weekly snapshot week n · 2013. 10. 28. · portfolio sprint portfolio positions and trading...
TRANSCRIPT
WEEKLY SNAPSHOT
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MLP Protocol MLP
1 MLP Protocol
This presentation and the information contained herein, as well as any additional documents and explanations (together the “Presentation”), are for
information purposes only, and MLP Protocol (“MLPP”) is not soliciting any action based upon it. Opinions expressed herein are MLPP’s present opinions
only. This Presentation is based upon information that MLPP considers reliable, but MLPP does not represent, guarantee, or warrant, expressly or implicitly,
that the Presentation is accurate, complete, or suitable for any particular purpose, and it should not be relied upon as such. MLPP is not obliged to update or
periodically review the Presentation. MLPP accepts no liability with respect to, or arising directly or indirectly out of, the Presentation.
In addition, there can be no guarantee that any projection, forecast or opinion in this presentation will be realized. Opinions expressed herein are subject to
change without notice. You are advised to make an independent review and reach your own conclusions regarding the economic risks and benefits of any
investment and the legal, credit, tax, accounting and other aspects of such investment in relation to your particular circumstances. We may from time to time
have long or short positions in such securities or in options, futures, or other derivative instruments based thereon. All trade names, trade marks, service
marks, and logos herein are the property of their respective owners who retain all proprietary rights over their use. No part of this document may be
reproduced in any manner without written permission. © 2011-2013 All rights reserved.
Contact Information
Philip Trinder PRESIDENT MLP Protocol
4020 MARLOWE
HOUSTON, TEXAS 77005
OFFICE: 832.408.5571
MOBILE: 713.854.7485
EMAIL: [email protected]
STOCKTWITS / TWITTER: @MLP_Protocol
DISCLAIMER
W W W . M L P P R O T O C O L . C O M
ADDITIONAL MLP PROTOCOL RESOURCES
Portfolio Analyzer
Resources
Company Presentation Links
ARTICLES ADDRESSING KEY CONCEPTS
A Ranking Protocol for the MLP Space
Upstream MLP Protocol Rankings
Gathering and Processing MLP Protocol Rankings
MLPs and Relative Value Versus U.S. Treasuries ORDER
RECENT ARTICLES AND BLOG POSTS
Short Interest Trends for the Kinder Morgan Group 102513
Kinder Morgan And U.S. Pipeline System Age, Maintenance And Incidents
Additional MLP Maintenance Capex Charts
Pipeline MLPs’ Maintenance Capex and DCRs
CVRR 2013 Guidance Update and Yield Estimates
MLP’s And Interest Rates, How Right is Mr. Gundlach?
2 MLP Protocol
MLP Protocol Sprint Portfolio
IMPORTANT INFORMATION 6. Benchmark returns have been calculated by Covestor using a time-weighted calculation of daily index valuations and do not include cash, dividends and
earnings distributions, or transaction costs. More
7. Leverage indicates the level of margin utilized and is calculated by dividing gross exposure by portfolio net liquidation value.
8. All Model Manager information including personal data, profiles, strategies, monthly investment reports, and historical results outside of Covestor has been
provided by the Model Manager. Covestor makes no representation or warranty of its accuracy, completeness or relevance and it does not represent the opinions
of Covestor. Transaction history is available upon request. Model classifications (Approach, Asset Class) are provided by Covestor, and are intended to serve as
a general guide.
9. Top Replicable Holdings: These securities are currently held in the model manager’s brokerage account. Those marked as “Replicable Holdings” currently
pass Covestor's trading rules, subject to individual client constraints. Eligibility for replication may change over time. Actual client subscription holdings may vary.
10. Latest Transactions: These transactions were executed in the model manager’s brokerage account. Those marked as “Replicable” () passed Covestor’s
trading rules and were eligible for replication at the time of execution, subject to individual client constraints. Eligibili ty for replication may change over time. Actual
client subscription trade activity may vary.
11. S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged index compiled by Standard & Poor’s Corp. Index returns do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or
expenses. Individuals cannot invest directly in an Index. S&P 500 index data: S&P/Dow Jones Indices LLC, a subsidiary of The McGraw-Hill Companies
Copyright © 2013.
The MLP Protocol Sprint Portfolio’s strategy pursues a higher risk, higher
potential total return using Master Limited Partnerships (“MLPs”).
Mirror my strategies
trade for trade
MLP Protocol Sprint 1.50% Subscription Fee p.a.
