62.46

3 579 117 20.21% -£39.31 -£81.42

4 1,708 405 23.71% +£51.38 -£87.92

5 1,758 385 21.90% -£12.26 -£150.06

6 1,115 241 21.61% +£4.81 -£84.08

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Some good news again – Class 1, 4, and 6 handicaps all show a profit at Betfair Starting Price, but is there more to find out. How about the going, next?

Race Going (official)

Number of selections

Number of Winners

Strike rate %

Profit/Loss to £1 stakes Betfair Starting Price

Profit/Loss to £1 stakes Industry Starting Price

Firm 135 31 22.96% -£0.97 -£11.84

Good 1,021 225 22.04% +£17.89 -£68.36

Good To Firm

1,217 279 22.93% +£30.37 -£66.11

Good To Soft

559 106 18.96% -£60.28 -£100.51

Heavy 189 37 19.58% -£13.56 -£27.33

Soft 532 113 21.24% -£16.54 -£56.66

Standard 2,149 493 22.94%- +£37.60 -£135.00

Interestingly, good and good-to-firm ground are both profitable, but so is standard.

I do want to try one more thing, though, before draw-ing my final conclusions: how about breaking down the All-Weather by track? (Note: results include the currently defunct Great Leighs.)

Race Course

Number of Selections

Number of Winners

Strike Rate %

Profit/Loss to £1 stakes Betfair Starting price

Profit/Loss to £1 stakes Industry Starting Price

Great Leighs

43 10 23.26% +£5.90 +£1.13

Kempton 609 142 23.32% +£49.35 -£5.06

Lingfield 384 94 24.48% +£23.96 -£8.09

Southwell 370 82 22.16% -£6.29 -£33.87

Wolver-hampton

743 165 22.21% -£35.31 -£89.10

I think those figures speak for themselves, but I will sum them up in my conclusions below!

Conclusions…

In my mind, the figures speak for themselves. Yes we could continue digging (possibly forever) and drill-ing down, but that would leave us with so few bets that most readers would define it as not worth bother-ing with.

Me, I play myself having calculated it out (I may as well make the most of it), and being a simple sort of chap, I like ones I can remember or at least deal with easily. Yes, there are profits to be made via the going (see above), and if you want to play with those, the statistics back up your decision, as do the race classes (1 and 4 look particularly interesting). But, personally, I will be following:

• All-Weather handicaps• Going is standard

• Kempton and Lingfield only• All horses priced at less than 6/1

Which over the past 10 years would have returned an after-commission profit of 73.31 points (the stake choice is yours), with a strike rate of close to 24% (23.76% to be exact), with 993 qualifiers and 236 winners. This may not be retirement fund, but it isn’t a bad little bit of extra money if that’s what you are looking for…

Back over to Clive now and a look at the ‘Home-Grown’ systems…

REVIEWS

‘Home-Grown’ System Updates

Welcome to another round-up of Home-Grown betting systems. They all have one thing in

common: they are profiting currently, and they are as easy as A-B-C to implement.

Laying penalised horses on the All-Weather…

Here’s a nice simple lay idea, which was originally presented by our very own Statman! Find a horse running on the All-Weather (any venue with the let-ters ‘A.W.’ in brackets, e.g. ‘Lingfield (A.W.)’) who is carrying a penalty.

Here’s how to identify a horse carrying a penalty:

Notice the ‘6x’ (sometimes there’ll be a ‘7x’ or a ‘12x’) after Flemish School? This signifies that the horse is carrying a 6lb penalty.

Quite simply, we lay all of these qualifying horses on the All-Weather.

Since November 2013, a £100 betting bank has turned into £344, looking to win £10 per lay bet. This was not helped by a winning horse at odds of 5.32 very recently. Still, in the long term I am hoping that this idea can generate a year-long profit.

If you want to squeeze out a little more profit, only lay horses at odds of over 3.5.

The number of bets has reduced considerably, and with a strike rate of 87% and a profit figure to £10 stakes of £478 (again that 5.32 winner recently impacted profits).

