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WELCOME MARCH 2, 2017

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Page 1: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated

WELCOMEMARCH 2, 2017

Page 2: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated
Page 3: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated

CICF’S JOINT INVESTMENT BOARD

• James Roederer• David Becker• David Knall• Marni McKinney• Jerry Semler• John Quinn

• Charles Sutphin• Gene Tanner • Jean Wojtowicz• Alan Levin • Jeff Thomasson

Community leaders and financial experts who ensure investment strategy:

Page 4: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated

CICF’S INVESTMENT STAFF

• Jennifer Bartenbach, CFO• Jennifer Schrier, director of finance & systems• Cathy Davis, senior accountant• Brenda Delaney, controller

Page 5: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated

CAMBRIDGE ASSOCIATES

Manages 30 percent of all U.S. foundation assets and 70 percent of all U.S. higher education endowment assets; CICF’s consultant since June 2009.

• Natalie Eckford• Sharcus Steen• Jon Hansen• Carolyn Keating

Page 6: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated
Page 7: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated

OUR IMPACT: MONEY IN; MONEY OUT

$51,639,808 2016 Contributions In: 2016 Grants Out:

$57,140,208 Total grants made: 2,846

Page 8: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated

OUR IMPACT: CATEGORIZED GIVING

EDUCATION CIVIC & COMMUNITY

IMPROVEMENT

ARTS & CULTURE

ENVIRONMENT

28%33% 17% 18% 4%

HEALTH & HUMANSERVICES

Page 9: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated
Page 10: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated

TOTAL ASSETS

671.1 MM

471.4 MM517.3MM

355.7MM

$-

$200,000,000

$400,000,000

$600,000,000

$800,000,000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Total Assets Managed Pool Assets

2016:$720MM

2016:$568.7MM

Page 11: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated

RESULTS

Note:AsofJanuary31,2017.ReturnsaboveincludeprivateequityvaluationsfromOct.1,2013– Sept.30,2016.Publicequivalentreturnsareusedforthelagging4monthsofprivateequityandprivaterealassets.

C|AHasAdvisedCICFForJustOver7Years

10.5

4.1

7.4

4.2

11.4

4.4

6.4

4.3

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

1Year 3Years 7Years 10Years

CICF Benchmark PrivateInvestmentEstimate

11.0

11.8

0.5

0.5

Page 12: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated

ROLE OF ASSET CLASSESMaximize Return at an Appropriate Level of Risk

Diversified Growth

Global public equitiesHigher beta long / short equity and creditVenture capital and buyouts

Lower beta long/short equity and creditCapital structure arbitrageConvertible arbitrageGlobal macroActive currencyOpen mandateEvent arbitrage

Macroeconomic Risk Hedges

Inflation SensitiveStable value or

appreciation in rising inflation environment

Core private real estateCommoditiesNatural resources (upstream oil & gas and timber)Inflation-linked bondsGold

Deflation Hedge & Liquidity Reserve

Stable value or appreciation in

economic contraction; Source of spending in

market downturn

High quality/intermediate long-term fixed incomeGoldCash

Goal

Role

Examples of Asset Classes

DiversifiersMitigate volatility while attempting

to improve risk/return profile

Growth EngineSupport spending

needs while maintaining corpus

over long term

Note: Effectiveness of asset classes in these roles depends on valuations and implementation considerations.

Page 13: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated

Cash&Equivalents,6%

FixedIncome10%

RealAssets10%

MarketableAlternatives25%

PrivateEquity/VentureCapital, 13%

EmergingMarketsEquity8%

DevelopedexU.S.Equity12%

U.S.Equity16%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

January2017

CICF Portfolio

Growth Engine49%

Diversifiers25%

Inflation Sensitive10%

Deflation Hedge/Liquidity16%

CICF PORTFOLIO TODAY

Page 14: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated

SUCCESS OF DIVERSIFICATION: CYCLICALCICF Portfolio vs. Simple 60/40

Average Annual Outperformance of

1.8%

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Rel

ativ

e R

etur

n (%

)

Note: Relative returns represent the differential of the rolling 3-year returns of CICF versus 60% MSCI ACWI / 40% BBG Barclays Aggregate Bond Index.