$30,000 Subscription Minimum
Invest like me at Covestor.com
All rights reserves © Covestor Ltd
1. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
2. Performance of the model manager’s account is calculated by Covestor on a daily time-weighted basis, including cash, dividends and earnings distributions,
and broker commissions. Manager returns include trades that fail Covestor's trading rules, do not reflect any Covestor suitability or risk score restrictions and are
exclusive of Covestor fees. More
3. Average subscription returns (“Avg Sub” or “Avg Client”) are calculated by Covestor and are composed of the average, daily, time weighted returns of all active
subscriptions to the underlying model. These daily average returns are then linked together for the timeframe requested. In addition, these returns include cash,
dividends and earnings distributions, brokerage commissions, Covestor advisory fees, and reflect individual client suitability and risk score restrictions. More
4. All graph data is as of the end of day for the referenced period, unless otherwise specified. The subscription minimum is the minimum subscription required to
follow a particular model. The minimum amount is determined by Covestor, based on the characteristics of the underlying model. It should not be considered as
specific investment advice for your investment situation.
5. The performance charts are provided for informational purposes only, and should not be used as the basis for making an investment decision. Variables such
as corporate actions or foreign exchange may affect daily performance displays. We rely on mathematical formulas, computer programs, and pricing information
from third-party vendors to provide these returns. Neither Covestor nor any of its data or content providers shall be liable for any errors in this information or any
actions taken by you in reliance upon this information.
MLP PROTOCOL
SPRINT P O R T F O L I O
Sprint Portfolio Positions and Trading Signals now available on a subscription or one-time basis.
Performance Inception Date June 27, 2012
as of October 24, 2013
Best
Performer Manager
Alerian
MLP S&P 500
Past 30 days Manager 8.2% 4.3% 3.2%
Past 90 days Manager 7.1% 0.5% 3.6%
Past 365 days Manager 32.6% 12.9% 24.4%
2013 (YTD) Manager 31.9% 19.9% 22.8%
Since Inception (Annualized) Manager 45.4% 18.5% 23.0%
Since Inception (Total) Manager 64.8% 25.5% 32.1%
485 Days Since Inception
Risk Metrics Last 365 Days
as of October 24, 2013
Best
Performer Manager
Alerian
MLP S&P 500
Best 30 days Alerian MLP 12.2% 13.1% 8.2%
Worst 30 days S&P 500 (7.1%) (6.8%) (4.9%)
Volatility S&P 500 17.5% 14.3% 11.8%
Sharpe Ratio S&P 500 1.69 0.69 1.81
Sortino Ratio S&P 500 2.42 1.19 2.56
Maximum Drawdown S&P 500 (11.2%) (9.7%) (5.8%)
Value-at-Risk (95%, 1 wk) S&P 500 (4.1%) (3.3%) (2.7%)
vs. Alerian MLP vs. S&P 500
Information Ratio 1.37 0.59
Alpha 20.1% 9.6%
Beta 0.74 0.90
R-Squared 0.37 0.37
Performance Detail as of date shown on cover
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-13 Oct-13
MLP Protocol Sprint Portfolio Alerian MLP Index
S&P 500 Index 10YR UST Yield
Also available at
Ditto Trade, a licensed brokerage, Member
FINRA/SIPC, has proprietary technology that
enables you to efficiently leverage the strategies of
your subscription to MLP Protocol Sprint Portfolio.
TRADABLE ALERTS AT YOUR FINGERTIPS
► Receive mobile alerts with real
time quotes whenever a trade is
signaled.
► Accept, modify or ignore with the
touch of a button on their Mobile
App.
3 MLP Protocol
What is the MLP Protocol?
