very good presentation from dfm dubai
TRANSCRIPT
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Dubai Financial MarketInvestor Presentation
Sept 2011
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i
MENASA Region : Macroeconomics . 1
Dubai : Middle Easts Financial Hub . 6
UAE Capital Markets : DFM / ND / ADX . 10
Two Exchanges, One Market : DFM & ND .... 17
Corporate Strategy : Going Forward .... 27
CONTENTS :
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UAE :AN ECONOMIC POWERHOUSE
THE REGIONMENASA / GCC/ UAEAN ECONOMIC POWERHOUSE
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Source:IMF, Global Insight, World Bank, World Market Monitor McKinsey, the World Fact Book and Abraaj Capital.
Iran
MENASA REGION :SOLID ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS-PROMISING GROWTH21,745
38158
99 103
1,347
MENASA GCC NORTHAFRICA
LEVANT& TURKEY
IRAN &IRAQ
SOUTHASIA
Population 2008
(Million)
4,248
1,073
542836
426
1,371
MENASA GCC NORTH
AFRICA
LEVANT
& TURKEY
IRAN &
IRAQ
SOUTH
ASIA
GDP 2008 (USD Billion)
7.1 7.3 7.4
9.4
10.0
6.0
6.9
2.71.4
2.6
1.52.0
2.2 1.51.2
0.9
MENASA GCC NorthAfrica
Levant Iran SouthAsia
US UK
Expected GDP and Population Growth
( 2007 -2014 CAGR - %)
GDP Population
59%
15%
1%
9%
33%
17%
8% 8%
MENASA North America Europe South America
Oil Reserves & Productionas a % of Global Total
Oil Reserves Oi l Production
1.7
x
0.8
x0.1
x
1.1
x
Menasaregions is
emerging as apowerful
economicbloc with
tremendousgrowth
potential,combining thesovereign
wealth funds(SWFs) of theMena region
to theeconomic
growth story
of, say, India,hence, theeconomic
paradigm shifttowards thisregion from
otheremergingmarkets.
7% of global GDP
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$-
$30
$60
$90
$120
$150
SaudiArabia UAE Egypt Qatar
Billions
Top Destinations for Foreign Direct
Investment in MENA (2010)
4UAE :MACROECONOMICS
The UAE, the second biggest Arab economy, is set to record3.4% growth in GDP this year, led by a focus on adoptingindustrial policies that will drive sustainable developmentacross the UAE.
-IMF 2011 Forecast
Source:IMF, World Bank
UAE is ranked 22nd globally for Value of Imports and 21st forExports
The UAE ranked 3rd in the world for quality of infrastructure
UAE is leading venue for FDI in MENA after Saudi Arabia
The UAEsstrong
fundamentalslessened theimpact of the
globalfinancial crisis
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5UAE :GROWTH PROSPECTS
Recovery in oil prices Strong growth in the non-
hydrocarbon sector UAEs service driven economy
benefitting from the global trade USD 50 billion worth of
infrastructural projects still underconstruction in UAE
Oil / Gas as % of GDP (2009)
UAE Trade Projections UAE Import/Export Projections
Ke
yContributors
toGrowth
Source:Dubai Chamber of Commerce
QATAR
UAE
SAUDI ARABIA
OMAN
BAHRAIN
61%
45%
41%
41%
21%
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DUBAITHE FINANCIAL HUB OF MIDDLE EAST
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7DUBAI :VISION & ECONOMIC STRENGTHS
Manufacturing,21.14%
Trade, 34.78%
Hotel &Restaurants,
2.39%
Transport,7.06%
Real Estate &Construction,
19.43%
FinancialSector, 8.39%
GovernmentSector, 3.45% Other, 3.36%
Strengths Reasoning
Highly sophisticated financial centre Dubai is ranked 7th as per International Financial Centres Competitive AssessmentReport , a competitive study of 15 key global and regional financial centres done byKPMG
Favorable business environment Dubai has been rated very high in ease of doing business ranking 33rd globally.-World Bank Index
Strategic location with a strong logisticsinfrastructure to bolster trade
Trade capacity in UAE has tremendously improved over the years with free-zones likeJAFZA.
