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'vBallelle Human Affairs Research Centers POPULATION AND DEVELOPMENT POLICY PROGRAM SEMI-ANNUAl, REPORT 01 July - 31 December 979

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Page 1: vBallelle - United States Agency for International

vBallelle Human Affairs Research Centers

POPULATION AND DEVELOPMENT POLICY PROGRAM

SEMI-ANNUAl REPORT

01 July - 31 December 979

SEI-ANNUAL REPORT

01 July - 31 December 1979

BATTELLE

POPULATION AND DEVELOPMENT POLICY PROGRAM

to

Office of Population Agency for International Development

Washington P C

Contract Number AIDpha-C-1169 Project Number 932-0635

by

Bttelle Human Affairs Research Centers IHealth and Population Study Center

Population and Development Policy Program Battelle WaRhington Operations Office

2010 M Street NW Washington D C 20036

01 February 1980

TABLE OF CONTENTS

I INTRODUCTION

I COUNTRY SPECIFIC ACTIVITIES 3

A Peru 3 B Ecuador 4 C Colombia 5

D Mesoamerica 6 1 Guatemala 6

2 Honduras 7 3 El Salvador 8 4 Regional Central America 9 5 Lxico 9

E Haiti 10

F Egypt 11 G Other Countries Brazil Nepal 12

111 MULTI-COUNTRY SUPPORT ACTIVITIES 12

A CBDCRS Project 12 B Assistance to the SAlDSudan CDSS (Country Development

Strategy Statement) 13

C Egypt - Population and Development Policy Paper 13 D Africa Initiatives 13

IV COUNTRY PROJECT SUPPORT ACTIVITIES 14

A Proposal Development Review Procens 14 B Batelle PDP Fellows Program 16

C Battelle PDP Working Papers 20

I - N

Contract Number AUapha-C-1169 with effective date of 3 June 1977 between AID and the Battelle M~emorial Institute provides for the analysis and eval uation of population policies and dynamics Its specificobjective as stated Inthe contract io

to assist selected LDCo Inconsidering the impact of population dynamics on their own development and to design implement or improve population policies which will contribute to LDC developshyment loall to identify and examine in nine LDC (a) those researchshyable policy and social barriers which restrict the availability of contraceptives and surgical means of family planning as well as (b) those factors which may Impinge for example upon the status of women age at marriage and first conception and other determinants of fertility which fall potentially under the Influeneof LDC government action

As provided inthe contract and inagreement with AID technical directions Battelle Memorial Institute formed the Population and Development Policy Program (lattelleiPD)to carry out work under this contract

This emit-Annual report summarizes Iattelle DP activities for the period shy

1 July through 31 December 1979 a period of continued program maturity and

consolidation increased involvement in AID priority countri the realizashytion of Battelle PUs potential Imil t on population and developiet planning in developing countries and staff expansion commensurate with increased activity The following highlights are notablet

-Battelle PDP Strategy Papers have been drtted for Peru tcuador Guatemala Colombia and lodes Upon final processing and approval by the Polio Division inAIDs Office of Population and respective AID missions tasse

-documents will be distributed and should greatly assist In the implemsentatacn of progrome designed to faciltote LUG famlty planning objectives

tnll denl i kin amper Mos 13 14 and 1 40ibA Viiitinmericajpplation change 4village study in Peru end undocumented workears of Mexican origin were completed and circulated for retview

se otellerbP staff vihited VKFA offices to help forge closer links between our work and that of the multilateral assistance Agencese

Iilsis

cf t +bull4 - 4 4 4

-2shy

Inresponse to the successful mid-term evaluation of Battelle

POPs activities through an AID supported API4A evaluation team a detailed analysis of and response to the evaluations

submitted to the Office of Populationkey recomendations was

9 At the request of the Near last Bureau (AID) a Policy Paper on population and development in Egypt was prepared and

subshy

mitted

Africa Bureau apropos Discussions were Initiated with th

Battelle PDP assistance In Implementing the Bureaus recently

formulated Population Assistance to Africa Strategy

Battelle PD staff technicians were asked to provide assistance

to AID missions in Sudan and Somalia in the preparation of

In

a

their 1982 Country Development Strategy Statements (CDSS) Dr Susan A Stout spentDecember Ma AnneC Xubiech and two

weeks with AIDSudan and Sudanese govegnment and private ofshy

ficials

Staff officials0 made thirteen project related international trips contacting social scientists planners and

nolicyshy

makers ineight countries

fifteen new proposals have been received for a total dollar

amount of $494000 and eight now subcontracts have been written

(two each in Peru Guatemala and tgypt and one each in londuras

and Brasil)

Battelle FOP staff additiore include one deputy directorshy

two research scientists one researcha

research specialisto specialist and two secretartea The addition of Leonard

as Deputy Director is expected to facilitateIobinson Jr the pear Bast and SoutheastBattelle Popefforts in Africa

Asia where he has had considerable program development and

administrative excperience

and A sIgnificant step was Initiated to forualise prorsatie

relations with the Futurescollaborative technical assistance

Group in conjunction with their RAPID Project It is planned

Staff Vill aeeoupan RAPID representativesthat Jattelle POP io countries where AID

on their presentation development visits missions have requested the RAPID intervention Battelle POPs

and effective folloV input is designed to proavide an jIjj

to the actual RAPID presentation - throuoh li- ot mechanis

roundtable discussionslornhday population and developmentfull eader$ id planners 1lur primary thrust

shops for key governMt to the RAPID presentation but in

will be eouloty-specifi6 geared

-3shy

broader perspective and will result in the formulation of a plan of action for ongoing Battelle POP assistance to develop and implement LDC population and development actions

Battelle POP is rapidly draving to the close of Phase V activities under Contract No AIDpha-C-1169 We fully intend to continue these important initiatives under Battelle PDP Phase 11 - assuming successful competitive

contract negotiations After over two years of project start-up activities including the arduous albeit critical process of identifying key LDC Contacts and in building trusted workirg relationships Battelle POP has gained a

strong operative sense of routh and maturity which will lead to increased

and productive activity in the population and development arena We are

convinced that the process of institution building training of LDC social scientists expansion of population and development research and the creation

of understanding and overt political support among LOC political leaders and

gnvitrnment decision makerolplannars ioabsolutely vital-to the eventual delivery of efficient and quality family planning services to people in

developing countries Thi is especially true in Africa and the Near East

an area where very little progres has been registered over the past decade With continued Battelle POP assistance significant gain will be realized

II COUNIRY SPECIFIC ACTTVITIS

A Pru~

Once a leader within Latin America in initiating steps toward a population

policy Peru has nov fallen behind After the military takeover of 1968

private family planning organisations were severely restricted in their

operations Under the military government of 1968-1975 family planning

activities in state-run services Vere drastically curtailed Opposition

to a population policy stemed from the pronatalist bias of the military

establishmenti the opposition of the Catholic Church hierarchy on moral

groundel and the alleged connection between population control and

imperialism made by the political left concentrated in universities

aid labor orgpnisationi

a more open posture towardThe nmw military regime of 1915 assumed population policy than its predecessor tn 1976 a National Population Comiesion appointed by the President presented Guidelines for a copreshy

hensive population policy These were to include a broad educational component for adults and children as well asapleo service avalability

ltll active opposition to implementing such a policy remalned in the

bureaucracy at various levels In the universities and in somesegmente

of the Church

Opposition though oroded by thes efforts of various Peruvian and inter-Ii14al l0d politicalnational Orlanisations still remains lreover the

crisis which has engulfed Peru in the past several years has ma the

government hesitatebeforeta it decisive steps teward a that mly Or at best soesitive bystill be considered unesirable uofaary

In fact there i evidnee thatinfluential factions within the country while opposition from the military the bureaucracy and the political

has recently increasedleft my have subsided from the Church hierarchy it

-4shy

Oovernmentadministered family planning services only recently having

started on a broad prograa scale were suspended in August 197 by order

They vere only resumed in November after considerableof the President protest by professional and other organizations associated

with population

activities

has continued to support AMIDEP (Hultidiselplinary Associationllattelle VP 1978 in

its efforts to raise consciousness among academicians end promote needed

research activities in the field of population

for Research and Teaching in Population) (POlOPZO421706 01) mince

It has also supported a

effort since late 1976 by the N~ationalsimar conectousness-raif Statistics Office (POI7pO5IH709) Aimed at government plannert these

and every provincial c4pitai in month-lons seminars are to be held in Lime

funding the updating of the Populatio InformationPeru lattolle PD is Center as veil as an analytical inventory of population works in Peru at

the Center for Population and Development Studies (CrPD) (p029PZ0211H-71)

Sattelle PD has persuaded the presttiious Institute o Peruvian StudiesB eoctal change and

to enter the population field and has begen a study of

Uattelle was a co-sponsor of the National rural fertility (PO41P075) ) held Conference on Population and Development in Peru

(PO2PE015I1I0d2

in June 1979

WationalP blic new activities in Peru include a

Interest Croup on Population Activities a seminareport on Institutio n

Iattelles proposed al

Obstacles to Implementation of a Population Policy (to be sponsored by

two studise based on the recently available VF1 data for PeruAZ4DEP) and attelle is ale working 0n the organisation of an dean Symposium on

A4IDampP and INT-Population and Development (to be jointly sponeored by

current tv preparing an analytical studyCINCtA) and attelie staff are of the process of population policy developmnt In Peru

have been working to tcuader Individually since the lattelle staff ambers presnt project started in 171f Contats and coilaborative work had alshy

rady been mdertakn with the Ministries o Wealth and ducation the Center Oard (JUNAPLA) I

for Demoraphit Analy5il and the National Plaming 4inistries of Agricultureaddition to these 9attelle has boon working with the

the ro ras and Labor the National ltatistical ad Ce su Institute (INiC)

d Antrepologia paratlcuador (PAI a private momrelit reseasch erganisashy

tien) and the Cntre do Pateridad teepeneable (CUMA a private mprrfit

population Iefrmatioa And action pregram) The lattelle POP preram has

always had excellent Institutienal and perseosl rolatioeps with USAUD euader

Saitelle PO spenserod and helped erganiso a National ro4oinar en Populaby

to present pepulation Issuesties and Devleent in Icuader inJdm 197S (PWICOilN0) N ested I~C and JAMAPA the Pre-PoinAr vim dasigned

and identify reoerch prierities saon reprooentativee ot met 001 aoesless

44

yunding and technical ass istance for research was to be procured from Satshytells PDe and other sources and results presented in a subsequent National Seminar on Population and Development The process though was impeded by difficulties encountered within the L Iinaccepting several clause in the standard battelleAID subcontract format A new format acceptable to lattells snd the Go was-finally tgred upon

Once Sattell PD activities resumed new nOslbilItlis wee identified in several areas Pending projects include studies on rural social change and

fertilit tterns of peasant women the demographic behavlior of urban

pesants demographic history of Icuados and a Publt Interest Group on Population Information Attvitisa Proposals ae epecte shortly for a PopulationInformation Center anhAnnotated Sibliography of Utant Verks on Yopulation in Icuadlor aend a National Conference on Population ad Deshyvelopment Acollaboration is being discussed with the 005s National Deshyvelopment Councils Population and pevolopmetn unit for Rattelle PD technical assistance in Population tmpact Analysis of Ecuadoran development prejntes posibilar arrangement with the USAtD Nission bas been discussed as nother

finally the development of an Ecuadorampnl P DIiP-type activity coca contemshyplated by PAZ is now to be proposed to the institute for Social-N ical Research at the MIinistry of Health

The data analysis anidforml Peers discussing findinas from the PODP fundedirojet wt the rundlcdo de Zdacaelnf Superier tns) (POCL Iei-7S))

to this project prepotion its undrwyAs a supplemotarTefor alowmtomlte i 418A ltlW b Iini ih i ut A i lu

th 0 xfta htTIT rl health~ pelikymeris planners and menaten In October 179 a cenferne wa held ACasiciceIl-Al FAh ti m ofe ii 9218abieathed 111 1fhapter e and lreathingewwv ltIn New Orleans for the purpose of reviewing draft agreement ne teo oerll direction th e should takenograph

CoeMbiau researchers from Corperactd Centro Aegional do e etblcia (CCI) art developing a project which will study the consequences of the C61leaa fertility decline (9O)0C=13)o AIfminar for which national planers and researchers will prepare pressestions em the effects of the fertility decline ea seeioaceomie varibbles teeprieso the first stage of the study Salle plans to suppert this project oad mist 4 revised proposal from

CMthe ew principal ltvstigatr nmed b 11 in Deember 1979

- 4 - i4-

VpAuatios o1 a rAsissal tpwattoo ft11 for Oatemula has saint eaud Srowed during the Pastsi Nevilleth Thasa to the Offtrs at

severat owafitm sd asrasevtteaamp rgioasdtCi polIqeMAher are sare avare thai over bere of the lotorroIaSionship Wewon populattoo asA scieal sail eoesss feletr to their eeustryCs deslopmsw Qrppsitteu to faily plasiu Mo rpol tes vithis the Nsatifal iqylty of 1sam Carl$ be t0049004 - third year W10eaI046041 siwdetn 66 aSW revetIs

Keyl etsl at mun t~sheUtotitraintog to family ptaulog]PIam1ie Cousll are teeroaalMapseIv to osalderotti of tiattoo

oppo ~iio did artoo from osroncereS to the plAMISeS preoe Althouagh 7 msisr 1 NesIth he has (me reversed his septive atoams

UsudI W~wete tos active d5$1- the period covered by this report to Mterat t Is vory evcttI Awems Previously ProgrsoeYat Mel loved is oeowiCI Stllt Sop projets latod6eiiCO4 irdees

tampsral OW40 aid Diftergsia Srtlisy (valverldad delproject asTa1it r1001htUP43)ampad Jorge Artas p~ots rprtosi

of tw wrAC a pepeatles O eeeaWt(iiwr~d~s~~b~t dc1 val P90140MIS 4lO 114181sisry fooest free AW Owdy have stroadyi ssfood the ltoftwof pleawav s 1itiofJ~ei wotal

211 l -oIsepermtbof the Aeilvoa do CtceesaC ItIest (NO hWOorsid y isohla sad adufeerrast to diftisoscs hap o he twirt fitam er SoISS popiv18sla m sheresmt Ubigh will

vikestmsalWe ready for distriwvils fi oarly 1o (Isaeviosoa chommss MOW gsv4e have showa istemleto otislas(sho

Now estteilie deriod shis period 101l040 AfeppaI fo lt sdy CS 5Vc otoses tly st w p9lsolso (101100110ICAMICOafl

aid avtsmat o mfoloee MSpelats lo s epth(PSOWG)TI held oeve t9) Ffogeoel hot$$ Csthe SsOf3UiOfA dWiOP of rurs lastly ate bIe vwald he rarried me ocojwt Willi S111Cacef OAIt rual daoipum Proeee usrvo4t of tooa for umdt Pricrectus with 00SAPI gltch bad led te -Sstormsl nreost to isplsee the possibility of DesseU POP seshaicit celetANC6 ts Pepsat ea IEMt Ma44016 are Wel Fwrecd A(

Proviow teseesss by Sstotts nw oil had sad to the tornwtsef sm Wse eslnnit to the orgeuistIsltotg~roit of froaafdrobwee

The igsvp slottedof she OCCSCUSleC Aoseslsiif for Ppcite-aI keeert a board of01ffealet so puras for11a FVP0111614Cl ONaltepfaIM44111 Ylsh tgreob5 oCf a simlar gu1046wsdC e1soka to establish C410161t got a 1e061se1 C001ral pmariwass AeeeeltiPsm it to sipwi Bese

M Psiewty byas 141194y Vas biinGhgltha$e doveleSesl of owk am tpattoo ISooeort Topieepars liipauts Is she let Local Osfrew

ussietod obe VIlh a eWd Iattvi5P tease Is ftasemtl this project latlatiive will he operitRokl5id

Aampof this wlial latiolls iSP el bas flerastd a 911ra14gy PAV~r etshe latolie IN proosesfor 0641044 for tow redof

2 H reu e o

pouastive I se ionduras but the level of thedebtae is more sub~duedthan In other countries The National Plannin=

Council (cONSIMAIK) has been resivins technical assistance In populati masters for one year from Corporeac6n Centre Rtegonal d Poblactn (CCtp) in 10o0t supported by lttello (MIHNN10II0O) The areas covere are economic modeling and long-term seocal serviced plannini in both cesshya population component has been built Itto the planning mechanism

A now agreement with CCIP (POASIiK04) was reached calling for technical assistance to ODMIULANZ in preparing an emplifted follow-on to the deoglraphic-economic modeling and disoeulnation octivities The asplified program to being designed at the request of MIlDIHonduras

CONSMLtNZ to particularly positive toward CCXo hortionel-technlcali assistance Coetinuation of the woiA should strese pect(- issues (populatiem and educational services family planning and population enhagag etc) and Incorporate some of the population concerns developed at the oetieMl level into the regional development plane The outlook given the relatively modest level of effort seema extremely encouraging COOIMPiAXs pre-prposal for the fellow-on project has been received And 0te formal proposal is epcted by April 1980

The CCI03 t1LANX model first presented publicly in ay 1979 at the Ceetral Amercan Conference on topulation and Pevelopeent sponsored by Sttelle to already being incorporated Into the proeae for the National Development Flan of Nenduras follw-er activities will emphaise dliesemlties of the model and its Use no ter WoNagancee eavell as

other Central American euntrieseoin

The is formal opposition in principle to family Plaing octivitltetom to loendras The problem it snes is the sense of depepulatiee vi -vti the presence of Stghly populated Ii Salvador nearby In thip atmosphere It Vld see diffitlt toimpart a sne of urgency for soeving population growth rates i order to benefit the nation Individual hmn rights woud shythoe be the ealy point of argument for the met Still the CMWtAUl

MYP verb ohold serve ts hiAhlight sm of the important cofequemee ef rapid rowth rates In regard to the previotn of Gects) services d

the Wdl lagal esplicit fAmil plannIrA fopeoent it viii A Alloi etitsion to the beneflts of a tuational service deivor) proolL

kdwr~f aha llI teduntvar Ityrurricu Is The single University in -the

country lacks programs in several disciplines in the social sciences (for

example there is no RocloloSy Anthropology or Psychology) and provides CSUCA the no effective opportunity for research by faculty members

superior Council of Central American Universities apportioned several

regional Graduate programs among its members and Honduras was assigned

With attelle funding the Programthe Ecotouics and Planning Program sponsored a Ieogonl Central American Conference on Population and

Development in Hay 1979 attended by representatives from government agencies

Central America (037U0071l2) As a result of and universities throughout this conference a second one on Population Labor force and basic

Human Heeds wan later sponsored by the University of Costa Ricea with A proposal for a follow-up conferencepartial Sattelle PD support

on Population and the Environment in Central America is now being

developed by the University of Honduras

The USAID mission has expressed enthusiasm for both the CONSUPLANZ

project and the regional Conference on Population The staff of both

projects in turn has expressed satisfaction with the collaborative

support received from USAIP mission staff

In addition a proposal has been received from the newly formed Honduran

Association for Research on Population Inspired by Perus AMtIDP and

actively promoted by attelle PDP the Association is expected to be

the 4eduran member of the planned Central American Association for

Population Research (see section on Central America)

deg Work was completed on both Sattells PDP agreements with

Asooscn and r OO A045H701-02)

Salvador deteriorated last OctoberDe gTaflea Salvadorena (ADS) (POOISA01VIH701o0

before the politital situation in El The f(llowing three publications edited by Ales A Aloes Z

ADS

principal investigator emanated from the ADS projects and serve to

document much of the groundwork underway for population policy formation

and population research in El Salvadort

1 1 Edo4IfL (October 1978 356 pp)Powlo gln 2 es9arolloJ

u fltrsn e om tnfntoel ul---114tnbor 1974 143 pIp)

MIA 120lo IpeItiAuci(gfulfto PelNCItics Y tgaeelou lntedlolpln~rnIfero Pnl(August 1971 NOg pp)

toItabtilsed If and when the preset political situation in 1

Salvador hattelle tPo staff espects Or Rosa Jdith Clsneree

irector of MDSas called In Octobert199 withof July 079 will reschedule a meeting she

planners and resoarherts and representative of Internationalnational ADS project The meeting Vould evaluate

Sorgaisations hich funded Alenso

the projeets finding and repereussolns and suggest future ceursee of

action

4 Westna Central Amrica

Given th relative lmi of the Central Aneriaen countrie (especiallywith regard to their scientific coomunitie) and their historical and institutional links itwas decided that certain Battelle Pop aetivitiss be 4irected to the region as a whole

Stops have been taken conducive to Improved vommniration between populationspecialists In the region and the development of a regional Astociatton tor Research on Population Battelle PDP has wholly or partly funded regionalseminars on Population and Development (Honduras May 1979) and PopulationLabor Force andBasi Human Needs (Coa Rica October 1979) Discussions for the formtion of country associations and a regional link have been held with sroups from Gatoma I Honduras and Costa Rtca It to now intended that the regional association be housed under the Council of Central American Universities (CIUCA) vith initial participation frow those countriesPanamanian researchers hive exprosed an Interest to Battelle PDP far an association in their country whitle political events in Nicaragua end ItSalvador would suggest that these countries not receive concentrated

program activity for the moment

At the request of A14s Latin America Bureau attelle PD undertook an assessment of the tpact of illegal hexican miration upon the United states The investigation took the form of a stlte of the art report consisting of a systematic reviev of scholarly studies and an analysis of their contents bymajer categories vith special attention to the poliey-relevant findingsDuring the course of this work Battelle staff attempted to contact all persons In the United Ioates conducting serious research on the topic in order to Insure that the report be as comprehensive as possible

Sone significant flndins of this report ore as followu

iO - qUA- Depite an apparent cencurrenceaclosee mat o our mast utilized vstimatins techniques reveals a bread range of between 2 and S million Hniitian living Illegally in the US in the mido1970s

a 4Lfliuju Int contrast to studies suggesting that unshydocmented rre do met displaco eitison werke there i incireaing evidenc that seow job displacement does in (et ecwr The estt of this displaeenut depends upo the specific labor market

bull brylstola 115il1saI short-torm Illegal milgrants (seshytimesalled lttlo 01gjantsW) maintain a low profile and make limited Use of welfare health or edvuatie nal fneilitlo8 tonsshyterm utirants Millise social services much the same as citiens and letal roedent Little i known 4t the key team of what portion at the Nexlean migrant pepulattee reafins 10m4tlin the 1-

L

The full results appear as Battelle PRP WoriaPs N lS entitled The Impact of Undocumented Mexican Worker on the t Statesi A Critical Assessment (November 1979 pp 115 bibliography appendices) + -

Blsdes distribution within the Department of State and AID the report has been utilled by the folloving groupso IllsJoint US and Mexican Migration Working Group Washington D C and Mexico Cityamp the Select Comission on IImlgratlon and Refuge Policy Washington D C the California State Lagislature Hearings on Undocumented Mexican Migration Sacramento Califshyorni the San Diego County Board of Supervisors Task force on the Impact of illegal Migration on San Diegol and a joint US-Mcxican Policy Conference on Mexican Migration three locations California Center for Ethics and Social Policy Berkeley

Since Jean-Claude Duvalier assumed the presidency after his fathers death in 1971 foreign aid and governm~ent programs have Increased substantially in Haiti As part of that trend the Division dHygiene Familtaleo under the direction of Dr Ary lorde was establshed in 1971 as the first government-approved program to include Maternal and Child Health care and Family Planning Sine that time research on these eubjects has improved and brought a conropltant understanding of popultin dyamices in haitti

Y The Division I by law the only oranlsation which operates family planning activities Other small but related organtttlons have recently been created eS oroanisations concerned with the role of voaen In April 1979 Prestdemt for Life Duvalier made a statement in which he recognised the need to curb population growth both as a public health measure and as an adjunct to Hlitian economic developmenti this conern was repeated ina public speech InSeptember 1979

Many Haitians believe that nov is a good time to encourage awareness of popshyulatten issues The Preosidenta statements demonstrate a certain It yet undefined coitment to l1v population growth Family planning progrwms through the Division diygione Yalliale have been underway for several years and continue to expand through new channels such as househeld alA iomercial contraceptive distribution programs

The lecrtatrerie du Plan is currently preparing a five-year devlopment plan 19I14 During the past calendar year the plamins organization was rasled to cabinet-level status Slowly it is beginnng to take On in reality its dIu functions ef resource allocation and overall decision making These clilges make it all the mere imerative that population concerns enter met directly into the internaldeeision process Of what ti sv theI eretalrerie d Plan

In view ef the need to premte the recognition of population dynamics 4s a first $tep tovard their integration into development Battelle DP representsshytives V 11114 Mer 4vy and Anm Kubiloch traveled to Hiti In Nevember 1979 to consult with Dr ferdes planning officials uadCAID personnel to determine a framoverk for Siattois 1activitis in Haiti

++ + +++ +++ +S 9 ++ +________m____________________________

Meestings with the various roprosentatives identified support tor u b~tet t4 sponsored conference on Population Public Health and Development in Haiti currently scheduled to take place In late 190 The objective of the ceonfavese will be to bring together researchers government officials and program directors inorder to learn about and discuss population related issues The conference vuldprovide a forum for presentation of results from the heition Fertility Survey which could then serve as demograhic background for disculien e other ongoing and completed research endeavors inHaiti The Division d Hyltone Fautlialo i the most appropriate host tnatitution for the conference and Inpreparation Iattelle PDP plans to conduct a series of mnt-workshopsinorder to train the Division staff

The lattelle PDP sponsored analysis of the data from the Deschap) Jo region was capleteJ during the reprtitn period (PI00OAhtO6H07O) -The investigators have submitted a fellow-en proposal requstin8 fundinig for nine project papers which vill synthestie the results of their research

in the Deechapelles and Petit Goave areas (P0NAOOD)

Blatilelle DP currently developing a strategy paper for poulation and developnit asslstance to tgypt deslgned to prnote the utiliatin of population dynamics indevelopwnt planninl To this end the following subcentracts were Awarded during the reporting period

I Amiean University Celrol Workshop on gotial Research far Develepmot (PO57rYO)8 Dr $and cadalla

2 National Center for Soeieloacal and Criminological Research Catrnt Fertility Dyni r in Rural rgypt (POIAOLO)iDr Atof Rhalffa

Ale wder active coreidorati o ia

University of North Carolina Carolina Population Contert Ilrcalng Population Priority And Awareneo Aig Folitital And Cultural LeadershIp inEIypti Dr Abdei Oaran

Although e aettvitte were ueortaken in Jorde and Tunisia during this tim recent atttlle PVIear lat bureau meetinP have focused4n the eed for Battelle to itnlfltantly augment Its presone In the are Thereshytare prieuity will be Acerded to Rypt Turkey Jlrdan And Irte as Battelle PoP unands its actlvities InNorth Africa and the Near test

2I trCoitutriesl Brazil Nepal

awarded a subcontract to the AfsoclactooBra51151a doBattelle PDP hean Estudoo Populaitiona s (PO55BRO06) to publish aniddistribute the proceedings of a conference hed inOctober 1978 entitled IEncontro Nacional do

Dr Elsa Berquo isthe principal investigatorEstudos Populacion4ta

At the request of tne AIDMission Battelle PDP sent two technicians to to develop a film and to effect subcontractNepal inNovemberiDecemsber

activities on population and development issues Due to the extended nature

of their vipet (through mid-January) details of the trip will bu reported

later inBattelle PDs Trip Report series and subsequent Annual Report

1i1 MULTI-COUNTRY SUPPORT ACTIVITIES

A CUDICRS V)gJja

During the teporting period the design of this project underwent revision

Originally the focus wasn a hemispheric conference to encourage government to initiate commercial and comuunity-based family planningpolicyuaketr

lattells PDP undertook to arrange for seven presentations atservices the conference five reporting on major CBICRS projects inCentral and

South America and two reviewing and critiquing currentCBD and CRS activities

throughout the region These presentations prepared by Latin American experts the basisfor discussion of thewith Battelle DPassistancewere to serve as

utility and viability of such projects first at two small regional workshops for project manager contemplating similar activities and then after further

revision at a major meeting for poltymakers to be hosted by the Mexican

government

In line with the Initial plan seven Latin American experts identiAfied and assisted by Battelle D prepared reports on existing CUD and CKS projects and presented then inAugust 1979 at two workshops organised by Development

Associates Inc one inthDominican Republicand the other inColombia

The workhope did spark interest on the part of participants from three other Hooevertdicuesion with governshyeouptries inconsidtrins similar programs

ment officials cteal scientists and additional experts inthe field led

Battelle PD to suggest that an alternative and more effective mechanism for

extending distslbution of contraceptives in the region would be a publication presenters inassembling the collective experience and expertise of the seven

document could help convince policymakers planners healthone volume Ruch a administrators and program managers that CD and CAS progeraming on a large

cle hap proven to be a safe and acceptable approach to family planning in

both urban and rural coimunitiea toawell as provided how to do program guidelines

-13-

AccordinglyL BattelleiPDP developed and began to implement inthe remaining

experts will work intensively withthe presenters to revise and expand the

scope of their presentations through additional information data and analysis

B Assistance to the USAIDSudan CDSS (CountryDevelopment Strathay Statement)

In an effort to strengthen the analyses of population growth dynamice vis-a-vim the econoac development priorities of LDCs and AIDAfrica field missions the

Africa Bureau provided technical assistance to several sub-Sahara based missions in the preparation of their 1982 Country Development Strategy Statements With the concurrence of AIDSudan Battelle PVP dispatched two staff officials to Khartoum for two weeks in December 1979 Battelle PDPs analynis of the poor in Sudan and its overall input for the Sudan CDSS is contained in Trip Report 054

C Egypt - Population and Developmen Policy Pa er

At the request of AIDs Near East Bureau a policy paper on population and development dynamics in fgypt was prepared Thin document was used to orient Bureau officials on related events and patterns in Egypt and as a briefing paper for the Egypt consultative group meetings

D AfrIca-Initiatives

In concert with the Africa Bureaus strategy for population assistance to sub-Saharan Africa (reported in Battelle PDPs 1978-79 Annual Report Battelle intends to pursue popilation and development objectives in twelve (12)

countries (including Nigeria) designated as priority We have submitted at the Africa Bureaus request an abstract which outline the preparation of 1 country profiles entitled Assess Status of African Attitudes and Recommendations via-a-vis AID Population Assistance to Africa One outshystanding feature of this proposed activity Is the establishment of an African Advisory Committee on Population Assistance

-14shyP

IV OOUNT(Y PROJECT SUPPORTACTIVITIES---

A Proposal Development Review Process

As proposals are submitted to the Battelle PDP Program Battelle PD staff review them thoroughly for technical quality and program relevance In order to facilitate this complexs review procedure a Management Information System (MIS) has been created which documents each of the three Major steps required for all proposalat Project Development Activities Proposal Technical Review and Processing and Subcontract status

The Project Development Activities section shows trips made by Battelle PDP

staff the proposals related to each-trip and their receipt date Request included as well as travel and tripand concurence date for each trip are

report dates During the reporting period Battelle PDP staff made 10 trips to 11 countries

The Proposal Review Process section demonstrates specific steps required of are recorded as proposals enter each phases acknowltdgi

-Dateseach proposal ment and summary monitor and Battelle PDP staff review AIDPOP approval USAID (Mission) approval subcontract writing and signing This section also

sh wnvvhen and at which step proposals have been rejected or referred proposals submitted to Battelle PD receive a thorough review for technical quality and contractual specificity During the reporting period 15 proposals

4 have been funded 5 are currently under consideration~were reviewed of these for funding 2were rejected and 4 were referred

The section describing Subcontract Status indicates start and completion dates of subcontracts and due dates and receipt dates for both progress reports

Trom June 1977 through December 1979 64 proposals wereand final reports received by Rattelle PDPI 23 have become subcontracts obligating a total of

$665900 5 remain under consideration for funding-and 36 have been rejected or referred (see Table 1)

The MIS allows Battelle POP staff to identify clearly the processing stage of any proposal at any time This information has served to point out bottleshynecks which habitually delay the efficient processing of proposals and implementation of a project

--

Table I

PROJECT-TV-DATE SLWM O PROPOSAL ACTIVITY

June 1977- December 1979

Iroposays funded Under Rejectd or Country -~ ~ ~ Consideration Rfre

- o o1000) _~1000)-3ratl 3 8751 60 2 811

Chile 2 -- - - 2 -

Colombia 4 3256 1 27 - 3 297

Cost Rica 1 36 1 3

Ecuador S 2262 1 11 2 1289 2 66C

Egypt 3 1332 2 543 1 789 - shy

31 Salvador 4 610 2 573 -- - 2 237

customs 10 2917 5 1275 -- -- 5 1642

Haiti 2 1432 1 672 1 7860

Honduras 4 527 2 158 -- 2 369

Kopal 2 71)3- - 1 90 1 623 Nigeria 3 132j -- - -- - 3 132 Pakisatan 2 887 shy f-~ - - 2 88 Peru 14 4966 6 M)0 - 8 2416

Philippines 1 133 -- -- -1 133

s5 Total$ 64 1242401 23 AMS S 29481 31 1463

-16-

B Battelle PDP Fellows Program

The Battelle PDp Fllowis program isdesigned to increase the effectiveness of LDC decisionmakers who reside temporarily in the US for research or

training The program gives moderate financial assistance of up to $1500 to LDC dectsionmakers to facilitate their research and writing during their

periods of USresidence In addition PDP Fellows are brought together

with the Battelle PDP staff toediscuss at semiannual workshops the population policy implications of their research for their home countries

