what is the cryosphere?amfiore/ar5/lorenzo_ch4.pdf · ice sheets ice sheet: a mass of land ice of...
TRANSCRIPT
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what is the cryosphere...?
DEFINITION: the components of the earth system that contain a substantial fraction of water in a frozen state
COMPONENTS: in this report → SIX components
1. sea ice 4. snow 2. glaciers 5. lake/river ice 3. ice sheets 6. frozen ground
some clarifications...
– glaciers vs ice sheets vs ice shelves – frozen ground, permafrost, active layer
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sea ice
Sea ice: Ice found at the sea surface that has originated from the freezing of seawater. Sea ice may be discontinuous pieces (ice floes) moved on the ocean surface by wind and currents (pack ice), or a motionless sheet attached to the coast (land-fast ice). Sea ice concentration is the fraction of the ocean covered by ice.
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glaciers
Glacier: A perennial mass of land ice that originates from compressed snow, shows evidence of past or present flow (through internal deformation and/or sliding at the base) and is constrained by internal stress and friction at the base and sides.A glacier is maintained by accumulation of snow at high altitudes, balanced by melting at low altitudes and/or discharge into the sea. An ice mass of the same origin as glaciers, but of continental size, is called an ice sheet. For the purpose of simplicity in this Assessment Report, all ice masses other than ice sheets are referred to as glaciers.
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ice sheets
Ice sheet: A mass of land ice of continental size that is sufficiently thick to cover most of the underlying bed, so that its shape is mainly determined by its dynamics (the flow of the ice as it deforms internally and/or slides at its base). An ice sheet flows outward from a high central ice plateau with a small average surface slope. The margins usually slope more steeply, and most ice is discharged through fast flowing ice streams or outlet glaciers, in some cases into the sea or into ice shelves floating on the sea. There are only two ice sheets in the modern world, one on Greenland and one on Antarctica. During glacial periods there were others.
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ice shelves vs. ice sheets
Ice shelf: A floating slab of ice of considerable thickness extending from the coast (usually of great horizontal extent with a very gently sloping surface), often filling embayments in the coastline of an ice sheet. Nearly all ice shelves are in Antarctica, where most of the ice discharged into the ocean flows via ice shelves.
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summary sketch
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Figure 4.1
THE CRYOSPHERE
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caption to Fig. 4.1
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where is the frozen stuff...?
Table 4.1
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an interesting point...
Changes in the longer-lived components of the cryosphere (e.g., glaciers) are the result of an integrated response to climate, and the cryosphere is often referred to as a ‘natural thermometer’...
...The cryosphere is, however, NOT simply a passive indicator of climate change; changes in each component of the cryosphere have a significant and lasting impact on physical, biological and social systems.
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item 1 → sea ice: why do we care about it?
because sea ice cover on the ocean...
+ changes surface albedo
+ insulates the ocean from heat loss
+ provides a barrier to exchange (CO2, H20, etc)
also, salt ejected during sea ice formation alters the
density of sea water and modifies the ocean circulation
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Arctic sea ice extent 1979-2012
Figure 4.2a
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some more definitions...
Sea ice concentration is the fraction of the ocean covered by ice in each data element (some lat/lon box, or pixel, or whatever).
Sea ice extent is defined as the sum of ice covered areas with concentrations of at least 15%.
Sea ice area is the product of the ice concentration and area of each data element within the ice extent.
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sea ice concentration trends 1979-2012
Figure 4.2b
“This large spatial variability is associated with the complexity of the atmospheric and oceanic circulation system as manifested in the Arctic Oscillation (Thompson and Wallace, 1998).”
what does that mean...?!?!?
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Arctic sea ice extent trends 1979-2012
Figure 4.3
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central Arctic sea ice trends 1979-2012
Figure 4.4
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sea ice
Sea ice: Ice found at the sea surface that has originated from the freezing of seawater. Sea ice may be discontinuous pieces (ice floes) moved on the ocean surface by wind and currents (pack ice), or a motionless sheet attached to the coast (land-fast ice). Sea ice concentration is the fraction of the ocean covered by ice. Sea ice less than one year old is called first-year ice. Perennial ice is sea ice that survives at least one summer. It may be subdivided into second-year ice and multi-year ice, where multiyear ice has survived at least two summers.
