vmworld 2013: using the cloud compass to evaluate technology risk in cloud decisions
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VMworld 2013 Craig Stanley, VMware Learn more about VMworld and register at http://www.vmworld.com/index.jspa?src=socmed-vmworld-slideshareTRANSCRIPT
Using The Cloud Compass to Evaluate Technology
Risk in Cloud Decisions
Craig Stanley, VMware
PHC7117
#PHC7117
2
Presenter Introductions
CRAIG STANLEY
Benchmarking Practice Lead
VMware Accelerate Advisory Services
@benchmarkguru
3
Agenda
Overview of Risk and Risk Analysis Concepts
Lufthansa Systems Case Study
Live Cloud Compass Demo
Summary
Q&A
4
Overview of Risk and Analysis Concepts
5
Deciding Between Private and Hybrid Clouds
Analyzing the Results
Risk Analysis
Risk Accelerators
Return Factors
Risk Factors
Three Rules of Risk
6
Anatomy of a Decision
Decision Basis
• Fitness
• Value
• Risk and fear
FEAR
False Emotion Appearing Real
• Natural reaction
• Personal
• Creates confusion
• Results in decision paralysis
“The oldest and strongest
emotion of mankind is fear, and
the oldest and strongest kind of
fear is fear of the unknown.”
H. P. Lovecraft
7
Who’s Afraid of the Big Bad Cloud?
Cost more and take more time?
Not deliver on what we need?
Lock us into specific contracts or technology?
Cost us financially in terms of fines, penalties, etc.?
Impact our reputation, goodwill, etc.?
Organization Impact
Cost me personally (status, respect, job, etc.)? Personal Impact
Basis of FEAR
8
Everyone Reacts to Fear in These Three Ways
FIGHT
Challenge the unknown
FLIGHT
Run away
FREEZE
Do nothing
“Indecision may or may not be my problem.” – Jimmy Buffett
9
Three Rules of Risk
Finance The size of the stakes drives the emotional response
1
Tolerance The risk tolerance must be greater than the risk exposure
2
Benefit The upside potential must be greater than the downside risk of failure
3
10
Service Terms
Data EOL
Technology Fungibility
Contractual Fungibility
Performance
Business Relationship
4
Customer Productivity
Revenue
Legal & Regulatory
Goodwill
Intellectual Capital
Security& Privacy
3
Legal & Regulatory
Geopolitical Restrictions
Standards Compliance
Governance & Compliance
2
Common Areas of Risk
Availability
1
Employee Productivity
Customer Productivity
Revenue
Legal & Regulatory
Risk Factors
11
Access anywhere, anytime, any device
Accessibility
1
Ability to rapidly deploy IaaS, PaaS and SaaS
Reduction in Time To Market
Agility
2
Scale on demand
Offload on demand
Enhance BCDR
Scalability
3
Reduction in asset tracking
Reduction in support costs
Reduction in physical device management
Cost & Resource Acct
4
Return Factors Enabled by the Cloud
Return Factors
12
Risk Accelerators that Feed Uncertainty
Complexity
Commitment Level
Time to Implement
Pressure to Decide
Ability to Execute
13
Tools to Analyze Your Risk
Inherent Risk
Risk-Adjusted TCO
Return on Risk
14
Results That Deliver Insight
Overall guidance based on
the ratio of TCO investment
to its return (Rule #1)
The inherent risk (Rule #2)
The return on risk (Rule #3)
Decision Guidance
Exposes risk for consideration
Helps quantify risk
Provides insight into non-TCO decision factors
Knowledge & Leverage
15
Lufthansa Systems Case Study
16
Challenges Lufthansa Systems Faced
Situation
• Moved
business critical
application
to cloud
• Used worldwide
Complication
• Ubiquitous
Requirement
• Cloud TCO
costs higher
• Prove decision
was right
Implication
• High cost
of failure
• Worst case
scenario
17
How Lufthansa Systems Validated the Cloud
Process
• Evaluate factors
beyond
standard TCO
• Validate and
communicate
decision
Action
• Develop a better
way to
understand and
evaluate risk
• Analyze risk,
return and
impact factors
Benefit
• Developed a
personalized
assessment
• Public cloud risk-
adjusted TCO
was lower
• Unmitigated risk
was exposed
• Gained insight to
prove public
cloud value
18
Live Cloud Compass Demo
19
Summary
20
Summary
The size of the financial stakes drives the emotional response
The risk tolerance must be greater than the risk exposure
The upside potential must be greater than the downside
risk of failure
TCO is not the only factor in hybrid cloud decisions
Understanding and quantifying risk enables you to make more
informed and confident hybrid cloud decisions
VMware Cloud Compass
www.vmware.com/go/cloudcompass
21
Q&A
THANK YOU
Using The Cloud Compass to Evaluate Technology
Risk in Cloud Decisions
Craig Stanley, VMware
PHC7117
#PHC7117