Funds provided to the Fellows may be used for computer costs research toassistance manuscript typing and limited travel within the US

professional meetings No stipends for maintenance are provided

Since its inception the Fellows Program has provideJ support for 19

Fellows Those completing their stays in the US have finished five

doctoral dissertations two MPH degrees and a number of research papers Five Fellows have returned tofor publication In their borne countries

their home countries and are working in population related activities

DrPL Joshi is Director of Research Planning and Evaluation for the

epat Drs Bayona Saravia and Alauddin havePopulation Commission of returned to teaching posts Elena Hurtado and Claudia Lecaros have resumed

research activities In9Guatemal and Colombi Two Fellows Teresa HO and

Helena Rib have been acepto to the Young Professionals program at the

World Bank and M Nisamuddin is currently on a short-term mission to Somalia for the Carolina Population Laboratories Several Fellows have

published articles in 1979 Including

Teresa Measuring Time Costs of Child Rearing In the Philippineo

Poplation and Development Review 514

and tconomic Change Battelle P orkingRio Roberto Family Sis Paper 13

Karim Nehtab 3ocioeconomic and Cultural Aspects of Marriage and

Fertility in Urban Pakistan task-West Population Institute

Pager 64

1attelle PD has designated certain of its Follows as Ovlrnla Follows in the U andIndicating that they have completed their residence

returned to their hoe country or they have Completed the intensive phase of their relationship with lattello pD rellows program and have accepted

now professional duties- attelle POP does in any ease send materials concerning the ellows progrm to all its current and Overseas Fellows

of intellectualwith the objective of maintaining and esnarging this network exchange long after the Fellows have returned to their roles as decisionshy

makern on population issues in their own coumtries

-17-

Battelle PDP Fellow

jMohsuuad AIAUVDIN Bangladesh ISWR Dacca Univereityl PhD Population Planning University of Michigan

Dr Alauddin completed his doctoral work in May 1979 on rural developshy

mnt and family planning behavior in Bangladesh villages His work as based

on the Bangladesh WFS data in combination with area data on rural fertility

He has returned to his administrative and teaching position with the Dacca University Institute of Social Welfare and Rsearch

Alberto BAYONAS Colombia Universidad Javerianat Fulbright Visiting Professhy

sor of Sociology Tulane University

Dr Bayonae study of population has included analysis of the 1973

census data on contextual factors influencing fertility and mortality in

Colombia He has nov returned to his post as Director of $ocial Studies at

Javerians University in Bogota

Melinda BACOL-MO TLLA Philippines NCSOg PhD candidate Sociology Utah

State University

Ms Bacol-Montilla began writing her dissertation on ethnolinguistic Her work is based on thegroup differentials in the Philippines in 1979

1973 National Demographic Survey

ur EZEKWK Nigeria

has focused her studies on marital patterns includingtMS Esekwe at marriage (IMAM) in selected Africanestimation of singulate mean age

countries assessing a reliable measure of marital patterns among European and non-European populations and the effect of bride price an fertility

hiu l Bangladesh University of Chittagonli PhD candidate - -ch of Education University of Michigan

was a student of Everett Rogers He received a Ford Foundation grant for five

Mr Haider became interested in population education while he

onmonths of field study in Bangladesh (Dec 78- May 79) to Bather data

nonformal population education programs associated with the integrated rural to the University of ichtdevelopment program He has recently returned

tan and is scheduled to complete his dissertation work in December 1979

anilal PhDTeresa JO Philippines University of the Philippines

candidate Food Research Institute Stanford University

Me No is investigating foale labor fore participation drawing on

Filipino data such as the tlma Multipurpose Household survey in which she

assisted as well so the andlMlysia surveys Upon finlshin8 her dissertashytion in April 1980 she will join the World lank in the Young Professioals

program In December 1979 Ma Mo published am article Msauring Time

Costs of Child Rearing inthe Philippines in gPoulatio and Devlopoetl

Overseas Fellows

GW INCA and Pu cHealth University of California Los Anampee

aHurtadooind ho-fa1owsproaramvhils-e avs tudyina-at UCLA

lin HD uatemala VSAIDGuatenalot MPH4 candidate School Of

where she wrote on determinants of use and Intended us of modern coetracepshytton in traditional and modern village of Guatemala InJuly of197$ she returned to Gustemals where she worked on an AID evaluation of family planning program In I1Quiche She isamong the firat of the PDP allows to return to her country and begin to contribute to policy development

L jOHIM Itepal esoarch ampad Ivaluation 1IQ ltnistry of Health Government of lepalPhD itastatstics University of California lerkley Dr Joahi completed his doctoral work inJune 1979 on the evaluation

of fatmly planning contination rates Nis research was based on data from the Nepal IS Ne has recently returned to his positton a director of re search planning and evaluation for the Population Comission of Nepal and he ebttted a proposal for PW fndin to Anilyss data on mternal and child health InNepal

a htab Pakiltan Institute of Developmest nocmies Qaid Al an U rItyi PhD Candidateo SocloLy Cornell Universlty

Mr WrIN has viittoe on age at marriagO and fertility inPakistan using data free the Nlational Impact Survey for his doctoral work he to developing a project with I the Sysod of the Population Pilenins Costenson and Profaeor Peter Slth on the female life cycle from monrche to first parturition Ne has Just publishd Secoen mc and Cultural Aspects of

rriage 4n PeitilY tn Urban Pakistan through the hatVetdeg leatitato d pians to complete his dissertation tn Spring log0

-- A Colombis Universdad do to Adeel PhD Scheol of Ucatiml S-Ita atv roltyfrO

or locares wrete her diesertation On education dovelopmet and incom Inl rural Celembia Ner work is based an data draw fromi the 1913 onsum and the Agrarian Cemleus of 1910-71 She returned to the Umiversidad do lee asdea Cele nas in0 eteOer 1978

JII OM Pakistan Ppulatte plamaing Cnteslt lalmabd PhD ulaioPlon holveraity of Mightn

is 191 tDr IiamddIn iished his dissearation the aeeptability ot faally planimg itrural Pakista So direteild the Pakistan Fertility Survey as Deputy Diretor of the Populatiu Planns Coissie snd analyced that dataF his doetoral eeare e I currently a Shert-term misa1Lim te SeMeli for the Carolina Poplaties lob

pound ailm 15 and NanaemeatE Philippines College of Develepaset 9eonsees aivr 17 C the lPili PhD candidate I eesice Vale UaivorlI lsont Alty

me qwiu stJene the POP follews Program ioJune 1919 She Isworkshytnl wits data fro the Lagima ad Steel Surveys to 0ema1n the Lber supply in the Philippnlse

Imctute

PhD nLdiddte schl of public eilth Karvard ilvers ty

Mrs Raymand to werktag with date (trm tho niliPPIn Satiftsl DOshygraphic Survey of 19) Rho i eganinlng postparLm t

GiMsa RJ A Phillppiei i oerty W1 the Phllptsi r ltwatiO

enoorrhea breasfeodnll

f bull bull bull bull bull - l

practice socioeconomic differential and their relationships to fortilityi lihe plantia completeherdiaertationin Jne 1990

ejlena R Colombia Univerldad do Jos Andes logota PhD Economics University

Msi Ribs completed het dissertation on the consequences of migration in Colombia in October 1979 She Is currently working on a postdoctoral research project on fertility aspects of the 1973 census Ma Ribs has been selected to join the Young Professionals program at the World Bank

Robertol0e Peru Univereidad do gan Harcost PhD candidate Columbia svermity 14

Mr Rios is In the last phase of completion of a doctoral dissertation eamning ocular trends In mortality and fertility In Latin America He haos noted in his work a mote rapid fertility decline than was typical of the Eushy

ropean demolraphic transition Mr Rios recently contributed 1PW Working Paper 913 entitled Family Site and Economic Change

lgnira MSYZi21 CkGatmala Instituto do Nutriclon de Centro Aaerica y anma (INCA) Guatemala City PhD candidate School of Public Health University of California Los Angeles

Ms Rosenhouse Is writing her dissertation on the evaluation of the validity of attitudinal survey data on fertility-related topics adminisshytared i Guatela Nter work is based on the INCAP-AXD data and focuses primarily on doetted family ise

JsL1AMVampA Colombia Univereidad del Vll del Caucal PhD Land Tenure Center University of Wisconsin Madison

Dr Saravia coploted his doctoral work In 1971 on rural development and health status in Colombia He ueed data from a 1973 health and nutrition survey Ne has returned to his faculty position in the School af Economies iniversidad del Vails del Caous

2911hotu L oJBrasil Iatitute Getull Vargas PhD candidate teshyi 7nosteUiversity of ChicagoJ

Mr sedlacek joined tle POP allows progrm im October 1971 shortly after he began work en a stud- of fertility and wmons work patterns In Brasil and the US with JamoeHeckia and the Stanford Research Institute No Intends to adapt economttii modeling techniques ho t currently developshyn to use on survey data fro eoaulo Brasil

la MUAP Nepeli PhD adidat Population Studies ad Training Center

grown University

FDP Fellw hapa s Frtility survey Of 1974 us carried out the initial parof the research

at the Rest-Vest Cater and has returned to rown University to complete his dissertation in September 1910 is research currently underway concerns estimating trends and levels of Infant mortality and fertility

As the novst Mr I analysing data tree the Sepal

-20

IsttelriP Vokpra~~-c--

Battelle pDp staff and Yellos are encouraged to submit papers for The foloingincorporation Into the Battelle PD Working Paper seies

papers have been issued to date

AlMtLL PDKiUna Iufi

Title Authow(s) Date

ChanOle UP Heareesep Ot Is ThirhouIptan foetility

I 1041i0camOo$ ond family Plsnnisu

Nfi l2 BoxDifeoso Itthe Wsteot to i P 1tle OctIo A4gotlu si Owlelo in C Yarrolil Clas n$lt

J aiSNRIal Guatemsala 1pound11

14

olt iIConsequence 0Mo0llos to S ahCentitbution of Auihroelogsts to VCetoe vI

ot Iamp Velltell p~ |t13lNeceove NisPopltie evele V Ntlpm[ ga It 4 l afliiplatt - Note Punittenm lat Anlst$ V1tteteooy fobIt shy

tleferilityp MWAsols4 later- J lltlt robt7 eatol ind~t Variables fit 5~t Afab Cowmttto

I I The Impe of uralt pitqPM so lt WV letI Kay to

pliteti otth CA Crrsie A i Sashil

May 19I LaePlaifiteaiea 4d Weeleore Numasseew g Peubda goost le itatePOistIeleis

i t May ItiNCtle rtil JnitAli

ISMS to 1 l t t ilatVariables Al

isatal 11i1tt

it The~w to1OfS e e a e t Phte g 5 I 4P sot Hpdel JunA1oi Th eeLatin A erte s Su I il

I lit o f Usual Union tuaotet 1 Alsn JI

t aillttel

Change A Rios et toI r)eally it ampn toonwmto it14 Plt IIIa PorTuitc4nd Reality vile 1311i1101o bull

CA Cctvise I

335 Close Weeit ethe Uitd Steill A ctititl ampos4$- JA 1enioto The losses of iUdenem40 Nealtae mocers

S - aunt ) bull

Page 2: vBallelle - United States Agency for International

SEI-ANNUAL REPORT

01 July - 31 December 1979

BATTELLE

POPULATION AND DEVELOPMENT POLICY PROGRAM

to

Office of Population Agency for International Development

Washington P C

Contract Number AIDpha-C-1169 Project Number 932-0635

by

Bttelle Human Affairs Research Centers IHealth and Population Study Center

Population and Development Policy Program Battelle WaRhington Operations Office

2010 M Street NW Washington D C 20036

01 February 1980

TABLE OF CONTENTS

I INTRODUCTION

I COUNTRY SPECIFIC ACTIVITIES 3

A Peru 3 B Ecuador 4 C Colombia 5

D Mesoamerica 6 1 Guatemala 6

2 Honduras 7 3 El Salvador 8 4 Regional Central America 9 5 Lxico 9

E Haiti 10

F Egypt 11 G Other Countries Brazil Nepal 12

111 MULTI-COUNTRY SUPPORT ACTIVITIES 12

A CBDCRS Project 12 B Assistance to the SAlDSudan CDSS (Country Development

Strategy Statement) 13

C Egypt - Population and Development Policy Paper 13 D Africa Initiatives 13

IV COUNTRY PROJECT SUPPORT ACTIVITIES 14

A Proposal Development Review Procens 14 B Batelle PDP Fellows Program 16

C Battelle PDP Working Papers 20

I - N

Contract Number AUapha-C-1169 with effective date of 3 June 1977 between AID and the Battelle M~emorial Institute provides for the analysis and eval uation of population policies and dynamics Its specificobjective as stated Inthe contract io

to assist selected LDCo Inconsidering the impact of population dynamics on their own development and to design implement or improve population policies which will contribute to LDC developshyment loall to identify and examine in nine LDC (a) those researchshyable policy and social barriers which restrict the availability of contraceptives and surgical means of family planning as well as (b) those factors which may Impinge for example upon the status of women age at marriage and first conception and other determinants of fertility which fall potentially under the Influeneof LDC government action

As provided inthe contract and inagreement with AID technical directions Battelle Memorial Institute formed the Population and Development Policy Program (lattelleiPD)to carry out work under this contract

This emit-Annual report summarizes Iattelle DP activities for the period shy

1 July through 31 December 1979 a period of continued program maturity and

consolidation increased involvement in AID priority countri the realizashytion of Battelle PUs potential Imil t on population and developiet planning in developing countries and staff expansion commensurate with increased activity The following highlights are notablet

-Battelle PDP Strategy Papers have been drtted for Peru tcuador Guatemala Colombia and lodes Upon final processing and approval by the Polio Division inAIDs Office of Population and respective AID missions tasse

-documents will be distributed and should greatly assist In the implemsentatacn of progrome designed to faciltote LUG famlty planning objectives

tnll denl i kin amper Mos 13 14 and 1 40ibA Viiitinmericajpplation change 4village study in Peru end undocumented workears of Mexican origin were completed and circulated for retview

se otellerbP staff vihited VKFA offices to help forge closer links between our work and that of the multilateral assistance Agencese

Iilsis

cf t +bull4 - 4 4 4

-2shy

Inresponse to the successful mid-term evaluation of Battelle

POPs activities through an AID supported API4A evaluation team a detailed analysis of and response to the evaluations

submitted to the Office of Populationkey recomendations was

9 At the request of the Near last Bureau (AID) a Policy Paper on population and development in Egypt was prepared and

subshy

mitted

Africa Bureau apropos Discussions were Initiated with th

Battelle PDP assistance In Implementing the Bureaus recently

formulated Population Assistance to Africa Strategy

Battelle PD staff technicians were asked to provide assistance

to AID missions in Sudan and Somalia in the preparation of

In

a

their 1982 Country Development Strategy Statements (CDSS) Dr Susan A Stout spentDecember Ma AnneC Xubiech and two

weeks with AIDSudan and Sudanese govegnment and private ofshy

ficials

Staff officials0 made thirteen project related international trips contacting social scientists planners and

nolicyshy

makers ineight countries

fifteen new proposals have been received for a total dollar

amount of $494000 and eight now subcontracts have been written

(two each in Peru Guatemala and tgypt and one each in londuras

and Brasil)

Battelle FOP staff additiore include one deputy directorshy

two research scientists one researcha

research specialisto specialist and two secretartea The addition of Leonard

as Deputy Director is expected to facilitateIobinson Jr the pear Bast and SoutheastBattelle Popefforts in Africa

Asia where he has had considerable program development and

administrative excperience

and A sIgnificant step was Initiated to forualise prorsatie

relations with the Futurescollaborative technical assistance

Group in conjunction with their RAPID Project It is planned

Staff Vill aeeoupan RAPID representativesthat Jattelle POP io countries where AID

on their presentation development visits missions have requested the RAPID intervention Battelle POPs

and effective folloV input is designed to proavide an jIjj

to the actual RAPID presentation - throuoh li- ot mechanis

roundtable discussionslornhday population and developmentfull eader$ id planners 1lur primary thrust

shops for key governMt to the RAPID presentation but in

will be eouloty-specifi6 geared

-3shy

broader perspective and will result in the formulation of a plan of action for ongoing Battelle POP assistance to develop and implement LDC population and development actions

Battelle POP is rapidly draving to the close of Phase V activities under Contract No AIDpha-C-1169 We fully intend to continue these important initiatives under Battelle PDP Phase 11 - assuming successful competitive

contract negotiations After over two years of project start-up activities including the arduous albeit critical process of identifying key LDC Contacts and in building trusted workirg relationships Battelle POP has gained a

strong operative sense of routh and maturity which will lead to increased

and productive activity in the population and development arena We are

convinced that the process of institution building training of LDC social scientists expansion of population and development research and the creation

of understanding and overt political support among LOC political leaders and

gnvitrnment decision makerolplannars ioabsolutely vital-to the eventual delivery of efficient and quality family planning services to people in

developing countries Thi is especially true in Africa and the Near East

an area where very little progres has been registered over the past decade With continued Battelle POP assistance significant gain will be realized

II COUNIRY SPECIFIC ACTTVITIS

A Pru~

Once a leader within Latin America in initiating steps toward a population

policy Peru has nov fallen behind After the military takeover of 1968

private family planning organisations were severely restricted in their

operations Under the military government of 1968-1975 family planning

activities in state-run services Vere drastically curtailed Opposition

to a population policy stemed from the pronatalist bias of the military

establishmenti the opposition of the Catholic Church hierarchy on moral

groundel and the alleged connection between population control and

imperialism made by the political left concentrated in universities

aid labor orgpnisationi

a more open posture towardThe nmw military regime of 1915 assumed population policy than its predecessor tn 1976 a National Population Comiesion appointed by the President presented Guidelines for a copreshy

hensive population policy These were to include a broad educational component for adults and children as well asapleo service avalability

ltll active opposition to implementing such a policy remalned in the

bureaucracy at various levels In the universities and in somesegmente

of the Church

Opposition though oroded by thes efforts of various Peruvian and inter-Ii14al l0d politicalnational Orlanisations still remains lreover the

crisis which has engulfed Peru in the past several years has ma the

government hesitatebeforeta it decisive steps teward a that mly Or at best soesitive bystill be considered unesirable uofaary

In fact there i evidnee thatinfluential factions within the country while opposition from the military the bureaucracy and the political

has recently increasedleft my have subsided from the Church hierarchy it

-4shy

Oovernmentadministered family planning services only recently having

started on a broad prograa scale were suspended in August 197 by order

They vere only resumed in November after considerableof the President protest by professional and other organizations associated

with population

activities

has continued to support AMIDEP (Hultidiselplinary Associationllattelle VP 1978 in

its efforts to raise consciousness among academicians end promote needed

research activities in the field of population

for Research and Teaching in Population) (POlOPZO421706 01) mince

It has also supported a

effort since late 1976 by the N~ationalsimar conectousness-raif Statistics Office (POI7pO5IH709) Aimed at government plannert these

and every provincial c4pitai in month-lons seminars are to be held in Lime

funding the updating of the Populatio InformationPeru lattolle PD is Center as veil as an analytical inventory of population works in Peru at

the Center for Population and Development Studies (CrPD) (p029PZ0211H-71)

Sattelle PD has persuaded the presttiious Institute o Peruvian StudiesB eoctal change and

to enter the population field and has begen a study of

Uattelle was a co-sponsor of the National rural fertility (PO41P075) ) held Conference on Population and Development in Peru

(PO2PE015I1I0d2

in June 1979

WationalP blic new activities in Peru include a

Interest Croup on Population Activities a seminareport on Institutio n

Iattelles proposed al

Obstacles to Implementation of a Population Policy (to be sponsored by

two studise based on the recently available VF1 data for PeruAZ4DEP) and attelle is ale working 0n the organisation of an dean Symposium on

A4IDampP and INT-Population and Development (to be jointly sponeored by

current tv preparing an analytical studyCINCtA) and attelie staff are of the process of population policy developmnt In Peru

have been working to tcuader Individually since the lattelle staff ambers presnt project started in 171f Contats and coilaborative work had alshy

rady been mdertakn with the Ministries o Wealth and ducation the Center Oard (JUNAPLA) I

for Demoraphit Analy5il and the National Plaming 4inistries of Agricultureaddition to these 9attelle has boon working with the

the ro ras and Labor the National ltatistical ad Ce su Institute (INiC)

d Antrepologia paratlcuador (PAI a private momrelit reseasch erganisashy

tien) and the Cntre do Pateridad teepeneable (CUMA a private mprrfit

population Iefrmatioa And action pregram) The lattelle POP preram has

always had excellent Institutienal and perseosl rolatioeps with USAUD euader

Saitelle PO spenserod and helped erganiso a National ro4oinar en Populaby

to present pepulation Issuesties and Devleent in Icuader inJdm 197S (PWICOilN0) N ested I~C and JAMAPA the Pre-PoinAr vim dasigned

and identify reoerch prierities saon reprooentativee ot met 001 aoesless

44

yunding and technical ass istance for research was to be procured from Satshytells PDe and other sources and results presented in a subsequent National Seminar on Population and Development The process though was impeded by difficulties encountered within the L Iinaccepting several clause in the standard battelleAID subcontract format A new format acceptable to lattells snd the Go was-finally tgred upon

Once Sattell PD activities resumed new nOslbilItlis wee identified in several areas Pending projects include studies on rural social change and

fertilit tterns of peasant women the demographic behavlior of urban

pesants demographic history of Icuados and a Publt Interest Group on Population Information Attvitisa Proposals ae epecte shortly for a PopulationInformation Center anhAnnotated Sibliography of Utant Verks on Yopulation in Icuadlor aend a National Conference on Population ad Deshyvelopment Acollaboration is being discussed with the 005s National Deshyvelopment Councils Population and pevolopmetn unit for Rattelle PD technical assistance in Population tmpact Analysis of Ecuadoran development prejntes posibilar arrangement with the USAtD Nission bas been discussed as nother

finally the development of an Ecuadorampnl P DIiP-type activity coca contemshyplated by PAZ is now to be proposed to the institute for Social-N ical Research at the MIinistry of Health

The data analysis anidforml Peers discussing findinas from the PODP fundedirojet wt the rundlcdo de Zdacaelnf Superier tns) (POCL Iei-7S))

to this project prepotion its undrwyAs a supplemotarTefor alowmtomlte i 418A ltlW b Iini ih i ut A i lu

th 0 xfta htTIT rl health~ pelikymeris planners and menaten In October 179 a cenferne wa held ACasiciceIl-Al FAh ti m ofe ii 9218abieathed 111 1fhapter e and lreathingewwv ltIn New Orleans for the purpose of reviewing draft agreement ne teo oerll direction th e should takenograph

CoeMbiau researchers from Corperactd Centro Aegional do e etblcia (CCI) art developing a project which will study the consequences of the C61leaa fertility decline (9O)0C=13)o AIfminar for which national planers and researchers will prepare pressestions em the effects of the fertility decline ea seeioaceomie varibbles teeprieso the first stage of the study Salle plans to suppert this project oad mist 4 revised proposal from

CMthe ew principal ltvstigatr nmed b 11 in Deember 1979

- 4 - i4-

VpAuatios o1 a rAsissal tpwattoo ft11 for Oatemula has saint eaud Srowed during the Pastsi Nevilleth Thasa to the Offtrs at

severat owafitm sd asrasevtteaamp rgioasdtCi polIqeMAher are sare avare thai over bere of the lotorroIaSionship Wewon populattoo asA scieal sail eoesss feletr to their eeustryCs deslopmsw Qrppsitteu to faily plasiu Mo rpol tes vithis the Nsatifal iqylty of 1sam Carl$ be t0049004 - third year W10eaI046041 siwdetn 66 aSW revetIs

Keyl etsl at mun t~sheUtotitraintog to family ptaulog]PIam1ie Cousll are teeroaalMapseIv to osalderotti of tiattoo

oppo ~iio did artoo from osroncereS to the plAMISeS preoe Althouagh 7 msisr 1 NesIth he has (me reversed his septive atoams

UsudI W~wete tos active d5$1- the period covered by this report to Mterat t Is vory evcttI Awems Previously ProgrsoeYat Mel loved is oeowiCI Stllt Sop projets latod6eiiCO4 irdees

tampsral OW40 aid Diftergsia Srtlisy (valverldad delproject asTa1it r1001htUP43)ampad Jorge Artas p~ots rprtosi

of tw wrAC a pepeatles O eeeaWt(iiwr~d~s~~b~t dc1 val P90140MIS 4lO 114181sisry fooest free AW Owdy have stroadyi ssfood the ltoftwof pleawav s 1itiofJ~ei wotal

211 l -oIsepermtbof the Aeilvoa do CtceesaC ItIest (NO hWOorsid y isohla sad adufeerrast to diftisoscs hap o he twirt fitam er SoISS popiv18sla m sheresmt Ubigh will

vikestmsalWe ready for distriwvils fi oarly 1o (Isaeviosoa chommss MOW gsv4e have showa istemleto otislas(sho

Now estteilie deriod shis period 101l040 AfeppaI fo lt sdy CS 5Vc otoses tly st w p9lsolso (101100110ICAMICOafl

aid avtsmat o mfoloee MSpelats lo s epth(PSOWG)TI held oeve t9) Ffogeoel hot$$ Csthe SsOf3UiOfA dWiOP of rurs lastly ate bIe vwald he rarried me ocojwt Willi S111Cacef OAIt rual daoipum Proeee usrvo4t of tooa for umdt Pricrectus with 00SAPI gltch bad led te -Sstormsl nreost to isplsee the possibility of DesseU POP seshaicit celetANC6 ts Pepsat ea IEMt Ma44016 are Wel Fwrecd A(

Proviow teseesss by Sstotts nw oil had sad to the tornwtsef sm Wse eslnnit to the orgeuistIsltotg~roit of froaafdrobwee

The igsvp slottedof she OCCSCUSleC Aoseslsiif for Ppcite-aI keeert a board of01ffealet so puras for11a FVP0111614Cl ONaltepfaIM44111 Ylsh tgreob5 oCf a simlar gu1046wsdC e1soka to establish C410161t got a 1e061se1 C001ral pmariwass AeeeeltiPsm it to sipwi Bese

M Psiewty byas 141194y Vas biinGhgltha$e doveleSesl of owk am tpattoo ISooeort Topieepars liipauts Is she let Local Osfrew

ussietod obe VIlh a eWd Iattvi5P tease Is ftasemtl this project latlatiive will he operitRokl5id

Aampof this wlial latiolls iSP el bas flerastd a 911ra14gy PAV~r etshe latolie IN proosesfor 0641044 for tow redof

2 H reu e o

pouastive I se ionduras but the level of thedebtae is more sub~duedthan In other countries The National Plannin=

Council (cONSIMAIK) has been resivins technical assistance In populati masters for one year from Corporeac6n Centre Rtegonal d Poblactn (CCtp) in 10o0t supported by lttello (MIHNN10II0O) The areas covere are economic modeling and long-term seocal serviced plannini in both cesshya population component has been built Itto the planning mechanism

A now agreement with CCIP (POASIiK04) was reached calling for technical assistance to ODMIULANZ in preparing an emplifted follow-on to the deoglraphic-economic modeling and disoeulnation octivities The asplified program to being designed at the request of MIlDIHonduras

CONSMLtNZ to particularly positive toward CCXo hortionel-technlcali assistance Coetinuation of the woiA should strese pect(- issues (populatiem and educational services family planning and population enhagag etc) and Incorporate some of the population concerns developed at the oetieMl level into the regional development plane The outlook given the relatively modest level of effort seema extremely encouraging COOIMPiAXs pre-prposal for the fellow-on project has been received And 0te formal proposal is epcted by April 1980

The CCI03 t1LANX model first presented publicly in ay 1979 at the Ceetral Amercan Conference on topulation and Pevelopeent sponsored by Sttelle to already being incorporated Into the proeae for the National Development Flan of Nenduras follw-er activities will emphaise dliesemlties of the model and its Use no ter WoNagancee eavell as

other Central American euntrieseoin

The is formal opposition in principle to family Plaing octivitltetom to loendras The problem it snes is the sense of depepulatiee vi -vti the presence of Stghly populated Ii Salvador nearby In thip atmosphere It Vld see diffitlt toimpart a sne of urgency for soeving population growth rates i order to benefit the nation Individual hmn rights woud shythoe be the ealy point of argument for the met Still the CMWtAUl

MYP verb ohold serve ts hiAhlight sm of the important cofequemee ef rapid rowth rates In regard to the previotn of Gects) services d

the Wdl lagal esplicit fAmil plannIrA fopeoent it viii A Alloi etitsion to the beneflts of a tuational service deivor) proolL

kdwr~f aha llI teduntvar Ityrurricu Is The single University in -the

country lacks programs in several disciplines in the social sciences (for

example there is no RocloloSy Anthropology or Psychology) and provides CSUCA the no effective opportunity for research by faculty members

superior Council of Central American Universities apportioned several

regional Graduate programs among its members and Honduras was assigned

With attelle funding the Programthe Ecotouics and Planning Program sponsored a Ieogonl Central American Conference on Population and

Development in Hay 1979 attended by representatives from government agencies

Central America (037U0071l2) As a result of and universities throughout this conference a second one on Population Labor force and basic

Human Heeds wan later sponsored by the University of Costa Ricea with A proposal for a follow-up conferencepartial Sattelle PD support

on Population and the Environment in Central America is now being

developed by the University of Honduras

The USAID mission has expressed enthusiasm for both the CONSUPLANZ

project and the regional Conference on Population The staff of both

projects in turn has expressed satisfaction with the collaborative

support received from USAIP mission staff

In addition a proposal has been received from the newly formed Honduran

Association for Research on Population Inspired by Perus AMtIDP and

actively promoted by attelle PDP the Association is expected to be

the 4eduran member of the planned Central American Association for

Population Research (see section on Central America)

deg Work was completed on both Sattells PDP agreements with

Asooscn and r OO A045H701-02)

Salvador deteriorated last OctoberDe gTaflea Salvadorena (ADS) (POOISA01VIH701o0

before the politital situation in El The f(llowing three publications edited by Ales A Aloes Z

ADS

principal investigator emanated from the ADS projects and serve to

document much of the groundwork underway for population policy formation

and population research in El Salvadort

1 1 Edo4IfL (October 1978 356 pp)Powlo gln 2 es9arolloJ

u fltrsn e om tnfntoel ul---114tnbor 1974 143 pIp)

MIA 120lo IpeItiAuci(gfulfto PelNCItics Y tgaeelou lntedlolpln~rnIfero Pnl(August 1971 NOg pp)

toItabtilsed If and when the preset political situation in 1

Salvador hattelle tPo staff espects Or Rosa Jdith Clsneree

irector of MDSas called In Octobert199 withof July 079 will reschedule a meeting she

planners and resoarherts and representative of Internationalnational ADS project The meeting Vould evaluate

Sorgaisations hich funded Alenso

the projeets finding and repereussolns and suggest future ceursee of

action

4 Westna Central Amrica

Given th relative lmi of the Central Aneriaen countrie (especiallywith regard to their scientific coomunitie) and their historical and institutional links itwas decided that certain Battelle Pop aetivitiss be 4irected to the region as a whole

Stops have been taken conducive to Improved vommniration between populationspecialists In the region and the development of a regional Astociatton tor Research on Population Battelle PDP has wholly or partly funded regionalseminars on Population and Development (Honduras May 1979) and PopulationLabor Force andBasi Human Needs (Coa Rica October 1979) Discussions for the formtion of country associations and a regional link have been held with sroups from Gatoma I Honduras and Costa Rtca It to now intended that the regional association be housed under the Council of Central American Universities (CIUCA) vith initial participation frow those countriesPanamanian researchers hive exprosed an Interest to Battelle PDP far an association in their country whitle political events in Nicaragua end ItSalvador would suggest that these countries not receive concentrated

program activity for the moment

At the request of A14s Latin America Bureau attelle PD undertook an assessment of the tpact of illegal hexican miration upon the United states The investigation took the form of a stlte of the art report consisting of a systematic reviev of scholarly studies and an analysis of their contents bymajer categories vith special attention to the poliey-relevant findingsDuring the course of this work Battelle staff attempted to contact all persons In the United Ioates conducting serious research on the topic in order to Insure that the report be as comprehensive as possible

Sone significant flndins of this report ore as followu

iO - qUA- Depite an apparent cencurrenceaclosee mat o our mast utilized vstimatins techniques reveals a bread range of between 2 and S million Hniitian living Illegally in the US in the mido1970s

a 4Lfliuju Int contrast to studies suggesting that unshydocmented rre do met displaco eitison werke there i incireaing evidenc that seow job displacement does in (et ecwr The estt of this displaeenut depends upo the specific labor market

bull brylstola 115il1saI short-torm Illegal milgrants (seshytimesalled lttlo 01gjantsW) maintain a low profile and make limited Use of welfare health or edvuatie nal fneilitlo8 tonsshyterm utirants Millise social services much the same as citiens and letal roedent Little i known 4t the key team of what portion at the Nexlean migrant pepulattee reafins 10m4tlin the 1-

L

The full results appear as Battelle PRP WoriaPs N lS entitled The Impact of Undocumented Mexican Worker on the t Statesi A Critical Assessment (November 1979 pp 115 bibliography appendices) + -

Blsdes distribution within the Department of State and AID the report has been utilled by the folloving groupso IllsJoint US and Mexican Migration Working Group Washington D C and Mexico Cityamp the Select Comission on IImlgratlon and Refuge Policy Washington D C the California State Lagislature Hearings on Undocumented Mexican Migration Sacramento Califshyorni the San Diego County Board of Supervisors Task force on the Impact of illegal Migration on San Diegol and a joint US-Mcxican Policy Conference on Mexican Migration three locations California Center for Ethics and Social Policy Berkeley

