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11 August 2015 Phillip Securities Indonesia Phillip Securities Indonesia Research Customer Care (62-21) 57 900 900 www.poems.co.id | www.poems.web.id Page | 1 Visit Note - Key Takeaways Semen Batu Raja Tbk (SMBR: IJ) Semen Baturaja (SMBR IJ) is a cement producer that was wholly owned by Government of Indonesia in 1992 and first listed at Indonesia Stock Exchange on 28th June 2013. SMBR issued 23.76% stocks to the public on it's IPO. The company engaged in the business of cement manufacture, cement raw material extraction, and also packaging and distribution to consumers. SMBR marketing area focused in southern part of Sumatra particularly South Sumatra, Lampung, Bengkulu, and Jambi. These marketing areas are beneficial to the company because despite the lack of national and Sumatra’s cement demand growth, the government’s plans for infrastructure development and considering Asian Games that will be held in 2018 give promising future for South Sumatra's cement demand. Trans Sumatera toll road projects also delivered positive catalyst for residential development. SMBR has plants in three different cities located in South Sumatera: Baturaja, Palembang, and Panjang with total capacity of 2 million tons/year. SMBR also have one plant under construction in Baturaja scheduled to be fully operated on 2H17 with IDR 3.32 trillion of investment. This investment is funded through mix funding source consisting of 38.3% IPO fund, 39.1% internal fund, and 22.6% bank loan or bond. With this new plant, SMBR's production capacity will increase by 1.85 million tons/year. Oversupply condition in Indonesia’s cement industry does not affect SMBR significantly because there is not many competitors that can penetrate South Sumatra's market due to its geographical condition and limited distribution route. SMBR maintain its market share in South Sumatra around 59.2% through the first half of 2015. In 1H15, SMBR recorded 666.18 tons sales volume, rose 25.61% compared to 1H14 sales volume of 530.36 tons. This increase was mostly supported by PT Oki Pulp and Paper (Sinarmas Group) project to build the biggest paper plant in Asia that contributed 67.35% of SMBR’s sales volume growth. The increase of average selling price by 0.65% to IDR 953,529 per ton elevated the company's revenue by 26.43% to IDR 635.23 billion, of which 66.5% was bag cement sales and 33.35% bulk cement. Gross profit margin widened to 32.96% and net profit margin to 26.38%. Operational and Financial Performance 1H15 1H14 1H15 % Sales Volume ton 530.36 666.18 26% Average Selling Price IDR / ton 947.35 953.53 1% Revenue IDR billion 502.43 635.23 26% Gross Profit IDR billion 127.28 209.35 64% Operating Profit IDR billion 72.36 130.51 80% Profit Before Tax IDR billion 146.69 203.76 39% Profit After Tax IDR billion 125.39 167.59 34%

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Page 1: Visit Note - Key Takeaways Phillip Securities Indonesia · Phillip Securities Indonesia Phillip Securities Indonesia – Research Customer Care (62-21) 57 900 900 ... scheduled to

11 August 2015

Phillip Securities Indonesia

Phillip Securities Indonesia – Research

Customer Care (62-21) 57 900 900

www.poems.co.id | www.poems.web.id Page | 1

Visit Note - Key Takeaways Semen Batu Raja Tbk (SMBR: IJ)

