what comes after iphone? - kritiikkiblogi · after iphone? what comes. speak at free university of...

Wednesday 13.2.2013, 14:00-15:00 Room A101, Piazza Università 1 Computer Science

Juhani

after iPhone?What comes

Speak at Free University of Bozen-Bolzano

Juhani Risku Feb 2013, Bolzano Unibz

Reliability

Are we trustworthy?Juhani Risku Feb 2013, Bolzano Unibz

We start with


The only relevant question: Are we really clever? Winter game and summer olympics?– You can’t trust anyone.

Mega


Back to basics

Examples of problems through boosting to solutionEnergy problems

Admin problems

Food problems

Virtual boost

Knowledge boost

Parking Seminar, Pysäköintiseminaari Helsinki 2011 Juhani RiskuJuhani Risku Feb 2013, Bolzano Unibz

System Complexity grows

2002 2006 2010

1000000000

10000000000

100000000000Virtual Reality

Reality

Supershapes

Parking Seminar, Pysäköintiseminaari Helsinki 2011 Juhani RiskuJuhani Risku Feb 2013, Bolzano Unibz

Example of real

engineeringWartsila-Sulzer RTA96-C

Parking Seminar, Pysäköintiseminaari Helsinki 2011 Juhani Risku

Finnish diesel engine for ocean cruires. Diesel made by ”Me Tarzan, you Jane” mode. Big and simple is better.


How to respect the customer – two modesTwo methods to make one phone

2013 Juhani Risku

Design

Nokia has always had an amazing portfolio of phone models. They have been made on a basic platform with full set of features, usually hidden or amputated to get more ”models” and ”categories”. The customer is mainly confused and hopes some clarity.

Apple has one phone which fit all. There is one iPhone model at a time on the markets. Apple’s product portfolio is clear and understandable. tThe customer knows what to buy.

Nokia vs. Apple


problemsBalance


Stephen knows exactly how things are. But he

can’t communicate.

This boy knows, understands and

communicates. But nobody listens or

believes.

Problem typology


Encrypting?

need


You don’t listen

I have total ownership.It’s open source.

You don’t believeYou don’t care

You don’t understand

Nature of ideas and proposals


Solutionsand

Present competitive environment


TAIC-SIMO modelConsultation, ownership and leadership

Juhani Risku 2012 GGeneral

Channel

Interest

Access

Technology

Internet

Operator

Media

ScreenOEM

SW

EcosystemsGlobal


TAIC-SIMO modelApple and Google in trim, MS bumbling around, Samsung is a start-up

Juhani Risku 2012 MMicrosoft


User Interface

Cloud

VisualizationBig Data

Creation toolsKnowledge mgmt

http://abstractionshift.wordpress.com/

TAIC-SIMO modelSoftware needs and business opportunities

Channel

Interest

Access

Technology

Internet

Operator

Media

ScreenOEM

SW


http://abstractionshift.wordpress.com/�

MS, Apple and Google?

http://interestmachine.wordpress.com

The Black Horse comes outside the monsters.


http://interestmachine.wordpress.com/�

From Meaning to LoveFrom Drama and Beauty to Meaning...

From Truth and Wisdom to Drama and Beauty .....From Knowledge to Truth and Wisdom ........

From Information to Knowledge ...........From Data to Information ..............

Data structureAbstractions.

http://interestmachine.wordpress.comJuhani Risku Feb 2013, Bolzano Unibz

We all are acting to reach higher abstractions in our work. Data becomes Information and Drama and Beauty becomes Meaning.


Input technology

Inputinnovations

Abstraction shift is the change maker


Input is the only computing dimension adrift. Nobody cares about input. Therefore it is the most valuable thing to own in the future.


Formulaof the Machine design



Today’s cloud’s approach; Visualization + knowledge + meaning + drama needs new SW abstraction; Creation tools + SW; Formats + patterns + support + training; Main message: Get Old Media to SW + Cloud business!

”One-brand-products”; ”One-system-durability”; Oversees downwards other devices; Message: Media + content + visualization defines system structure; Old Media parties need system, cloud and SW help.

Home is the center of existence sofa or studio as center of consuming + travel + hobbies; On-line presence; Media + content needs grow; Visualization as a new need; Product: Integrated TV + interior + MediaCloud.

Laptop + PC/Mac tech:s scale to home devices; wide screens; Studio quality first, scales to basic equipm.; Obstacles: small homes, megatrends =powerty, uncertainty. Sony, Samsung, LG and Media Corporations lead.

Quality media center for homes; Replacement and stunt for travelling; Lifts the life/home quality; Brand sign matters; Complexity: ”One ’size’ doesn’t fit everybody” wide product range; Need for 1010 offering portfolios.

