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weekly football tip sheet

ISSUE 5NFL Week 4

College Football Week 5

VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

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Football Weekly Football Weekly

Welcome to Week 5 of the 2017-18 Vegas Insider Football Weekly. We appreciate your continued support and hope that you are enjoying the coverage so far this season. This week brings the norm…A WHOLE SLATE of college & pro football coverage for you to digest as you get ready for the first October weekend of football! Of course, at Vegas Insider, we are “The Global Leader in Sports Gaming Information”, so everything we cover in this weekly tipsheet attacks football from a betting perspective.

If you are new to the pub this week, we’ll cover EVERY college and pro game throughout the campaign in some capacity, detailing key matchup stats, trends, with written previews as well. These will be accompanied by detailed looks at the head-to-head histories between teams, plus strategic handicapping articles by some of the industry’s leading writers.

The Vegas Insider Football Weekly publishes three key sets of strength ratings we’ve developed and maintained in house for several years. These are the exact same ratings that some of the best oddsmakers in the sports betting world use to help create their numbers! As most of our readers can attest to from last season, these ratings tend to get stronger and stronger as the season progresses and the teams more clearly define themselves.

Our handicappers are coming off their best collective week of the season on Best Bets, 8-4 ATS in college football and 7-5 ATS in the pro’s. Jim Mack, who is one of our website’s top featured handicappers, and is also known as VI Jim in the VIFW, set the pace by hitting on five of six games! Jim currently tops the pro Best Bet standings. VI Matt also had a nice week, hitting 2-1 ATS in both college and pro. He leads the college standings. Certainly not to be undone, our own Power Ratings hit on eight of 10 bets last week in the NFL, and are now 20-9-1 ATS to start the season, good for 69%!!!

In this week’s issue, we will cover the college week 5 and NFL week 4 action. We offer up a feature NFL piece that analyzes the pre-bye week systems and trend in the NFL. The bye’s for this year’s schedule start with next week’s issue, so these pre-bye week trends are ready to start getting applied in this week’s games. In college, the feature article looks at potentially over- and under-rated teams based upon their current poll ranking against their statistical rankings to date.

We thank you for reading the Vegas Insider Football Weekly and welcome you to become a regular subscriber by following any of the appropriately tagged ads on our web property, VegasInsider.com. While there, of course, take advantage of everything we have to offer, including daily free and premium picks, like those from Jim Mack, plus stats, editorial analysis, and more.

So enjoy this week’s publication and as always, we welcome your feedback.

WELCOME TO THE VEGASINSIDER FOOTBALL WEEKLY

INDEXINDEXRotation Schedule .................................................................................................................... 2NFL VI Picks ................................................................................................................................. 3NFL VI Best Bets .......................................................................................................................... 4NFL Strength Ratings ................................................................................................................. 5NFL Bye Week Systems and Team-by-Team Trends ............................................................... 6NFL Matchups .......................................................................................................................... 10NFL Top Weekly Trends ............................................................................................................ 18NFL Week 3 Observations ....................................................................................................... 19Top NFL Head to Head Trends ............................................................................................... 20Recent NFL Head to Head History ........................................................................................ 20Football Line Moves ................................................................................................................ 23College Football VI Picks ........................................................................................................ 24College Football VI Best Bets ................................................................................................. 25College Football Strength Ratings ........................................................................................ 26College Football Matchups ................................................................................................... 28College Football Top Weekly Trends ..................................................................................... 47Analyzing Potential Over & Under Rated Teams in the College Football AP Top 25................... 48Top CFB Head to Head Trends ............................................................................................... 50Recent CFB Head to Head History ........................................................................................ 51Week 4 CFB Observations ...................................................................................................... 56

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THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

AUGUST 30 – SEPTEMBER 3


ROTATION SCHEDULE101 CHICAGO 45.5 45.5 149 NORTHWESTERN 51 50.5 203 NEVADA 55 55

P: 5:25PM C: 7:25PM E: 8:25PM CBS P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM ABC P: 7:00PM C: 9:00PM E: 10:00PM 102 GREEN BAY -7.5 -7 150 WISCONSIN -13 -15 204 FRESNO ST -9 -11

155 CONNECTICUT 67 73.5 205 N ILLINOIS 46 44.5P: 1:00PM C: 3:00PM E: 4:00PM ESPNN P: 7:30PM C: 9:30PM E: 10:30PM CBSC

156 SMU -18 -20 206 SAN DIEGO ST -12 -13103 TEXAS -4 -6.5 157 TEXAS ST UNIV 46.5 46.5 207 COLORADO ST -9 -7

P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM ESPN P: 1:00PM C: 3:00PM E: 4:00PM P: 9:00PM C: 11:00PM E: 12:00AM 104 IOWA ST 64 63 158 WYOMING -19 -18 208 HAWAII 63.5 69

159 COLORADO 66.5 68 209 MEMPHIS 70 71P: 7:30PM C: 9:30PM E: 10:30PM ESPN2 P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM ESPN2

105 MIAMI FL -4.5 -6.5 160 UCLA -7 -6.5 210 UCF -3 -3.5P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM ESPN 161 CALIFORNIA 67.5 68.5

106 DUKE 57.5 56 P: 7:30PM C: 9:30PM E: 10:30PM FOX 1107 NEBRASKA -6.5 -6 162 OREGON -15 -14

P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM FOX 1 163 WASHINGTON -28 -27108 ILLINOIS 52 49.5 P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM PAC12 251 NEW ORLEANS -2 -3109 BYU -3 -3 164 OREGON ST 63 63 P: 6:30AM C: 8:30AM E: 9:30AM FOX

P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM CBSC 165 COASTAL CAROLINA58.5 59.5 252 MIAMI 50 49.5110 UTAH ST 46 46 P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM ESPN3 253 CAROLINA 47 49111 USC -4 -3.5 166 LA MONROE -11 -11 P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM

P: 7:30PM C: 9:30PM E: 10:30PM ESPN 167 SOUTH CAROLINA 55.5 54 254 NEW ENGLAND -8 -8112 WASHINGTON ST 62.5 65 P: 4:30PM C: 6:30PM E: 7:30PM SEC 255 LA RAMS 46 46

168 TEXAS A&M -8 -10 P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 169 TROY 46.5 47.5 256 DALLAS -8 -8

113 CHARLOTTE 46 45.5 P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM ESPNU 257 DETROIT 43.5 43.5P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM 170 LSU -20 -20 P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM

114 FLA INTERNATIONAL-10 -13 171 NEW MEXICO ST 60 60.5 258 MINNESOTA -3.5 -3.5115 RICE 51.5 50 P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM SEC 259 TENNESSEE -1 -2

P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM 172 ARKANSAS -19 -17 P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 116 PITTSBURGH -22 -20 173 SAN JOSE ST 68 66.5 260 HOUSTON 44 44117 SOUTH FLORIDA -24 -24 P: 7:30PM C: 9:30PM E: 10:30PM ESPNU 261 JACKSONVILLE -3.5 -3.5

P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM CBSC 174 UNLV -11 -12 P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 118 EAST CAROLINA 69 74 175 UTEP 54 52.5 262 NY JETS 40 39.5121 SYRACUSE 60.5 63 P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM CBSC 263 CINCINNATI -4 -3

P: 9:20AM C: 11:20AM E: 12:20PM 176 ARMY -24 -24 P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 122 NC STATE -12 -13 177 VANDERBILT 44 42 264 CLEVELAND 40 40123 E MICHIGAN 44.5 49.5 P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM ESPN 265 PITTSBURGH -2 -2.5

P: 1:00PM C: 3:00PM E: 4:00PM SEC 178 FLORIDA -9.5 -10 P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 124 KENTUCKY -14 -14 179 GEORGIA -6.5 -7.5 266 BALTIMORE 45 44125 BALL ST 62 57.5 P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM CBS 267 BUFFALO 49 48.5

P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM ESPN3 180 TENNESSEE 47 46.5 P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 126 W MICHIGAN -12 -12 181 NORTH TEXAS 59 61.5 268 ATLANTA -8 -7.5127 C MICHIGAN 50 49 P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM 269 NY GIANTS 43.5 43.5

P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 182 SOUTHERN MISS -9 -8.5 P: 1:05PM C: 3:05PM E: 4:05PM 128 BOSTON COLLEGE -9 -9 183 S ALABAMA 58 57.5 270 TAMPA -4 -3129 AKRON 1 54.5 P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM ESPN3 271 PHILADELPHIA 46.5 47

P: 3:00PM C: 5:00PM E: 6:00PM ESPN3 184 LOUISIANA TECH -14 -14 P: 1:05PM C: 3:05PM E: 4:05PM 130 BOWLING GREEN 51 -3 185 MIAMI OHIO 54.5 53.5 272 LA CHARGERS -1 0131 OHIO U -8.5 -8.5 P: 2:00PM C: 4:00PM E: 5:00PM NBCS 273 SAN FRANCISCO 44.5 44.5

P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM 186 NOTRE DAME -23 -23 P: 1:05PM C: 3:05PM E: 4:05PM 132 MASSACHUSETTS 50 49 187 MIDDLE TENN ST 51 58.5 274 ARIZONA -7 -7133 BUFFALO -4 -6.5 P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM 275 OAKLAND 47 47

P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM ESPN3 188 FLA ATLANTIC -1.5 -2.5 P: 1:25PM C: 3:25PM E: 4:25PM 134 KENT ST 44 42 189 MISSISSIPPI ST 49.5 48 276 DENVER -2.5 -2.5135 HOUSTON -14 -14 P: 3:00PM C: 5:00PM E: 6:00PM ESPN 277 INDIANAPOLIS 41 41

P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM ESPNU 190 AUBURN -9.5 -10 P: 5:30PM C: 7:30PM E: 8:30PM NBC136 TEMPLE 46 47.5 191 NORTH CAROLINA 64 60.5 278 SEATTLE -13 -13137 MARSHALL 50.5 49 P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM ESPN2

P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM ESPN3 192 GEORGIA TECH -10 -9.5138 CINCINNATI -5 -5 193 CLEMSON -5.5 -7 279 WASHINGTON 49 49.5139 BAYLOR 62 59 P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM ABC P: 5:30PM C: 7:30PM E: 8:30PM ESPN

P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM ESPN2 194 VIRGINIA TECH 49 51.5 280 KANSAS CITY -7 -7140 KANSAS ST -14 -16 195 AIR FORCE 52 50.5141 MARYLAND 53.5 47 P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM CBSC

P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM FOX 1 196 NEW MEXICO 2 -1142 MINNESOTA -11 -11 197 OLE MISS 57 59143 OHIO ST -29 -29 P: 6:00PM C: 8:00PM E: 9:00PM ESPN

P: 4:30PM C: 6:30PM E: 7:30PM BIG10 198 ALABAMA -28 -28144 RUTGERS 54 51 199 OKLAHOMA ST -11 -8.5145 IOWA 45.5 44.5 P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM FOX

P: 1:00PM C: 3:00PM E: 4:00PM FOX 200 TEXAS TECH 80 81146 MICHIGAN ST -2.5 -3.5 201 ARIZONA ST 67.5 63.5147 FLORIDA ST -7 -7.5 P: 1:00PM C: 3:00PM E: 4:00PM PAC12

P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM ABC 202 STANFORD -16 -17148 WAKE FOREST 45 47

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 5

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 29, 2017

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 30, 2017

NFL WEEK 4 cont'dSUNDAY, OCTOBER 1, 2017

London, England

NFL WEEK 4 COLLEGE FOOTBALL continued COLLEGE FOOTBALL continued SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 30, 2017SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 30, 2017THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 28, 2017

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 28, 2017

MONDAY, OCTOBER 2, 2017


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NFL VI PICKSVI Jim 12-17 (41%) 5-3 (63%)*

VI Jason 15-14 (52%)4-5 (44%)*

VI Doug 15-14 (52%)4-5 (44%)*

VIMatt12-17 (41%)4-5 (44%)*

Power Rating 20-9-1 (69%)

Effective Strength 14-15 (48%)

Bettors Ratings 17-12 (59%)

Consensus 13-16 (45%)

Thursday, September 28, 2017 - (101) CHICAGO at (102) GREEN BAY (-7)Green

Bay

Green

Bay

Green

Bay

Green

Bay*

Green

Bay

Green

Bay

Green

Bay

Green Bay

Thursday, September 28, 2017 - (101) CHICAGO at (102) GREEN BAY - TOTAL (45.5)UNDER* OVER* UNDER UNDER OVER UNDER OVER UNDER

Sunday, October 1, 2017 - (251) NEW ORLEANS vs. (252) MIAMI (+3)Miami* New

Orleans*

New

Orleans

New

Orleans

Miami New

Orleans

Miami New Orleans

Sunday, October 1, 2017 - (251) NEW ORLEANS vs. (252) MIAMI - TOTAL (49.5)OVER OVER OVER* UNDER UNDER UNDER OVER OVER

Sunday, October 1, 2017 - (265) PITTSBURGH at (266) BALTIMORE (+2.5)Pittsburgh Pittsburgh* Pittsburgh Baltimore* Baltimore Pittsburgh Baltimore Pittsburgh

Sunday, October 1, 2017 - (265) PITTSBURGH at (266) BALTIMORE - TOTAL (44)UNDER UNDER UNDER* UNDER UNDER UNDER OVER UNDER

Sunday, October 1, 2017 - (271) PHILADELPHIA at (272) LA CHARGERS (0)LA

Chargers

Philadelphia LA

Chargers

Philadelphia LA

Chargers

LA

Chargers

LA

Chargers

LA Chargers

Sunday, October 1, 2017 - (271) PHILADELPHIA at (272) LA CHARGERS - TOTAL (47)OVER UNDER OVER* UNDER UNDER UNDER OVER UNDER

Sunday, October 1, 2017 - (277) INDIANAPOLIS at (278) SEATTLE (-13)Seattle Seattle Seattle Indianapolis* Indianapolis Indianapolis Seattle Seattle

Sunday, October 1, 2017 - (277) INDIANAPOLIS at (278) SEATTLE - TOTAL (41)OVER* OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER

* – indicates Best Bet (BB)

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http://www.vegasinsider.com/handicappers/bios.cfm/hc/288/jim-mack


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Jim says…There are some obvious reasons for concern in Seattle, as the Seahawks’ 1-2 start certainly doesn’t seem befitting of a team that was projected to be among the best in the NFC again. However, I explained at the outset of the season that I was lukewarm on Seattle this year, mostly because of their offensive line and inconsistent run play. Well, that part of the offense hasn’t produced. That said, I think HC Pete Carroll may have seen the light last week in the near comeback against Tennessee, as he put much more of the offense on QB Russell Wilson’s shoulders. The result was a season-high in points and yards. It would seem that the Seahawks are due for a breakout offensive game on Sunday night against the Colts, who have allowed 30 PPG in their first three. Indy is a much better offense with QB Jacoby Brissett under center, so I don’t envision them getting shut down. Plus, the Colts are 23-12 OVER the total on the road under HC Pagano. With a relatively low total of 41, I expect this one to go OVER. Jason says…For as much as Baltimore has had the upper hand in the recent head-to-head action versus Pittsburgh, I have to believe that the latter is the better team and due for a victory in the series. There were a number of things going against the Steelers last weekend in Chicago. First off, they were seemingly more interested in their anthem demonstration than the football game. Second, they seemed to overlook the Bears, perhaps in preparation for this more key divisional contest. There is also a nice system indicating to go against the Ravens’ weak offense: Play against Home teams where the line is +3 to -3, with a poor offense - averaging 285 or less YPG. System is 36-13 over L10 seasons. Coming off their pathetic loss to Jacksonville in London, I have a hard time seeing the Ravens bounce back that quickly. With an increased focus and a more potent offense, I think the Steelers are the play here. Doug says…Past results do not guarantee future prognostications, yet I cannot look at the struggles of the Pittsburgh and Baltimore offenses and ignore them. The Steelers running game does not even average a first down per three consecutive rush attempts (3.1 YPC) and passing offense has not shown any big play capabilities this season. How bad is the Ravens pass offense, they are trailing 31st ranked Houston by 46 yards! Baltimore’s running game has been solid at 142 yards a game, but normally you do not line up against Pittsburgh and expect to run on them for four quarters and leave victorious. With the Steelers 17-5 UNDER on the road of late and having sublet of 11-2 UNDER as a road favorite, it’s crystal clear where my money is...UNDER.

Matt says…Chicago visits historic Lambeau Field with momentum after an upset of Pittsburgh on Sunday, while Green Bay needed OT to get by winless Cincinnati. Despite the win, fifth-year QB Mike Glennon has yet to find a rhythm for the Bears, throwing just three TDs while turning the ball over six times. Meanwhile, Aaron Rodgers has started the season with three-straight 300+ yard passing games, to go along with six TD passes. Despite efficient play from RB Jordan Howard (4.4 YPC), I expect Chicago to be playing catchup most of Thursday night, and Glennon is a less-than-ideal QB to have at the helm when doing so. Green Bay has covered in 10 of the last 13 matchups against Chicago. I see that trend continuing. Look for a 10+ point victory by the cheeseheads.

NFL VI BEST BETS










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Three different types of time-tested strength ratings have been created for use in the publication. In the chart below, you’ll find the ratings, along with potential edges shown for the upcoming games. The Power Ratings columns are in-house ratings kept and maintained

manually for every game throughout the season. The Effective Strength (Effective Strg) Ratings quantify a team’s performance against varied schedule strengths. Finally, the Bettors’ Ratings (Bettors’ Rtng) are built using a unique formula of a team’s closing lines in relation to its past opponents and game performances, giving a good indication of how bettors’ feel about a team. Each rating is built exclusive from the others, and thus has its own merits. Track the results of the ratings weekly and see which one works best for you. Edges are given when a projection varies 4.5 points or more from an actual line or total.

BRD Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng#’’s Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge? Proj Edge? Proj Edge?101 CHICAGO 45.5 20.5 17.7 19.1 102 GREEN BAY -7 27.5 -9.5 27.1 28.1 251 NEW ORLEANS -3 23.0 25.9 25.5 252 MIAMI 49.5 22.0 0.9 22.9 24.9 253 CAROLINA 49 24.0 19.2 UNDER 18.8 254 NEW ENGLAND -8 30.0 -8.6 26.4 27.7 255 LA RAMS 46 22.0 17.6 19.8 256 DALLAS -8 27.5 -8.3 28.6 DAL 25.5 257 DETROIT 43.5 24.5 20.0 19.5 258 MINNESOTA -3.5 25.5 -3.8 23.7 24.0 259 TENNESSEE -2 26.0 22.3 24.0 260 HOUSTON 44 23.0 0.5 21.4 20.5 261 JACKSONVILLE -3.5 22.0 19.6 19.9 262 NY JETS 39.5 16.5 2.9 20.1 NYJ 19.3 263 CINCINNATI -3 21.0 22.7 20.3 264 CLEVELAND 40 17.0 1.8 18.2 20.7 CLE 265 PITTSBURGH -2.5 27.5 23.2 23.5 266 BALTIMORE 44 23.0 1.8 20.5 21.6 267 BUFFALO 48.5 22.5 19.9 19.2 268 ATLANTA -7.5 30.0 -10.3 27.7 28.3 269 NY GIANTS 43.5 22.5 19.5 18.1 270 TAMPA -3 24.5 -4.6 22.9 23.2 271 PHILADELPHIA 47 25.0 23.4 23.2 272 LA CHARGERS 0 22.5 -0.1 23.5 24.1 273 SAN FRANCISCO 44.5 16.5 19.2 18.4 274 ARIZONA -7 22.5 -9.0 25.8 26.8 275 OAKLAND 47 26.5 21.3 23.1 276 DENVER -2.5 25.5 -1.8 25.8 24.0 277 INDIANAPOLIS 41 22.0 16.3 15.2 278 SEATTLE -13 25.0 -10.8 26.6 28.8 279 WASHINGTON 49.5 23.0 21.2 20.8 280 KANSAS CITY -7 27.5 -7.0 28.3 27.6

NFL STRENGTH RATINGS

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It seems hard to believe but we are already going to begin talking about teams taking their bye weeks on the NFL schedule. The importance of these bye weeks and how they relate to routines, and how greatly they can affect the momentum a team has already built up cannot be overstated. Historically, some franchises & coaches have been very good in dealing with bye weeks, others not so much. Furthermore, there are teams that have seen their performance levels vary greatly when going into the bye week as opposed to coming out. As such, the various bye week scenarios can make for golden wagering opportunities.

This article deals specifically with PRE-BYE WEEK systems and trends. In two weeks, I will be back with the second half of this series, analyzing the post-bye week info. You’ll need to hang on to these pieces too, as the bye weeks are scattered over a 9-week period in the NFL.

This is always one of the most popular articles I run each year. As reasoning, let’s start by explaining why the bye week has such an impact in the NFL…Every April brings excitement when the NFL schedule gets announced. Analysts break down all the big matchups, the quirks for each team, and seemingly every little intricacy in the 17 week slate. There are always various situations that can wreak havoc. You see, the NFL is a routine-laden league, and anything that can break that routine for a team can offer bettors opportunity. Whether its long stretches of road or home games, contests scheduled on days other than Sundays, etc, these scheduling “landmines” can be used to find betting value if you understand the consequences of such events. However, if there is one scheduling situation that is most influential, it is the BYE WEEK. Each team gets one throughout their 17-week schedule, and where it is placed and how the teams react in and out of that bye week can often make the difference of one or two wins. That of course can affect whether or not a team makes the playoffs.

Clearly, the three week period involving a team’s bye week (in, off, out) is huge. So let’s get to the data, first a group of league-wide systems you’ll want to digest, and second, team-by-team pre-bye week trends, along with their scheduled pre-bye week game for 2017.

PRE-BYE WEEK SYSTEM #1Play OVER the total in Non-Conference Games featuring a team heading into their bye week. (Record: 49-21 since ‘10, 70%, +25.9 Units, 37% R.O.I., Rtg: 7*)

Games qualifying for this in 2017 – Play OVER the total in BUF-ATL (10/1), NO-MIA (10/1), WAS-KC (10/2), CLE-MIN (10/29), PIT-DET (10/29), KC-DAL (11/5), DEN-PHI (11/5), NYJ-TB (11/12), MIA-CAR (11/13)

PRE-BYE WEEK SYSTEM #2Play on ROAD teams heading into their bye week when facing a divisional opponent. (Record: 38-25 SU & 43-19-1 ATS since ‘02, 69.4%, +23.1 Units, 37.3% R.O.I., Rtg: 7*)Teams qualifying for this in 2017 – Seattle (10/8), Jacksonville (10/22)

PRE-BYE WEEK SYSTEM #3Play on any ROAD team heading into their BYE week on Monday Night. (Record: 20-8 SU & 19-8-1 ATS since ’96, 70.3%, +10.2 Units, 37.7% R.O.I., Rtg: 6*).Teams qualifying for this in 2017 – Washington (10/2)

PRE-BYE WEEK SYSTEM #4Play OVER the total in Monday Night Games featuring a team heading into their bye week. (Record: 35-12 since ‘97, 74.4%, +21.8 Units, 46.4% R.O.I., Rtg: 7*)Games qualifying for this in 2017 –WAS-KC (10/2), MIA-CAR (11/13)

NFL TEAM-BY-TEAM PRE-BYE WEEK TRENDSPlease note that the following trends only include bye week games from the regular season schedule, not playoffs.

ARIZONA CARDINALS (pre-bye week game: 10/22 vs. LA Rams in London)• Arizona is 3-1 SU & ATS in pre-bye week

games under Bruce Arians• OVER the total is 5-1-1 in the L6 Arizona pre-

bye week games away from home

ATLANTA FALCONS (pre-bye week game: 10/1 vs. Buffalo)• Atlanta has lost three straight pre-bye week

games, going 1-3 ATS• The Falcons have gone OVER the total in six

of their L7 pre-bye week games at home• Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its L6 pre-bye week

games against AFC teams

BALTIMORE RAVENS (pre-bye week game: 11/5 @ Tennessee)• Baltimore has won only one of nine pre-bye

week road games previously, going 3-6 ATS• The Ravens are 5-3 OVER the total in their L8

pre-bye games on the road• Baltimore is on a 5-game ATS losing streak in

pre-bye week games versus non-divisional AFC foes

BUFFALO BILLS (pre-bye week game: 10/8 @ Cincinnati)• Buffalo has gone OVER the total in seven

straight pre-bye week games, total output: 60.1 PPG

• The Bills are just 1-8 SU & 2-5-2 ATS in their L9 pre-bye week games on the road

• Buffalo is on a 6-game losing streak in pre-bye week games versus non-divisional AFC foes, going 0-5-1 ATS

NFL BYE WEEK SYSTEMS AND TEAM-BY-TEAM TRENDS


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CAROLINA PANTHERS (pre-bye week game: 11/13 vs. Miami)• Carolina has gone UNDER the total in its L5

pre-bye week games at home• Carolina has only played two prior pre-bye

week games vs. AFC foes, going 2-0 ATS• The Panthers are on an unusual skid of 3-7

SU & 1-9 ATS in their L10 as pre-bye week favorites

CHICAGO BEARS (pre-bye week game: 10/29 @ New Orleans)• Chicago is on a 6-3 ATS surge in pre-bye

week games overall• The Bears have been a big OVER the total

team in pre-bye week road games recently, on a 4-0 run. They have allowed 44.3 PPG in the most recent three.

• Chicago is 2-6 ATS in its L8 pre-bye week games vs. non-divisional NFC foes.

CINCINNATI BENGALS (pre-bye week game: 10/8 vs. Buffalo)• Cincinnati is 6-2-1 SU & 6-3 ATS in its L9 pre-

bye week games• The Bengals are on a 5-2 ATS run in pre-bye

week games at home• Cincinnati has covered the pointspread in

each of its two prior pre-bye week games versus Buffalo

CLEVELAND BROWNS (pre-bye week game: 10/29 vs. Minnesota in London)• Cleveland has lost its L3 pre-bye week

games SU & ATS, as well as five of its L6.• The Browns are on a 10-5 UNDER the total

run in pre-bye week games, scoring just 17.6 PPG

• Six of the L7 Cleveland pre-bye week games away from home have gone UNDER the total

DALLAS COWBOYS (pre-bye week game: 10/8 vs. Green Bay)• Dallas is just 4-5 SU & 3-6 ATS in its L9 pre-bye

week games, but did win its 2016 game, also against Green Bay

• OVER the total is 10-3-1 ATS in the L14 Cowboys’ pre-bye week games

• Dallas has lost all three home pre-bye week games under Jason Garrett, allowing 32.7 PPG

DENVER BRONCOS (pre-bye week game: 10/1 vs. Oakland)• Denver is on a 4-1 SU & 3-1-1 ATS run in pre-

bye week games overall• Denver is 6-0 OVER the total in its L6 pre-bye

week games vs. divisional opponents• The Broncos are 7-1 SU & ATS in their L8 pre-

bye week games as home favorites

DETROIT LIONS (pre-bye week game: 10/15 @ New Orleans)• The Lions are 4-2 outright in their L6 pre-bye

week, but are 2-4 ATS in that span• Detroit is a woeful 2-13 SU & 4-11 ATS in pre-

bye week games on the road since ’93, but did win last year at Minnesota

• The Lions are just 1-5 SU & ATS in their L6 pre-bye week games vs. non-divisional NFC foes

GREEN BAY PACKERS (pre-bye week game 10/22 vs. New Orleans)• Green Bay is 7-4 SU but just 4-6-1 ATS in pre-

bye week games under HC Mike McCarthy• The Packers have been a huge OVER team

pre-bye week games since ’03, going 11-3 OVER while scoring 30.1 PPG

• The Packers are 11-1 SU & 8-3-1 ATS in their L12 pre-bye week home games

HOUSTON TEXANS (pre-bye week game: 10/15 vs. Cleveland)• Since joining the NFL back in ’02, Houston

boasts an impressive 11-4 ATS mark in pre-bye week games

• The Texans are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in four prior pre-bye week games as favorites

• Houston is 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS in its L6 pre-bye week games at home

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (pre-bye week game: 11/12 vs. Pittsburgh)• The Colts have won their L4 pre-bye week

games SU & ATS, scoring 34.3 PPG in the process

• Strangely, Indianapolis has been a much better pre-bye week team on the road, as it is just 2-3 SU & ATS in its L5 at home

• The Colts’ are 4-1 SU & ATS in their L5 pre-bye week games against non-divisional AFC foes and four of five have also gone OVER the total

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (pre-bye week game 10/22 @ Indianapolis)• Jacksonville hasn’t played an official road

pre-bye week game since 2011, but is 4-0-1 ATS in its L5 in that scenario

• The Jaguars have been a huge OVER team in pre-bye week games of late, 10-2 OVER in the L12, including the last five in a row.

