welcome to the breakfast at the bmc lecture series

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Welcome to the Breakfast at the BMC Lecture Series Is California’s state of emergency restrictions on water usage affecting the San Diego economy and real estate industry?

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Welcome to theBreakfast at the BMC

Lecture Series

Is California’s state of emergency restrictions on water usage affecting the San Diego economy

and real estate industry?

A special thanks to our sponsors:Corporate Sponsors

Breakfast Sponsors

Media Sponsor

Burnham-Moores Center for Real EstateSeptember 22, 2015

Maureen A. Stapleton, General Manager

4

Total = 578,000 AF

Metropolitan Water District 552,000 AF

95%

Local Supplies26,000 AF

5%

55

San Diego Business Leaders“Never Again!”

“No More Water Shortages!”

San Diego has very few natural water assets

Employ resource strategies unique to local conditions

No single resource strategy can manage all uncertainties

6

Reclaimed water pipelines

Multi-faceted approach• Conservation• New diversified supplies

• Imported• Local

• Infrastructure improvements

Lining the Coachella Canal

Imperial Irrigation District transfer Term: 45 to 75 years 100,000 acre-feet in 2015 Ramps up to 200,000 AF/year by 2021

Canal-lining projects 80,000 AF/year for 110 years

Higher priority than MWD’s Colorado River supplies

34% of region’s supply in 2020

IID and Canal Lining Deliveries 2003-2021

7

Above: All American Canal under construction.Below: Completed canal adjacent to old earthen canal.

Carlsbad Seawater Desalination Project• $1 billion investment• 56,000 acre-

feet/year of drought-proof supplies• Largest seawater

desalination facility in North America

• Expected on-line in Fall 2015

8

City of San Diego Pure Water: 96,000 AF/year Padre Dam Advanced Purification Program: up to 3,000AF/year 11 Water Authority agencies pursuing potable reuse, with

potential for up to 100,000 AF/year by 2035

9

Padre Dam Advanced Water Purification Demonstration Facility

City of San Diego Advanced Water Purification Demonstration Facility

10

$2 Billion Invested in Infrastructure Since 2003$416 million $394 million

$208 million

$1 billion

235216

190

152143

167

100

150

200

25019 90 20 00 20 05 20 10 20 15 20 20

Tota

l Pot

able

GPC

D

State

The reduction in potable per capita water use since 1990 offsets the need for over 300 000

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1991

550 TAF 95%

28 TAF 5%

Total = 578 TAF

TAF=Thousand Acre-Feet

Imperial Irrigation District Transfer

Metropolitan Water District

All American & Coachella Canal Lining

Local Surface Water

Groundwater

Recycled Water

Seawater Desalination Potable Reuse (Includes conceptual and planned projects)

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2015

Total = 534 TAF

304 TAF 57%

5 TAF 1%

18 TAF 3%

27 TAF 5%

80 TAF 15%100 TAF

19%

Estimated 2020

Total = 587 TAF

150 TAF 26%

48 TAF 8%

27 TAF 5%

44 TAF 7%

80 TAF 14%

190 TAF 32%

48 TAF 8%

Projected 2035

Total = 680 TAF

120 TAF 18%

50 TAF 7%

30 TAF 4%

50 TAF 7%80 TAF

12%

200 TAF 30%

50 TAF 7%

100 TAF 15%

Actions San Diego Implementing?

• Make conservation a way of life• Increase regional self-reliance and integrated

water management • Manage and prepare for dry periods• Expand water storage capacity and improve

groundwater management• Increase operational and regulatory efficiency• Identify sustainable and integrated financing

opportunities

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* 2015 dollars

Growing San Diego’s Economy on Less Water: 1990 vs. 2015

Potable water use (thousand acre-feet)

Cost of water per acre-foot (full service treated water rate)

Population (millions) Gross Domestic Product (billions)

Jobs (millions)

Potable gallons per capita daily use

641507

2.43.2

235143

.971.3

$114*

$218

$505*

$1365

1990 2015

142015 numbers estimated as of 8/7/2015

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Sacramento River Runoff is the sum of Sacramento River flow at Bend Bridge, Feather River inflow to Lake Oroville, Yuba River flow at Smartville, and American River inflow to Folsom