MLP Protocol – Subscriber Analytics
The MLP Protocol includes analytical reports covering substantially all of the energy related Master Limited
Partnerships. The full Monthly Analytics reports include the following:
• Forward Yield After Tax (“FYAT”) projections, Valuation Coverage Ratios (“VCR”), FYATs / VCR and segment
rankings on all metrics (updated rankings each week in subscriber version of the Weekly Snapshot reports)
• Long term trend charts including the MLP index yield spread to treasury yields
• Distribution history chart showing years that each MLP has maintained or increased their distributions (color
coded by segment within the MLP coverage universe)
• Recent IPO scorecard, IPO forward calendar and IPO reviews
• Full peer group analysis for 12 comparable group segments with relative value analysis, valuation and leverage
vs. yield charts, and segment rankings by key metrics
• Distribution Coverage Ratio (“DCR”) studies for each segment comparing DCRs to historical distribution growth,
current yields, projected distribution growth and resulting 3 year forward yield after tax, maintenance capex,
Total Enterprise Valuation, and Distributable Cash Flow per L.P. unit
• DCR Watchlist for MLPs with a concerning Distribution Coverage Ratio trend, which may lead to distribution cuts
• Paid subscribers also receive the enhanced Weekly Snapshot reports
Allows comparison of the estimated minimum yield investors net across the broad MLP group and is based upon
the following assumptions for each MLP:
• Distribution growth rates
• Estimated “tax deferral” of the distributions
• Highest effective current individual tax rate of 43.4%
Forward Yield After Tax (“FYAT”)
Segment Comp Groups
Ke
y E
nerg
y T
ren
d D
ata
L
on
g T
erm
Tre
nd
s
Se
gm
en
t R
an
kin
gs
Relative valuation tools for investors to use to make more informed MLP investment decisions
4 MLP Protocol
52 Weeks Ago FYE 2012 4 Weeks Ago Week Ago Current Change
Indices 10/26/12 12/31/12 9/27/13 10/18/13 10/25/13 1 Year YTD 1 Month 1 Week
MLP Index (AMZ) 406.6 385.1 446.0 451.2 462.4 13.7% 20.1% 3.7% 2.5%
MLP Total Return Index (AMZX) 1,274.5 1,224.5 1,480.3 1,497.8 1,535.4 20.5% 25.4% 3.7% 2.5%
S&P 500 1,411.9 1,426.2 1,691.8 1,744.5 1,759.8 24.6% 23.4% 4.0% 0.9%
Yields
MLP Index Yield (AMZ Yield) 6.19% 6.69% 5.94% 5.92% 5.78% (41 bps) (91 bps) (16 bps) (14 bps)
10 Year Treasury Yield 1.78% 1.78% 2.64% 2.60% 2.53% 75 bps 75 bps (11 bps) (7 bps)
20 Year Treasury Yield 2.53% 2.54% 3.40% 3.36% 3.30% 77 bps 76 bps (10 bps) (6 bps)
Yield Curve Steepness (20 Year - 3 Month) 241 bps 249 bps 338 bps 332 bps 326 bps 85 bps 77 bps (12 bps) (6 bps)
AMZ Yield Spread to 10 Year UST 441 bps 491 bps 330 bps 332 bps 325 bps (116 bps) (166 bps) (5 bps) (7 bps)
AMZ Yield Spread to 20 Year UST 366 bps 415 bps 254 bps 256 bps 248 bps (118 bps) (167 bps) (6 bps) (8 bps)
Rigs and Commodity Prices
U.S. Total Rig Count 1,826 1,763 1,744 1,739 1,738 (4.8%) (1.4%) (0.3%) (0.1%)
Natural Gas $3.45 $3.35 $3.50 $3.72 $3.65 5.7% 9.0% 4.3% (1.9%)
WTI Crude Oil ($ / Bbl) $86.69 $91.82 $103.10 $101.51 $96.65 11.5% 5.3% (6.3%) (4.8%)
Brent Crude Oil ($ / Bbl) $108.27 $110.80 $108.80 $110.11 $106.63 (1.5%) (3.8%) (2.0%) (3.2%)
Brent / WTI Differential ($ / Bbl) $21.58 $18.98 $5.70 $8.60 $9.98 (53.8%) (47.4%) 75.1% 16.0%
NYMEX 3:2:1 Crack Spread ($ / Bbl) $32.25 $30.18 $13.39 $16.24 $15.91 (50.7%) (47.3%) 18.8% (2.1%)
EM
ES
12
1%
WG
P 7
6%
MP
LX
70
%
DK
L 4
5%
PS
XP
44
%
LG
P 4
3%
US
AC
37
%
SX
CP
37
%
OC
IP 2
6%
KN
OP
20
%
NS
LP
18
%
OC
IR 1
6%
TE
P 1
2%
QE
PM
11
%
WN
RL
8%
PA
GP
4%
SX
E 2
%
WP
T 0
%
SR
LP
(1
%)
CV
RR
(4
%)
FIS
H (
7%
)
AL
DW
(1
4%
)
25.7%
(40%)
(20%)
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
WE
EK
LY
SN
AP
SH
OT
Markets and Levels / Current Yields / MLP IPO Scorecard
Source: www.alerian.com, www.bakerhughes.com, www.treasury.gov, www.eia.gov. Historical commodity prices are spot prices at the futures contract delivery locations as per the EIA, there is a small lag in the
EIA reporting, so there will always be a slight discrepancy in the most recent price data.