• Jacksonville is on a 1-4 SU & 1-3-1 ATS slide as a pre-bye week underdog, yielding 33.8 PPG

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (pre-bye week game 11/5 @ Dallas)• Head coach Andy Reid’s teams are 2-5-1

ATS run in pre-bye week games against opposite conference foes

• The Chiefs have gone OVER the total in their L3 pre-bye week games against NFC opponents

LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (pre-bye week game: 10/29 @ New England)• The Chargers lost their L3 pre-bye week

games while in San Diego both outright & ATS, scoring just 14.3 PPG

• The Chargers are 4-1 SU & ATS in their L5 pre-bye week games on the road

LOS ANGELES RAMS (pre-bye week game: 10/22 vs. Arizona in London)• The Rams have lost five of their L6 pre-bye

week games SU & ATS• Six of the L8 Rams’ pre-bye week games

against non-divisional NFC foes went UNDER the total

• The L10 outright winners in the Rams’ also covered the spread

8




MIAMI DOLPHINS (pre-bye week game: NONE in 2017 due to hurricane rescheduling)• The Dolphins go into Sunday’s game on a

2-5 ATS slide in pre-bye week games• Miami is 6-2 OVER the total in its L8 pre-bye

week games vs. AFC opponents

MINNESOTA VIKINGS (pre-bye week game 10/29 vs. Cleveland in London)• The Vikings are on a 7-1 SU & 8-0 ATS run in

pre-bye week games• Minnesota is 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS all-time in pre-

bye week games against AFC competition• Minnesota is on a 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS run in pre-

bye week games as a favorite

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (pre-bye week game: 10/29 vs. LA Chargers)• New England goes into 2017 on an 8-game

pre-bye week winning streak, going 7-1 ATS in the process

• During the Patriots’ current 5-game ATS pre-bye week winning streak, they have scored an unbelievable 47 PPG, going OVER and topping the 40-point mark each time as well

• New England is 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS as a pre-bye week favorite or pick em’ since’99

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (pre-bye week game 10/1 vs. Miami in London)• Since Sean Payton returned from his season

long suspension in 2012, the Saints are just 2-2 SU & 1-3 ATS in pre-bye week games, the defense allowing 35.5 PPG

• New Orleans is 5-2 ATS in its L7 pre-bye week games against AFC foes

• New Orleans has gone OVER the total in all of its L5 pre-bye week games, total point production 62.0 PPG

NEW YORK GIANTS (pre-bye week game: 10/22 vs. Seattle)• New York has been solid against NFC foes

in pre-bye week games, 15-4 SU & 14-5 ATS since ‘92

• Four of the Giants’ L5 pre-bye week games at home have gone OVER the total

NEW YORK JETS (pre-bye week game: 11/12 @ Tampa Bay)• The Jets are on a decent run of 5-2 SU & ATS

in pre-bye week games, underdogs in all but two of those

• The Jets have won back-to-back pre-bye week road games outright & ATS, however, they were favored in both

• Six of New York’s L9 pre-bye week games versus NFC foes went OVER the total

OAKLAND RAIDERS (pre-bye week game: 11/5 vs. Miami)• Oakland snapped a 5-game SU & ATS pre-

bye week losing skid last year by beating Denver at home

• The Raiders are just 2-4-1 ATS as pre-bye week favorites dating back to ‘97

• UNDER the total is 6-1-1 in Oakland’s L8 pre-bye week games with totals of 45 or higher

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (pre-bye week game 11/5 vs. Denver)• Philadelphia has gone UNDER the total in

four straight pre-bye week games, allowing just 11.5 PPG

• The Eagles are 4-1 SU & ATS in their L5 pre-bye week games at home after losing the prior four

• Philly is 3-4 SU & 2-5 ATS in its L7 pre-bye week games against AFC foes

PITTSBURGH STEELERS (pre-bye week game: 10/29 @ Detroit)• Pittsburgh has gone OVER the total in five of

its L6 pre-bye week games on the road.• The Steelers are just 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS in their

L3 pre-bye week games as road favorites

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (pre-bye week game: 11/12 vs. NY Giants)• San Francisco has fared pretty well in pre-

bye week games of late, 5-2 SU & ATS in the L7

• Dating back to ’06, the 49ers are just 2-6 SU & 3-5 ATS in their L8 pre-bye week games at home

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (pre-bye week game 10/8 @ LA Rams)• Head coach Pete Carroll has proven

masterful in getting his teams ready for their bye weeks, going 10-1 SU & 9-2 ATS in pre-bye week games with three different franchises

• The Seahawks have won six straight pre-bye week games while going 5-1 ATS

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (pre-bye week game: NONE in 2017 due to hurricane rescheduling)• Tampa Bay has won back-to-back pre-

bye week games, breaking a 6-game SU & 7-game ATS losing streak prior

• The Buccaneers are 2-13 SU & 4-11 ATS in their L15 games as a pre-bye week pick em’ or underdog

• Tampa Bay is just 1-6 SU & ATS in its L7 pre-bye week games at home

TENNESSEE TITANS (pre-bye week game 10/22 @ Cleveland)• Tennessee is on a run of 7-1 OVER the total in

pre-bye week games, allowing 31.3 PPG• The Titans are 1-4 ATS in their L5 pre-bye

week road games• Dating back to ’93, the Titans franchise is

12-6 OVER the total in pre-bye week games against AFC foes

WASHINGTON REDSKINS (pre-bye week game: 10/2 @ Kansas City)• Washington is just 3-7-1 SU & 3-8 ATS in its L11

pre-bye week games• Despite overall struggles in pre-bye week

games, the Redskins have fared well on the road in such contests, 2-1-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their L4

• Washington is 3-12 SU & 5-9-1 ATS as a pre-bye week underdog since ‘93


9


Team SU W-L (%) Rank ATS W-L (%) Rank Ov-Un (%) Rank OffPPG Rank DefPPG RankARIZONA 6-9 (40.0%) 24 7-8 (46.7%) 21 9-5 (64.3%) 8 21.1 20 24.2 26ATLANTA 8-7 (53.3%) 13 9-6 (60.0%) 7 7-8 (46.7%) 24 24.5 10 22.5 13BALTIMORE 6-9 (40.0%) 24 5-10 (33.3%) 30 6-9 (40.0%) 28 19.1 27 22.1 10BUFFALO 2-13 (13.3%) 32 4-8 (33.3%) 30 9-6 (60.0%) 12 21.1 20 29.0 32CAROLINA 7-8 (46.7%) 18 7-8 (46.7%) 21 5-10 (33.3%) 31 20.8 24 19.5 3CHICAGO 6-9 (40.0%) 24 6-9 (40.0%) 28 8-7 (53.3%) 18 24.9 8 25.7 29CINCINNATI 7-7 (50.0%) 17 8-7 (53.3%) 13 8-5 (61.5%) 11 23.5 11 22.3 12CLEVELAND 4-11 (26.7%) 31 7-7 (50.0%) 18 5-10 (33.3%) 31 17.6 31 22.9 18DALLAS 9-6 (60.0%) 7 9-6 (60.0%) 7 9-5 (64.3%) 8 23.1 13 22.9 18DENVER 9-6 (60.0%) 7 8-6 (57.1%) 10 9-5 (64.3%) 8 25.5 7 24.1 25DETROIT 5-10 (33.3%) 30 5-10 (33.3%) 30 7-8 (46.7%) 24 17.7 30 27.0 31GREEN BAY 10-5 (66.7%) 4 7-7 (50.0%) 18 11-4 (73.3%) 1 30.1 2 21.1 7HOUSTON 9-6 (60.0%) 7 11-4 (73.3%) 1 7-7 (50.0%) 21 22.3 15 20.1 6INDIANAPOLIS 11-4 (73.3%) 3 9-5 (64.3%) 4 9-6 (60.0%) 12 26.6 6 19.3 2JACKSONVILLE 9-6 (60.0%) 7 8-6 (57.1%) 10 10-5 (66.7%) 4 21.1 20 22.7 16KANSAS CITY 8-7 (53.3%) 13 9-5 (64.3%) 4 7-7 (50.0%) 21 20.6 26 21.7 9LA CHARGERS 9-6 (60.0%) 7 8-7 (53.3%) 13 11-4 (73.3%) 1 27.5 4 23.3 23MIAMI 7-8 (46.7%) 18 7-8 (46.7%) 21 9-6 (60.0%) 12 22.0 17 22.5 13MINNESOTA 10-5 (66.7%) 4 10-5 (66.7%) 2 11-4 (73.3%) 1 27.7 3 25.6 28NEW ENGLAND 12-3 (80.0%) 1 10-5 (66.7%) 2 9-6 (60.0%) 12 31.4 1 20.0 5NEW ORLEANS 10-5 (66.7%) 4 9-5 (64.3%) 4 10-5 (66.7%) 4 27.1 5 25.7 29NY GIANTS 9-6 (60.0%) 7 7-7 (50.0%) 18 8-7 (53.3%) 18 23.5 11 22.2 11NY JETS 7-8 (46.7%) 18 8-7 (53.3%) 13 9-6 (60.0%) 12 21.5 19 22.7 16OAKLAND 6-9 (40.0%) 24 7-8 (46.7%) 21 6-7 (46.2%) 26 16.7 32 23.4 24PHILADELPHIA 7-8 (46.7%) 18 7-8 (46.7%) 21 6-8 (42.9%) 27 20.7 25 19.5 3PITTSBURGH 7-8 (46.7%) 18 7-8 (46.7%) 21 8-7 (53.3%) 18 22.5 14 21.2 8SAN FRANCISCO 7-8 (46.7%) 18 8-6 (57.1%) 10 6-9 (40.0%) 28 18.8 28 23.1 22SEATTLE 12-3 (80.0%) 1 9-6 (60.0%) 7 7-7 (50.0%) 21 24.8 9 17.3 1ST LOUIS 6-9 (40.0%) 24 7-8 (46.7%) 21 10-5 (66.7%) 4 21.1 20 22.5 13TAMPA BAY 8-7 (53.3%) 13 8-7 (53.3%) 13 9-6 (60.0%) 12 21.9 18 22.9 18TENNESSEE 8-7 (53.3%) 13 8-7 (53.3%) 13 10-5 (66.7%) 4 22.3 15 24.5 27WASHINGTON 5-9 (35.7%) 29 5-9 (35.7%) 29 6-9 (40.0%) 28 17.9 29 23.0 21

NFL Teams' Pre-Bye Week Game Records since 2002









10




NFL MATCHUPS(101) CHICAGO [SU:1-2 | ATS:2-1] AT (102) GREEN BAY (-7 | 45.5) [SU:2-1 | ATS:1-2]

SEPTEMBER 28, 2017 8:25 PM on CBS - LAMBEAU FIELD (GREEN BAY, WI)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF CHICAGO 15.7 19 24-122 [5.0] 36-24-183 [5.1] 19.4 23.0 20 25-84 [3.4] 33-20-238 [7.1] 14.0 -3 -7.3 GREEN BAY 22.3 24 20-69 [3.5] 45-30-291 [6.5] 16.1 22.3 17 25-114 [4.5] 27-18-183 [6.7] 13.3 -2 0.0

The Packers won for one reason on Sunday against Cincinnati, Aaron Rodgers. Yes, the defense only allowed three points the second half as the Packers defensive coaches made good adjustments, but Rodgers was the difference. The Pack on a short week is a problem with all their injuries, but at least it’s against Chicago, which will help. The Packers are 30-13 ATS off a nonconference contest. The Bears deserved to beat Pittsburgh with ground attack that netted 220 yards and will look to do the same against wounded Pack defense. Chicago will be not be a picture of health with at least four starters out (Packers as many as six) and they are 0-7 ATS away when the total is between 42.5 and 49 points.

GAME TRENDS• GREEN BAY is 18-3-4 ATS(L25G) at HOME - Against decent rushing defenses yielding less than 3.9

yards per carry(CS)• CHICAGO is 2-8-1 ATS(L11G) - On Thursday• CHICAGO is 12-3 OVER(L5Y) on ROAD - Against lesser rushing teams averaging less than 3.9

yards per carry(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSCHICAGO RESULTS GREEN BAY RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-24 VS PITTSBURGH + 7 43.5 23-17 W W U 09-24 VS CINCINNATI - 7 48 27-24 W L O 09-17 at TAMPA BAY + 7 44 7-29 L L U 09-17 at ATLANTA + 3 54 23-34 L L O 09-10 VS ATLANTA + 6.5 48 17-23 L W U 09-10 VS SEATTLE - 2.5 50 17-9 W W U

(251) NEW ORLEANS (-3 | 49.5) [SU:1-2 | ATS:1-2] VS (252) MIAMI [SU:1-1 | ATS:1-1]OCTOBER 1, 2017 9:30 AM on FOX - WEMBLEY STADIUM (LONDON, )[NEUT]

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF NEW ORLEANS 24.3 20 22-97 [4.5] 37-25-282 [7.6] 15.6 26.0 23 28-127 [4.6] 35-25-311 [9.0] 16.8 +3 -1.7 MIAMI 12.5 18 23-70 [3.0] 39-25-210 [5.3] 22.4 18.5 20 24-73 [3.1] 31-24-278 [9.0] 19.0 -1 -6.0

There were warning signs Miami might struggle even against the Jets and they all proved to be true in 20-6 loss that was not that close. This is terrible time for Miami to have London game, having not played at home yet and Dolphins fans are wondering was the setback a wake-up call or a sign of things to come for Miami? The Fins are ugly 15-34 ATS off two road games. We won’t know for weeks if New Orleans really saved their season with upset at Carolina, however, they saved themselves from 0-3 start. Given this will not be a home game for Miami, that has to be advantageous for the Saints, who are 8-1 ATS off a division clash.

GAME TRENDS• NEW ORLEANS is 10-1 ATS(L3Y) - Against solid rushing defenses yielding less than 3.75 yards per

carry(CS)• MIAMI is 3-10 ATS(L5Y) - Against strong rushing teams averaging more than 4.4 yards per

carry(CS)• NEW ORLEANS is 17-3 OVER(L20G) - Against pathetic-scoring teams averaging 15 PPG or

less(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSNEW ORLEANS RESULTS MIAMI RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-24 at CAROLINA + 5 46.5 34-13 W W O 09-24 at NY JETS - 5.5 43.5 6-20 L L U 09-17 VS NEW ENGLAND + 5.5 55 20-36 L L O 09-17 at LA CHARGERS + 3.5 46 19-17 W W U 09-11 at MINNESOTA + 3 47.5 19-29 L L O

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF



11


NFL MATCHUPS(253) CAROLINA [SU:2-1 | ATS:1-1-1] AT (254) NEW ENGLAND (-8 | 49) [SU:2-1 | ATS:1-2]

OCTOBER 1, 2017 1:00 PM on FOX - GILLETTE STADIUM (FOXBORO, MA)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF CAROLINA 15.0 19 29-108 [3.7] 30-18-168 [5.6] 18.4 13.3 15 22-90 [4.1] 30-21-162 [5.5] 18.9 -3 +1.7 NEW ENGLAND 33.0 25 29-101 [3.5] 37-24-340 [9.3] 13.4 31.7 23 25-130 [5.1] 38-26-331 [8.8] 14.5 +2 +1.3

Normally domineering at home, New England has been anything but in two attempts and only the greatness of Tom Brady has kept them from being winless (0-2 ATS) in Foxboro. The concern is the pass defense, which has been punctured for 13 passing plays of 20 or more yards through three games. Facing Carolina’s feeble passing attack should help the Patriots, who are 11-2 ATS off two straight wins. If is becoming increasingly evident Cam Newton’s right wing is not 100 percent and missing any receivers in what was a spotty passing offense to begin with is not good. Newton saying “big things ahead” sounds more like wishing thinking than a proclamation. The Panthers however are 8-4 ATS in first of two roadies.

GAME TRENDS• NEW ENGLAND is 9-2 ATS(L3Y) - Against lesser rushing teams averaging less than 3.9 yards per

carry(CS)• CAROLINA is 4-10 ATS(L3Y) - Against weak defensive teams allowing more than 24.5 PPG(CS)• NEW ENGLAND is 9-2 OVER(L3Y) - Against decent defensive teams yielding less than 5.2 yards

per play(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSCAROLINA RESULTS NEW ENGLAND RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-24 VS NEW ORLEANS - 5 46.5 13-34 L L O 09-24 VS HOUSTON -13 44.5 36-33 W L O 09-17 VS BUFFALO - 6 43.5 9-3 W P U 09-17 at NEW ORLEANS - 5.5 55 36-20 W W O 09-10 at SAN FRANCISCO - 4 44.5 23-3 W W U 09-07 VS KANSAS CITY - 8 47.5 27-42 L L O

(255) LA RAMS [SU:2-1 | ATS:1-2] AT (256) DALLAS (-7.5 | 46) [SU:2-1 | ATS:2-1]OCTOBER 1, 2017 1:00 PM on FOX - AT&T STADIUM (ARLINGTON, TX)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF LA RAMS 35.7 20 29-94 [3.3] 28-20-281 [10.0] 10.5 25.0 19 32-139 [4.3] 28-17-205 [7.2] 13.8 0 +10.7 DALLAS 21.3 18 24-89 [3.8] 36-22-222 [6.2] 14.6 20.7 20 24-87 [3.6] 39-27-228 [5.8] 15.2 +1 +0.6

Maybe nobody in Los Angeles cares, but around the NFL and to football bettors, the L.A. Rams offense is causing a buzz. Granted, the Colts and Niners are not defensive juggernauts, still, the Rams have scored more than 40 points twice in three games and it took them a decade to match the same total. Downside, L.A. North is 3-12 ATS off a road game. Turns out Dak Prescott was not going to allow Dallas to go a two-game losing streak and led his team to victory with big plays against Arizona. The Cowboys defense was able to slow Cardinals offense and will need similar effort to curtail Rams, which will require stopping running game first. Better game than most would have imagined.

GAME TRENDS• DALLAS is 10-5 ATS(L5Y) - In October• LA RAMS is 3-9 ATS(L5Y) - OU line of 45 or more• LA RAMS is 13-2 UNDER(L5Y) - AS underdog of more than 7 points

SEASON GAME LOGSLA RAMS RESULTS DALLAS RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-21 at SAN FRANCISCO - 3 40 41-39 W L O 09-25 at ARIZONA - 3 46.5 28-17 W W U 09-17 VS WASHINGTON - 3 47 20-27 L L P 09-17 at DENVER - 2.5 43.5 17-42 L L O 09-10 VS INDIANAPOLIS - 3.5 41.5 46-9 W W O 09-10 VS NY GIANTS - 6 46 19-3 W W U



12




(257) DETROIT [SU:2-1 | ATS:2-1] AT (258) MINNESOTA (-3.5 | 43.5) [SU:2-1 | ATS:2-1]OCTOBER 1, 2017 1:00 PM on FOX - US BANK STADIUM (MINNEAPOLIS, MN)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF DETROIT 28.3 17 26-97 [3.7] 36-23-219 [6.1] 11.2 21.0 21 21-86 [4.0] 38-24-250 [6.5] 16.0 +6 +7.3 MINNESOTA 24.0 21 29-115 [4.0] 34-24-285 [8.3] 16.7 20.7 20 21-63 [3.0] 37-26-278 [7.4] 16.5 +2 +3.3

Critical, might be too strong a word the first Sunday of October, yet for these NFC North rivals, it is a contest that both 2-1 teams would like to have. Detroit coach Jim Caldwell had right approach on Monday after excruciating loss to Atlanta, “It’s over and done, we lost the game.” The Lions have to account for Dalvin Cook and Stephon Diggs and pressure whoever plays quarterback for Minnesota. Detroit is 0-7 ATS as division underdogs of less than 10 points if opponent is playing with revenge. Case Keenum has always been a good deep thrower when give time and has the players to make it work. The Vikings 27th rated pass defense is worrisome coming into this week.

GAME TRENDS• MINNESOTA is 13-2 ATS(L5Y) at HOME - Against high-scoring teams averaging 25 PPG or

more(CS)• DETROIT is 3-8 ATS(L5Y) on ROAD - Against efficient defenses allowing more than 16.3 yards per

point(CS)• DETROIT is 15-2 UNDER(L5Y) on ROAD - Against poor passing defenses yielding more than 6.9

yards per attempt(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSDETROIT RESULTS MINNESOTA RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-24 VS ATLANTA + 3 50.5 26-30 L L O 09-24 VS TAMPA BAY - 1 41 34-17 W W O 09-18 at NY GIANTS + 3 42 24-10 W W U 09-17 at PITTSBURGH + 8 43.5 9-26 L L U 09-10 VS ARIZONA + 2 48.5 35-23 W W O 09-11 VS NEW ORLEANS - 3 47.5 29-19 W W O

(259) TENNESSEE (-2 | 44) [SU:2-1 | ATS:2-1] AT (260) HOUSTON [SU:1-2 | ATS:2-1]OCTOBER 1, 2017 1:00 PM on CBS - NRG STADIUM (HOUSTON, TX)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF TENNESSEE 28.7 21 31-156 [5.1] 33-20-230 [6.9] 13.4 23.0 22 25-92 [3.6] 38-24-275 [7.2] 16.0 +2 +5.7 HOUSTON 17.7 20 30-129 [4.3] 31-19-167 [5.4] 16.7 24.7 17 28-99 [3.6] 30-19-225 [7.4] 13.1 -4 -7.0

While he will still make mistakes, Deshaun Watson is Houston’s quarterback now and for the future. He played extremely well at New England and gave his team a chance. Now back home, this confrontation will be more physical and require even more poise from Watson and his defensive teammates in particular. Tennessee’s rugged and feisty offensive line handled Seattle’s defensive front and they will look to newest challenge from the Texans, who like to mix it up in the trenches. Establishing and stopping the run will be very important for both clubs. No real positive angles with Tennessee 0-6 ATS after gaining 400 or more yards and Houston 0-6 ATS after one or more OVER’s since last season.

GAME TRENDS• TENNESSEE is 11-5-1 ATS(L17G) on ROAD - Against anemic passing teams averaging less than 5.4

yards per attempt(CS)• HOUSTON is 3-9 ATS(L5Y) at HOME - As underdog• TENNESSEE is 11-2 OVER(L3Y) - Against inefficient offenses averaging more than 16.6 yards per

point(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSTENNESSEE RESULTS HOUSTON RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-24 VS SEATTLE - 2.5 41.5 33-27 W W O 09-24 at NEW ENGLAND +13 44.5 33-36 L W O 09-17 at JACKSONVILLE - 1 41.5 37-16 W W O 09-14 at CINCINNATI + 5 38.5 13-9 W W U 09-10 VS OAKLAND - 3 50.5 16-26 L L U 09-10 VS JACKSONVILLE - 6 38 7-29 L L U


NFL MATCHUPS



13


(261) JACKSONVILLE (-3.5 | 39.5) [SU:2-1 | ATS:2-1] AT (262) NY JETS [SU:1-2 | ATS:1-2]OCTOBER 1, 2017 1:00 PM on CBS - METLIFE STADIUM (EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF JACKSONVILLE 29.7 21 33-140 [4.2] 29-17-193 [6.6] 11.2 17.0 19 28-135 [4.8] 30-16-124 [4.1] 15.2 +5 +12.7 NY JETS 17.3 15 25-89 [3.6] 29-20-185 [6.4] 15.8 24.0 20 28-133 [4.8] 34-22-214 [6.4] 14.5 -2 -6.7

What do you know, Jacksonville is a road favorite for the first since 2011, since facing Indianapolis without Peyton Manning. The Jaguars are coming off what could be described as Week 3’s best performance and has to follow that up with a good all-around effort from Blake Bortles and the entire squad. Which Jacksonville shows up at the Big Apple, Jags fans are hoping not the one that is 4-13 ATS after permitting 200 or fewer yards. Give Gang Green credit, it was a bad scheduling spot for Miami and New York made them pay. Next is bringing same defensive intensity versus Jacksonville and taking advantage of their trip to London with no time off. The Flyboys are only 2-7 ATS against the Jags.

GAME TRENDS• NY JETS is 18-7 ATS(L25G) at HOME - Against high-scoring teams averaging 25 PPG or more(CS)• JACKSONVILLE is 2-9 ATS(L3Y) - Against lesser rushing teams averaging less than 3.9 yards per

carry(CS)• JACKSONVILLE is 11-1 OVER(L12G) - Before playing PITTSBURGH

SEASON GAME LOGSJACKSONVILLE RESULTS NY JETS RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-24 ** BALTIMORE + 3 38 44-7 W W O 09-24 VS MIAMI + 5.5 43.5 20-6 W W U 09-17 VS TENNESSEE + 1 41.5 16-37 L L O 09-17 at OAKLAND +14 43.5 20-45 L L O 09-10 at HOUSTON + 6 38 29-7 W W U 09-10 at BUFFALO + 7 42 12-21 L L U

(263) CINCINNATI (-3 | 40) [SU:0-3 | ATS:1-2] AT (264) CLEVELAND [SU:0-3 | ATS:1-2]OCTOBER 1, 2017 1:00 PM on CBS - FIRSTENERGY STADIUM (CLEVELAND, OH)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF CINCINNATI 11.0 16 25-90 [3.5] 31-19-183 [5.9] 24.8 20.0 18 31-130 [4.1] 28-17-163 [5.9] 14.7 -5 -9.0 CLEVELAND 18.7 22 22-87 [3.9] 40-21-236 [5.9] 17.3 25.3 19 28-88 [3.1] 31-22-233 [7.4] 12.7 -5 -6.6

Round 1 of the battle of Ohio leaves a little be desired with a pair of 0-3 teams. This is the last place Cincinnati expected to be and it might be the beginning of the end for coach Marvin Lewis and even Andy Dalton. The Bengals offense could have put Green Bay away three different times in second half with lead and failed. Though Cleveland is not winning, they keep fighting and Cincy is only 2-7 ATS after two consecutive defeats. Deshone Kizer is making rookie mistakes and being on a crummy team makes them feel worse. Beating Pittsburgh or Baltimore would be better, but Browns fans will take anything these days. The Brownies are 2-10 ATS as home underdogs since 2015.

GAME TRENDS• CINCINNATI is 9-2 ATS(L3Y) on ROAD - On grass field• CLEVELAND is 2-11-1 ATS(L3Y) - division games• CINCINNATI is 13-0 UNDER(L5Y) on ROAD - Against poor passing defenses yielding more than 6.9


SEASON GAME LOGSCINCINNATI RESULTS CLEVELAND RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-24 at GREEN BAY + 7 48 24-27 L W O 09-24 at INDIANAPOLIS - 1 42 28-31 L L O 09-14 VS HOUSTON - 5 38.5 9-13 L L U 09-17 at BALTIMORE + 7.5 39.5 10-24 L L U 09-10 VS BALTIMORE - 2.5 41.5 0-20 L L U 09-10 VS PITTSBURGH +10 47.5 18-21 L W U


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(265) PITTSBURGH (-2.5 | 43.5) [SU:2-1 | ATS:1-2] AT (266) BALTIMORE [SU:2-1 | ATS:2-1]OCTOBER 1, 2017 1:00 PM on CBS - M&T BANK STADIUM (BALTIMORE, MD)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF PITTSBURGH 21.3 19 22-69 [3.1] 37-23-233 [6.4] 14.2 16.7 17 28-123 [4.4] 30-18-137 [4.6] 15.6 +1 +4.6 BALTIMORE 17.0 18 33-142 [4.3] 26-16-121 [4.7] 15.5 18.0 19 26-112 [4.3] 35-19-227 [6.4] 18.8 +4 -1.0

These two bitters rivals must have really wanted to face each other, giving desultory efforts last week and being humbled. Baltimore assuredly will play with more energy since they had none in London against Jacksonville. The Ravens have to fix the NFL’s worst-passing offense, which is averaging laughable 121 YPG. Baltimore normally responds and is 9-0 ATS after being outgained by 200 or more yards. Pittsburgh’s vaunted run game is at sickly 3.1 YPC and Ben Roethlisberger is averaging 6.7 yards per passing attempt this season, his lowest rate through the first three games since 2006. Given where the offensive execution, is the UNDER might be the safest wager and these clubs are 4-2-1 UNDER recently.

GAME TRENDS• PITTSBURGH is 14-7 ATS(L5Y) - Against resilient defenses allowing more than 17.15 yards per

point(CS)• BALTIMORE is 8-16-1 ATS(L25G) at HOME - Against solid defensive teams allowing less than 20

PPG(CS)• PITTSBURGH is 11-1 UNDER(L3Y) on ROAD - On grass field

SEASON GAME LOGSPITTSBURGH RESULTS BALTIMORE RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-24 at CHICAGO - 7 43.5 17-23 L L U 09-24 ** JACKSONVILLE - 3 38 7-44 L L O 09-17 VS MINNESOTA - 8 43.5 26-9 W W U 09-17 VS CLEVELAND - 7.5 39.5 24-10 W W U 09-10 at CLEVELAND -10 47.5 21-18 W L U 09-10 at CINCINNATI + 2.5 41.5 20-0 W W U

(267) BUFFALO [SU:2-1 | ATS:2-0-1] AT (268) ATLANTA (-7.5 | 48.5) [SU:3-0 | ATS:2-1]OCTOBER 1, 2017 1:00 PM on CBS - MERCEDES-BENZ STADIUM (ATLANTA, GA)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF BUFFALO 16.7 16 33-111 [3.4] 26-18-174 [6.6] 17.1 12.3 17 22-75 [3.4] 37-23-203 [5.5] 22.6 +3 +4.4 ATLANTA 29.0 21 26-119 [4.6] 31-21-269 [8.7] 13.4 22.0 22 18-85 [4.8] 45-28-246 [5.5] 15.0 -1 +7.0

Atlanta might not have had good fortune in the Super Bowl, yet in two of the other three games they have played in 2017, luck has been their friend. In wins over Chicago and Detroit, fate dealt the right cards and the Falcons are 3-0 and back home to face Buffalo. Matt Ryan had rare multiple pick game, otherwise, the offense is diverse as there is in the league, Nevertheless, the Dirty Birds are 1-8 ATS off a win and cover if foe is off outright upset. If you watched Buffalo against Denver, what was obvious is the Bills wanted it more and it showed. Next is taking that level of effort on the road in a really challenging environment and succeeding.

GAME TRENDS• ATLANTA is 9-2 ATS(L3Y) - Against solid rushing defenses yielding less than 3.75 yards per

carry(CS)• BUFFALO is 1-11 ATS(L5Y) - Against poor rushing defenses yielding more than 4.5 yards per

carry(CS)• ATLANTA is 11-0 OVER(L2Y) at HOME - All Games

SEASON GAME LOGSBUFFALO RESULTS ATLANTA RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-24 VS DENVER + 3 40 26-16 W W O 09-24 at DETROIT - 3 50.5 30-26 W W O 09-17 at CAROLINA + 6 43.5 3-9 L P U 09-17 VS GREEN BAY - 3 54 34-23 W W O 09-10 VS NY JETS - 7 42 21-12 W W U 09-10 at CHICAGO - 6.5 48 23-17 W L U



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(269) NY GIANTS [SU:0-3 | ATS:1-2] AT (270) TAMPA BAY (-3 | 43.5) [SU:1-1 | ATS:1-1]OCTOBER 1, 2017 4:05 PM on FOX - RAYMOND JAMES STADIUM (TAMPA, FL)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF NY GIANTS 12.3 16 16-49 [3.1] 39-29-257 [6.6] 24.9 23.3 19 34-153 [4.5] 30-20-181 [6.0] 14.3 -2 -11.0TAMPA BAY 23.0 21 21-71 [3.3] 35-23-255 [7.2] 14.2 20.5 22 26-72 [2.7] 39-28-329 [8.4] 19.6 0 +2.5

With the Giants 0-3, they are pretenders not contenders. New York has no running game, none, zero, zilch and it best player, Odell Beckham, might need to be potty trained. Big Blue says it is no time to panic, yet the facts say otherwise and unless they win in Tampa, their season is effectively over, unless they win 11 of 12. At least from betting perspective New York is 12-3 ATS after gaining 75 or less rushing yards in two tilts. The Buccaneers had eight defensive starters either ‘Out’ or hobbled by injury and did it show in Minnesota. The Tampa Bay offense has to help them more or the Bucs could fall to 1-6 ATS versus the G-Men.