Enormous interoperability requrements; Cloud4 to come sooner (4D + VR + AI + AR + contect + MIST UI); Data to knowledge shift causes exponential growth to system; Message: No corporation can operate alone, consortiums needed.

One mobile screen zooms to all sizes; One gadget for 80% of daily needs; Product: Largest business over present PCs-phones-tablets; Mega mass product; Business: Most profit to be used in SW and Cloud development.

Physical size scalability (zooming) tech. solutions; Sensor abstraction shift; Sniff sensors; Battery life; Usability in scalable sizes; Contextual complexity in SW + Visualization; Processor capability in SW complexity.

Biggest user of cloud computing; Trust + Security + Advertising + Ownership problems; Main message: Platform complexity tenfold because of cloud, trust, contextual processing platform owner rules the business.

Zooms into knowledge, reality and context; Profile extends perception to wider existence; From receiver to actor through systemic offering. Complexity: Timely and site context + data10 + relevance problem.

Inherits systems from Laptops; Input + Output + Presentation system IOPrevolution happens here; Local/private management of system; Message: Mac/PC is the smoothest environment for all (ALL) IOP + AI + AR development.

Workstation & Office unit; Light versions close to laptops; Professional work = planning, creation & monitoring; Product: Rather Mac than PC; PCs have SGI/Digital doom reason: PC industry too fragmented. New PC king!

Input method revolution; Presentation method revolution; Output method revolution; IOP hardware creation; Usability; Input paradigms to SW; Output paradigms to 3D “printers”; Complexity vs. service; Lego analogue requirement.

Former stand-alone SW like Adobe CS + 4D + VR + AI + AR in the Cloud; Input SW embedded to screen/ keyboard; Processing in Cloud; Main message: SW development in parallel with Laptops; Developers create great new SW.

Heavy use or luxury (laptops and tablets rule); ”Average Joe creation studios”; Input + output + presentation attracts new users; Complexity: How to offer all needed products simultaneously (IOP + SW + Cloud + AI + VR + AR) !

Parent System with legacy to mobiles and PC/Macs; Center of system progress (needs money from tablet profits); Laptop has all features which scale up/downwards; Message: Laptop new renaissance through SW & Cloud.

Center of serious work; Creation + focus machine; ”Mobile creation studio”; Product: Value + price rises; big quality margins; SW key quality separator; Longer lifecycle; Possible ”new SGI” competes with Apple. MS stalls.

Input method revolution; Presentation method revolution; Output method revolution; Battery life; Modularity; IOP for laptops; FusionDrive + Cloud; Accessory + device compatibility; SW + driver complexity grows.

SW7 shift = Lack of UI + Input + Presentation + Output SW; Enormous groundswell in 4D application offering; Main message: SW creation renaissance 4D + VR + AI + AR + content + MIST UI; Open source + Wikimputing.

Work + Creation + Design + Research + Planning; UI revolution of IOP input + output + presentation; Teach people to use creation tools new user groups SW problem; Complexity: Solutions here scale to other categories.

Bipolar connectivity to own system and cloud; City level data flow; Relevance; Visualization basics–flaw-control–tuning–patterns–formats–brands; Data input systems; Trust+versioning; Separation of open–close–biz interests.

Basic Use Cases + Task Flows; Pervasive + simultaneous problem; BlinkUITM sensitive and faint data processing; Background Cloud quickly!Main message: We don’t know anything about this yet. SW taxonomy shift.

Combines AR, VR and AI to contextual data. User pro-file as basis for data presentation. Eye control BlinkUITM with context + profile + foresight direction.Complexity: Google Street View as standard; Cloud background computing.

”I can observe me and my interests and relations to surroundings in context.” Product: Typical ”made by Sony” product; Typical Google solution; Typical Apple gadget; Very rare & systemic from SW+tech perspective.

Display: Dynamically transparent, BlinkUITM, scalable sizes, standards, Man-Machine-Usability; Critical Situational Usage; Data input tools-methods-check; Energy=battery; Connectivity to own sources; Backupping.

SW needsIdea System needs TechnologyParadigmAbstraction Challenges

JRi

JRi

JRi

JRi

Interest MachineStructure

Today’s cloud’s approach; Visualization + knowledge + meaning + drama needs new SW abstraction; Creation tools + SW; Formats + patterns + support + training; Main message: Get Old Media to SW + Cloud business!

”One-brand-products”; ”One-system-durability”; Oversees downwards other devices; Message: Media + content + visualization defines system structure; Old Media parties need system, cloud and SW help.