6.8
%
9.8
%
8.4
%
8.9
% 12
.1%
8.8
% 11
.7%
13
.4%
8.2
% 9.9
%
10
.2%
9.2
%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
BWP NS PVR NKA EROC FGP NMM RNO NSH PDH NTI STON
Nat Gas &NGL
Pipes
Crude &Ref Prod
Pipes
G & P T & S Upstream Propane& NGL
Logistics
Marine Coal General Partners
(“GP”)
VariableRate
D & M Other
Highest Current Yield by Segment Price Performance Since IPO
Ticker Company Risk
Rating
BWP Boardwalk Pipeline Partners, L.P. Baseline
NS NuStar Energy L.P. Extremely Risky
PVR PVR Partners L.P. Extremely Risky
NKA Niska Gas Storage Partners LLC Extremely Risky
EROC Eagle Rock Energy Partners, L.P. Extremely Risky
FGP Ferrellgas Partners L.P. Extremely Risky
NMM Navios Maritime Partners, L.P. Extremely Risky
RNO Rhino Resource Partners, L.P. Extremely Risky
NSH NuStar GP Holdings, LLC Extremely Risky
PDH PetroLogistics, L.P. Extremely Risky
NTI Northern Tier Energy, L.P. Extremely Risky
STON StoneMor Partners, LP Extremely Risky
Note: The NYMEX 3:2:1 Crack Spread is calculated using 3 barrels of crude at the WTI Crude Oil price, 2 barrels of gasoline at the NY Harbor Gasoline price and 1 barrel of heating oil at the NY Harbor Heating
Oil price. This is an indicative estimate only and individual refiners will have materially different effective crack spreads for their operations due to varying crude input mixes, varying product slate outputs and cash
price basis differentials for every single input and output at their various locations.
5 MLP Protocol
ATL
S 70.4
%
TR
GP
34.9
%
AR
P 3
0.2
%
EQ
M 22.9
%
SX
L 2
1.7
%
TL
LP
19.8
%
OIL
T 1
8.7
%
WE
S 1
6.0
%
MM
P 1
4.9
%
RR
MS
14
.6%
KM
I 1
3.9
%
NG
L 1
3.6
%
GL
P 1
2.7
%
EP
B 1
2.1
%
ME
MP
1
1.1
%
PA
A
10
.6%
GE
L 1
0.6
%
NG
LS
10.6
%
CL
MT 1
0.5
%
GM
LP
10.0
%
AP
L 8
.8%
WP
Z 8
.7%
XT
XI
8.3
%
GS
JK
8.2
%
ETE
7
.6%
KM
P 7
.1%
HE
P 6
.5%
MC
EP
6.2
%
EP
D 6
.2%
DP
M 5
.9%
OK
S 5
.8%
SE
P 5
.4%
CM
LP
5.2
%
AP
U 5
.0%
MW
E 4
.9%
AM
ID 4
.6%
TC
P 3
.8%
VN
R 3
.7%
LG
CY
3
.5%
HC
LP
3.2
%
XT
EX
3
.0%
SP
H 2
.6%
TO
O 2
.5%
RG
P 2
.2%
LR
E 2
.1%
LN
CO
2.1
%
PV
R 1
.9%
ST
ON
1
.7%
MM
LP
1.6
%
TL
P 1
.6%
ET
P 1
.3%
CP
LP
0.0
%
CQ
P 0
.0%
NM
M 0
.0%
NR
P 0
.0%
PN
G 0
.0%
PS
E 0
.0%
QR
E 0
.0%
RN
O 0
.0%
TG
P 0.0
%
LIN
E (
0.0
%)
(10%)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
PD
H 1
14.3
%
RN
F (
68
.2%
)
(100%)
(50%)
0%
50%
100%
150%
KN
OP
16
.0%
XT
XI
8.3
%
WG
P 8
.2%
EQ
M 7
.5%
ME
MP
7
.3%
TR
GP
7
.0%
TL
LP
6.9
%
SM
LP
5
.7%
SX
L 5
.0%
OIL
T 4
.7%
MM
P 4
.7%
AM
ID 4
.6%