GAME TRENDS• NY GIANTS is 8-2-1 ATS(L5Y) on ROAD - Against strong passing teams averaging more than 7.1

yards per attempt(CS)• TAMPA BAY is 6-19 ATS(L25G) - Against decent passing defenses yielding less than 6.15 yards per

attempt(CS)• NY GIANTS is 10-2 UNDER(L2Y) - Against decent passing teams averaging more than 6.8 yards

per attempt(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSNY GIANTS RESULTS TAMPA BAY RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-24 at PHILADELPHIA + 5 42 24-27 L W O 09-24 at MINNESOTA + 1 41 17-34 L L O 09-18 VS DETROIT - 3 42 10-24 L L U 09-17 VS CHICAGO - 7 44 29-7 W W U 09-10 at DALLAS + 6 46 3-19 L L U

(271) PHILADELPHIA [SU:2-1 | ATS:1-2] AT (272) LA CHARGERS (PK | 47) [SU:0-3 | ATS:0-2-1]OCTOBER 1, 2017 4:05 PM on FOX - STUBHUB CENTER (CARSON, CA)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF PHILADELPHIA 25.7 23 27-119 [4.5] 39-24-253 [6.5] 14.5 22.7 18 18-75 [4.2] 38-26-266 [6.9] 15.0 +1 +3.0 LA CHARGER 16.0 22 21-71 [3.4] 37-24-245 [6.6] 19.8 22.3 20 31-147 [4.7] 28-19-176 [6.4] 14.5 -2 -6.3

Philadelphia had the Giants beat, blew it, and came back to win on a 61-yard OT field goal. By that euphoria took a turn as RB Darren Sproles is done for the season. If the Eagles learned one thing in the New York victory, it is they have to run the ball more effectively to open up passing lanes for Carson Wentz. This is a contest Philly can win and they are 8-0 ATS after two or more OVER’s. Time to stop being coy, the Chargers, wherever they play, are not a winning football team and Philip Rivers is often a large contributor. While L.A. South might have improved overall squad, losses still mounting and solutions are not be found.

GAME TRENDS• PHILADELPHIA is 11-6 ATS(L5Y) - Non-conference games• LA CHARGERS is 2-9 ATS(L3Y) at HOME - Against lesser defensive teams yielding more than 5.6

yards per play(CS)• PHILADELPHIA is 18-3-1 OVER(L22G) - Against weak rushing defenses yielding more than 4.7

yards per carry(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSPHILADELPHIA RESULTS LA CHARGERS RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-24 VS NY GIANTS - 5 42 27-24 W L O 09-24 VS KANSAS CITY + 3 47.5 10-24 L L U 09-17 at KANSAS CITY + 4 46.5 20-27 L L O 09-17 VS MIAMI - 3.5 46 17-19 L L U 09-10 at WASHINGTON - 1 49.5 30-17 W W U 09-11 at DENVER + 3 42 21-24 L P O


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NFL MATCHUPS(273) SAN FRANCISCO [SU:0-3 | ATS:2-1] AT (274) ARIZONA (-7 | 44.5) [SU:1-2 | ATS:0-3]OCTOBER 1, 2017 4:05 PM on FOX - UNIVERSITY OF PHOENIX STADIUM (GLENDALE, AZ)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF SAN FRANCISCO 17.0 16 22-108 [4.8] 33-21-188 [5.7] 17.4 25.3 22 36-124 [3.5] 31-20-215 [7.0] 13.4 -1 -8.3 ARIZONA 18.7 21 21-59 [2.8] 44-25-284 [6.5] 18.3 25.3 17 27-86 [3.1] 32-21-216 [6.8] 11.9 -3 -6.6

The main positive in tight loss to Rams was the offense, which actually scored touchdowns in assembling 39 points. Against Arizona, the offense has to keep them in the game and defense has to do a better job than permitting 124.3 yards a game, which places largely suspect secondary in question. Looking for a positive, the 49ers will be far more rested than Arizona and are 9-3 ATS in the desert. The Cardinals inability to grab 14-0 against Dallas cost them and now they have to regroup for division battle. Carson Palmer enters off his best game of the season, but the offensive line is like an old ugly patchwork quilt, full of holes and not providing much protection, for Palmer in this case.

GAME TRENDS• ARIZONA is 11-3 ATS(L5Y) at HOME - Against lesser passing defenses yielding more than 6.75

yards per attempt(CS)• SAN FRANCISCO is 2-8-1 ATS(L5Y) - VS OPP with less than 6 days rest• SAN FRANCISCO is 11-2 OVER(L5Y) - Against anemic rushing teams averaging less than 3.6

yards per carry(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSSAN FRANCISCO RESULTS ARIZONA RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-21 VS LA RAMS + 3 40 39-41 L W O 09-25 VS DALLAS + 3 46.5 17-28 L L U 09-17 at SEATTLE +13.5 41 9-12 L W U 09-17 at INDIANAPOLIS - 6.5 44 16-13 W L U 09-10 VS CAROLINA + 4 44.5 3-23 L L U 09-10 at DETROIT - 2 48.5 23-35 L L O

(275) OAKLAND [SU:2-1 | ATS:2-1] AT (276) DENVER (-2.5 | 47) [SU:2-1 | ATS:1-1-1]OCTOBER 1, 2017 4:25 PM on CBS - SPORTS AUTHORITY FIELD AT MILE HIGH (DENVER, CO)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF OAKLAND 27.0 17 23-107 [4.7] 30-21-192 [6.3] 11.1 21.0 19 27-112 [4.2] 32-22-252 [7.9] 17.3 +1 +6.0 DENVER 27.3 23 33-143 [4.4] 33-21-213 [6.4] 13.0 21.3 16 23-60 [2.6] 36-24-203 [5.6] 12.3 -3 +6.0

Like Baltimore and Pittsburgh, Oakland and Denver gave lame road performances and were beaten rather convincingly. The Broncos vaunted defense failed to make key stops and QB Trevor Siemian had a couple of brutal interceptions. The Raiders played like pre-Derek Carr, with no defense or offense and they were humiliated on national TV. The focus will unquestionably be far greater for both squads and Denver will look to be aggressive like Washington was at point of attack and with Oakland receivers. The Raiders have to stuff run and get in Siemian’s face, who doesn’t throw as well when feet are not set. Both offensive lines will be out to set the pace and both team’s receivers have to want the ball when thrown to.

GAME TRENDS• OAKLAND is 11-3 ATS(L3Y) on ROAD - Conference games• DENVER is 4-7-1 ATS(L5Y) at HOME - Against poor defensive teams yielding more than 5.7 yards

per play(CS)• OAKLAND is 9-3 OVER(L3Y) - Against decent-scoring teams averaging 24 PPG or more(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSOAKLAND RESULTS DENVER RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-24 at WASHINGTON - 3 54 10-27 L L U 09-24 at BUFFALO - 3 40 16-26 L L O 09-17 VS NY JETS -14 43.5 45-20 W W O 09-17 VS DALLAS + 2.5 43.5 42-17 W W O 09-10 at TENNESSEE + 3 50.5 26-16 W W U 09-11 VS LA CHARGERS - 3 42 24-21 W P O




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NFL MATCHUPS(277) INDIANAPOLIS [SU:1-2 | ATS:2-1] AT (278) SEATTLE (-13 | 41) [SU:1-2 | ATS:0-3]

OCTOBER 1, 2017 8:30 PM on NBC - CENTURYLINK FIELD (SEATTLE, WA)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF INDIANAPOLIS 17.7 15 30-81 [2.7] 27-16-194 [7.1] 15.5 30.0 20 26-86 [3.3] 38-21-284 [7.5] 12.3 0 -12.3SEATTLE 16.0 19 26-97 [3.8] 38-22-227 [5.9] 20.2 19.7 19 27-146 [5.3] 34-21-200 [5.9] 17.6 +1 -3.7

NBC wishes they could flex this contest, which is not in the contract this early. Indianapolis got this assignment because Andrew Luck was thought to be back. He might see the practice field as a participant, but Jacoby Brissett will be Colts starter and he had a excellent first half and best all-around game in win last week. The Seattle defense, at their building will test Indy, who is 1-6 ATS after scoring 31 or more points. After seeing defense throttled for 33 points and 420 yards, safety Kam Chancellor said less talk and more energy spent on stopping the opposing team would help. The belittled Seahawks O-Line should be better against weaker Colts and they are 15-6 ATS at home vs. losing teams.

GAME TRENDS• SEATTLE is 20-5 ATS(L25G) at HOME - Against lesser offensive teams averaging less than 5.1 yards

per play(CS)• INDIANAPOLIS is 4-8 ATS(L12G) on ROAD - AS double digit underdog• INDIANAPOLIS is 11-3 OVER(L3Y) on ROAD - As underdog

SEASON GAME LOGSINDIANAPOLIS RESULTS SEATTLE RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-24 VS CLEVELAND + 1 42 31-28 W W O 09-24 at TENNESSEE + 2.5 41.5 27-33 L L O 09-17 VS ARIZONA + 6.5 44 13-16 L W U 09-17 VS SAN FRANCISCO -13.5 41 12-9 W L U 09-10 at LA RAMS + 3.5 41.5 9-46 L L O 09-10 at GREEN BAY + 2.5 50 9-17 L L U

(279) WASHINGTON [SU:2-1 | ATS:2-1] AT (280) KANSAS CITY (-7 | 49.5) [SU:3-0 | ATS:3-0]OCTOBER 2, 2017 8:30 PM on ESPN - ARROWHEAD STADIUM (KANSAS CITY, MO)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF WASHINGTON 23.7 18 30-136 [4.5] 32-22-237 [7.3] 15.7 20.0 13 19-61 [3.1] 32-20-211 [6.6] 13.6 +1 +3.7 KANSAS CITY 31.0 19 24-162 [6.8] 28-22-235 [8.4] 12.8 19.0 25 26-112 [4.3] 41-20-257 [6.3] 19.4 +4 +12.0

Two weeks ago this looked like another blah ESPN encounter, but with how imposing Washington has played the past two weeks, this could be entertaining. The Redskins obliterated Oakland with a +344 edge in total yards, its best such showing in 43 years. The Washington lines have just taken over and Kirk Cousins finally found a rhythm in the passing game. Facing Kansas City has been an issue at 0-6 ATS. RB Kareem Hunt has been a game-changer for the Chiefs in the literal sense, being the first rookie with three 50+ yard touchdowns in initial games. The K.C. run defense is an ordinary 18th and that could show up as problem against Washington. Will Alex Smith test Redskins secondary down the field?

GAME TRENDS• KANSAS CITY is 9-2-1 ATS(L2Y) - Against decent offensive teams averaging more than 5.6 yards

per play(CS)• WASHINGTON is 4-16 ATS(L5Y) - More than 6 days rest• KANSAS CITY is 20-5 UNDER(L25G) at HOME - Against decent passing teams averaging more

than 6.8 yards per attempt(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSWASHINGTON RESULTS KANSAS CITY RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-24 VS OAKLAND + 3 54 27-10 W W U 09-24 at LA CHARGERS - 3 47.5 24-10 W W U 09-17 at LA RAMS + 3 47 27-20 W W P 09-17 VS PHILADELPHIA - 4 46.5 27-20 W W O 09-10 VS PHILADELPHIA + 1 49.5 17-30 L L U 09-07 at NEW ENGLAND + 8 47.5 42-27 W W O




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NFLTOPWEEKLY TRENDSTEAMS TO PLAY ON TEAMS TO PLAY AGAINST

40.3% ROI

52.7% ROI

37.8% ROI

51.2% ROI

GAMES TO PLAY OVER

67.3% ROI

45.1% ROI

41.8% ROI

49.1% ROI

37.8% ROI

45.1% ROI

GAMES TO PLAY UNDER

78.2% ROI

38.2% ROI

(253) CAROLINA AT (254) NEW ENGLANDNEW ENGLAND is 19-6-3 ATS(L5Y) at HOME - OU line of 45 or more( $1240 Profit with a 40.3% ROI )

(257) DETROIT AT (258) MINNESOTAMINNESOTA is 20-5 ATS(L25G) at HOME - Conference games( $1450 Profit with a 52.7% ROI )

(269) NY GIANTS AT (270) TAMPA BAYNY GIANTS is 17-6-2 ATS(L25G) on ROAD - In October( $1040 Profit with a 37.8% ROI )

(271) PHILADELPHIA AT (272) LA CHARGERSPHILADELPHIA is 14-3-2 OVER(L5Y) - Against inefficient offenses averaging more than 16.6 yards per point(CS)( $1070 Profit with a 51.2% ROI )

(267) BUFFALO AT (268) ATLANTAATLANTA is 17-2-1 OVER(L2Y) - OU line of 45 or more( $1480 Profit with a 67.3% ROI )

(277) INDIANAPOLIS AT (278) SEATTLESEATTLE is 19-6 OVER(L25G) - Non-conference games( $1240 Profit with a 45.1% ROI )

(101) CHICAGO AT (102) GREEN BAYCHICAGO is 5-17-3 ATS(L25G) - Before playing MINNESOTA( $1150 Profit with a 41.8% ROI )

(263) CINCINNATI AT (264) CLEVELANDCLEVELAND is 5-19-1 ATS(L25G) - As underdog( $1350 Profit with a 49.1% ROI )

(259) TENNESSEE AT (260) HOUSTONHOUSTON is 6-17-2 ATS(L25G) - Against prolific-scoring teams averaging 27 PPG or more(CS)( $1040 Profit with a 37.8% ROI )

(265) PITTSBURGH AT (266) BALTIMOREPITTSBURGH is 19-6 UNDER(L25G) - In October( $1240 Profit with a 45.1% ROI )

(263) CINCINNATI AT (264) CLEVELANDCINCINNATI is 14-1 UNDER(L5Y) on ROAD - Against lesser passing defenses yielding more than 6.75 yards per attempt(CS)( $1290 Profit with a 78.2% ROI )

(279) WASHINGTON AT (280) KANSAS CITYKANSAS CITY is 21-8 UNDER(L5Y) at HOME - As favorite( $1220 Profit with a 38.2% ROI )


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WEEK 3 NFL OBSERVATIONSAt around 4:00 EST Sunday, it was Roger Goodell’s perfect storm. No, we are not talking about the president comments and peaceful protests, rather, the outcomes of four games that shaped Week 3. For many bettors, it was a disaster, while for sportsbooks it was a bonanza. (More on that in minute.)

It started with Atlanta and Detroit. The Falcons were rolling up and down the field but Matt Ryan has three interceptions which kept the Lions in the game. Now it was Matthew Stafford’s time and he drove Detroit down for apparent touchdown and for Lions bettors, an outright winner! But hold it, the impossible happened and Golden Tate’s body part left the ball short of the goal line on replay and you know the rest. Atlanta wins and covers and Detroit has to put that ‘win’ behind them and be ready for Minnesota.

In watching Tom Brady and New England, besides being fascinated he can still play like he does, one has to wonder when was the last time the Patriots defense has played this awful over a series of games. Brady bailed out a lot of single loss Survivor Pool’s, but it’s odd to see New England 0-2 ATS at home.

The New York Giants were down 14-0 to Philadelphia, had not running game and a weak pulse. As the Giants have been known to do under Eli Manning, out of nowhere something clicks and the G-Men scored 21 straight pointd to take lead, only to later lose 27-24 as five-point underdogs on a 61-yard field goal. Both the Giants and Eagles have treacherous road contests against opponents also off setbacks this week.

All day Chicago’s offensive line was taking it Pittsburgh and the Bears held 17-7. But you knew the Steelers would come back and they pushed the game to OT. Sportsbooks had a lot riding on Pittsburgh for parlay and teaser cards. Chicago came to the forefront and won the game and there was rejoicing for the books and sharp players on the Bears.

SPORTSBOOKS BONANZA AND BETTING NUMBERSIn reading several articles, Sunday was either the best day ever for most sportsbooks or in the Top 5 when it came to money collected. Ten of the 14 underdogs covered the spread, with seven winning outright. Sportsbooks usually moan and groan when they have a losing day, but this was such a profitable day, by every account, they could not contain there joy.

In all, underdogs were 11-5 ATS and 7-9 SU.

This was also the first week offenses started to click as the OVER was 11-5.

LOOKING AHEAD AT BETTING STREAKSThough not as popular or as profitable as year’s past, it is still fun to speculate about teams that have covered three in a row or lost three against the spread.

Kansas City is 3-0 ATS and is laying a full touchdown to Washington, who has been extremely impressive the last couple weeks. Will the Chiefs big play offense stun the Redskins or will Washington force K.C. into uncharacteristic turnovers?

If you are thinking about laying -13 with Seattle, remember they are 0-3 ATS. There offensive line is a wreck and the defense is spending a lot of time on the field.

Lastly, Arizona is 0-3 ATS, off a Monday night loss to Dallas and it’s offensive line might be close to as bad the Seahawks. Listed at -7, the Cardinals are 3-9 ATS as hosts to San Francisco.

ADDING UP THE BETTING NUMBERSFavorites were 8-7-1 ATS last week which continues balanced early action.

Scoring continues to be an issue for the NFL and oddsmakers, as the UNDER was 9-7, taking record to 19-12. Expect adjustments this week.

Finally, road underdogs have compiled eight outright upsets the first two weeks. No idea if that is a lot, but is sure seems that way.

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TOP NFL HEAD TO HEAD TRENDS2017-09-28 (101) CHICAGO at (102) GREEN BAY* FAVORITES are on a 10-3 ATS run in the CHI-GB h2h series

2017-10-01 (251) NEW ORLEANS at (252) MIAMI* Four of the L5 games in the MIA-NO h2h series went OVER the total

2017-10-01 (253) CAROLINA at (254) NEW ENGLAND* CAROLINA has covered the pointspread in four straight vs. NE

2017-10-01 (255) LA RAMS at (256) DALLAS* Five of the L7 in the Rams-Cowboys went UNDER the total

2017-10-01 (257) DETROIT at (258) MINNESOTA* The L4 Lions-Vikings matchups in Minnesota went UNDER the total* UNDERDOGS are 7-3-1 ATS in the L11 DET-MIN h2h games

2017-10-01 (259) TENNESSEE at (260) HOUSTON* HOUSTON is on a 6-1 SU & ATS run hosting Tennessee* FAVORITES have won & covered the L6 games in the TEN-HOU series* Five of the L6 in the TEN-HOU series in Houston went OVER the total

2017-10-01 (261) JACKSONVILLE at (262) NY JETS* JACKSONVILLE is 6-3 SU & 7-2 ATS in its L9 vs. NY Jets

2017-10-01 (263) CINCINNATI at (264) CLEVELAND* CINCINNATI is on a 5-game SU & ATS win streak vs. CLE, avg. MOV 22.4 PPG* The L4 Bengals-Browns matchups in Cleveland went UNDER the total

2017-10-01 (265) PITTSBURGH at (266) BALTIMORE* BALTIMORE is 4-1 SU & 4-0-1 ATS in its L5 vs. Pittsburgh

2017-10-01 (267) BUFFALO at (268) ATLANTA* Five of six games in Buffalo-Atlanta h2h series went OVER the total since ‘92

2017-10-01 (269) NY GIANTS at (270) TAMPA BAY* ROAD TEAMS are on a 4-game ATS win streak in the NYG-TB series

2017-10-01 (271) PHILADELPHIA at (272) LA CHARGERS* CHARGERS are 4-2 SU & 4-1-1 ATS in its L6 vs. Philadelphia

2017-10-01 (273) SAN FRANCISCO at (274) ARIZONA* SAN FRANCISCO is 9-3 ATS in its L12 trips to Arizona

2017-10-01 (275) OAKLAND at (276) DENVER* FAVORITES are on a 7-2-2 ATS run in the OAK-DEN h2h series

2017-10-01 (277) INDIANAPOLIS at (278) SEATTLE* INDIANAPOLIS is 5-3 SU & 6-2 ATS ve. Seattle since ‘94

2017-10-02 (279) WASHINGTON at (280) KANSAS CITY* KANSAS CITY is a perfect 6-0 SU & ATS vs. Washington since ‘92

(101) CHICAGO AT (102) GREEN BAYGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-12-18 GREEN BAY (30) at CHICAGO (27) +4.5 40.0 CHICAGO HOME DOG OVER 2016-10-20 CHICAGO (10) at GREEN BAY (26) -7.5 46.5 GREEN BAY HOME FAV UNDER 2015-11-26 CHICAGO (17) at GREEN BAY (13) -7 44.5 CHICAGO ROAD DOG UNDER 2015-09-13 GREEN BAY (31) at CHICAGO (23) +6 48.5 GREEN BAY ROAD FAV OVER 2014-11-09 CHICAGO (14) at GREEN BAY (55) -9 52.5 GREEN BAY HOME FAV OVER

(251) NEW ORLEANS AT (252) MIAMIGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2013-09-30 MIAMI (17) at NEW ORLEANS (38) -6.5 48.5 NEW ORLEANS HOME FAV OVER 2009-10-25 NEW ORLEANS (46) at MIAMI (34) +6 48.0 NEW ORLEANS ROAD FAV OVER 2005-10-30 MIAMI (21) at NEW ORLEANS (6) -2.5 41.0 MIAMI ROAD DOG UNDER 1998-11-29 NEW ORLEANS (10) at MIAMI (30) -7.5 37.0 MIAMI HOME FAV OVER 1995-10-15 MIAMI (30) at NEW ORLEANS (33) +6.5 43.0 NEW ORLEANS HOME DOG OVER

RECENT NFL HEAD TO HEAD HISTORY


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RECENT NFL HEAD TO HEAD HISTORY(253) CAROLINA AT (254) NEW ENGLANDGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2013-11-18 NEW ENGLAND (20) at CAROLINA (24) -3 45.5 CAROLINA HOME FAV UNDER 2009-12-13 CAROLINA (10) at NEW ENGLAND (20) -12.5 44.0 CAROLINA ROAD DOG UNDER 2005-09-18 NEW ENGLAND (17) at CAROLINA (27) +3 44.0 CAROLINA HOME DOG xxxx 2004-02-01 * CAROLINA (29) at NEW ENGLAND (32) -7 38.0 CAROLINA xxxx DOG OVER 2002-01-06 NEW ENGLAND (38) at CAROLINA (6) +6.5 35.5 NEW ENGLAND ROAD FAV OVER

(255) LA RAMS AT (256) DALLASGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2014-09-21 DALLAS (34) at ST LOUIS (31) +2 45.0 DALLAS ROAD FAV OVER 2013-09-22 ST LOUIS (7) at DALLAS (31) -3 48.0 DALLAS HOME FAV UNDER 2011-10-23 ST LOUIS (7) at DALLAS (34) -14 43.0 DALLAS HOME FAV UNDER 2008-10-19 DALLAS (14) at ST LOUIS (34) +8 45.0 ST LOUIS HOME DOG OVER 2007-09-30 ST LOUIS (7) at DALLAS (35) -13 47.0 DALLAS HOME FAV UNDER

(257) DETROIT AT (258) MINNESOTAGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-11-24 MINNESOTA (13) at DETROIT (16) -1.5 42.0 DETROIT HOME FAV UNDER 2016-11-06 DETROIT (22) at MINNESOTA (16) -4.5 42.5 DETROIT ROAD DOG UNDER 2015-10-25 MINNESOTA (28) at DETROIT (19) PK 44.5 MINNESOTA ROAD xxx OVER 2015-09-20 DETROIT (16) at MINNESOTA (26) -2.5 44.0 MINNESOTA HOME FAV UNDER 2014-12-14 MINNESOTA (14) at DETROIT (16) -8 43.5 MINNESOTA ROAD DOG UNDER

(259) TENNESSEE AT (260) HOUSTONGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2017-01-01 HOUSTON (17) at TENNESSEE (24) -3 41.5 TENNESSEE HOME FAV UNDER 2016-10-02 TENNESSEE (20) at HOUSTON (27) -4 40.0 HOUSTON HOME FAV OVER 2015-12-27 HOUSTON (34) at TENNESSEE (6) +3.5 39.0 HOUSTON ROAD FAV OVER 2015-11-01 TENNESSEE (6) at HOUSTON (20) -3.5 43.0 HOUSTON HOME FAV UNDER 2014-11-30 TENNESSEE (21) at HOUSTON (45) -6 43.0 HOUSTON HOME FAV OVER

(261) JACKSONVILLE AT (262) NY JETSGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2015-11-08 JACKSONVILLE (23) at NY JETS (28) -7.5 42.5 JACKSONVILLE ROAD DOG OVER 2012-12-09 NY JETS (17) at JACKSONVILLE (10) +3 39.5 NY JETS ROAD FAV UNDER 2011-09-18 JACKSONVILLE (3) at NY JETS (32) -8 38.0 NY JETS HOME FAV UNDER 2009-11-15 JACKSONVILLE (24) at NY JETS (22) -6.5 41.0 JACKSONVILLE ROAD DOG OVER 2006-10-08 NY JETS (0) at JACKSONVILLE (41) -7 38.5 JACKSONVILLE HOME FAV OVER

(263) CINCINNATI AT (264) CLEVELANDGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-12-11 CINCINNATI (23) at CLEVELAND (10) +4.5 42.0 CINCINNATI ROAD FAV UNDER 2016-10-23 CLEVELAND (17) at CINCINNATI (31) -11 46.5 CINCINNATI HOME FAV OVER 2015-12-06 CINCINNATI (37) at CLEVELAND (3) +7.5 44.5 CINCINNATI ROAD FAV UNDER 2015-11-05 CLEVELAND (10) at CINCINNATI (31) -13 45.5 CINCINNATI HOME FAV UNDER 2014-12-14 CINCINNATI (30) at CLEVELAND (0) -1.5 43.5 CINCINNATI ROAD DOG UNDER

(265) PITTSBURGH AT (266) BALTIMOREGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-12-25 BALTIMORE (27) at PITTSBURGH (31) -5.5 46.5 BALTIMORE ROAD DOG OVER 2016-11-06 PITTSBURGH (14) at BALTIMORE (21) +3 46.5 BALTIMORE HOME DOG UNDER 2015-12-27 PITTSBURGH (17) at BALTIMORE (20) +11 48.0 BALTIMORE HOME DOG UNDER 2015-10-01 BALTIMORE (23) at PITTSBURGH (20) +3 44.0 x x x x x xxxx xxx UNDER 2015-01-03 BALTIMORE (30) at PITTSBURGH (17) -3 47.0 BALTIMORE ROAD DOG xxxx

(267) BUFFALO AT (268) ATLANTAGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2013-12-01 ATLANTA (34) at BUFFALO (31) -5 48.5 ATLANTA ROAD DOG OVER 2009-12-27 BUFFALO (3) at ATLANTA (31) -8 40.5 ATLANTA HOME FAV UNDER 2005-09-25 ATLANTA (24) at BUFFALO (16) -3 35.5 ATLANTA ROAD DOG OVER 2001-12-23 BUFFALO (30) at ATLANTA (33) -3 42.0 x x x x x xxxx xxx OVER 1995-11-12 ATLANTA (17) at BUFFALO (23) -4 38.0 BUFFALO HOME FAV OVER

(269) NY GIANTS AT (270) TAMPA BAYGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2015-11-08 NY GIANTS (32) at TAMPA BAY (18) +1.5 48.5 NY GIANTS ROAD FAV OVER 2012-09-16 TAMPA BAY (34) at NY GIANTS (41) -7.5 43.5 TAMPA BAY ROAD DOG OVER 2009-09-27 NY GIANTS (24) at TAMPA BAY (0) +6 46.0 NY GIANTS ROAD FAV UNDER 2008-01-06 NY GIANTS (24) at TAMPA BAY (14) -3 39.5 NY GIANTS ROAD DOG UNDER 2006-10-29 TAMPA BAY (3) at NY GIANTS (17) -9.5 38.5 NY GIANTS HOME FAV UNDER

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RECENT NFL HEAD TO HEAD HISTORY(271) PHILADELPHIA AT (272) LA CHARGERSGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2013-09-15 SAN DIEGO (33) at PHILADELPHIA (30) -7.5 51.0 SAN DIEGO ROAD DOG OVER 2009-11-15 PHILADELPHIA (23) at SAN DIEGO (31) -1 47.0 SAN DIEGO HOME FAV OVER 2005-10-23 SAN DIEGO (17) at PHILADELPHIA (20) -4.5 47.0 SAN DIEGO ROAD DOG UNDER 2001-12-09 SAN DIEGO (14) at PHILADELPHIA (24) -7 37.0 PHILADELPHIA HOME FAV OVER 1998-10-18 PHILADELPHIA (10) at SAN DIEGO (13) -3 34.0 x x x x x xxxx xxx UNDER

(273) SAN FRANCISCO AT (274) ARIZONAGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-11-13 SAN FRANCISCO (20) at ARIZONA (23) -13.5 46.5 SAN FRANCISCO ROAD DOG UNDER 2016-10-06 ARIZONA (33) at SAN FRANCISCO (21) +3.5 42.5 ARIZONA ROAD FAV OVER 2015-11-29 ARIZONA (19) at SAN FRANCISCO (13) +7 45.0 SAN FRANCISCO HOME DOG UNDER 2015-09-27 SAN FRANCISCO (7) at ARIZONA (47) -7 45.0 ARIZONA HOME FAV OVER 2014-12-28 ARIZONA (17) at SAN FRANCISCO (20) -5.5 38.0 ARIZONA ROAD DOG UNDER

(275) OAKLAND AT (276) DENVERGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2017-01-01 OAKLAND (6) at DENVER (24) -1 40.0 DENVER HOME FAV UNDER 2016-11-06 DENVER (20) at OAKLAND (30) PK 44.5 OAKLAND HOME xxx OVER 2015-12-13 OAKLAND (15) at DENVER (12) -6 43.5 OAKLAND ROAD DOG UNDER 2015-10-11 DENVER (16) at OAKLAND (10) +5.5 45.0 DENVER ROAD FAV UNDER 2014-12-28 OAKLAND (14) at DENVER (47) -16 49.0 DENVER HOME FAV OVER

(277) INDIANAPOLIS AT (278) SEATTLEGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2013-10-06 SEATTLE (28) at INDIANAPOLIS (34) +3 43.5 INDIANAPOLIS HOME DOG OVER 2009-10-04 SEATTLE (17) at INDIANAPOLIS (34) -10 43.5 INDIANAPOLIS HOME FAV OVER 2005-12-24 INDIANAPOLIS (13) at SEATTLE (28) -10 43.0 SEATTLE HOME FAV UNDER 2000-10-15 INDIANAPOLIS (37) at SEATTLE (24) +6 44.0 INDIANAPOLIS ROAD FAV OVER 1998-12-20 INDIANAPOLIS (23) at SEATTLE (27) -7 48.5 INDIANAPOLIS ROAD DOG OVER