Home is the center of existence sofa or studio as center of consuming + travel + hobbies; On-line presence; Media + content needs grow; Visualization as a new need; Product: Integrated TV + interior + MediaCloud.

Laptop + PC/Mac tech:s scale to home devices; wide screens; Studio quality first, scales to basic equipm.; Obstacles: small homes, megatrends =powerty, uncertainty. Sony, Samsung, LG and Media Corporations lead.

Quality media center for homes; Replacement and stunt for travelling; Lifts the life/home quality; Brand sign matters; Complexity: ”One ’size’ doesn’t fit everybody” wide product range; Need for 1010 offering portfolios.

Enormous interoperability requrements; Cloud4 to come sooner (4D + VR + AI + AR + contect + MIST UI); Data to knowledge shift causes exponential growth to system; Message: No corporation can operate alone, consortiums needed.

One mobile screen zooms to all sizes; One gadget for 80% of daily needs; Product: Largest business over present PCs-phones-tablets; Mega mass product; Business: Most profit to be used in SW and Cloud development.

Physical size scalability (zooming) tech. solutions; Sensor abstraction shift; Sniff sensors; Battery life; Usability in scalable sizes; Contextual complexity in SW + Visualization; Processor capability in SW complexity.

Biggest user of cloud computing; Trust + Security + Advertising + Ownership problems; Main message: Platform complexity tenfold because of cloud, trust, contextual processing platform owner rules the business.

Zooms into knowledge, reality and context; Profile extends perception to wider existence; From receiver to actor through systemic offering. Complexity: Timely and site context + data10 + relevance problem.

Inherits systems from Laptops; Input + Output + Presentation system IOPrevolution happens here; Local/private management of system; Message: Mac/PC is the smoothest environment for all (ALL) IOP + AI + AR development.

Workstation & Office unit; Light versions close to laptops; Professional work = planning, creation & monitoring; Product: Rather Mac than PC; PCs have SGI/Digital doom reason: PC industry too fragmented. New PC king!

Input method revolution; Presentation method revolution; Output method revolution; IOP hardware creation; Usability; Input paradigms to SW; Output paradigms to 3D “printers”; Complexity vs. service; Lego analogue requirement.

Former stand-alone SW like Adobe CS + 4D + VR + AI + AR in the Cloud; Input SW embedded to screen/ keyboard; Processing in Cloud; Main message: SW development in parallel with Laptops; Developers create great new SW.

Heavy use or luxury (laptops and tablets rule); ”Average Joe creation studios”; Input + output + presentation attracts new users; Complexity: How to offer all needed products simultaneously (IOP + SW + Cloud + AI + VR + AR) !

Parent System with legacy to mobiles and PC/Macs; Center of system progress (needs money from tablet profits); Laptop has all features which scale up/downwards; Message: Laptop new renaissance through SW & Cloud.

Center of serious work; Creation + focus machine; ”Mobile creation studio”; Product: Value + price rises; big quality margins; SW key quality separator; Longer lifecycle; Possible ”new SGI” competes with Apple. MS stalls.

Input method revolution; Presentation method revolution; Output method revolution; Battery life; Modularity; IOP for laptops; FusionDrive + Cloud; Accessory + device compatibility; SW + driver complexity grows.

SW7 shift = Lack of UI + Input + Presentation + Output SW; Enormous groundswell in 4D application offering; Main message: SW creation renaissance 4D + VR + AI + AR + content + MIST UI; Open source + Wikimputing.

Work + Creation + Design + Research + Planning; UI revolution of IOP input + output + presentation; Teach people to use creation tools new user groups SW problem; Complexity: Solutions here scale to other categories.

Bipolar connectivity to own system and cloud; City level data flow; Relevance; Visualization basics–flaw-control–tuning–patterns–formats–brands; Data input systems; Trust+versioning; Separation of open–close–biz interests.

Basic Use Cases + Task Flows; Pervasive + simultaneous problem; BlinkUITM sensitive and faint data processing; Background Cloud quickly!Main message: We don’t know anything about this yet. SW taxonomy shift.

Combines AR, VR and AI to contextual data. User pro-file as basis for data presentation. Eye control BlinkUITM with context + profile + foresight direction.Complexity: Google Street View as standard; Cloud background computing.

”I can observe me and my interests and relations to surroundings in context.” Product: Typical ”made by Sony” product; Typical Google solution; Typical Apple gadget; Very rare & systemic from SW+tech perspective.

Display: Dynamically transparent, BlinkUITM, scalable sizes, standards, Man-Machine-Usability; Critical Situational Usage; Data input tools-methods-check; Energy=battery; Connectivity to own sources; Backupping.

