Warm up

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The following graphs show foot sizes of gongshowhockey.com users. What shape are the distributions?Calculate the mean, median and mode for one

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Measures of Spread

Chapter 3.3 – Tools for Analyzing Data

I can: calculate and interpret measures of spread

MSIP/Home Learning: p. 168 #2b, 3b, 4, 6, 7, 10

What is spread?

spread tells you how widely the data are dispersed

The histograms have identical mean and median, but the spread is different

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Why worry about spread? spread indicates how close the values cluster

around the middle value less spread means you have greater confidence

that values will fall within a particular range.

Vocabulary spread and dispersion refer to the same

thing 1) range = max - min a quartile is one of three numerical values

that divide a group of numbers into 4 equal parts

2) the Interquartile Range (IQR) is the difference between the first and third quartiles IQR = Q3 – Q1

Quartiles Example

26 28 34 36 38 38 40 41 41 44 45 46 51 54 55 range = 55 – 26 = 29 Q2 = 41 Median Q1 = 36 Median of lower half of data Q3 = 46 Median of upper half of data IQR = Q3 – Q1 = 46 – 36 = 10 (contains 50% of data) if a quartile occurs between 2 values, it is

calculated as the average of the two values

Quartiles Example

26 28 34 36 38 38 40 41 44 45 46 51 54 55 range = 55 – 26 = 29 Q2 = 40.5 Median Q1 = 36 Median of lower half of data Q3 = 46 Median of upper half of data IQR = Q3 – Q1 = 46 – 36 = (contains 50% of data)

A More Useful Measure of Spread Range is a very basic measure of spread. Interquartile range is a somewhat useful

measure of spread. Standard deviation is more useful. To calculate it we need to find the mean and

the deviation for each data point Mean is easy, as we have done that before Deviation is the difference between a

particular point and the mean

Deviation The mean of these numbers is 48 Deviation = (data) – (mean) The deviation for 24 is 24 - 48 = -24 -24

12 24 36 48 60 72 84

36 The deviation for 84 is 84 - 48 = 36

Standard Deviation deviation is the distance from the piece of

data you are examining to the mean variance is a measure of spread found by

averaging the squares of the deviation calculated for each piece of data

Taking the square root of variance, you get standard deviation

Standard deviation is a very important and useful measure of spread

Example of Standard Deviation 26 28 34 36 mean = (26 + 28 + 34 + 36) / 4 = 31 σ² = (26–31)² + (28-31)² + (34-31)² + (36-31)²

4 σ² = 25 + 9 + 9 + 25

4 σ² = 17 σ = √17 = 4.1

Measure of Spread - Recap Measures of Spread are numbers indicating how spread out /

consistent data is Smaller measure of spread = more consistent data 1) Range = (max) – (min) 2) Interquartile Range: IQR = Q3 – Q1 where

Q1 = first half median Q3 = second half median

3) Standard Deviation Find mean (average) Find deviations (data – mean) Square all, average them - this is variance (#4) or σ2

Take the square root to get std. dev. σ

Standard Deviation σ² (lower case sigma

squared) is used to represent variance

σ is used to represent standard deviation

σ is commonly used to measure the spread of data, with larger values of σ indicating greater spread

we are using a population standard deviation

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Standard Deviation with Grouped Data

grouped mean = (2×2 + 3×6 + 4×6 + 5×2) / 16 = 3.5 deviations:

2: 2 – 3.5 = -1.5 3: 3 – 3.5 = -0.5 4: 4 – 3.5 = 0.5 5: 5 – 3.5 = 1.5

σ² = 2(-1.5)² + 6(-0.5)² + 6(0.5)² + 2(1.5)² 16 σ² = 0.7499 σ = √0.7499 = 0.9

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MSIP / Homework read through the examples on pages 164-167 Complete p. 168 #2b, 3b, 4, 6, 7, 10 you are responsible for knowing how to do

simple examples by hand (~6 pieces of data) we will use technology (Fathom/Excel) to

calculate larger examples have a look at your calculator and see if you

have this feature (Σσn and Σσn-1)

Normal Distribution

Chapter 3.4 – Tools for Analyzing Data

Learning goal: Determine the % of data within intervals of a Normal Distribution

MSIP / Home Learning: p. 176 #1, 3b, 6, 8-10

Histograms

Histograms may be skewed...

Right-skewed Left-skewed

Histograms

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Normal? A normal distribution creates a histogram that is

symmetrical and has a bell shape, and is used quite a bit in statistical analyses

Also called a Gaussian Distribution It is symmetrical with equal mean, median and mode

that fall on the line of symmetry of the curve

A Real Example the heights of 600 randomly chosen Canadian

students from the “Census at School” data set the data approximates a normal distribution

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Density = x mean s normalDensity

600 Student Heights Histogram

The 68-95-99.7% Rule area under curve is 1 (i.e. it represents 100%

of the population surveyed) approx 68% of the data falls within 1 standard

deviation of the mean approx 95% of the data falls within 2 standard

deviations of the mean approx 99.7% of the data falls within 3

standard deviations of the mean http://davidmlane.com/hyperstat/A25329.html

Distribution of Data

34% 34%

13.5% 13.5%

2.35% 2.35%

68%

95%

99.7%

x x + 1σ x + 2σ x + 3σx - 1σx - 2σx - 3σ

),(~ 2xNX

0.15%0.15%

Normal Distribution Notation

The notation above is used to describe the Normal distribution where x is the mean and σ² is the variance (square of the standard deviation)

e.g. X~N (70,82) describes a Normal distribution with mean 70 and standard deviation 8 (our class at midterm?)

),(~ 2xNX

An example Suppose the time before burnout for an LED

averages 120 months with a standard deviation of 10 months and is approximately Normally distributed. What is the length of time a user might expect an LED to last with 68% confidence? With 95% confidence?

So X~N(120,102)

An example cont’d

68% of the data will be within 1 standard deviation of the mean

This will mean that 68% of the bulbs will be between

120–10 months and 120+10 So 68% of the bulbs will last 110 - 130 months

95% of the data will be within 2 standard deviations of the mean

This will mean that 95% of the bulbs will be between

120 – 2×10 months and 120 + 2×10 So 95% of the bulbs will last 100 - 140 months

Example continued… Suppose you wanted to know how long

99.7% of the bulbs will last? This is the area covering 3 standard

deviations on either side of the mean This will mean that 99.7% of the bulbs will be

between 120 – 3×10 months and 120 + 3×10 So 99.7% of the bulbs will last 90-150 months This assumes that all the bulbs are produced

to the same standard

Example continued…

34% 34%

13.5% 13.5%

2.35% 2.35%

95%

99.7%

120 140 15010090months monthsmonthsmonths months

Percentage of data between two values The area under any normal curve is 1 The percent of data that lies between two

values in a normal distribution is equivalent to the area under the normal curve between these values

See examples 2 and 3 on page 175

Why is the Normal distribution so important? Many psychological and educational

variables are distributed approximately normally: height, reading ability, memory, IQ, etc.

Normal distributions are statistically easy to work with All kinds of statistical tests are based on it

Lane (2003)

Exercises

Complete p. 176 #1, 3b, 6, 8-10 http://onlinestatbook.com/

References

Lane, D. (2003). What's so important about the normal distribution? Retrieved October 5, 2004 from http://davidmlane.com/hyperstat/normal_distribution.html

Wikipedia (2004). Online Encyclopedia. Retrieved September 1, 2004 from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Main_Page