(279) WASHINGTON AT (280) KANSAS CITYGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2013-12-08 KANSAS CITY (45) at WASHINGTON (10) +3.5 44.5 KANSAS CITY ROAD FAV OVER 2009-10-18 KANSAS CITY (14) at WASHINGTON (6) -6.5 36.0 KANSAS CITY ROAD DOG UNDER 2005-10-16 WASHINGTON (21) at KANSAS CITY (28) -6.5 43.0 KANSAS CITY HOME FAV OVER 2001-09-30 KANSAS CITY (45) at WASHINGTON (13) +3 34.5 KANSAS CITY ROAD FAV OVER 1995-11-05 WASHINGTON (3) at KANSAS CITY (24) -8.5 42.5 KANSAS CITY HOME FAV UNDER



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Welcome back to another edition of Line Moves, looking at all the biggest betting moves in college football and the NFL. Besides this we also offer free picks on these contests.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL(105) MIAMI-FL at (106) DUKE 7:00 ET ESPNMiami like other Florida universities got back to normal this past week and played football after a long layoff and evidently football bettors liked what they saw from the Hurricanes and have bumped them from -4.5 to -6.5 at 4-0 Duke. Hard to argue with this line movement when the ‘Canes are 6-0 ATS after scoring 37 points or more in last outing.Our View - Lean Miami covers

(113) CHARLOTTE at (114) FLORIDA INT. 7:00 ET beINSomeone is paying attention to what has to be a low volume betting C-USA contest. Charlotte is 0-4 SU and ATS and has few friends in the betting community and the 49ers have gone from +10 to +12 versus Florida International. Charlotte losing and not covering against teams like themselves is the driving force for them being rising underdog. Our View- FIU covers

(129) AKRON at (130) BOWLING GREEN 6:00 ET ESPN3In 2015, Bowling Green was on their way to a MAC championship. Now the Falcons cannot even get off the ground with an 0-4 start. Bowling Green is 4-12 ATS since last season and despite Akron got exactly setting the pace nationally at 1-3, the Zips have been flipped from +1 to -3. If Bowling Green is going to win, this might be the spot.Our View- Lean Bowling Green covers

(139) BAYLOR at (140) KANSAS STATE 3:30 ET ESPN2Baylor gave Oklahoma all they could handle last Saturday, losing 49-41 as 28-point home underdogs. Evidently that bought no goodwill as the Bears are three-points to +17 at Kansas State, who is coming off upset setback at Vanderbilt. K-State is sharp 8-1 ATS after scoring 14 or fewer points. Our View- Lean Kansas State cover

(153) NAVY at (544) TULSA 3:30 ET ESPNUOne of the most puzzling scores from last week was Tulsa scoring 13 points at home in losing to New Mexico. Yes, the Golden Hurricane did a have a couple RB’s get dinged, nonetheless, that was terribly low score. Because Navy can play keep away with the pigskin also, Tulsa has been lifted from +3 to +5.5. Our View- Lean Navy covers

(159) COLORADO at (160) UCLA 10:30 ET ESPN2Gosh, a UCLA game with a rising total, go figure! In this Pac-12 conflict, the total is up three digits to 69.5 thanks to the Bruins scoring 45 PPG and allowing 43.2 PPG. Expect Colorado to ring up the points and have all

kinds of problems stopping UCLA quarterback Josh Rosen in high scoring affair. Our View- Play Over

(167) SOUTH CAROLINA at (168) TEXAS A&M 7:30 ET SECNWith South Carolina’s offense having gone quiet thanks to injuries, keeping pace scoring-wise with Texas A&M is expected to be a problem and the Gamecocks had been moved up from +8 to +10. Though Kevin Sumlin is bad bet as coach, Aggies have too much firepower and win this SEC contest going away. Our View- Texas A&M covers

NFL(253) CAROLINA at (254) NEW ENGLAND 1:00 ET FOXNew England is averaging 33 PPG and the one good offense Carolina has faced this season was New Orleans and the Saints hung a 34 on the scoreboard in Charlotte. In spite of the Panthers offensive woes, the other scenario was enough to push the total from 47 to 48.5.The Patriots are 13-4 OVER against winning teams and Carolina is 11-3 OVER versus passing teams averaging seven or yards per attempt. Our View- Play Over

(265) PITTSBURGH at (266) BALTIMORE 1:00 ET CBSBoth these rivals had rotten games last week, yet those betting football are still convinced Pittsburgh has the better club and moved them -2 to -3 at Baltimore. With hard hitting expected, the total was sent lower from 45 to 44. From this perspective the total appears correct with the Steelers 17-5 UNDER on the road and we will lean with Pittsburgh’s better offensive potential.Our View- Play Under, Lean Pittsburgh

(269) N.Y. GIANTS at (270) TAMPA BAY 4:05 ET FOXThe New York Giants have no running game, but finally unleashed big play passing offense and with Tampa Bay having injuries all over its defense, the Buccaneers have slipped from -4 to -3. Besides those obvious factors, it would seem the key would be the how Tampa Bay does against the Giants defense. Consider the G-Men are 4-1-1 ATS in west Florida since 1998.Our View- Lean New York

(271) PHILADELPHIA at (272) L.A. CHARGERS 4:05 ET FOXOnce again the frustration is mounting for the Chargers, being 0-3, and a displaced club without any home field edge. If the Carson Chargers were going to breakout, this would seem to be the game, a nonconference affair against a fair defense squad with a solid offense. Not the only one thinking this as the total is up from 46 to 47 and the Eagles are 8-1 OVER on the road off a non-cover. Our View- Play Over

College Best Bets – 4-5College Leans - 9-10

NFL Best Bets - 4-1NFL Leans - 4-4

FOOTBALL LINE MOVES

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VI Jim 14-26 (35%) 5-7 (42%)*

VI Jason 18-22 (45%)7-5 (58%)*

VI Doug 21-19 (52%) 7-5 (58%)*

VIMatt19-21 (48%)8-4 (67%)*

Power Rating 17-23 (43%)

Effective Strength 16-24 (40%)

Bettors Ratings 18-22 (45%)

Consensus 16-24 (40%)

Thursday, September 28, 2017 - (103) TEXAS at (104) IOWA ST (+6.5)Texas Texas Iowa

State*

Texas Texas Texas Texas Texas

Friday, September 29, 2017 - (111) USC at (112) WASHINGTON ST (+3.5)USC* USC* USC USC USC Washington

St

USC USC

Saturday, September 30, 2017 - (145) IOWA at (146) MICHIGAN ST (-3.5)Michigan

St

Iowa Michigan

St

Iowa* Iowa Michigan

St

Iowa Iowa

Saturday, September 30, 2017 - (147) FLORIDA ST at (148) WAKE FOREST (+7.5)Florida St Wake

Forest

Florida St Florida St Wake

Forest

Wake

Forest

Wake

Forest

Wake Forest

Saturday, September 30, 2017 - (159) COLORADO at (160) UCLA (-6.5)UCLA UCLA* UCLA Colorado* UCLA Colorado UCLA UCLA

Saturday, September 30, 2017 - (179) GEORGIA at (180) TENNESSEE (+7.5)Tennessee Tennessee Georgia* Georgia Tennessee Georgia Tennessee Tennessee

Saturday, September 30, 2017 - (189) MISSISSIPPI ST at (190) AUBURN (-9.5)Mississippi

St*

Auburn Mississippi

St

Mississippi

St

Mississippi

St

Auburn Mississippi

St

Mississippi St

Saturday, September 30, 2017 - (193) CLEMSON at (194) VIRGINIA TECH (+7)Virginia

Tech*

Clemson Clemson Clemson* Virginia

Tech

Virginia

Tech

Virginia

Tech

Virginia Tech

Saturday, September 30, 2017 - (199) OKLAHOMA ST at (200) TEXAS TECH (+8.5)Oklahoma

St

Texas

Tech*

Oklahoma

St.

Texas

Tech

Texas

Tech

Texas

Tech

Oklahoma

St.

Oklahoma St

Saturday, September 30, 2017 - (209) MEMPHIS at (210) UCF (-3.5)UCF Memphis UCF* UCF Memphis UCF Memphis UCF

* – indicates Best Bet (BB)

COLLEGE FOOTBALL VI PICKS










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Jim says…Clemson has certainly been impressive in the early going, but it feels to me like the difficulty of this week’s Saturday night showdown in Blacksburg is being undersold. Between the line movement towards the Tigers, and the potency of Virginia Tech’s offense, this just wreaks of road favorite danger. Going back quite a few years, the Hokies have been a fantastic wager at home against good teams: VIRGINIA TECH is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in their L12 home games vs. excellent teams - outscoring opponents by 17+ PPG on the season since 1992. The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 30.8, OPPONENT 18.9. That is a significant margin to consider. I have very little negative to say about Clemson, so I won’t. Rather, I’ll keep my focus on the quality of Tech’s resume to date. QB Josh Jackson has been outstanding so far with an 11:1 TD:Int ratio while averaging 9.6 yards per pass attempt. The Hokies defense is allowing just 10.2 PPG, 10.7 less than their opponents have averaged. I like V Tech’s chances here. Jason says…A huge Friday night Pac 12 game is on tap for this weekend, and the point spread is leading us to believe that this a potential landmine on USC’s schedule. With that said, I’m seeing it the other way, as an opportunity for USC & QB Sam Darnold to right the ship and turn in a noteworthy performance. The Trojans are much more prepared for this big game at this point simply by the teams they have beaten thus far in their 4-0 start. USC owns wins over four solid opponents, while the Cougars’ best win came against Boise State, a 3-point decision which now isn’t looking as good as it did at the time. USC has also loved coming to Pullman, owning three straight EASY wins over Washington State, by a combined margin of 163-33. USC has also been strong defensively as a road favorite of late, holding its L6 opponents to just 17.8 PPG in that role. I’ll back the Trojans in this one to get a big, and convincing, road win. Doug says…Having seen Georgia and Tennessee multiple times, this outcome appears lopsided. The game being in Knoxville will help the Vols, still where does the offense come from against Bulldogs defense that is surrendering 11.5 PPG to opponents averaging better 28 a game? Georgia also has a running game that can pound away or take one to the house from 50 yards and Tennessee is conceding 5.1 yards a carry. One would surmise the Vols might need additional volunteers to slow the Dawgs down. I will polish off this choice with this system: Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points, off three or more consecutive Under’s, allowing 17 or less points per game, are sensational 22-3 ATS the last decade. Georgia by 13 or more.

Matt says…Iowa proved last week in a loss against Penn St that it is a much better squad than given credit for, while Michigan St struggled at home against Notre Dame. Look for a bit of a hangover by the Spartans on Saturday as Big Ten play gets underway. Over the last 13 meetings, Iowa owns this series against the number, going 10-3. The Hawkeyes have also covered the last four at Spartan Stadium. Expect a close game like the number indicates. Give me the +3.5 with Iowa, while Michigan St grabs the “W”.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL VI BEST BETS









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Three different types of time-tested strength ratings have been created for use in the publication. In the chart below, you’ll find the ratings, along with potential edges shown for the upcoming games. The Power

Ratings columns are in-house ratings kept and maintained manually for every game throughout the season. The Effective Strength (Effective Strg) Ratings quantify a team’s performance against varied schedule strengths. Finally, the Bettors’ Ratings (Bettors’ Rtng) are built using a unique formula of a team’s closing lines in relation to its past opponents and game performances, giving a good indication of how bettors’ feel about a team. Each rating is built exclusive from the others, and thus has its own merits. Track the results of the ratings weekly and see which one works best for you. Edges are given when a projection varies 4.5 points or more from an actual line or total.

BRD Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng#’’s Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge? Proj Edge? Proj Edge?103 TEXAS -6.5 54.0 37.1 OVER 36.2 104 IOWA ST 63 44.5 6.8 30.5 25.9 105 MIAMI FL -6.5 53.5 27.3 25.1 UNDER106 DUKE 56 50.0 -0.3 DUKE 30.0 DUKE 26.2 DUKE 107 NEBRASKA -6 43.0 28.8 29.1 108 ILLINOIS 49.5 34.5 5.5 22.1 23.2 109 BYU -3 40.0 23.6 23.3 110 UTAH ST 46 33.0 0.5 25.7 UTST 25.3 UTST 111 USC -3.5 61.0 31.7 34.5 USC112 WASHINGTON ST 65 52.0 6.5 29.5 25.7 UNDER 113 CHARLOTTE 45.5 17.0 20.0 23.0 CHA114 FLA INTERNATIONAL -12.5 23.0 -8.8 29.0 28.9 OVER 115 RICE 50 23.0 13.3 13.6 116 PITTSBURGH -20 43.0 -23.3 38.2 PITT 38.5 PITT 117 SOUTH FLORIDA -24 51.0 44.5 UNDER 45.6 UNDER118 EAST CAROLINA 74 24.5 22.8 20.7 21.8 121 SYRACUSE 63 42.0 26.3 27.3 122 NC STATE -13 50.0 -11.8 36.3 36.5 123 E MICHIGAN 49.5 31.0 17.1 15.0 124 KENTUCKY -14 46.0 -18.8 KEN 31.2 34.0 KEN 125 BALL ST 57.5 29.5 22.3 25.5 OVER126 W MICHIGAN -12 40.0 -13.5 37.4 37.4 127 C MICHIGAN 49 28.0 22.1 CMU 22.1 128 BOSTON COLLEGE -9 36.0 -10.8 26.0 30.3 129 AKRON 54.5 26.0 25.9 25.0 130 BOWLING GREEN -3 25.0 -2.5 27.1 28.5 131 OHIO U -8.5 35.5 26.6 26.4 132 MASSACHUSETTS 49 29.0 4.6 25.9 MAS 24.1 133 BUFFALO -6.5 30.5 27.6 OVER 24.1 134 KENT ST 42 20.0 4.3 19.9 21.6 135 HOUSTON -13.5 48.0 27.9 27.5 136 TEMPLE 47.5 35.0 10.5 16.9 17.4 137 MARSHALL 49 33.5 24.7 23.4 138 CINCINNATI -5 35.0 -5.5 28.2 29.4 139 BAYLOR 59 40.5 20.4 23.6 140 KANSAS ST -15.5 53.0 -16.8 35.6 39.4 141 MARYLAND 47 40.0 22.1 OVER 22.1 OVER142 MINNESOTA -10.5 49.0 -14.8 30.7 34.2 143 OHIO ST -29 64.0 43.2 OHST 40.7 144 RUTGERS 51 33.0 28.3 9.3 13.3 145 IOWA 44.5 47.5 19.9 21.4 146 MICHIGAN ST -3.5 44.0 0.3 25.3 21.4 147 FLORIDA ST -7.5 59.0 22.6 24.7 148 WAKE FOREST 47 49.0 2.8 WAKE 21.3 WAKE 21.4 149 NORTHWESTERN 50.5 48.0 16.3 16.7 150 WISCONSIN -14.5 60.5 -15.8 32.8 32.6

COLLEGE FOOTBALL STRENGTH RATINGS


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BRD Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng#’’s Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge? Proj Edge? Proj Edge?151 INDIANA 61 46.0 23.9 20.6 152 PENN ST -16.5 62.0 -19.8 36.3 40.6 153 NAVY -6 41.0 34.7 UNDER 33.0 UNDER154 TULSA 70.5 37.0 1.0 TLS 28.6 31.6 TLS 155 CONNECTICUT 73.5 24.5 25.2 UNDER 25.2 UNDER156 SMU -19.5 39.0 -18.0 41.9 42.8

157 TEXAS ST UNIV 46.5 17.5 15.3 17.4 OVER158 WYOMING -17.5 32.5 -18.3 34.3 34.0 159 COLORADO 68 47.0 29.1 UNDER 25.1 UNDER160 UCLA -6.5 50.0 -7.0 32.1 32.7 161 CALIFORNIA 68.5 44.0 28.0 26.2 162 OREGON -13.5 56.0 -16.5 41.0 44.3 ORE 163 WASHINGTON -26.5 62.0 47.3 WAS 44.9 164 OREGON ST 63 31.5 27.0 14.7 16.2 165 COASTAL CAROLINA 59.5 21.0 22.4 24.1 166 LA MONROE -11 27.0 -9.0 35.3 32.8 167 SOUTH CAROLINA 54 45.0 SC 23.5 21.9 SC168 TEXAS A&M -10 48.5 -4.5 32.9 26.5 UNDER 169 TROY 47.5 35.5 13.9 11.0 170 LSU -20 56.0 -24.8 LSU 33.5 36.2 LSU 171 NEW MEXICO ST 60.5 29.0 19.8 19.7 172 ARKANSAS -16.5 45.0 -20.0 39.9 41.4 ARK 173 SAN JOSE ST 66.5 20.5 26.1 25.9 174 UNLV -12 29.5 -12.0 38.3 39.7 175 UTEP 52.5 15.0 16.1 13.4 176 ARMY -24 36.5 -25.0 37.5 38.5 177 VANDERBILT 42 45.0 20.9 OVER 18.4 OVER178 FLORIDA -10 53.0 -11.3 28.2 30.7 179 GEORGIA -7.5 59.0 27.5 25.2 180 TENNESSEE 46.5 50.0 3.0 TEN 19.4 21.6 181 NORTH TEXAS 61.5 27.0 24.3 22.7 182 SOUTHERN MISS -8.5 37.0 -13.0 SM 34.2 35.4 183 S ALABAMA 57.5 27.5 22.5 24.0 OVER184 LOUISIANA TECH -14 39.0 -14.8 35.3 38.3 185 MIAMI OHIO 53.5 33.0 16.8 13.8 186 NOTRE DAME -22.5 57.0 -28.3 ND 38.3 43.9 ND 187 MIDDLE TENN ST 58.5 34.0 26.6 28.7 188 FLA ATLANTIC -2.5 32.0 -0.8 28.7 29.8 189 MISSISSIPPI ST 48 55.0 19.6 21.1 190 AUBURN -10 59.5 -8.5 32.9 30.9 191 NORTH CAROLINA 60.5 47.0 25.6 29.5 OVER192 GEORGIA TECH -9.5 49.5 -6.5 35.6 36.9 193 CLEMSON -7 64.0 26.8 29.1 194 VIRGINIA TECH 51.5 55.0 5.5 25.0 VT 22.4 195 AIR FORCE 50.5 40.0 AF 25.6 29.9 AF196 NEW MEXICO -1 33.0 4.3 26.8 24.5 197 OLE MISS 59 46.5 17.6 16.1 198 ALABAMA -27.5 69.5 -27.0 44.4 43.8 199 OKLAHOMA ST -8.5 60.5 38.9 UNDER 43.9 200 TEXAS TECH 81 49.0 7.8 34.2 34.8 201 ARIZONA ST 63.5 44.0 23.3 23.4 202 STANFORD -16.5 58.0 -17.8 38.3 38.5 203 NEVADA 55 26.0 21.5 21.9 204 FRESNO ST -10.5 33.0 -9.8 36.4 33.6 205 N ILLINOIS 44.5 40.0 19.7 NIU 17.9 NIU206 SAN DIEGO ST -12.5 46.0 -8.8 24.8 25.7 207 COLORADO ST -7 45.0 33.5 UNDER 37.4 CSU208 HAWAII 69 30.5 11.0 25.6 25.5 UNDER 209 MEMPHIS 71 47.0 29.2 UNDER 32.7 UNDER210 UCF -3.5 46.0 -2.0 33.7 32.8

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS(103) TEXAS (-6.5 | 63.5) [SU:1-2 | ATS:2-1] AT (104) IOWA ST [SU:2-1 | ATS:3-0]

SEPTEMBER 28, 2017 8:00 PM on ESPN - JACK TRICE STADIUM (AMES, IA)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF TEXAS 40.3 25 42-191 [4.6] 41-24-297 [7.3] 12.1 26.0 17 34-125 [3.7] 32-18-248 [7.8] 14.3 -1 +14.3 IOWA ST 41.3 23 33-148 [4.5] 38-25-312 [8.1] 11.1 27.3 23 29-107 [3.7] 41-26-295 [7.2] 14.7 +4 +14.0

In looking at Texas’ season, this becomes a very important contest to show gains and in this case it means winning. The Longhorns played USC on even terms, but their program does not allow for moral victories and a loss at Iowa State would make new coach Tom Herman’s first quarter of the season that much more uncomfortable. With Kansas State, Oklahoma and Oklahoma State up next, this is ‘must win’ for Texas. The Cyclones are averaging better than 41 PPG and have the nation’s No.18 passing attack at 311.7 YPG, which Texas has been vulnerable to. The key for Iowa State is reaching 28 points, since if they do they are 10-2 ATS the last three seasons.

GAME TRENDS• IOWA ST is 11-4 ATS(L3Y) at HOME - All Games• TEXAS is 3-8 ATS(L3Y) on ROAD - All Games• TEXAS is 9-2 UNDER(L5Y) on ROAD - Against decent rushing teams averaging more than 4.4

yards per carry(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSTEXAS RESULTS IOWA ST RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-16 at USC +16.5 67.5 24-27 L W U 09-16 at AKRON -10 62.5 41-14 W W U 09-09 VS SAN JOSE ST -26.5 63.5 56-0 W W U 09-09 VS IOWA + 3.5 49.5 41-44 L W O 09-02 VS MARYLAND -18.5 57 41-51 L L O 09-02 VS N IOWA -10 51.5 42-24 W W O

(105) MIAMI FL (-6.5 | 56) [SU:2-0 | ATS:1-1] AT (106) DUKE [SU:4-0 | ATS:4-0]SEPTEMBER 29, 2017 7:00 PM on ESPN - WALLACE WADE STADIUM (DURHAM, NC)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF MIAMI FL (14) 46.5 27 30-285 [9.5] 33-22-283 [8.4] 12.2 21.5 21 32-103 [3.2] 44-27-286 [6.4] 18.1 +2 +25.0 DUKE 40.5 27 50-227 [4.5] 37-23-245 [6.6] 11.7 15.2 12 28-65 [2.3] 29-13-196 [6.7] 17.2 +5 +25.3

A quick review of the preseason magazines shows little respect for Duke and while that might end being true, for now the Devils are 4-0 SU and ATS. Once again, coach David Cutcliffe has a balanced offensive squad, capable of playing different ways and their defense is holding opponents to 15.2 PPG. Duke has to avoid letdown after big UNC battle and they are 1-7 ATS after facing Tar Heels. As expected, Miami was rusty after three weeks off, but they put Toledo away late and are anxious to keep playing. The Hurricanes have superior talent and coach Mark Richt has to bring out the best in his players. Miami is 7-0 ATS off a home win by 17 points or more since 2015.

GAME TRENDS• DUKE is 11-1 ATS(L3Y) - Against big play passing teams averaging more than 8.3 yards per

attempt(CS)• MIAMI FL is 3-8 ATS(L5Y) on ROAD - Against decent-scoring teams averaging 30 PPG or

more(CS)• MIAMI FL is 19-6 OVER(L25G) on ROAD - Against strong defensive teams allowing less than 20

PPG(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSMIAMI FL (14) RESULTS DUKE RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS TOLEDO -13.5 60.5 52-30 W W O 09-23 at NORTH CAROLINA + 2.5 61 27-17 W W U 09-02 VS BETHUNE-COOKMAN -47 63.5 41-13 W L U 09-16 VS BAYLOR -10 61 34-20 W W U 09-09 VS NORTHWESTERN + 2 54.5 41-17 W W O 09-02 VS NC CENTRAL -36 49 60-7 W W O




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(107) NEBRASKA (-6 | 49.5) [SU:2-2 | ATS:1-3] AT (108) ILLINOIS [SU:2-1 | ATS:1-2]SEPTEMBER 29, 2017 8:00 PM on FS1 - MEMORIAL STADIUM (CHAMPAIGN, IL)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF NEBRASKA 30.5 21 37-154 [4.1] 36-19-224 [6.2] 12.4 29.0 20 30-109 [3.6] 38-25-258 [6.8] 12.7 -2 +1.5 ILLINOIS 22.3 16 32-110 [3.5] 28-15-180 [6.4] 13.0 25.0 24 44-184 [4.2] 36-22-249 [6.8] 17.3 0 -2.7

GAME TRENDS• ILLINOIS is 3-8 ATS(L3Y) - Against tough-luck defenses allowing less than 16.7 yards per point(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSNEBRASKA RESULTS ILLINOIS RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS RUTGERS -13 48 27-17 W L U 09-15 at SOUTH FLORIDA +16.5 54.5 23-47 L L O 09-16 VS N ILLINOIS -10.5 56.5 17-21 L L U 09-09 VS W KENTUCKY + 6 51.5 20-7 W W U 09-09 at OREGON +10.5 67.5 35-42 L W O 09-02 VS BALL ST - 4.5 55.5 24-21 W L U 09-02 VS ARKANSAS ST -14.5 52.5 43-36 W L O

(109) BYU (-3 | 46) [SU:1-3 | ATS:0-4] AT (110) UTAH ST [SU:2-2 | ATS:2-2]SEPTEMBER 29, 2017 8:00 PM on CBSSN - ROMNEY STADIUM (LOGAN, UT)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF BYU 9.8 11 25-77 [3.1] 27-15-144 [5.2] 22.6 23.0 21 44-183 [4.1] 27-19-222 [8.1] 17.6 -3 -13.2UTAH ST 33.0 21 41-175 [4.3] 38-24-264 [7.0] 13.3 32.0 19 45-186 [4.2] 26-14-196 [7.6] 11.9 -1 +1.0

GAME TRENDS• UTAH ST is 10-3 UNDER(S2000) at HOME - Against poor passing teams averaging less than 6.15


SEASON GAME LOGSBYU RESULTS UTAH ST RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-16 VS WISCONSIN +14 43 6-40 L L O 09-23 at SAN JOSE ST - 1.5 55.5 61-10 W W O 09-09 VS UTAH + 3.5 45 13-19 L L U 09-16 at WAKE FOREST +14.5 50.5 10-46 L L O 09-02 ** LSU +14 47 0-27 L L U 09-07 VS IDAHO ST -35 61 51-13 W W O 08-26 VS PORTLAND ST -37.5 61 20-6 W L U 09-01 at WISCONSIN +27 52.5 10-59 L L O

(111) USC (-3.5 | 65) [SU:4-0 | ATS:1-3] AT (112) WASHINGTON ST [SU:4-0 | ATS:2-2]SEPTEMBER 29, 2017 10:30 PM on ESPN - MARTIN STADIUM (PULLMAN, WA)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF USC (5) 37.0 25 39-186 [4.7] 37-24-306 [8.3] 13.3 24.8 19 35-153 [4.3] 36-17-217 [6.1] 14.9 +3 +12.2 WASHI ST (16) 43.8 27 25-72 [2.8] 56-42-432 [7.8] 11.5 18.5 15 33-120 [3.6] 27-15-142 [5.3] 14.2 +4 +25.3

There are four unbeaten teams in the Pac-12 and for sure there will be one less after this Saturday night confrontation. USC keeps winning, though hardly impressively (1-3 ATS) and plays a second straight arduous road game. The Trojans run defense has gotten better, while the pass defense has gone the other way the last two weeks (601 yards allowed). That will have to improve against Washington State as will committing two turnovers a game. The Cougars have the No. 3 passing offense in the land and they will have to be smart with football as USC has generated 10 turnovers in past two contests. This should be outstanding quarterback battle and the Trojans are 0-8 ATS away off two non-covers as favorites.

