what data were included?

2011 CEWD Survey Results

Draft Not for Distribution

What data were included? Five key jobs more finely broken out into:

Lineworkers, Power Plant Operators, Electric T & D Technicians, Gas T&D technicians, Generation Technicians and Engineers

Jobs separated by Generation and Transmission & Distribution,

Data on nuclear power (except for total company data) or supplemental labor are not included

Data collected on age and years of service for current employees, actual and forecasted attrition and actual and forecasted hires

Survey data collected in July 2011 for 2010

Who participated? The number of companies participating in the past

surveys has varied. In 2011 we had:• 28 Electric and Natural Gas Utilities / Energy Companies• All Electric Cooperatives

The number of employees represented by the data are comparable:• 2006 – 235,235 employees• 2007 – 267,802 employees• 2010 – 261,092 employees

• Data represents about 50% of all U.S. Electric and Natural Gas employees (Total US estimate is 525,000 employees)

2011 Pipeline Survey Results Average age has increased slightly

2006 - 45.7 2007 – 45.3 2010 – 46.1

Median age increased slightly to 46

Total Industry Jobs have decreased since last survey

5

2007 Jobs 2008 Jobs 2009 Jobs 2010 Jobs 2011 Jobs510,000

515,000

520,000

525,000

530,000

535,000

540,000

Total Jobs for Electric and Natural Gas NAICS Codes

Total Jobs

6

Lineworkers Plant / Field Operators

Technicians Engineers -

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

Total Key Occupations Without NuclearN

umbe

r of J

obs

Californ

iaTe

xas

New York

Illinois

Pennsylvania

Georgia

Florid

aOhio

Michigan

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

2011 Jobs

Electric and Natural Gas Utility Jobs

7

Half of all the Electric and Natural Gas Utility Jobs are in 9 States

Age DistributionTotal Company

18-22 23-27 28-32 33-37 38-42 43-47 48-52 53-57 58-62 63-67 67+0

5

10

15

20

25

2006 2007 2010 Age

% o

f Em

ploy

ees

Age DistributionElectric & Natural Gas Utility Employees

18-22 23-27 28-32 33-37 38-42 43-47 48-52 53-57 58-62 63-67 67+0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Now 5 Years Out 10 Years Out Age

% o

f Em

ploy

ees

Includes rural electric cooperatives

10

2010 DataLine Workers

10Includes rural electric cooperatives

2010 DataElectric T&D Technicians


2010 DataNon-nuclear Plant Operators


2010 DataNon-nuclear Generation Technicians



2010 DataAll Engineers

Ready Now (2011)– Over age 63– Over age 58 with 25 years of service

Ready in 1-5 years (2012 – 2016)– Over age 58– Over age 53 and 21 years of service

Ready in 6-10 years (2017 – 2021)– Over age 53– Over age 48 and 16 years of service

Retirement assumptions

15

Industry Replacement Forecast Based on Age and Years of Service

16

18-22 23-27 28-32 33-37 38-42 43-47 48-52 53-57 58-62 63-67 67plus0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

Total Company Replacements

Retained 5 year Non-Retirement Attrition (18%)Ready Now (10%) Ready in 1-5 Years (18%)Ready in 6-10 Years (19%)

Key Jobs Replacement Forecast Based on Age and Years of Service

17

18-22 23-27 28-32 33-37 38-42 43-47 48-52 53-57 58-62 63-67 67plus0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

Key Jobs Potential Replacements


Lineworkers Replacement Forecast Based on Age and Years of Service

18

18-22 23-27 28-32 33-37 38-42 43-47 48-52 53-57 58-62 63-67 67plus0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Lineworker Potential Replacements


Technicians Replacement Forecast Based on Age and Years of Service

19

18-22 23-27 28-32 33-37 38-42 43-47 48-52 53-57 58-62 63-67 67plus0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

Technician Potential Replacements


Plant and Field Operators Replacement Forecast Based on Age and Years of Service

20

18-22 23-27 28-32 33-37 38-42 43-47 48-52 53-57 58-62 63-67 67plus0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

Plant and Field Operator Potential Replacements


Engineers Replacement Forecast Based on Age and Years of Service

21

18-22 23-27 28-32 33-37 38-42 43-47 48-52 53-57 58-62 63-67 67plus0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

Engineer Potential Replacements


Attrition and Hires through 2015Key Jobs only

22

2008 Actual

2009 Actual

2010 Actual

2011 Projection

2012 Projection

2013 Projection

2014 Projection

2015 Projection

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

Industry Projections Key Job Categories

Attrition Retirement Hires

Key Jobs Retirement Projections Based on Age and Years of Service

23

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 -

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

Actual Non-retirement Attrition Actual RetirementsProjected Non-retirement attrition Ready NowReady in 1-5 years Ready in 6-10 yearsHires

Lineworkers Retirement Projections Based on Age and Years of Service

24

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 -

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000


Technician Retirement Projections Based on Age and Years of Service

25

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 -

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000


Plant and Field Operators Retirement Projections Based on Age and Years of Service

26

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 -

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000


Engineers Retirement Projections Based on Age and Years of Service

27

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 -

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000


Balancing Supply and Demand for Energy Technicians

Demand Supply

Ready Now – Current Openings =

?

