welcome to the breakfast at the bmc lecture series
TRANSCRIPT
Welcome to theBreakfast at the BMC
Lecture Series
Is California’s state of emergency restrictions on water usage affecting the San Diego economy
and real estate industry?
San Diego has very few natural water assets
Employ resource strategies unique to local conditions
No single resource strategy can manage all uncertainties
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Reclaimed water pipelines
Multi-faceted approach• Conservation• New diversified supplies
• Imported• Local
• Infrastructure improvements
Lining the Coachella Canal
Imperial Irrigation District transfer Term: 45 to 75 years 100,000 acre-feet in 2015 Ramps up to 200,000 AF/year by 2021
Canal-lining projects 80,000 AF/year for 110 years
Higher priority than MWD’s Colorado River supplies
34% of region’s supply in 2020
IID and Canal Lining Deliveries 2003-2021
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Above: All American Canal under construction.Below: Completed canal adjacent to old earthen canal.
Carlsbad Seawater Desalination Project• $1 billion investment• 56,000 acre-
feet/year of drought-proof supplies• Largest seawater
desalination facility in North America
• Expected on-line in Fall 2015
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City of San Diego Pure Water: 96,000 AF/year Padre Dam Advanced Purification Program: up to 3,000AF/year 11 Water Authority agencies pursuing potable reuse, with
potential for up to 100,000 AF/year by 2035
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Padre Dam Advanced Water Purification Demonstration Facility
City of San Diego Advanced Water Purification Demonstration Facility
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$2 Billion Invested in Infrastructure Since 2003$416 million $394 million
$208 million
$1 billion
235216
190
152143
167
100
150
200
25019 90 20 00 20 05 20 10 20 15 20 20
Tota
l Pot
able
GPC
D
State
The reduction in potable per capita water use since 1990 offsets the need for over 300 000
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1991
550 TAF 95%
28 TAF 5%
Total = 578 TAF
TAF=Thousand Acre-Feet
Imperial Irrigation District Transfer
Metropolitan Water District
All American & Coachella Canal Lining
Local Surface Water
Groundwater
Recycled Water
Seawater Desalination Potable Reuse (Includes conceptual and planned projects)
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2015
Total = 534 TAF
304 TAF 57%
5 TAF 1%
18 TAF 3%
27 TAF 5%
80 TAF 15%100 TAF
19%
Estimated 2020
Total = 587 TAF
150 TAF 26%
48 TAF 8%
27 TAF 5%
44 TAF 7%
80 TAF 14%
190 TAF 32%
48 TAF 8%
Projected 2035
Total = 680 TAF
120 TAF 18%
50 TAF 7%
30 TAF 4%
50 TAF 7%80 TAF
12%
200 TAF 30%
50 TAF 7%
100 TAF 15%
Actions San Diego Implementing?
• Make conservation a way of life• Increase regional self-reliance and integrated
water management • Manage and prepare for dry periods• Expand water storage capacity and improve
groundwater management• Increase operational and regulatory efficiency• Identify sustainable and integrated financing
opportunities
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* 2015 dollars
Growing San Diego’s Economy on Less Water: 1990 vs. 2015
Potable water use (thousand acre-feet)
Cost of water per acre-foot (full service treated water rate)
Population (millions) Gross Domestic Product (billions)
Jobs (millions)
Potable gallons per capita daily use
641507
2.43.2
235143
.971.3
$114*
$218
$505*
$1365
1990 2015
142015 numbers estimated as of 8/7/2015
Sacramento River Runoff is the sum of Sacramento River flow at Bend Bridge, Feather River inflow to Lake Oroville, Yuba River flow at Smartville, and American River inflow to Folsom
Source: DWR
Droughts are Common in CaliforniaSacramento River Unimpaired Runoff through 2015
2014
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January 2013 February 2014
NASA Satellite Images
Lake Tahoe
January 2015
2006 Water Shortage and Drought Response Plan◦ Regional actions taken to lessen
severity of shortage conditions in San Diego region ◦ Includes allocation methodology◦ Activated February 2014
2008 Model Drought Response Ordinance◦ Levels with corresponding water-use
restrictions◦ Consistent region-wide response◦ Declared Drought Alert Level in
July 2014
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Adopt restrictions requiring 25% reduction in potable urban water use June 2015 through February 2016
Prohibit irrigation of ornamental turf on public street medians with potable water
Prohibit irrigation with potable water in new construction that is not delivered by drip or micro-spray systems