GAME TRENDS• WASHINGTON ST is 15-3 ATS(L3Y) - Against decent rushing teams averaging more than 4.4 yards

per carry(CS)• USC is 4-9 ATS(L3Y) - VS AP top 25• USC is 9-2 UNDER(L2Y) - Conference games

SEASON GAME LOGSUSC (5) RESULTS WASHINGTON ST (16) RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 at CALIFORNIA -17 61 30-20 W L U 09-23 VS NEVADA -28.5 65.5 45-7 W W U 09-16 VS TEXAS -16.5 67.5 27-24 W L U 09-16 VS OREGON ST -17.5 65 52-23 W W O 09-09 VS STANFORD - 4.5 54.5 42-24 W W O 09-09 VS BOISE ST - 9.5 58 47-44 W L O 09-02 VS W MICHIGAN -28 59.5 49-31 W L O 09-02 VS MONTANA ST -40 62 31-0 W L U

COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS




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(113) CHARLOTTE [SU:0-4 | ATS:0-4] AT (114) FLA INTERNATIONAL (-12.5 | 45.5) [SU:2-1 | ATS:1-2]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 7:00 PM - FIU STADIUM (MIAMI, FL)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF CHARLOTTE 11.2 16 36-159 [4.4] 28-13-130 [4.7] 25.8 35.5 22 43-177 [4.1] 29-20-241 [8.2] 11.8 -8 -24.3FLA INTERNATIONA 15.7 19 33-123 [3.7] 31-19-234 [7.6] 22.7 26.0 21 37-109 [2.9] 31-21-259 [8.3] 14.2 -3 -10.3

GAME TRENDS• CHARLOTTE is 2-11-2 ATS(L3Y) - AS double digit underdog

SEASON GAME LOGSCHARLOTTE RESULTS FLA INTERNATIONAL RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS GEORGIA ST + 1 49.5 0-28 L L U 09-23 at RICE + 1 53 13-7 W W U 09-16 VS N CAROLINA A&T -11.5 58.5 31-35 L L O 09-08 ** ALCORN ST -20 58.5 17-10 W L U 09-09 at KANSAS ST +32.5 56.5 7-55 L L O 08-31 at UCF +17 56 17-61 L L O 09-01 at E MICHIGAN +14 59 7-24 L L U

(115) RICE [SU:1-3 | ATS:1-3] AT (116) PITTSBURGH (-20 | 49.5) [SU:1-3 | ATS:0-4]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 12:00 PM - HEINZ FIELD (PITTSBURGH, PA)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF RICE 12.0 17 41-170 [4.2] 23-12-122 [5.2] 24.3 31.8 20 32-135 [4.2] 34-22-274 [8.1] 12.9 -5 -19.8PITTSBURGH 20.0 19 38-126 [3.3] 34-21-203 [6.0] 16.4 37.0 21 38-199 [5.2] 26-16-274 [10.5] 12.8 +1 -17.0

GAME TRENDS• RICE is 19-6 OVER(L25G) on ROAD - Against low-scoring teams averaging 21 PPG or less(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSRICE RESULTS PITTSBURGH RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS FLORIDA INTL - 1 53 7-13 L L U 09-23 at GEORGIA TECH + 7.5 55 17-35 L L U 09-16 at HOUSTON +23 53.5 3-38 L L U 09-16 VS OKLAHOMA ST +10.5 66.5 21-59 L L O 09-09 at UTEP + 1.5 55 31-14 W W U 09-09 at PENN ST +18.5 64.5 14-33 L L U 08-26 ** STANFORD +31 50.5 7-62 L L O 09-02 VS YOUNGSTOWN ST -13 64.5 28-21 W L U

(117) SOUTH FLORIDA (-23 | 74) [SU:4-0 | ATS:2-2] AT (118) EAST CAROLINA [SU:1-3 | ATS:1-3]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 12:00 PM on CBSSN - DOWDY-FICKLEN STADIUM (GREENVILLE, NC)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF S FLORIDA (18) 40.8 27 63-289 [4.6] 27-14-205 [7.4] 12.1 17.2 13 30-66 [2.2] 37-17-198 [5.3] 15.3 +10 +23.6 EAST CAROLINA 23.0 23 35-108 [3.1] 42-23-322 [7.6] 18.7 48.0 29 48-279 [5.8] 32-22-347 [10.9] 13.0 -6 -25.0

GAME TRENDS• SOUTH FLORIDA is 9-2 UNDER(S2000) on ROAD - Against inept passing defenses yielding more

than 8.3 yards per attempt(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSSOUTH FLORIDA (18) RESULTS EAST CAROLINA RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-21 VS TEMPLE -17.5 61 43-7 W W U 09-24 at CONNECTICUT + 5 63 41-38 W W O 09-15 VS ILLINOIS -16.5 54.5 47-23 W W O 09-16 VS VIRGINIA TECH +27 60 17-64 L L O 09-02 VS STONY BROOK -35 58.5 31-17 W L U 09-09 at WEST VIRGINIA +25 68 20-56 L L O 08-26 at SAN JOSE ST -20.5 69 42-22 W L U 09-02 VS JAMES MADISON + 1.5 68 14-34 L L U

(121) SYRACUSE [SU:2-2 | ATS:2-2] AT (122) NC STATE (-13 | 63) [SU:3-1 | ATS:1-3]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 12:20 PM - CARTER-FINLEY STADIUM (RALEIGH, NC)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF SYRACUSE 35.0 25 40-164 [4.1] 46-29-300 [6.5] 13.3 22.2 17 34-101 [3.0] 33-18-230 [7.0] 14.9 0 +12.8 NC STATE 35.2 24 36-146 [4.1] 41-30-315 [7.7] 13.1 23.0 15 30-92 [3.1] 32-19-260 [8.0] 15.3 +5 +12.2

GAME TRENDS• SYRACUSE is 8-2 UNDER(L2Y) - VS Non-ranked team

SEASON GAME LOGSSYRACUSE RESULTS NC STATE RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 at LSU +21.5 56 26-35 L W O 09-23 at FLORIDA ST +11 51 27-21 W W U 09-16 VS C MICHIGAN - 7.5 66.5 41-17 W W U 09-16 VS FURMAN -36.5 58.5 49-16 W L O 09-09 VS MIDDLE TENN ST - 7.5 72 23-30 L L U 09-09 VS MARSHALL -21 55 37-20 W L O 09-01 VS C CONN ST -46 70.5 50-7 W L U 09-02 ** SOUTH CAROLINA - 8 49.5 28-35 L L O







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(123) E MICHIGAN [SU:2-1 | ATS:2-1] AT (124) KENTUCKY (-14.5 | 49.5) [SU:3-1 | ATS:2-2]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 4:00 PM on SECN - COMMONWEALTH STADIUM (LEXINGTON, KY)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF E MICHIGAN 20.0 18 34-95 [2.8] 39-23-277 [7.1] 18.6 15.7 16 37-157 [4.2] 33-16-170 [5.1] 20.8 +3 +4.3 KENTUCKY 25.2 19 38-147 [3.8] 24-15-198 [8.2] 13.7 18.5 17 28-89 [3.1] 37-23-269 [7.3] 19.4 +5 +6.7

GAME TRENDS• E MICHIGAN is 5-11 ATS(L5Y) - Against strong passing teams averaging more than 7.9 yards per

attempt(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSE MICHIGAN RESULTS KENTUCKY RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS OHIO - 1.5 54.5 20-27 L L U 09-23 VS FLORIDA + 3 44 27-28 L W O 09-09 at RUTGERS + 6 51 16-13 W W U 09-16 at SOUTH CAROLINA + 5.5 47.5 23-13 W W U 09-01 VS CHARLOTTE -14 59 24-7 W W U 09-09 VS E KENTUCKY -33 NL 27-16 W L - 09-02 at SOUTHERN MISS - 9 57 24-17 W L U

(125) BALL ST [SU:2-2 | ATS:2-1-1] AT (126) W MICHIGAN (-12.5 | 57.5) [SU:2-2 | ATS:1-3]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 7:00 PM on ESPN3 - WALDO STADIUM (KALAMAZOO, MI)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF BALL ST 30.2 20 40-166 [4.2] 34-21-231 [6.8] 13.1 25.2 20 35-144 [4.0] 30-18-218 [7.1] 14.4 -1 +5.0 W MICHIGAN 32.8 19 44-219 [4.9] 23-14-137 [5.9] 10.9 29.8 18 38-188 [5.0] 24-15-184 [7.7] 12.5 +3 +3.0

GAME TRENDS• BALL ST is 21-4 ATS(L25G) on ROAD - Against decent rushing teams averaging more than 4.4

yards per carry(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSBALL ST RESULTS W MICHIGAN RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 at W KENTUCKY +12 50 21-33 L P O 09-23 VS WAGNER -37.5 54.5 49-14 W L O 09-16 VS TENNESSEE TECH -24 57 28-13 W L U 09-16 VS IDAHO -17 55 37-28 W L O 09-09 VS UAB -13 52.5 51-31 W W O 09-09 at MICHIGAN ST + 7 51.5 14-28 L L U 09-02 at ILLINOIS + 4.5 55.5 21-24 L W U 09-02 at USC +28 59.5 31-49 L W O

(127) C MICHIGAN [SU:2-2 | ATS:1-3] AT (128) BOSTON COLLEGE (-9 | 49) [SU:1-3 | ATS:1-3]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 1:00 PM - ALUMNI STADIUM (CHESTNUT HILL, MA)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF C MICHIGAN 26.5 23 39-148 [3.8] 44-25-306 [7.0] 17.1 31.5 20 37-183 [4.9] 39-21-276 [7.1] 14.6 +1 -5.0 BOSTON COLLEGE 15.0 18 42-143 [3.4] 39-21-177 [4.6] 21.3 34.2 20 49-295 [6.0] 28-14-147 [5.3] 12.9 -5 -19.2

GAME TRENDS• BOSTON COLLEGE is 8-0 UNDER(L3Y) - As favorite

SEASON GAME LOGSC MICHIGAN RESULTS BOSTON COLLEGE RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS MIAMI OH PK 51 14-31 L L U 09-23 at CLEMSON +33 53 7-34 L W U 09-16 at SYRACUSE + 7.5 66.5 17-41 L L U 09-16 VS NOTRE DAME +14 54 20-49 L L O 09-09 at KANSAS + 3 56 45-27 W W O 09-09 VS WAKE FOREST PK 46.5 10-34 L L U 08-31 VS RHODE ISLAND -34 57 30-27 W L P 09-01 at N ILLINOIS - 4 46.5 23-20 W L U








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(129) AKRON (-3 | 54.5) [SU:1-3 | ATS:2-2] AT (130) BOWLING GREEN [SU:0-4 | ATS:0-4]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 6:00 PM on ESPN3 - DOYT PERRY STADIUM (BOWLING GREEN, OH)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF AKRON 20.8 20 34-119 [3.5] 35-19-211 [6.1] 15.9 29.5 21 33-163 [4.9] 33-22-270 [8.2] 14.7 -3 -8.7 BOWLING GREEN 14.2 17 29-81 [2.8] 40-20-250 [6.2] 23.3 35.8 27 46-244 [5.3] 33-22-305 [9.2] 15.3 +3 -21.6

GAME TRENDS• BOWLING GREEN is 19-3-1 UNDER(L25G) - Against lesser defensive teams allowing more than 29

PPG(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSAKRON RESULTS BOWLING GREEN RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 at TROY +17 55.5 17-22 L W U 09-23 at MIDDLE TENN ST + 7.5 54 13-24 L L U 09-16 VS IOWA ST +10 62.5 14-41 L L U 09-16 at NORTHWESTERN +21 57.5 7-49 L L U 09-09 VS ARK-PINE BLUFF -48.5 NL 52-3 W W - 09-09 VS S DAKOTA - 3.5 NL 27-35 L L - 09-02 at PENN ST +30 62.5 0-52 L L U 09-02 at MICHIGAN ST +18 56 10-35 L L U

(131) OHIO U (-8.5 | 49.5) [SU:3-1 | ATS:3-1] AT (132) MASSACHUSETTS [SU:0-5 | ATS:2-3]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 3:30 PM - WARREN MCGUIRK ALUMNI STADIUM (AMHERST, MA)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF OHIO U 37.2 21 45-195 [4.3] 25-16-215 [8.4] 11.0 23.5 17 33-121 [3.6] 36-20-246 [6.9] 15.6 -2 +13.7 MASSACHUSETTS 20.8 20 35-100 [2.9] 35-21-285 [8.1] 18.5 27.8 19 41-177 [4.4] 31-18-218 [7.0] 14.2 -3 -7.0

GAME TRENDS• OHIO is 19-5-1 UNDER(L25G) - Conference games

SEASON GAME LOGSOHIO U RESULTS MASSACHUSETTS RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 at E MICHIGAN + 1.5 54.5 27-20 W W U 09-23 at TENNESSEE +28 58 13-17 L W U 09-16 VS KANSAS - 7 59 42-30 W W O 09-15 at TEMPLE +14.5 51.5 21-29 L W U 09-08 at PURDUE + 3 54 21-44 L L O 09-09 VS OLD DOMINION + 3.5 60.5 7-17 L L U 09-02 VS HAMPTON -36.5 47.5 59-0 W W O 09-02 at COASTAL CAROLINA - 3 57 28-38 L L O 08-26 VS HAWAII PK 62.5 35-38 L L O

(133) BUFFALO (-7.5 | 42) [SU:2-2 | ATS:3-1] AT (134) KENT ST [SU:1-3 | ATS:1-3]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 3:30 PM on ESPN3 - DIX STADIUM (KENT, OH)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF BUFFALO 22.8 19 40-169 [4.2] 25-14-210 [8.3] 16.6 19.8 20 48-230 [4.8] 23-11-115 [5.0] 17.4 -1 +3.0 KENT ST 11.0 12 49-173 [3.6] 11-4-58 [5.4] 21.0 37.5 25 38-225 [6.0] 33-20-284 [8.7] 13.6 +2 -26.5

GAME TRENDS• BUFFALO is 9-2 ATS(L5Y) - Against poor passing defenses yielding more than 7.9 yards per

attempt(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSBUFFALO RESULTS KENT ST RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS FL ATLANTIC PK 59 34-31 W W O 09-23 at LOUISVILLE +41.5 57 3-42 L W U 09-16 VS COLGATE -24.5 40 33-10 W L O 09-16 at MARSHALL +14 49.5 0-21 L L U 09-09 at ARMY +16 53.5 17-21 L W U 09-09 VS HOWARD -24.5 NL 38-31 W L - 08-31 at MINNESOTA +23 49.5 7-17 L W U 09-02 at CLEMSON +37.5 52 3-56 L L O







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(135) HOUSTON (-14 | 48) [SU:2-1 | ATS:2-1] AT (136) TEMPLE [SU:2-2 | ATS:0-4]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 12:00 PM on ESPNU - LINCOLN FINANCIAL FIELD (PHILADELPHIA, PA)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF HOUSTON 27.0 22 35-133 [3.8] 41-30-299 [7.3] 16.0 15.3 17 36-160 [4.5] 36-21-218 [6.1] 24.7 -1 +11.7 TEMPLE 17.0 15 33-70 [2.1] 33-17-219 [6.6] 17.0 31.5 23 42-209 [4.9] 32-19-260 [8.0] 14.9 -2 -14.5

GAME TRENDS• HOUSTON is 9-1-1 ATS(L5Y) on ROAD - Against tough-luck defenses allowing less than 16.7 yards

per point(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSHOUSTON RESULTS TEMPLE RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS TEXAS TECH - 7 68.5 24-27 L L U 09-21 at SOUTH FLORIDA +17.5 61 7-43 L L U 09-16 VS RICE -23 53.5 38-3 W W U 09-15 VS MASSACHUSETTS -14.5 51.5 29-21 W L U 09-09 at ARIZONA - 1.5 67 19-16 W W U 09-09 VS VILLANOVA -17 NL 16-13 W L - 09-02 at NOTRE DAME +20 55.5 16-49 L L O

(137) MARSHALL [SU:2-1 | ATS:3-0] AT (138) CINCINNATI (-5 | 49.5) [SU:2-2 | ATS:2-2]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 7:00 PM on ESPN3 - NIPPERT STADIUM (CINCINNATI, OH)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF MARSHALL 24.0 19 28-106 [3.8] 39-23-260 [6.7] 15.2 21.0 21 40-139 [3.5] 32-20-252 [7.8] 18.6 -2 +3.0 CINCINNATI 23.2 18 29-90 [3.1] 39-21-221 [5.6] 13.4 27.2 20 50-264 [5.3] 20-11-146 [7.1] 15.1 +1 -4.0

GAME TRENDS• CINCINNATI is 8-2 UNDER(L3Y) - Non-conference games

SEASON GAME LOGSMARSHALL RESULTS CINCINNATI RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-16 VS KENT ST -14 49.5 21-0 W W U 09-23 at NAVY + 7.5 52 32-42 L L O 09-09 at NC STATE +21 55 20-37 L W O 09-16 at MIAMI OH + 3.5 49 21-17 W W U 09-02 VS MIAMI OH + 4 48.5 31-26 W W O 09-09 at MICHIGAN +31 49.5 14-36 L W O 08-31 VS AUSTIN PEAY -44 58.5 26-14 W L U

(139) BAYLOR [SU:0-4 | ATS:1-3] AT (140) KANSAS ST (-17 | 59) [SU:2-1 | ATS:2-1]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 3:30 PM on ESPN2 - BILL SNYDER STADIUM (MANHATTAN, KS)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF BAYLOR 29.0 17 32-127 [4.0] 35-17-285 [8.1] 14.2 37.0 24 45-236 [5.3] 33-23-269 [8.0] 13.6 -4 -8.0 KANSAS ST 39.0 19 39-230 [5.9] 22-12-199 [8.9] 11.0 13.3 16 38-133 [3.5] 28-17-154 [5.6] 21.6 +5 +25.7

GAME TRENDS• KANSAS ST is 11-2 OVER(L5Y) - Against poor defensive teams yielding more than 6.0 yards per

play(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSBAYLOR RESULTS KANSAS ST RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS OKLAHOMA +28 62 41-49 L W O 09-16 at VANDERBILT - 4 48.5 7-14 L L U 09-16 at DUKE +10 61 20-34 L L U 09-09 VS CHARLOTTE -32.5 56.5 55-7 W W O 09-09 VS TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO -11 56 10-17 L L U 09-02 VS C ARKANSAS -26 53 55-19 W W O 09-02 VS LIBERTY -32 58 45-48 L L O








34




(141) MARYLAND [SU:2-1 | ATS:2-1] AT (142) MINNESOTA (-10.5 | 47) [SU:3-0 | ATS:2-1]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 12:00 PM on FS1 - TCF BANK STADIUM (MINNEAPOLIS, MN)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF MARYLAND 41.3 20 39-224 [5.8] 20-14-180 [8.9] 9.8 32.0 20 35-149 [4.2] 40-24-254 [6.4] 12.6 +1 +9.3 MINNESOTA 33.0 20 52-214 [4.1] 19-12-173 [8.9] 11.7 8.0 13 21-59 [2.8] 38-21-180 [4.8] 29.9 +4 +25.0

GAME TRENDS• MINNESOTA is 10-3 ATS(L5Y) - Against elite rushing teams averaging more than 5.0 yards per

carry(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSMARYLAND RESULTS MINNESOTA RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS UCF - 4.5 61.5 10-38 L L U 09-16 VS MIDDLE TENN ST -14 50 34-3 W W U 09-09 VS TOWSON -33 NL 63-17 W W - 09-09 at OREGON ST + 2.5 49.5 48-14 W W O 09-02 at TEXAS +18.5 57 51-41 W W O 08-31 VS BUFFALO -23 49.5 17-7 W L U

(143) OHIO ST (-29 | 50.5) [SU:3-1 | ATS:1-3] AT (144) RUTGERS [SU:1-3 | ATS:3-1]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 7:30 PM on BTN - HIGH POINT SOLUTIONS STADIUM (PISCATAWAY, NJ)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF OHIO ST (11) 39.2 28 39-230 [5.9] 38-25-319 [8.5] 14.0 20.0 21 41-139 [3.4] 33-20-228 [7.0] 18.4 +4 +19.2 RUTGERS 27.2 18 37-163 [4.4] 30-17-163 [5.4] 12.0 18.2 16 36-119 [3.3] 29-14-179 [6.2] 16.4 0 +9.0

GAME TRENDS• RUTGERS is 9-2 UNDER(L5Y) at HOME - As underdog

SEASON GAME LOGSOHIO ST (11) RESULTS RUTGERS RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS UNLV -40 67 54-21 W L O 09-23 at NEBRASKA +13 48 17-27 L W U 09-16 VS ARMY -32.5 55 38-7 W L U 09-16 VS MORGAN ST -41 47 65-0 W W O 09-09 VS OKLAHOMA - 7.5 64 16-31 L L U 09-09 VS E MICHIGAN - 6 51 13-16 L L U 08-31 at INDIANA -20 56 49-21 W W O 09-01 VS WASHINGTON +28 55 14-30 L W U

(145) IOWA [SU:3-1 | ATS:2-2] AT (146) MICHIGAN ST (-3.5 | 44.5) [SU:2-1 | ATS:2-1]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 4:00 PM on FOX - SPARTAN STADIUM (EAST LANSING, MI)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF IOWA 29.5 21 41-155 [3.8] 26-16-211 [8.1] 12.4 19.8 21 31-146 [4.7] 41-24-249 [6.1] 19.9 0 +9.7 MICHIGAN ST 27.0 24 42-221 [5.2] 37-22-252 [6.9] 17.5 20.7 14 33-122 [3.6] 26-12-132 [5.1] 12.3 -6 +6.3

For these Big Ten partners, their coaches have to convince players to not let one demoralizing loss turn into two. Kirk Ferentz has the harder task, having Penn State down in the final minutes and not salting game away. Mark Dantonio’s Spartans out-gained Notre Dame by 141 yards, however, most of those came after Irish had built big lead thanks to Michigan State turnovers (3) and costly penalties. Iowa comes to East Lansing with a recent 6-2 ATS record and these skirmishes have tended to be lower scoring with the UNDER 5-1-2. The Spartans have let losses linger more with 4-13 ATS mark off a home loss by 14 or more points and they will lose again if the miscues continue against the Hawkeyes.

GAME TRENDS• IOWA is 9-2 ATS(L5Y) on ROAD - Against inefficient defenses allowing less than 15.3 yards per

point(CS)• MICHIGAN ST is 6-15 ATS(L3Y) - As favorite• MICHIGAN ST is 18-5-2 UNDER(L25G) at HOME - as favorite of 7 or less points

SEASON GAME LOGSIOWA RESULTS MICHIGAN ST RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS PENN ST +12.5 52 19-21 L W U 09-23 VS NOTRE DAME + 3.5 54.5 18-38 L L O 09-16 VS NORTH TEXAS -19.5 51.5 31-14 W L U 09-09 VS W MICHIGAN - 7 51.5 28-14 W W U 09-09 at IOWA ST - 3.5 49.5 44-41 W L O 09-02 VS BOWLING GREEN -18 56 35-10 W W U 09-02 VS WYOMING -12.5 51 24-3 W W U






35


(147) FLORIDA ST (-7.5 | 47) [SU:0-2 | ATS:0-2] AT (148) WAKE FOREST [SU:4-0 | ATS:3-1]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 3:30 PM on ABC - BB&T FIELD (WINSTON-SALEM, NC)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF FLORIDA ST 14.0 15 26-72 [2.7] 36-20-244 [6.8] 22.6 25.5 17 39-141 [3.6] 25-16-175 [6.9] 12.4 -4 -11.5WAKE FOREST 37.8 22 49-216 [4.4] 25-16-216 [8.6] 11.4 11.5 17 38-128 [3.4] 35-15-200 [5.8] 28.5 +5 +26.3

Florida State is 0-2 for the first time since 1992 and losing QB Deondre Francois is not the only reason for poor start. The hurricane did not help, however, the offensive line would have emerged as weakness again no matter the weather and the inability to cash in for touchdowns on red zone opportunities is one of several aspects of football. The Seminoles are 8-2, yet only 4-6 ATS at BB&T Field. Wake Forest also started last season 4-0 and were nailed at N.C. State 33-16. The Demon Deacons are again underdogs in this spot, but are home and are averaging roughly 216 YPG running and passing. Might have to watch out for Wake who is 14-8-1 ATS as home underdogs since 2007.

GAME TRENDS• WAKE FOREST is 9-3 ATS(L3Y) - AS underdog of more than 7 points• FLORIDA ST is 9-16 ATS(L25G) on ROAD - as favorite of more than 7 points• WAKE FOREST is 20-3 UNDER(L25G) - Against inefficient offenses averaging more than 15.3 yards

per point(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSFLORIDA ST RESULTS WAKE FOREST RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS NC STATE -11 51 21-27 L L U 09-23 at APPALACHIAN ST - 5.5 48.5 20-19 W L U 09-02 ** ALABAMA + 7.5 50.5 7-24 L L U 09-16 VS UTAH ST -14.5 50.5 46-10 W W O 09-09 at BOSTON COLLEGE PK 46.5 34-10 W W U 08-31 VS PRESBYTERIAN -40.5 54 51-7 W W O

(149) NORTHWESTERN [SU:2-1 | ATS:1-2] AT (150) WISCONSIN (-14.5 | 52) [SU:3-0 | ATS:2-1]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 12:00 PM on ABC - CAMP RANDALL STADIUM (MADISON, WI)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF NORTHWESTERN 32.3 24 38-160 [4.2] 34-22-299 [8.8] 14.2 22.7 25 38-157 [4.1] 42-24-253 [6.0] 18.1 -2 +9.6 WISCONSIN (10) 43.3 27 49-275 [5.6] 24-17-236 [9.8] 11.8 10.0 12 29-91 [3.1] 27-15-157 [5.9] 24.8 +2 +33.3

This was supposed to be compelling early West Division showdown. With Wisconsin favored by more than two touchdowns, that might not happen as Northwestern only good showing was bouncing a bad Bowling Green club and they still allowed over 350 yards. Maybe coach Pat Fitzgerald will be able to iron out the Wildcats problems, yet frankly, the ‘Cats do not appear they will better 19-8 ATS road dog record going back to 2008. The Badgers offense is averaging over 43 PPG and 510 yards with quarterback Alex Hornibrook coolly at the controls. Once again Wisconsin looks to have elite defense in conceding 10 PPG. Northwestern was off last week and so were the Badgers and Whisky is 10-1 ATS off a bye.

GAME TRENDS• WISCONSIN is 12-5 ATS(L2Y) - All Games• NORTHWESTERN is 4-11 ATS(L5Y) - Against good teams with 80%+ winning pct(CS)• NORTHWESTERN is 8-1 UNDER(L3Y) - In September

SEASON GAME LOGSNORTHWESTERN RESULTS WISCONSIN (10) RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-16 VS BOWLING GREEN -21 57.5 49-7 W W U 09-16 at BYU -14 43 40-6 W W O 09-09 at DUKE - 2 54.5 17-41 L L O 09-09 VS FL ATLANTIC -34.5 60 31-14 W L U 09-02 VS NEVADA -24 60 31-20 W L U 09-01 VS UTAH ST -27 52.5 59-10 W W O




36




(151) INDIANA [SU:2-1 | ATS:2-1] AT (152) PENN ST (-16.5 | 61) [SU:4-0 | ATS:3-1]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 3:30 PM on BTN - BEAVER STADIUM (UNIVERSITY PARK, PA)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF INDIANA 35.7 21 38-140 [3.7] 40-24-267 [6.7] 11.4 27.7 21 43-196 [4.5] 39-22-232 [5.9] 15.5 -1 +8.0 PENN ST (4) 40.5 21 33-214 [6.4] 34-22-282 [8.3] 12.2 8.2 17 38-115 [3.0] 31-17-158 [5.1] 33.3 +6 +32.3

GAME TRENDS• INDIANA is 18-7 OVER(L25G) - AS underdog of more than 7 points

SEASON GAME LOGSINDIANA RESULTS PENN ST (4) RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS GEORGIA SOUTHERN -21.5 50.5 52-17 W W O 09-23 at IOWA -12.5 52 21-19 W L U 09-09 at VIRGINIA - 3.5 56 34-17 W W U 09-16 VS GEORGIA ST -37 54.5 56-0 W W O 08-31 VS OHIO ST +20 56 21-49 L L O 09-09 VS PITTSBURGH -18.5 64.5 33-14 W W U 09-02 VS AKRON -30 62.5 52-0 W W U

(153) NAVY (-5.5 | 72.5) [SU:3-0 | ATS:2-1] AT (154) TULSA [SU:1-3 | ATS:2-2]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 3:30 PM on ESPNU - CHAPMAN STADIUM (TULSA, OK)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF NAVY 35.7 23 64-393 [6.1] 8-3-98 [11.8] 13.8 24.0 16 31-96 [3.1] 31-19-246 [8.0] 14.2 -2 +11.7 TULSA 38.5 26 58-311 [5.4] 26-15-172 [6.5] 12.5 42.8 26 42-294 [6.9] 27-18-296 [11.1] 13.8 +4 -4.3

GAME TRENDS• TULSA is 8-2 OVER(S2000) at HOME - AS underdog of 7 or less points

SEASON GAME LOGSNAVY RESULTS TULSA RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS CINCINNATI - 7.5 52 42-32 W W O 09-23 VS NEW MEXICO - 7.5 69 13-16 L L U 09-09 VS TULANE - 8 49.5 23-21 W L U 09-16 at TOLEDO + 7 73.5 51-54 L W O 09-01 at FL ATLANTIC - 8.5 64.5 42-19 W W U 09-09 VS LA LAFAYETTE -14 59 66-42 W W O 08-31 at OKLAHOMA ST +17.5 70 24-59 L L O

(155) CONNECTICUT [SU:1-2 | ATS:0-3] AT (156) SMU (-19 | 73.5) [SU:3-1 | ATS:4-0]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 4:00 PM on ESPNN - GERALD J. FORD STADIUM (DALLAS, TX)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF CONNECTICUT 27.7 23 39-186 [4.8] 35-23-304 [8.6] 17.7 33.0 27 35-143 [4.1] 45-31-413 [9.2] 16.8 -3 -5.3 SMU 48.0 24 41-195 [4.7] 33-17-305 [9.1] 10.4 30.8 22 35-135 [3.9] 38-24-304 [8.1] 14.3 +7 +17.2

GAME TRENDS• CONNECTICUT is 1-11 ATS(L5Y) - Against poor defensive teams yielding more than 6.0 yards per

play(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSCONNECTICUT RESULTS SMU RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-24 VS EAST CAROLINA - 5 63 38-41 L L O 09-23 VS ARKANSAS ST - 3 71.5 44-21 W W U 09-16 at VIRGINIA +12.5 51.5 18-38 L L O 09-16 at TCU +22 65.5 36-56 L W O 08-31 VS HOLY CROSS -23.5 60 27-20 W L U 09-09 VS NORTH TEXAS -11.5 64.5 54-32 W W O 09-02 VS STEPHEN F AUSTIN -30 70.5 58-14 W W O

(157) TEXAS ST [SU:1-3 | ATS:2-2] AT (158) WYOMING (-16 | 46.5) [SU:2-2 | ATS:1-3]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 4:00 PM - WAR MEMORIAL STADIUM (LARAMIE, WY)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF TEXAS ST 12.5 17 39-118 [3.0] 27-15-171 [6.3] 23.1 28.0 21 39-156 [4.0] 31-19-229 [7.5] 13.8 -3 -15.5WYOMING 17.8 14 30-104 [3.5] 29-16-165 [5.7] 15.1 23.5 21 49-197 [4.0] 23-14-169 [7.4] 15.6 +6 -5.7

GAME TRENDS• WYOMING is 3-9 ATS(L3Y) - In September

SEASON GAME LOGSTEXAS ST RESULTS WYOMING RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO +13.5 45 14-44 L L O 09-23 VS HAWAII - 5.5 54 28-21 W W U 09-16 VS APPALACHIAN ST +21.5 49.5 13-20 L W U 09-16 VS OREGON +13.5 66.5 13-49 L L U 09-09 at COLORADO +36.5 55.5 3-37 L W U 09-09 VS GARDNER WEBB -38.5 NL 27-0 W L - 09-02 VS HOUSTON BAPTIST -16.5 57 20-11 W L U 09-02 at IOWA +12.5 51 3-24 L L U







37


(159) COLORADO [SU:3-1 | ATS:1-3] AT (160) UCLA (-6.5 | 69.5) [SU:2-2 | ATS:1-3]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 10:30 PM on ESPN2 - ROSE BOWL (PASADENA, CA)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF COLORADO 26.2 22 40-141 [3.5] 34-24-272 [8.0] 15.8 16.0 18 37-142 [3.8] 31-16-199 [6.5] 21.3 0 +10.2 UCLA 45.0 28 25-120 [4.8] 51-33-452 [8.9] 12.7 43.2 24 47-307 [6.6] 33-18-217 [6.6] 12.1 -5 +1.8

Want to know how bad UCLA’s defense is; the Bruins are 0-3 ATS after gaining at least 550 yards of offense and should have the same SU mark except for Texas A&M miracle. With all the players in southern California, UCLA coach Jim Mora cannot field defense that is better than 125th in yards surrendered. As mentioned last week, that place enormous pressure on QB Josh Rosen to be perfect and as good as he is, you can see when he presses. The Bruins are 6-17 ATS after two-game road trip. Colorado was not dramatically outplayed by Washington in 37-10 final, but those turnovers were costly. If QB Steven Montez can avoid turnovers, the Buffaloes can stay in this evening contest.