Since Jean-Claude Duvalier assumed the presidency after his fathers death in 1971 foreign aid and governm~ent programs have Increased substantially in Haiti As part of that trend the Division dHygiene Familtaleo under the direction of Dr Ary lorde was establshed in 1971 as the first government-approved program to include Maternal and Child Health care and Family Planning Sine that time research on these eubjects has improved and brought a conropltant understanding of popultin dyamices in haitti

Y The Division I by law the only oranlsation which operates family planning activities Other small but related organtttlons have recently been created eS oroanisations concerned with the role of voaen In April 1979 Prestdemt for Life Duvalier made a statement in which he recognised the need to curb population growth both as a public health measure and as an adjunct to Hlitian economic developmenti this conern was repeated ina public speech InSeptember 1979

Many Haitians believe that nov is a good time to encourage awareness of popshyulatten issues The Preosidenta statements demonstrate a certain It yet undefined coitment to l1v population growth Family planning progrwms through the Division diygione Yalliale have been underway for several years and continue to expand through new channels such as househeld alA iomercial contraceptive distribution programs

The lecrtatrerie du Plan is currently preparing a five-year devlopment plan 19I14 During the past calendar year the plamins organization was rasled to cabinet-level status Slowly it is beginnng to take On in reality its dIu functions ef resource allocation and overall decision making These clilges make it all the mere imerative that population concerns enter met directly into the internaldeeision process Of what ti sv theI eretalrerie d Plan

In view ef the need to premte the recognition of population dynamics 4s a first $tep tovard their integration into development Battelle DP representsshytives V 11114 Mer 4vy and Anm Kubiloch traveled to Hiti In Nevember 1979 to consult with Dr ferdes planning officials uadCAID personnel to determine a framoverk for Siattois 1activitis in Haiti

++ + +++ +++ +S 9 ++ +________m____________________________

Meestings with the various roprosentatives identified support tor u b~tet t4 sponsored conference on Population Public Health and Development in Haiti currently scheduled to take place In late 190 The objective of the ceonfavese will be to bring together researchers government officials and program directors inorder to learn about and discuss population related issues The conference vuldprovide a forum for presentation of results from the heition Fertility Survey which could then serve as demograhic background for disculien e other ongoing and completed research endeavors inHaiti The Division d Hyltone Fautlialo i the most appropriate host tnatitution for the conference and Inpreparation Iattelle PDP plans to conduct a series of mnt-workshopsinorder to train the Division staff

The lattelle PDP sponsored analysis of the data from the Deschap) Jo region was capleteJ during the reprtitn period (PI00OAhtO6H07O) -The investigators have submitted a fellow-en proposal requstin8 fundinig for nine project papers which vill synthestie the results of their research

in the Deechapelles and Petit Goave areas (P0NAOOD)

Blatilelle DP currently developing a strategy paper for poulation and developnit asslstance to tgypt deslgned to prnote the utiliatin of population dynamics indevelopwnt planninl To this end the following subcentracts were Awarded during the reporting period

I Amiean University Celrol Workshop on gotial Research far Develepmot (PO57rYO)8 Dr $and cadalla

2 National Center for Soeieloacal and Criminological Research Catrnt Fertility Dyni r in Rural rgypt (POIAOLO)iDr Atof Rhalffa

Ale wder active coreidorati o ia

University of North Carolina Carolina Population Contert Ilrcalng Population Priority And Awareneo Aig Folitital And Cultural LeadershIp inEIypti Dr Abdei Oaran

Although e aettvitte were ueortaken in Jorde and Tunisia during this tim recent atttlle PVIear lat bureau meetinP have focused4n the eed for Battelle to itnlfltantly augment Its presone In the are Thereshytare prieuity will be Acerded to Rypt Turkey Jlrdan And Irte as Battelle PoP unands its actlvities InNorth Africa and the Near test

2I trCoitutriesl Brazil Nepal

awarded a subcontract to the AfsoclactooBra51151a doBattelle PDP hean Estudoo Populaitiona s (PO55BRO06) to publish aniddistribute the proceedings of a conference hed inOctober 1978 entitled IEncontro Nacional do

Dr Elsa Berquo isthe principal investigatorEstudos Populacion4ta

At the request of tne AIDMission Battelle PDP sent two technicians to to develop a film and to effect subcontractNepal inNovemberiDecemsber

activities on population and development issues Due to the extended nature

of their vipet (through mid-January) details of the trip will bu reported

later inBattelle PDs Trip Report series and subsequent Annual Report

1i1 MULTI-COUNTRY SUPPORT ACTIVITIES

A CUDICRS V)gJja

During the teporting period the design of this project underwent revision

Originally the focus wasn a hemispheric conference to encourage government to initiate commercial and comuunity-based family planningpolicyuaketr

lattells PDP undertook to arrange for seven presentations atservices the conference five reporting on major CBICRS projects inCentral and

South America and two reviewing and critiquing currentCBD and CRS activities

throughout the region These presentations prepared by Latin American experts the basisfor discussion of thewith Battelle DPassistancewere to serve as

utility and viability of such projects first at two small regional workshops for project manager contemplating similar activities and then after further

revision at a major meeting for poltymakers to be hosted by the Mexican

government

In line with the Initial plan seven Latin American experts identiAfied and assisted by Battelle D prepared reports on existing CUD and CKS projects and presented then inAugust 1979 at two workshops organised by Development

Associates Inc one inthDominican Republicand the other inColombia

The workhope did spark interest on the part of participants from three other Hooevertdicuesion with governshyeouptries inconsidtrins similar programs

ment officials cteal scientists and additional experts inthe field led

Battelle PD to suggest that an alternative and more effective mechanism for

extending distslbution of contraceptives in the region would be a publication presenters inassembling the collective experience and expertise of the seven

document could help convince policymakers planners healthone volume Ruch a administrators and program managers that CD and CAS progeraming on a large

cle hap proven to be a safe and acceptable approach to family planning in

both urban and rural coimunitiea toawell as provided how to do program guidelines

-13-

AccordinglyL BattelleiPDP developed and began to implement inthe remaining

experts will work intensively withthe presenters to revise and expand the

scope of their presentations through additional information data and analysis

B Assistance to the USAIDSudan CDSS (CountryDevelopment Strathay Statement)

In an effort to strengthen the analyses of population growth dynamice vis-a-vim the econoac development priorities of LDCs and AIDAfrica field missions the

Africa Bureau provided technical assistance to several sub-Sahara based missions in the preparation of their 1982 Country Development Strategy Statements With the concurrence of AIDSudan Battelle PVP dispatched two staff officials to Khartoum for two weeks in December 1979 Battelle PDPs analynis of the poor in Sudan and its overall input for the Sudan CDSS is contained in Trip Report 054

C Egypt - Population and Developmen Policy Pa er

At the request of AIDs Near East Bureau a policy paper on population and development dynamics in fgypt was prepared Thin document was used to orient Bureau officials on related events and patterns in Egypt and as a briefing paper for the Egypt consultative group meetings

D AfrIca-Initiatives

In concert with the Africa Bureaus strategy for population assistance to sub-Saharan Africa (reported in Battelle PDPs 1978-79 Annual Report Battelle intends to pursue popilation and development objectives in twelve (12)

countries (including Nigeria) designated as priority We have submitted at the Africa Bureaus request an abstract which outline the preparation of 1 country profiles entitled Assess Status of African Attitudes and Recommendations via-a-vis AID Population Assistance to Africa One outshystanding feature of this proposed activity Is the establishment of an African Advisory Committee on Population Assistance

-14shyP

IV OOUNT(Y PROJECT SUPPORTACTIVITIES---

A Proposal Development Review Process

As proposals are submitted to the Battelle PDP Program Battelle PD staff review them thoroughly for technical quality and program relevance In order to facilitate this complexs review procedure a Management Information System (MIS) has been created which documents each of the three Major steps required for all proposalat Project Development Activities Proposal Technical Review and Processing and Subcontract status

The Project Development Activities section shows trips made by Battelle PDP

staff the proposals related to each-trip and their receipt date Request included as well as travel and tripand concurence date for each trip are

report dates During the reporting period Battelle PDP staff made 10 trips to 11 countries

The Proposal Review Process section demonstrates specific steps required of are recorded as proposals enter each phases acknowltdgi

-Dateseach proposal ment and summary monitor and Battelle PDP staff review AIDPOP approval USAID (Mission) approval subcontract writing and signing This section also

sh wnvvhen and at which step proposals have been rejected or referred proposals submitted to Battelle PD receive a thorough review for technical quality and contractual specificity During the reporting period 15 proposals

4 have been funded 5 are currently under consideration~were reviewed of these for funding 2were rejected and 4 were referred

The section describing Subcontract Status indicates start and completion dates of subcontracts and due dates and receipt dates for both progress reports

Trom June 1977 through December 1979 64 proposals wereand final reports received by Rattelle PDPI 23 have become subcontracts obligating a total of

$665900 5 remain under consideration for funding-and 36 have been rejected or referred (see Table 1)

The MIS allows Battelle POP staff to identify clearly the processing stage of any proposal at any time This information has served to point out bottleshynecks which habitually delay the efficient processing of proposals and implementation of a project

--

Table I

PROJECT-TV-DATE SLWM O PROPOSAL ACTIVITY

June 1977- December 1979

Iroposays funded Under Rejectd or Country -~ ~ ~ Consideration Rfre

- o o1000) _~1000)-3ratl 3 8751 60 2 811

Chile 2 -- - - 2 -

Colombia 4 3256 1 27 - 3 297

Cost Rica 1 36 1 3

Ecuador S 2262 1 11 2 1289 2 66C

Egypt 3 1332 2 543 1 789 - shy

31 Salvador 4 610 2 573 -- - 2 237

customs 10 2917 5 1275 -- -- 5 1642

Haiti 2 1432 1 672 1 7860

Honduras 4 527 2 158 -- 2 369

Kopal 2 71)3- - 1 90 1 623 Nigeria 3 132j -- - -- - 3 132 Pakisatan 2 887 shy f-~ - - 2 88 Peru 14 4966 6 M)0 - 8 2416

Philippines 1 133 -- -- -1 133

s5 Total$ 64 1242401 23 AMS S 29481 31 1463

-16-

B Battelle PDP Fellows Program

The Battelle PDp Fllowis program isdesigned to increase the effectiveness of LDC decisionmakers who reside temporarily in the US for research or

training The program gives moderate financial assistance of up to $1500 to LDC dectsionmakers to facilitate their research and writing during their

periods of USresidence In addition PDP Fellows are brought together

with the Battelle PDP staff toediscuss at semiannual workshops the population policy implications of their research for their home countries

Funds provided to the Fellows may be used for computer costs research toassistance manuscript typing and limited travel within the US

professional meetings No stipends for maintenance are provided

Since its inception the Fellows Program has provideJ support for 19

Fellows Those completing their stays in the US have finished five

doctoral dissertations two MPH degrees and a number of research papers Five Fellows have returned tofor publication In their borne countries

their home countries and are working in population related activities

DrPL Joshi is Director of Research Planning and Evaluation for the

epat Drs Bayona Saravia and Alauddin havePopulation Commission of returned to teaching posts Elena Hurtado and Claudia Lecaros have resumed

research activities In9Guatemal and Colombi Two Fellows Teresa HO and

Helena Rib have been acepto to the Young Professionals program at the

World Bank and M Nisamuddin is currently on a short-term mission to Somalia for the Carolina Population Laboratories Several Fellows have

published articles in 1979 Including

Teresa Measuring Time Costs of Child Rearing In the Philippineo

Poplation and Development Review 514

and tconomic Change Battelle P orkingRio Roberto Family Sis Paper 13

Karim Nehtab 3ocioeconomic and Cultural Aspects of Marriage and

Fertility in Urban Pakistan task-West Population Institute

Pager 64

1attelle PD has designated certain of its Follows as Ovlrnla Follows in the U andIndicating that they have completed their residence

returned to their hoe country or they have Completed the intensive phase of their relationship with lattello pD rellows program and have accepted

now professional duties- attelle POP does in any ease send materials concerning the ellows progrm to all its current and Overseas Fellows

of intellectualwith the objective of maintaining and esnarging this network exchange long after the Fellows have returned to their roles as decisionshy

makern on population issues in their own coumtries

-17-

Battelle PDP Fellow

jMohsuuad AIAUVDIN Bangladesh ISWR Dacca Univereityl PhD Population Planning University of Michigan

Dr Alauddin completed his doctoral work in May 1979 on rural developshy

mnt and family planning behavior in Bangladesh villages His work as based

on the Bangladesh WFS data in combination with area data on rural fertility

He has returned to his administrative and teaching position with the Dacca University Institute of Social Welfare and Rsearch

Alberto BAYONAS Colombia Universidad Javerianat Fulbright Visiting Professhy

sor of Sociology Tulane University

Dr Bayonae study of population has included analysis of the 1973

census data on contextual factors influencing fertility and mortality in

Colombia He has nov returned to his post as Director of $ocial Studies at

Javerians University in Bogota

Melinda BACOL-MO TLLA Philippines NCSOg PhD candidate Sociology Utah

State University

Ms Bacol-Montilla began writing her dissertation on ethnolinguistic Her work is based on thegroup differentials in the Philippines in 1979

1973 National Demographic Survey

ur EZEKWK Nigeria

has focused her studies on marital patterns includingtMS Esekwe at marriage (IMAM) in selected Africanestimation of singulate mean age

countries assessing a reliable measure of marital patterns among European and non-European populations and the effect of bride price an fertility

hiu l Bangladesh University of Chittagonli PhD candidate - -ch of Education University of Michigan

was a student of Everett Rogers He received a Ford Foundation grant for five

Mr Haider became interested in population education while he

onmonths of field study in Bangladesh (Dec 78- May 79) to Bather data

nonformal population education programs associated with the integrated rural to the University of ichtdevelopment program He has recently returned

tan and is scheduled to complete his dissertation work in December 1979

anilal PhDTeresa JO Philippines University of the Philippines

candidate Food Research Institute Stanford University

Me No is investigating foale labor fore participation drawing on

Filipino data such as the tlma Multipurpose Household survey in which she

assisted as well so the andlMlysia surveys Upon finlshin8 her dissertashytion in April 1980 she will join the World lank in the Young Professioals

program In December 1979 Ma Mo published am article Msauring Time

Costs of Child Rearing inthe Philippines in gPoulatio and Devlopoetl

Overseas Fellows

GW INCA and Pu cHealth University of California Los Anampee

aHurtadooind ho-fa1owsproaramvhils-e avs tudyina-at UCLA

lin HD uatemala VSAIDGuatenalot MPH4 candidate School Of

where she wrote on determinants of use and Intended us of modern coetracepshytton in traditional and modern village of Guatemala InJuly of197$ she returned to Gustemals where she worked on an AID evaluation of family planning program In I1Quiche She isamong the firat of the PDP allows to return to her country and begin to contribute to policy development

L jOHIM Itepal esoarch ampad Ivaluation 1IQ ltnistry of Health Government of lepalPhD itastatstics University of California lerkley Dr Joahi completed his doctoral work inJune 1979 on the evaluation

of fatmly planning contination rates Nis research was based on data from the Nepal IS Ne has recently returned to his positton a director of re search planning and evaluation for the Population Comission of Nepal and he ebttted a proposal for PW fndin to Anilyss data on mternal and child health InNepal

a htab Pakiltan Institute of Developmest nocmies Qaid Al an U rItyi PhD Candidateo SocloLy Cornell Universlty

Mr WrIN has viittoe on age at marriagO and fertility inPakistan using data free the Nlational Impact Survey for his doctoral work he to developing a project with I the Sysod of the Population Pilenins Costenson and Profaeor Peter Slth on the female life cycle from monrche to first parturition Ne has Just publishd Secoen mc and Cultural Aspects of

rriage 4n PeitilY tn Urban Pakistan through the hatVetdeg leatitato d pians to complete his dissertation tn Spring log0

-- A Colombis Universdad do to Adeel PhD Scheol of Ucatiml S-Ita atv roltyfrO

or locares wrete her diesertation On education dovelopmet and incom Inl rural Celembia Ner work is based an data draw fromi the 1913 onsum and the Agrarian Cemleus of 1910-71 She returned to the Umiversidad do lee asdea Cele nas in0 eteOer 1978

JII OM Pakistan Ppulatte plamaing Cnteslt lalmabd PhD ulaioPlon holveraity of Mightn

is 191 tDr IiamddIn iished his dissearation the aeeptability ot faally planimg itrural Pakista So direteild the Pakistan Fertility Survey as Deputy Diretor of the Populatiu Planns Coissie snd analyced that dataF his doetoral eeare e I currently a Shert-term misa1Lim te SeMeli for the Carolina Poplaties lob

pound ailm 15 and NanaemeatE Philippines College of Develepaset 9eonsees aivr 17 C the lPili PhD candidate I eesice Vale UaivorlI lsont Alty

me qwiu stJene the POP follews Program ioJune 1919 She Isworkshytnl wits data fro the Lagima ad Steel Surveys to 0ema1n the Lber supply in the Philippnlse

Imctute

PhD nLdiddte schl of public eilth Karvard ilvers ty

Mrs Raymand to werktag with date (trm tho niliPPIn Satiftsl DOshygraphic Survey of 19) Rho i eganinlng postparLm t

GiMsa RJ A Phillppiei i oerty W1 the Phllptsi r ltwatiO

enoorrhea breasfeodnll

f bull bull bull bull bull - l

practice socioeconomic differential and their relationships to fortilityi lihe plantia completeherdiaertationin Jne 1990

ejlena R Colombia Univerldad do Jos Andes logota PhD Economics University

Msi Ribs completed het dissertation on the consequences of migration in Colombia in October 1979 She Is currently working on a postdoctoral research project on fertility aspects of the 1973 census Ma Ribs has been selected to join the Young Professionals program at the World Bank

Robertol0e Peru Univereidad do gan Harcost PhD candidate Columbia svermity 14

Mr Rios is In the last phase of completion of a doctoral dissertation eamning ocular trends In mortality and fertility In Latin America He haos noted in his work a mote rapid fertility decline than was typical of the Eushy

ropean demolraphic transition Mr Rios recently contributed 1PW Working Paper 913 entitled Family Site and Economic Change

lgnira MSYZi21 CkGatmala Instituto do Nutriclon de Centro Aaerica y anma (INCA) Guatemala City PhD candidate School of Public Health University of California Los Angeles

Ms Rosenhouse Is writing her dissertation on the evaluation of the validity of attitudinal survey data on fertility-related topics adminisshytared i Guatela Nter work is based on the INCAP-AXD data and focuses primarily on doetted family ise

JsL1AMVampA Colombia Univereidad del Vll del Caucal PhD Land Tenure Center University of Wisconsin Madison

Dr Saravia coploted his doctoral work In 1971 on rural development and health status in Colombia He ueed data from a 1973 health and nutrition survey Ne has returned to his faculty position in the School af Economies iniversidad del Vails del Caous

2911hotu L oJBrasil Iatitute Getull Vargas PhD candidate teshyi 7nosteUiversity of ChicagoJ

Mr sedlacek joined tle POP allows progrm im October 1971 shortly after he began work en a stud- of fertility and wmons work patterns In Brasil and the US with JamoeHeckia and the Stanford Research Institute No Intends to adapt economttii modeling techniques ho t currently developshyn to use on survey data fro eoaulo Brasil

la MUAP Nepeli PhD adidat Population Studies ad Training Center

grown University

FDP Fellw hapa s Frtility survey Of 1974 us carried out the initial parof the research

at the Rest-Vest Cater and has returned to rown University to complete his dissertation in September 1910 is research currently underway concerns estimating trends and levels of Infant mortality and fertility

As the novst Mr I analysing data tree the Sepal

-20

IsttelriP Vokpra~~-c--

Battelle pDp staff and Yellos are encouraged to submit papers for The foloingincorporation Into the Battelle PD Working Paper seies

papers have been issued to date

AlMtLL PDKiUna Iufi

Title Authow(s) Date

ChanOle UP Heareesep Ot Is ThirhouIptan foetility

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14

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Page 3: vBallelle - United States Agency for International

TABLE OF CONTENTS

I INTRODUCTION

I COUNTRY SPECIFIC ACTIVITIES 3

A Peru 3 B Ecuador 4 C Colombia 5

D Mesoamerica 6 1 Guatemala 6

2 Honduras 7 3 El Salvador 8 4 Regional Central America 9 5 Lxico 9

E Haiti 10

F Egypt 11 G Other Countries Brazil Nepal 12

111 MULTI-COUNTRY SUPPORT ACTIVITIES 12

A CBDCRS Project 12 B Assistance to the SAlDSudan CDSS (Country Development

Strategy Statement) 13

C Egypt - Population and Development Policy Paper 13 D Africa Initiatives 13

IV COUNTRY PROJECT SUPPORT ACTIVITIES 14

A Proposal Development Review Procens 14 B Batelle PDP Fellows Program 16

C Battelle PDP Working Papers 20

I - N

Contract Number AUapha-C-1169 with effective date of 3 June 1977 between AID and the Battelle M~emorial Institute provides for the analysis and eval uation of population policies and dynamics Its specificobjective as stated Inthe contract io

to assist selected LDCo Inconsidering the impact of population dynamics on their own development and to design implement or improve population policies which will contribute to LDC developshyment loall to identify and examine in nine LDC (a) those researchshyable policy and social barriers which restrict the availability of contraceptives and surgical means of family planning as well as (b) those factors which may Impinge for example upon the status of women age at marriage and first conception and other determinants of fertility which fall potentially under the Influeneof LDC government action

As provided inthe contract and inagreement with AID technical directions Battelle Memorial Institute formed the Population and Development Policy Program (lattelleiPD)to carry out work under this contract

This emit-Annual report summarizes Iattelle DP activities for the period shy

1 July through 31 December 1979 a period of continued program maturity and

consolidation increased involvement in AID priority countri the realizashytion of Battelle PUs potential Imil t on population and developiet planning in developing countries and staff expansion commensurate with increased activity The following highlights are notablet

-Battelle PDP Strategy Papers have been drtted for Peru tcuador Guatemala Colombia and lodes Upon final processing and approval by the Polio Division inAIDs Office of Population and respective AID missions tasse

-documents will be distributed and should greatly assist In the implemsentatacn of progrome designed to faciltote LUG famlty planning objectives

tnll denl i kin amper Mos 13 14 and 1 40ibA Viiitinmericajpplation change 4village study in Peru end undocumented workears of Mexican origin were completed and circulated for retview

se otellerbP staff vihited VKFA offices to help forge closer links between our work and that of the multilateral assistance Agencese

Iilsis

cf t +bull4 - 4 4 4

-2shy

Inresponse to the successful mid-term evaluation of Battelle

POPs activities through an AID supported API4A evaluation team a detailed analysis of and response to the evaluations

submitted to the Office of Populationkey recomendations was

9 At the request of the Near last Bureau (AID) a Policy Paper on population and development in Egypt was prepared and

subshy

mitted

Africa Bureau apropos Discussions were Initiated with th

Battelle PDP assistance In Implementing the Bureaus recently

formulated Population Assistance to Africa Strategy

Battelle PD staff technicians were asked to provide assistance

to AID missions in Sudan and Somalia in the preparation of

In

a

their 1982 Country Development Strategy Statements (CDSS) Dr Susan A Stout spentDecember Ma AnneC Xubiech and two

weeks with AIDSudan and Sudanese govegnment and private ofshy

ficials

Staff officials0 made thirteen project related international trips contacting social scientists planners and

nolicyshy

makers ineight countries

fifteen new proposals have been received for a total dollar

amount of $494000 and eight now subcontracts have been written

(two each in Peru Guatemala and tgypt and one each in londuras

and Brasil)

Battelle FOP staff additiore include one deputy directorshy

two research scientists one researcha

research specialisto specialist and two secretartea The addition of Leonard

as Deputy Director is expected to facilitateIobinson Jr the pear Bast and SoutheastBattelle Popefforts in Africa

Asia where he has had considerable program development and

administrative excperience

and A sIgnificant step was Initiated to forualise prorsatie

relations with the Futurescollaborative technical assistance

Group in conjunction with their RAPID Project It is planned

Staff Vill aeeoupan RAPID representativesthat Jattelle POP io countries where AID

on their presentation development visits missions have requested the RAPID intervention Battelle POPs

and effective folloV input is designed to proavide an jIjj

to the actual RAPID presentation - throuoh li- ot mechanis

roundtable discussionslornhday population and developmentfull eader$ id planners 1lur primary thrust

shops for key governMt to the RAPID presentation but in

will be eouloty-specifi6 geared

-3shy

broader perspective and will result in the formulation of a plan of action for ongoing Battelle POP assistance to develop and implement LDC population and development actions

Battelle POP is rapidly draving to the close of Phase V activities under Contract No AIDpha-C-1169 We fully intend to continue these important initiatives under Battelle PDP Phase 11 - assuming successful competitive

contract negotiations After over two years of project start-up activities including the arduous albeit critical process of identifying key LDC Contacts and in building trusted workirg relationships Battelle POP has gained a

strong operative sense of routh and maturity which will lead to increased

and productive activity in the population and development arena We are

convinced that the process of institution building training of LDC social scientists expansion of population and development research and the creation

of understanding and overt political support among LOC political leaders and

gnvitrnment decision makerolplannars ioabsolutely vital-to the eventual delivery of efficient and quality family planning services to people in

developing countries Thi is especially true in Africa and the Near East

an area where very little progres has been registered over the past decade With continued Battelle POP assistance significant gain will be realized

II COUNIRY SPECIFIC ACTTVITIS

A Pru~

Once a leader within Latin America in initiating steps toward a population

policy Peru has nov fallen behind After the military takeover of 1968

private family planning organisations were severely restricted in their

operations Under the military government of 1968-1975 family planning

activities in state-run services Vere drastically curtailed Opposition

to a population policy stemed from the pronatalist bias of the military

establishmenti the opposition of the Catholic Church hierarchy on moral

groundel and the alleged connection between population control and

imperialism made by the political left concentrated in universities

aid labor orgpnisationi

a more open posture towardThe nmw military regime of 1915 assumed population policy than its predecessor tn 1976 a National Population Comiesion appointed by the President presented Guidelines for a copreshy

hensive population policy These were to include a broad educational component for adults and children as well asapleo service avalability

ltll active opposition to implementing such a policy remalned in the

bureaucracy at various levels In the universities and in somesegmente

of the Church

Opposition though oroded by thes efforts of various Peruvian and inter-Ii14al l0d politicalnational Orlanisations still remains lreover the

crisis which has engulfed Peru in the past several years has ma the

government hesitatebeforeta it decisive steps teward a that mly Or at best soesitive bystill be considered unesirable uofaary

In fact there i evidnee thatinfluential factions within the country while opposition from the military the bureaucracy and the political

has recently increasedleft my have subsided from the Church hierarchy it

-4shy

Oovernmentadministered family planning services only recently having

started on a broad prograa scale were suspended in August 197 by order

They vere only resumed in November after considerableof the President protest by professional and other organizations associated

with population

activities

has continued to support AMIDEP (Hultidiselplinary Associationllattelle VP 1978 in

its efforts to raise consciousness among academicians end promote needed

research activities in the field of population

for Research and Teaching in Population) (POlOPZO421706 01) mince

It has also supported a

effort since late 1976 by the N~ationalsimar conectousness-raif Statistics Office (POI7pO5IH709) Aimed at government plannert these

and every provincial c4pitai in month-lons seminars are to be held in Lime

funding the updating of the Populatio InformationPeru lattolle PD is Center as veil as an analytical inventory of population works in Peru at

the Center for Population and Development Studies (CrPD) (p029PZ0211H-71)

Sattelle PD has persuaded the presttiious Institute o Peruvian StudiesB eoctal change and

to enter the population field and has begen a study of

Uattelle was a co-sponsor of the National rural fertility (PO41P075) ) held Conference on Population and Development in Peru

(PO2PE015I1I0d2

in June 1979

WationalP blic new activities in Peru include a

Interest Croup on Population Activities a seminareport on Institutio n

Iattelles proposed al

Obstacles to Implementation of a Population Policy (to be sponsored by

two studise based on the recently available VF1 data for PeruAZ4DEP) and attelle is ale working 0n the organisation of an dean Symposium on

A4IDampP and INT-Population and Development (to be jointly sponeored by

current tv preparing an analytical studyCINCtA) and attelie staff are of the process of population policy developmnt In Peru

have been working to tcuader Individually since the lattelle staff ambers presnt project started in 171f Contats and coilaborative work had alshy

rady been mdertakn with the Ministries o Wealth and ducation the Center Oard (JUNAPLA) I

for Demoraphit Analy5il and the National Plaming 4inistries of Agricultureaddition to these 9attelle has boon working with the

the ro ras and Labor the National ltatistical ad Ce su Institute (INiC)

d Antrepologia paratlcuador (PAI a private momrelit reseasch erganisashy

tien) and the Cntre do Pateridad teepeneable (CUMA a private mprrfit

population Iefrmatioa And action pregram) The lattelle POP preram has

always had excellent Institutienal and perseosl rolatioeps with USAUD euader

Saitelle PO spenserod and helped erganiso a National ro4oinar en Populaby

to present pepulation Issuesties and Devleent in Icuader inJdm 197S (PWICOilN0) N ested I~C and JAMAPA the Pre-PoinAr vim dasigned

and identify reoerch prierities saon reprooentativee ot met 001 aoesless

44

yunding and technical ass istance for research was to be procured from Satshytells PDe and other sources and results presented in a subsequent National Seminar on Population and Development The process though was impeded by difficulties encountered within the L Iinaccepting several clause in the standard battelleAID subcontract format A new format acceptable to lattells snd the Go was-finally tgred upon

Once Sattell PD activities resumed new nOslbilItlis wee identified in several areas Pending projects include studies on rural social change and

fertilit tterns of peasant women the demographic behavlior of urban

pesants demographic history of Icuados and a Publt Interest Group on Population Information Attvitisa Proposals ae epecte shortly for a PopulationInformation Center anhAnnotated Sibliography of Utant Verks on Yopulation in Icuadlor aend a National Conference on Population ad Deshyvelopment Acollaboration is being discussed with the 005s National Deshyvelopment Councils Population and pevolopmetn unit for Rattelle PD technical assistance in Population tmpact Analysis of Ecuadoran development prejntes posibilar arrangement with the USAtD Nission bas been discussed as nother

finally the development of an Ecuadorampnl P DIiP-type activity coca contemshyplated by PAZ is now to be proposed to the institute for Social-N ical Research at the MIinistry of Health

The data analysis anidforml Peers discussing findinas from the PODP fundedirojet wt the rundlcdo de Zdacaelnf Superier tns) (POCL Iei-7S))

to this project prepotion its undrwyAs a supplemotarTefor alowmtomlte i 418A ltlW b Iini ih i ut A i lu

th 0 xfta htTIT rl health~ pelikymeris planners and menaten In October 179 a cenferne wa held ACasiciceIl-Al FAh ti m ofe ii 9218abieathed 111 1fhapter e and lreathingewwv ltIn New Orleans for the purpose of reviewing draft agreement ne teo oerll direction th e should takenograph

CoeMbiau researchers from Corperactd Centro Aegional do e etblcia (CCI) art developing a project which will study the consequences of the C61leaa fertility decline (9O)0C=13)o AIfminar for which national planers and researchers will prepare pressestions em the effects of the fertility decline ea seeioaceomie varibbles teeprieso the first stage of the study Salle plans to suppert this project oad mist 4 revised proposal from

CMthe ew principal ltvstigatr nmed b 11 in Deember 1979

- 4 - i4-

VpAuatios o1 a rAsissal tpwattoo ft11 for Oatemula has saint eaud Srowed during the Pastsi Nevilleth Thasa to the Offtrs at

severat owafitm sd asrasevtteaamp rgioasdtCi polIqeMAher are sare avare thai over bere of the lotorroIaSionship Wewon populattoo asA scieal sail eoesss feletr to their eeustryCs deslopmsw Qrppsitteu to faily plasiu Mo rpol tes vithis the Nsatifal iqylty of 1sam Carl$ be t0049004 - third year W10eaI046041 siwdetn 66 aSW revetIs

Keyl etsl at mun t~sheUtotitraintog to family ptaulog]PIam1ie Cousll are teeroaalMapseIv to osalderotti of tiattoo

oppo ~iio did artoo from osroncereS to the plAMISeS preoe Althouagh 7 msisr 1 NesIth he has (me reversed his septive atoams

UsudI W~wete tos active d5$1- the period covered by this report to Mterat t Is vory evcttI Awems Previously ProgrsoeYat Mel loved is oeowiCI Stllt Sop projets latod6eiiCO4 irdees

tampsral OW40 aid Diftergsia Srtlisy (valverldad delproject asTa1it r1001htUP43)ampad Jorge Artas p~ots rprtosi

of tw wrAC a pepeatles O eeeaWt(iiwr~d~s~~b~t dc1 val P90140MIS 4lO 114181sisry fooest free AW Owdy have stroadyi ssfood the ltoftwof pleawav s 1itiofJ~ei wotal

211 l -oIsepermtbof the Aeilvoa do CtceesaC ItIest (NO hWOorsid y isohla sad adufeerrast to diftisoscs hap o he twirt fitam er SoISS popiv18sla m sheresmt Ubigh will

vikestmsalWe ready for distriwvils fi oarly 1o (Isaeviosoa chommss MOW gsv4e have showa istemleto otislas(sho

