virginia statewide survey
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Virginia Statewide Survey. Key findings from a survey of 600 likely voters, c onducted September 25-27, 2010. #101098. Glen Bolger [email protected]. Keith Frederick [email protected]. Methodology. Methodology. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Key findings from a survey of 600 likely voters, conducted September 25-27, 2010
#101098 Glen [email protected]
rg
Keith FrederickKeith@frederickpoll
s.com
Virginia Statewide Survey ~ September 25-27, 2010 3
Public Opinion Strategies and Frederick Polls are pleased to present the key findings of a statewide telephone survey conducted in Virginia. The survey was completed September 25-27, 2010 among 600 likely voters and has a margin of error of +4.0%.
Glen Bolger and Keith Frederick were the principal researchers on this project. Dave Wilson was the project director, and Bryan Kitz provided analytical support.
Virginia Statewide Survey ~ September 25-27, 2010 5
Strongly Favor33%
Somewhat Favor23%
Somewhat Oppose
15%
Strongly Oppose
20%
DK/Ref9%
“Thinking now about another issue...As you may know, Virginia owns all of the liquor stores in the state. Do you favor or oppose selling the state-owned ABC liquor stores with the revenues to be
dedicated to transportation projects across the state.”
ABC privatization receives solid support.
Total Favor: 57%*Total Oppose: 35%
*Denotes Rounding
Virginia Statewide Survey ~ September 25-27, 2010 6
Base GOP
(19%)
Soft GOP
(20%)
Ind
(22%)
Soft Dem
(18%)
Base Dem
(20%)
62%65%
52%59%
45%
31%28%
36% 37%
46%
Total Favor Total Oppose
A majority of Independents support ABC privatization.
+31% +37% +16% +22% -1%
ABC Privatization by Party
Virginia Statewide Survey ~ September 25-27, 2010 7
Nova
(30%)
Mntn
(11%)
Piedmont
(15%)
Richmond
(12%)
Southside
(12%)
Hampton Roads
(20%)
63%
43%
57% 56%51%
59%
29%
52%
34%31%
42%
35%
Total Favor Total Oppose
Hampton Roads and Northern Virginia voters backABC privatization by wide margins.
ABC Privatization by Region
+34% -9% +23% +25% +9% +24%
Virginia Statewide Survey ~ September 25-27, 2010 8
Very Conservative (21%)
Smwt Conservative
(24%)
Moderate (35%)
Liberal (18%)
62%
55% 55% 55%
26%
38% 38%41%
Total Favor Total Oppose
Privatization is popular across the ideological spectrum.
+36% +17% +17% +14%
ABC Privatization by Ideology
Virginia Statewide Survey ~ September 25-27, 2010 9
Frequently (41%)
Occasionally (21%)
Rarely/Never (36%)
57%60%
55%
36%32%
37%
Total Favor Total Oppose
Level of church attendance does not impact attitudes on this issue.
+21% 28% +18%
ABC Privatization by Church Attendance
Virginia Statewide Survey ~ September 25-27, 2010 10
Drinker (70%)
Non-Drinker
(29%)
Men Drinker
(35%)
Men
Non-Drinker
(13%)
Women Drinker
(35%)
Women Non-Drinker
(16%)
58%55%
59% 61%57%
50%
35% 37% 36% 34% 34%40%
Total Favor Total Oppose
Drinkers and non-drinkers alike support privatization.
+23% +18% +23% +27% +23%
ABC Privatization by Alcohol Use
+10%
Virginia Statewide Survey ~ September 25-27, 2010 12
“Thinking some more about this issue...Now I would like to read you two statements about privatizing the ABC liquor stores in Virginia. Please tell me which one comes closest to your own view…”
A significant majority of voters prefer ending the state’s monopoly on liquor sales to a gasoline tax.
Other people say the one-time revenue increase will not be enough to end the long-term transportation problem in the state. They say that an increase in the gasoline tax is a better solution, as it taxes those who use the roads the most.
…while…
36%
58%Some people say ending the state government’s monopoly on liquor sales will provide a half a billion dollars in new funding for transportation, all without a tax increase. They say privatization makes government smaller, ends an outdated government monopoly, and takes the state out of a business that can be better handled by the free market.
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