AT
LS
4
.5%
US
AC
4
.5%
NS
LP
4.5
%
MP
LX
4
.4%
CE
QP
3.8
%
AR
P 3.7
%
WE
S 3
.6%
NG
L 3
.5%
TE
P 3.5
%
EP
B 3
.2%
HC
LP
3.2
%
XTE
X 3
.0%
ET
E 2
.7%
DK
L 2
.5%
KM
I 2
.5%
GE
L 2
.5%
NG
LS
2.4
%
SD
LP
2.4
%
SX
CP
2.4
%
KM
P 2
.3%
RR
MS
2.3
%
GL
P 2
.1%
PAA
2
.1%
WP
Z 1
.7%
HE
P 1
.5%
SE
P 1
.5%
EP
D 1
.5%
GM
LP
1
.5%
DP
M 1
.4%
ET
P 1.3
%
CM
LP
1.3
%
MW
E 1
.2%
GS
JK
1.2
%
RG
P 1
.1%
LG
CY
0
.9%
OK
S 0
.7%
LR
E 0
.5%
VN
R 0
.4%
MM
LP
0
.3%
AP
L 0
.0%
AP
U 0
.0%
CL
MT
0
.0%
CP
LP
0.0
%
CQ
P 0
.0%
LIN
E 0
.0%
LN
CO
0.0
%
MC
EP
0
.0%
NM
M 0
.0%
NR
P 0
.0%
PN
G 0
.0%
PS
E 0
.0%
PV
R 0
.0%
QR
E 0
.0%
RN
O 0
.0%
SP
H 0
.0%
STO
N 0.0
%
SX
E 0
.0%
TC
P 0
.0%
TG
P 0
.0%
TL
P 0
.0%
TO
O 0
.0%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
WE
EK
LY
SN
AP
SH
OT
3Q 2013 Distributions
Quarter over Quarter Distribution Growth
Year Over Year Distribution Growth
PD
H 5
0.0
%
EM
ES
22.9
%
RN
F (
68.2
%)
(80%)
(60%)
(40%)
(20%)
0%
20%
40%
60%
Variable Rate MLPs
Variable Rate MLPs
6 MLP Protocol
Other 500%
Propane & NGL Logistics 460%
Natural Gas & NGL Pipelines 450%
Terminaling & Storage 417%
Gathering & Processing 405%
Upstream 386%
Marine 386%
Crude & Refined Products Pipelines 367%
General Partners 360%
Coal 320%
Downstream & Marketing 271%
Variable Rate 200%
Total 4,521%
63%38%
Current Price vs.
20 Day Moving Average1
62%38%
Current Price vs.
50 Day Moving Average1
52%48%
Current Price vs.
200 Day Moving Average1
46%54%
20 Day Moving Average /
200 Day Moving Average1
64%36%
50 Day Moving Average /
200 Day Moving Average2
69%31%
20 Day Moving Average /
50 Day Moving Average1
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
0%
1000%
2000%
3000%
4000%
5000%
6000%
3/1/
12
5/1/
12
7/1/
12
9/1/
12
11/1
/12
1/1/
13
3/1/
13
5/1/
13
7/1/
13
9/1/
13
Total Moving Average Heat Index AMZ
350
371
392
413
434
455
476
0%
1000%
2000%
3000%
4000%
5000%
6000%
3/1/
12
5/1/
12
7/1/
12
9/1/
12
11/1
/12
1/1/
13
3/1/
13
5/1/
13
7/1/
13
9/1/
13
Total Moving Average Heat Index AMZ
WE
EK
LY
SN
AP
SH
OT
Heat Index / Group Moving Averages
Key: % Above % Below
Moving Average Heat Index
NOT SCALE ADJUSTED AMZ SCALE ADJUSTED
(1) Included in the Moving Average Heat Index calculation, by segment. (2) NOT included in the Moving Average Heat Index calculations.
7 MLP Protocol
WE
EK
LY
SN
AP
SH
OT
1 Week and YTD Price Performance
1 Week Price Performance
Year to Date Price Performance
XT
XI
51%
X
TE
X 2
8%
N
S 1
2%
N
SH
11%
A
MID
9%
P
DH
9%
G
SJK
6%
S
XC
P 6
%
PA
A 6%
T
RG
P 6
%