Now estteilie deriod shis period 101l040 AfeppaI fo lt sdy CS 5Vc otoses tly st w p9lsolso (101100110ICAMICOafl

aid avtsmat o mfoloee MSpelats lo s epth(PSOWG)TI held oeve t9) Ffogeoel hot$$ Csthe SsOf3UiOfA dWiOP of rurs lastly ate bIe vwald he rarried me ocojwt Willi S111Cacef OAIt rual daoipum Proeee usrvo4t of tooa for umdt Pricrectus with 00SAPI gltch bad led te -Sstormsl nreost to isplsee the possibility of DesseU POP seshaicit celetANC6 ts Pepsat ea IEMt Ma44016 are Wel Fwrecd A(

Proviow teseesss by Sstotts nw oil had sad to the tornwtsef sm Wse eslnnit to the orgeuistIsltotg~roit of froaafdrobwee

The igsvp slottedof she OCCSCUSleC Aoseslsiif for Ppcite-aI keeert a board of01ffealet so puras for11a FVP0111614Cl ONaltepfaIM44111 Ylsh tgreob5 oCf a simlar gu1046wsdC e1soka to establish C410161t got a 1e061se1 C001ral pmariwass AeeeeltiPsm it to sipwi Bese

M Psiewty byas 141194y Vas biinGhgltha$e doveleSesl of owk am tpattoo ISooeort Topieepars liipauts Is she let Local Osfrew

ussietod obe VIlh a eWd Iattvi5P tease Is ftasemtl this project latlatiive will he operitRokl5id

Aampof this wlial latiolls iSP el bas flerastd a 911ra14gy PAV~r etshe latolie IN proosesfor 0641044 for tow redof

2 H reu e o

pouastive I se ionduras but the level of thedebtae is more sub~duedthan In other countries The National Plannin=

Council (cONSIMAIK) has been resivins technical assistance In populati masters for one year from Corporeac6n Centre Rtegonal d Poblactn (CCtp) in 10o0t supported by lttello (MIHNN10II0O) The areas covere are economic modeling and long-term seocal serviced plannini in both cesshya population component has been built Itto the planning mechanism

A now agreement with CCIP (POASIiK04) was reached calling for technical assistance to ODMIULANZ in preparing an emplifted follow-on to the deoglraphic-economic modeling and disoeulnation octivities The asplified program to being designed at the request of MIlDIHonduras

CONSMLtNZ to particularly positive toward CCXo hortionel-technlcali assistance Coetinuation of the woiA should strese pect(- issues (populatiem and educational services family planning and population enhagag etc) and Incorporate some of the population concerns developed at the oetieMl level into the regional development plane The outlook given the relatively modest level of effort seema extremely encouraging COOIMPiAXs pre-prposal for the fellow-on project has been received And 0te formal proposal is epcted by April 1980

The CCI03 t1LANX model first presented publicly in ay 1979 at the Ceetral Amercan Conference on topulation and Pevelopeent sponsored by Sttelle to already being incorporated Into the proeae for the National Development Flan of Nenduras follw-er activities will emphaise dliesemlties of the model and its Use no ter WoNagancee eavell as

other Central American euntrieseoin

The is formal opposition in principle to family Plaing octivitltetom to loendras The problem it snes is the sense of depepulatiee vi -vti the presence of Stghly populated Ii Salvador nearby In thip atmosphere It Vld see diffitlt toimpart a sne of urgency for soeving population growth rates i order to benefit the nation Individual hmn rights woud shythoe be the ealy point of argument for the met Still the CMWtAUl

MYP verb ohold serve ts hiAhlight sm of the important cofequemee ef rapid rowth rates In regard to the previotn of Gects) services d

the Wdl lagal esplicit fAmil plannIrA fopeoent it viii A Alloi etitsion to the beneflts of a tuational service deivor) proolL

kdwr~f aha llI teduntvar Ityrurricu Is The single University in -the

country lacks programs in several disciplines in the social sciences (for

example there is no RocloloSy Anthropology or Psychology) and provides CSUCA the no effective opportunity for research by faculty members

superior Council of Central American Universities apportioned several

regional Graduate programs among its members and Honduras was assigned

With attelle funding the Programthe Ecotouics and Planning Program sponsored a Ieogonl Central American Conference on Population and

Development in Hay 1979 attended by representatives from government agencies

Central America (037U0071l2) As a result of and universities throughout this conference a second one on Population Labor force and basic

Human Heeds wan later sponsored by the University of Costa Ricea with A proposal for a follow-up conferencepartial Sattelle PD support

on Population and the Environment in Central America is now being

developed by the University of Honduras

The USAID mission has expressed enthusiasm for both the CONSUPLANZ

project and the regional Conference on Population The staff of both

projects in turn has expressed satisfaction with the collaborative

support received from USAIP mission staff

In addition a proposal has been received from the newly formed Honduran

Association for Research on Population Inspired by Perus AMtIDP and

actively promoted by attelle PDP the Association is expected to be

the 4eduran member of the planned Central American Association for

Population Research (see section on Central America)

deg Work was completed on both Sattells PDP agreements with

Asooscn and r OO A045H701-02)

Salvador deteriorated last OctoberDe gTaflea Salvadorena (ADS) (POOISA01VIH701o0

before the politital situation in El The f(llowing three publications edited by Ales A Aloes Z

ADS

principal investigator emanated from the ADS projects and serve to

document much of the groundwork underway for population policy formation

and population research in El Salvadort

1 1 Edo4IfL (October 1978 356 pp)Powlo gln 2 es9arolloJ

u fltrsn e om tnfntoel ul---114tnbor 1974 143 pIp)

MIA 120lo IpeItiAuci(gfulfto PelNCItics Y tgaeelou lntedlolpln~rnIfero Pnl(August 1971 NOg pp)

toItabtilsed If and when the preset political situation in 1

Salvador hattelle tPo staff espects Or Rosa Jdith Clsneree

irector of MDSas called In Octobert199 withof July 079 will reschedule a meeting she

planners and resoarherts and representative of Internationalnational ADS project The meeting Vould evaluate

Sorgaisations hich funded Alenso

the projeets finding and repereussolns and suggest future ceursee of

action

4 Westna Central Amrica

Given th relative lmi of the Central Aneriaen countrie (especiallywith regard to their scientific coomunitie) and their historical and institutional links itwas decided that certain Battelle Pop aetivitiss be 4irected to the region as a whole

Stops have been taken conducive to Improved vommniration between populationspecialists In the region and the development of a regional Astociatton tor Research on Population Battelle PDP has wholly or partly funded regionalseminars on Population and Development (Honduras May 1979) and PopulationLabor Force andBasi Human Needs (Coa Rica October 1979) Discussions for the formtion of country associations and a regional link have been held with sroups from Gatoma I Honduras and Costa Rtca It to now intended that the regional association be housed under the Council of Central American Universities (CIUCA) vith initial participation frow those countriesPanamanian researchers hive exprosed an Interest to Battelle PDP far an association in their country whitle political events in Nicaragua end ItSalvador would suggest that these countries not receive concentrated

program activity for the moment

At the request of A14s Latin America Bureau attelle PD undertook an assessment of the tpact of illegal hexican miration upon the United states The investigation took the form of a stlte of the art report consisting of a systematic reviev of scholarly studies and an analysis of their contents bymajer categories vith special attention to the poliey-relevant findingsDuring the course of this work Battelle staff attempted to contact all persons In the United Ioates conducting serious research on the topic in order to Insure that the report be as comprehensive as possible

Sone significant flndins of this report ore as followu

iO - qUA- Depite an apparent cencurrenceaclosee mat o our mast utilized vstimatins techniques reveals a bread range of between 2 and S million Hniitian living Illegally in the US in the mido1970s

a 4Lfliuju Int contrast to studies suggesting that unshydocmented rre do met displaco eitison werke there i incireaing evidenc that seow job displacement does in (et ecwr The estt of this displaeenut depends upo the specific labor market

bull brylstola 115il1saI short-torm Illegal milgrants (seshytimesalled lttlo 01gjantsW) maintain a low profile and make limited Use of welfare health or edvuatie nal fneilitlo8 tonsshyterm utirants Millise social services much the same as citiens and letal roedent Little i known 4t the key team of what portion at the Nexlean migrant pepulattee reafins 10m4tlin the 1-

L

The full results appear as Battelle PRP WoriaPs N lS entitled The Impact of Undocumented Mexican Worker on the t Statesi A Critical Assessment (November 1979 pp 115 bibliography appendices) + -

Blsdes distribution within the Department of State and AID the report has been utilled by the folloving groupso IllsJoint US and Mexican Migration Working Group Washington D C and Mexico Cityamp the Select Comission on IImlgratlon and Refuge Policy Washington D C the California State Lagislature Hearings on Undocumented Mexican Migration Sacramento Califshyorni the San Diego County Board of Supervisors Task force on the Impact of illegal Migration on San Diegol and a joint US-Mcxican Policy Conference on Mexican Migration three locations California Center for Ethics and Social Policy Berkeley

Since Jean-Claude Duvalier assumed the presidency after his fathers death in 1971 foreign aid and governm~ent programs have Increased substantially in Haiti As part of that trend the Division dHygiene Familtaleo under the direction of Dr Ary lorde was establshed in 1971 as the first government-approved program to include Maternal and Child Health care and Family Planning Sine that time research on these eubjects has improved and brought a conropltant understanding of popultin dyamices in haitti

Y The Division I by law the only oranlsation which operates family planning activities Other small but related organtttlons have recently been created eS oroanisations concerned with the role of voaen In April 1979 Prestdemt for Life Duvalier made a statement in which he recognised the need to curb population growth both as a public health measure and as an adjunct to Hlitian economic developmenti this conern was repeated ina public speech InSeptember 1979

Many Haitians believe that nov is a good time to encourage awareness of popshyulatten issues The Preosidenta statements demonstrate a certain It yet undefined coitment to l1v population growth Family planning progrwms through the Division diygione Yalliale have been underway for several years and continue to expand through new channels such as househeld alA iomercial contraceptive distribution programs

The lecrtatrerie du Plan is currently preparing a five-year devlopment plan 19I14 During the past calendar year the plamins organization was rasled to cabinet-level status Slowly it is beginnng to take On in reality its dIu functions ef resource allocation and overall decision making These clilges make it all the mere imerative that population concerns enter met directly into the internaldeeision process Of what ti sv theI eretalrerie d Plan

In view ef the need to premte the recognition of population dynamics 4s a first $tep tovard their integration into development Battelle DP representsshytives V 11114 Mer 4vy and Anm Kubiloch traveled to Hiti In Nevember 1979 to consult with Dr ferdes planning officials uadCAID personnel to determine a framoverk for Siattois 1activitis in Haiti

++ + +++ +++ +S 9 ++ +________m____________________________

Meestings with the various roprosentatives identified support tor u b~tet t4 sponsored conference on Population Public Health and Development in Haiti currently scheduled to take place In late 190 The objective of the ceonfavese will be to bring together researchers government officials and program directors inorder to learn about and discuss population related issues The conference vuldprovide a forum for presentation of results from the heition Fertility Survey which could then serve as demograhic background for disculien e other ongoing and completed research endeavors inHaiti The Division d Hyltone Fautlialo i the most appropriate host tnatitution for the conference and Inpreparation Iattelle PDP plans to conduct a series of mnt-workshopsinorder to train the Division staff

The lattelle PDP sponsored analysis of the data from the Deschap) Jo region was capleteJ during the reprtitn period (PI00OAhtO6H07O) -The investigators have submitted a fellow-en proposal requstin8 fundinig for nine project papers which vill synthestie the results of their research

in the Deechapelles and Petit Goave areas (P0NAOOD)

Blatilelle DP currently developing a strategy paper for poulation and developnit asslstance to tgypt deslgned to prnote the utiliatin of population dynamics indevelopwnt planninl To this end the following subcentracts were Awarded during the reporting period

I Amiean University Celrol Workshop on gotial Research far Develepmot (PO57rYO)8 Dr $and cadalla

2 National Center for Soeieloacal and Criminological Research Catrnt Fertility Dyni r in Rural rgypt (POIAOLO)iDr Atof Rhalffa

Ale wder active coreidorati o ia

University of North Carolina Carolina Population Contert Ilrcalng Population Priority And Awareneo Aig Folitital And Cultural LeadershIp inEIypti Dr Abdei Oaran

Although e aettvitte were ueortaken in Jorde and Tunisia during this tim recent atttlle PVIear lat bureau meetinP have focused4n the eed for Battelle to itnlfltantly augment Its presone In the are Thereshytare prieuity will be Acerded to Rypt Turkey Jlrdan And Irte as Battelle PoP unands its actlvities InNorth Africa and the Near test

2I trCoitutriesl Brazil Nepal

awarded a subcontract to the AfsoclactooBra51151a doBattelle PDP hean Estudoo Populaitiona s (PO55BRO06) to publish aniddistribute the proceedings of a conference hed inOctober 1978 entitled IEncontro Nacional do

Dr Elsa Berquo isthe principal investigatorEstudos Populacion4ta

At the request of tne AIDMission Battelle PDP sent two technicians to to develop a film and to effect subcontractNepal inNovemberiDecemsber

activities on population and development issues Due to the extended nature

of their vipet (through mid-January) details of the trip will bu reported

later inBattelle PDs Trip Report series and subsequent Annual Report

1i1 MULTI-COUNTRY SUPPORT ACTIVITIES

A CUDICRS V)gJja

During the teporting period the design of this project underwent revision

Originally the focus wasn a hemispheric conference to encourage government to initiate commercial and comuunity-based family planningpolicyuaketr

lattells PDP undertook to arrange for seven presentations atservices the conference five reporting on major CBICRS projects inCentral and

South America and two reviewing and critiquing currentCBD and CRS activities

throughout the region These presentations prepared by Latin American experts the basisfor discussion of thewith Battelle DPassistancewere to serve as

utility and viability of such projects first at two small regional workshops for project manager contemplating similar activities and then after further

revision at a major meeting for poltymakers to be hosted by the Mexican

government

In line with the Initial plan seven Latin American experts identiAfied and assisted by Battelle D prepared reports on existing CUD and CKS projects and presented then inAugust 1979 at two workshops organised by Development

Associates Inc one inthDominican Republicand the other inColombia

The workhope did spark interest on the part of participants from three other Hooevertdicuesion with governshyeouptries inconsidtrins similar programs

ment officials cteal scientists and additional experts inthe field led

Battelle PD to suggest that an alternative and more effective mechanism for

extending distslbution of contraceptives in the region would be a publication presenters inassembling the collective experience and expertise of the seven

document could help convince policymakers planners healthone volume Ruch a administrators and program managers that CD and CAS progeraming on a large

cle hap proven to be a safe and acceptable approach to family planning in

both urban and rural coimunitiea toawell as provided how to do program guidelines

-13-

AccordinglyL BattelleiPDP developed and began to implement inthe remaining

experts will work intensively withthe presenters to revise and expand the

scope of their presentations through additional information data and analysis

B Assistance to the USAIDSudan CDSS (CountryDevelopment Strathay Statement)

In an effort to strengthen the analyses of population growth dynamice vis-a-vim the econoac development priorities of LDCs and AIDAfrica field missions the

Africa Bureau provided technical assistance to several sub-Sahara based missions in the preparation of their 1982 Country Development Strategy Statements With the concurrence of AIDSudan Battelle PVP dispatched two staff officials to Khartoum for two weeks in December 1979 Battelle PDPs analynis of the poor in Sudan and its overall input for the Sudan CDSS is contained in Trip Report 054

C Egypt - Population and Developmen Policy Pa er

At the request of AIDs Near East Bureau a policy paper on population and development dynamics in fgypt was prepared Thin document was used to orient Bureau officials on related events and patterns in Egypt and as a briefing paper for the Egypt consultative group meetings

D AfrIca-Initiatives

In concert with the Africa Bureaus strategy for population assistance to sub-Saharan Africa (reported in Battelle PDPs 1978-79 Annual Report Battelle intends to pursue popilation and development objectives in twelve (12)

countries (including Nigeria) designated as priority We have submitted at the Africa Bureaus request an abstract which outline the preparation of 1 country profiles entitled Assess Status of African Attitudes and Recommendations via-a-vis AID Population Assistance to Africa One outshystanding feature of this proposed activity Is the establishment of an African Advisory Committee on Population Assistance

-14shyP

IV OOUNT(Y PROJECT SUPPORTACTIVITIES---

A Proposal Development Review Process

As proposals are submitted to the Battelle PDP Program Battelle PD staff review them thoroughly for technical quality and program relevance In order to facilitate this complexs review procedure a Management Information System (MIS) has been created which documents each of the three Major steps required for all proposalat Project Development Activities Proposal Technical Review and Processing and Subcontract status

The Project Development Activities section shows trips made by Battelle PDP

staff the proposals related to each-trip and their receipt date Request included as well as travel and tripand concurence date for each trip are

report dates During the reporting period Battelle PDP staff made 10 trips to 11 countries

The Proposal Review Process section demonstrates specific steps required of are recorded as proposals enter each phases acknowltdgi

-Dateseach proposal ment and summary monitor and Battelle PDP staff review AIDPOP approval USAID (Mission) approval subcontract writing and signing This section also

sh wnvvhen and at which step proposals have been rejected or referred proposals submitted to Battelle PD receive a thorough review for technical quality and contractual specificity During the reporting period 15 proposals

4 have been funded 5 are currently under consideration~were reviewed of these for funding 2were rejected and 4 were referred

The section describing Subcontract Status indicates start and completion dates of subcontracts and due dates and receipt dates for both progress reports

Trom June 1977 through December 1979 64 proposals wereand final reports received by Rattelle PDPI 23 have become subcontracts obligating a total of

$665900 5 remain under consideration for funding-and 36 have been rejected or referred (see Table 1)

The MIS allows Battelle POP staff to identify clearly the processing stage of any proposal at any time This information has served to point out bottleshynecks which habitually delay the efficient processing of proposals and implementation of a project

--

Table I

PROJECT-TV-DATE SLWM O PROPOSAL ACTIVITY

June 1977- December 1979

Iroposays funded Under Rejectd or Country -~ ~ ~ Consideration Rfre

- o o1000) _~1000)-3ratl 3 8751 60 2 811

Chile 2 -- - - 2 -

Colombia 4 3256 1 27 - 3 297

Cost Rica 1 36 1 3

Ecuador S 2262 1 11 2 1289 2 66C

Egypt 3 1332 2 543 1 789 - shy

31 Salvador 4 610 2 573 -- - 2 237

customs 10 2917 5 1275 -- -- 5 1642

Haiti 2 1432 1 672 1 7860

Honduras 4 527 2 158 -- 2 369

Kopal 2 71)3- - 1 90 1 623 Nigeria 3 132j -- - -- - 3 132 Pakisatan 2 887 shy f-~ - - 2 88 Peru 14 4966 6 M)0 - 8 2416

Philippines 1 133 -- -- -1 133

s5 Total$ 64 1242401 23 AMS S 29481 31 1463

-16-

B Battelle PDP Fellows Program

The Battelle PDp Fllowis program isdesigned to increase the effectiveness of LDC decisionmakers who reside temporarily in the US for research or

training The program gives moderate financial assistance of up to $1500 to LDC dectsionmakers to facilitate their research and writing during their

periods of USresidence In addition PDP Fellows are brought together

with the Battelle PDP staff toediscuss at semiannual workshops the population policy implications of their research for their home countries

Funds provided to the Fellows may be used for computer costs research toassistance manuscript typing and limited travel within the US

professional meetings No stipends for maintenance are provided

Since its inception the Fellows Program has provideJ support for 19

Fellows Those completing their stays in the US have finished five

doctoral dissertations two MPH degrees and a number of research papers Five Fellows have returned tofor publication In their borne countries

their home countries and are working in population related activities

DrPL Joshi is Director of Research Planning and Evaluation for the

epat Drs Bayona Saravia and Alauddin havePopulation Commission of returned to teaching posts Elena Hurtado and Claudia Lecaros have resumed

research activities In9Guatemal and Colombi Two Fellows Teresa HO and

Helena Rib have been acepto to the Young Professionals program at the

World Bank and M Nisamuddin is currently on a short-term mission to Somalia for the Carolina Population Laboratories Several Fellows have

published articles in 1979 Including

Teresa Measuring Time Costs of Child Rearing In the Philippineo

Poplation and Development Review 514

and tconomic Change Battelle P orkingRio Roberto Family Sis Paper 13

Karim Nehtab 3ocioeconomic and Cultural Aspects of Marriage and

Fertility in Urban Pakistan task-West Population Institute

Pager 64

1attelle PD has designated certain of its Follows as Ovlrnla Follows in the U andIndicating that they have completed their residence

returned to their hoe country or they have Completed the intensive phase of their relationship with lattello pD rellows program and have accepted

now professional duties- attelle POP does in any ease send materials concerning the ellows progrm to all its current and Overseas Fellows

of intellectualwith the objective of maintaining and esnarging this network exchange long after the Fellows have returned to their roles as decisionshy

makern on population issues in their own coumtries

-17-

Battelle PDP Fellow

jMohsuuad AIAUVDIN Bangladesh ISWR Dacca Univereityl PhD Population Planning University of Michigan

Dr Alauddin completed his doctoral work in May 1979 on rural developshy

mnt and family planning behavior in Bangladesh villages His work as based

on the Bangladesh WFS data in combination with area data on rural fertility

He has returned to his administrative and teaching position with the Dacca University Institute of Social Welfare and Rsearch

Alberto BAYONAS Colombia Universidad Javerianat Fulbright Visiting Professhy

sor of Sociology Tulane University

Dr Bayonae study of population has included analysis of the 1973

census data on contextual factors influencing fertility and mortality in

Colombia He has nov returned to his post as Director of $ocial Studies at

Javerians University in Bogota

Melinda BACOL-MO TLLA Philippines NCSOg PhD candidate Sociology Utah

State University

Ms Bacol-Montilla began writing her dissertation on ethnolinguistic Her work is based on thegroup differentials in the Philippines in 1979

1973 National Demographic Survey

ur EZEKWK Nigeria

has focused her studies on marital patterns includingtMS Esekwe at marriage (IMAM) in selected Africanestimation of singulate mean age

countries assessing a reliable measure of marital patterns among European and non-European populations and the effect of bride price an fertility

hiu l Bangladesh University of Chittagonli PhD candidate - -ch of Education University of Michigan

was a student of Everett Rogers He received a Ford Foundation grant for five

Mr Haider became interested in population education while he

onmonths of field study in Bangladesh (Dec 78- May 79) to Bather data

nonformal population education programs associated with the integrated rural to the University of ichtdevelopment program He has recently returned

tan and is scheduled to complete his dissertation work in December 1979

anilal PhDTeresa JO Philippines University of the Philippines

candidate Food Research Institute Stanford University

Me No is investigating foale labor fore participation drawing on

Filipino data such as the tlma Multipurpose Household survey in which she

assisted as well so the andlMlysia surveys Upon finlshin8 her dissertashytion in April 1980 she will join the World lank in the Young Professioals

program In December 1979 Ma Mo published am article Msauring Time

Costs of Child Rearing inthe Philippines in gPoulatio and Devlopoetl

Overseas Fellows

GW INCA and Pu cHealth University of California Los Anampee

aHurtadooind ho-fa1owsproaramvhils-e avs tudyina-at UCLA

lin HD uatemala VSAIDGuatenalot MPH4 candidate School Of

where she wrote on determinants of use and Intended us of modern coetracepshytton in traditional and modern village of Guatemala InJuly of197$ she returned to Gustemals where she worked on an AID evaluation of family planning program In I1Quiche She isamong the firat of the PDP allows to return to her country and begin to contribute to policy development

L jOHIM Itepal esoarch ampad Ivaluation 1IQ ltnistry of Health Government of lepalPhD itastatstics University of California lerkley Dr Joahi completed his doctoral work inJune 1979 on the evaluation

of fatmly planning contination rates Nis research was based on data from the Nepal IS Ne has recently returned to his positton a director of re search planning and evaluation for the Population Comission of Nepal and he ebttted a proposal for PW fndin to Anilyss data on mternal and child health InNepal

a htab Pakiltan Institute of Developmest nocmies Qaid Al an U rItyi PhD Candidateo SocloLy Cornell Universlty

Mr WrIN has viittoe on age at marriagO and fertility inPakistan using data free the Nlational Impact Survey for his doctoral work he to developing a project with I the Sysod of the Population Pilenins Costenson and Profaeor Peter Slth on the female life cycle from monrche to first parturition Ne has Just publishd Secoen mc and Cultural Aspects of

rriage 4n PeitilY tn Urban Pakistan through the hatVetdeg leatitato d pians to complete his dissertation tn Spring log0

-- A Colombis Universdad do to Adeel PhD Scheol of Ucatiml S-Ita atv roltyfrO

or locares wrete her diesertation On education dovelopmet and incom Inl rural Celembia Ner work is based an data draw fromi the 1913 onsum and the Agrarian Cemleus of 1910-71 She returned to the Umiversidad do lee asdea Cele nas in0 eteOer 1978

JII OM Pakistan Ppulatte plamaing Cnteslt lalmabd PhD ulaioPlon holveraity of Mightn

is 191 tDr IiamddIn iished his dissearation the aeeptability ot faally planimg itrural Pakista So direteild the Pakistan Fertility Survey as Deputy Diretor of the Populatiu Planns Coissie snd analyced that dataF his doetoral eeare e I currently a Shert-term misa1Lim te SeMeli for the Carolina Poplaties lob

pound ailm 15 and NanaemeatE Philippines College of Develepaset 9eonsees aivr 17 C the lPili PhD candidate I eesice Vale UaivorlI lsont Alty

me qwiu stJene the POP follews Program ioJune 1919 She Isworkshytnl wits data fro the Lagima ad Steel Surveys to 0ema1n the Lber supply in the Philippnlse

Imctute

PhD nLdiddte schl of public eilth Karvard ilvers ty

Mrs Raymand to werktag with date (trm tho niliPPIn Satiftsl DOshygraphic Survey of 19) Rho i eganinlng postparLm t

GiMsa RJ A Phillppiei i oerty W1 the Phllptsi r ltwatiO

enoorrhea breasfeodnll

f bull bull bull bull bull - l

practice socioeconomic differential and their relationships to fortilityi lihe plantia completeherdiaertationin Jne 1990

ejlena R Colombia Univerldad do Jos Andes logota PhD Economics University

Msi Ribs completed het dissertation on the consequences of migration in Colombia in October 1979 She Is currently working on a postdoctoral research project on fertility aspects of the 1973 census Ma Ribs has been selected to join the Young Professionals program at the World Bank

Robertol0e Peru Univereidad do gan Harcost PhD candidate Columbia svermity 14

Mr Rios is In the last phase of completion of a doctoral dissertation eamning ocular trends In mortality and fertility In Latin America He haos noted in his work a mote rapid fertility decline than was typical of the Eushy

ropean demolraphic transition Mr Rios recently contributed 1PW Working Paper 913 entitled Family Site and Economic Change

lgnira MSYZi21 CkGatmala Instituto do Nutriclon de Centro Aaerica y anma (INCA) Guatemala City PhD candidate School of Public Health University of California Los Angeles

Ms Rosenhouse Is writing her dissertation on the evaluation of the validity of attitudinal survey data on fertility-related topics adminisshytared i Guatela Nter work is based on the INCAP-AXD data and focuses primarily on doetted family ise

JsL1AMVampA Colombia Univereidad del Vll del Caucal PhD Land Tenure Center University of Wisconsin Madison

Dr Saravia coploted his doctoral work In 1971 on rural development and health status in Colombia He ueed data from a 1973 health and nutrition survey Ne has returned to his faculty position in the School af Economies iniversidad del Vails del Caous

2911hotu L oJBrasil Iatitute Getull Vargas PhD candidate teshyi 7nosteUiversity of ChicagoJ

Mr sedlacek joined tle POP allows progrm im October 1971 shortly after he began work en a stud- of fertility and wmons work patterns In Brasil and the US with JamoeHeckia and the Stanford Research Institute No Intends to adapt economttii modeling techniques ho t currently developshyn to use on survey data fro eoaulo Brasil

la MUAP Nepeli PhD adidat Population Studies ad Training Center

grown University

FDP Fellw hapa s Frtility survey Of 1974 us carried out the initial parof the research

at the Rest-Vest Cater and has returned to rown University to complete his dissertation in September 1910 is research currently underway concerns estimating trends and levels of Infant mortality and fertility

As the novst Mr I analysing data tree the Sepal

-20

IsttelriP Vokpra~~-c--

Battelle pDp staff and Yellos are encouraged to submit papers for The foloingincorporation Into the Battelle PD Working Paper seies

papers have been issued to date

AlMtLL PDKiUna Iufi

Title Authow(s) Date

ChanOle UP Heareesep Ot Is ThirhouIptan foetility

I 1041i0camOo$ ond family Plsnnisu

Nfi l2 BoxDifeoso Itthe Wsteot to i P 1tle OctIo A4gotlu si Owlelo in C Yarrolil Clas n$lt

J aiSNRIal Guatemsala 1pound11

14

olt iIConsequence 0Mo0llos to S ahCentitbution of Auihroelogsts to VCetoe vI

ot Iamp Velltell p~ |t13lNeceove NisPopltie evele V Ntlpm[ ga It 4 l afliiplatt - Note Punittenm lat Anlst$ V1tteteooy fobIt shy

tleferilityp MWAsols4 later- J lltlt robt7 eatol ind~t Variables fit 5~t Afab Cowmttto

I I The Impe of uralt pitqPM so lt WV letI Kay to

pliteti otth CA Crrsie A i Sashil

May 19I LaePlaifiteaiea 4d Weeleore Numasseew g Peubda goost le itatePOistIeleis

i t May ItiNCtle rtil JnitAli

ISMS to 1 l t t ilatVariables Al

isatal 11i1tt

it The~w to1OfS e e a e t Phte g 5 I 4P sot Hpdel JunA1oi Th eeLatin A erte s Su I il

I lit o f Usual Union tuaotet 1 Alsn JI

t aillttel

Change A Rios et toI r)eally it ampn toonwmto it14 Plt IIIa PorTuitc4nd Reality vile 1311i1101o bull

CA Cctvise I

335 Close Weeit ethe Uitd Steill A ctititl ampos4$- JA 1enioto The losses of iUdenem40 Nealtae mocers

S - aunt ) bull

Page 4: vBallelle - United States Agency for International

I - N

Contract Number AUapha-C-1169 with effective date of 3 June 1977 between AID and the Battelle M~emorial Institute provides for the analysis and eval uation of population policies and dynamics Its specificobjective as stated Inthe contract io

to assist selected LDCo Inconsidering the impact of population dynamics on their own development and to design implement or improve population policies which will contribute to LDC developshyment loall to identify and examine in nine LDC (a) those researchshyable policy and social barriers which restrict the availability of contraceptives and surgical means of family planning as well as (b) those factors which may Impinge for example upon the status of women age at marriage and first conception and other determinants of fertility which fall potentially under the Influeneof LDC government action

As provided inthe contract and inagreement with AID technical directions Battelle Memorial Institute formed the Population and Development Policy Program (lattelleiPD)to carry out work under this contract

This emit-Annual report summarizes Iattelle DP activities for the period shy

1 July through 31 December 1979 a period of continued program maturity and

consolidation increased involvement in AID priority countri the realizashytion of Battelle PUs potential Imil t on population and developiet planning in developing countries and staff expansion commensurate with increased activity The following highlights are notablet

-Battelle PDP Strategy Papers have been drtted for Peru tcuador Guatemala Colombia and lodes Upon final processing and approval by the Polio Division inAIDs Office of Population and respective AID missions tasse

-documents will be distributed and should greatly assist In the implemsentatacn of progrome designed to faciltote LUG famlty planning objectives

tnll denl i kin amper Mos 13 14 and 1 40ibA Viiitinmericajpplation change 4village study in Peru end undocumented workears of Mexican origin were completed and circulated for retview

se otellerbP staff vihited VKFA offices to help forge closer links between our work and that of the multilateral assistance Agencese

Iilsis

cf t +bull4 - 4 4 4

-2shy

Inresponse to the successful mid-term evaluation of Battelle

POPs activities through an AID supported API4A evaluation team a detailed analysis of and response to the evaluations

submitted to the Office of Populationkey recomendations was

9 At the request of the Near last Bureau (AID) a Policy Paper on population and development in Egypt was prepared and

subshy

mitted

Africa Bureau apropos Discussions were Initiated with th

Battelle PDP assistance In Implementing the Bureaus recently

formulated Population Assistance to Africa Strategy

Battelle PD staff technicians were asked to provide assistance

to AID missions in Sudan and Somalia in the preparation of

In

a

their 1982 Country Development Strategy Statements (CDSS) Dr Susan A Stout spentDecember Ma AnneC Xubiech and two

weeks with AIDSudan and Sudanese govegnment and private ofshy

ficials

Staff officials0 made thirteen project related international trips contacting social scientists planners and

nolicyshy

makers ineight countries

fifteen new proposals have been received for a total dollar

amount of $494000 and eight now subcontracts have been written

(two each in Peru Guatemala and tgypt and one each in londuras

and Brasil)

Battelle FOP staff additiore include one deputy directorshy

two research scientists one researcha

research specialisto specialist and two secretartea The addition of Leonard

as Deputy Director is expected to facilitateIobinson Jr the pear Bast and SoutheastBattelle Popefforts in Africa