MilitaryTransitioning AdultsCC GraduatesRecent Energy Career

Academy GradsUnion Apprenticeships

Ready in 1-2 Years * – positions currently projected = 34,794

Currently enrolled in CC, HS SeniorsHS Juniors in Energy Career Academy

Ready in 3-5 Years – positions currently projected = 29,584

Currently in Grades 9-11

Ready in 6-10 Years – positions currently projected =

29,455Currently in Grades 4-8

*includes Ready Now Potential Retirees, attrition and 40% of Ready in 1-5 years

2011 CEWD Survey

29

01-05 06-10 11-15 16-20 21-25 26-30 30+0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

0.25

0.30

Percentage Change in Years of Service

200620072010

Industry Hiring

30

2008 Actual

2009 Actual

2010 Actual

2011 Projecti

on

2012 Projection

2013 Projection2

2014 Projection

2015 Projection

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

Skilled Trades and Engineer Hires

Lineworkers Technicians Plant/Field Ops Engineers

Retirement ProjectionsBased on Company estimates in survey

31

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 -

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

Actual Non-retirement Attrition Actual RetirementsProjected Non-retirement Attrition Projected RetirementsHires

Retirement Projections Based on Age and Years of Service

32

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 -

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000


26% of Utility Employees have been in their positions between 0 and 5 years

33

18-22 23-27 28-32 33-37 38-42 43-47 48-52 53-57 58-62 63-67 67plus0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

Age and Years of ServiceTotal Company for 2010

0 to 5 YOS 26% 6 to10 YOS 15% 11 to 15 YOS 10% 16 to 20 YOS 8%21 to 25 YOS 12% 26 to 30 YOS 13% 30+ YOS 16%

26% of employees in Key Jobs have been in their positions between 0 and 5 years

3418-22 23-27 28-32 33-37 38-42 43-47 48-52 53-57 58-62 63-67 67plus

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

Age and Years of ServiceTotal Key Jobs for 2010

0 to 5 YOS 26% 6 to10 YOS 16% 11 to 15 YOS 10%16 to 20 YOS 9% 21 to 25 YOS 12% 26 to 30 YOS 11%

25% of Lineworkers have been in their positions between 0 and 5 years

35

18-22 23-27 28-32 33-37 38-42 43-47 48-52 53-57 58-62 63-67 67plus0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Age and Years of ServiceTotal Lineworkers for 2010


18-22 23-27 28-32 33-37 38-42 43-47 48-52 53-57 58-62 63-67 67plus0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

Age and Years of ServiceTotal Technicians for 2010


25% of Technicians have been in their positions between 0 and 5 years

36

25% of Plant and Field Operators have been in their positions between 0 and 5 years

37

18-22 23-27 28-32 33-37 38-42 43-47 48-52 53-57 58-62 63-67 67plus0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Age and Years of ServiceTotal Plant and Field Operators for 2010


25% of Engineers have been in their positions between 0 and 5 years

38

18-22 23-27 28-32 33-37 38-42 43-47 48-52 53-57 58-62 63-67 67plus0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Age and Years of ServiceTotal Engineers for 2010


62 % of the workforce may need to be replaced in the next 10 years 39

Retained38%

5 year Non-Retirement At -trition

18%

Retirement Ready Now 9%

Retirement in 1 to 5 years

17%


18%

Total Industry Potential Replacement Impact on Retirement and Non-Retirement Attrition

52 % of skilled technicians and engineers may need to be replaced in the next 10 years40

Retained48%

5 year Non-Retirement

Attrition12%



15%


16%

Key Jobs - Potential Replacement Impact on Retirement and Non-Retirement Attrition

Retained53%


Attrition13%



12%


15%

Lineworker - Potential Replacement Impact on Retirement and Non-Retirement Attrition

47 % of Lineworkers may need to be replaced in the next 10 years 41

42

58% of Plant and Field Operators may need to be replaced in the next 10 years

Retained42%


Attrition12%

Retirement Ready Now

8%

Retirement in1 to 5 years

17%


17%

Plant and Field Operator - Potential Replacement Impact on Retirement and Non-Retirement Attrition

43

Retained47%


Attrition12%


11%

Retirement in1 to 5 years

15%


15%

Engineers - Potential Replacement Impact on Retirement and Non-Retirement Attrition

53% of Engineers may need to be replaced in the next 10 years

44

Retained42%


Attrition11%


10%


18%


19%

Technician - Potential Replacement Impact on Retirement and Non-Retirement Attrition

53% of Technicians may need to be replaced in the next 10 years

Potential Replacements by 2020

45

Potential Replacements 2010 - 2015


Job CategoryPotential

Attrition & Retirement

Estimated Number of

Replacements

Potential Retirement

Estimated Number of Replacements

Lineworkers 32% 22,100 15% 10,300

Technicians 39% 28,500 19% 13,500

Plant Operators 37% 12,400 17% 5,800

Engineers 38% 10,600 15% 4,100

Total 36% 73,600 16% 33,700

Totals exclude Nuclear


46


Job CategoryPotential Attrition &

RetirementEstimated Number of

Replacements

Lineworkers 47% 32,300

Technicians 58% 42,000

Plant Operators 54% 18,200

Engineers 53% 14,700Totals exclude Nuclear


47

Nuclear

Technici

ans

Lineworkers

Plant Operators

Engineers

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

30,000 28,500

22,000

12,40010,600

Age DistributionElectric and Natural Gas Utilities

18-22 23-27 28-32 33-37 38-42 43-47 48-52 53-57 58-62 63-67 67+0

5

10

15

20

25

2006 2007 2010 Age

% o

f Em

ploy

ees

Almost 2/3 of the respondents said their companies were involved in Smart Grid initiatives

Focus is primarily on Smart Metering Key impact is on Meter Readers and

Meter Technicians

Smart Grid Responses

49

Less than 10% of respondents include contractor labor in their workforce plans

Contractors

50

For more information, contact:

Ann RandazzoExecutive Director

Center for Energy Workforce Development701 Pennsylvania Ave., N.W.Washington, D.C. [email protected]

www.cewd.org

what data were included?

Documents