GAME TRENDS• COLORADO is 9-3 ATS(L2Y) - VS Non-ranked team• UCLA is 2-8-1 ATS(L5Y) - Against strong defensive teams allowing less than 20 PPG(CS)• COLORADO is 10-2 UNDER(S2000) on ROAD - AS underdog of 7 or less points

SEASON GAME LOGSCOLORADO RESULTS UCLA RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS WASHINGTON +11.5 55 10-37 L L U 09-23 at STANFORD + 7 60 34-58 L L O 09-16 VS N COLORADO -38 55 41-21 W L O 09-16 at MEMPHIS - 3 71 45-48 L L O 09-09 VS TEXAS ST -36.5 55.5 37-3 W L U 09-09 VS HAWAII -23.5 62 56-23 W W O 09-01 ** COLORADO ST - 3 68.5 17-3 W W U 09-03 VS TEXAS A&M - 7 60.5 45-44 W L O

(161) CALIFORNIA [SU:3-1 | ATS:3-1] AT (162) OREGON (-13.5 | 68.5) [SU:3-1 | ATS:2-2]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 10:30 PM on FS1 - AUTZEN STADIUM (EUGENE, OR)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF CALIFORNIA 28.8 21 35-153 [4.3] 41-22-275 [6.6] 14.9 24.0 23 37-136 [3.6] 43-25-309 [7.2] 18.5 0 +4.8 OREGON 50.8 28 48-244 [5.1] 31-21-313 [10.0] 11.0 26.5 19 38-117 [3.1] 38-19-233 [6.1] 13.2 +1 +24.3

GAME TRENDS• CALIFORNIA is 9-2 UNDER(L5Y) on ROAD - AS underdog of more than 7 points

SEASON GAME LOGSCALIFORNIA RESULTS OREGON RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS USC +17 61 20-30 L W U 09-23 at ARIZONA ST -14 75 35-37 L L U 09-16 VS MISSISSIPPI + 6 69.5 27-16 W W U 09-16 at WYOMING -13.5 66.5 49-13 W W U 09-09 VS WEBER ST -26 NL 33-20 W L - 09-09 VS NEBRASKA -10.5 67.5 42-35 W L O 09-02 at NORTH CAROLINA +13 56.5 35-30 W W O 09-02 VS S UTAH -38 74 77-21 W W O

(163) WASHINGTON (-26.5 | 63) [SU:4-0 | ATS:2-2] AT (164) OREGON ST [SU:1-3 | ATS:0-4]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 8:00 PM on PAC12 - RESER STADIUM (CORVALLIS, OR)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF WASHINGTON (6) 44.5 21 32-161 [4.9] 27-19-266 [10.0] 9.6 11.8 17 37-100 [2.7] 33-21-174 [5.3] 23.2 +6 +32.7 OREGON ST 24.8 19 30-135 [4.5] 34-21-221 [6.4] 14.4 47.5 27 43-199 [4.6] 33-23-287 [8.6] 10.2 -6 -22.7

GAME TRENDS• OREGON ST is 10-3 OVER(L5Y) - Against solid defensive teams yielding less than 4.8 yards per

play(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSWASHINGTON (6) RESULTS OREGON ST RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 at COLORADO -11.5 55 37-10 W W U 09-16 at WASHINGTON ST +17.5 65 23-52 L L O 09-16 VS FRESNO ST -34 56.5 48-16 W L O 09-09 VS MINNESOTA - 2.5 49.5 14-48 L L O 09-09 VS MONTANA -38.5 60 63-7 W W O 09-02 VS PORTLAND ST -26.5 60 35-32 W L O 09-01 at RUTGERS -28 55 30-14 W L U 08-26 at COLORADO ST + 4 58.5 27-58 L L O





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(165) COASTAL CAROLINA [SU:1-2 | ATS:1-2] AT (166) LA MONROE (-11 | 59.5) [SU:1-2 | ATS:2-1]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 7:00 PM on ESPN3 - MALONE STADIUM (MONROE, LA)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF COASTAL CAROLINA 23.7 19 44-239 [5.5] 21-10-106 [5.0] 14.6 36.7 21 37-158 [4.3] 27-18-251 [9.4] 11.1 -4 -13.0LA MONROE 34.0 22 44-205 [4.7] 33-20-245 [7.5] 13.2 38.3 24 45-278 [6.2] 33-17-214 [6.4] 12.8 -2 -4.3

GAME TRENDS• LA MONROE is 2-9 ATS(L5Y) at HOME - Against inefficient defenses allowing less than 15.3 yards

per point(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSCOASTAL CAROLINA RESULTS LA MONROE RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS W ILLINOIS + 3.5 55 10-52 L L O 09-23 at LA LAFAYETTE + 4 59 56-50 W W O 09-16 at UAB PK 53 23-30 L L P 09-16 VS SOUTHERN MISS + 7 54.5 17-28 L L U 09-02 VS MASSACHUSETTS + 3 57 38-28 W W O 08-31 at MEMPHIS +25.5 64 29-37 L W O

(167) SOUTH CAROLINA [SU:3-1 | ATS:2-2] AT (168) TEXAS A&M (-10 | 54) [SU:3-1 | ATS:2-1-1]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 7:30 PM on SECN - KYLE FIELD (COLLEGE STATION, TX)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF SOUTH CAROLINA 24.0 17 28-100 [3.5] 32-20-250 [7.8] 14.6 20.0 22 37-133 [3.6] 39-24-277 [7.2] 20.5 +3 +4.0 TEXAS A&M 40.8 24 48-260 [5.4] 32-17-201 [6.3] 11.3 30.8 20 32-114 [3.5] 39-22-300 [7.8] 13.4 +8 +10.0

Both these SEC combatants managed to pull off late victories, but Texas A&M has a clear edge. The Aggies still have defensive problems, yet realize they should be 4-0 after UCLA debacle. Texas A&M offense is humming at 43 PPG and faces South Carolina offense which has tallied 39 total points against Kentucky and Louisiana Tech, who remind nobody of Alabama. With how Texas A&M can run and pass, they should keep the Gamecocks defenders on the field and by the second half wear them down. The Aggies however are pathetic 2-9 ATS after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more in previous contest. South Carolina has be score touchdowns in the red zone and try and overcome mounting injuries.

GAME TRENDS• SOUTH CAROLINA is 16-8 ATS(L25G) - Against lesser passing teams averaging less than 6.5 yards

per attempt(CS)• TEXAS A&M is 3-11 ATS(L5Y) at HOME - Conference games• SOUTH CAROLINA is 14-2-1 UNDER(L3Y) - Conference games

SEASON GAME LOGSSOUTH CAROLINA RESULTS TEXAS A&M RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS LOUISIANA TECH - 9.5 50 17-16 W L U 09-23 ** ARKANSAS - 1.5 58 50-43 W W O 09-16 VS KENTUCKY - 5.5 47.5 13-23 L L U 09-16 VS LA LAFAYETTE -24 62.5 45-21 W P O 09-09 at MISSOURI + 2.5 71 31-13 W W U 09-09 VS NICHOLLS ST -37.5 NL 24-14 W L - 09-02 ** NC STATE + 8 49.5 35-28 W W O 09-03 at UCLA + 7 60.5 44-45 L W O

(169) TROY [SU:3-1 | ATS:0-3-1] AT (170) LSU (-19.5 | 49) [SU:3-1 | ATS:1-2-1]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 7:00 PM on ESPNU - TIGER STADIUM (BATON ROUGE, LA)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF TROY 24.0 23 32-171 [5.3] 40-26-273 [6.9] 18.5 18.0 18 32-95 [3.0] 36-21-222 [6.1] 17.6 0 +6.0 LSU (25) 28.5 20 42-200 [4.7] 22-13-204 [9.3] 14.2 18.2 17 29-106 [3.7] 33-19-191 [5.7] 16.3 +3 +10.3

GAME TRENDS• TROY is 21-4 OVER(L25G) on ROAD - Non-conference VS BIG 5

SEASON GAME LOGSTROY RESULTS LSU (25) RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS AKRON -17 55.5 22-17 W L U 09-23 VS SYRACUSE -21.5 56 35-26 W L O 09-16 at NEW MEXICO ST - 9.5 60.5 27-24 W L U 09-16 at MISSISSIPPI ST - 7.5 53.5 7-37 L L U 09-09 VS ALABAMA ST -43.5 NL 34-7 W L - 09-09 VS CHATTANOOGA -35 NL 45-10 W P - 09-02 at BOISE ST +11 58 13-24 L P U 09-02 ** BYU -14 47 27-0 W W U






39


COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS(171) NEW MEXICO ST [SU:2-2 | ATS:4-0] AT (172) ARKANSAS (-16.5 | 60.5) [SU:1-2 | ATS:0-3]

SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 12:00 PM on SECN - RAZORBACK STADIUM (FAYETTEVILLE, AR)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF NEW MEXICO ST 31.5 22 25-120 [4.7] 51-33-353 [7.0] 15.0 26.5 20 37-143 [3.8] 36-20-238 [6.7] 14.4 +3 +5.0 ARKANSAS 33.0 20 40-197 [4.9] 24-13-183 [7.6] 11.5 28.3 18 38-187 [4.9] 29-16-159 [5.5] 12.2 +1 +4.7

GAME TRENDS• NEW MEXICO ST is 10-2 OVER(S2000) - VS SEC

SEASON GAME LOGSNEW MEXICO ST RESULTS ARKANSAS RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS UTEP -17 59 41-14 W W U 09-23 ** TEXAS A&M + 1.5 58 43-50 L L O 09-16 VS TROY + 9.5 60.5 24-27 L W U 09-09 VS TCU + 2.5 56 7-28 L L U 09-09 at NEW MEXICO + 7.5 68.5 30-28 W W U 08-31 VS FLORIDA A&M -45.5 61 49-7 W L U 08-31 at ARIZONA ST +23.5 70 31-37 L W U

(173) SAN JOSE ST [SU:1-4 | ATS:2-3] AT (174) UNLV (-13 | 70) [SU:1-2 | ATS:2-1]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 10:30 PM on ESPNU - SAM BOYD STADIUM (LAS VEGAS, NV)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF SAN JOSE ST 16.4 15 37-112 [3.0] 32-16-181 [5.6] 17.9 45.2 26 58-279 [4.8] 30-18-220 [7.3] 11.0 -8 -28.8UNLV 35.0 21 46-292 [6.4] 19-11-167 [8.8] 13.1 37.7 24 46-207 [4.5] 35-23-292 [8.4] 13.2 -1 -2.7

GAME TRENDS• UNLV is 10-1 OVER(S2000) at HOME - Against pathetic-scoring teams averaging 18 PPG or

less(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSSAN JOSE ST RESULTS UNLV RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS UTAH ST + 1.5 55.5 10-61 L L O 09-23 at OHIO ST +40 67 21-54 L W O 09-16 at UTAH +27.5 59 16-54 L L O 09-09 at IDAHO + 4 69.5 44-16 W W U 09-09 at TEXAS +26.5 63.5 0-56 L L U 09-02 VS HOWARD -45 66.5 40-43 L L O 09-02 VS CAL POLY -10.5 58 34-13 W W U 08-26 VS SOUTH FLORIDA +20.5 69 22-42 L W U

(175) UTEP [SU:0-4 | ATS:0-4] AT (176) ARMY (-24 | 52.5) [SU:2-2 | ATS:2-2]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 3:30 PM on CBSSN - MICHIE STADIUM (WEST POINT, NY)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF UTEP 12.8 12 24-63 [2.6] 33-15-147 [4.4] 16.4 47.8 27 45-248 [5.5] 30-22-271 [9.0] 10.9 -5 -35.0ARMY 27.2 20 60-366 [6.1] 6-1-9 [1.6] 13.8 20.5 19 30-177 [5.9] 29-19-213 [7.3] 19.0 -2 +6.7

GAME TRENDS• ARMY is 4-13-1 ATS(L5Y) - Against poor passing defenses yielding more than 7.9 yards per

attempt(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSUTEP RESULTS ARMY RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 at NEW MEXICO ST +17 59 14-41 L L U 09-23 at TULANE + 3 45.5 17-21 L L U 09-15 VS ARIZONA +24.5 58.5 16-63 L L O 09-16 at OHIO ST +32.5 55 7-38 L W U 09-09 VS RICE - 1.5 55 14-31 L L U 09-09 VS BUFFALO -16 53.5 21-17 W L U 09-02 at OKLAHOMA +42 64 7-56 L L U 09-01 VS FORDHAM -18.5 66 64-6 W W O







40




COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS(177) VANDERBILT [SU:3-1 | ATS:2-2] AT (178) FLORIDA (-10 | 42) [SU:2-1 | ATS:0-3]

SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 12:00 PM on ESPN - BEN HILL GRIFFIN STADIUM (GAINESVILLE, FL)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF VANDERBILT 21.0 12 29-87 [3.0] 25-15-191 [7.7] 13.2 18.0 18 40-201 [5.1] 27-13-117 [4.4] 17.7 +2 +3.0 FLORIDA (21) 23.7 14 31-122 [4.0] 27-16-201 [7.4] 13.6 26.7 21 38-173 [4.5] 31-17-232 [7.6] 15.2 -2 -3.0

Vandy coach Derek Mason found out what it means to ruffle Alabama and his team was pile-drived 59-0. Mason has to restore his team’s confidence swiftly and make them aware there is only one Bama in the SEC and Florida is not close. Vanderbilt has to play good defense versus an ordinary Gators offense and not make mistakes, which is how Florida won their past two games. The Commodores are 13-4 ATS after being out-rushed by 200 or more yards. The Gators 0-3 ATS mark is more telling than 2-1 record of what this squad really is. Nonetheless, they have taken advantage of opponents mistakes and capitalized to their credit. Florida probably wins, because Vanderbilt lacks the offense. Covering spread is another matter.

GAME TRENDS• VANDERBILT is 9-3 ATS(L3Y) - AS underdog of more than 7 points• FLORIDA is 3-9 ATS(L5Y) - Against shutdown passing defenses yielding less than 5.9 yards per

attempt(CS)• FLORIDA is 11-2 UNDER(L3Y) - As ranked team VS non-ranked team

SEASON GAME LOGSVANDERBILT RESULTS FLORIDA (21) RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS ALABAMA +19.5 43.5 0-59 L L O 09-23 at KENTUCKY - 3 44 28-27 W L O 09-16 VS KANSAS ST + 4 48.5 14-7 W W U 09-16 VS TENNESSEE - 7 50.5 26-20 W L U 09-09 VS ALABAMA A&M -48 NL 42-0 W L - 09-02 ** MICHIGAN + 3.5 46 17-33 L L O 09-02 at MIDDLE TENN ST - 2.5 58.5 28-6 W W U

(179) GEORGIA (-7 | 46.5) [SU:4-0 | ATS:3-1] AT (180) TENNESSEE [SU:3-1 | ATS:1-3]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 3:30 PM on CBS - NEYLAND STADIUM (KNOXVILLE, TN)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF GEORGIA (7) 31.0 18 46-223 [4.9] 19-11-166 [8.7] 12.5 11.5 15 32-97 [3.0] 35-20-172 [4.9] 23.4 -1 +19.5 TENNESSEE 30.2 21 33-156 [4.8] 34-19-225 [6.5] 12.6 21.8 18 47-242 [5.1] 20-11-140 [7.1] 17.5 -1 +8.4

Whatever Tennessee’s A-game is, they better bring it or those wearing orange in the stands at Neyland Stadium will be booing vociferously. Being flat against Massachusetts in the midst of a Florida/Georgia sandwich is not a shocker, however, scoring 17 points against the Minutemen defense is not a good sign for team who is 6-20 ATS at home games vs. foes permitting up 17 or less PPG. Georgia has established itself as the second-best in the SEC and thank goodness freshman QB Jacob Fromm believed in himself with Jacob Eason injured. The Bulldogs have punishing offensive line and defensively have taken one element away from each opponent to start 4-0. Georgia is 18-6 ATS away after permitting 14 or fewer points in two contests.

GAME TRENDS• GEORGIA is 18-7 ATS(L25G) on ROAD - Against good teams with 70%+ winning pct(CS)• TENNESSEE is 4-21 ATS(L25G) at HOME - Against elite defensive teams yielding less than 4.4 yards

per play(CS)• TENNESSEE is 9-2 OVER(L3Y) - Against good teams with 70%+ winning pct(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSGEORGIA (7) RESULTS TENNESSEE RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS MISSISSIPPI ST - 2.5 49.5 31-3 W W U 09-23 VS MASSACHUSETTS -28 58 17-13 W L U 09-16 VS SAMFORD -33.5 57 42-14 W L U 09-16 at FLORIDA + 7 50.5 20-26 L W U 09-09 at NOTRE DAME + 5.5 57 20-19 W W U 09-09 VS INDIANA ST -37.5 NL 42-7 W L - 09-02 VS APPALACHIAN ST -11.5 46.5 31-10 W W U 09-04 ** GEORGIA TECH - 4 53.5 42-41 W L O




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COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS(181) NORTH TEXAS [SU:2-2 | ATS:2-2] AT (182) SOUTHERN MISS (-9.5 | 61.5) [SU:2-1 | ATS:3-0]

SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 7:00 PM - ROBERTS STADIUM (HATTIESBURG, MS)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF NORTH TEXAS 37.8 24 37-226 [6.1] 32-20-277 [8.6] 13.3 35.5 20 40-124 [3.1] 36-19-273 [7.5] 11.2 -1 +2.3 SOUTHERN MISS 30.0 23 43-179 [4.1] 35-20-280 [8.1] 15.3 13.7 11 33-119 [3.7] 24-11-122 [5.0] 17.6 -1 +16.3

GAME TRENDS• SOUTHERN MISS is 9-2 ATS(L3Y) - In September

SEASON GAME LOGSNORTH TEXAS RESULTS SOUTHERN MISS RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS UAB -10.5 60 46-43 W L O 09-16 at LA MONROE - 7 54.5 28-17 W W U 09-16 at IOWA +19.5 51.5 14-31 L W U 09-09 VS SOUTHERN U -31 NL 45-0 W W - 09-09 at SMU +11.5 64.5 32-54 L L O 09-02 VS KENTUCKY + 9 57 17-24 L W U 09-02 VS LAMAR -17.5 54 59-14 W W O

(183) S ALABAMA [SU:1-3 | ATS:2-2] AT (184) LOUISIANA TECH (-14 | 57.5) [SU:2-2 | ATS:2-2]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 7:00 PM on ESPN3 - JOE AILLET STADIUM (RUSTON, LA)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF S ALABAMA 25.5 18 38-153 [4.1] 23-13-175 [7.4] 12.9 30.0 22 32-121 [3.7] 36-24-286 [8.0] 13.6 +2 -4.5 LOUISIANA TECH 28.0 20 36-144 [4.0] 34-19-256 [7.5] 14.3 30.0 22 36-188 [5.2] 32-20-227 [7.0] 13.8 -2 -2.0

GAME TRENDS• LOUISIANA TECH is 11-2 OVER(L2Y) - Against tough-luck defenses allowing less than 16.7 yards

per point(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSS ALABAMA RESULTS LOUISIANA TECH RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS IDAHO - 6.5 53 23-29 L L U 09-23 at SOUTH CAROLINA + 9.5 50 16-17 L W U 09-16 VS ALABAMA A&M -36 50.5 45-0 W W U 09-16 at W KENTUCKY + 4 61.5 23-22 W W U 09-08 VS OKLAHOMA ST +28 67.5 7-44 L L U 09-09 VS MISSISSIPPI ST +10 66.5 21-57 L L O 09-02 at MISSISSIPPI +21.5 59.5 27-47 L W O 09-02 VS NORTHWESTERN ST -40 71 52-24 W L O

(185) MIAMI OHIO [SU:2-2 | ATS:1-3] AT (186) NOTRE DAME (-22.5 | 53.5) [SU:3-1 | ATS:3-1]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 5:00 PM on NBCSN - NOTRE DAME STADIUM (SOUTH BEND, IN)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF MIAMI OHIO 26.2 19 41-132 [3.2] 29-15-220 [7.5] 13.4 19.0 17 34-119 [3.5] 32-19-192 [5.9] 16.4 +3 +7.2 NOTRE DAME (22) 38.8 21 43-293 [6.8] 29-15-166 [5.7] 11.8 18.5 20 39-151 [3.9] 39-23-236 [6.0] 20.9 +4 +20.3

GAME TRENDS• MIAMI OH is 11-1-1 UNDER(L5Y) - Against strong rushing teams averaging more than 4.7 yards

per carry(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSMIAMI OHIO RESULTS NOTRE DAME (22) RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 at C MICHIGAN PK 51 31-14 W W U 09-23 at MICHIGAN ST - 3.5 54.5 38-18 W W O 09-16 VS CINCINNATI - 3.5 49 17-21 L L U 09-16 at BOSTON COLLEGE -14 54 49-20 W W O 09-09 VS AUSTIN PEAY -34.5 NL 31-10 W L - 09-09 VS GEORGIA - 5.5 57 19-20 L L U 09-02 at MARSHALL - 4 48.5 26-31 L L O 09-02 VS TEMPLE -20 55.5 49-16 W W O

(187) MIDDLE TENN ST [SU:2-2 | ATS:2-2] AT (188) FLA ATLANTIC (-2.5 | 58.5) [SU:1-3 | ATS:2-2]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 7:00 PM - FAU FOOTBALL STADIUM (BOCCA RATON, FL)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF MIDDLE TENN ST 15.8 18 29-108 [3.7] 35-22-227 [6.4] 21.2 24.5 18 40-105 [2.6] 31-20-221 [7.1] 13.3 -7 -8.7 FLA ATLANTIC 27.2 20 38-212 [5.5] 28-16-189 [6.7] 14.7 26.8 22 53-259 [4.9] 22-12-157 [7.0] 15.5 +1 +0.4

GAME TRENDS• FL ATLANTIC is 1-10 ATS(L5Y) - as favorite of 7 or less points

SEASON GAME LOGSMIDDLE TENN ST RESULTS FLA ATLANTIC RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS BOWLING GREEN - 7.5 54 24-13 W W U 09-23 at BUFFALO PK 59 31-34 L L O 09-16 at MINNESOTA +14 50 3-34 L L U 09-16 VS BETHUNE-COOKMAN -21 60 45-0 W W U 09-09 at SYRACUSE + 7.5 72 30-23 W W U 09-09 at WISCONSIN +34.5 60 14-31 L W U 09-02 VS VANDERBILT + 2.5 58.5 6-28 L L U 09-01 VS NAVY + 8.5 64.5 19-42 L L U





42




COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS(189) MISSISSIPPI ST [SU:3-1 | ATS:3-1] AT (190) AUBURN (-10 | 48) [SU:3-1 | ATS:1-3]

SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 6:00 PM on ESPN - JORDAN-HARE STADIUM (AUBURN, AL)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF MISSISSIPPI ST (24) 36.5 22 44-267 [6.1] 28-16-172 [6.2] 12.0 14.8 12 40-126 [3.2] 20-9-129 [6.5] 17.2 +1 +21.7 AUBURN (13) 30.5 21 48-199 [4.2] 27-19-211 [7.8] 13.4 11.2 15 37-98 [2.6] 28-17-139 [5.0] 21.2 -1 +19.3

This SEC showdown will dictate what kind of October both teams could likely have. While Nick Fitzgerald is a good quarterback, when faced against a defense that could slow the running game on the road, it was evident Mississippi State’s receivers has issues creating separation. Auburn is capable of doing the same thing to the Bulldogs and the visitor is 6-17 ATS on the road after posting 125 or less passing yards. The Tigers needed to get offense untracked and Missouri was the perfect opponent to give them their wish. Mississippi State will not be as accommodating, however, as Auburn is 12-4 ATS off a big offensive showing in which they scored 42 or more points.

GAME TRENDS• AUBURN is 18-6-1 ATS(L25G) at HOME - VS AP top 25• MISSISSIPPI ST is 4-11 ATS(S2000) - VS higher ranked team• AUBURN is 12-0 UNDER(L3Y) - Against decent teams outscoring opponents by more than 7

points per game(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSMISSISSIPPI ST (24) RESULTS AUBURN (13) RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 at GEORGIA + 2.5 49.5 3-31 L L U 09-23 at MISSOURI -18.5 61 51-14 W W O 09-16 VS LSU + 7.5 53.5 37-7 W W U 09-16 VS MERCER -41 51.5 24-10 W L U 09-09 at LOUISIANA TECH -10 66.5 57-21 W W O 09-09 at CLEMSON + 6 55.5 6-14 L L U 09-02 VS CHARLESTON SOUTHERN -21.5 62.5 49-0 W W U 09-02 VS GEORGIA SOUTHERN -35 58 41-7 W L U

(191) NORTH CAROLINA [SU:1-3 | ATS:1-3] AT (192) GEORGIA TECH (-9.5 | 60.5) [SU:2-1 | ATS:3-0]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 12:00 PM on ESPN2 - BOBBY DODD STADIUM AT GRANT FIELD (ATLANTA, GA)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF NORTH CAROLINA 33.8 22 37-152 [4.1] 35-22-280 [8.0] 12.8 33.0 22 39-176 [4.5] 36-20-293 [8.2] 14.2 -1 +0.8 GEORGIA TECH 37.7 25 67-394 [5.8] 8-5-93 [11.7] 12.9 23.0 14 27-100 [3.8] 29-17-164 [5.7] 11.5 -2 +14.7

GAME TRENDS• GEORGIA TECH is 8-2-1 UNDER(S2000) at HOME - Before playing on thursday

SEASON GAME LOGSNORTH CAROLINA RESULTS GEORGIA TECH RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS DUKE - 2.5 61 17-27 L L U 09-23 VS PITTSBURGH - 7.5 55 35-17 W W U 09-16 at OLD DOMINION -11 56.5 53-23 W W O 09-09 VS JACKSONVILLE ST -14.5 NL 37-10 W W - 09-09 VS LOUISVILLE +11.5 65.5 35-47 L L O 09-04 ** TENNESSEE + 4 53.5 41-42 L W O 09-02 VS CALIFORNIA -13 56.5 30-35 L L O





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COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS(193) CLEMSON (-7 | 51.5) [SU:4-0 | ATS:3-1] AT (194) VIRGINIA TECH [SU:4-0 | ATS:3-1]

SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 8:00 PM on ABC - WORSHAM FIELD/LANE STADIUM (BLACKSBURG, VA)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF CLEMSON (2) 37.8 26 46-273 [5.9] 31-21-238 [7.6] 13.5 9.2 13 37-92 [2.5] 26-12-134 [5.2] 24.6 -2 +28.6 VIRGINIA TECH (12) 40.0 25 48-218 [4.5] 30-19-289 [9.6] 12.7 10.2 15 34-108 [3.2] 32-14-203 [6.4] 30.5 +5 +29.8

Though Miami might argue, this is a matchup of the current best two teams in the ACC. Clemson woke up late to dismiss Boston College and that will not work against Virginia Tech, who has retooled offense quicker than expected and it is given Lane Stadium will be rocking. The Tigers are battle tested and 11-0 in away games the last three years (though 5-9 ATS since 2014 as favorites) and will be ready. After beating West Virginia and having drowsy first quarter against East Carolina, the Hokies have scored 127 points in past three outings and not give up a point in 11 of 12 quarters. Is Virginia Tech back, we find out Saturday and they are 4-1 ATS as ACC home dogs.

GAME TRENDS• VIRGINIA TECH is 9-3 ATS(L3Y) - Against high-scoring teams averaging 32 PPG or more(CS)• CLEMSON is 7-17-1 ATS(L25G) on ROAD - as favorite of 7 or less points• CLEMSON is 7-2 UNDER(L3Y) - In September

SEASON GAME LOGSCLEMSON (2) RESULTS VIRGINIA TECH (12) RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS BOSTON COLLEGE -33 53 34-7 W L U 09-23 VS OLD DOMINION -29 53.5 38-0 W W U 09-16 at LOUISVILLE - 3.5 62 47-21 W W O 09-16 at EAST CAROLINA -27 60 64-17 W W O 09-09 VS AUBURN - 6 55.5 14-6 W W U 09-09 VS DELAWARE -39.5 NL 27-0 W L - 09-02 VS KENT ST -37.5 52 56-3 W W O 09-03 ** WEST VIRGINIA - 5 54 31-24 W W O

(195) AIR FORCE [SU:1-2 | ATS:2-1] AT (196) NEW MEXICO (-1 | 50.5) [SU:2-2 | ATS:2-2]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 7:00 PM on CBSSN - DREAMSTYLE STADIUM (ALBUQUERQUE, NM)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF AIR FORCE 33.0 20 59-282 [4.8] 10-4-96 [9.9] 11.5 19.0 14 37-144 [3.9] 19-11-130 [6.7] 14.4 +1 +14.0 NEW MEXICO 24.0 21 47-243 [5.2] 21-12-166 [7.7] 17.0 21.2 17 27-97 [3.5] 39-24-236 [6.0] 15.7 -5 +2.8

GAME TRENDS• NEW MEXICO is 12-4 OVER(L5Y) at HOME - Conference games

SEASON GAME LOGSAIR FORCE RESULTS NEW MEXICO RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS SAN DIEGO ST - 1 49.5 24-28 L L O 09-23 at TULSA + 7.5 69 16-13 W W U 09-16 at MICHIGAN +23 52.5 13-29 L W U 09-14 at BOISE ST +16.5 56 14-28 L W U 09-02 VS VMI -34.5 55 62-0 W W O 09-09 VS NEW MEXICO ST - 7.5 68.5 28-30 L L U 09-02 VS ABILENE CHRISTIAN -34 67.5 38-14 W L U






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COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS(197) OLE MISS [SU:2-1 | ATS:0-3] AT (198) ALABAMA (-27.5 | 59) [SU:4-0 | ATS:2-2]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 9:00 PM on ESPN - BRYANT-DENNY STADIUM (TUSCALOOSA, AL)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF OLE MISS 36.0 22 25-70 [2.8] 41-29-427 [10.5] 13.8 25.7 21 40-184 [4.6] 32-18-185 [5.8] 14.4 -2 +10.3 ALABAMA (1) 41.2 25 46-303 [6.5] 23-15-179 [7.7] 11.7 10.0 14 26-70 [2.7] 33-18-178 [5.3] 24.8 +8 +31.2

Ole Miss is 3-0 ATS and has covered four of five against Alabama. That was when Hugh Freeze was head coach and since he has been unceremoniously fired, the Crimson Tide should roll against Rebels crew who lost at California 27-16 as 4.5-point favorites. The one chance Mississippi has to cover the number, forget winning, is QB Shea Patterson. What everyone will wonder is can the Ole Miss offensive line hold up under the duress they will face? Nick Saban will not say a word, yet does it make sense to think he would love to see Bama maul Mississippi and punish them for recruiting misdeeds that gave them edge? When listed as 20+ point SEC chalk, the Tide is 15-5 ATS the last decade.