Asia where he has had considerable program development and

administrative excperience

and A sIgnificant step was Initiated to forualise prorsatie

relations with the Futurescollaborative technical assistance

Group in conjunction with their RAPID Project It is planned

Staff Vill aeeoupan RAPID representativesthat Jattelle POP io countries where AID

on their presentation development visits missions have requested the RAPID intervention Battelle POPs

and effective folloV input is designed to proavide an jIjj

to the actual RAPID presentation - throuoh li- ot mechanis

roundtable discussionslornhday population and developmentfull eader$ id planners 1lur primary thrust

shops for key governMt to the RAPID presentation but in

will be eouloty-specifi6 geared

-3shy

broader perspective and will result in the formulation of a plan of action for ongoing Battelle POP assistance to develop and implement LDC population and development actions

Battelle POP is rapidly draving to the close of Phase V activities under Contract No AIDpha-C-1169 We fully intend to continue these important initiatives under Battelle PDP Phase 11 - assuming successful competitive

contract negotiations After over two years of project start-up activities including the arduous albeit critical process of identifying key LDC Contacts and in building trusted workirg relationships Battelle POP has gained a

strong operative sense of routh and maturity which will lead to increased

and productive activity in the population and development arena We are

convinced that the process of institution building training of LDC social scientists expansion of population and development research and the creation

of understanding and overt political support among LOC political leaders and

gnvitrnment decision makerolplannars ioabsolutely vital-to the eventual delivery of efficient and quality family planning services to people in

developing countries Thi is especially true in Africa and the Near East

an area where very little progres has been registered over the past decade With continued Battelle POP assistance significant gain will be realized

II COUNIRY SPECIFIC ACTTVITIS

A Pru~

Once a leader within Latin America in initiating steps toward a population

policy Peru has nov fallen behind After the military takeover of 1968

private family planning organisations were severely restricted in their

operations Under the military government of 1968-1975 family planning

activities in state-run services Vere drastically curtailed Opposition

to a population policy stemed from the pronatalist bias of the military

establishmenti the opposition of the Catholic Church hierarchy on moral

groundel and the alleged connection between population control and

imperialism made by the political left concentrated in universities

aid labor orgpnisationi

a more open posture towardThe nmw military regime of 1915 assumed population policy than its predecessor tn 1976 a National Population Comiesion appointed by the President presented Guidelines for a copreshy

hensive population policy These were to include a broad educational component for adults and children as well asapleo service avalability

ltll active opposition to implementing such a policy remalned in the

bureaucracy at various levels In the universities and in somesegmente

of the Church

Opposition though oroded by thes efforts of various Peruvian and inter-Ii14al l0d politicalnational Orlanisations still remains lreover the

crisis which has engulfed Peru in the past several years has ma the

government hesitatebeforeta it decisive steps teward a that mly Or at best soesitive bystill be considered unesirable uofaary

In fact there i evidnee thatinfluential factions within the country while opposition from the military the bureaucracy and the political

has recently increasedleft my have subsided from the Church hierarchy it

-4shy

Oovernmentadministered family planning services only recently having

started on a broad prograa scale were suspended in August 197 by order

They vere only resumed in November after considerableof the President protest by professional and other organizations associated

with population

activities

has continued to support AMIDEP (Hultidiselplinary Associationllattelle VP 1978 in

its efforts to raise consciousness among academicians end promote needed

research activities in the field of population

for Research and Teaching in Population) (POlOPZO421706 01) mince

It has also supported a

effort since late 1976 by the N~ationalsimar conectousness-raif Statistics Office (POI7pO5IH709) Aimed at government plannert these

and every provincial c4pitai in month-lons seminars are to be held in Lime

funding the updating of the Populatio InformationPeru lattolle PD is Center as veil as an analytical inventory of population works in Peru at

the Center for Population and Development Studies (CrPD) (p029PZ0211H-71)

Sattelle PD has persuaded the presttiious Institute o Peruvian StudiesB eoctal change and

to enter the population field and has begen a study of

Uattelle was a co-sponsor of the National rural fertility (PO41P075) ) held Conference on Population and Development in Peru

(PO2PE015I1I0d2

in June 1979

WationalP blic new activities in Peru include a

Interest Croup on Population Activities a seminareport on Institutio n

Iattelles proposed al

Obstacles to Implementation of a Population Policy (to be sponsored by

two studise based on the recently available VF1 data for PeruAZ4DEP) and attelle is ale working 0n the organisation of an dean Symposium on

A4IDampP and INT-Population and Development (to be jointly sponeored by

current tv preparing an analytical studyCINCtA) and attelie staff are of the process of population policy developmnt In Peru

have been working to tcuader Individually since the lattelle staff ambers presnt project started in 171f Contats and coilaborative work had alshy

rady been mdertakn with the Ministries o Wealth and ducation the Center Oard (JUNAPLA) I

for Demoraphit Analy5il and the National Plaming 4inistries of Agricultureaddition to these 9attelle has boon working with the

the ro ras and Labor the National ltatistical ad Ce su Institute (INiC)

d Antrepologia paratlcuador (PAI a private momrelit reseasch erganisashy

tien) and the Cntre do Pateridad teepeneable (CUMA a private mprrfit

population Iefrmatioa And action pregram) The lattelle POP preram has

always had excellent Institutienal and perseosl rolatioeps with USAUD euader

Saitelle PO spenserod and helped erganiso a National ro4oinar en Populaby

to present pepulation Issuesties and Devleent in Icuader inJdm 197S (PWICOilN0) N ested I~C and JAMAPA the Pre-PoinAr vim dasigned

and identify reoerch prierities saon reprooentativee ot met 001 aoesless

44

yunding and technical ass istance for research was to be procured from Satshytells PDe and other sources and results presented in a subsequent National Seminar on Population and Development The process though was impeded by difficulties encountered within the L Iinaccepting several clause in the standard battelleAID subcontract format A new format acceptable to lattells snd the Go was-finally tgred upon

Once Sattell PD activities resumed new nOslbilItlis wee identified in several areas Pending projects include studies on rural social change and

fertilit tterns of peasant women the demographic behavlior of urban

pesants demographic history of Icuados and a Publt Interest Group on Population Information Attvitisa Proposals ae epecte shortly for a PopulationInformation Center anhAnnotated Sibliography of Utant Verks on Yopulation in Icuadlor aend a National Conference on Population ad Deshyvelopment Acollaboration is being discussed with the 005s National Deshyvelopment Councils Population and pevolopmetn unit for Rattelle PD technical assistance in Population tmpact Analysis of Ecuadoran development prejntes posibilar arrangement with the USAtD Nission bas been discussed as nother

finally the development of an Ecuadorampnl P DIiP-type activity coca contemshyplated by PAZ is now to be proposed to the institute for Social-N ical Research at the MIinistry of Health

The data analysis anidforml Peers discussing findinas from the PODP fundedirojet wt the rundlcdo de Zdacaelnf Superier tns) (POCL Iei-7S))

to this project prepotion its undrwyAs a supplemotarTefor alowmtomlte i 418A ltlW b Iini ih i ut A i lu

th 0 xfta htTIT rl health~ pelikymeris planners and menaten In October 179 a cenferne wa held ACasiciceIl-Al FAh ti m ofe ii 9218abieathed 111 1fhapter e and lreathingewwv ltIn New Orleans for the purpose of reviewing draft agreement ne teo oerll direction th e should takenograph

CoeMbiau researchers from Corperactd Centro Aegional do e etblcia (CCI) art developing a project which will study the consequences of the C61leaa fertility decline (9O)0C=13)o AIfminar for which national planers and researchers will prepare pressestions em the effects of the fertility decline ea seeioaceomie varibbles teeprieso the first stage of the study Salle plans to suppert this project oad mist 4 revised proposal from

CMthe ew principal ltvstigatr nmed b 11 in Deember 1979

- 4 - i4-

VpAuatios o1 a rAsissal tpwattoo ft11 for Oatemula has saint eaud Srowed during the Pastsi Nevilleth Thasa to the Offtrs at

severat owafitm sd asrasevtteaamp rgioasdtCi polIqeMAher are sare avare thai over bere of the lotorroIaSionship Wewon populattoo asA scieal sail eoesss feletr to their eeustryCs deslopmsw Qrppsitteu to faily plasiu Mo rpol tes vithis the Nsatifal iqylty of 1sam Carl$ be t0049004 - third year W10eaI046041 siwdetn 66 aSW revetIs

Keyl etsl at mun t~sheUtotitraintog to family ptaulog]PIam1ie Cousll are teeroaalMapseIv to osalderotti of tiattoo

oppo ~iio did artoo from osroncereS to the plAMISeS preoe Althouagh 7 msisr 1 NesIth he has (me reversed his septive atoams

UsudI W~wete tos active d5$1- the period covered by this report to Mterat t Is vory evcttI Awems Previously ProgrsoeYat Mel loved is oeowiCI Stllt Sop projets latod6eiiCO4 irdees

tampsral OW40 aid Diftergsia Srtlisy (valverldad delproject asTa1it r1001htUP43)ampad Jorge Artas p~ots rprtosi

of tw wrAC a pepeatles O eeeaWt(iiwr~d~s~~b~t dc1 val P90140MIS 4lO 114181sisry fooest free AW Owdy have stroadyi ssfood the ltoftwof pleawav s 1itiofJ~ei wotal

211 l -oIsepermtbof the Aeilvoa do CtceesaC ItIest (NO hWOorsid y isohla sad adufeerrast to diftisoscs hap o he twirt fitam er SoISS popiv18sla m sheresmt Ubigh will

vikestmsalWe ready for distriwvils fi oarly 1o (Isaeviosoa chommss MOW gsv4e have showa istemleto otislas(sho

Now estteilie deriod shis period 101l040 AfeppaI fo lt sdy CS 5Vc otoses tly st w p9lsolso (101100110ICAMICOafl

aid avtsmat o mfoloee MSpelats lo s epth(PSOWG)TI held oeve t9) Ffogeoel hot$$ Csthe SsOf3UiOfA dWiOP of rurs lastly ate bIe vwald he rarried me ocojwt Willi S111Cacef OAIt rual daoipum Proeee usrvo4t of tooa for umdt Pricrectus with 00SAPI gltch bad led te -Sstormsl nreost to isplsee the possibility of DesseU POP seshaicit celetANC6 ts Pepsat ea IEMt Ma44016 are Wel Fwrecd A(

Proviow teseesss by Sstotts nw oil had sad to the tornwtsef sm Wse eslnnit to the orgeuistIsltotg~roit of froaafdrobwee

The igsvp slottedof she OCCSCUSleC Aoseslsiif for Ppcite-aI keeert a board of01ffealet so puras for11a FVP0111614Cl ONaltepfaIM44111 Ylsh tgreob5 oCf a simlar gu1046wsdC e1soka to establish C410161t got a 1e061se1 C001ral pmariwass AeeeeltiPsm it to sipwi Bese

M Psiewty byas 141194y Vas biinGhgltha$e doveleSesl of owk am tpattoo ISooeort Topieepars liipauts Is she let Local Osfrew

ussietod obe VIlh a eWd Iattvi5P tease Is ftasemtl this project latlatiive will he operitRokl5id

Aampof this wlial latiolls iSP el bas flerastd a 911ra14gy PAV~r etshe latolie IN proosesfor 0641044 for tow redof

2 H reu e o

pouastive I se ionduras but the level of thedebtae is more sub~duedthan In other countries The National Plannin=

Council (cONSIMAIK) has been resivins technical assistance In populati masters for one year from Corporeac6n Centre Rtegonal d Poblactn (CCtp) in 10o0t supported by lttello (MIHNN10II0O) The areas covere are economic modeling and long-term seocal serviced plannini in both cesshya population component has been built Itto the planning mechanism

A now agreement with CCIP (POASIiK04) was reached calling for technical assistance to ODMIULANZ in preparing an emplifted follow-on to the deoglraphic-economic modeling and disoeulnation octivities The asplified program to being designed at the request of MIlDIHonduras

CONSMLtNZ to particularly positive toward CCXo hortionel-technlcali assistance Coetinuation of the woiA should strese pect(- issues (populatiem and educational services family planning and population enhagag etc) and Incorporate some of the population concerns developed at the oetieMl level into the regional development plane The outlook given the relatively modest level of effort seema extremely encouraging COOIMPiAXs pre-prposal for the fellow-on project has been received And 0te formal proposal is epcted by April 1980

The CCI03 t1LANX model first presented publicly in ay 1979 at the Ceetral Amercan Conference on topulation and Pevelopeent sponsored by Sttelle to already being incorporated Into the proeae for the National Development Flan of Nenduras follw-er activities will emphaise dliesemlties of the model and its Use no ter WoNagancee eavell as

other Central American euntrieseoin

The is formal opposition in principle to family Plaing octivitltetom to loendras The problem it snes is the sense of depepulatiee vi -vti the presence of Stghly populated Ii Salvador nearby In thip atmosphere It Vld see diffitlt toimpart a sne of urgency for soeving population growth rates i order to benefit the nation Individual hmn rights woud shythoe be the ealy point of argument for the met Still the CMWtAUl

MYP verb ohold serve ts hiAhlight sm of the important cofequemee ef rapid rowth rates In regard to the previotn of Gects) services d

the Wdl lagal esplicit fAmil plannIrA fopeoent it viii A Alloi etitsion to the beneflts of a tuational service deivor) proolL

kdwr~f aha llI teduntvar Ityrurricu Is The single University in -the

country lacks programs in several disciplines in the social sciences (for

example there is no RocloloSy Anthropology or Psychology) and provides CSUCA the no effective opportunity for research by faculty members

superior Council of Central American Universities apportioned several

regional Graduate programs among its members and Honduras was assigned

With attelle funding the Programthe Ecotouics and Planning Program sponsored a Ieogonl Central American Conference on Population and

Development in Hay 1979 attended by representatives from government agencies

Central America (037U0071l2) As a result of and universities throughout this conference a second one on Population Labor force and basic

Human Heeds wan later sponsored by the University of Costa Ricea with A proposal for a follow-up conferencepartial Sattelle PD support

on Population and the Environment in Central America is now being

developed by the University of Honduras

The USAID mission has expressed enthusiasm for both the CONSUPLANZ

project and the regional Conference on Population The staff of both

projects in turn has expressed satisfaction with the collaborative

support received from USAIP mission staff

In addition a proposal has been received from the newly formed Honduran

Association for Research on Population Inspired by Perus AMtIDP and

actively promoted by attelle PDP the Association is expected to be

the 4eduran member of the planned Central American Association for

Population Research (see section on Central America)

deg Work was completed on both Sattells PDP agreements with

Asooscn and r OO A045H701-02)

Salvador deteriorated last OctoberDe gTaflea Salvadorena (ADS) (POOISA01VIH701o0

before the politital situation in El The f(llowing three publications edited by Ales A Aloes Z

ADS

principal investigator emanated from the ADS projects and serve to

document much of the groundwork underway for population policy formation

and population research in El Salvadort

1 1 Edo4IfL (October 1978 356 pp)Powlo gln 2 es9arolloJ

u fltrsn e om tnfntoel ul---114tnbor 1974 143 pIp)

MIA 120lo IpeItiAuci(gfulfto PelNCItics Y tgaeelou lntedlolpln~rnIfero Pnl(August 1971 NOg pp)

toItabtilsed If and when the preset political situation in 1

Salvador hattelle tPo staff espects Or Rosa Jdith Clsneree

irector of MDSas called In Octobert199 withof July 079 will reschedule a meeting she

planners and resoarherts and representative of Internationalnational ADS project The meeting Vould evaluate

Sorgaisations hich funded Alenso

the projeets finding and repereussolns and suggest future ceursee of

action

4 Westna Central Amrica

Given th relative lmi of the Central Aneriaen countrie (especiallywith regard to their scientific coomunitie) and their historical and institutional links itwas decided that certain Battelle Pop aetivitiss be 4irected to the region as a whole

Stops have been taken conducive to Improved vommniration between populationspecialists In the region and the development of a regional Astociatton tor Research on Population Battelle PDP has wholly or partly funded regionalseminars on Population and Development (Honduras May 1979) and PopulationLabor Force andBasi Human Needs (Coa Rica October 1979) Discussions for the formtion of country associations and a regional link have been held with sroups from Gatoma I Honduras and Costa Rtca It to now intended that the regional association be housed under the Council of Central American Universities (CIUCA) vith initial participation frow those countriesPanamanian researchers hive exprosed an Interest to Battelle PDP far an association in their country whitle political events in Nicaragua end ItSalvador would suggest that these countries not receive concentrated

program activity for the moment

At the request of A14s Latin America Bureau attelle PD undertook an assessment of the tpact of illegal hexican miration upon the United states The investigation took the form of a stlte of the art report consisting of a systematic reviev of scholarly studies and an analysis of their contents bymajer categories vith special attention to the poliey-relevant findingsDuring the course of this work Battelle staff attempted to contact all persons In the United Ioates conducting serious research on the topic in order to Insure that the report be as comprehensive as possible

Sone significant flndins of this report ore as followu

iO - qUA- Depite an apparent cencurrenceaclosee mat o our mast utilized vstimatins techniques reveals a bread range of between 2 and S million Hniitian living Illegally in the US in the mido1970s

a 4Lfliuju Int contrast to studies suggesting that unshydocmented rre do met displaco eitison werke there i incireaing evidenc that seow job displacement does in (et ecwr The estt of this displaeenut depends upo the specific labor market

bull brylstola 115il1saI short-torm Illegal milgrants (seshytimesalled lttlo 01gjantsW) maintain a low profile and make limited Use of welfare health or edvuatie nal fneilitlo8 tonsshyterm utirants Millise social services much the same as citiens and letal roedent Little i known 4t the key team of what portion at the Nexlean migrant pepulattee reafins 10m4tlin the 1-

L

The full results appear as Battelle PRP WoriaPs N lS entitled The Impact of Undocumented Mexican Worker on the t Statesi A Critical Assessment (November 1979 pp 115 bibliography appendices) + -

Blsdes distribution within the Department of State and AID the report has been utilled by the folloving groupso IllsJoint US and Mexican Migration Working Group Washington D C and Mexico Cityamp the Select Comission on IImlgratlon and Refuge Policy Washington D C the California State Lagislature Hearings on Undocumented Mexican Migration Sacramento Califshyorni the San Diego County Board of Supervisors Task force on the Impact of illegal Migration on San Diegol and a joint US-Mcxican Policy Conference on Mexican Migration three locations California Center for Ethics and Social Policy Berkeley

Since Jean-Claude Duvalier assumed the presidency after his fathers death in 1971 foreign aid and governm~ent programs have Increased substantially in Haiti As part of that trend the Division dHygiene Familtaleo under the direction of Dr Ary lorde was establshed in 1971 as the first government-approved program to include Maternal and Child Health care and Family Planning Sine that time research on these eubjects has improved and brought a conropltant understanding of popultin dyamices in haitti

Y The Division I by law the only oranlsation which operates family planning activities Other small but related organtttlons have recently been created eS oroanisations concerned with the role of voaen In April 1979 Prestdemt for Life Duvalier made a statement in which he recognised the need to curb population growth both as a public health measure and as an adjunct to Hlitian economic developmenti this conern was repeated ina public speech InSeptember 1979

Many Haitians believe that nov is a good time to encourage awareness of popshyulatten issues The Preosidenta statements demonstrate a certain It yet undefined coitment to l1v population growth Family planning progrwms through the Division diygione Yalliale have been underway for several years and continue to expand through new channels such as househeld alA iomercial contraceptive distribution programs

The lecrtatrerie du Plan is currently preparing a five-year devlopment plan 19I14 During the past calendar year the plamins organization was rasled to cabinet-level status Slowly it is beginnng to take On in reality its dIu functions ef resource allocation and overall decision making These clilges make it all the mere imerative that population concerns enter met directly into the internaldeeision process Of what ti sv theI eretalrerie d Plan

In view ef the need to premte the recognition of population dynamics 4s a first $tep tovard their integration into development Battelle DP representsshytives V 11114 Mer 4vy and Anm Kubiloch traveled to Hiti In Nevember 1979 to consult with Dr ferdes planning officials uadCAID personnel to determine a framoverk for Siattois 1activitis in Haiti

++ + +++ +++ +S 9 ++ +________m____________________________

Meestings with the various roprosentatives identified support tor u b~tet t4 sponsored conference on Population Public Health and Development in Haiti currently scheduled to take place In late 190 The objective of the ceonfavese will be to bring together researchers government officials and program directors inorder to learn about and discuss population related issues The conference vuldprovide a forum for presentation of results from the heition Fertility Survey which could then serve as demograhic background for disculien e other ongoing and completed research endeavors inHaiti The Division d Hyltone Fautlialo i the most appropriate host tnatitution for the conference and Inpreparation Iattelle PDP plans to conduct a series of mnt-workshopsinorder to train the Division staff

The lattelle PDP sponsored analysis of the data from the Deschap) Jo region was capleteJ during the reprtitn period (PI00OAhtO6H07O) -The investigators have submitted a fellow-en proposal requstin8 fundinig for nine project papers which vill synthestie the results of their research

in the Deechapelles and Petit Goave areas (P0NAOOD)

Blatilelle DP currently developing a strategy paper for poulation and developnit asslstance to tgypt deslgned to prnote the utiliatin of population dynamics indevelopwnt planninl To this end the following subcentracts were Awarded during the reporting period

I Amiean University Celrol Workshop on gotial Research far Develepmot (PO57rYO)8 Dr $and cadalla

2 National Center for Soeieloacal and Criminological Research Catrnt Fertility Dyni r in Rural rgypt (POIAOLO)iDr Atof Rhalffa

Ale wder active coreidorati o ia

University of North Carolina Carolina Population Contert Ilrcalng Population Priority And Awareneo Aig Folitital And Cultural LeadershIp inEIypti Dr Abdei Oaran

Although e aettvitte were ueortaken in Jorde and Tunisia during this tim recent atttlle PVIear lat bureau meetinP have focused4n the eed for Battelle to itnlfltantly augment Its presone In the are Thereshytare prieuity will be Acerded to Rypt Turkey Jlrdan And Irte as Battelle PoP unands its actlvities InNorth Africa and the Near test

2I trCoitutriesl Brazil Nepal

awarded a subcontract to the AfsoclactooBra51151a doBattelle PDP hean Estudoo Populaitiona s (PO55BRO06) to publish aniddistribute the proceedings of a conference hed inOctober 1978 entitled IEncontro Nacional do

Dr Elsa Berquo isthe principal investigatorEstudos Populacion4ta

At the request of tne AIDMission Battelle PDP sent two technicians to to develop a film and to effect subcontractNepal inNovemberiDecemsber

activities on population and development issues Due to the extended nature

of their vipet (through mid-January) details of the trip will bu reported

later inBattelle PDs Trip Report series and subsequent Annual Report

1i1 MULTI-COUNTRY SUPPORT ACTIVITIES

A CUDICRS V)gJja

During the teporting period the design of this project underwent revision

Originally the focus wasn a hemispheric conference to encourage government to initiate commercial and comuunity-based family planningpolicyuaketr

lattells PDP undertook to arrange for seven presentations atservices the conference five reporting on major CBICRS projects inCentral and

South America and two reviewing and critiquing currentCBD and CRS activities

throughout the region These presentations prepared by Latin American experts the basisfor discussion of thewith Battelle DPassistancewere to serve as

utility and viability of such projects first at two small regional workshops for project manager contemplating similar activities and then after further

revision at a major meeting for poltymakers to be hosted by the Mexican

government

In line with the Initial plan seven Latin American experts identiAfied and assisted by Battelle D prepared reports on existing CUD and CKS projects and presented then inAugust 1979 at two workshops organised by Development

Associates Inc one inthDominican Republicand the other inColombia

The workhope did spark interest on the part of participants from three other Hooevertdicuesion with governshyeouptries inconsidtrins similar programs

ment officials cteal scientists and additional experts inthe field led

Battelle PD to suggest that an alternative and more effective mechanism for

extending distslbution of contraceptives in the region would be a publication presenters inassembling the collective experience and expertise of the seven

document could help convince policymakers planners healthone volume Ruch a administrators and program managers that CD and CAS progeraming on a large

cle hap proven to be a safe and acceptable approach to family planning in

both urban and rural coimunitiea toawell as provided how to do program guidelines

-13-

AccordinglyL BattelleiPDP developed and began to implement inthe remaining

experts will work intensively withthe presenters to revise and expand the

scope of their presentations through additional information data and analysis

B Assistance to the USAIDSudan CDSS (CountryDevelopment Strathay Statement)

In an effort to strengthen the analyses of population growth dynamice vis-a-vim the econoac development priorities of LDCs and AIDAfrica field missions the

Africa Bureau provided technical assistance to several sub-Sahara based missions in the preparation of their 1982 Country Development Strategy Statements With the concurrence of AIDSudan Battelle PVP dispatched two staff officials to Khartoum for two weeks in December 1979 Battelle PDPs analynis of the poor in Sudan and its overall input for the Sudan CDSS is contained in Trip Report 054

C Egypt - Population and Developmen Policy Pa er

At the request of AIDs Near East Bureau a policy paper on population and development dynamics in fgypt was prepared Thin document was used to orient Bureau officials on related events and patterns in Egypt and as a briefing paper for the Egypt consultative group meetings

D AfrIca-Initiatives

In concert with the Africa Bureaus strategy for population assistance to sub-Saharan Africa (reported in Battelle PDPs 1978-79 Annual Report Battelle intends to pursue popilation and development objectives in twelve (12)

countries (including Nigeria) designated as priority We have submitted at the Africa Bureaus request an abstract which outline the preparation of 1 country profiles entitled Assess Status of African Attitudes and Recommendations via-a-vis AID Population Assistance to Africa One outshystanding feature of this proposed activity Is the establishment of an African Advisory Committee on Population Assistance

-14shyP

IV OOUNT(Y PROJECT SUPPORTACTIVITIES---

A Proposal Development Review Process

As proposals are submitted to the Battelle PDP Program Battelle PD staff review them thoroughly for technical quality and program relevance In order to facilitate this complexs review procedure a Management Information System (MIS) has been created which documents each of the three Major steps required for all proposalat Project Development Activities Proposal Technical Review and Processing and Subcontract status

The Project Development Activities section shows trips made by Battelle PDP

staff the proposals related to each-trip and their receipt date Request included as well as travel and tripand concurence date for each trip are

report dates During the reporting period Battelle PDP staff made 10 trips to 11 countries

The Proposal Review Process section demonstrates specific steps required of are recorded as proposals enter each phases acknowltdgi

-Dateseach proposal ment and summary monitor and Battelle PDP staff review AIDPOP approval USAID (Mission) approval subcontract writing and signing This section also

sh wnvvhen and at which step proposals have been rejected or referred proposals submitted to Battelle PD receive a thorough review for technical quality and contractual specificity During the reporting period 15 proposals

4 have been funded 5 are currently under consideration~were reviewed of these for funding 2were rejected and 4 were referred

The section describing Subcontract Status indicates start and completion dates of subcontracts and due dates and receipt dates for both progress reports

Trom June 1977 through December 1979 64 proposals wereand final reports received by Rattelle PDPI 23 have become subcontracts obligating a total of

$665900 5 remain under consideration for funding-and 36 have been rejected or referred (see Table 1)

The MIS allows Battelle POP staff to identify clearly the processing stage of any proposal at any time This information has served to point out bottleshynecks which habitually delay the efficient processing of proposals and implementation of a project

--

Table I

PROJECT-TV-DATE SLWM O PROPOSAL ACTIVITY

June 1977- December 1979

Iroposays funded Under Rejectd or Country -~ ~ ~ Consideration Rfre

- o o1000) _~1000)-3ratl 3 8751 60 2 811

Chile 2 -- - - 2 -

Colombia 4 3256 1 27 - 3 297

Cost Rica 1 36 1 3

Ecuador S 2262 1 11 2 1289 2 66C

Egypt 3 1332 2 543 1 789 - shy

31 Salvador 4 610 2 573 -- - 2 237

customs 10 2917 5 1275 -- -- 5 1642

Haiti 2 1432 1 672 1 7860

Honduras 4 527 2 158 -- 2 369

Kopal 2 71)3- - 1 90 1 623 Nigeria 3 132j -- - -- - 3 132 Pakisatan 2 887 shy f-~ - - 2 88 Peru 14 4966 6 M)0 - 8 2416

Philippines 1 133 -- -- -1 133

s5 Total$ 64 1242401 23 AMS S 29481 31 1463

-16-

B Battelle PDP Fellows Program

The Battelle PDp Fllowis program isdesigned to increase the effectiveness of LDC decisionmakers who reside temporarily in the US for research or

training The program gives moderate financial assistance of up to $1500 to LDC dectsionmakers to facilitate their research and writing during their

periods of USresidence In addition PDP Fellows are brought together

with the Battelle PDP staff toediscuss at semiannual workshops the population policy implications of their research for their home countries

Funds provided to the Fellows may be used for computer costs research toassistance manuscript typing and limited travel within the US

professional meetings No stipends for maintenance are provided

Since its inception the Fellows Program has provideJ support for 19

Fellows Those completing their stays in the US have finished five

doctoral dissertations two MPH degrees and a number of research papers Five Fellows have returned tofor publication In their borne countries

their home countries and are working in population related activities

DrPL Joshi is Director of Research Planning and Evaluation for the

epat Drs Bayona Saravia and Alauddin havePopulation Commission of returned to teaching posts Elena Hurtado and Claudia Lecaros have resumed

research activities In9Guatemal and Colombi Two Fellows Teresa HO and

Helena Rib have been acepto to the Young Professionals program at the

World Bank and M Nisamuddin is currently on a short-term mission to Somalia for the Carolina Population Laboratories Several Fellows have

published articles in 1979 Including

Teresa Measuring Time Costs of Child Rearing In the Philippineo

Poplation and Development Review 514

and tconomic Change Battelle P orkingRio Roberto Family Sis Paper 13

Karim Nehtab 3ocioeconomic and Cultural Aspects of Marriage and

Fertility in Urban Pakistan task-West Population Institute

Pager 64

1attelle PD has designated certain of its Follows as Ovlrnla Follows in the U andIndicating that they have completed their residence

returned to their hoe country or they have Completed the intensive phase of their relationship with lattello pD rellows program and have accepted

now professional duties- attelle POP does in any ease send materials concerning the ellows progrm to all its current and Overseas Fellows

of intellectualwith the objective of maintaining and esnarging this network exchange long after the Fellows have returned to their roles as decisionshy

makern on population issues in their own coumtries

-17-

Battelle PDP Fellow

jMohsuuad AIAUVDIN Bangladesh ISWR Dacca Univereityl PhD Population Planning University of Michigan

Dr Alauddin completed his doctoral work in May 1979 on rural developshy

mnt and family planning behavior in Bangladesh villages His work as based

on the Bangladesh WFS data in combination with area data on rural fertility

He has returned to his administrative and teaching position with the Dacca University Institute of Social Welfare and Rsearch

Alberto BAYONAS Colombia Universidad Javerianat Fulbright Visiting Professhy

sor of Sociology Tulane University

Dr Bayonae study of population has included analysis of the 1973

census data on contextual factors influencing fertility and mortality in

Colombia He has nov returned to his post as Director of $ocial Studies at

Javerians University in Bogota

Melinda BACOL-MO TLLA Philippines NCSOg PhD candidate Sociology Utah

State University

Ms Bacol-Montilla began writing her dissertation on ethnolinguistic Her work is based on thegroup differentials in the Philippines in 1979

1973 National Demographic Survey

ur EZEKWK Nigeria

has focused her studies on marital patterns includingtMS Esekwe at marriage (IMAM) in selected Africanestimation of singulate mean age

countries assessing a reliable measure of marital patterns among European and non-European populations and the effect of bride price an fertility

hiu l Bangladesh University of Chittagonli PhD candidate - -ch of Education University of Michigan

was a student of Everett Rogers He received a Ford Foundation grant for five

Mr Haider became interested in population education while he

onmonths of field study in Bangladesh (Dec 78- May 79) to Bather data

nonformal population education programs associated with the integrated rural to the University of ichtdevelopment program He has recently returned

tan and is scheduled to complete his dissertation work in December 1979

anilal PhDTeresa JO Philippines University of the Philippines

candidate Food Research Institute Stanford University

Me No is investigating foale labor fore participation drawing on

Filipino data such as the tlma Multipurpose Household survey in which she

assisted as well so the andlMlysia surveys Upon finlshin8 her dissertashytion in April 1980 she will join the World lank in the Young Professioals

program In December 1979 Ma Mo published am article Msauring Time

Costs of Child Rearing inthe Philippines in gPoulatio and Devlopoetl

Overseas Fellows

GW INCA and Pu cHealth University of California Los Anampee

aHurtadooind ho-fa1owsproaramvhils-e avs tudyina-at UCLA

lin HD uatemala VSAIDGuatenalot MPH4 candidate School Of

where she wrote on determinants of use and Intended us of modern coetracepshytton in traditional and modern village of Guatemala InJuly of197$ she returned to Gustemals where she worked on an AID evaluation of family planning program In I1Quiche She isamong the firat of the PDP allows to return to her country and begin to contribute to policy development

L jOHIM Itepal esoarch ampad Ivaluation 1IQ ltnistry of Health Government of lepalPhD itastatstics University of California lerkley Dr Joahi completed his doctoral work inJune 1979 on the evaluation

of fatmly planning contination rates Nis research was based on data from the Nepal IS Ne has recently returned to his positton a director of re search planning and evaluation for the Population Comission of Nepal and he ebttted a proposal for PW fndin to Anilyss data on mternal and child health InNepal

a htab Pakiltan Institute of Developmest nocmies Qaid Al an U rItyi PhD Candidateo SocloLy Cornell Universlty