Solid tourism sector Hotel occupancy rates remained high throughout 2010, benefitting both tourism and
trade activities.- DSC, 2010 Report
Dubais corestrengthsremain
fundamentallysound
Dubai GDP Share Breakdown byEconomic Sectors2009-10
Source :Dubai Chamber of Commerce
Our vision is clear, our goals areobvious, our strengths are great,our will is strong and we areready. We want Dubai to be aglobal center of excellence,creativity and leadership.
-HH Sh. MohammedRuler of Dubai
Well diversified economybased on international trade,banking and finance, tourism,information technology andreal estate
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8 Organizational restructuring of government departments &
related entities
Successful debt restructuring across all sectors with zero defaults
GDP is projected to grow at 4% and above going forward, asper IMF, way above the average GDP growth of westerncounterparts
DUBAI :RECENT EVENTS
Seems like thestars are
aligning for
Dubai onceagain
While challenges remain, the Dubai economy is on a much sounder footing especially asmuch of the excesses and speculative elements of the economy have been weeded out.What Dubai is now left with is an unparalleled logistics, commercial, retail, communicationsand transportation infrastructure in the region - and ready for business in a region that issitting in a fresh pile of cash thanks to high oil prices.
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8DUBAI :GROWTH PROSPECTS
Strong
Oil and gas
Manufacturing
Agriculture
Electricity/Water
Communication
Governmentservices
Construction
Trade
Professionalservices
Financialservices Tourism
Transportationand storage
Very weak Average
Dubais strength by international standards
Globally fast growing industries
with a strong position in Dubai
Globally fastergrowing sectors
Future globalgrowth
20102015
Globally slowergrowing sectors
Average globalGDP growth
Source :DSP 2015
Sectors qualifiedto be part offuturegrowth path
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UAE :AN ECONOMIC POWERHOUSE
CAPITAL MARKETSUNITED ARAB EMIRATES
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10CAPITAL MARKETS:KEY EXCHANGES IN THE REGION
CasablancaStock Exchange
Algiers StockExchange
Tunis StockExchange
Libya StockExchange Egypt Stock
Exchange
Sudan StockExchange
Istanbul StockExchange
Tadawul
Tehran StockExchange
QatarExchange
Palestine Stock Exchange
Beirut Stock Exchange
Damascus StockExchange
Iraq StockExchange
Kuwait StockExchange
Muscat StockMarket
Karachi StockExchange
Amman StockExchange
Cash & FixedIncome Equity,
Index &Commodity
FuturesOnly UAE offer a wide array of trade exchanges/products in
the entire MENA region
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11
USD Billion
END-OF-PERIOD MARKET CAPITALIZATION(2002 YTD 2011) DFM / ND
Markets
Breakdown
(USD Bn)
DFMsperformance
is in line withother GCC
counterpartswith
combinedmarket
capitalizationof USD70.4Bn
MARKET CAPITALIZATIONLIQUIDITY REVIEW
Source :DFM/ND Analytics
9.9
15.1
37.2
114.6
86.9
138.7
83.4
84.6
70.5
72.2
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
DFM,55.5
ND,16.7
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12TRADE VALUES :DFM PERFORMANCE
TRADED VALUE(20022010)USD Billions
v
Thin trading isrecorded
across allGCC marketsin 2010 with
averagedrop of 40%
in tradevalues as
compared to2009
Source :DFM/ND Analytics
0.8
1.1
13.9
110.4
94.8
103.4
83.8
48.1
20.3
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
ADX
BSE
QE
DFM
KSE
MSM
ND
GCC Exchanges
5 Year Comparative & Trend Analysis2006 - 2010
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MARKET VELOCITYDFM PERFORMANCE
* Velocity = Annualized Trade Value / Average Market Capitalization
13
Source :Arabian Monetary Fund
7.7% 7.2%
37.3%
96.4%
109.1%
74.5%
100.5%
62.5%
28.0%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
VELOCITY(20022010)
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DUBAI FINANCIAL MARKET | NASDAQ DUBAITWO EXCHANGES, ONE MARKET
S
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UAE MARKETS :REGULATIONS & OWNERSHIP15
RegulatoryAuthorities
Stock Exchanges
ADX DFM NASDAQ Dubai
SCA(UAE Regulations)
DFSA(International Regulations)
19.9%
79.62%
1%
19.38%
66.67%
33.33%
PublicStake
Ownership
Structure
100%
Governmentof
ABU DHABI
DFM TWO EXCHANGES ONE MARKET
http://www.adx.ae/http://www.borsedubai.ae/index.htmhttp://www.adx.ae/ -
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DFSA
DFM
Dubai Investor Pool
NDMembers
DFMMembers
CommonMembers
Dubai Listing
NASDAQDubai
SCA
OR
DFM :TWO EXCHANGES, ONE MARKETTHE CONCEPT16
InvestingMore than half a million retail investors brought
together with worldwide institutionalinvestors.
