voice over ip peter cochrane. changes will be mega-destructive… bluetooth ultra wideband wifi +...

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Voice Over IP Peter Cochrane

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Page 1: Voice Over IP Peter Cochrane. Changes will be mega-destructive… BlueTooth Ultra Wideband WiFi + WiMax MP3 Voice Over Internet Protocol (VOIP) Radio Frequency

Voice Over IP

Peter Cochrane

Page 2: Voice Over IP Peter Cochrane. Changes will be mega-destructive… BlueTooth Ultra Wideband WiFi + WiMax MP3 Voice Over Internet Protocol (VOIP) Radio Frequency

Changes will be mega-destructive…•BlueTooth

•Ultra Wideband

•WiFi + WiMax

•MP3

•Voice Over Internet Protocol (VOIP)

•Radio Frequency Identification (RFID)

•Blogs & Video Blogs

…are only the start

Page 3: Voice Over IP Peter Cochrane. Changes will be mega-destructive… BlueTooth Ultra Wideband WiFi + WiMax MP3 Voice Over Internet Protocol (VOIP) Radio Frequency

We can only guess/imagine whatour networks will be expected to support in the next decade/s…and it is the customers who decide and not the companies

Peter Cochrane1995

Page 4: Voice Over IP Peter Cochrane. Changes will be mega-destructive… BlueTooth Ultra Wideband WiFi + WiMax MP3 Voice Over Internet Protocol (VOIP) Radio Frequency

Network Laws - Broadcast

1

2

3

4

n

Connectivity = < n/2One way onlyNot all are always on

Page 5: Voice Over IP Peter Cochrane. Changes will be mega-destructive… BlueTooth Ultra Wideband WiFi + WiMax MP3 Voice Over Internet Protocol (VOIP) Radio Frequency

Network Laws - Telephone

1

2

3

4

n

< n/2

Broadcast1

3 4

5

2

< n(n-1)/2 ~n2

Bothways - Customer Control

Availability >99%

Page 6: Voice Over IP Peter Cochrane. Changes will be mega-destructive… BlueTooth Ultra Wideband WiFi + WiMax MP3 Voice Over Internet Protocol (VOIP) Radio Frequency

Network Laws - Internet

1

2

3

4

n

< n/2

Broadcast Telephone

< n(n-1)/2 ~n2

1

3 4

5

2

1

2

N

3

4

5

1 2 …nNn

Always - customer control

Availability >95%

Page 7: Voice Over IP Peter Cochrane. Changes will be mega-destructive… BlueTooth Ultra Wideband WiFi + WiMax MP3 Voice Over Internet Protocol (VOIP) Radio Frequency

How many friends do you have… ...how many people do you know?

Separation People You Know

0 => 30 => 3001 => 900 => 90,0002 => 27,000 => 27,000,0003 => 810,000 => 8,100,000,0004 => 24,300,0005 => 729,000,0006 => 21,870,000,000

Page 8: Voice Over IP Peter Cochrane. Changes will be mega-destructive… BlueTooth Ultra Wideband WiFi + WiMax MP3 Voice Over Internet Protocol (VOIP) Radio Frequency

The Telephone Network

Dedicated point to pointconnections based on oldanalogue technologiesspanning >100 years

Reliable, dependable, welldeveloped, well understood,but limited and in decline

Page 9: Voice Over IP Peter Cochrane. Changes will be mega-destructive… BlueTooth Ultra Wideband WiFi + WiMax MP3 Voice Over Internet Protocol (VOIP) Radio Frequency

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

From fixed line to…. …..Mobile

From talk to…. .Text

Page 10: Voice Over IP Peter Cochrane. Changes will be mega-destructive… BlueTooth Ultra Wideband WiFi + WiMax MP3 Voice Over Internet Protocol (VOIP) Radio Frequency

Millions

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2004 2005

1,400

1,200

1,000

800

600

400

200

0

WEB Mobile Phones

Cellular MobileCustomers

PC's onLine

Fixed Line Phones

VOIP MobileDevices

A dying circuit switchednetwork

A growing IPnetwork

PSTN v Packet Switched (IP - VOIP) Space

1Bn

2003 2005

Page 11: Voice Over IP Peter Cochrane. Changes will be mega-destructive… BlueTooth Ultra Wideband WiFi + WiMax MP3 Voice Over Internet Protocol (VOIP) Radio Frequency

Local Region National International Switches Gateway

X X X

X

X

X

X

X

X

X

Analogue Analogue Digital

Telephone Basics

Page 12: Voice Over IP Peter Cochrane. Changes will be mega-destructive… BlueTooth Ultra Wideband WiFi + WiMax MP3 Voice Over Internet Protocol (VOIP) Radio Frequency

IP - Packet Switched Networks

S

R

S

Server

Router/Switch

RR

RR

R

RR

Packets ofbits in serialtransmission

Packets arrive in wrong order & haveto be reassembled correctly

Page 13: Voice Over IP Peter Cochrane. Changes will be mega-destructive… BlueTooth Ultra Wideband WiFi + WiMax MP3 Voice Over Internet Protocol (VOIP) Radio Frequency

Voice Over Packet Switched Networks(VOIP)

S

R

S

Server

Router/Switch-Telephone-Mobile-Headset

RR

RR

R

RR

Page 14: Voice Over IP Peter Cochrane. Changes will be mega-destructive… BlueTooth Ultra Wideband WiFi + WiMax MP3 Voice Over Internet Protocol (VOIP) Radio Frequency

Telco VOIP

SRS

Server Router

-Telephone-Mobile-Headset

R X

Nailed DownRouters & Switches

Page 15: Voice Over IP Peter Cochrane. Changes will be mega-destructive… BlueTooth Ultra Wideband WiFi + WiMax MP3 Voice Over Internet Protocol (VOIP) Radio Frequency

Circuit to Packet …. Cost Reduced to 10%

Page 16: Voice Over IP Peter Cochrane. Changes will be mega-destructive… BlueTooth Ultra Wideband WiFi + WiMax MP3 Voice Over Internet Protocol (VOIP) Radio Frequency

Death to the PBX?

X WiFi/BlueTooth

Mobile/PDA

PBX

VOIPGateway

PSTNCircuit

SwitchedNetwork

InternetIntranet

Page 17: Voice Over IP Peter Cochrane. Changes will be mega-destructive… BlueTooth Ultra Wideband WiFi + WiMax MP3 Voice Over Internet Protocol (VOIP) Radio Frequency

A world of opportunity & risk….

Thank you,

cochrane.org.ukconceptlabs.net