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As we get nearer to the winter All-Weather season, the number of selections should increase dramatically. There have only been three selections in September to date.

Please note that this profit was realised by laying all selections at all odds, so please bear that in mind. There have been some double-figure odds selections, which means liabilities can fluctuate. Still, the strat-egy is simplicity itself and is profiting steadily.

Two-horse race placers…

In 2013 I introduced you to a place-only backing system I called the ‘Two-horse race placers’.

With the two-horse race placers, we are looking at just one bet, on the horse to place only.

The 2013 profit figure was encouraging: a £100 bet-ting bank turned into £469 over the year, place-backing selections with £10 bets. An 81% strike-rate was excellent, and I included only one stipulation: we back selections to place at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only.

Making selections is simplicity itself. We look for apparent two-horse races in the Betting Forecast at www.racingpost.com.

Here’s an example: 505 Killarney Betting Forecast: 11/10 Martello Tower, 2/1 Badgerfort, 7/1 Clondaw Dude.

The selection is the favourite with the bookmakers, which may differ from the betting forecast presented above.

I like to cater for all here at What Really Wins Money, so if a high strike rate and no roller coaster rides is your bag, then this strategy will suit you.

The bank is in profit: backing £10 stakes has turned £100 into £203.83. I remain hopeful of a better profit come 31 December 2014. The system has bounced back from a low of a £20 betting bank (from an original £100). Do follow selections under the posts ‘Home-Grown system selections – two-horse race placers’ at www.whatreallywinsmoney.co.uk.

In 2015, I think the months of January and February should be avoided. Perhaps it’s the Jumps racing, or the bad ground, but for two years now, this strategy has faltered in the first couple of months of a new year.

With the betting bank having doubled now, I hope in the last three months of 2014 we can post some more profits from this little strategy, and record a second consecutive year of profits. As I write, we are on a run of 14 consecutive winners. An 82% strike rate has remained, as per last year.

Laying the favourite in Irish Bumpers…

Here’s another profit-maker in which I provide the selec-tions for you daily at the website. Go to www.racingpost.com. Click on ‘Cards’ and select ‘Today’s Cards’.

Scroll down to any meeting which has an ‘(IRE)’ in brackets. This signifies Ireland. Look at the race card for that meeting and note any ‘INH Flat Race’.

Here’s an example:

These races usually appear at the end of an Irish Jumps race meeting.

Since November 2012 to 14 September 2014, a £100 betting bank stands at £306, laying to £10 stakes. That’s a gain of 20.6 points, which is reasonable given the ease of the selection strategy.

There are a number of other staking plans which I will share with you in October’s edition of What Really Wins Money which have sky-rocketed the profits. One is particularly exciting because the stakes/money risked remains manageable throughout but the profit far exceeds level stakes.

Laying handicap top weights on the All-Weather…

This is another simple laying strategy which I hope will continue profiting into the new All-Weather winter season. Quite simply, look out for horses that are the top weights in handicap races, on their own, at All-Weather meetings.

At www.racingpost.com, hover your mouse over ‘Cards’ and make a note of any meeting with the let-ters ‘(A.W.)’. In the example below, we see Lingfield:

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Click on that meeting and note down any handicap races. We are looking for the horse that is carrying the most weight in the race, on its own.

In the example below, we see Loraine is the only top-weighted horse:

In the ‘WGT’ column (weight) we see Loraine stand alone at 9-13. The next horse has 9-11. Loraine will qualify as a bet if the horse’s odds are 10 or under.

We lay Loraine at www.betfair.com to level stakes.

Since 16 November 2013, a £100 betting bank has turned into £515, which is extremely encouraging. I will continue to monitor this strategy if, like the two-horse placers, it makes a profit for the full year.

The ‘lay ladder’…

Did you try out my ‘lay ladder’ idea from June’s What Really Wins Money? Here’s a quick reminder…

Focus on the All-Weather racing. Focus on Maiden, Claiming Stakes races and Sellers only.