Mr WrIN has viittoe on age at marriagO and fertility inPakistan using data free the Nlational Impact Survey for his doctoral work he to developing a project with I the Sysod of the Population Pilenins Costenson and Profaeor Peter Slth on the female life cycle from monrche to first parturition Ne has Just publishd Secoen mc and Cultural Aspects of

rriage 4n PeitilY tn Urban Pakistan through the hatVetdeg leatitato d pians to complete his dissertation tn Spring log0

-- A Colombis Universdad do to Adeel PhD Scheol of Ucatiml S-Ita atv roltyfrO

or locares wrete her diesertation On education dovelopmet and incom Inl rural Celembia Ner work is based an data draw fromi the 1913 onsum and the Agrarian Cemleus of 1910-71 She returned to the Umiversidad do lee asdea Cele nas in0 eteOer 1978

JII OM Pakistan Ppulatte plamaing Cnteslt lalmabd PhD ulaioPlon holveraity of Mightn

is 191 tDr IiamddIn iished his dissearation the aeeptability ot faally planimg itrural Pakista So direteild the Pakistan Fertility Survey as Deputy Diretor of the Populatiu Planns Coissie snd analyced that dataF his doetoral eeare e I currently a Shert-term misa1Lim te SeMeli for the Carolina Poplaties lob

pound ailm 15 and NanaemeatE Philippines College of Develepaset 9eonsees aivr 17 C the lPili PhD candidate I eesice Vale UaivorlI lsont Alty

me qwiu stJene the POP follews Program ioJune 1919 She Isworkshytnl wits data fro the Lagima ad Steel Surveys to 0ema1n the Lber supply in the Philippnlse

Imctute

PhD nLdiddte schl of public eilth Karvard ilvers ty

Mrs Raymand to werktag with date (trm tho niliPPIn Satiftsl DOshygraphic Survey of 19) Rho i eganinlng postparLm t

GiMsa RJ A Phillppiei i oerty W1 the Phllptsi r ltwatiO

enoorrhea breasfeodnll

f bull bull bull bull bull - l

practice socioeconomic differential and their relationships to fortilityi lihe plantia completeherdiaertationin Jne 1990

ejlena R Colombia Univerldad do Jos Andes logota PhD Economics University

Msi Ribs completed het dissertation on the consequences of migration in Colombia in October 1979 She Is currently working on a postdoctoral research project on fertility aspects of the 1973 census Ma Ribs has been selected to join the Young Professionals program at the World Bank

Robertol0e Peru Univereidad do gan Harcost PhD candidate Columbia svermity 14

Mr Rios is In the last phase of completion of a doctoral dissertation eamning ocular trends In mortality and fertility In Latin America He haos noted in his work a mote rapid fertility decline than was typical of the Eushy

ropean demolraphic transition Mr Rios recently contributed 1PW Working Paper 913 entitled Family Site and Economic Change

lgnira MSYZi21 CkGatmala Instituto do Nutriclon de Centro Aaerica y anma (INCA) Guatemala City PhD candidate School of Public Health University of California Los Angeles

Ms Rosenhouse Is writing her dissertation on the evaluation of the validity of attitudinal survey data on fertility-related topics adminisshytared i Guatela Nter work is based on the INCAP-AXD data and focuses primarily on doetted family ise

JsL1AMVampA Colombia Univereidad del Vll del Caucal PhD Land Tenure Center University of Wisconsin Madison

Dr Saravia coploted his doctoral work In 1971 on rural development and health status in Colombia He ueed data from a 1973 health and nutrition survey Ne has returned to his faculty position in the School af Economies iniversidad del Vails del Caous

2911hotu L oJBrasil Iatitute Getull Vargas PhD candidate teshyi 7nosteUiversity of ChicagoJ

Mr sedlacek joined tle POP allows progrm im October 1971 shortly after he began work en a stud- of fertility and wmons work patterns In Brasil and the US with JamoeHeckia and the Stanford Research Institute No Intends to adapt economttii modeling techniques ho t currently developshyn to use on survey data fro eoaulo Brasil

la MUAP Nepeli PhD adidat Population Studies ad Training Center

grown University

FDP Fellw hapa s Frtility survey Of 1974 us carried out the initial parof the research

at the Rest-Vest Cater and has returned to rown University to complete his dissertation in September 1910 is research currently underway concerns estimating trends and levels of Infant mortality and fertility

As the novst Mr I analysing data tree the Sepal

-20

IsttelriP Vokpra~~-c--

Battelle pDp staff and Yellos are encouraged to submit papers for The foloingincorporation Into the Battelle PD Working Paper seies

papers have been issued to date

AlMtLL PDKiUna Iufi

Title Authow(s) Date

ChanOle UP Heareesep Ot Is ThirhouIptan foetility

I 1041i0camOo$ ond family Plsnnisu

Nfi l2 BoxDifeoso Itthe Wsteot to i P 1tle OctIo A4gotlu si Owlelo in C Yarrolil Clas n$lt

J aiSNRIal Guatemsala 1pound11

14

olt iIConsequence 0Mo0llos to S ahCentitbution of Auihroelogsts to VCetoe vI

ot Iamp Velltell p~ |t13lNeceove NisPopltie evele V Ntlpm[ ga It 4 l afliiplatt - Note Punittenm lat Anlst$ V1tteteooy fobIt shy

tleferilityp MWAsols4 later- J lltlt robt7 eatol ind~t Variables fit 5~t Afab Cowmttto

I I The Impe of uralt pitqPM so lt WV letI Kay to

pliteti otth CA Crrsie A i Sashil

May 19I LaePlaifiteaiea 4d Weeleore Numasseew g Peubda goost le itatePOistIeleis

i t May ItiNCtle rtil JnitAli

ISMS to 1 l t t ilatVariables Al

isatal 11i1tt

it The~w to1OfS e e a e t Phte g 5 I 4P sot Hpdel JunA1oi Th eeLatin A erte s Su I il

I lit o f Usual Union tuaotet 1 Alsn JI

t aillttel

Change A Rios et toI r)eally it ampn toonwmto it14 Plt IIIa PorTuitc4nd Reality vile 1311i1101o bull

CA Cctvise I

335 Close Weeit ethe Uitd Steill A ctititl ampos4$- JA 1enioto The losses of iUdenem40 Nealtae mocers

S - aunt ) bull

Page 5: vBallelle - United States Agency for International

-2shy

Inresponse to the successful mid-term evaluation of Battelle

POPs activities through an AID supported API4A evaluation team a detailed analysis of and response to the evaluations

submitted to the Office of Populationkey recomendations was

9 At the request of the Near last Bureau (AID) a Policy Paper on population and development in Egypt was prepared and

subshy

mitted

Africa Bureau apropos Discussions were Initiated with th

Battelle PDP assistance In Implementing the Bureaus recently

formulated Population Assistance to Africa Strategy

Battelle PD staff technicians were asked to provide assistance

to AID missions in Sudan and Somalia in the preparation of

In

a

their 1982 Country Development Strategy Statements (CDSS) Dr Susan A Stout spentDecember Ma AnneC Xubiech and two

weeks with AIDSudan and Sudanese govegnment and private ofshy

ficials

Staff officials0 made thirteen project related international trips contacting social scientists planners and

nolicyshy

makers ineight countries

fifteen new proposals have been received for a total dollar

amount of $494000 and eight now subcontracts have been written

(two each in Peru Guatemala and tgypt and one each in londuras

and Brasil)

Battelle FOP staff additiore include one deputy directorshy

two research scientists one researcha

research specialisto specialist and two secretartea The addition of Leonard

as Deputy Director is expected to facilitateIobinson Jr the pear Bast and SoutheastBattelle Popefforts in Africa

Asia where he has had considerable program development and

administrative excperience

and A sIgnificant step was Initiated to forualise prorsatie

relations with the Futurescollaborative technical assistance

Group in conjunction with their RAPID Project It is planned

Staff Vill aeeoupan RAPID representativesthat Jattelle POP io countries where AID

on their presentation development visits missions have requested the RAPID intervention Battelle POPs

and effective folloV input is designed to proavide an jIjj

to the actual RAPID presentation - throuoh li- ot mechanis

roundtable discussionslornhday population and developmentfull eader$ id planners 1lur primary thrust

shops for key governMt to the RAPID presentation but in

will be eouloty-specifi6 geared

-3shy

broader perspective and will result in the formulation of a plan of action for ongoing Battelle POP assistance to develop and implement LDC population and development actions

Battelle POP is rapidly draving to the close of Phase V activities under Contract No AIDpha-C-1169 We fully intend to continue these important initiatives under Battelle PDP Phase 11 - assuming successful competitive

contract negotiations After over two years of project start-up activities including the arduous albeit critical process of identifying key LDC Contacts and in building trusted workirg relationships Battelle POP has gained a

strong operative sense of routh and maturity which will lead to increased

and productive activity in the population and development arena We are

convinced that the process of institution building training of LDC social scientists expansion of population and development research and the creation

of understanding and overt political support among LOC political leaders and

gnvitrnment decision makerolplannars ioabsolutely vital-to the eventual delivery of efficient and quality family planning services to people in

developing countries Thi is especially true in Africa and the Near East

an area where very little progres has been registered over the past decade With continued Battelle POP assistance significant gain will be realized

II COUNIRY SPECIFIC ACTTVITIS

A Pru~

Once a leader within Latin America in initiating steps toward a population

policy Peru has nov fallen behind After the military takeover of 1968

private family planning organisations were severely restricted in their

operations Under the military government of 1968-1975 family planning

activities in state-run services Vere drastically curtailed Opposition

to a population policy stemed from the pronatalist bias of the military

establishmenti the opposition of the Catholic Church hierarchy on moral

groundel and the alleged connection between population control and

imperialism made by the political left concentrated in universities

aid labor orgpnisationi

a more open posture towardThe nmw military regime of 1915 assumed population policy than its predecessor tn 1976 a National Population Comiesion appointed by the President presented Guidelines for a copreshy

hensive population policy These were to include a broad educational component for adults and children as well asapleo service avalability

ltll active opposition to implementing such a policy remalned in the

bureaucracy at various levels In the universities and in somesegmente

of the Church

Opposition though oroded by thes efforts of various Peruvian and inter-Ii14al l0d politicalnational Orlanisations still remains lreover the

crisis which has engulfed Peru in the past several years has ma the

government hesitatebeforeta it decisive steps teward a that mly Or at best soesitive bystill be considered unesirable uofaary

In fact there i evidnee thatinfluential factions within the country while opposition from the military the bureaucracy and the political

has recently increasedleft my have subsided from the Church hierarchy it

-4shy

Oovernmentadministered family planning services only recently having

started on a broad prograa scale were suspended in August 197 by order

They vere only resumed in November after considerableof the President protest by professional and other organizations associated

with population

activities

has continued to support AMIDEP (Hultidiselplinary Associationllattelle VP 1978 in

its efforts to raise consciousness among academicians end promote needed

research activities in the field of population

for Research and Teaching in Population) (POlOPZO421706 01) mince

It has also supported a

effort since late 1976 by the N~ationalsimar conectousness-raif Statistics Office (POI7pO5IH709) Aimed at government plannert these

and every provincial c4pitai in month-lons seminars are to be held in Lime

funding the updating of the Populatio InformationPeru lattolle PD is Center as veil as an analytical inventory of population works in Peru at

the Center for Population and Development Studies (CrPD) (p029PZ0211H-71)

Sattelle PD has persuaded the presttiious Institute o Peruvian StudiesB eoctal change and

to enter the population field and has begen a study of

Uattelle was a co-sponsor of the National rural fertility (PO41P075) ) held Conference on Population and Development in Peru

(PO2PE015I1I0d2

in June 1979

WationalP blic new activities in Peru include a

Interest Croup on Population Activities a seminareport on Institutio n

Iattelles proposed al

Obstacles to Implementation of a Population Policy (to be sponsored by

two studise based on the recently available VF1 data for PeruAZ4DEP) and attelle is ale working 0n the organisation of an dean Symposium on

A4IDampP and INT-Population and Development (to be jointly sponeored by

current tv preparing an analytical studyCINCtA) and attelie staff are of the process of population policy developmnt In Peru

have been working to tcuader Individually since the lattelle staff ambers presnt project started in 171f Contats and coilaborative work had alshy

rady been mdertakn with the Ministries o Wealth and ducation the Center Oard (JUNAPLA) I

for Demoraphit Analy5il and the National Plaming 4inistries of Agricultureaddition to these 9attelle has boon working with the

the ro ras and Labor the National ltatistical ad Ce su Institute (INiC)

d Antrepologia paratlcuador (PAI a private momrelit reseasch erganisashy

tien) and the Cntre do Pateridad teepeneable (CUMA a private mprrfit

population Iefrmatioa And action pregram) The lattelle POP preram has

always had excellent Institutienal and perseosl rolatioeps with USAUD euader

Saitelle PO spenserod and helped erganiso a National ro4oinar en Populaby

to present pepulation Issuesties and Devleent in Icuader inJdm 197S (PWICOilN0) N ested I~C and JAMAPA the Pre-PoinAr vim dasigned

and identify reoerch prierities saon reprooentativee ot met 001 aoesless

44

yunding and technical ass istance for research was to be procured from Satshytells PDe and other sources and results presented in a subsequent National Seminar on Population and Development The process though was impeded by difficulties encountered within the L Iinaccepting several clause in the standard battelleAID subcontract format A new format acceptable to lattells snd the Go was-finally tgred upon

Once Sattell PD activities resumed new nOslbilItlis wee identified in several areas Pending projects include studies on rural social change and

fertilit tterns of peasant women the demographic behavlior of urban

pesants demographic history of Icuados and a Publt Interest Group on Population Information Attvitisa Proposals ae epecte shortly for a PopulationInformation Center anhAnnotated Sibliography of Utant Verks on Yopulation in Icuadlor aend a National Conference on Population ad Deshyvelopment Acollaboration is being discussed with the 005s National Deshyvelopment Councils Population and pevolopmetn unit for Rattelle PD technical assistance in Population tmpact Analysis of Ecuadoran development prejntes posibilar arrangement with the USAtD Nission bas been discussed as nother

finally the development of an Ecuadorampnl P DIiP-type activity coca contemshyplated by PAZ is now to be proposed to the institute for Social-N ical Research at the MIinistry of Health

The data analysis anidforml Peers discussing findinas from the PODP fundedirojet wt the rundlcdo de Zdacaelnf Superier tns) (POCL Iei-7S))

to this project prepotion its undrwyAs a supplemotarTefor alowmtomlte i 418A ltlW b Iini ih i ut A i lu

th 0 xfta htTIT rl health~ pelikymeris planners and menaten In October 179 a cenferne wa held ACasiciceIl-Al FAh ti m ofe ii 9218abieathed 111 1fhapter e and lreathingewwv ltIn New Orleans for the purpose of reviewing draft agreement ne teo oerll direction th e should takenograph

CoeMbiau researchers from Corperactd Centro Aegional do e etblcia (CCI) art developing a project which will study the consequences of the C61leaa fertility decline (9O)0C=13)o AIfminar for which national planers and researchers will prepare pressestions em the effects of the fertility decline ea seeioaceomie varibbles teeprieso the first stage of the study Salle plans to suppert this project oad mist 4 revised proposal from

CMthe ew principal ltvstigatr nmed b 11 in Deember 1979

- 4 - i4-

VpAuatios o1 a rAsissal tpwattoo ft11 for Oatemula has saint eaud Srowed during the Pastsi Nevilleth Thasa to the Offtrs at

severat owafitm sd asrasevtteaamp rgioasdtCi polIqeMAher are sare avare thai over bere of the lotorroIaSionship Wewon populattoo asA scieal sail eoesss feletr to their eeustryCs deslopmsw Qrppsitteu to faily plasiu Mo rpol tes vithis the Nsatifal iqylty of 1sam Carl$ be t0049004 - third year W10eaI046041 siwdetn 66 aSW revetIs

Keyl etsl at mun t~sheUtotitraintog to family ptaulog]PIam1ie Cousll are teeroaalMapseIv to osalderotti of tiattoo

oppo ~iio did artoo from osroncereS to the plAMISeS preoe Althouagh 7 msisr 1 NesIth he has (me reversed his septive atoams

UsudI W~wete tos active d5$1- the period covered by this report to Mterat t Is vory evcttI Awems Previously ProgrsoeYat Mel loved is oeowiCI Stllt Sop projets latod6eiiCO4 irdees

tampsral OW40 aid Diftergsia Srtlisy (valverldad delproject asTa1it r1001htUP43)ampad Jorge Artas p~ots rprtosi

of tw wrAC a pepeatles O eeeaWt(iiwr~d~s~~b~t dc1 val P90140MIS 4lO 114181sisry fooest free AW Owdy have stroadyi ssfood the ltoftwof pleawav s 1itiofJ~ei wotal

211 l -oIsepermtbof the Aeilvoa do CtceesaC ItIest (NO hWOorsid y isohla sad adufeerrast to diftisoscs hap o he twirt fitam er SoISS popiv18sla m sheresmt Ubigh will

vikestmsalWe ready for distriwvils fi oarly 1o (Isaeviosoa chommss MOW gsv4e have showa istemleto otislas(sho

Now estteilie deriod shis period 101l040 AfeppaI fo lt sdy CS 5Vc otoses tly st w p9lsolso (101100110ICAMICOafl

aid avtsmat o mfoloee MSpelats lo s epth(PSOWG)TI held oeve t9) Ffogeoel hot$$ Csthe SsOf3UiOfA dWiOP of rurs lastly ate bIe vwald he rarried me ocojwt Willi S111Cacef OAIt rual daoipum Proeee usrvo4t of tooa for umdt Pricrectus with 00SAPI gltch bad led te -Sstormsl nreost to isplsee the possibility of DesseU POP seshaicit celetANC6 ts Pepsat ea IEMt Ma44016 are Wel Fwrecd A(

Proviow teseesss by Sstotts nw oil had sad to the tornwtsef sm Wse eslnnit to the orgeuistIsltotg~roit of froaafdrobwee

The igsvp slottedof she OCCSCUSleC Aoseslsiif for Ppcite-aI keeert a board of01ffealet so puras for11a FVP0111614Cl ONaltepfaIM44111 Ylsh tgreob5 oCf a simlar gu1046wsdC e1soka to establish C410161t got a 1e061se1 C001ral pmariwass AeeeeltiPsm it to sipwi Bese

M Psiewty byas 141194y Vas biinGhgltha$e doveleSesl of owk am tpattoo ISooeort Topieepars liipauts Is she let Local Osfrew

ussietod obe VIlh a eWd Iattvi5P tease Is ftasemtl this project latlatiive will he operitRokl5id

Aampof this wlial latiolls iSP el bas flerastd a 911ra14gy PAV~r etshe latolie IN proosesfor 0641044 for tow redof

2 H reu e o

pouastive I se ionduras but the level of thedebtae is more sub~duedthan In other countries The National Plannin=

Council (cONSIMAIK) has been resivins technical assistance In populati masters for one year from Corporeac6n Centre Rtegonal d Poblactn (CCtp) in 10o0t supported by lttello (MIHNN10II0O) The areas covere are economic modeling and long-term seocal serviced plannini in both cesshya population component has been built Itto the planning mechanism

A now agreement with CCIP (POASIiK04) was reached calling for technical assistance to ODMIULANZ in preparing an emplifted follow-on to the deoglraphic-economic modeling and disoeulnation octivities The asplified program to being designed at the request of MIlDIHonduras

CONSMLtNZ to particularly positive toward CCXo hortionel-technlcali assistance Coetinuation of the woiA should strese pect(- issues (populatiem and educational services family planning and population enhagag etc) and Incorporate some of the population concerns developed at the oetieMl level into the regional development plane The outlook given the relatively modest level of effort seema extremely encouraging COOIMPiAXs pre-prposal for the fellow-on project has been received And 0te formal proposal is epcted by April 1980

The CCI03 t1LANX model first presented publicly in ay 1979 at the Ceetral Amercan Conference on topulation and Pevelopeent sponsored by Sttelle to already being incorporated Into the proeae for the National Development Flan of Nenduras follw-er activities will emphaise dliesemlties of the model and its Use no ter WoNagancee eavell as

other Central American euntrieseoin

The is formal opposition in principle to family Plaing octivitltetom to loendras The problem it snes is the sense of depepulatiee vi -vti the presence of Stghly populated Ii Salvador nearby In thip atmosphere It Vld see diffitlt toimpart a sne of urgency for soeving population growth rates i order to benefit the nation Individual hmn rights woud shythoe be the ealy point of argument for the met Still the CMWtAUl

MYP verb ohold serve ts hiAhlight sm of the important cofequemee ef rapid rowth rates In regard to the previotn of Gects) services d

the Wdl lagal esplicit fAmil plannIrA fopeoent it viii A Alloi etitsion to the beneflts of a tuational service deivor) proolL

kdwr~f aha llI teduntvar Ityrurricu Is The single University in -the

country lacks programs in several disciplines in the social sciences (for

example there is no RocloloSy Anthropology or Psychology) and provides CSUCA the no effective opportunity for research by faculty members

superior Council of Central American Universities apportioned several

regional Graduate programs among its members and Honduras was assigned

With attelle funding the Programthe Ecotouics and Planning Program sponsored a Ieogonl Central American Conference on Population and

Development in Hay 1979 attended by representatives from government agencies

Central America (037U0071l2) As a result of and universities throughout this conference a second one on Population Labor force and basic

Human Heeds wan later sponsored by the University of Costa Ricea with A proposal for a follow-up conferencepartial Sattelle PD support

on Population and the Environment in Central America is now being

developed by the University of Honduras

The USAID mission has expressed enthusiasm for both the CONSUPLANZ

project and the regional Conference on Population The staff of both

projects in turn has expressed satisfaction with the collaborative

support received from USAIP mission staff

In addition a proposal has been received from the newly formed Honduran

Association for Research on Population Inspired by Perus AMtIDP and

actively promoted by attelle PDP the Association is expected to be

the 4eduran member of the planned Central American Association for

Population Research (see section on Central America)

deg Work was completed on both Sattells PDP agreements with

Asooscn and r OO A045H701-02)

Salvador deteriorated last OctoberDe gTaflea Salvadorena (ADS) (POOISA01VIH701o0

before the politital situation in El The f(llowing three publications edited by Ales A Aloes Z

ADS

principal investigator emanated from the ADS projects and serve to

document much of the groundwork underway for population policy formation

and population research in El Salvadort

1 1 Edo4IfL (October 1978 356 pp)Powlo gln 2 es9arolloJ

u fltrsn e om tnfntoel ul---114tnbor 1974 143 pIp)

MIA 120lo IpeItiAuci(gfulfto PelNCItics Y tgaeelou lntedlolpln~rnIfero Pnl(August 1971 NOg pp)

toItabtilsed If and when the preset political situation in 1

Salvador hattelle tPo staff espects Or Rosa Jdith Clsneree

irector of MDSas called In Octobert199 withof July 079 will reschedule a meeting she

planners and resoarherts and representative of Internationalnational ADS project The meeting Vould evaluate

Sorgaisations hich funded Alenso

the projeets finding and repereussolns and suggest future ceursee of

action

4 Westna Central Amrica

Given th relative lmi of the Central Aneriaen countrie (especiallywith regard to their scientific coomunitie) and their historical and institutional links itwas decided that certain Battelle Pop aetivitiss be 4irected to the region as a whole

Stops have been taken conducive to Improved vommniration between populationspecialists In the region and the development of a regional Astociatton tor Research on Population Battelle PDP has wholly or partly funded regionalseminars on Population and Development (Honduras May 1979) and PopulationLabor Force andBasi Human Needs (Coa Rica October 1979) Discussions for the formtion of country associations and a regional link have been held with sroups from Gatoma I Honduras and Costa Rtca It to now intended that the regional association be housed under the Council of Central American Universities (CIUCA) vith initial participation frow those countriesPanamanian researchers hive exprosed an Interest to Battelle PDP far an association in their country whitle political events in Nicaragua end ItSalvador would suggest that these countries not receive concentrated

program activity for the moment

At the request of A14s Latin America Bureau attelle PD undertook an assessment of the tpact of illegal hexican miration upon the United states The investigation took the form of a stlte of the art report consisting of a systematic reviev of scholarly studies and an analysis of their contents bymajer categories vith special attention to the poliey-relevant findingsDuring the course of this work Battelle staff attempted to contact all persons In the United Ioates conducting serious research on the topic in order to Insure that the report be as comprehensive as possible

Sone significant flndins of this report ore as followu

iO - qUA- Depite an apparent cencurrenceaclosee mat o our mast utilized vstimatins techniques reveals a bread range of between 2 and S million Hniitian living Illegally in the US in the mido1970s

a 4Lfliuju Int contrast to studies suggesting that unshydocmented rre do met displaco eitison werke there i incireaing evidenc that seow job displacement does in (et ecwr The estt of this displaeenut depends upo the specific labor market

bull brylstola 115il1saI short-torm Illegal milgrants (seshytimesalled lttlo 01gjantsW) maintain a low profile and make limited Use of welfare health or edvuatie nal fneilitlo8 tonsshyterm utirants Millise social services much the same as citiens and letal roedent Little i known 4t the key team of what portion at the Nexlean migrant pepulattee reafins 10m4tlin the 1-

L

The full results appear as Battelle PRP WoriaPs N lS entitled The Impact of Undocumented Mexican Worker on the t Statesi A Critical Assessment (November 1979 pp 115 bibliography appendices) + -

Blsdes distribution within the Department of State and AID the report has been utilled by the folloving groupso IllsJoint US and Mexican Migration Working Group Washington D C and Mexico Cityamp the Select Comission on IImlgratlon and Refuge Policy Washington D C the California State Lagislature Hearings on Undocumented Mexican Migration Sacramento Califshyorni the San Diego County Board of Supervisors Task force on the Impact of illegal Migration on San Diegol and a joint US-Mcxican Policy Conference on Mexican Migration three locations California Center for Ethics and Social Policy Berkeley

Since Jean-Claude Duvalier assumed the presidency after his fathers death in 1971 foreign aid and governm~ent programs have Increased substantially in Haiti As part of that trend the Division dHygiene Familtaleo under the direction of Dr Ary lorde was establshed in 1971 as the first government-approved program to include Maternal and Child Health care and Family Planning Sine that time research on these eubjects has improved and brought a conropltant understanding of popultin dyamices in haitti

Y The Division I by law the only oranlsation which operates family planning activities Other small but related organtttlons have recently been created eS oroanisations concerned with the role of voaen In April 1979 Prestdemt for Life Duvalier made a statement in which he recognised the need to curb population growth both as a public health measure and as an adjunct to Hlitian economic developmenti this conern was repeated ina public speech InSeptember 1979

Many Haitians believe that nov is a good time to encourage awareness of popshyulatten issues The Preosidenta statements demonstrate a certain It yet undefined coitment to l1v population growth Family planning progrwms through the Division diygione Yalliale have been underway for several years and continue to expand through new channels such as househeld alA iomercial contraceptive distribution programs

The lecrtatrerie du Plan is currently preparing a five-year devlopment plan 19I14 During the past calendar year the plamins organization was rasled to cabinet-level status Slowly it is beginnng to take On in reality its dIu functions ef resource allocation and overall decision making These clilges make it all the mere imerative that population concerns enter met directly into the internaldeeision process Of what ti sv theI eretalrerie d Plan

In view ef the need to premte the recognition of population dynamics 4s a first $tep tovard their integration into development Battelle DP representsshytives V 11114 Mer 4vy and Anm Kubiloch traveled to Hiti In Nevember 1979 to consult with Dr ferdes planning officials uadCAID personnel to determine a framoverk for Siattois 1activitis in Haiti

++ + +++ +++ +S 9 ++ +________m____________________________

Meestings with the various roprosentatives identified support tor u b~tet t4 sponsored conference on Population Public Health and Development in Haiti currently scheduled to take place In late 190 The objective of the ceonfavese will be to bring together researchers government officials and program directors inorder to learn about and discuss population related issues The conference vuldprovide a forum for presentation of results from the heition Fertility Survey which could then serve as demograhic background for disculien e other ongoing and completed research endeavors inHaiti The Division d Hyltone Fautlialo i the most appropriate host tnatitution for the conference and Inpreparation Iattelle PDP plans to conduct a series of mnt-workshopsinorder to train the Division staff

The lattelle PDP sponsored analysis of the data from the Deschap) Jo region was capleteJ during the reprtitn period (PI00OAhtO6H07O) -The investigators have submitted a fellow-en proposal requstin8 fundinig for nine project papers which vill synthestie the results of their research

in the Deechapelles and Petit Goave areas (P0NAOOD)

Blatilelle DP currently developing a strategy paper for poulation and developnit asslstance to tgypt deslgned to prnote the utiliatin of population dynamics indevelopwnt planninl To this end the following subcentracts were Awarded during the reporting period

I Amiean University Celrol Workshop on gotial Research far Develepmot (PO57rYO)8 Dr $and cadalla

2 National Center for Soeieloacal and Criminological Research Catrnt Fertility Dyni r in Rural rgypt (POIAOLO)iDr Atof Rhalffa

Ale wder active coreidorati o ia

University of North Carolina Carolina Population Contert Ilrcalng Population Priority And Awareneo Aig Folitital And Cultural LeadershIp inEIypti Dr Abdei Oaran

Although e aettvitte were ueortaken in Jorde and Tunisia during this tim recent atttlle PVIear lat bureau meetinP have focused4n the eed for Battelle to itnlfltantly augment Its presone In the are Thereshytare prieuity will be Acerded to Rypt Turkey Jlrdan And Irte as Battelle PoP unands its actlvities InNorth Africa and the Near test

2I trCoitutriesl Brazil Nepal

awarded a subcontract to the AfsoclactooBra51151a doBattelle PDP hean Estudoo Populaitiona s (PO55BRO06) to publish aniddistribute the proceedings of a conference hed inOctober 1978 entitled IEncontro Nacional do

Dr Elsa Berquo isthe principal investigatorEstudos Populacion4ta

At the request of tne AIDMission Battelle PDP sent two technicians to to develop a film and to effect subcontractNepal inNovemberiDecemsber

activities on population and development issues Due to the extended nature

of their vipet (through mid-January) details of the trip will bu reported

later inBattelle PDs Trip Report series and subsequent Annual Report

1i1 MULTI-COUNTRY SUPPORT ACTIVITIES

A CUDICRS V)gJja

During the teporting period the design of this project underwent revision

Originally the focus wasn a hemispheric conference to encourage government to initiate commercial and comuunity-based family planningpolicyuaketr

lattells PDP undertook to arrange for seven presentations atservices the conference five reporting on major CBICRS projects inCentral and

South America and two reviewing and critiquing currentCBD and CRS activities

throughout the region These presentations prepared by Latin American experts the basisfor discussion of thewith Battelle DPassistancewere to serve as

utility and viability of such projects first at two small regional workshops for project manager contemplating similar activities and then after further

revision at a major meeting for poltymakers to be hosted by the Mexican

government

In line with the Initial plan seven Latin American experts identiAfied and assisted by Battelle D prepared reports on existing CUD and CKS projects and presented then inAugust 1979 at two workshops organised by Development

Associates Inc one inthDominican Republicand the other inColombia

The workhope did spark interest on the part of participants from three other Hooevertdicuesion with governshyeouptries inconsidtrins similar programs

ment officials cteal scientists and additional experts inthe field led

Battelle PD to suggest that an alternative and more effective mechanism for

extending distslbution of contraceptives in the region would be a publication presenters inassembling the collective experience and expertise of the seven

document could help convince policymakers planners healthone volume Ruch a administrators and program managers that CD and CAS progeraming on a large

cle hap proven to be a safe and acceptable approach to family planning in

both urban and rural coimunitiea toawell as provided how to do program guidelines

-13-

AccordinglyL BattelleiPDP developed and began to implement inthe remaining

experts will work intensively withthe presenters to revise and expand the

scope of their presentations through additional information data and analysis

B Assistance to the USAIDSudan CDSS (CountryDevelopment Strathay Statement)

In an effort to strengthen the analyses of population growth dynamice vis-a-vim the econoac development priorities of LDCs and AIDAfrica field missions the

Africa Bureau provided technical assistance to several sub-Sahara based missions in the preparation of their 1982 Country Development Strategy Statements With the concurrence of AIDSudan Battelle PVP dispatched two staff officials to Khartoum for two weeks in December 1979 Battelle PDPs analynis of the poor in Sudan and its overall input for the Sudan CDSS is contained in Trip Report 054

C Egypt - Population and Developmen Policy Pa er

At the request of AIDs Near East Bureau a policy paper on population and development dynamics in fgypt was prepared Thin document was used to orient Bureau officials on related events and patterns in Egypt and as a briefing paper for the Egypt consultative group meetings

D AfrIca-Initiatives

In concert with the Africa Bureaus strategy for population assistance to sub-Saharan Africa (reported in Battelle PDPs 1978-79 Annual Report Battelle intends to pursue popilation and development objectives in twelve (12)

countries (including Nigeria) designated as priority We have submitted at the Africa Bureaus request an abstract which outline the preparation of 1 country profiles entitled Assess Status of African Attitudes and Recommendations via-a-vis AID Population Assistance to Africa One outshystanding feature of this proposed activity Is the establishment of an African Advisory Committee on Population Assistance

-14shyP

IV OOUNT(Y PROJECT SUPPORTACTIVITIES---

A Proposal Development Review Process

As proposals are submitted to the Battelle PDP Program Battelle PD staff review them thoroughly for technical quality and program relevance In order to facilitate this complexs review procedure a Management Information System (MIS) has been created which documents each of the three Major steps required for all proposalat Project Development Activities Proposal Technical Review and Processing and Subcontract status