Semen Baturaja (SMBR IJ) is a cement producer that was wholly owned by Government of Indonesia in 1992 and first listed at Indonesia Stock Exchange on 28th June 2013. SMBR issued 23.76% stocks to the public on it's IPO. The company engaged in the business of cement manufacture, cement raw material extraction, and also packaging and distribution to consumers. SMBR marketing area focused in southern part of Sumatra particularly South Sumatra, Lampung, Bengkulu, and Jambi. These marketing areas are beneficial to the company because despite the lack of national and Sumatra’s cement demand growth, the government’s plans for infrastructure development and considering Asian Games that will be held in 2018 give promising future for South Sumatra's cement demand. Trans Sumatera toll road projects also delivered positive catalyst for residential development. SMBR has plants in three different cities located in South Sumatera: Baturaja, Palembang, and Panjang with total capacity of 2 million tons/year. SMBR also have one plant under construction in Baturaja scheduled to be fully operated on 2H17 with IDR 3.32 trillion of investment. This investment is funded through mix funding source consisting of 38.3% IPO fund, 39.1% internal fund, and 22.6% bank loan or bond. With this new plant, SMBR's production capacity will increase by 1.85 million tons/year. Oversupply condition in Indonesia’s cement industry does not affect SMBR significantly because there is not many competitors that can penetrate South Sumatra's market due to its geographical condition and limited distribution route. SMBR maintain its market share in South Sumatra around 59.2% through the first half of 2015. In 1H15, SMBR recorded 666.18 tons sales volume, rose 25.61% compared to 1H14 sales volume of 530.36 tons. This increase was mostly supported by PT Oki Pulp and Paper (Sinarmas Group) project to build the biggest paper plant in Asia that contributed 67.35% of SMBR’s sales volume growth. The increase of average selling price by 0.65% to IDR 953,529 per ton elevated the company's revenue by 26.43% to IDR 635.23 billion, of which 66.5% was bag cement sales and 33.35% bulk cement. Gross profit margin widened to 32.96% and net profit margin to 26.38%.

Operational and Financial Performance 1H15

1H14 1H15 %

Sales Volume ton 530.36 666.18 26%

Average Selling Price IDR / ton 947.35 953.53 1%

Revenue IDR billion 502.43 635.23 26%

Gross Profit IDR billion 127.28 209.35 64%

Operating Profit IDR billion 72.36 130.51 80%

Profit Before Tax IDR billion 146.69 203.76 39%

Profit After Tax IDR billion 125.39 167.59 34%

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Phillip Securities Indonesia – Research

Customer Care (62-21) 57 900 900

www.poems.co.id | www.poems.web.id Page | 2

Location and Capacity of the Plants

Marketing Area of SMBR

Source: Company

Fardini Rahma Dewi

Equity Analyst

Phillip Securities Indonesia

Phillip Morning Market Call

Join live webinar on Indonesia stock market and stock recommendation, every morning, 08:30 – 08:50 am WIT.

Register here if you have not already done so.

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Customer Care (62-21) 57 900 900

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Important Information

Rating for Sectors:

Overweight : We expect the industry to perform better than the primary market index (JCI) over the next 12

months.

Neutral : We expect the industry to perform in line with the primary market index (JCI) over the next 12

months.

Underweight : We expect the industry to under-perform the primary market index (JCI) over the next 12 months.

Rating for Stocks:

Buy : The stock is expected to give total return (price appreciation + dividend yield) of > +20% over the next 12

months.

Accumulate : The stock is expected to give total return (price appreciation + dividend yield) of +5% to +20% over the next

12 months.

Neutral : The stock is expected to give total return of between -5% and +5% over the next 12 months.

Reduce : The stock is expected to give total return of between -5% and -20% over the next 12 months.

Sell : The stock is expected to give total return of -20% or lower over the next 12 months.

Outperform : The stock is expected to do slightly better than the market return. Equal to “accumulate” or “moderate buy”

Underperform: The stock is expected to do slightly worse than the market return. Equal to “weak hold” or “moderate sell”

Analyst Certification

The research analyst(s) primarily responsible for the preparation of this research report hereby certify that all of the views

expressed in this research report accurately reflect their personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers.

The research analyst(s) also certify that no part of their compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the

specific recommendations or views expressed in this research report.

Disclaimers

This document has been prepared for general circulation based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable. But we do not make any representations as to its accuracy or completeness. Phillip Securities Indonesia (PSI) accept no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this document or any solicitations of an offer to buy or sell any securities. PSI and its directors, officials and/or employees may have positions in, and may affect transactions in securities mentioned herein from time to time in the open market or otherwise, and may receive brokerage fees or act as principal or agent in dealing with respect to these companies. PSI may also seek investment banking business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision.