GAME TRENDS• MISSISSIPPI is 11-2 ATS(S2000) on ROAD - VS AP top 10• ALABAMA is 2-9 ATS(L3Y) at HOME - Against decent passing teams averaging more than 7.5

yards per attempt(CS)• MISSISSIPPI is 11-1 UNDER(L5Y) on ROAD - Against good teams with 60%+ winning pct(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSOLE MISS RESULTS ALABAMA (1) RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-16 at CALIFORNIA - 6 69.5 16-27 L L U 09-23 at VANDERBILT -19.5 43.5 59-0 W W O 09-09 VS TENNESSEE-MARTIN -33.5 NL 45-23 W L - 09-16 VS COLORADO ST -31 55.5 41-23 W L O 09-02 VS S ALABAMA -21.5 59.5 47-27 W L O 09-09 VS FRESNO ST -42 55 41-10 W L U 09-02 ** FLORIDA ST - 7.5 50.5 24-7 W W U

(199) OKLAHOMA ST (-10.5 | 81) [SU:3-1 | ATS:3-1] AT (200) TEXAS TECH [SU:3-0 | ATS:2-0-1]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 8:00 PM on FOX - JONES AT&T STADIUM (LUBBOCK, TX)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF OKLAHOMA ST (15) 48.2 27 35-175 [5.0] 36-24-405 [11.1] 12.0 24.0 22 43-156 [3.6] 32-19-209 [6.4] 15.2 -1 +24.2 TEXAS TECH 45.0 27 34-150 [4.4] 43-32-438 [10.1] 13.1 26.3 24 37-120 [3.2] 43-27-288 [6.7] 15.5 +7 +18.7

Thought to be among college football’s elite, Oklahoma State was whipped at home by a better TCU team. In order to reach the Big 12 title game, it would seem the Cowboys would have to run the table, which given last Saturday’s outcome will not be as easy as it appeared, still having a pedestrian defense. In the last eight meetings, Okie State is 6-2 ATS against the Red Raiders. Maybe we will be fooled again, but Texas Tech as least to this point has shown better defensively in 3-0 start. They are allowing only 3.2 yards a carry, but those have come against weak running teams and this will be a test to their defensive improvement with still potent offense.

GAME TRENDS• OKLAHOMA ST is 8-3 ATS(L2Y) - VS Non-ranked team• TEXAS TECH is 5-14 ATS(L5Y) - Against good teams with 70%+ winning pct(CS)• TEXAS TECH is 15-2 OVER(L5Y) - Against strong rushing teams averaging more than 4.7 yards per

carry(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSOKLAHOMA ST (15) RESULTS TEXAS TECH RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS TCU - 9.5 66 31-44 L L O 09-23 at HOUSTON + 7 68.5 27-24 W W U 09-16 at PITTSBURGH -10.5 66.5 59-21 W W O 09-16 VS ARIZONA ST - 7 73.5 52-45 W P O 09-08 at S ALABAMA -28 67.5 44-7 W W U 09-02 VS E WASHINGTON -12.5 87.5 56-10 W W U 08-31 VS TULSA -17.5 70 59-24 W W O




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COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS(201) ARIZONA ST [SU:2-2 | ATS:1-2-1] AT (202) STANFORD (-16.5 | 63.5) [SU:2-2 | ATS:2-2]

SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 4:00 PM on PAC12 - STANFORD STADIUM (STANFORD, CA)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF ARIZONA ST 34.8 21 42-108 [2.6] 36-24-323 [9.0] 12.4 37.0 23 33-155 [4.7] 40-26-324 [8.0] 12.9 +1 -2.2 STANFORD 40.2 19 32-259 [8.0] 27-15-188 [6.9] 11.1 25.8 22 37-185 [4.9] 35-23-269 [7.8] 17.6 +4 +14.4

GAME TRENDS• STANFORD is 19-6 ATS(L25G) - Against lesser rushing teams averaging less than 3.6 yards per

carry(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSARIZONA ST RESULTS STANFORD RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS OREGON +14 75 37-35 W W U 09-23 VS UCLA - 7 60 58-34 W W O 09-16 at TEXAS TECH + 7 73.5 45-52 L P O 09-16 at SAN DIEGO ST - 8 48.5 17-20 L L U 09-09 VS SAN DIEGO ST - 2.5 54 20-30 L L U 09-09 at USC + 4.5 54.5 24-42 L L O 08-31 VS NEW MEXICO ST -23.5 70 37-31 W L U 08-26 ** RICE -31 50.5 62-7 W W O

(203) NEVADA [SU:0-4 | ATS:1-3] AT (204) FRESNO ST (-10.5 | 59) [SU:1-2 | ATS:3-0]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 10:00 PM - BULLDOG STADIUM (FRESNO, CA)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF NEVADA 19.8 20 32-129 [4.0] 34-17-196 [5.7] 16.4 35.8 26 45-130 [2.9] 38-26-339 [8.9] 13.1 -6 -16.0FRESNO ST 30.7 21 31-125 [4.0] 38-23-275 [7.2] 13.0 29.7 19 32-130 [4.1] 29-20-225 [7.8] 12.0 +2 +1.0

GAME TRENDS• NEVADA is 9-2 UNDER(L3Y) on ROAD - VS Non-ranked team

SEASON GAME LOGSNEVADA RESULTS FRESNO ST RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 at WASHINGTON ST +28.5 65.5 7-45 L L U 09-16 at WASHINGTON +34 56.5 16-48 L W O 09-16 VS IDAHO ST -32.5 58.5 28-30 L L U 09-09 at ALABAMA +42 55 10-41 L W U 09-09 VS TOLEDO +11 69 24-37 L L U 09-02 VS INCARNATE WORD -34.5 56.5 66-0 W W O 09-02 at NORTHWESTERN +24 60 20-31 L W U

(205) N ILLINOIS [SU:2-1 | ATS:3-0] AT (206) SAN DIEGO ST (-12.5 | 44.5) [SU:4-0 | ATS:3-1]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 10:30 PM on CBSSN - QUALCOMM STADIUM (SAN DIEGO, CA)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF N ILLINOIS 26.3 19 38-160 [4.2] 32-18-200 [6.2] 13.7 16.7 18 44-98 [2.2] 40-22-206 [5.1] 18.2 +2 +9.6 SAN DIEGO ST (19) 29.0 20 46-228 [4.9] 21-14-169 [7.9] 13.7 19.5 13 35-124 [3.5] 21-12-163 [7.9] 14.7 +5 +9.5

GAME TRENDS• N ILLINOIS is 10-2 ATS(L5Y) on ROAD - As underdog

SEASON GAME LOGSN ILLINOIS RESULTS SAN DIEGO ST (19) RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-16 at NEBRASKA +10.5 56.5 21-17 W W U 09-23 at AIR FORCE + 1 49.5 28-24 W W O 09-09 VS E ILLINOIS -14.5 NL 38-10 W W - 09-16 VS STANFORD + 8 48.5 20-17 W W U 09-01 VS BOSTON COLLEGE + 4 46.5 20-23 L W U 09-09 at ARIZONA ST + 2.5 54 30-20 W W U 09-02 VS UC-DAVIS -35 55 38-17 W L P

(207) COLORADO ST (-7 | 69) [SU:2-2 | ATS:2-2] AT (208) HAWAII [SU:2-2 | ATS:2-2]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 11:59 PM - ALOHA STADIUM (HONOLULU, HI)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF COLORADO ST 30.5 26 38-173 [4.5] 41-24-307 [7.5] 15.7 23.8 21 33-149 [4.5] 35-22-256 [7.2] 17.0 0 +6.7 HAWAII 30.8 22 41-215 [5.3] 35-22-265 [7.5] 15.6 34.2 21 36-159 [4.4] 31-19-258 [8.4] 12.2 -1 -3.4

GAME TRENDS• HAWAII is 7-1 OVER(L5Y) at HOME - Against inefficient offenses averaging more than 15.3 yards

per point(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSCOLORADO ST RESULTS HAWAII RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-16 at ALABAMA +31 55.5 23-41 L W O 09-23 at WYOMING + 5.5 54 21-28 L L U 09-09 VS ABILENE CHRISTIAN -42.5 NL 38-10 W L - 09-09 at UCLA +23.5 62 23-56 L L O 09-01 ** COLORADO + 3 68.5 3-17 L L U 09-02 VS W CAROLINA -19.5 47.5 41-18 W W O 08-26 VS OREGON ST - 4 58.5 58-27 W W O 08-26 at MASSACHUSETTS PK 62.5 38-35 W W O





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COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS(209) MEMPHIS [SU:3-0 | ATS:1-2] AT (210) UCF (-3.5 | 71) [SU:2-0 | ATS:2-0]SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 7:00 PM on ESPN2 - SPECTRUM STADIUM (ORLANDO, FL)

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF MEMPHIS 43.0 22 37-219 [5.9] 33-18-261 [7.8] 11.2 35.0 26 40-140 [3.5] 47-28-344 [7.3] 13.8 +3 +8.0 UCF 49.5 24 42-199 [4.7] 31-22-308 [9.8] 10.2 13.5 15 31-88 [2.8] 29-17-178 [6.0] 19.7 +4 +36.0

This is makeup AAC clash from earlier postponement and thank goodness it was not cancelled, since it should be one of the best games in the conference this season. After win over UCLA, Memphis did what was needed to defeat Southern Illinois, setting up this showdown. The Tigers are creative offensively and are scoring 43 PPG. Their potential downfall is defense, permitting 35 PPG and historically, this weakness is why they are 0-9 (4-5 ATS) versus Central Florida. Hope Knights’ fans appreciate what coach Scott Frost is doing, because he will be in Nebraska next season. This is underrated club that plays defense and can run the ball and has improved passing attack. Memphis is 3-12 ATS after scoring 37+ points in two straight outings.

GAME TRENDS• UCF is 10-4 ATS(L2Y) - VS Non-ranked team• MEMPHIS is 5-16 ATS(S2000) on ROAD - Against opportunistic offenses averaging less than 12.35

yards per point(CS)• UCF is 9-2-1 UNDER(L5Y) at HOME - Against tough-luck defenses allowing less than 16.7 yards

per point(CS)

SEASON GAME LOGSMEMPHIS RESULTS UCF RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU09-23 VS S ILLINOIS -29.5 73.5 44-31 W L O 09-23 at MARYLAND + 4.5 61.5 38-10 W W U 09-16 VS UCLA + 3 71 48-45 W W O 08-31 VS FLORIDA INTL -17 56 61-17 W W O 08-31 VS LA MONROE -25.5 64 37-29 W L O




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COLLEGE FOOTBALL TOP WEEKLY TRENDSTEAMS TO PLAY ON TEAMS TO PLAY AGAINST

54.6% ROI

30.3% ROI

48.5% ROI

33.7% ROI

GAMES TO PLAY OVER

54.6% ROI

24.7% ROI

56.7% ROI

37.5% ROI

37.8% ROI

37.9% ROI

GAMES TO PLAY UNDER

29.8% ROI

45.1% ROI

(105) MIAMI FL AT (106) DUKEDUKE is 17-4 ATS(L5Y) - Against big play passing teams averaging more than 8.3 yards per attempt(CS)( $1260 Profit with a 54.6% ROI )

(141) MARYLAND AT (142) MINNESOTAMINNESOTA is 22-10-1 ATS(L5Y) - VS BIG10( $1100 Profit with a 30.3% ROI )

(205) N ILLINOIS AT (206) SAN DIEGO STN ILLINOIS is 21-6 ATS(L5Y) on ROAD - All Games( $1440 Profit with a 48.5% ROI )

(171) NEW MEXICO ST AT (172) ARKANSASNEW MEXICO ST is 31-13-1 OVER(L5Y) - As underdog( $1670 Profit with a 33.7% ROI )

(135) HOUSTON AT (136) TEMPLEHOUSTON is 17-4 OVER(L25G) - Against inept offensive teams averaging less than 4.5 yards per play(CS)( $1260 Profit with a 54.6% ROI )

(173) SAN JOSE ST AT (174) UNLVUNLV is 32-17 OVER(L5Y) - All Games( $1330 Profit with a 24.7% ROI )

(187) MIDDLE TENN ST AT (188) FLA ATLANTICFL ATLANTIC is 4-20-1 ATS(L25G) - As favorite( $1560 Profit with a 56.7% ROI )

(165) COASTAL CAROLINA AT (166) LA MONROELA MONROE is 7-18 ATS(L25G) - AT MALONE STADIUM( $1030 Profit with a 37.5% ROI )

(159) COLORADO AT (160) UCLAUCLA is 6-17-2 ATS(L25G) - Against strong defensive teams allowing less than 20 PPG(CS)( $1040 Profit with a 37.8% ROI )

(103) TEXAS AT (104) IOWA STTEXAS is 26-10 UNDER(L5Y) - VS BIG12( $1500 Profit with a 37.9% ROI )

(111) USC AT (112) WASHINGTON STUSC is 26-12-1 UNDER(L5Y) - VS PAC12( $1280 Profit with a 29.8% ROI )

(143) OHIO ST AT (144) RUTGERSRUTGERS is 19-6 UNDER(L25G) - Against big play passing teams averaging more than 8.3 yards per attempt(CS)( $1240 Profit with a 45.1% ROI )

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For the most part, teams in college football have four games to their record at this point. It is typically about this time that you can begin trusting some of the important team statistics you see, particularly those that utilize a team’s strength of schedule heavily. That is what I personally do in building my Effective Strength Ratings, those used in the Strength Indicators pages in each issue of the Weekly.

In this specific feature article, I am going to analyze the current Top 25 AP Poll for Week 5 and compare it to how the current Effective Strength indicators see the teams. These Effective Strength Ratings give a good idea of how teams are performing against the collective group of teams they have faced. I have them rated on both straight up points per game differential, and in yards per play differential. You will see that this could be a good weekend to take advantage of teams that may be over- or under-rated, as that is the

essence of finding good value in sports betting.

POTENTIALLY OVERRATED TEAMSThe first list is teams that are rated definitively higher in the current AP Poll than they are in the statistics. I would consider these teams potentially overrated.• USC - AP Rank: #5, Effective PPG Rank: #16, Effective YPP Rank: #10• GEORGIA - AP Rank: #7, Effective PPG Rank: #10, Effective YPP Rank: #11• MICHIGAN - AP Rank: #8, Effective PPG Rank: #18, Effective YPP Rank: #15• TCU - AP Rank: #9, Effective PPG Rank: #13, Effective YPP Rank: #34• VIRGINIA TECH - AP Rank: #12, Effective PPG Rank: #20, Effective YPP Rank: #42• AUBURN - AP Rank: #13, Effective PPG Rank: #24, Effective YPP Rank: #28• MIAMI FL - AP Rank: #14, Effective PPG Rank: #46, Effective YPP Rank: #19• WASHINGTON ST - AP Rank: #16, Effective PPG Rank: #23, Effective YPP Rank: #32• SOUTH FLORIDA - AP Rank: #18, Effective PPG Rank: #34, Effective YPP Rank: #58• SAN DIEGO ST - AP Rank: #19, Effective PPG Rank: #40, Effective YPP Rank: #35• UTAH - AP Rank: #20, Effective PPG Rank: #38, Effective YPP Rank: #39• FLORIDA - AP Rank: #21, Effective PPG Rank: #45, Effective YPP Rank: #30• WEST VIRGINIA - AP Rank: #23, Effective PPG Rank: #42, Effective YPP Rank: #84

POTENTIALLY UNDERRATED TEAMSThe next list is teams that are rated definitively higher in the Effective Strength statistics than in the current AP Poll. I would consider these teams potentially underrated.• OKLAHOMA ST - AP Rank: #15, Effective PPG Rank: #9, Effective YPP Rank: #2• LOUISVILLE - AP Rank: #17, Effective PPG Rank: #32, Effective YPP Rank: #6• NOTRE DAME - AP Rank: #22, Effective PPG Rank: #12, Effective YPP Rank: #21• MISSISSIPPI ST - AP Rank: #24, Effective PPG Rank: #6, Effective YPP Rank: #12

AP TOP 25 TEAMS RATED ACCURATELYThe following list is teams that are rated relatively similarly in the Effective Strength statistics and the current AP Poll. I would consider these teams rated accurately.• ALABAMA - AP Rank: #1, Effective PPG Rank: #1, Effective YPP Rank: #3• CLEMSON - AP Rank: #2, Effective PPG Rank: #2, Effective YPP Rank: #5• OKLAHOMA - AP Rank: #3, Effective PPG Rank: #7, Effective YPP Rank: #1• PENN ST - AP Rank: #4, Effective PPG Rank: #3, Effective YPP Rank: #7• WASHINGTON - AP Rank: #6, Effective PPG Rank: #5, Effective YPP Rank: #9• WISCONSIN - AP Rank: #10, Effective PPG Rank: #8, Effective YPP Rank: #20• OHIO ST - AP Rank: #11, Effective PPG Rank: #11, Effective YPP Rank: #8• LSU - AP Rank: #25, Effective PPG Rank: #28, Effective YPP Rank: #22

POTENTIAL SLEEPER TEAMS NOT RANKED IN AP POLLThe final list is teams that are not ranked in the AP Week 5 Top 25 Poll but are definitely good enough to be there when considering their Effective Strength statistics. I would consider these teams as potential sleepers.• TEXAS TECH - AP Rank: NONE, Effective PPG Rank: #15, Effective YPP Rank: #4• STANFORD - AP Rank: NONE, Effective PPG Rank: #19, Effective YPP Rank: #14• OREGON - AP Rank: NONE, Effective PPG Rank: #17, Effective YPP Rank: #18• UCF - AP Rank: NONE, Effective PPG Rank: #4, Effective YPP Rank: #27

ANALYZING POTENTIAL OVER & UNDER RATED TEAMS IN THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL AP TOP 25


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AP Eff. Nat'l Eff. Nat'l AP Eff. Nat'l Eff. Nat'lTeam Rank PPG+/- Rank YPP+/- Rank Team Rank PPG+/- Rank YPP+/- RankAIR FORCE 20.9 44 1.37 69 MISSOURI -2.2 109 2.26 31AKRON -5.4 114 -1.4 127 N ILLINOIS 14.2 69 1.91 44ALABAMA 1 49.6 1 4.91 3 NAVY 18.3 54 2.07 39APPALACHIAN ST 9.4 81 1.45 65 NC STATE 24.9 31 1.84 47ARIZONA 25.1 30 1.53 61 NEBRASKA 14.4 68 1.11 78ARIZONA ST 15.1 63 1.12 76 NEVADA -5.6 115 0.34 99ARKANSAS 12.7 73 1.64 55 NEW MEXICO 3.7 97 1.13 75ARKANSAS ST -1.6 108 -0.65 118 NEW MEXICO ST 9.4 80 1.5 62ARMY 14.9 64 0.06 105 NORTH CAROLINA 17.3 56 1.74 51AUBURN 13 29.5 24 2.79 28 NORTH TEXAS 2.7 100 2.14 33BALL ST 4.1 95 -0.18 112 NORTHWESTERN 15.4 61 1.95 43BAYLOR 8.9 83 1.85 46 NOTRE DAME 22 36.3 12 3.28 21BOISE ST 13.4 71 1.61 57 OHIO ST 11 36.4 11 4.3 8BOSTON COLLEGE 6.2 88 0.64 89 OHIO U 10.2 77 0.15 102BOWLING GREEN -9.5 120 -0.74 119 OKLAHOMA 3 39.4 7 5.84 1BUFFALO 8.8 84 1.56 60 OKLAHOMA ST 15 38.8 9 5.19 2BYU 5.3 92 0.46 97 OLD DOMINION -0.1 105 0.06 106C MICHIGAN -5.1 112 -0.58 117 OLE MISS 15.3 62 3.06 26CALIFORNIA 22.3 37 2.02 41 OREGON 33.3 17 3.45 18CHARLOTTE -19.9 129 -0.79 121 OREGON ST -8.7 118 0.78 85CINCINNATI 3.4 98 -0.49 116 PENN ST 4 40.6 3 4.33 6CLEMSON 2 42.3 2 4.49 5 PITTSBURGH 8 86 0.17 101COASTAL CAR -12.2 125 -1.05 126 PURDUE 25.6 29 2.03 40COLORADO 18.5 53 1.42 67 RICE -12.3 126 -0.79 120COLORADO ST 17.6 55 1.44 66 RUTGERS 12.9 72 0.58 93CONNECTICUT -6.8 116 -1.02 124 S ALABAMA 0.8 104 -0.04 108DUKE 34.8 14 1.78 48 SAN DIEGO ST 19 22 40 2.11 35E MICHIGAN 5.4 91 0.54 95 SAN JOSE ST -15.1 127 -0.1 110EAST CAROLINA -12.2 124 0.04 107 SMU 21.4 41 1.13 74FLA ATLANTIC 7.1 87 1.24 71 SOUTH CAROLINA 19 52 2.08 37FLA INT'L -11.7 121 0.07 104 SOUTH FLORIDA 18 23.6 34 1.6 58FLORIDA 21 20.8 45 2.54 30 SOUTHERN MISS 16.3 60 1.63 56FLORIDA ST 20.9 43 3.76 13 STANFORD 32 19 3.73 14FRESNO ST 14.7 66 1.58 59 SYRACUSE 14.5 67 0.56 94GA SOUTHERN -11.7 122 -1.02 125 TCU 9 35.3 13 2.12 34GEORGIA 7 36.5 10 3.8 11 TEMPLE 0.9 102 -0.27 113GEORGIA ST -9.2 119 -1.59 128 TENNESSEE 19.1 51 1.17 72GEORGIA TECH 30.2 21 3.52 17 TEXAS 26.2 27 1.71 52HAWAII 0.8 103 0.59 91 TEXAS A&M 17 57 0.77 86HOUSTON 23.3 35 1.66 54 TEXAS ST UNIV -11.7 123 -0.81 122IDAHO -2.6 110 0.49 96 TEXAS TECH 34.5 15 4.6 4ILLINOIS 9.5 79 0.73 87 TOLEDO 12.1 74 0.93 80INDIANA 23.9 33 1.67 53 TROY 2.4 101 1.11 79IOWA 23.3 36 1.45 64 TULANE 10.3 76 0.83 82IOWA ST 22.2 39 1.76 49 TULSA 9 82 -0.92 123KANSAS -4.1 111 -0.14 111 TX-SAN ANTONIO 19.4 49 3.06 25KANSAS ST 30.2 22 3.13 23 UAB -5.2 113 -0.39 115KENT ST -17.5 128 -2.36 130 UCF 40.2 4 3 27KENTUCKY 16.9 58 1.16 73 UCLA 19.7 48 3.56 16LA LAFAYETTE -8.1 117 -0.32 114 UNLV -1 106 1.12 77LA MONROE 4.8 94 0.71 88 USC 5 33.5 16 3.9 10LOUISIANA TECH 5.9 90 0.57 92 UTAH 20 22.2 38 2.06 38LOUISVILLE 17 23.9 32 4.4 7 UTAH ST 8.5 85 0.96 81LSU 25 25.9 28 3.27 22 UTEP -22.2 130 -1.89 129MARSHALL 9.7 78 0.83 83 VANDERBILT 14.1 70 1.46 63MARYLAND 19.8 47 2.77 29 VIRGINIA 16.5 59 1.31 70MASSACHUSETTS -1.5 107 0.6 90 VIRGINIA TECH 12 31 20 1.95 42MEMPHIS 14.7 65 2.1 36 W KENTUCKY 5.3 93 -0.09 109MIAMI FL 14 20.4 46 3.39 19 W MICHIGAN 10.5 75 0.12 103MIAMI OHIO 6 89 0.2 100 WAKE FOREST 27.3 26 1.38 68MICHIGAN 8 32.2 18 3.71 15 WASHINGTON 6 39.5 5 4.06 9MICHIGAN ST 19.3 50 3.08 24 WASHINGTON ST 16 29.6 23 2.25 32MIDDLE TENN ST 3.7 96 1.87 45 WEST VIRGINIA 23 21.4 42 0.78 84MINNESOTA 29 25 1.75 50 WISCONSIN 10 39.2 8 3.31 20MISSISSIPPI ST 24 39.4 6 3.77 12 WYOMING 3.1 99 0.35 98

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TOP CFB HEAD TO HEAD TRENDS(103) TEXAS at (104) IOWA ST* HOME TEAMS are on a 4-1 ATS run in the TEX-ISU h2h series

(105) MIAMI FL at (106) DUKE* MIAMI is 5-1 SU & ATS in L6 games vs. Duke

(109) BYU at (110) UTAH ST* ROAD TEAMS are ona 5-1 ATS run in the BYU-USU h2h series* Eight of the L10 games between BYU & Utah State went UNDER the total

(111) USC at (112) WASHINGTON ST* ROAD TEAMS are on a 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS run in the USC-WaSU series

(117) SOUTH FLORIDA at (118) EAST CAROLINA* USF has covered the pointspread in five straight vs. ECU, going 4-1 SU

(121) SYRACUSE at (122) NC STATE* ROAD teams are 4-0 ATS in the h2h games between Syracuse & NC State since ‘13

(125) BALL ST at (126) W MICHIGAN* ROAD TEAMS are on a 9-3 ATS run in the BSU-WMU series since ‘05

(129) AKRON at (130) BOWLING GREEN* BOWLING GREEN has won nine straight games ATS vs Akron, & eight straight outright

(133) BUFFALO at (134) KENT ST* ROAD teams are 9-2 SU & 9-1-1 ATS in the L11 h2h games between Buffalo & Kent St

(139) BAYLOR at (140) KANSAS ST* UNDERDOGS are on an 8-2 ATS surge in the Baylor-Kansas State series

(143) OHIO ST at (144) RUTGERS* OHIO STATE has beaten Rutgers by at least 39 points in L3 h2h games, going 3-0 ATS

(145) IOWA at (146) MICHIGAN ST* Dating back to ‘00, IOWA is on a 10-3 ATS run vs. Michigan State

(147) FLORIDA ST at (148) WAKE FOREST* UNDERDOGS are 9-4 ATS in the FSU-WAKE series since ‘00, but just 2-3 ATS L5

(149) NORTHWESTERN at (150) WISCONSIN* HOME TEAMS are 8-2 ATS in NOR-WIS series since ‘03, but lost b2b seasons

(151) INDIANA at (152) PENN ST* HOME TEAMS are on a 4-1-1 ATS run in the Indiana-Penn State h2h series

(153) NAVY at (154) TULSA* ROAD TEAMS are a perfect 4-0 ATS in the Navy-Tulsa series since ‘04

(159) COLORADO at (160) UCLA* ROAD TEAMS & UNDERDOGS are 6-2 ATS in L8 of COL-UCLA h2h series

(161) CALIFORNIA at (162) OREGON* HOME TEAMS are on a 7-1-1 ATS surge in the Cal-Oregon Pac 12 series

(163) WASHINGTON at (164) OREGON ST* Six of the L8 WAS-OSU h2h games have gone OVER the total

(173) SAN JOSE ST at (174) UNLV* SAN JOSE has swept the four h2h games vs. UNLV since 2013, both SU & ATS

(177) VANDERBILT at (178) FLORIDA* ROAD TEAMS are on a 8-1 ATS run in VAN-FLO series but lost LY* NINE of L12 h2h games between Vanderbilt & Florida went OVER the total

(179) GEORGIA at (180) TENNESSEE* UNDERDOGS have covered five straight pointspreads in GEO-TEN series* OVER the total is 6-1-1 in L8 of GEO-TEN series


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(187) MIDDLE TENN ST at (188) FL ATLANTIC* MTSU has won nine straight vs. FAU and is 7-1 ATS in L8

(189) MISSISSIPPI ST at (190) AUBURN* The L5 & 10 of the L12 games in the MSU-AUB series went UNDER the total

(191) NORTH CAROLINA at (192) GEORGIA TECH* OVER the total has converted in six of the L7 UNC-GT h2h games

(195) AIR FORCE at (196) NEW MEXICO* NEW MEXICO holds a 3-2 SU & 5-0 series edge over Air Force since ‘12

(197) MISSISSIPPI at (198) ALABAMA* OLE MISS has been a thorn in ‘Bama’s side of late, 9-3 ATS since ‘05

(199) OKLAHOMA ST at (200) TEXAS TECH* ROAD teams have gone 6-1 ATS in L7 of OSU-TT series* Five straight games in Oklahoma State & Texas Tech series have gone OVER the total

(201) ARIZONA ST at (202) STANFORD* HOME field advantage has thrived in ASU-Stanford series, hosts are 11-3 ATS since ‘00

(203) NEVADA at (204) FRESNO ST* ROAD TEAMS have won ATS in all of the L6 Nevada-Fresno State matchups

(209) MEMPHIS at (210) UCF* HOME TEAMS are on a 5-game ATS winning streak in MEM-UCF h2h series

(103) TEXAS AT (104) IOWA STGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-10-15 IOWA ST (6) at TEXAS (27) -16.5 69.5 TEXAS HOME FAV UNDER 2015-10-31 TEXAS (0) at IOWA ST (24) +3.5 50.0 IOWA ST HOME DOG UNDER 2014-10-18 IOWA ST (45) at TEXAS (48) -10.5 46.5 IOWA ST ROAD DOG OVER 2013-10-03 TEXAS (31) at IOWA ST (30) +7 54.5 IOWA ST HOME DOG OVER 2012-11-10 IOWA ST (7) at TEXAS (33) -10 53.5 TEXAS HOME FAV UNDER

(105) MIAMI FL AT (106) DUKEGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-11-26 DUKE (21) at MIAMI FL (40) -16 54.5 MIAMI FL HOME FAV OVER 2015-10-31 MIAMI FL (30) at DUKE (27) -10 51.5 MIAMI FL ROAD DOG OVER 2014-09-27 DUKE (10) at MIAMI FL (22) -4 59.0 MIAMI FL HOME FAV UNDER 2013-11-16 MIAMI FL (30) at DUKE (48) +3 64.0 DUKE HOME DOG OVER 2012-11-24 MIAMI FL (52) at DUKE (45) +6 69.0 MIAMI FL ROAD FAV OVER

(107) NEBRASKA AT (108) ILLINOISGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-10-01 ILLINOIS (16) at NEBRASKA (31) -20.5 53.5 ILLINOIS ROAD DOG UNDER 2015-10-03 NEBRASKA (13) at ILLINOIS (14) +3 57.0 ILLINOIS HOME DOG UNDER 2014-09-27 ILLINOIS (14) at NEBRASKA (45) -21 58.5 NEBRASKA HOME FAV OVER 2013-10-05 ILLINOIS (19) at NEBRASKA (39) -8.5 62.5 NEBRASKA HOME FAV UNDER

