vehicle borne terrorism
TRANSCRIPT
Diplomatic Security
&Vehicle-Borne
Gerald T. McKenna
Terrorism
Beirut 386
Oklahoma City 168
Kenya 224
New York 3000*
• Research Questions
• Key Literature
• Hypothetical Model
• Data & Methods
• Expected Findings
• Conclusion
terrorism
- the premeditated use, or
threat of use, of extranormal
violence to obtain a political
objective through intimidation
or fear directed at a large
audience
vbied
- Vehicle Borne Improvised
Explosive Device; any that
use a vehicle as the
package for the explosive
device.
diplomatic facility
- U.S. personnel and property
falling under Chief of Mission
Control to include all
Consulates and Embassies
overseas.
Research Questions
How have specific policy
implementations affected
terrorism and targeted
states?
Intervention Analysis
Why have these actors
reacted in this way?
Theoretical Analysis
Key Literature
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
70 73 76 79 82 85 88 91 94 97 0
Incidents Per Quarter
Event
Regrouping
GatheringPlanning
Training
2,2 -2,4
4,-2 0,0
2,-4
-6,6
6,-6
-4,2
Nash
-2,-2
Preempt Status Quo Deter
P
S
Q
D
Theoretical
Model
Stand-off distances
Delta-barriers
“Man-traps”
Data & Method
ITERATEInternational Terrorism: Attributes
of Terrorist Events
DoSPolitical Violence Against
Americans/Patterns of
Global Terrorism
MIPTNational Memorial Institute
for the Prevention of
Terrorism
0 1 1 1 2 2t t t tVBIED a a t bVBIED b VBIED
1983-2008
VBIED attacks on Dip. Facilities
Standoff 1985
Delta 1999
Mantrap 2004
Expected Findings
Standoff Distances Lethality
Delta Barriers Prevalence
Mantraps Prevalence
All Three
Interventions
Lethality and
Prevalence of all
other Modes and
to Softer targets
• Research Questions
• Key Literature
• Hypothetical Model
• Data & Methods
• Expected Findings
• Conclusion
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a
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Questions?