Contact Information (Indonesia Research Team)

Gunawan Sutanto Edward Lowis Martha Christina

Head of Research Equity Analyst Equity Analyst

Automotive, Strategy

[email protected]

Agriculture, Consumer Goods

[email protected]

Cement, Construction, Property,

& Toll Road

[email protected]

Milka Mutiara Muhamad Farhan Destya Faishal

Equity Analyst

Banking, Telecommunication

[email protected]

Equity Analyst

Retail Trade, Poultry

[email protected]

Equity Analyst

Gas, Mining, & Heavy

Equipment

[email protected]

Fardini Rahma Dewi

General Inquiries:

Equity Analyst (+62 21) 57 900 800. Ext.: 301

[email protected] [email protected]

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Contact Information (Phillip Capital Regional Member Companies)

SINGAPORE

Phillip Securities Pte Ltd Raffles City Tower

250, North Bridge Road #06-00 Singapore 179101 Tel +65 6533 6001 Fax +65 6535 6631

Website: www.poems.com.sg

MALAYSIA

Phillip Capital Management Sdn Bhd B-3-6 Block B Level 3 Megan Avenue II, No. 12, Jalan Yap Kwan Seng, 50450

Kuala Lumpur Tel +603 2162 8841 Fax +603 2166 5099

Website: www.poems.com.my

HONG KONG

Phillip Securities (HK) Ltd Exchange Participant of the Stock Exchange of Hong

Kong 11/F United Centre 95 Queensway

Hong Kong Tel +852 2277 6600 Fax +852 2868 5307

Websites: www.phillip.com.hk

JAPAN

Phillip Securities Japan, Ltd. 4-2 Nihonbashi Kabuto-cho Chuo-ku,

Tokyo 103-0026 Tel +81-3 3666 2101 Fax +81-3 3666 6090

Website: www.phillip.co.jp

INDONESIA

PT Phillip Securities Indonesia ANZ Tower Level 23B,

Jl Jend Sudirman Kav 33A Jakarta 10220 – Indonesia

Tel +62-21 5790 0800 Fax +62-21 5790 0809

Website: www.phillip.co.id

CHINA

Phillip Financial Advisory (Shanghai) Co. Ltd No 550 Yan An East Road,

Ocean Tower Unit 2318, Postal code 200001

Tel +86-21 5169 9200 Fax +86-21 6351 2940

Website: www.phillip.com.cn

THAILAND

Phillip Securities (Thailand) Public Co. Ltd 15th Floor, Vorawat Building,

849 Silom Road, Silom, Bangrak, Bangkok 10500 Thailand

Tel +66-2 6351700 / 22680999 Fax +66-2 22680921

Website: www.phillip.co.th

FRANCE

King & Shaxson Capital Limited 3rd Floor, 35 Rue de la Bienfaisance 75008

Paris France Tel +33-1 45633100 Fax +33-1 45636017

Website: www.kingandshaxson.com

UNITED KINGDOM

King & Shaxson Capital Limited 6th Floor, Candlewick House,

120 Cannon Street, London, EC4N 6AS

Tel +44-20 7426 5950 Fax +44-20 7626 1757

Website: www.kingandshaxson.com

UNITED STATES

Phillip Futures Inc 141 W Jackson Blvd Ste 3050

The Chicago Board of Trade Building Chicago, IL 60604 USA

Tel +1-312 356 9000 Fax +1-312 356 9005

AUSTRALIA PhillipCapital

Level 12, 15 William Street, Melbourne, Victoria 3000, Australia

Tel +61-03 9629 8288 Fax +61-03 9629 8882

Website: www.phillipcapital.com.au

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ANZ Tower Level 23B, Jl. Jendral Sudirman Kav 33A, Jakarta, 10220 - Indonesia

Telp. (62-21) 57 900 800, Fax. (62-21) 57 900 809, Email : [email protected]

Website: www.phillip.co.id | www.poems.co.id | www.poems.web.id

Jakarta Komp. Ruko Mega Grosir Cempaka Mas

Jl. Let. Jend. Soeprapto Blok D No. 7 Jakarta, 10640

Telp. (62-21) 4288 5051 / 52; Fax. (62-21) 4288 5049 E-Mail: [email protected]

Mangga Dua Ruko Bahan Bangunan Mangga Dua Blok F1/8

Jl. Mangga Dua Selatan Jakarta 10730 Telp. (62-21) 6220 3589; Fax. (62-21) 6220 3602

E-Mail: [email protected]