MW
E 5
%
PN
G 5
%
AT
LS
5%
K
NO
P 5
%
NS
LP
5%
P
SX
P 5%
C
LM
T 5
%
US
AC
5%
H
CL
P 4
%
EX
LP
4%
N
RP
4%
P
AG
P 4%
O
CIR
4%
Q
EP
M 4
%
MM
P 4
%
EP
D 4
%
RN
O 4
%
ET
E 4
%
AP
L 4
%
LG
P 4
%
DP
M 4
%
KM
I 3%
E
ME
S 3
%
QR
E 3
%
WP
T 3
%
ET
P 3
%
CQ
P 3
%
CE
QP
3%
S
XL
3%
S
TO
N 3
%
AM
Z 2
%
FIS
H 2
%
GL
P 2
%
BP
L 2
%
NT
I 2%
B
IP 2
%
OIL
T 2
%
NG
LS
2%
K
MP
2%
F
UN
2%
G
EL
2%
L
GC
Y 2
%
OK
S 2
%
OX
F 2
%
OC
IP 2
%
CP
LP
2%
E
EP
2%
V
NR
1%
L
RE
1%
W
GP
1%
N
MM
1%
K
MR
1%
E
EQ
1%
W
ES
1%
A
RL
P 1
%
EX
H 1
%
DK
L 1
%
SP
Y 1
%
MM
LP
1%
B
KE
P 1
%
AC
MP
1%
M
EM
P 1
%
EQ
M 1
%
TN
H 1
%
AP
U 1
%
RR
MS
0%
F
GP
0%
S
DL
P 0
%
SG
U 0
%
EP
B 0
%
EV
EP
0%
T
CP
0%
T
LL
P 0
%
SM
LP
0%
B
WP
(0%
)C
ML
P (
0%
)G
ML
P (
0%
)W
PZ
(0%
)T
EP
(1%
)P
VR
(1%
)R
GP
(1%
)M
PL
X (
1%
)S
US
P (
1%
)S
XE
(1%
)T
OO
(1%
)H
EP
(1%
)W
NR
L (
1%
)C
EP
(1%
)A
RP
(1%
)M
CE
P (
1%
)S
RL
P (
1%
)S
EP
(2%
)S
PH
(2%
)T
LP
(2%
)N
GL
(2%
)A
HG
P (
2%
)L
INE
(2%
)N
KA
(3%
)E
RO
C (
3%
)B
BE
P (
4%
)T
GP
(4%
)L
NC
O (
5%
)P
SE
(6%
)C
VR
R (
7%
)U
AN
(9%
)A
LD
W (
12%
)R
NF
(18%
)
(30%)
(20%)
(10%)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
EM
ES
121%
P
SE
117%
X
TX
I 116%
H
CL
P 1
11%
C
EP
97%
X
TE
X 7
9%
S
ML
P 6
9%
E
QM
67%
A
MID
65%
O
ILT
58%
M
ML
P 5
6%
L
GP
54%
E
TE
51%
B
PL
50%
T
RG
P 5
0%
A
CM
P 5
0%
E
XL
P 4
9%
C
QP
46%
N
KA
45%
M
WE
45%
G
EL
45%
P
SX
P 44%
S
EP
43%
N
GL
S 4
2%
C
PL
P 4
1%
A
TL
S 4
1%
C
EQ
P 4
1%
S
XL
40%
M
CE
P 4
0%
M
MP
39%
G
SJK
38%
U
SA
C 3
7%
S
XC
P 3
7%
G
LP
36%
N
GL
36%
F
GP
35%
F
UN
35%
S
GU
34%
D
KL
32%
A
RL
P 3
1%
W
GP
29%
B
KE
P 2
9%
E
XH
29%
T
LL
P 2
9%
S
DL
P 2
9%
E
PD
29%
W
ES
29%
T
OO
26%
O
CIP
26%
E
TP
26%
T
CP
26%
S
TO
N 2
6%
B
WP
26%
P
NG
25%
S
US
P 2
4%
N
MM
24%
S
PH
24%
S
PY
24%
A
HG
P 2
3%
A
PL
23%
L
GC
Y 2
2%
K
NO
P 2
0%
M
PL
X 2
0%
A
MZ
20%
D
PM
20%
R
GP
20%
N
SL
P 1
8%
M
EM
P 1
8%
P
AA
18%
O
CIR
16%
A
PU
16%
T
LP
14%
T
EP
12%
N
RP
12%
B
IP 1
2%
E
PB
11%
Q
EP
M 1
1%
E
EP
11%
R
RM
S 1
1%
V
NR
10%
Q
RE
9%
W
PZ
9%
T
GP
8%
W
NR
L 8
%
GM
LP
7%
K
MP
5%
N
S 5
%
LR
E 4
%
CL
MT
4%
P
AG
P 4%
K
MI 3%
B
BE
P 3
%
EE
Q 2
%
KM
R 2
%
OK
S 1
%
PV
R 1
%
WP
T 0
%
CM
LP
(1%
)S
RL
P (
1%
)R
NO
(3%
)T
NH
(3%
)H
EP
(3%
)P
DH
(3%
)C
VR
R (
4%
)N
SH
(4%
)F
ISH
(7%
)A
RP
(9%
)N
TI (9
%)
SX
E (
14%
)E
RO
C (
16%
)L
NC
O (
18%
)L
INE
(24%
)U
AN
(32%
)E
VE
P (3
5%
)R
NF
(37%
)A
LD
W (
43%
)O
XF
(60%
)
(80%)
(60%)
(40%)
(20%)
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
Note: NRGY unit price change adjusted due to its distribution of NRGM units.