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Arctic sea ice thickness and 2004-08 trends
Figure 4.5
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trends in length of Arctic melt season
Figure 4.6e
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AA vs A sea ice
Antarctic sea ice is
– mostly first year ice
– largely seasonal: SIE varies from 3 in Feb
to 18 in Sep (x10e6 km2)
– thinner, warmer, saltier that Arctic ice
– not enclosed by land
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A and AA sea ice extent 1979-2012
ARCTIC ANTARCTIC
Figure 4.7aFigure 4.2a
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AA sea ice concentration trends 1979-2012
Figure 4.7b
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item 2 – GLACIERS
– perennial surface land ice masses
(except Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets)
– sum of accumulation and ablation → mass balance
– accumulation: mostly precip
– ablation: mostly surface melting and runoff
– new “inventory” of glaciers compiled for AR5
– a set of 19 distinct regions
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global distribution of glaciers
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large uncertainties...
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quantification of glacier changes
– length: coordinated obs start in 1894!
– area: recently measured via satellites,
earlier via photography, old maps, etc
– volume/mass: measured via...– snow/ice stake readings on individual glaciers– surface elevation changes– gravity changes from satellites– “models” that convert length/height to mass/volume– residuals of water balance for hydrological basins
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quantification of glacier changes
– length: coordinated obs start in 1894!
– area: recently measured via satellites,
earlier via photography, old maps, etc
– volume/mass: measured via...– snow/ice stake readings on individual glaciers– surface elevation changes– gravity changes from satellites– “models” that convert length/height to mass/volume– residuals of water balance for hydrological basins
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glacier length changes 1854-2012
bottom line: most of the curves trend DOWN so glaciers are getting shorter!
Figure 4.9
zero
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glacier area changes 1950-2010
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glacier mass change 2003-2009
bottom line: all numbers are NEGATIVE so glaciers are loosing mass!
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item 3 – ice sheets
– only 2 at present: Greenland and Antarctica
– 3 methods to compute the ice sheet mass– mass budget method (regional models)– repeated altimetry (from satellites)– variations in the gravity field (GRACE)
– many uncertainties in each method...
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Greenland ice sheet
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Antarctic ice sheet
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ice sheet mass loss 1990-2012
00
the Greenland ice sheet
+ has LOST mass in the last two decades (very high confidence)
+ rate of ice loss has accelerated (likely)
+ ice loss is partitioned equally between surface melt and glacier discharge (medium confidence)
the Antarctic ice sheet
+ has been loosing mass in the last two decades (high confidence)
+ most looses in the Northern Peninsula and Amundsen sector of the WAIS (very high confidence)
+ low confidence that the rate of loss has accelerated recently
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glaciers vs ice sheets
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item 4 – seasonal snow
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item 4 – seasonal snow
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item 5 – lake & river ice
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item 6 – frozen ground & permafrost
Frozen ground: Soil or rock in which part or all of the pore water is frozen. Frozen ground includes permafrost. Ground that freezes and thaws annually is called seasonally frozen ground.
Permafrost: Ground (soil or rock and included ice and organic material) that remains at or below 0°C for at least two consecutive years. See also Near-surface permafrost.
Near-surface permafrost: A term frequently used in climate model applications to refer to permafrost at depths close to the ground surface (typically down to 3.5 m)... The disappearance of near-surface permafrost in a location does not preclude the longer-term persistence of permafrost at greater depth.
Active layer: The layer of ground that is subject to annual thawing and freezing in areas underlain by permafrost.
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ground temperatures at 10 to 20 m depth
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active layer thickness
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frozen ground summary
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thickness of the frozen ground
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what about GROWING AA sea ice...?!?