ListingIssuers have the option to list on DFM or
NASDAQ Dubai based on capital raisingand regulatory needs.
TradingCommon Members use the same trading
systems and can view DFM stocks and ND
stocks on one screen.
Openingdoors to alist of world
classproducts
and servicesto both localand foreign
investors
LISTINGSEQUITIES / FUNDS 80 13
DFM ND
INDEX FUTURES - 22
DEBT / SUKUKS 7 32
DFM GENERAL INDEX
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17DFM : GENERAL INDEXYTD PERFORMANCE
Source :Reuters
52 WEEKS INDEX PERFORMANCEIndexmovementremained
flat between2010-2011
1,431.71
1300
1400
1500
1600
1700
1800
1900
DFM TRADING PROFILES
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0.00%
20.00%
40.00%
60.00%
80.00%
100.00%
06
/01/2011
16
/01/2011
26
/01/2011
05
/02/2011
15
/02/2011
25
/02/2011
07
/03/2011
17
/03/2011
27
/03/2011
06
/04/2011
16
/04/2011
26
/04/2011
06
/05/2011
16
/05/2011
26
/05/2011
05
/06/2011
15
/06/2011
25
/06/2011
05
/07/2011
15
/07/2011
25
/07/2011
04
/08/2011
14
/08/2011
24
/08/2011
03
/09/2011
13
/09/2011
23
/09/2011
18DFM : TRADING PROFILESRETAIL VS. INSTITUTIONAL MIX
Source :DFM / ND Analytics
YTD 2011TRADING ACTIVITY PATTERN
TRADING ACTIVITY BY CATEGORY
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 YTD 2011
85.4
0%
77.6
0%
70.7
0%
79.1
0%
77.6
0%
71.7
0%
14.6
0%
22.4
0%
29.3
0%
20.9
0%
22.4
0%
28.3
0%
INSTITUTIONAL
RETAIL
AVERAGE INSTITUTIONAL TRADING = 28.3%
AVERAGE RETAIL TRADING = 71.7%TradingActivity :
Client typeMix
Growthmovement isseen among
institutionalinvestorswith 2011
YTDrecording
28% marketshare
DFM TRADING ACTIVITY
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19DFM : TRADING ACTIVITYLOCAL VS. FOREIGN INVESTMENT
Source :Reuters / DFM / ND Analytics
UAE VS.NON UAETRADINGACTIVITY
NON UAETRADINGACTIVITY
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
69% 70% 63% 60% 56% 50%
31% 30% 37% 40% 44% 50%
UAE Non-UAE
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
9% 6% 5% 6% 6% 6%
17%
12%14%
22% 23%21%
5%
12% 18%
12% 15%
23%
GCC OTHER ARABS OTHERS
DFM TRADE MATRICES
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DFM : TRADE MATRICESSECTOR MIX20
5%
14%
66%
2%11%
2%
Banks
Financial Services
Real Estate andConstruction
Telecommunicatiion
Transportation
Others *
TradeActivityBy Sector
2010
* Includes Materials / Insurance / Utilities / Consumer Staples
DFM OWNERSHIP
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DFM : OWNERSHIPSHARE OWNERSHIP RATIOS21
Distributionof Share
Ownershipin 2010 -
2011
BY TYPE OF INVESTOR BY NATIONALITY
FOREIGN OWNERSHIP AS % OF MARKET CAPITALIZATION
10%
13%
8%
12% 12% 12%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Foreign Ownership
2.59% 4.16%
4.47%
88.78%
Arab
GCC
Others
UAE
Retail36.36%
Institutions
63.64%
DFM : MARKET ACTIVITY
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0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
3/10/2010
10/10/2010
17/10/2010
24/10/2010
31/10/2010
7/11/2010
14/11/2010
25/11/2010
6/12/2010
13/12/2010
20/12/2010
27/12/2010
3/1/2011
10/1/2011
17/01/2011
24/01/2011
31/01/2011
7/2/2011
14/02/2011
22/02/2011
1/3/2011
8/3/2011
15/03/2011
22/03/2011
29/03/2011