8 MLP Protocol
XTX
IH
CL
PP
SE
EM
ES
XT
EX
CE
PE
QM
SM
LP
OIL
TC
QP
AM
IDL
GP
TR
GP
NK
AC
PL
PG
EL
AC
MP
MM
LP
SE
PE
TE
MW
EG
LP
SX
LE
XL
PG
SJ
KB
PL
NG
LS
FG
PM
CE
PA
TL
SM
MP
NG
LF
UN
DK
LA
RL
PM
PL
XS
DL
PS
XC
PE
XH
US
AC
SG
UW
GP
TO
OE
TP
TL
PTL
LP
AH
GP
BW
PB
KE
PL
RE
WE
SP
NG
ST
ON
BB
EP
LG
CY
SP
HN
MM
AP
LM
EM
PT
CP
DP
MS
US
PE
PD
LIN
EN
SH
PD
HL
NC
OR
GP
NR
PG
ML
PN
TI
PAA
NS
LP
EP
BV
NR
RR
MS
BIP
QR
EO
CIP
AP
US
XE
PV
RN
SO
CIR
TG
PK
NO
PW
PZ
EE
PO
KS
CL
MT
AL
DW
ER
OC
RN
OT
EP
PS
XP
KM
IK
MP
KM
RO
XF
EV
EP
AR
PE
EQ
CV
RR
TN
HH
EP
QE
PM
FIS
HC
ML
PP
AG
PW
NR
LU
AN
RN
F
(50%)
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
PN
GN
SL
PM
MP
SX
CP
OIL
TN
MM
FU
NAM
IDM
WE
EP
DQ
RE
LG
CY
SX
LTR
GP
SG
UP
AG
PM
ML
PV
NR
ME
MP
BIP
ET
PE
ME
SN
GL
SL
GP
ET
EO
CIR
WP
ZQ
EP
MT
CP
EQ
MS
PH
KN
OP
AP
LM
CE
PA
CM
PL
RE
AR
LP
BW
PS
DL
PH
CL
PW
NR
LF
GP
ST
ON
CQ
PM
PL
XE
XL
PS
ML
PS
US
PW
ES
SE
PB
PL
EE
PTO
OB
BE
PC
PL
PN
GL
GS
JK
GE
LK
MP
US
AC
NK
AE
PB
PS
EO
CIP
FIS
HP
SX
PB
KE
PE
EQ
PV
RO
KS
PAA
AP
UG
ML
PTG
PT
EP
NR
PAH
GP
KM
IX
TE
XW
GP
RG
PK
MR
ATL
SX
TX
IE
XH
DP
MTL
PD
KL
GL
PR
NO
TN
HN
SC
ML
PP
DH
RR
MS
AR
PC
LM
TN
SH
SX
ET
LL
PN
TI
CV
RR
ER
OC
HE
PC
EP
LN
CO
LIN
EU
AN
EV
EP
AL
DW
RN
FO
XF
(100%)
(80%)
(60%)
(40%)
(20%)
0%
20%
WE
EK
LY
SN
AP
SH
OT
% Below 52 Week Highs and % Above 52 Week Lows
% Below 52 Week Highs
% Above 52 Week Lows
Positive number indicates close at a new high.
Negative number indicates close at a new low.
Note: NRGY unit price change adjusted due to its distribution of NRGM units.
9 MLP Protocol
WE
EK
LY
SN
AP
SH
OT
Glossary and Assumptions
• Max GP IDR Tier – Maximum General Partner (“GP”) Incentive Distribution Right Tier, typically publicly traded Master Limited Partnerships (“MLPs”) will have
a General Partner that will receive an increasing share of distributable cash flow upon achieving certain levels of distributions to the Limited Partners up to a
maximum of 50%.
• Tax Form – Typically MLPs send annual K-1s which add complexity to individual tax returns and also can cause issues if MLPs are held in an IRA account
due to UBTI (“Unrelated Business Taxable Income”). If UBTI from MLPs exceeds $1,000 in an IRA then taxes should be paid out of the IRA.
• Est. Tax Deferral – Estimated Tax Deferral represents the amount of the expected distributions that will be treated as a return of capital and used to adjust
down the investment tax basis so not taxable until the unit holder sells the security.
• Distribution – Distribution/Dividend, either the most recently announced quarterly distribution or the last distribution until the next one is announced. For
recent IPOs the Next Dist is shown as the Minimum Quarterly Distribution (“MQD”) as per the prospectus; however, the first distribution will typically be pro-
rated over the period of the quarter that the MLP was public so it will be less than the amount shown in the charts.
• Current Yield AT – Estimated Current Yield After Tax, basically after taking into account the amount of distributions that are tax deferred and the effective
tax rate on the taxable portion of the distribution. Assumes non-tax deferred MLP distributions are taxed at the highest income tax rate of 35%. Deferred
portion of MLP distributions received will lower investor’s cost basis over time and result in “deferred tax recapture” upon sale of the MLP units.
• Historical Dist Growth – Historical Distribution Growth rates, QoQ is Quarter over Quarter, YoY is Year over Year, 3YR and 5YR are the 3 year and 5 year
compound annual growth rate (“CAGR”) in the distributions respectively, information will be rolled forward each quarter.