Lay any favourite whose odds are over 3.5, using loss retrieval.

So…

• Bet 1. Lay Horse A at odds of 3.5 for £10. The horse wins. You lose £25.

• Bet 2. Lay Horse B at odds of 3.5 to win £10 and £25 lost from Bet 1. Horse wins. You lose £87.50.

• Bet 3. Lay Horse C at odds of 3.5 to win £10 and £25 lost from Bet 1 and £87.50 lost from Bet 2. The horse loses. You win.

As you can see, loss retrieval does not suit everyone, but I do like to include the odd high-risk strategy for betting portfolios. With this strategy I would encour-age you to take out your initial betting bank if you were lucky enough to double it.

And why not? Since 5 January, laying the favourites in Maiden, Claimers and Sellers to win a target of £10, and a lay ladder betting cycle of only three (as above, only three bets in the cycle) has turned £100 into £911.

The longest losing sequence remains two horses. For how long it remains two horses I don’t know. This is a strategy, though, where you reap the rewards while you can, and profit-take on a regular basis because of the high-risk element.

The article appears in full in June’s What Really Wins Money. Can it be applied perhaps to football matches this new season? Laying teams at odds of as near to 3.5 as possible? I will certainly start monitoring these for you and report back.

The bets here are infrequent, which may put some off. Because our filter is favourites priced at 3.5 or higher, we only had two qualifying bets in August, and so far only two qualifying bets in September.

From our own ‘Home-Grown’ systems to the third-party systems and tipsters that we’ve been trialing these past months…

REVIEWS

Systems and Tipsters Update

For a more comprehensive look at current and past systems and tipsters, do make sure you visit

www.whatreallywinsmoney.co.uk.

I want to begin this selection with a list of services I will be ‘winding down’ on. They have been reviewed for long enough. Some are treading water; others are quite simply not doing it.

Under performing…

Ante-post King – From www.tipsterwarehouse.co.uk and costing £19.95 per month and £39.95 per quarter. A 100-point betting bank is required. Sports covered so far (testing begun in January 2014) include golf, darts, tennis, rugby union, Winter Olympics, rugby league. Highlights include Li Na winning the Aussie Open at 14/1 and Cabrera-Bello’s 40/1 each-way place (9 point profit).

Three consecutive months’ losses have wiped out the promising gains of January and February and left us with a 1.26-point profit, or, of course, a net loss given the subs for each month. Speculative each-way plays in sports such as golf, tennis and speedway are haemorrhaging profits.

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My trial for Ante-post King has come to an end and it’s not been the best of years for the service. As I mentioned in June, speculative each-way bets which don’t profit have been killing the good work of ear-lier in the year.

If you want to see if this will improve, you can monitor for yourself at http://tipsterwarehouse.co.uk/tipsters/ante-post-king.

Diamond Racing Lays – www.diamondracinglays.com. Diamond Racing Lays is one of the services offered by www.betsfortoday.com. Selections are layed to a maximum cut-off price of 3.99. This ensures that liabilities are always controlled and the tipster knows immediately the strike rate he requires in order to ensure a profit.

For £27 per month, it is not delivering at present. With the long-term goggles on, we’ll need some performance during the Flat season to eke out that expected 20-point year-long profit. The parent company, www.betsfortoday.com, tend to specialise in lay tipsters who focus on odds of 3.99 and lower. For me, already, this is a tough task, trying to pick enough losers at 3/1 to ensure a profit. Liabilities are admittedly controlled at these odds.

A 19.7-point loss from 10 August 2014 shoots down the slight optimism of last month’s update. This adds to a 21.12-point loss for 2014 and time for me to call this a day. Lost liabilities exceed profit, alas.

Favourite Lays – www.favouritelays.com. This is another service offered by www.betsfortoday.com and follows their general criteria for their lay systems: i.e. they do not lay over 3.99/4 decimal odds.

A 3.3-point loss for September, and a 16.1-point loss to date for 2014 reflects the same types of losses for Diamond Racing Lays – another service which focuses on laying horses at odds of 3.99 and lower.