Diversified Outperforms

Simple Outperforms

Page 15: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated

Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17

Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated for each unit of risk. To calculate this number, subtract the average T-Bill return (risk-free return) from the manager's average return, then divide by the manager's standard deviation.

CICF Portfolio

60/40 Portfolio

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16

Ave

rage

Ann

ual C

ompo

und

Retu

rn (%

)

Annualized Standard Deviation (%)

Higher Return

Lower Return

Lower Risk Higher Risk

Sharpe Beta vs.AACR (%) St. Dev. (%) Ratio¹ MSCI ACWI

CICF Portfolio 7.4 6.2 1.15 0.4360/40 Portfolio 6.6 8.2 0.81 0.59

OUTPERFORMANCE: GENERATED BY LESS RISK

Page 16: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated

CURRENT BOND YIELDS:

0

5

10

15

20

25

1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015

Barclays Aggregate Bond Index YTM

5-Year Subsequent AACR

US Aggregate Bond IndexJanuary 1, 1976 – January 31, 2017 • Percent (%)

Sources: Barclays, Bloomberg L.P., and Thomson Reuters Datastream. Notes: Data are monthly. The last full five-year period was February 1, 2012 to January 31, 2017. The January 31, 2017 yield-to-maturity of 2.61% on the Barclays Aggregate Bond Index implies low nominal returns at best.

SUGGEST LOW RETURNS MOVING FORWARD

Page 17: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated

EQUITY VALUATIONS:

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

250

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45'48 '51 '54 '57 '60 '63 '66 '69 '72 '75 '78 '81 '84 '87 '90 '93 '96 '99 '02 '05 '08 '11 '14

Subseq

uent 10 Year S&

P 500 Annua

lized Return

Shille

rP/E(Inverted)

ShillerP/E(LHS)

Subsequent10YrS&P500AnnualizedReturn (RHS)

An investment starting 10 yrs ago (Jan '07)

has earned7.0% annualized

.

Shiller (Cyclically Adjusted 10 Yr) PE vs. Subsequent S&P 10 Year Nominal ReturnsJune 30, 1948 – January 31, 2017

Sources: Robert J. Shiller and Standard & Poor's.

Note: Normalized real P/E ratios (Shiller P/E ratio) for the S&P 500 Index are calculated by dividing the current index value by the rolling ten-year average of inflation-adjusted earnings.

Investors that bought near peak valuations (Feb '99)

earned -3.4% annualized the next 10 years.

ALSO SUGGEST LOW RETURNS MOVING FORWARD

Page 18: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated

CURRENT U.S. VALUATIONS

Expensive

Cheap 0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1/31/2016 Composite Normalized P/E

1/31/2017 Composite Normalized P/E

25th Percentile

90th Percentile

10th Percentile

75th Percentile

Median

% Change US EMU Japan EMto 50th %ile -27.2 -27.2 3.7 21.4to 25th %ile -48.3 -48.3 -13.6 7.4to 10th %ile -60.9 -60.9 -24.6 -4.7

Current U.S. Valuations are unattractive relative to other regions, implying a higher risk of disappointing returns.

Page 19: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated

DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE

Bear Market Bull Market Full Market Cycle

Start Date 7/1/2001 4/1/2009 7/1/2001

End Date 3/31/2009 9/30/2016 9/30/2016

Annualized PerformanceAverage C|A Diversified Portfolio 2.6 9.4 5.9

CICF Portfolio 2.8 10.2 6.4

60% MSCI ACWI / 40% Agg 1.7 9.6 5.5

60% S&P 500 / 40% Agg 0.3 12.0 5.9

S&P 500 Index -3.6 16.7 5.9

MSCI ACWI (Net) -1.4 12.6 5.3

BBG Barclays Agg 5.5 4.6 5.0

Duringa Complete Market Cycle

Page 20: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated

RESIST INVESTMENT TEMPTATIONS:

4

5

Maintain diversification to protect against uncertainty and to find a good balance between return seeking to meet

objectives, and stability to support spending and other cash needs.

