what eda needs to change by 2020 hogan mclellan

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  • 8/8/2019 What EDA Needs to Change by 2020 Hogan Mclellan

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    WhatEDANeedstoChangefor

    2020Success

    JimHoganandPaulMcLellanNovember2009

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    Mywebsite:www.greenfolder.com

    Myblog:www.edn.com/blog/920000692.html

    FollowmeonTwier:paulmclellan

    Emailme:[email protected]

    PaulMcLellan

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    Emailme:[email protected]

    JimHogan

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    TheMarketisFragmenng

    Moreandmoreelectronicsystemsinlowerandlowervolumes

    Aggregangintolargerandlargertotalvolume

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    AdoponRampsareSteep

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    SourceIBS IBS

    COSTFORTYPICAL65nmDESIGN

    SWisincreasingtheLargestsingle

    componentofSoCDesignCost

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    $50M!Butover50%issoZwareWherestheEDAopportunity?

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    Butnotmanymarkets

    need150-200Mchips

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    Mismatch

    End-productmarketsarefragmenngSmallervolumesperchip

    Design/maskcostsexplodingLargervolumesperchip

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    Aggregaon,Re-configurabilityand

    ProgrammabilityFabrics

    FPGAsWithprocessors

    Programmable/ReconfigurableSoCs Plaorms

    Mostlywireless

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    FPGAMarketSegments

    $186

    $194

    $256

    QuarterendedJune2009

    $MAlteraandXilinxRevenue

    Mature/Base-42%Y-T-Y

    Mainstream-33%Y-T-Y

    New+29%Y-T-Y

    TheNeworcomplexCPUbasedsegmentgenerates40%oftotalFPGA

    revenuewithrobustgrowth.

    Itrepresentsapproximately12%of90,000projectedtotaldesignstarts.

    Mainstream

    Mature/Base

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    14

    Nearly 700 Million PSoC UnitsShipped by End of 2009

    MILLIONS OF UNITS SHIPPED (CUMULATIVE)

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    TheSystemMarketisMoving

    EDAwillneedtofollow

    SoZwareSignoff

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    Transistor

    SWApplicaEon

    ToolValue$

    Measure Model Integraon/

    Analysis

    Simulate

    Verify

    Opmize

    DAToolMetaModel

    DesignAbstracEon

    Accuracy

    Complexity

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    Transistor

    SWApplicaEon

    ToolValue$

    Measure ModelIntegraon/

    AnalysisSimulate

    Verify

    Opmize

    Transistorcosystemxample

    DesignAbstracEon

    Accuracy

    Complexity

    Layout/lectrical

    Cockpit

    CDN_Virtuoso

    SNPS

    CustomDesigner

    SpringsoZ-Laker

    CiraNova

    Solido

    Foundries:

    TSMCUMC

    GlobalFoundries

    Samsung

    Intel

    Simulators:

    SNPSHSPICECDNSSpectre

    MentorELDO

    BDA-FASTSpice

    AgilentGoldenGate

    Test/Measurement

    and

    CharacterizaEon:

    Agilent

    Naonal

    Instruments

    Accelecon

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    ToolValueProposions

    Fasterfastertotalrunme,butdontbetagainstMooreslaw

    Cheapertheleastexpensivechoice

    Beeropmizeforcost,performanceorpower

    Foratooltobesuccessfulitmusthaveatleasttwooutofthreevalue

    Proposions,forexample:

    MostlikelyisallthreeBeer,Faster,Cheaperhardtobeat

    SllgotachancewithBeerandFaster

    JustuglyisCheaper