(109) BYU AT (110) UTAH STGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-11-26 UTAH ST (10) at BYU (28) -17 52.0 BYU HOME FAV UNDER 2015-11-28 BYU (51) at UTAH ST (28) +3 50.5 BYU ROAD FAV OVER 2014-10-03 UTAH ST (35) at BYU (20) -21 53.0 UTAH ST ROAD DOG OVER 2013-10-04 BYU (31) at UTAH ST (14) -5.5 55.5 BYU ROAD DOG UNDER 2012-10-05 UTAH ST (3) at BYU (6) -6.5 45.0 UTAH ST ROAD DOG UNDER

(111) USC AT (112) WASHINGTON STGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2014-11-01 USC (44) at WASHINGTON ST (17) +7 67.5 USC ROAD FAV UNDER 2013-09-07 WASHINGTON ST (10) at USC (7) -16 53.5 WASHINGTON ST ROAD DOG UNDER 2010-09-25 USC (50) at WASHINGTON ST (16) +22 54.5 USC ROAD FAV OVER 2009-09-26 WASHINGTON ST (6) at USC (27) -45.5 57.0 WASHINGTON ST ROAD DOG UNDER 2008-10-18 USC (69) at WASHINGTON ST (0) +42 56.5 USC ROAD FAV OVER

RECENT CFB HEAD TO HEAD HISTORY

TOP CFB HEAD TO HEAD TRENDS

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RECENT CFB HEAD TO HEAD HISTORY(113) CHARLOTTE AT (114) FLORIDA INTLGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-10-15 FLORIDA INTL (27) at CHARLOTTE (26) +1.5 56.0 CHARLOTTE HOME DOG UNDER 2015-11-07 CHARLOTTE (31) at FLORIDA INTL (48) -17 52.0 x x x x x xxxx xxx OVER

(117) SOUTH FLORIDA AT (118) EAST CAROLINAGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-10-08 EAST CAROLINA (22) at SOUTH FLORIDA (38) -14 68.0 SOUTH FLORIDA HOME FAV UNDER 2015-11-07 SOUTH FLORIDA (22) at EAST CAROLINA (17) -5 55.0 SOUTH FLORIDA ROAD DOG UNDER 2014-10-11 EAST CAROLINA (28) at SOUTH FLORIDA (17) +17 57.0 SOUTH FLORIDA HOME DOG UNDER 2006-12-23 * SOUTH FLORIDA (24) at EAST CAROLINA (7) +5 43.0 SOUTH FLORIDA xxxx FAV UNDER 2004-11-13 EAST CAROLINA (17) at SOUTH FLORIDA (41) -15 56.5 SOUTH FLORIDA HOME FAV OVER

(121) SYRACUSE AT (122) NC STATEGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-11-12 NC STATE (35) at SYRACUSE (20) +7.5 62.0 NC STATE ROAD FAV UNDER 2015-11-21 SYRACUSE (29) at NC STATE (42) -18.5 55.5 SYRACUSE ROAD DOG OVER 2014-11-01 NC STATE (24) at SYRACUSE (17) -2.5 53.0 NC STATE ROAD DOG UNDER 2013-10-12 SYRACUSE (24) at NC STATE (10) -6 52.5 SYRACUSE ROAD DOG UNDER

(125) BALL ST AT (126) W MICHIGANGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-11-01 W MICHIGAN (52) at BALL ST (20) +17 64.0 W MICHIGAN ROAD FAV OVER 2015-11-05 BALL ST (7) at W MICHIGAN (54) -15 61.5 W MICHIGAN HOME FAV UNDER 2014-10-11 W MICHIGAN (42) at BALL ST (38) -1 52.5 W MICHIGAN ROAD DOG OVER 2013-10-19 BALL ST (38) at W MICHIGAN (17) +19 58.5 BALL ST ROAD FAV UNDER 2012-10-13 W MICHIGAN (24) at BALL ST (30) -2.5 65.5 BALL ST HOME FAV UNDER

(127) C MICHIGAN AT (128) BOSTON COLLEGEGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2009-10-31 C MICHIGAN (10) at BOSTON COLLEGE (31) -5.5 48.0 BOSTON COLLEGE HOME FAV UNDER 2006-08-31 BOSTON COLLEGE (31) at C MICHIGAN (24) +11 41.0 C MICHIGAN HOME DOG OVER 2002-09-28 C MICHIGAN (0) at BOSTON COLLEGE (43) -20 50.0 BOSTON COLLEGE HOME FAV UNDER

(129) AKRON AT (130) BOWLING GREENGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-11-09 BOWLING GREEN (38) at AKRON (28) -11 73.0 BOWLING GREEN ROAD DOG UNDER 2015-10-17 AKRON (10) at BOWLING GREEN (59) -13 62.5 BOWLING GREEN HOME FAV OVER 2014-11-04 BOWLING GREEN (27) at AKRON (10) -3.5 59.5 BOWLING GREEN ROAD DOG UNDER 2013-09-28 AKRON (14) at BOWLING GREEN (31) -14 53.5 BOWLING GREEN HOME FAV UNDER 2012-10-06 BOWLING GREEN (24) at AKRON (10) +6 61.0 BOWLING GREEN ROAD FAV UNDER

(131) OHIO AT (132) MASSACHUSETTSGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2013-11-29 MASSACHUSETTS (23) at OHIO (51) -19.5 52.5 OHIO HOME FAV OVER 2012-09-29 OHIO (37) at MASSACHUSETTS (34) +23.5 54.5 MASSACHUSETTS HOME DOG OVER

(133) BUFFALO AT (134) KENT STGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-10-08 KENT ST (44) at BUFFALO (20) +3 42.0 KENT ST ROAD FAV OVER 2015-11-05 BUFFALO (18) at KENT ST (17) -1 43.5 BUFFALO ROAD DOG UNDER 2013-10-26 BUFFALO (41) at KENT ST (21) +3 48.5 BUFFALO ROAD FAV OVER 2012-09-19 KENT ST (23) at BUFFALO (7) -3 50.0 KENT ST ROAD DOG UNDER 2009-11-27 BUFFALO (9) at KENT ST (6) +3 49.0 x x x x x xxxx xxx UNDER

(135) HOUSTON AT (136) TEMPLEGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2015-12-05 TEMPLE (13) at HOUSTON (24) -5 53.0 HOUSTON HOME FAV UNDER 2014-10-17 TEMPLE (10) at HOUSTON (31) -9 52.0 HOUSTON HOME FAV UNDER 2013-09-07 HOUSTON (22) at TEMPLE (13) +2.5 67.5 HOUSTON ROAD FAV UNDER

(137) MARSHALL AT (138) CINCINNATIGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2008-10-03 CINCINNATI (33) at MARSHALL (10) +2.5 48.0 CINCINNATI ROAD FAV UNDER 2007-09-22 MARSHALL (14) at CINCINNATI (40) -24 53.5 CINCINNATI HOME FAV OVER 2004-12-23 * MARSHALL (14) at CINCINNATI (32) +1.5 52.5 CINCINNATI xxxx DOG UNDER 2000-12-27 * MARSHALL (25) at CINCINNATI (14) -3.5 52.0 MARSHALL xxxx DOG UNDER

(139) BAYLOR AT (140) KANSAS STGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-11-19 KANSAS ST (42) at BAYLOR (21) -2.5 59.0 KANSAS ST ROAD DOG OVER 2015-11-05 BAYLOR (31) at KANSAS ST (24) +17 67.0 KANSAS ST HOME DOG UNDER 2014-12-06 KANSAS ST (27) at BAYLOR (38) -7 71.0 BAYLOR HOME FAV UNDER 2013-10-12 BAYLOR (35) at KANSAS ST (25) +17 73.0 KANSAS ST HOME DOG UNDER 2012-11-17 KANSAS ST (24) at BAYLOR (52) +12.5 74.5 BAYLOR HOME DOG OVER


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(141) MARYLAND AT (142) MINNESOTAGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-10-15 MINNESOTA (31) at MARYLAND (10) -3.5 46.0 MINNESOTA ROAD DOG UNDER

(143) OHIO ST AT (144) RUTGERSGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-10-01 RUTGERS (0) at OHIO ST (58) -38 59.0 OHIO ST HOME FAV UNDER 2015-10-24 OHIO ST (49) at RUTGERS (7) +23 64.0 OHIO ST ROAD FAV UNDER 2014-10-18 RUTGERS (17) at OHIO ST (56) -20.5 62.0 OHIO ST HOME FAV OVER

(145) IOWA AT (146) MICHIGAN STGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2015-12-05 * IOWA (13) at MICHIGAN ST (16) -3.5 50.0 IOWA xxxx DOG UNDER 2013-10-05 MICHIGAN ST (26) at IOWA (14) -1.5 37.5 MICHIGAN ST ROAD DOG OVER 2012-10-13 IOWA (19) at MICHIGAN ST (16) -8 39.0 IOWA ROAD DOG UNDER 2011-11-12 MICHIGAN ST (37) at IOWA (21) +2.5 46.5 MICHIGAN ST ROAD FAV OVER 2010-10-30 MICHIGAN ST (6) at IOWA (37) -6.5 49.5 IOWA HOME FAV UNDER

(147) FLORIDA ST AT (148) WAKE FORESTGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-10-15 WAKE FOREST (6) at FLORIDA ST (17) -23.5 51.0 WAKE FOREST ROAD DOG UNDER 2015-10-03 FLORIDA ST (24) at WAKE FOREST (16) +19 46.0 WAKE FOREST HOME DOG UNDER 2014-10-04 WAKE FOREST (3) at FLORIDA ST (43) -37 54.0 FLORIDA ST HOME FAV UNDER 2013-11-09 FLORIDA ST (59) at WAKE FOREST (3) +34 55.5 FLORIDA ST ROAD FAV OVER 2012-09-15 WAKE FOREST (0) at FLORIDA ST (52) -27.5 51.0 FLORIDA ST HOME FAV OVER

(149) NORTHWESTERN AT (150) WISCONSINGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-11-05 WISCONSIN (21) at NORTHWESTERN (7) +6 41.5 WISCONSIN ROAD FAV UNDER 2015-11-21 NORTHWESTERN (13) at WISCONSIN (7) -12.5 41.5 NORTHWESTERN ROAD DOG UNDER 2014-10-04 WISCONSIN (14) at NORTHWESTERN (20) +7.5 48.0 NORTHWESTERN HOME DOG UNDER 2013-10-12 NORTHWESTERN (6) at WISCONSIN (35) -11 57.5 WISCONSIN HOME FAV UNDER 2010-11-27 NORTHWESTERN (23) at WISCONSIN (70) -23.5 57.5 WISCONSIN HOME FAV OVER

(151) INDIANA AT (152) PENN STGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-11-12 PENN ST (45) at INDIANA (31) +6 60.5 PENN ST ROAD FAV OVER 2015-10-10 INDIANA (7) at PENN ST (29) -4 53.0 PENN ST HOME FAV UNDER 2014-11-08 PENN ST (13) at INDIANA (7) +6 44.5 x x x x x xxxx xxx UNDER 2013-10-05 PENN ST (24) at INDIANA (44) +3.5 66.0 INDIANA HOME DOG OVER 2012-11-17 INDIANA (22) at PENN ST (45) -16.5 56.0 PENN ST HOME FAV OVER

(153) NAVY AT (154) TULSAGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-11-12 TULSA (40) at NAVY (42) -3 71.0 TULSA ROAD DOG OVER 2015-11-21 NAVY (44) at TULSA (21) +12.5 65.0 NAVY ROAD FAV xxxx 2006-09-23 TULSA (24) at NAVY (23) -5 52.5 TULSA ROAD DOG UNDER 2004-09-18 NAVY (29) at TULSA (0) PK 46.5 NAVY ROAD xxx UNDER

(155) CONNECTICUT AT (156) SMUGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2014-12-06 SMU (27) at CONNECTICUT (20) -13.5 42.5 SMU ROAD DOG OVER 2013-11-16 CONNECTICUT (21) at SMU (38) -14 55.5 SMU HOME FAV OVER

(157) TEXAS ST AT (158) WYOMINGGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2013-09-28 WYOMING (21) at TEXAS ST (42) +10.5 58.0 TEXAS ST HOME DOG OVER 2011-09-10 TEXAS ST (10) at WYOMING (45) -14 NL WYOMING HOME FAV

(159) COLORADO AT (160) UCLAGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-11-03 UCLA (10) at COLORADO (20) -13.5 57.0 UCLA ROAD DOG UNDER 2015-10-31 COLORADO (31) at UCLA (35) -23.5 62.0 COLORADO ROAD DOG OVER 2014-10-25 UCLA (40) at COLORADO (37) +14.5 65.5 COLORADO HOME DOG OVER 2013-11-02 COLORADO (23) at UCLA (45) -30.5 59.0 COLORADO ROAD DOG OVER 2012-09-29 UCLA (42) at COLORADO (14) +17.5 58.5 UCLA ROAD FAV UNDER

(161) CALIFORNIA AT (162) OREGONGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-10-21 OREGON (49) at CALIFORNIA (52) +1 89.0 CALIFORNIA HOME DOG OVER 2015-11-07 CALIFORNIA (28) at OREGON (44) -3.5 76.0 OREGON HOME FAV UNDER 2014-10-24 * CALIFORNIA (41) at OREGON (59) -17 78.0 OREGON xxxx FAV OVER 2013-09-28 CALIFORNIA (16) at OREGON (55) -38.5 81.0 OREGON HOME FAV UNDER 2012-11-10 OREGON (59) at CALIFORNIA (17) +32.5 67.5 OREGON ROAD FAV OVER


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(163) WASHINGTON AT (164) OREGON STGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-10-22 OREGON ST (17) at WASHINGTON (41) -37 53.0 OREGON ST ROAD DOG OVER 2015-11-21 WASHINGTON (52) at OREGON ST (7) +14 48.5 WASHINGTON ROAD FAV OVER 2014-11-22 OREGON ST (13) at WASHINGTON (37) -6 53.5 WASHINGTON HOME FAV UNDER 2013-11-23 WASHINGTON (69) at OREGON ST (27) -2.5 59.0 WASHINGTON ROAD DOG OVER 2012-10-27 OREGON ST (17) at WASHINGTON (20) +3.5 49.0 WASHINGTON HOME DOG UNDER

(167) SOUTH CAROLINA AT (168) TEXAS A&MGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-10-01 TEXAS A&M (24) at SOUTH CAROLINA (13) +20.5 51.5 SOUTH CAROLINA HOME DOG UNDER 2015-10-31 SOUTH CAROLINA (28) at TEXAS A&M (35) -14 61.0 SOUTH CAROLINA ROAD DOG OVER 2014-08-28 TEXAS A&M (52) at SOUTH CAROLINA (28) -9 60.5 TEXAS A&M ROAD DOG OVER

(169) TROY AT (170) LSUGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2008-11-15 TROY (31) at LSU (40) -15.5 55.0 TROY ROAD DOG OVER 2004-10-23 TROY (20) at LSU (24) -25 40.5 TROY ROAD DOG OVER

(171) NEW MEXICO ST AT (172) ARKANSASGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2004-09-04 NEW MEXICO ST (13) at ARKANSAS (63) -20.5 44.0 ARKANSAS HOME FAV OVER 2003-11-15 NEW MEXICO ST (20) at ARKANSAS (48) -29 53.0 NEW MEXICO ST ROAD DOG OVER

(173) SAN JOSE ST AT (174) UNLVGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-10-29 UNLV (24) at SAN JOSE ST (30) +3 54.5 SAN JOSE ST HOME DOG UNDER 2015-10-10 SAN JOSE ST (33) at UNLV (27) +3 51.0 SAN JOSE ST ROAD FAV OVER 2014-10-04 UNLV (10) at SAN JOSE ST (33) -9 57.0 SAN JOSE ST HOME FAV UNDER 2013-11-02 SAN JOSE ST (34) at UNLV (24) +5 66.5 SAN JOSE ST ROAD FAV UNDER

(175) UTEP AT (176) ARMYGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-09-17 ARMY (66) at UTEP (14) +3.5 47.0 ARMY ROAD FAV OVER

(177) VANDERBILT AT (178) FLORIDAGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-10-01 FLORIDA (13) at VANDERBILT (6) +14 40.0 VANDERBILT HOME DOG UNDER 2015-11-07 VANDERBILT (7) at FLORIDA (9) -20.5 38.5 VANDERBILT ROAD DOG UNDER 2014-11-08 FLORIDA (34) at VANDERBILT (10) +14.5 43.0 FLORIDA ROAD FAV OVER 2013-11-09 VANDERBILT (34) at FLORIDA (17) -13 41.0 VANDERBILT ROAD DOG OVER 2012-10-13 FLORIDA (31) at VANDERBILT (17) +9.5 39.0 FLORIDA ROAD FAV OVER

(179) GEORGIA AT (180) TENNESSEEGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-10-01 TENNESSEE (34) at GEORGIA (31) +3.5 51.0 GEORGIA HOME DOG OVER 2015-10-10 GEORGIA (31) at TENNESSEE (38) +2.5 59.5 TENNESSEE HOME DOG OVER 2014-09-27 TENNESSEE (32) at GEORGIA (35) -19.5 57.0 TENNESSEE ROAD DOG OVER 2013-10-05 GEORGIA (34) at TENNESSEE (31) +13.5 65.0 TENNESSEE HOME DOG xxxx 2012-09-29 TENNESSEE (44) at GEORGIA (51) -14 60.0 TENNESSEE ROAD DOG OVER

(181) NORTH TEXAS AT (182) SOUTHERN MISSGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-11-19 SOUTHERN MISS (23) at NORTH TEXAS (29) +6 58.0 NORTH TEXAS HOME DOG UNDER 2015-10-03 NORTH TEXAS (14) at SOUTHERN MISS (49) -15.5 67.0 SOUTHERN MISS HOME FAV UNDER 2014-10-18 SOUTHERN MISS (30) at NORTH TEXAS (20) -7.5 54.5 SOUTHERN MISS ROAD DOG UNDER 2013-10-26 NORTH TEXAS (55) at SOUTHERN MISS (14) +13 50.0 NORTH TEXAS ROAD FAV OVER 2004-12-14 * NORTH TEXAS (10) at SOUTHERN MISS (31) -6.5 53.5 SOUTHERN MISS xxxx FAV UNDER

(187) MIDDLE TENN ST AT (188) FL ATLANTICGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-11-26 FL ATLANTIC (56) at MIDDLE TENN ST (77) -17 63.0 MIDDLE TENN ST HOME FAV OVER 2015-11-14 MIDDLE TENN ST (24) at FL ATLANTIC (17) +5.5 57.5 MIDDLE TENN ST ROAD FAV UNDER 2014-11-22 FL ATLANTIC (34) at MIDDLE TENN ST (35) -7 57.0 FL ATLANTIC ROAD DOG OVER 2013-09-21 MIDDLE TENN ST (42) at FL ATLANTIC (35) +3 49.5 MIDDLE TENN ST ROAD FAV OVER 2012-09-08 FL ATLANTIC (17) at MIDDLE TENN ST (31) -7 50.0 MIDDLE TENN ST HOME FAV UNDER

(189) MISSISSIPPI ST AT (190) AUBURNGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-10-08 AUBURN (38) at MISSISSIPPI ST (14) +4 56.0 AUBURN ROAD FAV UNDER 2015-09-26 MISSISSIPPI ST (17) at AUBURN (9) PK 59.0 MISSISSIPPI ST ROAD xxx UNDER 2014-10-11 AUBURN (23) at MISSISSIPPI ST (38) +3 61.5 MISSISSIPPI ST HOME DOG UNDER 2013-09-14 MISSISSIPPI ST (20) at AUBURN (24) -6.5 51.0 MISSISSIPPI ST ROAD DOG UNDER 2012-09-08 AUBURN (10) at MISSISSIPPI ST (28) -3 49.0 MISSISSIPPI ST HOME FAV UNDER



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(191) NORTH CAROLINA AT (192) GEORGIA TECHGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-11-05 GEORGIA TECH (20) at NORTH CAROLINA (48) -12.5 64.5 NORTH CAROLINA HOME FAV OVER 2015-10-03 NORTH CAROLINA (38) at GEORGIA TECH (31) -6 62.5 NORTH CAROLINA ROAD DOG OVER 2014-10-18 GEORGIA TECH (43) at NORTH CAROLINA (48) -2.5 68.0 NORTH CAROLINA HOME FAV OVER 2013-09-21 NORTH CAROLINA (20) at GEORGIA TECH (28) -6.5 59.5 GEORGIA TECH HOME FAV UNDER 2012-11-10 GEORGIA TECH (68) at NORTH CAROLINA (50) -8.5 65.0 GEORGIA TECH ROAD DOG OVER

(193) CLEMSON AT (194) VIRGINIA TECHGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-12-03 * CLEMSON (42) at VIRGINIA TECH (35) +11 59.0 VIRGINIA TECH xxxx DOG OVER 2012-10-20 VIRGINIA TECH (17) at CLEMSON (38) -7.5 63.5 CLEMSON HOME FAV UNDER 2011-12-03 * CLEMSON (38) at VIRGINIA TECH (10) -7 54.0 CLEMSON xxxx DOG UNDER 2011-10-01 CLEMSON (23) at VIRGINIA TECH (3) -7 51.0 CLEMSON ROAD DOG UNDER 2007-10-06 VIRGINIA TECH (41) at CLEMSON (23) -5.5 42.5 VIRGINIA TECH ROAD DOG OVER

(195) AIR FORCE AT (196) NEW MEXICOGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-10-15 * AIR FORCE (40) at NEW MEXICO (45) +14 53.0 NEW MEXICO xxxx DOG OVER 2015-11-28 AIR FORCE (35) at NEW MEXICO (47) +10.5 53.0 NEW MEXICO HOME DOG OVER 2014-10-18 NEW MEXICO (31) at AIR FORCE (35) -7 56.5 NEW MEXICO ROAD DOG OVER 2013-11-08 AIR FORCE (37) at NEW MEXICO (45) -3 61.0 NEW MEXICO HOME FAV OVER 2012-10-20 NEW MEXICO (23) at AIR FORCE (28) -10.5 57.5 NEW MEXICO ROAD DOG UNDER

(197) MISSISSIPPI AT (198) ALABAMAGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-09-17 ALABAMA (48) at MISSISSIPPI (43) +11 53.5 MISSISSIPPI HOME DOG OVER 2015-09-19 MISSISSIPPI (43) at ALABAMA (37) -8.5 52.5 MISSISSIPPI ROAD DOG OVER 2014-10-04 ALABAMA (17) at MISSISSIPPI (23) +4 53.0 MISSISSIPPI HOME DOG UNDER 2013-09-28 MISSISSIPPI (0) at ALABAMA (25) -14 54.0 ALABAMA HOME FAV UNDER 2012-09-29 MISSISSIPPI (14) at ALABAMA (33) -31 52.5 MISSISSIPPI ROAD DOG UNDER

(199) OKLAHOMA ST AT (200) TEXAS TECHGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-11-12 TEXAS TECH (44) at OKLAHOMA ST (45) -10 87.5 TEXAS TECH ROAD DOG OVER 2015-10-31 OKLAHOMA ST (70) at TEXAS TECH (53) +2 77.5 OKLAHOMA ST ROAD FAV OVER 2014-09-25 TEXAS TECH (35) at OKLAHOMA ST (45) -14.5 70.0 TEXAS TECH ROAD DOG OVER 2013-11-02 OKLAHOMA ST (52) at TEXAS TECH (34) +2 69.5 OKLAHOMA ST ROAD FAV OVER 2012-11-17 TEXAS TECH (21) at OKLAHOMA ST (59) -10 73.0 OKLAHOMA ST HOME FAV OVER

(201) ARIZONA ST AT (202) STANFORDGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2014-10-18 STANFORD (10) at ARIZONA ST (26) +3.5 53.5 ARIZONA ST HOME DOG UNDER 2013-12-07 STANFORD (38) at ARIZONA ST (14) -3 52.5 STANFORD ROAD DOG UNDER 2013-09-21 ARIZONA ST (28) at STANFORD (42) -6.5 51.5 STANFORD HOME FAV OVER 2010-11-13 STANFORD (17) at ARIZONA ST (13) +4.5 59.0 ARIZONA ST HOME DOG UNDER 2009-10-24 ARIZONA ST (14) at STANFORD (33) -6.5 49.0 STANFORD HOME FAV UNDER

(203) NEVADA AT (204) FRESNO STGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-10-08 FRESNO ST (22) at NEVADA (27) -7 54.5 FRESNO ST ROAD DOG UNDER 2015-11-05 NEVADA (30) at FRESNO ST (16) +4 54.0 NEVADA ROAD FAV UNDER 2014-11-22 FRESNO ST (40) at NEVADA (20) -7.5 62.5 FRESNO ST ROAD DOG UNDER 2013-11-02 NEVADA (23) at FRESNO ST (41) -21.5 74.5 NEVADA ROAD DOG UNDER 2012-11-10 FRESNO ST (52) at NEVADA (36) +3 70.0 FRESNO ST ROAD FAV OVER

(205) N ILLINOIS AT (206) SAN DIEGO STGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2016-09-17 SAN DIEGO ST (42) at N ILLINOIS (28) +13.5 48.0 SAN DIEGO ST ROAD FAV OVER

(207) COLORADO ST AT (208) HAWAIIGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2014-11-08 HAWAII (22) at COLORADO ST (49) -20.5 57.5 COLORADO ST HOME FAV OVER 2013-10-26 COLORADO ST (35) at HAWAII (28) +2 58.0 COLORADO ST ROAD FAV OVER 2012-10-27 HAWAII (27) at COLORADO ST (42) -5.5 51.5 COLORADO ST HOME FAV OVER

(209) MEMPHIS AT (210) UCFGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2013-10-05 UCF (24) at MEMPHIS (17) +10 48.5 MEMPHIS HOME DOG UNDER 2012-10-20 UCF (35) at MEMPHIS (17) +24 50.0 MEMPHIS HOME DOG OVER 2011-10-29 MEMPHIS (0) at UCF (41) -29.5 48.0 UCF HOME FAV UNDER 2010-11-27 UCF (37) at MEMPHIS (17) +26.5 55.0 MEMPHIS HOME DOG UNDER 2009-10-03 MEMPHIS (14) at UCF (32) -7 46.0 UCF HOME FAV xxxx

(211) MURRAY ST AT (212) LOUISVILLEGAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS2014-09-06 MURRAY ST (21) at LOUISVILLE (66) -35 NL LOUISVILLE HOME FAV 2011-09-01 MURRAY ST (9) at LOUISVILLE (21) -28.5 NL MURRAY ST ROAD DOG 2007-08-30 MURRAY ST (10) at LOUISVILLE (73) NL NL


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WEEK 4 CFB OBSERVATIONSIt was a wilder than expected week in college football and many ranked favorites were surprising pushed to play all 60 minutes. While some still covered, others did not and a few were dumped outright.

WHEW, THAT WAS NOT EASYAt least once a month, there is one of those weeks college football coaches are just glad to survive and move on. This past Saturday, Clemson, Oklahoma, Penn State, USC and Michigan all ended being in tussles, with only the Nittany Lions real thought to have a tougher time.

Clemson was sent out as 33-point favorite and was tied with Boston College 7-7 in the fourth quarter and rallied with four touchdowns in the last 12 minutes.

After upsetting Ohio State a couple weeks ago, Oklahoma was a four-touchdown fave at Baylor. The Sooners could not generate a pass rush and their secondary could not keep up with Baylor pass catchers. With was not supposed to be this hard for Oklahoma since the Bears offense had scored 30 total points in last two outings. The Sooners reputation took a hit, hanging on to win 49-41.

USC was tied with California in Berkeley in the second half and came away with the ‘W’ and no cover after forcing six turnovers 30-20 as 17-point favorites.

Michigan overcame 10-7 halftime deficit and defeated and covered against Purdue, while Penn State needed every last second for game-winning drive at Iowa. What a week!

OKLAHOMA STATE AND FLORIDA STATE SHOWED WARTS AND ALLOklahoma State giving anywhere from 9.5 to 12.5 points to TCU, with most sharp bettors close to evenly split on each side. Early in the first quarter, the Horned Frogs offensive line was more physical and pushing the Cowboys defense around, which allowed them to take command. The stunning part of TCU’s upset outcome was how their secondary controlled QB Mason Rudolph and his receivers. Granted, the Cowboys did have 398 passing yards, but when needing when a big play, the Frogs offered sticky coverage and a pass rush and showed they are to be taken seriously.

For Florida State, all the negative elements were in place. Breaking in new quarterback, their first game action in three weeks and facing an opponent like N.C. State that has talent on both sides of the ball. All these factors came together as the Wolfpack upset the Seminoles, dropping them to 0-2 for the first time since 1992.

OUCH, THAT HURTS BAD!As mentioned here last week, Ball State was a fabulous 32-13 ATS as a road underdog and with only 4:50 remaining in the fourth quarter, they had a 21-20 lead as anywhere from +7.5 to +11.5 point underdogs at Western Kentucky. As shown on ESPN’s Scott Van Pelt “Bad Beat’s” segment, the Hilltoppers came back and scored a touchdown with 98 seconds left and failed on two-point conversion to take 26-21 lead. Still all good for Ball State right? Nope, as their quarterback threw a Pick 6 just 23 seconds later and the Cardinals lost 33-21.

VANDERBILT BLASTED, OREGON STILL NEEDS WORK AND TULSA STUNNEDVanderbilt was talking a good game after upsetting Kansas State and said they welcomed the chance to play No.1 Alabama. Careful for what you wish as the Crimson Tide rolled the Commodores 59-0.

The talk was Oregon Ducks being in position for a relatively quick turnaround under first-year coach Willie Taggert. That has been put to bed for now after Arizona State, arguably the second-worst team in the Pac-12, upset Oregon 37-35 as 15.5-point home underdogs. Last year the Ducks allowed 41.4 PPG and against the two best teams they have faced, the Sun Devils and Nebraska, hardly top tier teams, they have given up 72 total points.

Tulsa came in averaging 47 points a game and was home against New Mexico who did not have starting quarterback and the Lobos held them to 13 points and 16-13 stunner.

TOTALING UP THE BETTING NUMBERSFor all that went on this past weekend lower scores prevailed in college football as the UNDER was 33-23.

Despite the upsets and close calls, favorites were 43-13 SU, though only 28-27-1 ATS.

With fewer games between FCS teams and FBS schools, the smaller upstarts were still 2-1 against the spread and are 49-24-1 ATS on the season.

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