Stress test portfolios and manage liquidity tightly.

8

Evaluate fundamentals and look for investments where you expect to be well compensated for taking risk.And remain disciplined in commitments to PI.

6Maintain selectivity, seeking out managers with a

repeatable value proposition and/or unique or difficult to replicate strategies.

3Seek out investments that offer cheap protection against

inflation, but recognize that it might not pay out when inflation rises, so don’t accept too much opportunity cost.

Ignoring the risk of inflation

2

Look for investments that can win in a rising rate environment even if growth disappoints.

Sticking with a strategy designed to work only in a falling rate environment

1Chasing macro and political developments

Use discipline in establishing and sizing tactical positions.

7

Understand that markets are cyclical and look ahead to where inflection points may be, based on historical trends

and depressed valuations.

AND THEIR ALTERNATIVES

Investing while looking through the rear view mirror

Cutting back on belts and braces ahead of what may well be a bumpy ride

Taking too much risk eight years into a bull market

Bucketing hedge funds as if they were all the same

Giving up on diversification

Page 21: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated

A FEW BIG WINS

Page 22: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated

THE INDIANAPOLIS FOUNDATION:100-YEAR ANNIVERSARY

Page 23: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated

• 10 not-for-profit organizations with endowments with The Indianapolis Foundation received $10,000 each

• 10 Indianapolis Foundation Fellows received $10,000 each to support their board participation

• 6 not-for-profit visionary organizations received $100,000 each

• 12 professional theatre MVPs received $10,000 each (including two couples) as a thank you for committing their talent and vision to Indy

• 10 audience members received $10,000 each to grant to an organization of their choice

THE INDIANAPOLIS FOUNDATION:100-YEAR ANNIVERSARY

$1 million surprise giveaway:

Page 24: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated

THE INDIANAPOLIS FOUNDATION:

30,000 People24+ artists and performers

Page 25: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated

LEGACY FUND: 25-YEAR ANNIVERSARY

Page 26: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated

LEGACY FUND: 25-YEAR ANNIVERSARY

• Record attendance for annual Celebration of Philanthropy

• Youth Assistance Program is self-sustaining

• New Community Leadership Initiative will focus on seniors

Page 27: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated

WOMEN’S FUND: 20-YEAR ANNIVERSARY

Page 28: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated

WOMEN’S FUND: 20-YEAR ANNIVERSARY

• Angela Ahrendts, native Hoosier and senior vice president of retail for Apple, Inc. was the featured speaker

• 800 women and men in attendance

• $489,486 raised to increase the total number and quality of opportunities for women and girls in Central Indiana

Page 29: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated

A BRIGHT FUTURE

Page 30: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated

THE INDIANAPOLIS FOUNDATION: BEN FRANKLIN FUNDS

TWO 100,000 FUNDS• $100 and $1,000 donors• community dinners throughout Indy

WORTH $100 MILLION EACH BY 2116

Page 31: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated

LILLY ENDOWMENT: SIXTH PHASE OF GIVING INDIANA FUNDS FOR TOMORROW

THE ENDOWMENT FOR HAMILTON COUNTY

$1.7M

THE ENDOWMENT FOR INDIANAPOLIS

$1.6M

COMMUNITY LEADERSHIP INNOVATION FUND

CREATED

Page 32: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated

A NEW PLAN: 3-YEAR STRATEGY

HOPE. OPPORTUNITY. EQUITY.

Page 33: WELCOME []...Risk/Return Analysis – Trailing 7 Years as of 1/31/17 Notes: Calculations are based on monthly data, net of fees. ¹The Sharpe Ratio represents the excess return generated

THANK YOU FOR A GREAT YEAR.