5/4/2011
12/4/2011
19/04/2011
26/04/2011
3/5/2011
10/5/2011
17/05/2011
24/05/2011
31/05/2011
7/6/2011
14/06/2011
21/06/2011
28/06/2011
6/7/2011
13/07/2011
20/07/2011
27/07/2011
3/8/2011
10/8/2011
17/08/2011
24/08/2011
5/9/2011
12/9/2011
19/09/2011
26/09/2011
22DFM : MARKET ACTIVITYDFM SHARE PRICE
DFM SharePrice
MovementYTD
2010- 2011
TradeVolumeYTD 2010
AED
AED 1.09
DFM : REVENUE MIX
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23DFM : REVENUE MIX
RevenueBreakdown2008-2010
2008 2009 2010
63.2%
75.3%
60.2%
32.0%
18.4%
28.5%
4.8% 6.3%11.3%
Trading Fee & Commisions Investment Income Other Income
DFM isactivelymovingtowardsrevenue
diversificati
on with2010
witnessing40%
revenuefrom
diversifiedportfolio
DFM : INVESTOR CENTRIC
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24DFM : INVESTOR-CENTRICATTRACTIVE PLATFORM FOR LOCAL &INTERNATIONAL INVESTORS
Easy accessibility
No income and capital gains tax
Non-restricted repatriation of capital
Minimal foreign exchange risk
Foreign ownership allowed for most listed companies
Diverse base of listed companies
Local and international regulatory framework
Innovative trading capabilities
UAE :
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UAE :AN ECONOMIC POWERHOUSE
CORPORATE STRATEGYDFM - ND
STRATEGIC INITIATIVES
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26STRATEGIC INITIATIVESADDRESSING FUTURE GROWTH
Getting upgraded to MSCI Emerging Market Status
G30 Compliance and addressing the gaps
Organizational restructuring and monetization of financialservices
Initiating investorcentric services to increase liquidityand trading activities post merger
IPO focus and listings
STRATEGIC INITIATIVES
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27STRATEGIC INITIATIVESMSCI UPGRADE
Key criteria'sfor Emergingmarket status
DFM is readyand meets all
eligibitlycriteria's for
MSCIupgrade toEmerging
market status
CRITERIA
A. ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
A.1 Sustainability of economic development
B. SIZE AND LIQUIDITY REQUIREMENTS
B.1 Number of companies meeting the followingstandard index criteria
i) Company size ( Full market cap )
ii) Security size ( Float market cap )
iii) Security liquidity
C. MARKET ACCESSIBILITY CRITERIA
C.1 Openness to foreign ownership
C.2 Ease of capital inflows/outflows
C.3 Efficiency of operational framework
C.4 Stability of the institutional framework
Emerging
No requirement
3
USD 873 Mn
USD 436 Mn
15% ATVR
Significant
Significant
Good & tested
Modest
DFM / ND
Strong economic
fundamentals with
expected GDP
growth of 4% for
2011
12
USD 71 Bn
USD 17 Bn
33.5%
49%(Current Foreign
Ownership12%)
Significant
Good & tested *
Good *
* Successful DVP implementation and introduction of SBL as part of G30 compliance
STRATEGIC INITIATIVES
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28STRATEGIC INITIATIVESG-30 COMPLIANCE
Delivery Vs.Payment :
Implementation
UNCHANGED
1. T+2 settlementcycle;
2. Pre-validation ofsell orders will bemaintained.This means a
sellers agenttrading account
with local
custodian must
have securities
balances for pre-
validation before a
sell order can
become a valid
order.