Source: DWR

Droughts are Common in CaliforniaSacramento River Unimpaired Runoff through 2015

2014

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2006 Water Shortage and Drought Response Plan◦ Regional actions taken to lessen

severity of shortage conditions in San Diego region ◦ Includes allocation methodology◦ Activated February 2014

2008 Model Drought Response Ordinance◦ Levels with corresponding water-use

restrictions◦ Consistent region-wide response◦ Declared Drought Alert Level in

July 2014

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Adopt restrictions requiring 25% reduction in potable urban water use June 2015 through February 2016

Prohibit irrigation of ornamental turf on public street medians with potable water

Prohibit irrigation with potable water in new construction that is not delivered by drip or micro-spray systems

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Supply allocation from Metropolitan Water District• MWD ordered Level 3, 15% cutback• July 1, 2015 – June 30, 2016 allocation period• Agencies pay surcharge if they exceed

Demand reductions required statewide• State Water Board’s May 5

emergency conservation regulations Establish individual reduction targets

for each member agency Do not impact commercial agriculture

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28%20%

36%

20%20%20%

32%

20%20%

32%36%

28%32%

16%

28%36%

12%

24%

36%

20%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%Ca

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cean

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SWRCB Emergency RegulationWater Authority Member Agency Conservation Requirements

~20% Region

21

- 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000

Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Pota

ble

M&I

Use

(AF) Months in 2013

2015 - 2016-30%

-

22

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Supp

ly (T

AF)

~1%

Estimated FY 2016 Potable M&I Demand ~ 523 TAF *

Local Supplies 25 TAF

Long-Term Colorado River Transfers 180 TAF

Water Authority CDP 39 TAF

MWD InitialAllocation

M&I274 TAF

* Based on actual FY 2014, escalated at 1/2% per year. MWD supply allocation in effect 7/1/15 through June 30, 2016. 2

3

Building a reliable water supply requires both demand reduction and new supply development◦ The State, driven by

current drought crisis, has primarily focused on demand reduction

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Demand Reduction

New Supply Development

Regulations do not include credit for new, drought-proof supply development, such as seawater desalination and potable reuse

State Board agreed to form workgroups:• Early investments in conservation

and drought-proof local supply development

• Refine tiers to reflect climate, lot size, etc.

• Health and safety considerations Workgroup held its 1st meeting in late Aug.

25

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Demand reduction alone will not meet California’s need for a reliable water supply

2015 2040 Growth Percent Increase

State of California$2.3 Trillion Economy 39 million 47 million 8 million 21%

San Diego County$206 Billion Economy 3.2 million 3.8 million .6 million 19%

Source: California Department of Finance population projections

Continued advocacy at State Water Resources Control Board to achieve credit for new, drought-proof water supplies◦ Focus: protecting commercial,

industrial and institutional economy

Need business community’s continued support and advocacy

27

28

Water conserved by residents and businesses is being stored in the newly expanded San Vicente Reservoir◦ 42,000 AF of 100,000 AF

carryover supplies stored to date Potential to store 100,000

AF by June 30, 2016◦ Reservoir already holds

36,000 AF of 52,000 AF emergency storage target

July 31, 2015: Elevation 680’

San Vicente Reservoir: Month Date, 2015, Elevation XXX’

Commercial Programs

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High-Efficiency Toilets (Tank-Type) In-stem Flow Regulators

High-Efficiency Toilets (Flushometer) Soil Moisture Sensor Systems

High-Efficiency Clothes Washers Connectionless Food Steamers

Ultra Low and Zero Water Urinals Air-cooled Ice Machines

Plumbing Flow Control Valves Cooling Tower Conductivity Controllers

Irrigation Controllers Cooling Tower ph Controllers

Rotating Nozzles for Pop-up Spray Heads Dry Vacuum Pumps

Large Rotary Nozzles Laminar Flow Restrictors

Incentives

Water-efficiency audits

More info at WaterSmartSD.org

A special thanks to our sponsors:Corporate Sponsors

Breakfast Sponsors

Media Sponsor