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What is genetic rescue and what is its role in conservation?? R. Frankham Macquarie University & Australian Museum Sydney, Australia

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  • What is genetic rescue and

    what is its role in

    conservation?? R. Frankham

    Macquarie University &

    Australian Museum

    Sydney, Australia

  • What is genetic rescue?

  • What is genetic rescue?

    • Reversal of inbreeding and improvement

    of reproductive fitness from gene flow into

    inbred populations (heterosis/hybrid

    vigour)

    • Recovery of ability to evolve due to gene

    flow into populations with low genetic

    diversity (evolutionary rescue)

  • 11 - 20 21 - 60

    80 - 130

    151 - 250

    300 - 500

    Approx. 600

    Population

    Size

    TX

    OK AR

    LA

    TN

    MS AL

    GA

    FL

    SC

    NC

    KY VA

    Introduction to Conservation Genetics

    Box 13.1 H vs. N in RCW.ppt

    0.00

    0.05

    0.10

    0 1 2 3 4

    N

    H

    101100 102 103 104

    What is the problem?

    Innumerable species have fragmented

    distributions

    http://images.google.com.au/imgres?imgurl=http://www.sfrc.ufl.edu/Extension/florida_forestry_information/images/rcw3.gif&imgrefurl=http://www.sfrc.ufl.edu/Extension/florida_forestry_information/forest_resources/high_pine.html&h=731&w=500&sz=159&hl=en&start=18&tbnid=u6oNCd5Orj_F0M:&tbnh=141&tbnw=96&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dred%2Bcockaded%2Bwoodpecker%26gbv%3D2%26svnum%3D10%26hl%3Den%26sa%3DG

  • What are the genetic

    consequences of fragmented

    distributions?

    • If there is no gene flow between fragments

    – Inbreeding

    – Loss of genetic diversity

    – Reduced reproductive fitness

    – Reduced ability to evolve

    – Elevated extinction risks

  • What is the remedy?

    • Re-establish gene flow (genetic rescue)

    – Reduce inbreeding

    – Restore genetic diversity

    – Improves reproductive fitness

    – Reduced ability to evolve

    – Reduce extinction risk

  • How often is the remedy used?

    • Very rarely being done • know only ~ 30 cases worldwide for thr/near thr pops

    animals & plants

    • Estimate that 1.4m pop fragments of thr sp would benefit from gene flow

  • Why are there so few genetic

    rescue attempts?

    1. Fears about outbreeding depression

    2. Lack of clear overview of effects

    3. Causal links between G divergence and low GD

    4. Overly stringent guidelines

    5. Concerns about maintaining genetic purity

    6. Costs

    7. Risks of disease transfer

    8. Regulatory barriers

    8

  • What fitness effects have

    been reported on outcrossing?

    Often beneficial, some harmful (OD)

    Edmands (2007) variable

    McClelland & Naish (2007) fish

    F1 +0.26, F2 +0.16 [SD units] (CI -0.05 to +0.57), (CI – 0.41 to +0.74)

    Whitlock et al. (2013) animals & plants

    F1 + 1.2%, F2 -8.8% (CI -2.1 to +5.4) (CI -14 to -0.25)

  • Those papers don’t reflect the

    conservation context • Only contemplate genetic rescue for

    isolated inbred population fragments with

    low genetic diversity

    • Avoid crosses with a high risk of OD

    • Consequently, I did a meta-analysis that

    reflected the conservation context

  • Meta-analysis aims Evaluate genetic rescue effects in a conservation context

    Does outcrossing improve the reproductive fitness

    of small isolated inbred populations where risk of

    OD is low?

    How consistently are the effects?

    How large are the effects?

    What variables affect the magnitude?

    Do benefits persist across generations?

  • Data screen in meta-analysis

    • Inbred pop + outcrossed pop

    • Fitness data

    • Low risk of outbreeding depression

    (Frankham et al. 2011)

    • Same species/sub-species

    • No fixed chromosomal diffs

    • Adapted to similar environments

    • Gene flow within last 500 yrs

    • Excluded selected domestic species

  • Data mining yielded

    • 156 fitness comparisons (going back to

    Darwin 1876)

    • Involving 77 taxa (18 inverts, 15 verts & 44

    plants)

  • Effect size for fitness (∆GR)

    % change in fitness

    = 100 (outcrossed – inbred)

    inbred

  • How consistent is GR?