CHANGED
1. Permitting Local Custodians ability to reject cash and securities settlement of selltrades back to executing Broker for settlement if Local Custodians do not receive(matched) settlement instructions from clients Local Custodians now have fullcontrol of assets [unnecessary to operate dual accounts].
2. Enhancing current rejection process for settlement of purchase trades;
3. Introduction of a Late Confirmation Period of T+4
4. Securities fails handling mechanisms which comprises:
a. Optional buy-in [between T+2 and T+3]
b. Mandatory buy-in by DFM on T+4.
c. Cash close out against the Local Custodian client [if mandatory buy-in againstselling Broker by DFM fails on T+4].
5. Penalties for Late Confirmation.
1. Reduce risk in Local Brokers having unlimited access to the Local Custodian Client Agent Trading Account.
2. Eliminate the requirement to use a dual account structure.
3. Progression in meeting international best practices under a pre-validation of sale market infrastructure.
4. Facilitate the achievement of Emerging Market status under the MSCI market classification.
DvPmethodology
has beensuccessfully
implementedat DFM as of
May 2011
STRATEGIC INITIATIVES
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29STRATEGIC INITIATIVESORGANIZATIONAL RESTRUCTURING
Neworganizational
structure
DFM
DSX ND
FinancialServices
Business
De
velopment
CSD
EXCHANGES
Trading Enhancements Margin Trading Equity Swaps
WarrantsEnhanced Brokerage Services
iVESTORCards
DividendDistribution
Market Data
Feed
WebAdvertizing
OnlineSubscription
IPO
initiatives
e-Reports &e-Services
DVP SBL
In-house IPOSystem
STRATEGIC INITIATIVES
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30STRATEGIC INITIATIVESPIONEERING IPO STUDY
DFMhas
commissionedIndependent
ResearchConsultants
forintensive
IPOstudy
Tap into the IPOmarket and
research over 500companies in the
UAE
Indentify the top100 companies inprime position of
going public
Develop a targeted IPOmarketing campaign in 2010-2011
Rectifying inconsistencies in theIPO market
Provide IPO outlook for DFM sshareholders
Publication of the Guide to going public Event hosted by DFM for the launch of the
Guide to going public for top financial &legal advisors
IPO Market Study and meetings arranged withpotential IPO candidates (E&Y)
DFM hosted high profile event for the 10th
anniversary of the exchange to support IPOinitiative
Approach the Free Zones in the NorthernEmirates
Initiate talks with the DED & JAFZA Initiate talks via the Dubai Chamber of
Commerce Nasdaq Dubai Initiative- Regional IPO Market
Study and meetings to be arranged with
potential IPO candidates.
The following initiatives have been taken
so far:
The following initiatives are currently
planned:
STRATEGIC INITIATIVES
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31STRATEGIC INITIATIVESROBUST ENVIRONMENTFOR FUTURE LISTINGS
In-depth marketintelligence and
value addedservices
Investor andconsumer visibility
One of the mostliquid markets in
the G.C.C.
Free accessibilityof international
investors
In-depth IR andtrading analysis
Robust andreliable trading
environment
CONTACTS :
ii
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CONTACTS :
Soheib GhizaliAVP, Investor Relations
P.O.Box: 9700, Dubai, UAE
Tel: +971 4 305 5226Fax: +971 4 331 [email protected]
ii
Areej Al SaeedOffice ManagerExecutive Chairman's Office
P.O.Box: 9700, Dubai, UAETel: +971 4 305 5607Fax: +971 4 331 [email protected]