SW needsIdea System needs TechnologyParadigmAbstraction Challenges

JRi

JRi

JRi

JRi

Interest MachineStructure http://interestmachine.wordpress.com



MacBook 2020

Tommaso Gecchelin, Venezia

Tommaso creates revolutionary products and solutions

http://tommasogecchelin.com


Tommaso Gecchelin is the next generation designer for global companies of products and services. He can lead product creation and design organizations from the front and by example.

http://tommasogecchelin.com/�

solutionLeadership


Steve Jobstabulated

sovereign, supreme

religious

brute beast

natural child

elegant

uncivilized, unenlightened

Tetra theory, Juhani Risku 2012Elemental forces and context as moversInsticts – will – necessity – freedom

imperativevolition libertydrives, passion

Steve Jobs’s leadership model is effective and solid.


Analysis of Steve Jobs’s strengths in leadership. The next winner is that specific company which realizes the need of such characteristics. And hires a super person of the existing seven ones.

Evolution of phenomena

Prim FutTrad Mod

Abstraction shift = mutation in evolution

Primitive FutureTraditional Modern

All phenomena have four phases in their evolution. When stepping to the next level most paradigms and abstractions evolve.


Prim FutTrad Mod

fashion

education as decadence driver

Primitive FutureTraditional Modern

Evolution of phenomenaAbstraction shift = mutation in evolution

All phenomena have four phases in their evolution. When stepping to the next level most paradigms and abstractions evolve.

Have your thoughts and actions declined to Trad level?


paradigmsNew

Abstraction shift in idea and meaning arts & dramaLeadership how would Leonardo lead corporations?Design look how Steve Jobs lead designAltruism free & open & voluntary, business followsBrand product & service first, business followsConcepting main asset like patents, individuals ruleCreation problem or delight and joy first? Quality quality first, loyalty follows

Change paradigm – you win the game. Otherwise you lose.


Datafor media, screen and Internet businesses

Meaning Juhani Risku Feb 2013, Bolzano Unibz

Com

plex

ity

Knowledge

AlgorithmsSyntax

Universe of SW and CS practicalities

Two dimensional matrix to be combined simultaneously.


Simple sample

WikimputingMeaning

of

Systemic

Complexity

HCI

Knowledge

Data structure

Algorithms

Methods

AI

Semantics

Taxonomy

Syntax

Mathematics

Dependences

Size, scale, proportion

Modeling

Relations

Analogies

Nature

Human life

Drama

Maths

Beauty

ArtsAbstractions

ConnectednessConnectivity

Two dimensional matrix and Golden Section.


Softwareand

ComplexityJuhani Risku Feb 2013, Bolzano Unibz

Understandability

Formula of system understandability


Understandability is the science to combine all (ALL) dimensions of this formula.

Contextual data + Understandability

TimeSpaceMatter

Price comparison Shopping list

Tag my things WhereaboutsMapsAddresses

10:10:21

Interest Idea

MyTimeMeetingsHurry

When?Where?What? Why?

Juhani Risku 2011

MIST UI


MIST UI follows quantum physics’ definition of the universe and human cognition. Therefore MIST is unbeatable.

http://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://ritmxoid.com/storage/2007.03/f9b9d34f159c3ff7149230ffad88e3fd.jpg&imgrefurl=http://archibase.net/download/6147.html&h=256&w=256&sz=11&hl=en&start=66&usg=__TGLYjoGrYC51lWHygacYIUJ3VO0=&tbnid=sx2GgF_luv3RhM:&tbnh=111&tbnw=111&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dhouse%2B3d%2Bmodel%26start%3D60%26gbv%3D2%26ndsp%3D20%26hl%3Den%26sa%3DN�

http://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://robincarney.com/index_files/e-mail_icon.jpg&imgrefurl=http://robincarney.com/&h=405&w=514&sz=44&hl=en&start=44&usg=__-tOI-teNFcHR_ZHgG5IvURTmmb8=&tbnid=7QWzyIzroOhzzM:&tbnh=103&tbnw=131&prev=/images%3Fq%3Demail%2Bicon%26start%3D40%26gbv%3D2%26ndsp%3D20%26hl%3Den%26sa%3DN�

http://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://sumagazine.syr.edu/fall06/universityplace/images/film.gif&imgrefurl=http://current.com/items/Paved-Paradise/87185921&h=428&w=550&sz=99&hl=en&start=5&usg=__fxKgetNMkNL7c0VzGdrAGlEpQiY=&tbnid=tCNZrNGbO08GWM:&tbnh=103&tbnw=133&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dfilm%26gbv%3D2%26hl%3Den�

http://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.clipartof.com/images/clipart/xsmall2/16227_matchstick_home_with_red_tips_symbolizing_a_stick_built_house_foreclosure_and_insurance.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.clipartof.com/details/clipart/16227.html&h=338&w=450&sz=91&hl=en&start=72&usg=__id6AcktXvuMgUAoi3cyj8LjH2Ho=&tbnid=KJal4OdxeSASJM:&tbnh=95&tbnw=127&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dred%2Bhouse%2Bhome%26start%3D60%26gbv%3D2%26ndsp%3D20%26hl%3Den%26sa%3DN�

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http://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.clipartof.com/images/clipart/xsmall2/16227_matchstick_home_with_red_tips_symbolizing_a_stick_built_house_foreclosure_and_insurance.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.clipartof.com/details/clipart/16227.html&h=338&w=450&sz=91&hl=en&start=72&usg=__id6AcktXvuMgUAoi3cyj8LjH2Ho=&tbnid=KJal4OdxeSASJM:&tbnh=95&tbnw=127&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dred%2Bhouse%2Bhome%26start%3D60%26gbv%3D2%26ndsp%3D20%26hl%3Den%26sa%3DN�

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Topology

Ronchamp, Le Corbusier 1955


Architects are the topology people. Geometric topology is the change maker in CS and SW, in design and drama.

Tetra analyses

acid, drown for lifewater

earth

fire

airpollution clean

on the loose control

reserved free


Always start from human being and the Universe. Ideas, understanding, meaning and actions follow.

Tetra structure defines four dimensions of every phenomenon. When only three dimensions – one is missing. When five or more – you have obviously too much overlap.

New maths 1Topology

Tetra

Function

Man & Universe

MIST

Start from man and universe


We need new mathematics to describe, manage and create the future. Risku’s list 1.

http://anniescostumes.com/fiftiesdelw.htm�

New maths 2Trad-Mod-Fut

Knowledge

Megatrend

Interest Machine

Wikimploi Interest Machine Home Library Town

Prim-

structure

mathematics

WikinomicsWikimputing

WikiworkJuhani Risku Feb 2013, Bolzano Unibz

We need new mathematics to describe, manage and create the future. Risku’s list 2.

Composition – Escher’s design pattern


Every solution is based on sketchs. Risku’s rule of sketching: Good sketchs – good design.

New Moore’s law:

Double or triple abstraction level

every second year.


Then you double and triple profits and advantages. You may also use numbers 4 and 5.

“Any advanced technology is very close to magic.”Futurist Arthur C. Clarke's statement:


Thank you.


Juhani RiskuFacts

Juhani Risku’s biographyJuhani Risku has a career in arts & crafts, drama and technology. He started as a toolmaker in a power plant, continued as an architect where he planned and constrcuted buildingins according to his own theory of architecture He has engineered several concert halls and music studios as an acoustician, and finally he run his own carpenter´s workshop as cabinetmaker. Beside arts & crafts Risku has been teaching scenography, stage and costume design at Tampere university´s Drama studio for seven years. He has worked at several public theaters and directed documentary films.

Architect Risku´s nine years at Nokia consisted of Usability, User Experience Design and Innovation management. During some Nokia years he executed training for 3,5 million Forum Nokia developers and run Nokia showroom supporting operator, investor, analyst and journalist relations. After leaving Nokia in 2009 he wrote a book "New Nokia - the manuscript" which describes Nokia´s biggest problems and how to solve them. Risku has his own concept of Creative Organisation for future product creation.

Today Risku acts as strategist for companies in design and consumer product based businesses. He is Chief Creative Officer at Divalo ltd.

Juhani Risku, CCO, architect SAFA, acoustician, designerInari – Lapland, FinlandTel +3585062326 [email protected]://wikimploi.wordpress.com/http://abstractionshift.wordpress.com/http://interestmachine.wordpress.com/http://www.linkedin.com/pub/juhani-risku/0/278/aa2

Photo: Bohyun Han

Nokia Innovation Center, concept 2006 by RiskuMaison Björk, Iceland, concept 2006 by Risku


mailto:[email protected]�

http://wikimploi.wordpress.com/�


Juhani Riskuarchitect SAFA, designer

Inari, Lapland – Finland

Riding Segway i2 and sketching with Staedtler Mars. Sept. 2010

Juhani Risku, CCO, Divalo ltd Juhani Risku Feb 2013, Bolzano Unibz

Juhani Risku on Segway, CCO, Divalo ltd Juhani Risku Feb 2013, Bolzano Unibz

what comes after iphone? - kritiikkiblogi · after iphone? what comes. speak at free university of...

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