The Project Development Activities section shows trips made by Battelle PDP

staff the proposals related to each-trip and their receipt date Request included as well as travel and tripand concurence date for each trip are

report dates During the reporting period Battelle PDP staff made 10 trips to 11 countries

The Proposal Review Process section demonstrates specific steps required of are recorded as proposals enter each phases acknowltdgi

-Dateseach proposal ment and summary monitor and Battelle PDP staff review AIDPOP approval USAID (Mission) approval subcontract writing and signing This section also

sh wnvvhen and at which step proposals have been rejected or referred proposals submitted to Battelle PD receive a thorough review for technical quality and contractual specificity During the reporting period 15 proposals

4 have been funded 5 are currently under consideration~were reviewed of these for funding 2were rejected and 4 were referred

The section describing Subcontract Status indicates start and completion dates of subcontracts and due dates and receipt dates for both progress reports

Trom June 1977 through December 1979 64 proposals wereand final reports received by Rattelle PDPI 23 have become subcontracts obligating a total of

$665900 5 remain under consideration for funding-and 36 have been rejected or referred (see Table 1)

The MIS allows Battelle POP staff to identify clearly the processing stage of any proposal at any time This information has served to point out bottleshynecks which habitually delay the efficient processing of proposals and implementation of a project

--

Table I

PROJECT-TV-DATE SLWM O PROPOSAL ACTIVITY

June 1977- December 1979

Iroposays funded Under Rejectd or Country -~ ~ ~ Consideration Rfre

- o o1000) _~1000)-3ratl 3 8751 60 2 811

Chile 2 -- - - 2 -

Colombia 4 3256 1 27 - 3 297

Cost Rica 1 36 1 3

Ecuador S 2262 1 11 2 1289 2 66C

Egypt 3 1332 2 543 1 789 - shy

31 Salvador 4 610 2 573 -- - 2 237

customs 10 2917 5 1275 -- -- 5 1642

Haiti 2 1432 1 672 1 7860

Honduras 4 527 2 158 -- 2 369

Kopal 2 71)3- - 1 90 1 623 Nigeria 3 132j -- - -- - 3 132 Pakisatan 2 887 shy f-~ - - 2 88 Peru 14 4966 6 M)0 - 8 2416

Philippines 1 133 -- -- -1 133

s5 Total$ 64 1242401 23 AMS S 29481 31 1463

-16-

B Battelle PDP Fellows Program

The Battelle PDp Fllowis program isdesigned to increase the effectiveness of LDC decisionmakers who reside temporarily in the US for research or

training The program gives moderate financial assistance of up to $1500 to LDC dectsionmakers to facilitate their research and writing during their

periods of USresidence In addition PDP Fellows are brought together

with the Battelle PDP staff toediscuss at semiannual workshops the population policy implications of their research for their home countries

Funds provided to the Fellows may be used for computer costs research toassistance manuscript typing and limited travel within the US

professional meetings No stipends for maintenance are provided

Since its inception the Fellows Program has provideJ support for 19

Fellows Those completing their stays in the US have finished five

doctoral dissertations two MPH degrees and a number of research papers Five Fellows have returned tofor publication In their borne countries

their home countries and are working in population related activities

DrPL Joshi is Director of Research Planning and Evaluation for the

epat Drs Bayona Saravia and Alauddin havePopulation Commission of returned to teaching posts Elena Hurtado and Claudia Lecaros have resumed

research activities In9Guatemal and Colombi Two Fellows Teresa HO and

Helena Rib have been acepto to the Young Professionals program at the

World Bank and M Nisamuddin is currently on a short-term mission to Somalia for the Carolina Population Laboratories Several Fellows have

published articles in 1979 Including

Teresa Measuring Time Costs of Child Rearing In the Philippineo

Poplation and Development Review 514

and tconomic Change Battelle P orkingRio Roberto Family Sis Paper 13

Karim Nehtab 3ocioeconomic and Cultural Aspects of Marriage and

Fertility in Urban Pakistan task-West Population Institute

Pager 64

1attelle PD has designated certain of its Follows as Ovlrnla Follows in the U andIndicating that they have completed their residence

returned to their hoe country or they have Completed the intensive phase of their relationship with lattello pD rellows program and have accepted

now professional duties- attelle POP does in any ease send materials concerning the ellows progrm to all its current and Overseas Fellows

of intellectualwith the objective of maintaining and esnarging this network exchange long after the Fellows have returned to their roles as decisionshy

makern on population issues in their own coumtries

-17-

Battelle PDP Fellow

jMohsuuad AIAUVDIN Bangladesh ISWR Dacca Univereityl PhD Population Planning University of Michigan

Dr Alauddin completed his doctoral work in May 1979 on rural developshy

mnt and family planning behavior in Bangladesh villages His work as based

on the Bangladesh WFS data in combination with area data on rural fertility

He has returned to his administrative and teaching position with the Dacca University Institute of Social Welfare and Rsearch

Alberto BAYONAS Colombia Universidad Javerianat Fulbright Visiting Professhy

sor of Sociology Tulane University

Dr Bayonae study of population has included analysis of the 1973

census data on contextual factors influencing fertility and mortality in

Colombia He has nov returned to his post as Director of $ocial Studies at

Javerians University in Bogota

Melinda BACOL-MO TLLA Philippines NCSOg PhD candidate Sociology Utah

State University

Ms Bacol-Montilla began writing her dissertation on ethnolinguistic Her work is based on thegroup differentials in the Philippines in 1979

1973 National Demographic Survey

ur EZEKWK Nigeria

has focused her studies on marital patterns includingtMS Esekwe at marriage (IMAM) in selected Africanestimation of singulate mean age

countries assessing a reliable measure of marital patterns among European and non-European populations and the effect of bride price an fertility

hiu l Bangladesh University of Chittagonli PhD candidate - -ch of Education University of Michigan

was a student of Everett Rogers He received a Ford Foundation grant for five

Mr Haider became interested in population education while he

onmonths of field study in Bangladesh (Dec 78- May 79) to Bather data

nonformal population education programs associated with the integrated rural to the University of ichtdevelopment program He has recently returned

tan and is scheduled to complete his dissertation work in December 1979

anilal PhDTeresa JO Philippines University of the Philippines

candidate Food Research Institute Stanford University

Me No is investigating foale labor fore participation drawing on

Filipino data such as the tlma Multipurpose Household survey in which she

assisted as well so the andlMlysia surveys Upon finlshin8 her dissertashytion in April 1980 she will join the World lank in the Young Professioals

program In December 1979 Ma Mo published am article Msauring Time

Costs of Child Rearing inthe Philippines in gPoulatio and Devlopoetl

Overseas Fellows

GW INCA and Pu cHealth University of California Los Anampee

aHurtadooind ho-fa1owsproaramvhils-e avs tudyina-at UCLA

lin HD uatemala VSAIDGuatenalot MPH4 candidate School Of

where she wrote on determinants of use and Intended us of modern coetracepshytton in traditional and modern village of Guatemala InJuly of197$ she returned to Gustemals where she worked on an AID evaluation of family planning program In I1Quiche She isamong the firat of the PDP allows to return to her country and begin to contribute to policy development

L jOHIM Itepal esoarch ampad Ivaluation 1IQ ltnistry of Health Government of lepalPhD itastatstics University of California lerkley Dr Joahi completed his doctoral work inJune 1979 on the evaluation

of fatmly planning contination rates Nis research was based on data from the Nepal IS Ne has recently returned to his positton a director of re search planning and evaluation for the Population Comission of Nepal and he ebttted a proposal for PW fndin to Anilyss data on mternal and child health InNepal

a htab Pakiltan Institute of Developmest nocmies Qaid Al an U rItyi PhD Candidateo SocloLy Cornell Universlty

Mr WrIN has viittoe on age at marriagO and fertility inPakistan using data free the Nlational Impact Survey for his doctoral work he to developing a project with I the Sysod of the Population Pilenins Costenson and Profaeor Peter Slth on the female life cycle from monrche to first parturition Ne has Just publishd Secoen mc and Cultural Aspects of

rriage 4n PeitilY tn Urban Pakistan through the hatVetdeg leatitato d pians to complete his dissertation tn Spring log0

-- A Colombis Universdad do to Adeel PhD Scheol of Ucatiml S-Ita atv roltyfrO

or locares wrete her diesertation On education dovelopmet and incom Inl rural Celembia Ner work is based an data draw fromi the 1913 onsum and the Agrarian Cemleus of 1910-71 She returned to the Umiversidad do lee asdea Cele nas in0 eteOer 1978

JII OM Pakistan Ppulatte plamaing Cnteslt lalmabd PhD ulaioPlon holveraity of Mightn

is 191 tDr IiamddIn iished his dissearation the aeeptability ot faally planimg itrural Pakista So direteild the Pakistan Fertility Survey as Deputy Diretor of the Populatiu Planns Coissie snd analyced that dataF his doetoral eeare e I currently a Shert-term misa1Lim te SeMeli for the Carolina Poplaties lob

pound ailm 15 and NanaemeatE Philippines College of Develepaset 9eonsees aivr 17 C the lPili PhD candidate I eesice Vale UaivorlI lsont Alty

me qwiu stJene the POP follews Program ioJune 1919 She Isworkshytnl wits data fro the Lagima ad Steel Surveys to 0ema1n the Lber supply in the Philippnlse

Imctute

PhD nLdiddte schl of public eilth Karvard ilvers ty

Mrs Raymand to werktag with date (trm tho niliPPIn Satiftsl DOshygraphic Survey of 19) Rho i eganinlng postparLm t

GiMsa RJ A Phillppiei i oerty W1 the Phllptsi r ltwatiO

enoorrhea breasfeodnll

f bull bull bull bull bull - l

practice socioeconomic differential and their relationships to fortilityi lihe plantia completeherdiaertationin Jne 1990

ejlena R Colombia Univerldad do Jos Andes logota PhD Economics University

Msi Ribs completed het dissertation on the consequences of migration in Colombia in October 1979 She Is currently working on a postdoctoral research project on fertility aspects of the 1973 census Ma Ribs has been selected to join the Young Professionals program at the World Bank

Robertol0e Peru Univereidad do gan Harcost PhD candidate Columbia svermity 14

Mr Rios is In the last phase of completion of a doctoral dissertation eamning ocular trends In mortality and fertility In Latin America He haos noted in his work a mote rapid fertility decline than was typical of the Eushy

ropean demolraphic transition Mr Rios recently contributed 1PW Working Paper 913 entitled Family Site and Economic Change

lgnira MSYZi21 CkGatmala Instituto do Nutriclon de Centro Aaerica y anma (INCA) Guatemala City PhD candidate School of Public Health University of California Los Angeles

Ms Rosenhouse Is writing her dissertation on the evaluation of the validity of attitudinal survey data on fertility-related topics adminisshytared i Guatela Nter work is based on the INCAP-AXD data and focuses primarily on doetted family ise

JsL1AMVampA Colombia Univereidad del Vll del Caucal PhD Land Tenure Center University of Wisconsin Madison

Dr Saravia coploted his doctoral work In 1971 on rural development and health status in Colombia He ueed data from a 1973 health and nutrition survey Ne has returned to his faculty position in the School af Economies iniversidad del Vails del Caous

2911hotu L oJBrasil Iatitute Getull Vargas PhD candidate teshyi 7nosteUiversity of ChicagoJ

Mr sedlacek joined tle POP allows progrm im October 1971 shortly after he began work en a stud- of fertility and wmons work patterns In Brasil and the US with JamoeHeckia and the Stanford Research Institute No Intends to adapt economttii modeling techniques ho t currently developshyn to use on survey data fro eoaulo Brasil

la MUAP Nepeli PhD adidat Population Studies ad Training Center

grown University

FDP Fellw hapa s Frtility survey Of 1974 us carried out the initial parof the research

at the Rest-Vest Cater and has returned to rown University to complete his dissertation in September 1910 is research currently underway concerns estimating trends and levels of Infant mortality and fertility

As the novst Mr I analysing data tree the Sepal

-20

IsttelriP Vokpra~~-c--

Battelle pDp staff and Yellos are encouraged to submit papers for The foloingincorporation Into the Battelle PD Working Paper seies

papers have been issued to date

AlMtLL PDKiUna Iufi

Title Authow(s) Date

ChanOle UP Heareesep Ot Is ThirhouIptan foetility

I 1041i0camOo$ ond family Plsnnisu

Nfi l2 BoxDifeoso Itthe Wsteot to i P 1tle OctIo A4gotlu si Owlelo in C Yarrolil Clas n$lt

J aiSNRIal Guatemsala 1pound11

14

olt iIConsequence 0Mo0llos to S ahCentitbution of Auihroelogsts to VCetoe vI

ot Iamp Velltell p~ |t13lNeceove NisPopltie evele V Ntlpm[ ga It 4 l afliiplatt - Note Punittenm lat Anlst$ V1tteteooy fobIt shy

tleferilityp MWAsols4 later- J lltlt robt7 eatol ind~t Variables fit 5~t Afab Cowmttto

I I The Impe of uralt pitqPM so lt WV letI Kay to

pliteti otth CA Crrsie A i Sashil

May 19I LaePlaifiteaiea 4d Weeleore Numasseew g Peubda goost le itatePOistIeleis

i t May ItiNCtle rtil JnitAli

ISMS to 1 l t t ilatVariables Al

isatal 11i1tt

it The~w to1OfS e e a e t Phte g 5 I 4P sot Hpdel JunA1oi Th eeLatin A erte s Su I il

I lit o f Usual Union tuaotet 1 Alsn JI

t aillttel

Change A Rios et toI r)eally it ampn toonwmto it14 Plt IIIa PorTuitc4nd Reality vile 1311i1101o bull

CA Cctvise I

335 Close Weeit ethe Uitd Steill A ctititl ampos4$- JA 1enioto The losses of iUdenem40 Nealtae mocers

S - aunt ) bull

Page 6: vBallelle - United States Agency for International

-3shy

broader perspective and will result in the formulation of a plan of action for ongoing Battelle POP assistance to develop and implement LDC population and development actions

Battelle POP is rapidly draving to the close of Phase V activities under Contract No AIDpha-C-1169 We fully intend to continue these important initiatives under Battelle PDP Phase 11 - assuming successful competitive

contract negotiations After over two years of project start-up activities including the arduous albeit critical process of identifying key LDC Contacts and in building trusted workirg relationships Battelle POP has gained a

strong operative sense of routh and maturity which will lead to increased

and productive activity in the population and development arena We are

convinced that the process of institution building training of LDC social scientists expansion of population and development research and the creation

of understanding and overt political support among LOC political leaders and

gnvitrnment decision makerolplannars ioabsolutely vital-to the eventual delivery of efficient and quality family planning services to people in

developing countries Thi is especially true in Africa and the Near East

an area where very little progres has been registered over the past decade With continued Battelle POP assistance significant gain will be realized

II COUNIRY SPECIFIC ACTTVITIS

A Pru~

Once a leader within Latin America in initiating steps toward a population

policy Peru has nov fallen behind After the military takeover of 1968

private family planning organisations were severely restricted in their

operations Under the military government of 1968-1975 family planning

activities in state-run services Vere drastically curtailed Opposition

to a population policy stemed from the pronatalist bias of the military

establishmenti the opposition of the Catholic Church hierarchy on moral

groundel and the alleged connection between population control and

imperialism made by the political left concentrated in universities

aid labor orgpnisationi

a more open posture towardThe nmw military regime of 1915 assumed population policy than its predecessor tn 1976 a National Population Comiesion appointed by the President presented Guidelines for a copreshy

hensive population policy These were to include a broad educational component for adults and children as well asapleo service avalability

ltll active opposition to implementing such a policy remalned in the

bureaucracy at various levels In the universities and in somesegmente

of the Church

Opposition though oroded by thes efforts of various Peruvian and inter-Ii14al l0d politicalnational Orlanisations still remains lreover the

crisis which has engulfed Peru in the past several years has ma the

government hesitatebeforeta it decisive steps teward a that mly Or at best soesitive bystill be considered unesirable uofaary

In fact there i evidnee thatinfluential factions within the country while opposition from the military the bureaucracy and the political

has recently increasedleft my have subsided from the Church hierarchy it

-4shy

Oovernmentadministered family planning services only recently having

started on a broad prograa scale were suspended in August 197 by order

They vere only resumed in November after considerableof the President protest by professional and other organizations associated

with population

activities

has continued to support AMIDEP (Hultidiselplinary Associationllattelle VP 1978 in

its efforts to raise consciousness among academicians end promote needed

research activities in the field of population

for Research and Teaching in Population) (POlOPZO421706 01) mince

It has also supported a

effort since late 1976 by the N~ationalsimar conectousness-raif Statistics Office (POI7pO5IH709) Aimed at government plannert these

and every provincial c4pitai in month-lons seminars are to be held in Lime

funding the updating of the Populatio InformationPeru lattolle PD is Center as veil as an analytical inventory of population works in Peru at

the Center for Population and Development Studies (CrPD) (p029PZ0211H-71)

Sattelle PD has persuaded the presttiious Institute o Peruvian StudiesB eoctal change and

to enter the population field and has begen a study of

Uattelle was a co-sponsor of the National rural fertility (PO41P075) ) held Conference on Population and Development in Peru

(PO2PE015I1I0d2

in June 1979

WationalP blic new activities in Peru include a

Interest Croup on Population Activities a seminareport on Institutio n

Iattelles proposed al

Obstacles to Implementation of a Population Policy (to be sponsored by

two studise based on the recently available VF1 data for PeruAZ4DEP) and attelle is ale working 0n the organisation of an dean Symposium on

A4IDampP and INT-Population and Development (to be jointly sponeored by

current tv preparing an analytical studyCINCtA) and attelie staff are of the process of population policy developmnt In Peru

have been working to tcuader Individually since the lattelle staff ambers presnt project started in 171f Contats and coilaborative work had alshy

rady been mdertakn with the Ministries o Wealth and ducation the Center Oard (JUNAPLA) I

for Demoraphit Analy5il and the National Plaming 4inistries of Agricultureaddition to these 9attelle has boon working with the

the ro ras and Labor the National ltatistical ad Ce su Institute (INiC)

d Antrepologia paratlcuador (PAI a private momrelit reseasch erganisashy

tien) and the Cntre do Pateridad teepeneable (CUMA a private mprrfit

population Iefrmatioa And action pregram) The lattelle POP preram has

always had excellent Institutienal and perseosl rolatioeps with USAUD euader

Saitelle PO spenserod and helped erganiso a National ro4oinar en Populaby

to present pepulation Issuesties and Devleent in Icuader inJdm 197S (PWICOilN0) N ested I~C and JAMAPA the Pre-PoinAr vim dasigned

and identify reoerch prierities saon reprooentativee ot met 001 aoesless

44

yunding and technical ass istance for research was to be procured from Satshytells PDe and other sources and results presented in a subsequent National Seminar on Population and Development The process though was impeded by difficulties encountered within the L Iinaccepting several clause in the standard battelleAID subcontract format A new format acceptable to lattells snd the Go was-finally tgred upon

Once Sattell PD activities resumed new nOslbilItlis wee identified in several areas Pending projects include studies on rural social change and

fertilit tterns of peasant women the demographic behavlior of urban

pesants demographic history of Icuados and a Publt Interest Group on Population Information Attvitisa Proposals ae epecte shortly for a PopulationInformation Center anhAnnotated Sibliography of Utant Verks on Yopulation in Icuadlor aend a National Conference on Population ad Deshyvelopment Acollaboration is being discussed with the 005s National Deshyvelopment Councils Population and pevolopmetn unit for Rattelle PD technical assistance in Population tmpact Analysis of Ecuadoran development prejntes posibilar arrangement with the USAtD Nission bas been discussed as nother

finally the development of an Ecuadorampnl P DIiP-type activity coca contemshyplated by PAZ is now to be proposed to the institute for Social-N ical Research at the MIinistry of Health

The data analysis anidforml Peers discussing findinas from the PODP fundedirojet wt the rundlcdo de Zdacaelnf Superier tns) (POCL Iei-7S))

to this project prepotion its undrwyAs a supplemotarTefor alowmtomlte i 418A ltlW b Iini ih i ut A i lu

th 0 xfta htTIT rl health~ pelikymeris planners and menaten In October 179 a cenferne wa held ACasiciceIl-Al FAh ti m ofe ii 9218abieathed 111 1fhapter e and lreathingewwv ltIn New Orleans for the purpose of reviewing draft agreement ne teo oerll direction th e should takenograph

CoeMbiau researchers from Corperactd Centro Aegional do e etblcia (CCI) art developing a project which will study the consequences of the C61leaa fertility decline (9O)0C=13)o AIfminar for which national planers and researchers will prepare pressestions em the effects of the fertility decline ea seeioaceomie varibbles teeprieso the first stage of the study Salle plans to suppert this project oad mist 4 revised proposal from

CMthe ew principal ltvstigatr nmed b 11 in Deember 1979

- 4 - i4-

VpAuatios o1 a rAsissal tpwattoo ft11 for Oatemula has saint eaud Srowed during the Pastsi Nevilleth Thasa to the Offtrs at

severat owafitm sd asrasevtteaamp rgioasdtCi polIqeMAher are sare avare thai over bere of the lotorroIaSionship Wewon populattoo asA scieal sail eoesss feletr to their eeustryCs deslopmsw Qrppsitteu to faily plasiu Mo rpol tes vithis the Nsatifal iqylty of 1sam Carl$ be t0049004 - third year W10eaI046041 siwdetn 66 aSW revetIs

Keyl etsl at mun t~sheUtotitraintog to family ptaulog]PIam1ie Cousll are teeroaalMapseIv to osalderotti of tiattoo

oppo ~iio did artoo from osroncereS to the plAMISeS preoe Althouagh 7 msisr 1 NesIth he has (me reversed his septive atoams

UsudI W~wete tos active d5$1- the period covered by this report to Mterat t Is vory evcttI Awems Previously ProgrsoeYat Mel loved is oeowiCI Stllt Sop projets latod6eiiCO4 irdees

tampsral OW40 aid Diftergsia Srtlisy (valverldad delproject asTa1it r1001htUP43)ampad Jorge Artas p~ots rprtosi

of tw wrAC a pepeatles O eeeaWt(iiwr~d~s~~b~t dc1 val P90140MIS 4lO 114181sisry fooest free AW Owdy have stroadyi ssfood the ltoftwof pleawav s 1itiofJ~ei wotal

211 l -oIsepermtbof the Aeilvoa do CtceesaC ItIest (NO hWOorsid y isohla sad adufeerrast to diftisoscs hap o he twirt fitam er SoISS popiv18sla m sheresmt Ubigh will

vikestmsalWe ready for distriwvils fi oarly 1o (Isaeviosoa chommss MOW gsv4e have showa istemleto otislas(sho

Now estteilie deriod shis period 101l040 AfeppaI fo lt sdy CS 5Vc otoses tly st w p9lsolso (101100110ICAMICOafl

aid avtsmat o mfoloee MSpelats lo s epth(PSOWG)TI held oeve t9) Ffogeoel hot$$ Csthe SsOf3UiOfA dWiOP of rurs lastly ate bIe vwald he rarried me ocojwt Willi S111Cacef OAIt rual daoipum Proeee usrvo4t of tooa for umdt Pricrectus with 00SAPI gltch bad led te -Sstormsl nreost to isplsee the possibility of DesseU POP seshaicit celetANC6 ts Pepsat ea IEMt Ma44016 are Wel Fwrecd A(

Proviow teseesss by Sstotts nw oil had sad to the tornwtsef sm Wse eslnnit to the orgeuistIsltotg~roit of froaafdrobwee

The igsvp slottedof she OCCSCUSleC Aoseslsiif for Ppcite-aI keeert a board of01ffealet so puras for11a FVP0111614Cl ONaltepfaIM44111 Ylsh tgreob5 oCf a simlar gu1046wsdC e1soka to establish C410161t got a 1e061se1 C001ral pmariwass AeeeeltiPsm it to sipwi Bese

M Psiewty byas 141194y Vas biinGhgltha$e doveleSesl of owk am tpattoo ISooeort Topieepars liipauts Is she let Local Osfrew

ussietod obe VIlh a eWd Iattvi5P tease Is ftasemtl this project latlatiive will he operitRokl5id

Aampof this wlial latiolls iSP el bas flerastd a 911ra14gy PAV~r etshe latolie IN proosesfor 0641044 for tow redof

2 H reu e o

pouastive I se ionduras but the level of thedebtae is more sub~duedthan In other countries The National Plannin=

Council (cONSIMAIK) has been resivins technical assistance In populati masters for one year from Corporeac6n Centre Rtegonal d Poblactn (CCtp) in 10o0t supported by lttello (MIHNN10II0O) The areas covere are economic modeling and long-term seocal serviced plannini in both cesshya population component has been built Itto the planning mechanism

A now agreement with CCIP (POASIiK04) was reached calling for technical assistance to ODMIULANZ in preparing an emplifted follow-on to the deoglraphic-economic modeling and disoeulnation octivities The asplified program to being designed at the request of MIlDIHonduras

CONSMLtNZ to particularly positive toward CCXo hortionel-technlcali assistance Coetinuation of the woiA should strese pect(- issues (populatiem and educational services family planning and population enhagag etc) and Incorporate some of the population concerns developed at the oetieMl level into the regional development plane The outlook given the relatively modest level of effort seema extremely encouraging COOIMPiAXs pre-prposal for the fellow-on project has been received And 0te formal proposal is epcted by April 1980

The CCI03 t1LANX model first presented publicly in ay 1979 at the Ceetral Amercan Conference on topulation and Pevelopeent sponsored by Sttelle to already being incorporated Into the proeae for the National Development Flan of Nenduras follw-er activities will emphaise dliesemlties of the model and its Use no ter WoNagancee eavell as

other Central American euntrieseoin

The is formal opposition in principle to family Plaing octivitltetom to loendras The problem it snes is the sense of depepulatiee vi -vti the presence of Stghly populated Ii Salvador nearby In thip atmosphere It Vld see diffitlt toimpart a sne of urgency for soeving population growth rates i order to benefit the nation Individual hmn rights woud shythoe be the ealy point of argument for the met Still the CMWtAUl

MYP verb ohold serve ts hiAhlight sm of the important cofequemee ef rapid rowth rates In regard to the previotn of Gects) services d

the Wdl lagal esplicit fAmil plannIrA fopeoent it viii A Alloi etitsion to the beneflts of a tuational service deivor) proolL

kdwr~f aha llI teduntvar Ityrurricu Is The single University in -the

country lacks programs in several disciplines in the social sciences (for

example there is no RocloloSy Anthropology or Psychology) and provides CSUCA the no effective opportunity for research by faculty members

superior Council of Central American Universities apportioned several

regional Graduate programs among its members and Honduras was assigned

With attelle funding the Programthe Ecotouics and Planning Program sponsored a Ieogonl Central American Conference on Population and

Development in Hay 1979 attended by representatives from government agencies

Central America (037U0071l2) As a result of and universities throughout this conference a second one on Population Labor force and basic

Human Heeds wan later sponsored by the University of Costa Ricea with A proposal for a follow-up conferencepartial Sattelle PD support

on Population and the Environment in Central America is now being

developed by the University of Honduras

The USAID mission has expressed enthusiasm for both the CONSUPLANZ

project and the regional Conference on Population The staff of both

projects in turn has expressed satisfaction with the collaborative

support received from USAIP mission staff

In addition a proposal has been received from the newly formed Honduran

Association for Research on Population Inspired by Perus AMtIDP and

actively promoted by attelle PDP the Association is expected to be

the 4eduran member of the planned Central American Association for

Population Research (see section on Central America)

deg Work was completed on both Sattells PDP agreements with

Asooscn and r OO A045H701-02)

Salvador deteriorated last OctoberDe gTaflea Salvadorena (ADS) (POOISA01VIH701o0

before the politital situation in El The f(llowing three publications edited by Ales A Aloes Z

ADS

principal investigator emanated from the ADS projects and serve to

document much of the groundwork underway for population policy formation

and population research in El Salvadort

1 1 Edo4IfL (October 1978 356 pp)Powlo gln 2 es9arolloJ

u fltrsn e om tnfntoel ul---114tnbor 1974 143 pIp)

MIA 120lo IpeItiAuci(gfulfto PelNCItics Y tgaeelou lntedlolpln~rnIfero Pnl(August 1971 NOg pp)

toItabtilsed If and when the preset political situation in 1

Salvador hattelle tPo staff espects Or Rosa Jdith Clsneree

irector of MDSas called In Octobert199 withof July 079 will reschedule a meeting she

planners and resoarherts and representative of Internationalnational ADS project The meeting Vould evaluate

Sorgaisations hich funded Alenso

the projeets finding and repereussolns and suggest future ceursee of

action

4 Westna Central Amrica

Given th relative lmi of the Central Aneriaen countrie (especiallywith regard to their scientific coomunitie) and their historical and institutional links itwas decided that certain Battelle Pop aetivitiss be 4irected to the region as a whole

Stops have been taken conducive to Improved vommniration between populationspecialists In the region and the development of a regional Astociatton tor Research on Population Battelle PDP has wholly or partly funded regionalseminars on Population and Development (Honduras May 1979) and PopulationLabor Force andBasi Human Needs (Coa Rica October 1979) Discussions for the formtion of country associations and a regional link have been held with sroups from Gatoma I Honduras and Costa Rtca It to now intended that the regional association be housed under the Council of Central American Universities (CIUCA) vith initial participation frow those countriesPanamanian researchers hive exprosed an Interest to Battelle PDP far an association in their country whitle political events in Nicaragua end ItSalvador would suggest that these countries not receive concentrated

program activity for the moment

At the request of A14s Latin America Bureau attelle PD undertook an assessment of the tpact of illegal hexican miration upon the United states The investigation took the form of a stlte of the art report consisting of a systematic reviev of scholarly studies and an analysis of their contents bymajer categories vith special attention to the poliey-relevant findingsDuring the course of this work Battelle staff attempted to contact all persons In the United Ioates conducting serious research on the topic in order to Insure that the report be as comprehensive as possible

Sone significant flndins of this report ore as followu

iO - qUA- Depite an apparent cencurrenceaclosee mat o our mast utilized vstimatins techniques reveals a bread range of between 2 and S million Hniitian living Illegally in the US in the mido1970s

a 4Lfliuju Int contrast to studies suggesting that unshydocmented rre do met displaco eitison werke there i incireaing evidenc that seow job displacement does in (et ecwr The estt of this displaeenut depends upo the specific labor market

bull brylstola 115il1saI short-torm Illegal milgrants (seshytimesalled lttlo 01gjantsW) maintain a low profile and make limited Use of welfare health or edvuatie nal fneilitlo8 tonsshyterm utirants Millise social services much the same as citiens and letal roedent Little i known 4t the key team of what portion at the Nexlean migrant pepulattee reafins 10m4tlin the 1-

L

The full results appear as Battelle PRP WoriaPs N lS entitled The Impact of Undocumented Mexican Worker on the t Statesi A Critical Assessment (November 1979 pp 115 bibliography appendices) + -

Blsdes distribution within the Department of State and AID the report has been utilled by the folloving groupso IllsJoint US and Mexican Migration Working Group Washington D C and Mexico Cityamp the Select Comission on IImlgratlon and Refuge Policy Washington D C the California State Lagislature Hearings on Undocumented Mexican Migration Sacramento Califshyorni the San Diego County Board of Supervisors Task force on the Impact of illegal Migration on San Diegol and a joint US-Mcxican Policy Conference on Mexican Migration three locations California Center for Ethics and Social Policy Berkeley

Since Jean-Claude Duvalier assumed the presidency after his fathers death in 1971 foreign aid and governm~ent programs have Increased substantially in Haiti As part of that trend the Division dHygiene Familtaleo under the direction of Dr Ary lorde was establshed in 1971 as the first government-approved program to include Maternal and Child Health care and Family Planning Sine that time research on these eubjects has improved and brought a conropltant understanding of popultin dyamices in haitti

Y The Division I by law the only oranlsation which operates family planning activities Other small but related organtttlons have recently been created eS oroanisations concerned with the role of voaen In April 1979 Prestdemt for Life Duvalier made a statement in which he recognised the need to curb population growth both as a public health measure and as an adjunct to Hlitian economic developmenti this conern was repeated ina public speech InSeptember 1979

Many Haitians believe that nov is a good time to encourage awareness of popshyulatten issues The Preosidenta statements demonstrate a certain It yet undefined coitment to l1v population growth Family planning progrwms through the Division diygione Yalliale have been underway for several years and continue to expand through new channels such as househeld alA iomercial contraceptive distribution programs

The lecrtatrerie du Plan is currently preparing a five-year devlopment plan 19I14 During the past calendar year the plamins organization was rasled to cabinet-level status Slowly it is beginnng to take On in reality its dIu functions ef resource allocation and overall decision making These clilges make it all the mere imerative that population concerns enter met directly into the internaldeeision process Of what ti sv theI eretalrerie d Plan

In view ef the need to premte the recognition of population dynamics 4s a first $tep tovard their integration into development Battelle DP representsshytives V 11114 Mer 4vy and Anm Kubiloch traveled to Hiti In Nevember 1979 to consult with Dr ferdes planning officials uadCAID personnel to determine a framoverk for Siattois 1activitis in Haiti

