WHAT CAN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES EXPECR FROM

THE DOHA ROUND?

by Michel PETIT

GENERAL RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN TRADE AND

DEVELOPMENT

• Trade Restrictions as Self-Inflicted Wounds

See Krueger et al.

• Sector Policies as Partial Offsets

> Legitimacy of Unilateral Liberalization

« The Washington Consensus »

BUT…COMPLICATIONS AROSE

• MISTAKES WERE MADEe.g. « Filières in Côte d’Ivoire »

• THE WASHINGTON CONSENSUS WAS CRITICIZED

e.g. Stiglitz

• TACTICAL QUESTION: WISDOM OF UNILATERAL DISARMAMENT?

LOOKING MORE CLOSELY AT THE GATT/WTO

PROCESS

• LIBERAL IDEOLOGY/MERCANTILIST BEHAVIOUR

• NATURE OF THE URAA:

- Seen from Japan, France, USA, Australia

- Seen from India, Brazil, Mali

IMPLICATIONS FOR DEVELOPING COUNTRIES IN

THE DOHA ROUND

• TEMPTATION TO FIGHT ALL OECD COUNTRY SUBSIDIES

• HOW TO SUCCEED BEYOND CANCUN: POLITICAL REALITIES IN OECD COUNTRIES