Rukan Sentra Latumenten Jl.Prof.Dr Latumenten no.50

Blk AA 12 Jakarta, 11460 Telp. (62-21) 5694 1781; Fax. (62-21) 5694 1791

E-Mail: [email protected]

Roxy Pusat Niaga Roxy Mas Blok B2/2

Jl. KH. Hasyim Ashari - Jakarta Barat Telp. (62-21) 6386 8308; Fax. (62-21) 6333 420

E-Mail: [email protected]

Pantai Indah Kapuk Jl. Pantai Indah Barat Rukan Ekslusif BGM Blok B-6

Telp. (62-21) 5694 5791/92/93; Fax. (62-21) 56945790 E-Mail: [email protected]

Taman Palem Rukan Malibu Blok H No. 23 Cengkareng, Jakbar 11730

Telp. (62-21) 5694 5055 / 5077; Fax. (62-21) 5694 5013; E-Mail: [email protected]

Tanah Abang

Pusat Grosir Metro Tanah Abang (PGMTA) Lantai 6, Jl.Fachrudin Tanah Abang - Jakarta Pusat 10250

Telp : (021) 3003 6745 / 3003 6746; Fax : (021) 3003 6748 E-Mail: [email protected]

Kelapa Gading Jl. Boulevard Raya Blok WB2/27 Kelapa Gading Jakarta Utara

Telp. (62-21) 7070 0050/4587/9264; Fax. (62-21) 453 2939; E-Mail: [email protected]

Alam Sutera Citra Garden 2

Komp. Citra Niaga Blok A No.18 Citra Garden 2 - Kalideres, JakBar

Telp. (62-21) 5436 0175; Fax. (62-21) 5436 0174 E-mail: [email protected]

Ruko Prominence Blok 38 – G. No. 18 Jl. Sutra Barat Boulevard, Alam Sutera, Tangerang 15143

Telp. (62-21) 5031 4300

Jawa Tengah Purwokerto

Jln. Perintis Kemerdekaan No. 38 Purwokerto - Jawa Tengah, 53110

Telp. (62-281) 626 899; Fax. (62-281) 891 150 E-Mail: [email protected]

Yogyakarta Kantor Perwakilan (KP) BEI Yogyakarta

Jl. Mangkubumi No. 111 Yogyakarta Telp. (0274) 557367

E-mail: [email protected]

Semarang Jl. Karang Wulan Timur No. 2 - 4 Semarang

Indonesia Telp. (62-24) 355 5959; Fax. (62-24) 351 3194

E-Mail: [email protected]

Tegal Kompleks Nirmala Square Blok C no.7

Jl. Yos Sudarso - Tegal 52121 Telp. (62-283) 340773; Fax. (62-283) 340774

E-mail: [email protected]

Jawa Barat Batam Komp.Paskal Hypersquare Blok C-21

Jl Pasirkaliki 25-27 Bandung Telp. (62-22) 8606 0690; Fax. (62-22) 8606 0765

E-Mail: [email protected]

Kompleks Mahkota Raya Blok A no. 10 Batam Centre, Kota Batam 29456, Kepri

Telp. (62-778) 748 3337/3030/3131; Fax. (62-778) 748 3117; E-Mail: [email protected]

Jawa Timur Kalimantan Barat

Jln. Flores No. 11 Surabaya, 60281 Telp. (62-31) 501 5777; Fax. (62-31) 501 0567

E-Mail: [email protected]

Jl. Teuku Umar Komplek Pontianak Mal C 23-24 Pontianak, Kalimantan Barat

Telp. (62-561) 777 887; Fax. (62-561) 745 103 E-Mail: [email protected]

Jambi Denpasar

Jln. GR. Djamin Datuk Bagindo No. 56A Jambi, 36142

Telp. (0741) 707 8260, 7555 699 E-Mail: [email protected]

Kantor Perwakilan (KP) BEI Denpasar Jl. P.B. Sudirman 10 X Kav. 2

Denpasar - Bali (0361) 255 900

Lampung

Jl. Ikan Tongkol No. 33 Blok 7-8

Teluk Betung - Bandar Lampung, 35223 Telp. (62-721) 474 234; Fax. (62-721) 474 108

E-Mail: [email protected]