Golf Bet Profits – www.golfbetprofits.com. It seems as if this service has disappeared from the Betfan roster. This was about as much a shock for me as Liberace coming out as gay. Nine months of consec-utive losses is too much for even the most optimistic of optimists, and is a warning to those of you who join services whose targets are high-priced winners or ‘value’ bets: losing runs are part and parcel of the game.

Alex Rey’s Sports – www.tipsterwarehouse.co.uk. This service is no longer running it seems.

The better performers from recent months…

Andy Bell Racing – From www.betfan.com, this service has been performing creditably all year.

I left you with a 101-point profit in May, and a whop-ping 300-point profit in June.

July was in loss until the 26th and a day of four win-ners, including an each-way double. What looked like being a losing month, ended 132 points in profit.

August, as I write, sees a 111-point loss. It has, though, been a fine summer for Andy Bell and his members. A 126-point loss for August is poor, but a 5-point profit to date for September and a 516-point profit for the year is an excellent return.

The Gambling Don – This is another horse racing tipster from www.betfan.com. Stakes are typically 4 or 5 points to win and 3 points each way, although the Gambling Don increases and decreases stakes as per his greater confidence in some selections.

A marginal profit of 39 points for June was a profit I suppose. A 2.9-point profit for July is, of course, a net loss if we take out subscription fees. August ended with a 75-point profit, and September is cur-rently halfway through with a 12-point loss to date.

But 601 points for the year is excellent performance.

Victor Value Racing – This is a service offered by www.betsfortoday.com and has made some encourag-ing progress to date. I began trialling on 1 October 2013 and the service made a 35-point profit to year-end.

So what’s involved? Tips are received by email the night before, or on the day of the race(s) in question and are to simple level stakes. There is an excellent write-up providing arguments as to why Victor Value has chosen particular horses in particular races. This is a welcome addition to any service.

Odds are usually very good and are predominantly win only, which surprises me given the prices of some of the selections (I wonder whether each-way betting with its place-only safety net would increase profit? There are some each-way selections.)

I repeat the warning though: if you join, you might join in the midst of a losing run. That is a very real possibil-ity, but all I do ask is that you give him fair time.

Recent times with Victor Value sums up the service. There will be losing runs. Accept that and have faith he will pick the winners which turn into profits.

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A 7.5-point loss for September included a run of 24 consecutive losses. Losing runs of 19 and 15 in August were eased by winners at decimal odds of 7, 6.5, 7, 8 and 11.

I must say that recent days have seen two second-placers at odds of 15 and 9, but alas, you don’t get anything for a second place when win-only betting.

A 128-point profit for the year is a great performance, even if we acknowledge those long recent losing runs. It is a vindication that Victor Value finds enough win-ners on a consistent basis to ensure a long-term profit. Those last three words are the key here.

Zero Hype’s Betting Products – I haven’t reported on these for a while and there are two specifically which catch my attention. The first is called the Lay of the Day.

This service is simplicity itself and is, if you were so inclined, something which you can attempt to repli-cate yourself. Results can be found here: http://www.zerohype.co.uk/lay-of-the-day-fixed-stake-BSP-past-results.php. I have selected fixed stake from an abundance of staking methods available.

I am reporting back on this service because:

• It is £10 per month only.• It has made a 10-point profit this year to fixed-

stake laying.• There are no practicality issues – this is a bet-

and-forget strategy.Some concerns arise though: three of the bets in 2014 were at odds of 22, 22 and 27. This means that, to win a simple £10 at odds of 22, you would have to risk £210 liability.

This service has been profiting regularly, has a low entry cost point, and is easy to implement. So easy, in fact, that you can replicate the idea. Look for one lay bet a day. I’d recommend looking in 14+ runner races. Try it out for yourself, or continue to monitor this lay-a-day strategy. It is profiting.