    15

    Data: 145 +: 2 =: 9 – (156)

    • 92.9% beneficial***

    Highly consistently beneficial

    effects

    Screen against OD effective

  • What about the exceptions?

    • All mildly harmful ≤ 14%

    • 8/9 likely chance (low power, etc)

    – 1 OD: selfing nematode:

    • low ID & G rescue expected & elevated risk of OD

    16

  • How large are GR effects?

    composite fitness in

    outbreeding species

    • Data: 67 cf

    • Median 84%*** (range -14%-∞)

    • Mean 116% (CI 80%; 158%)

    Wild 151%: captive 51%

    (likely underestimates)

  • Magnitude of genetic rescue effects for

    fitness Taxon ∆GR (%) Trait ΔF Breeding

    system

    Vertebrates

    African lion 347 # cubs weaned/female NA O

    Bighorn sheep 331 female annual reproductive

    success

    0.25 O

    Desert topminnow fish 7500 total fitness NA O

    European tree frog 15 tadpole body mass 0.15 O

    Florida panther 169 composite fitness 0.58 O

    Greater prairie chicken 26 hatching success 0.10 O

    Gray wolf (Europe) 23 annual population growth 0.14 O

    South Island robin 679 reproductive recruitment/egg 0.21 O

    Swedish adder 233 male recruitment success 0.75 O

    Invertebrates

    Glanville fritillary butterfly 211 egg hatching rate 0.41 O

    Mysid shrimp 318 net increase in N 0.31 O

    Plants

    Florida ziziphus ∞ fertilization success NA SI

    Italian ryegrass 43 flowering heads/plant 0.42 SI

    Jellyfish tree 151 composite fitness 0.31 SI

    Partridge pea 73 total fitness 0.06 O

    Small scabious 114 composite fitness 0.15 O

    Water hyacinth 118 # flowers 0.97 O

  • Accords with fitness data in

    domestic animals and plants

    Maize 190% outcrossing

    Sorghum 100% mainly selfing Layers 22%

    Cotton 48% selfer

    Wheat 29% selfer

    Barley 32% selfer

    Tomato 45% selfer Swine 72%

  • What variables affect the

    magnitude?

    Variables determining ID (opposite sign)

    • Stressful > benign env

    • Inbreeding (ΔFm & ΔFz)

    • Br system (outcrossing > selfing)

    • Immigrants outbred > inbred

    • (ploidy)

    • Major taxa ns

    • Generation

  • Variable Median ∆GR (%) n

    Mating system Outbreeding > selfing 133

    Outbreeding 78.8***

    Selfing or mixed mating 16.5

    Immigrants Outbred > Inbred 120

    Outbred 113.6***

    Inbred 51.9

    Major taxa (all data) 133

    Invertebrates 58.4ns

    Vertebrates 94.2

    Plants 59.1

    Variables affecting the

    magnitude of GR (Frankham 2015)

  • Do benefits of gene flow persist

    across generations?

  • Do benefits of gene flow persist

    (outbreeders)?

    Effects F1 F2 F3 Beneficial

    Reduction in inbreeding (∆F)

    - zygotic effects

    Maximal

    Stable at ~ ½-¾ F1

    Stable at ~ ½-¾ F1

    - maternal effects Nil Maximal Stable at ~ ½-¾ F1

    Harmful

    Differential adaptation

    (additive)

    - zygotic effects

    Worst

    ~ ½ F1

    ~ ½ F1

    - maternal effects Nil Worst ~ ½ F2

    Fixed chromosomal

    differences: ploidy

    - Zygotes & maternal

    Nil (soma)

    Present*

    Present*

    : translocations, inversions

    and centric fusion

    - Zygotes & maternal

    Nil (soma)