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Supply allocation from Metropolitan Water District• MWD ordered Level 3, 15% cutback• July 1, 2015 – June 30, 2016 allocation period• Agencies pay surcharge if they exceed
Demand reductions required statewide• State Water Board’s May 5
emergency conservation regulations Establish individual reduction targets
for each member agency Do not impact commercial agriculture
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28%20%
36%
20%20%20%
32%
20%20%
32%36%
28%32%
16%
28%36%
12%
24%
36%
20%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%Ca
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dEs
cond
ido
Fallb
rook
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Hel
ix W
DLa
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DO
cean
side
Oliv
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in M
WD
Ota
y W
DPa
dre
Dam
MW
DPo
way
Rain
bow
MW
DRa
mon
a M
WD
Rinc
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iabl
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WD
San
Die
goSa
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iegu
ito W
DSa
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Swee
twat
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utho
rity
Valle
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WD
Vist
a ID
SWRCB Emergency RegulationWater Authority Member Agency Conservation Requirements
~20% Region
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- 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000
Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb
Pota
ble
M&I
Use
(AF) Months in 2013
2015 - 2016-30%
-
22
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Supp
ly (T
AF)
~1%
Estimated FY 2016 Potable M&I Demand ~ 523 TAF *
Local Supplies 25 TAF
Long-Term Colorado River Transfers 180 TAF
Water Authority CDP 39 TAF
MWD InitialAllocation
M&I274 TAF
* Based on actual FY 2014, escalated at 1/2% per year. MWD supply allocation in effect 7/1/15 through June 30, 2016. 2
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Building a reliable water supply requires both demand reduction and new supply development◦ The State, driven by
current drought crisis, has primarily focused on demand reduction
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Demand Reduction
New Supply Development
Regulations do not include credit for new, drought-proof supply development, such as seawater desalination and potable reuse
State Board agreed to form workgroups:• Early investments in conservation
and drought-proof local supply development
• Refine tiers to reflect climate, lot size, etc.
• Health and safety considerations Workgroup held its 1st meeting in late Aug.
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Demand reduction alone will not meet California’s need for a reliable water supply
2015 2040 Growth Percent Increase
State of California$2.3 Trillion Economy 39 million 47 million 8 million 21%
San Diego County$206 Billion Economy 3.2 million 3.8 million .6 million 19%
Source: California Department of Finance population projections
Continued advocacy at State Water Resources Control Board to achieve credit for new, drought-proof water supplies◦ Focus: protecting commercial,
industrial and institutional economy
Need business community’s continued support and advocacy
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Water conserved by residents and businesses is being stored in the newly expanded San Vicente Reservoir◦ 42,000 AF of 100,000 AF
carryover supplies stored to date Potential to store 100,000
AF by June 30, 2016◦ Reservoir already holds
36,000 AF of 52,000 AF emergency storage target
July 31, 2015: Elevation 680’
San Vicente Reservoir: Month Date, 2015, Elevation XXX’
Commercial Programs
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High-Efficiency Toilets (Tank-Type) In-stem Flow Regulators
High-Efficiency Toilets (Flushometer) Soil Moisture Sensor Systems
High-Efficiency Clothes Washers Connectionless Food Steamers
Ultra Low and Zero Water Urinals Air-cooled Ice Machines
Plumbing Flow Control Valves Cooling Tower Conductivity Controllers
Irrigation Controllers Cooling Tower ph Controllers
Rotating Nozzles for Pop-up Spray Heads Dry Vacuum Pumps
Large Rotary Nozzles Laminar Flow Restrictors
Incentives
Water-efficiency audits
More info at WaterSmartSD.org
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TV
Online & Outdoor
Radio/Pandora
Social Media
Landscaper Training
Partnerships
Web Site
Large Events: SD County Fair
Civic Events
#droughtbucketlist