Update: An 18-bet winning sequence will be wel-come to those who like their betting without the volatility. But that’s only 18 bets since year start. Do you have that kind of patience? As I said last month, this is something you can definitely replicate. Note: 18 bets in 129 days! The patience of Job can turn into a nice betting system!

Update 2: Only six bets in May 2014 – all winning – and a 21-bet winning sequence spanning the whole of

2014. A very cheap price and, to be honest, as I said last month, a service you can easily replicate yourself.

Nothing much to add to the above.

Zero Hype – www.zerohype.co.uk. This service does offer a lot of variety. I have chosen the Lay of the Day as it has shown long-term gains, albeit laying to quite high odds. However, we must acknowledge the profits and the fact that everyone has different attitudes to risk.

And the newbies...

Soccer Streaks – www.soccerstreaks.co.uk. Do you really need to pay someone to tell you to back foot-ball teams at odds of between 1.2-1.35? The guys at www.soccerstreaks.co.uk think you do.

The concern I have with services whose focus is on odds-on shots, and in this case exceptionally odds-on shots, is that there is no real expertise in making the selections. Heck, my gran could pick these football teams out and tell you they had an above average chance of winning!

Soccer Streaks do offer a method of choosing selec-tions: it is standard common sense football research of the type I’ve been espousing for some time in these pages.

So what’s involved here? What do you get for your £34.99? You get a 20-page guidebook explaining how you, too, could be picking long odds-on shots in, erm, no time at all!

You get access to a spreadsheet highlighting the staking plan, which is a rather simplistic, high-risk staking plan (in keeping with the projected 90% strike rate). It effectively tells you to back a third of your betting bank on each selection.

The selections recently have in part been very obscure teams in very obscure leagues at odds gener-ally of between 1.2 and 1.3. I suppose this is not Soccer Streaks’ fault, is it? The season is just warm-ing up, and I hope that more recognisable teams will become part of the strategy soon. Recent losers have, for instance, been teams such as BW Linz and Steinkjer. (Who are they?)

There may be concerns with finding the bookmakers which service the more obscure leagues, and indeed getting stakes on, when they hit the £100+ mark. It shouldn’t be too much of an issue at the odds. You would never be able to place these bets at Betfair, alas, as there is a distinct lack of liquidity.

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When all is said and done, how is this service doing? Well, since my trial started, the service has accrued a profit of £280 with a strike rate of just under 88%. Bear in mind this week that £265 was wiped out of the betting bank by two losing selections and you can see what a potentially precarious position we could find ourselves in.

The service started with a balance of £60, so the return after nearly two months is very interesting. That said, it takes another two consecutive losses to effectively wipe out all of the profit, so some form of profit-taking might be employed.

If you can consistently turn £60 into nearly £280 every two months, then toying with odds-on shots in football might be a welcome addition to the portfo-lio. I’ll keep you updated next month as to whether Soccer Streaks continues to be winning.

The Racing Professionals – This is a service to con-sider for next year. The Racing Professionals only bet between April and October each year, and I thought I’d update you on their performance this 2014.

Well, when you start off your 2014 with a winner at Betfair SP of 607.45 (100/1 with the bookmakers), you think ‘This might be my year!’

That’s what happened with this service.

Since that leg-up, the Racing Professionals have posted 778 points profit: a profit of 171 points on all other selections bar that first winner of the year.

This continues an excellent run of three consecutive winning years.

What I like about this service is its transparency. All of the results are available for inspection. The staking is simple, at just 1 point and it seems to be win-only. (Yes, even on 607.45 shots!)

I’ll send you a reminder in March’s newsletter, but just wanted you to stick this service in your diary. The website is http://www.theracingprofessionals.co.uk and the subs are £139.99 per two months. Of course, if they can repeat the last three years, these subs will be absorbed in the profits.

Please visit www.whatreallywinsmoney.co.uk for a more comprehensive look at tipsters and services on offer.

Testers please...I am doing another call out for testers. If you want to test (and old testers are very welcome), then please

get in touch with me at [email protected]). I have a few names on board and want more.

See you next month!