vgca housing va aging pop042716
TRANSCRIPT
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Housing Virginia’s Aging Population: 2016-2030
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The Age Wave Arrives
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The Age Wave Arrives
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Why Young People are Tired of Hearing about Boomers
• Boomers have driven the housing market for three decades … they still do and will for the next 20 years.
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Boomers & Housing 2030
•In the next Decade 2/3’s of boomers will make a housing choice
•We need to be prepared to support these choices
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What Lies Ahead for Housing: Opportunity ? Challenge ? Crisis ?
• What is the lens through which to best understand the future o Location and Transportation o Health and Services o Accessibility and Livability o Housing Tenure and Type o Income, Wealth and Affordability
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Traditional Housing Tenure Life-Cycle
• Child: Dependent
• Young Adult: Group Independent Rental
• Middle Age: Independent Owner
• Senior: “Independent Living” – Rental
• Senior: Assisted Living – Rental
• Senior – Nursing Care
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Retirement and Beyond: Why do HHs Move ?
• Downsize
• Design and Accessibility
• Location, Location, Location
• Affordability
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Housing Cost Burden is Widespread among Seniors
• Housing is the largest cost in the HH budget
• Housing cost burden = paying more than 30% of income for housing
• Over 65: Income drops; Housing costs don’t
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Housing Cost Burden is Widespread among Seniors
• 50% of HHs over 65 are housing cost burdened
• Nearly 1/3 of renters of 65 are severely burdened – spending over half their income for housing
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Renters Face HUGE Housing Cost Challenges
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High Cost Burden Will Stress our Housing Assistance Programs
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What Do Boomers Want?
• 47% want to stay in their home
• 23% want to stay and move “later”
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What Do Boomers Want?
•70% + will be “AGING in PLACE”
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Aging in Place
• Is the house ready for the “aging in place” household?
• Is the community ready for the “aging in place” citizen?
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Aging in Place
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Aging in Place: the Home
• Remodeling
• Accessibility and Adaptability
• Shared housing / accessory housing
• In home services
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Aging in Place: the Neighborhood
• Walkable Neighborhood with “Urban” / “Village” Feel
• Age & HH Diversity
• Connected to their Community – Family & Friends – Culture & Entertainment – Dining & Shopping
• Green & Sustainable
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Aging in Place
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Aging in Place…in the Suburbs
•Single family detached dwellings
•2 story dwellings / accessibility
•Oversized / heating & cooling
•Maintaining house and yard
•Car dependent
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Local Fiscal Impact
• Current Market Realities – Higher density – Smaller – Environmentally friendly – “Affordable” – Accessible to urban amenities.
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Other Niche Markets
• Rural – Isolation – Access to Services –Maintenance
• Urban – Poverty – Displacement – Environmental Issues
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Easy Living Home
• A home that can be lived in through all of life’s stages
• A home that can be visited by most people
• Simple design requirements o One zero step entry o Easy passageways throughout o 1st floor bedroom and accessible bathroom
• www.elhomes.org