vpr vermont poll: governor, senate, house
TRANSCRIPT
8/8/2019 VPR Vermont Poll: Governor, Senate, House
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Vermont Poll
When referencing, please credit “VPR Vermont Poll”
HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED
This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of
Washington, D.C., from October 11 through October 13, 2010. A total
of 625 registered Vermont voters were interviewed statewide by
telephone. All indicated they were likely to vote in the November
general election.
Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last
four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was
utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state.
Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter turn-out by county.
The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by
statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points.
This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true"
figure would fall within that range if the entire population were
sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as aregional or gender grouping.
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SAMPLE FIGURES:
Men 307 (49%) Women 318 (51%)
REGION
Chittenden County 155 interviews
Northwest Vermont 175 interviewsNortheast Vermont 90 interviews
Southern Vermont 205 interviews
8/8/2019 VPR Vermont Poll: Governor, Senate, House
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Vermont Poll
When referencing, please credit “VPR Vermont Poll”
REGIONAL GROUPINGS
NORTHWEST VERMONT: Voters interviewed in Addison, Franklin, Grand Isle, Lamoille, and Washington Counties.
NORTHEAST VERMONT: Voters interviewed in Caledonia, Essex, Orange,and Orleans Counties.
SOUTHERN VERMONT: Voters interviewed in Bennington, Rutland, Windham, and Windsor Counties.
STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION
QUESTION: I am going to read a list of names.
Do you recognize the name ________?(IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of
________?
RECOGNIZE RECOGNIZE RECOGNIZE DON'TFAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NEUTRAL RECOGNIZE
U.S. SENATE
Patrick Leahy 61% 23% 15% 1%
Len Britton 19% 7% 29% 45%
8/8/2019 VPR Vermont Poll: Governor, Senate, House
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Vermont Poll
When referencing, please credit “VPR Vermont Poll”
GOVERNOR
Brian Dubie 47% 31% 18% 4%
Peter Shumlin 41% 37% 17% 5%
U.S. HOUSE
Peter Welch 61% 17% 20% 2%
Paul Beaudry 19% 11% 22% 48%
LT GOVERNOR
Phil Scott 29% 11% 30% 30%
Steve Howard 19% 5% 32% 44%
SECRETARY OF STATE
Jim Condos 20% 9% 26% 45%
Jason Gibbs 17% 10% 30% 43%
8/8/2019 VPR Vermont Poll: Governor, Senate, House
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Vermont Poll
When referencing, please credit “VPR Vermont Poll”
QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Vermont’s U.S. Senate seat wereheld today, would you vote for:
Patrick Leahy, Democrat 62%Len Britton, Republican 27%Pete Diamondstone, Socialist 1%Cris Ericson, US Marijuana Party 1%Stephen Cain, Independent 1%
Daniel Freilich, Independent 1%Johenry Nunes, Independent -Undecided (NOT READ) 7%
LEAHY BRITTON OTHER UNDECIDED
STATE 62% 27% 4% 7%
REGION LEAHY BRITTON OTHER UNDECIDED
Chittenden County 71% 21% 3% 5%Northwest Vermont 63% 25% 5% 7%
Northeast Vermont 52% 38% 3% 7%
Southern Vermont 59% 29% 4% 8%
SEX LEAHY BRITTON OTHER UNDECIDED
Men 52% 34% 4% 10%
Women 71% 21% 4% 4%
PARTY ID LEAHY BRITTON OTHER UNDECIDED
Democrats 94% 1% 1% 4%
Republicans 29% 63% 3% 5%
Independents 58% 24% 7% 11%
8/8/2019 VPR Vermont Poll: Governor, Senate, House
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Vermont Poll
When referencing, please credit “VPR Vermont Poll”
QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Vermont’s U.S. House seat wereheld today, would you vote for:
Peter Welch, Democrat 61%Paul Beaudry, Republican 25%Gus Jaccaci, Independent 3%Jane Newton, Socialist 1%
Undecided (NOT READ) 10%
WELCH BEAUDRY OTHER UNDECIDED
STATE 61% 25% 4% 10%
REGION WELCH BEAUDRY OTHER UNDECIDED
Chittenden County 67% 17% 3% 13%
Northwest Vermont 66% 21% 6% 7%
Northeast Vermont 44% 41% 3% 12%Southern Vermont 59% 29% 3% 9%
SEX WELCH BEAUDRY OTHER UNDECIDED
Men 56% 29% 4% 11%
Women 66% 21% 4% 9%
PARTY ID WELCH BEAUDRY OTHER UNDECIDED
Democrats 92% 1% 2% 5%
Republicans 27% 62% 4% 7%Independents 57% 21% 6% 16%
8/8/2019 VPR Vermont Poll: Governor, Senate, House
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Vermont Poll
When referencing, please credit “VPR Vermont Poll”
DEMOGRAPHICS:
SEX: Male 307 (49%)
Female 318 (51%)
AGE: 18-34 73 (12%)
35-49 176 (28%)50-64 184 (29%)
65+ 191 (31%)
Refused 1
PARTY ID: Democrat 205 (33%)
Republican 162 (26%)
Independent 258 (41%)
REGION: Chittenden County 155 (25%)Northwest VT 175 (28%)
Northeast VT 90 (14%)
Southern VT 205 (33%)