• U.S. 10 or 20 Year Treasury – 10 or 20 Year Treasury forward yields after tax assume a 35% tax rate over the projected periods, so the 3 Year Forward
Yield After Tax Undiscounted would be calculated as follows if the Current Treasury Yield was 3.00%: (3.00% x (1-.35 tax rate)) x 3 years = 5.85%.
• 3 YR FWD Dist Growth – 3 Year Forward Distribution Growth rate assumptions.
• 3 YR FYAT – 3 Year Forward Yield After Tax, the undiscounted sum of the projected quarterly distributions taking into account the projected growth rate and
also the estimated tax deferral divided by the current unit price.
• 20 / 50 / 200 DMA – The 20 Day Moving Average, 50 Day Moving Average and 200 Day Moving Average.
• EV – Enterprise Value, sum of total equity market cap plus total debt less cash.
• EBITDA – Earnings Before Interest Taxes Depreciation and Amortization and other non-cash charges, generally interim period annualized except for
Propane segment which is trailing twelve months.
• ADJ EBITDA – Adjusted EBITDA, EBITDA less the cash distributions paid to the GP, effectively represents EBITDA available for the LP unit holders since
the EV is calculated using only the outstanding LP units and any related subordinated units and i-shares/units.
• TTM – Trailing Twelve Months, YTD – Year to Date, MRQ – Most Recent Quarter.
10 MLP Protocol
WE
EK
LY
SN
AP
SH
OT
• Distributable Cash Flow (“DCF”) – generally EBITDA less cash interest expense less maintenance capital expenditures less any cash taxes, represents the
amount of cash available to pay distributions.
• Dist Cov Ratio (“DCR”) – Distribution Coverage Ratio, Distributable Cash Flow divided by L.P. plus G.P. distributions, the higher the ratio the better, a ratio
below 1.00x means that the MLP is effectively paying some of the distribution using debt (although some MLPs like the Propane MLPs have substantial
seasonality of cash flows so in those cases the ratio is better suited to be viewed over a rolling four quarter period).
• Valuation Coverage Ratio (“VCR”) – (EV / ADJ EBITDA) / Distribution Coverage Ratio. The DCR is generally TTM DCR unless the MRQ DCR is less than
1.00x, if so then the VCR calculation uses the lower MRQ DCR, if both TTM and MRQ are less than 1.0x the VCR calculation uses the lower DCR.
• M Cap – Maintenance capital expenditures or sustaining capital expenditures as reported by the companies, generally the amount of capital required to
replace partially or fully depreciated/obsolete assets, maintain the existing operating capacity or operating income of an MLP’s assets (replace
reserves/production for Upstream MLPs), and extend the useful life of assets (routine equipment and pipeline maintenance).
• Price / DCF LP – Current price divided by the TTM Distributable Cash Flow per LP Unit, so total Distributable Cash Flow less the TTM distributions that the
General Partner receives.
• % GP Dist – % of total distributions that the General Partner receives, as the distributions increase over time the Incentive Distribution Rights (“IDRs”)
provide for more of the distributions to go to the General Partner.
• STSPY – Spread to S&P 500 dividend yield, however, calculated based on the 3 or 5 year estimated forward yield after tax for the S&P 500 using data from
SPY ETF as a proxy (assuming a 15% dividend tax rate and a 5% annual growth rate for SPY dividends), then in the chart it is compared to the 3 or 5 year
estimated forward yield after tax for the MLP group average to come up with the “spread.”
• Avg / SPY Ratio – 3 or 5 YR FWD Yield AT for the full MLP group divided by the 3 or 5 year forward dividend yield after tax for the SPY ETF.
• SEC PV10 – The present value of estimated future revenues to be generated from the production of proved reserves calculated in accordance with Securities
and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) guidelines, net of estimated lease operating expense, production taxes and future development costs, using price and
costs as of the date of estimation without future escalation, without giving effect to non-property related expenses such as general and administrative
expenses, debt service, depreciation, depletion and amortization, or Federal income taxes and discounted using an annual discount rate of 10%.
• PIPE – Private Investment in Public Equity.
• MMBOE / BOE / BCFE / MCFE – Million Barrels of Oil Equivalent, Barrels of Oil Equivalent, Billion cubic feet equivalent, Thousand cubic feet equivalent,
converted using a 6,000 cubic feet of natural gas to 1 barrel of oil ratio.
• Moving Average Heat Index – calculated by the sum of the percentages of five moving average metrics that are “Above,” i.e. if the current price is Above
the simple 20 day moving average, so the maximum Heat Index for each MLP segment is 500% and minimum Heat Index is 0%.
• AMZ – Alerian MLP index.
• Unit and share prices as of market close on the date shown on the cover.
Glossary and Assumptions