Weekly Weather Briefingfor the “Ark-La-Miss”

NWS JACKSON, MS

May 28TH, 2013

Overview

• DRYING OUT – Mainly Dry Since last Tuesday through early Wednesday across the Region

• “Afternoon Heating” type of summer thunderstorm activity expected to begin tomorrow (Wednesday)

•Cold front expected to impact the region with greater rain chances early next week

• Heat Safety Awareness Day Friday

Pattern to Become Wetter (in Summertime Fashion)

PRECIPITABLE WATER

FLOW PATTERN ~ 20,000 FT

Moisture increasing from out of the southeastern Gulf of Mexico will combine with incoming minor trough energy from the Western CONUS to kick up afternoon showers and storms through the remainder of the week

DRYING OUT

SOME AREAS OF CENTRAL AND SE MS HAVE RECEIVED LITTLERAINFALL IN THE PAST 2 WEEKS

FAR FROM THE POINT OF WORRYING ABOUT DROUGHT YET CONSIDERING WET WINTER AND SPRING, JUST SOMETHING

TO KEEP IN MIND

Most River Levels Falling

RECENT DRY WEATHERHAS ALLOWED LOCAL RIVER AND STREAMS TO DROP SIGNIFICANTLY.

HOWEVER, THE MS RIVER STILL REMAINS QUITE HIGH ALTHOUGH LEVELS ARE STEADILY FALLING.

MS RIVER POINTS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DROP FOR ANOTHER 7 TO 10 DAYS BUT MAY GO BACK UP A LITTLE THEREAFTER DUE TO UPSTREAM RAINFALL!

Generally Light Rainfall withIsolated Pockets of Heavy Downpours

Wednesday through Monday

Wednesday through Thursday

Friday through Saturday

Sunday through Monday

Decent Chance of Cold Front Passage ending Rain

Chances by Mon/Tue

Hurricane Preparedness Week

• NOAA is officially forecasting an ABOVE AVERAGE Hurricane Season, which runs from June 1st through November 30th

• NOAA also states there is a non-negligible risk of a hyperactive Hurricane Season (think 2005)

• Peak Activity for Hurricane Season is usually around early September, but early season activity generally is associated with weaker cyclones affecting the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean.

• Inland residents of the Lower Mississippi Valley should now make sure they are prepared for inland impacts from Tropical Storms and Hurricanes, such as flooding and gusty winds

• Visit http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/prepare/ to get detailed information about keeping you and your loved-ones safe over the course of the 2013 Hurricane Season!

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