    Worst

    ~ ½ F2

    Coadapted gene complexes

    (worsens with generations)

    - Zygotes

    Nil

    Present

    Worse

    - maternal Nil Nil/minimal Present 23

  • Persistence of genetic rescue

    benefits with selfing

    GR for fitness not persist in selfing

    species A1A1 x A2A2 → A1A2 and the heterozygosity halves

    in each subsequent generations of selfing

    Persist less in mixed-mating species

    than random-mating ones (33-89%)

  • Benefits in F1, F2 and F3 (and

    later) generations (Frankham 2016)

    Generation % beneficial n Fitness

    median

    benefit

    n

    F1 90.5*** 95 42%*** 39

    F2 100.0*** 13 84%* 5

    F3 and later 94.1*** 17 86%*** 14

    25

  • But what of persistence of GR

    beyond F3 in outbreeders?

    26

    Bijlsma et al. (2010)

  • Benefits persist across

    generations for outcrossing

    species

    27

  • What about the ability to evolve

    (evolutionary rescue)?

    Rescued

    Not

  • Evolutionary rescue for fitness

    benefit/G

    • Consistency: 6: 0* beneficial

    • Median benefit 22.4%/G

    • Mean 37.6% + 16.2%

    • Non-fitness traits 35: 4***

    beneficial

    29

  • Evolutionary rescue increases

    with heterozygosity

  • Genetic rescue: conclusions

    1. Highly consistent benefits of outcrossing on

    fitness & evol potential

    2. OD screen highly effective

    3. Fitness benefits large (wild 151%)

    4. Benefits = f (environment, ΔFm, ΔFz, br system,

    & immigrants outbr v inbr)

    5. Benefits persisted over generations for outbrs

  • Recommend GR for

    • isolated inbred pop fragments

    of outx sp,

    • when proposed cross has a low

    risk of OD, &

    • predicted benefits justify the

    costs.

  • Genetic Management of Fragmented

    Animal and Plant Populations

    Frankham, Ballou, Ralls, Eldridge, Dudash,

    Fenster, Lacy & Sunnucks

    Oxford University Press

  • How serious a problem is

    inbreeding depression?

    a No maternal component

    Common name Genus and

    species

    ID

    %

    Red deer Cervus elaphus 99

    Collared

    flycatcher

    Ficedula albicollis 94a

    Great tit Parus major 55

    Song sparrow Melospiza melodia 79

    Takahe Porphyrio

    hochstetteri

    88

    Deerhorn clarkia Clarkia pulchella 100a

    Rose pink plant Sabatia angularis 38a

    Wild radish Raphanus sativus 58a

    34

  • Inbreeding and extinction

    • Lab studies

    • Field studies

    • Simulations

    0

    0.5

    1

    0 0.5 1

    F

    Pro

    po

    rtio

    n s

    urv

    ivin

    g

    FS

    10

    20

    African lion

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    0 5 10 15 20 25

    N

    35

  • Estimation number of thr populations

    that would potentially benefit from gene

    flow • # benefiting = # species x P (thr) x P (frag

    & isol) x av # fragments x P (inbred)

    = 8.7m x 0.2 x 0.4 x 10 x 0.2

    = 1.4m

  • Causal links between genetic

    divergence & loss GD • Theory

    • Empirical

    Coleman et al. (2013)

    T

    Sp

    STH

    H

    pqF 1

    2

    37

  • Genetic management of

    fragmented populations is one

    of the most important, largely

    unaddressed issues in all of

    conservation biology

    Genetic rescue is a crucial part

    of that

  • A paradigm shift

    39

  • Fmaternal lags Fzygote by 1 gen

    ___________________________________ Generation F Litter size

    Maternal Zygotic in mice

    _______________________________________________

    Outbred 0 0 8.1

    Full-sib 3 0.375 0.50 5.7

    F1 (inb x inb) 0.5 0 6.2

    Inbreeding depression 8.12 - 5.69 = 2.43

    F2 0 0.25 (6.7)

    F1 x diff F1 0 0 8.5

    Genetic rescue 8.47 – 5.69 = 2.78

    _______________________________________________