++ + +++ +++ +S 9 ++ +________m____________________________

Meestings with the various roprosentatives identified support tor u b~tet t4 sponsored conference on Population Public Health and Development in Haiti currently scheduled to take place In late 190 The objective of the ceonfavese will be to bring together researchers government officials and program directors inorder to learn about and discuss population related issues The conference vuldprovide a forum for presentation of results from the heition Fertility Survey which could then serve as demograhic background for disculien e other ongoing and completed research endeavors inHaiti The Division d Hyltone Fautlialo i the most appropriate host tnatitution for the conference and Inpreparation Iattelle PDP plans to conduct a series of mnt-workshopsinorder to train the Division staff

The lattelle PDP sponsored analysis of the data from the Deschap) Jo region was capleteJ during the reprtitn period (PI00OAhtO6H07O) -The investigators have submitted a fellow-en proposal requstin8 fundinig for nine project papers which vill synthestie the results of their research

in the Deechapelles and Petit Goave areas (P0NAOOD)

Blatilelle DP currently developing a strategy paper for poulation and developnit asslstance to tgypt deslgned to prnote the utiliatin of population dynamics indevelopwnt planninl To this end the following subcentracts were Awarded during the reporting period

I Amiean University Celrol Workshop on gotial Research far Develepmot (PO57rYO)8 Dr $and cadalla

2 National Center for Soeieloacal and Criminological Research Catrnt Fertility Dyni r in Rural rgypt (POIAOLO)iDr Atof Rhalffa

Ale wder active coreidorati o ia

University of North Carolina Carolina Population Contert Ilrcalng Population Priority And Awareneo Aig Folitital And Cultural LeadershIp inEIypti Dr Abdei Oaran

Although e aettvitte were ueortaken in Jorde and Tunisia during this tim recent atttlle PVIear lat bureau meetinP have focused4n the eed for Battelle to itnlfltantly augment Its presone In the are Thereshytare prieuity will be Acerded to Rypt Turkey Jlrdan And Irte as Battelle PoP unands its actlvities InNorth Africa and the Near test

2I trCoitutriesl Brazil Nepal

awarded a subcontract to the AfsoclactooBra51151a doBattelle PDP hean Estudoo Populaitiona s (PO55BRO06) to publish aniddistribute the proceedings of a conference hed inOctober 1978 entitled IEncontro Nacional do

Dr Elsa Berquo isthe principal investigatorEstudos Populacion4ta

At the request of tne AIDMission Battelle PDP sent two technicians to to develop a film and to effect subcontractNepal inNovemberiDecemsber

activities on population and development issues Due to the extended nature

of their vipet (through mid-January) details of the trip will bu reported

later inBattelle PDs Trip Report series and subsequent Annual Report

1i1 MULTI-COUNTRY SUPPORT ACTIVITIES

A CUDICRS V)gJja

During the teporting period the design of this project underwent revision

Originally the focus wasn a hemispheric conference to encourage government to initiate commercial and comuunity-based family planningpolicyuaketr

lattells PDP undertook to arrange for seven presentations atservices the conference five reporting on major CBICRS projects inCentral and

South America and two reviewing and critiquing currentCBD and CRS activities

throughout the region These presentations prepared by Latin American experts the basisfor discussion of thewith Battelle DPassistancewere to serve as

utility and viability of such projects first at two small regional workshops for project manager contemplating similar activities and then after further

revision at a major meeting for poltymakers to be hosted by the Mexican

government

In line with the Initial plan seven Latin American experts identiAfied and assisted by Battelle D prepared reports on existing CUD and CKS projects and presented then inAugust 1979 at two workshops organised by Development

Associates Inc one inthDominican Republicand the other inColombia

The workhope did spark interest on the part of participants from three other Hooevertdicuesion with governshyeouptries inconsidtrins similar programs

ment officials cteal scientists and additional experts inthe field led

Battelle PD to suggest that an alternative and more effective mechanism for

extending distslbution of contraceptives in the region would be a publication presenters inassembling the collective experience and expertise of the seven

document could help convince policymakers planners healthone volume Ruch a administrators and program managers that CD and CAS progeraming on a large

cle hap proven to be a safe and acceptable approach to family planning in

both urban and rural coimunitiea toawell as provided how to do program guidelines

-13-

AccordinglyL BattelleiPDP developed and began to implement inthe remaining

experts will work intensively withthe presenters to revise and expand the

scope of their presentations through additional information data and analysis

B Assistance to the USAIDSudan CDSS (CountryDevelopment Strathay Statement)

In an effort to strengthen the analyses of population growth dynamice vis-a-vim the econoac development priorities of LDCs and AIDAfrica field missions the

Africa Bureau provided technical assistance to several sub-Sahara based missions in the preparation of their 1982 Country Development Strategy Statements With the concurrence of AIDSudan Battelle PVP dispatched two staff officials to Khartoum for two weeks in December 1979 Battelle PDPs analynis of the poor in Sudan and its overall input for the Sudan CDSS is contained in Trip Report 054

C Egypt - Population and Developmen Policy Pa er

At the request of AIDs Near East Bureau a policy paper on population and development dynamics in fgypt was prepared Thin document was used to orient Bureau officials on related events and patterns in Egypt and as a briefing paper for the Egypt consultative group meetings

D AfrIca-Initiatives

In concert with the Africa Bureaus strategy for population assistance to sub-Saharan Africa (reported in Battelle PDPs 1978-79 Annual Report Battelle intends to pursue popilation and development objectives in twelve (12)

countries (including Nigeria) designated as priority We have submitted at the Africa Bureaus request an abstract which outline the preparation of 1 country profiles entitled Assess Status of African Attitudes and Recommendations via-a-vis AID Population Assistance to Africa One outshystanding feature of this proposed activity Is the establishment of an African Advisory Committee on Population Assistance

-14shyP

IV OOUNT(Y PROJECT SUPPORTACTIVITIES---

A Proposal Development Review Process

As proposals are submitted to the Battelle PDP Program Battelle PD staff review them thoroughly for technical quality and program relevance In order to facilitate this complexs review procedure a Management Information System (MIS) has been created which documents each of the three Major steps required for all proposalat Project Development Activities Proposal Technical Review and Processing and Subcontract status

The Project Development Activities section shows trips made by Battelle PDP

staff the proposals related to each-trip and their receipt date Request included as well as travel and tripand concurence date for each trip are

report dates During the reporting period Battelle PDP staff made 10 trips to 11 countries

The Proposal Review Process section demonstrates specific steps required of are recorded as proposals enter each phases acknowltdgi

-Dateseach proposal ment and summary monitor and Battelle PDP staff review AIDPOP approval USAID (Mission) approval subcontract writing and signing This section also

sh wnvvhen and at which step proposals have been rejected or referred proposals submitted to Battelle PD receive a thorough review for technical quality and contractual specificity During the reporting period 15 proposals

4 have been funded 5 are currently under consideration~were reviewed of these for funding 2were rejected and 4 were referred

The section describing Subcontract Status indicates start and completion dates of subcontracts and due dates and receipt dates for both progress reports

Trom June 1977 through December 1979 64 proposals wereand final reports received by Rattelle PDPI 23 have become subcontracts obligating a total of

$665900 5 remain under consideration for funding-and 36 have been rejected or referred (see Table 1)

The MIS allows Battelle POP staff to identify clearly the processing stage of any proposal at any time This information has served to point out bottleshynecks which habitually delay the efficient processing of proposals and implementation of a project

--

Table I

PROJECT-TV-DATE SLWM O PROPOSAL ACTIVITY

June 1977- December 1979

Iroposays funded Under Rejectd or Country -~ ~ ~ Consideration Rfre

- o o1000) _~1000)-3ratl 3 8751 60 2 811

Chile 2 -- - - 2 -

Colombia 4 3256 1 27 - 3 297

Cost Rica 1 36 1 3

Ecuador S 2262 1 11 2 1289 2 66C

Egypt 3 1332 2 543 1 789 - shy

31 Salvador 4 610 2 573 -- - 2 237

customs 10 2917 5 1275 -- -- 5 1642

Haiti 2 1432 1 672 1 7860

Honduras 4 527 2 158 -- 2 369

Kopal 2 71)3- - 1 90 1 623 Nigeria 3 132j -- - -- - 3 132 Pakisatan 2 887 shy f-~ - - 2 88 Peru 14 4966 6 M)0 - 8 2416

Philippines 1 133 -- -- -1 133

s5 Total$ 64 1242401 23 AMS S 29481 31 1463

-16-

B Battelle PDP Fellows Program

The Battelle PDp Fllowis program isdesigned to increase the effectiveness of LDC decisionmakers who reside temporarily in the US for research or

training The program gives moderate financial assistance of up to $1500 to LDC dectsionmakers to facilitate their research and writing during their

periods of USresidence In addition PDP Fellows are brought together

with the Battelle PDP staff toediscuss at semiannual workshops the population policy implications of their research for their home countries

Funds provided to the Fellows may be used for computer costs research toassistance manuscript typing and limited travel within the US

professional meetings No stipends for maintenance are provided

Since its inception the Fellows Program has provideJ support for 19

Fellows Those completing their stays in the US have finished five

doctoral dissertations two MPH degrees and a number of research papers Five Fellows have returned tofor publication In their borne countries

their home countries and are working in population related activities

DrPL Joshi is Director of Research Planning and Evaluation for the

epat Drs Bayona Saravia and Alauddin havePopulation Commission of returned to teaching posts Elena Hurtado and Claudia Lecaros have resumed

research activities In9Guatemal and Colombi Two Fellows Teresa HO and

Helena Rib have been acepto to the Young Professionals program at the

World Bank and M Nisamuddin is currently on a short-term mission to Somalia for the Carolina Population Laboratories Several Fellows have

published articles in 1979 Including

Teresa Measuring Time Costs of Child Rearing In the Philippineo

Poplation and Development Review 514

and tconomic Change Battelle P orkingRio Roberto Family Sis Paper 13

Karim Nehtab 3ocioeconomic and Cultural Aspects of Marriage and

Fertility in Urban Pakistan task-West Population Institute

Pager 64

1attelle PD has designated certain of its Follows as Ovlrnla Follows in the U andIndicating that they have completed their residence

returned to their hoe country or they have Completed the intensive phase of their relationship with lattello pD rellows program and have accepted

now professional duties- attelle POP does in any ease send materials concerning the ellows progrm to all its current and Overseas Fellows

of intellectualwith the objective of maintaining and esnarging this network exchange long after the Fellows have returned to their roles as decisionshy

makern on population issues in their own coumtries

-17-

Battelle PDP Fellow

jMohsuuad AIAUVDIN Bangladesh ISWR Dacca Univereityl PhD Population Planning University of Michigan

Dr Alauddin completed his doctoral work in May 1979 on rural developshy

mnt and family planning behavior in Bangladesh villages His work as based

on the Bangladesh WFS data in combination with area data on rural fertility

He has returned to his administrative and teaching position with the Dacca University Institute of Social Welfare and Rsearch

Alberto BAYONAS Colombia Universidad Javerianat Fulbright Visiting Professhy

sor of Sociology Tulane University

Dr Bayonae study of population has included analysis of the 1973

census data on contextual factors influencing fertility and mortality in

Colombia He has nov returned to his post as Director of $ocial Studies at

Javerians University in Bogota

Melinda BACOL-MO TLLA Philippines NCSOg PhD candidate Sociology Utah

State University

Ms Bacol-Montilla began writing her dissertation on ethnolinguistic Her work is based on thegroup differentials in the Philippines in 1979

1973 National Demographic Survey

ur EZEKWK Nigeria

has focused her studies on marital patterns includingtMS Esekwe at marriage (IMAM) in selected Africanestimation of singulate mean age

countries assessing a reliable measure of marital patterns among European and non-European populations and the effect of bride price an fertility

hiu l Bangladesh University of Chittagonli PhD candidate - -ch of Education University of Michigan

was a student of Everett Rogers He received a Ford Foundation grant for five

Mr Haider became interested in population education while he

onmonths of field study in Bangladesh (Dec 78- May 79) to Bather data

nonformal population education programs associated with the integrated rural to the University of ichtdevelopment program He has recently returned

tan and is scheduled to complete his dissertation work in December 1979

anilal PhDTeresa JO Philippines University of the Philippines

candidate Food Research Institute Stanford University

Me No is investigating foale labor fore participation drawing on

Filipino data such as the tlma Multipurpose Household survey in which she

assisted as well so the andlMlysia surveys Upon finlshin8 her dissertashytion in April 1980 she will join the World lank in the Young Professioals

program In December 1979 Ma Mo published am article Msauring Time

Costs of Child Rearing inthe Philippines in gPoulatio and Devlopoetl

Overseas Fellows

GW INCA and Pu cHealth University of California Los Anampee

aHurtadooind ho-fa1owsproaramvhils-e avs tudyina-at UCLA

lin HD uatemala VSAIDGuatenalot MPH4 candidate School Of

where she wrote on determinants of use and Intended us of modern coetracepshytton in traditional and modern village of Guatemala InJuly of197$ she returned to Gustemals where she worked on an AID evaluation of family planning program In I1Quiche She isamong the firat of the PDP allows to return to her country and begin to contribute to policy development

L jOHIM Itepal esoarch ampad Ivaluation 1IQ ltnistry of Health Government of lepalPhD itastatstics University of California lerkley Dr Joahi completed his doctoral work inJune 1979 on the evaluation

of fatmly planning contination rates Nis research was based on data from the Nepal IS Ne has recently returned to his positton a director of re search planning and evaluation for the Population Comission of Nepal and he ebttted a proposal for PW fndin to Anilyss data on mternal and child health InNepal

a htab Pakiltan Institute of Developmest nocmies Qaid Al an U rItyi PhD Candidateo SocloLy Cornell Universlty

Mr WrIN has viittoe on age at marriagO and fertility inPakistan using data free the Nlational Impact Survey for his doctoral work he to developing a project with I the Sysod of the Population Pilenins Costenson and Profaeor Peter Slth on the female life cycle from monrche to first parturition Ne has Just publishd Secoen mc and Cultural Aspects of

rriage 4n PeitilY tn Urban Pakistan through the hatVetdeg leatitato d pians to complete his dissertation tn Spring log0

-- A Colombis Universdad do to Adeel PhD Scheol of Ucatiml S-Ita atv roltyfrO

or locares wrete her diesertation On education dovelopmet and incom Inl rural Celembia Ner work is based an data draw fromi the 1913 onsum and the Agrarian Cemleus of 1910-71 She returned to the Umiversidad do lee asdea Cele nas in0 eteOer 1978

JII OM Pakistan Ppulatte plamaing Cnteslt lalmabd PhD ulaioPlon holveraity of Mightn

is 191 tDr IiamddIn iished his dissearation the aeeptability ot faally planimg itrural Pakista So direteild the Pakistan Fertility Survey as Deputy Diretor of the Populatiu Planns Coissie snd analyced that dataF his doetoral eeare e I currently a Shert-term misa1Lim te SeMeli for the Carolina Poplaties lob

pound ailm 15 and NanaemeatE Philippines College of Develepaset 9eonsees aivr 17 C the lPili PhD candidate I eesice Vale UaivorlI lsont Alty

me qwiu stJene the POP follews Program ioJune 1919 She Isworkshytnl wits data fro the Lagima ad Steel Surveys to 0ema1n the Lber supply in the Philippnlse

Imctute

PhD nLdiddte schl of public eilth Karvard ilvers ty

Mrs Raymand to werktag with date (trm tho niliPPIn Satiftsl DOshygraphic Survey of 19) Rho i eganinlng postparLm t

GiMsa RJ A Phillppiei i oerty W1 the Phllptsi r ltwatiO

enoorrhea breasfeodnll

f bull bull bull bull bull - l

practice socioeconomic differential and their relationships to fortilityi lihe plantia completeherdiaertationin Jne 1990

ejlena R Colombia Univerldad do Jos Andes logota PhD Economics University

Msi Ribs completed het dissertation on the consequences of migration in Colombia in October 1979 She Is currently working on a postdoctoral research project on fertility aspects of the 1973 census Ma Ribs has been selected to join the Young Professionals program at the World Bank

Robertol0e Peru Univereidad do gan Harcost PhD candidate Columbia svermity 14

Mr Rios is In the last phase of completion of a doctoral dissertation eamning ocular trends In mortality and fertility In Latin America He haos noted in his work a mote rapid fertility decline than was typical of the Eushy

ropean demolraphic transition Mr Rios recently contributed 1PW Working Paper 913 entitled Family Site and Economic Change

lgnira MSYZi21 CkGatmala Instituto do Nutriclon de Centro Aaerica y anma (INCA) Guatemala City PhD candidate School of Public Health University of California Los Angeles

Ms Rosenhouse Is writing her dissertation on the evaluation of the validity of attitudinal survey data on fertility-related topics adminisshytared i Guatela Nter work is based on the INCAP-AXD data and focuses primarily on doetted family ise

JsL1AMVampA Colombia Univereidad del Vll del Caucal PhD Land Tenure Center University of Wisconsin Madison

Dr Saravia coploted his doctoral work In 1971 on rural development and health status in Colombia He ueed data from a 1973 health and nutrition survey Ne has returned to his faculty position in the School af Economies iniversidad del Vails del Caous

2911hotu L oJBrasil Iatitute Getull Vargas PhD candidate teshyi 7nosteUiversity of ChicagoJ

Mr sedlacek joined tle POP allows progrm im October 1971 shortly after he began work en a stud- of fertility and wmons work patterns In Brasil and the US with JamoeHeckia and the Stanford Research Institute No Intends to adapt economttii modeling techniques ho t currently developshyn to use on survey data fro eoaulo Brasil

la MUAP Nepeli PhD adidat Population Studies ad Training Center

grown University

FDP Fellw hapa s Frtility survey Of 1974 us carried out the initial parof the research

at the Rest-Vest Cater and has returned to rown University to complete his dissertation in September 1910 is research currently underway concerns estimating trends and levels of Infant mortality and fertility

As the novst Mr I analysing data tree the Sepal

-20

IsttelriP Vokpra~~-c--

Battelle pDp staff and Yellos are encouraged to submit papers for The foloingincorporation Into the Battelle PD Working Paper seies

papers have been issued to date

AlMtLL PDKiUna Iufi

Title Authow(s) Date

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14

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Page 7: vBallelle - United States Agency for International

-4shy

Oovernmentadministered family planning services only recently having

started on a broad prograa scale were suspended in August 197 by order

They vere only resumed in November after considerableof the President protest by professional and other organizations associated

with population

activities

has continued to support AMIDEP (Hultidiselplinary Associationllattelle VP 1978 in

its efforts to raise consciousness among academicians end promote needed

research activities in the field of population

for Research and Teaching in Population) (POlOPZO421706 01) mince

It has also supported a

effort since late 1976 by the N~ationalsimar conectousness-raif Statistics Office (POI7pO5IH709) Aimed at government plannert these

and every provincial c4pitai in month-lons seminars are to be held in Lime

funding the updating of the Populatio InformationPeru lattolle PD is Center as veil as an analytical inventory of population works in Peru at

the Center for Population and Development Studies (CrPD) (p029PZ0211H-71)

Sattelle PD has persuaded the presttiious Institute o Peruvian StudiesB eoctal change and

to enter the population field and has begen a study of

Uattelle was a co-sponsor of the National rural fertility (PO41P075) ) held Conference on Population and Development in Peru

(PO2PE015I1I0d2

in June 1979

WationalP blic new activities in Peru include a

Interest Croup on Population Activities a seminareport on Institutio n

Iattelles proposed al

Obstacles to Implementation of a Population Policy (to be sponsored by

two studise based on the recently available VF1 data for PeruAZ4DEP) and attelle is ale working 0n the organisation of an dean Symposium on

A4IDampP and INT-Population and Development (to be jointly sponeored by

current tv preparing an analytical studyCINCtA) and attelie staff are of the process of population policy developmnt In Peru

have been working to tcuader Individually since the lattelle staff ambers presnt project started in 171f Contats and coilaborative work had alshy

rady been mdertakn with the Ministries o Wealth and ducation the Center Oard (JUNAPLA) I

for Demoraphit Analy5il and the National Plaming 4inistries of Agricultureaddition to these 9attelle has boon working with the

the ro ras and Labor the National ltatistical ad Ce su Institute (INiC)

d Antrepologia paratlcuador (PAI a private momrelit reseasch erganisashy

tien) and the Cntre do Pateridad teepeneable (CUMA a private mprrfit

population Iefrmatioa And action pregram) The lattelle POP preram has

always had excellent Institutienal and perseosl rolatioeps with USAUD euader

Saitelle PO spenserod and helped erganiso a National ro4oinar en Populaby

to present pepulation Issuesties and Devleent in Icuader inJdm 197S (PWICOilN0) N ested I~C and JAMAPA the Pre-PoinAr vim dasigned

and identify reoerch prierities saon reprooentativee ot met 001 aoesless

44

yunding and technical ass istance for research was to be procured from Satshytells PDe and other sources and results presented in a subsequent National Seminar on Population and Development The process though was impeded by difficulties encountered within the L Iinaccepting several clause in the standard battelleAID subcontract format A new format acceptable to lattells snd the Go was-finally tgred upon

Once Sattell PD activities resumed new nOslbilItlis wee identified in several areas Pending projects include studies on rural social change and

fertilit tterns of peasant women the demographic behavlior of urban

pesants demographic history of Icuados and a Publt Interest Group on Population Information Attvitisa Proposals ae epecte shortly for a PopulationInformation Center anhAnnotated Sibliography of Utant Verks on Yopulation in Icuadlor aend a National Conference on Population ad Deshyvelopment Acollaboration is being discussed with the 005s National Deshyvelopment Councils Population and pevolopmetn unit for Rattelle PD technical assistance in Population tmpact Analysis of Ecuadoran development prejntes posibilar arrangement with the USAtD Nission bas been discussed as nother

finally the development of an Ecuadorampnl P DIiP-type activity coca contemshyplated by PAZ is now to be proposed to the institute for Social-N ical Research at the MIinistry of Health

The data analysis anidforml Peers discussing findinas from the PODP fundedirojet wt the rundlcdo de Zdacaelnf Superier tns) (POCL Iei-7S))

to this project prepotion its undrwyAs a supplemotarTefor alowmtomlte i 418A ltlW b Iini ih i ut A i lu

th 0 xfta htTIT rl health~ pelikymeris planners and menaten In October 179 a cenferne wa held ACasiciceIl-Al FAh ti m ofe ii 9218abieathed 111 1fhapter e and lreathingewwv ltIn New Orleans for the purpose of reviewing draft agreement ne teo oerll direction th e should takenograph

CoeMbiau researchers from Corperactd Centro Aegional do e etblcia (CCI) art developing a project which will study the consequences of the C61leaa fertility decline (9O)0C=13)o AIfminar for which national planers and researchers will prepare pressestions em the effects of the fertility decline ea seeioaceomie varibbles teeprieso the first stage of the study Salle plans to suppert this project oad mist 4 revised proposal from

CMthe ew principal ltvstigatr nmed b 11 in Deember 1979

- 4 - i4-

VpAuatios o1 a rAsissal tpwattoo ft11 for Oatemula has saint eaud Srowed during the Pastsi Nevilleth Thasa to the Offtrs at

severat owafitm sd asrasevtteaamp rgioasdtCi polIqeMAher are sare avare thai over bere of the lotorroIaSionship Wewon populattoo asA scieal sail eoesss feletr to their eeustryCs deslopmsw Qrppsitteu to faily plasiu Mo rpol tes vithis the Nsatifal iqylty of 1sam Carl$ be t0049004 - third year W10eaI046041 siwdetn 66 aSW revetIs

Keyl etsl at mun t~sheUtotitraintog to family ptaulog]PIam1ie Cousll are teeroaalMapseIv to osalderotti of tiattoo

oppo ~iio did artoo from osroncereS to the plAMISeS preoe Althouagh 7 msisr 1 NesIth he has (me reversed his septive atoams

UsudI W~wete tos active d5$1- the period covered by this report to Mterat t Is vory evcttI Awems Previously ProgrsoeYat Mel loved is oeowiCI Stllt Sop projets latod6eiiCO4 irdees

tampsral OW40 aid Diftergsia Srtlisy (valverldad delproject asTa1it r1001htUP43)ampad Jorge Artas p~ots rprtosi

of tw wrAC a pepeatles O eeeaWt(iiwr~d~s~~b~t dc1 val P90140MIS 4lO 114181sisry fooest free AW Owdy have stroadyi ssfood the ltoftwof pleawav s 1itiofJ~ei wotal

211 l -oIsepermtbof the Aeilvoa do CtceesaC ItIest (NO hWOorsid y isohla sad adufeerrast to diftisoscs hap o he twirt fitam er SoISS popiv18sla m sheresmt Ubigh will

vikestmsalWe ready for distriwvils fi oarly 1o (Isaeviosoa chommss MOW gsv4e have showa istemleto otislas(sho

Now estteilie deriod shis period 101l040 AfeppaI fo lt sdy CS 5Vc otoses tly st w p9lsolso (101100110ICAMICOafl

aid avtsmat o mfoloee MSpelats lo s epth(PSOWG)TI held oeve t9) Ffogeoel hot$$ Csthe SsOf3UiOfA dWiOP of rurs lastly ate bIe vwald he rarried me ocojwt Willi S111Cacef OAIt rual daoipum Proeee usrvo4t of tooa for umdt Pricrectus with 00SAPI gltch bad led te -Sstormsl nreost to isplsee the possibility of DesseU POP seshaicit celetANC6 ts Pepsat ea IEMt Ma44016 are Wel Fwrecd A(

Proviow teseesss by Sstotts nw oil had sad to the tornwtsef sm Wse eslnnit to the orgeuistIsltotg~roit of froaafdrobwee

The igsvp slottedof she OCCSCUSleC Aoseslsiif for Ppcite-aI keeert a board of01ffealet so puras for11a FVP0111614Cl ONaltepfaIM44111 Ylsh tgreob5 oCf a simlar gu1046wsdC e1soka to establish C410161t got a 1e061se1 C001ral pmariwass AeeeeltiPsm it to sipwi Bese

M Psiewty byas 141194y Vas biinGhgltha$e doveleSesl of owk am tpattoo ISooeort Topieepars liipauts Is she let Local Osfrew

ussietod obe VIlh a eWd Iattvi5P tease Is ftasemtl this project latlatiive will he operitRokl5id

Aampof this wlial latiolls iSP el bas flerastd a 911ra14gy PAV~r etshe latolie IN proosesfor 0641044 for tow redof

2 H reu e o

pouastive I se ionduras but the level of thedebtae is more sub~duedthan In other countries The National Plannin=

Council (cONSIMAIK) has been resivins technical assistance In populati masters for one year from Corporeac6n Centre Rtegonal d Poblactn (CCtp) in 10o0t supported by lttello (MIHNN10II0O) The areas covere are economic modeling and long-term seocal serviced plannini in both cesshya population component has been built Itto the planning mechanism

A now agreement with CCIP (POASIiK04) was reached calling for technical assistance to ODMIULANZ in preparing an emplifted follow-on to the deoglraphic-economic modeling and disoeulnation octivities The asplified program to being designed at the request of MIlDIHonduras

CONSMLtNZ to particularly positive toward CCXo hortionel-technlcali assistance Coetinuation of the woiA should strese pect(- issues (populatiem and educational services family planning and population enhagag etc) and Incorporate some of the population concerns developed at the oetieMl level into the regional development plane The outlook given the relatively modest level of effort seema extremely encouraging COOIMPiAXs pre-prposal for the fellow-on project has been received And 0te formal proposal is epcted by April 1980

The CCI03 t1LANX model first presented publicly in ay 1979 at the Ceetral Amercan Conference on topulation and Pevelopeent sponsored by Sttelle to already being incorporated Into the proeae for the National Development Flan of Nenduras follw-er activities will emphaise dliesemlties of the model and its Use no ter WoNagancee eavell as

other Central American euntrieseoin

The is formal opposition in principle to family Plaing octivitltetom to loendras The problem it snes is the sense of depepulatiee vi -vti the presence of Stghly populated Ii Salvador nearby In thip atmosphere It Vld see diffitlt toimpart a sne of urgency for soeving population growth rates i order to benefit the nation Individual hmn rights woud shythoe be the ealy point of argument for the met Still the CMWtAUl

MYP verb ohold serve ts hiAhlight sm of the important cofequemee ef rapid rowth rates In regard to the previotn of Gects) services d

the Wdl lagal esplicit fAmil plannIrA fopeoent it viii A Alloi etitsion to the beneflts of a tuational service deivor) proolL

kdwr~f aha llI teduntvar Ityrurricu Is The single University in -the

country lacks programs in several disciplines in the social sciences (for

example there is no RocloloSy Anthropology or Psychology) and provides CSUCA the no effective opportunity for research by faculty members

superior Council of Central American Universities apportioned several

regional Graduate programs among its members and Honduras was assigned

With attelle funding the Programthe Ecotouics and Planning Program sponsored a Ieogonl Central American Conference on Population and

Development in Hay 1979 attended by representatives from government agencies

Central America (037U0071l2) As a result of and universities throughout this conference a second one on Population Labor force and basic

Human Heeds wan later sponsored by the University of Costa Ricea with A proposal for a follow-up conferencepartial Sattelle PD support

on Population and the Environment in Central America is now being

developed by the University of Honduras

The USAID mission has expressed enthusiasm for both the CONSUPLANZ

project and the regional Conference on Population The staff of both

projects in turn has expressed satisfaction with the collaborative

support received from USAIP mission staff

In addition a proposal has been received from the newly formed Honduran

Association for Research on Population Inspired by Perus AMtIDP and

actively promoted by attelle PDP the Association is expected to be

the 4eduran member of the planned Central American Association for

Population Research (see section on Central America)

deg Work was completed on both Sattells PDP agreements with

Asooscn and r OO A045H701-02)

Salvador deteriorated last OctoberDe gTaflea Salvadorena (ADS) (POOISA01VIH701o0

before the politital situation in El The f(llowing three publications edited by Ales A Aloes Z

ADS

principal investigator emanated from the ADS projects and serve to

document much of the groundwork underway for population policy formation

and population research in El Salvadort

1 1 Edo4IfL (October 1978 356 pp)Powlo gln 2 es9arolloJ

u fltrsn e om tnfntoel ul---114tnbor 1974 143 pIp)

MIA 120lo IpeItiAuci(gfulfto PelNCItics Y tgaeelou lntedlolpln~rnIfero Pnl(August 1971 NOg pp)

toItabtilsed If and when the preset political situation in 1

Salvador hattelle tPo staff espects Or Rosa Jdith Clsneree

irector of MDSas called In Octobert199 withof July 079 will reschedule a meeting she

planners and resoarherts and representative of Internationalnational ADS project The meeting Vould evaluate

Sorgaisations hich funded Alenso

the projeets finding and repereussolns and suggest future ceursee of

action

4 Westna Central Amrica

Given th relative lmi of the Central Aneriaen countrie (especiallywith regard to their scientific coomunitie) and their historical and institutional links itwas decided that certain Battelle Pop aetivitiss be 4irected to the region as a whole

Stops have been taken conducive to Improved vommniration between populationspecialists In the region and the development of a regional Astociatton tor Research on Population Battelle PDP has wholly or partly funded regionalseminars on Population and Development (Honduras May 1979) and PopulationLabor Force andBasi Human Needs (Coa Rica October 1979) Discussions for the formtion of country associations and a regional link have been held with sroups from Gatoma I Honduras and Costa Rtca It to now intended that the regional association be housed under the Council of Central American Universities (CIUCA) vith initial participation frow those countriesPanamanian researchers hive exprosed an Interest to Battelle PDP far an association in their country whitle political events in Nicaragua end ItSalvador would suggest that these countries not receive concentrated

program activity for the moment

At the request of A14s Latin America Bureau attelle PD undertook an assessment of the tpact of illegal hexican miration upon the United states The investigation took the form of a stlte of the art report consisting of a systematic reviev of scholarly studies and an analysis of their contents bymajer categories vith special attention to the poliey-relevant findingsDuring the course of this work Battelle staff attempted to contact all persons In the United Ioates conducting serious research on the topic in order to Insure that the report be as comprehensive as possible

Sone significant flndins of this report ore as followu

iO - qUA- Depite an apparent cencurrenceaclosee mat o our mast utilized vstimatins techniques reveals a bread range of between 2 and S million Hniitian living Illegally in the US in the mido1970s

a 4Lfliuju Int contrast to studies suggesting that unshydocmented rre do met displaco eitison werke there i incireaing evidenc that seow job displacement does in (et ecwr The estt of this displaeenut depends upo the specific labor market

bull brylstola 115il1saI short-torm Illegal milgrants (seshytimesalled lttlo 01gjantsW) maintain a low profile and make limited Use of welfare health or edvuatie nal fneilitlo8 tonsshyterm utirants Millise social services much the same as citiens and letal roedent Little i known 4t the key team of what portion at the Nexlean migrant pepulattee reafins 10m4tlin the 1-

L

The full results appear as Battelle PRP WoriaPs N lS entitled The Impact of Undocumented Mexican Worker on the t Statesi A Critical Assessment (November 1979 pp 115 bibliography appendices) + -

Blsdes distribution within the Department of State and AID the report has been utilled by the folloving groupso IllsJoint US and Mexican Migration Working Group Washington D C and Mexico Cityamp the Select Comission on IImlgratlon and Refuge Policy Washington D C the California State Lagislature Hearings on Undocumented Mexican Migration Sacramento Califshyorni the San Diego County Board of Supervisors Task force on the Impact of illegal Migration on San Diegol and a joint US-Mcxican Policy Conference on Mexican Migration three locations California Center for Ethics and Social Policy Berkeley

Since Jean-Claude Duvalier assumed the presidency after his fathers death in 1971 foreign aid and governm~ent programs have Increased substantially in Haiti As part of that trend the Division dHygiene Familtaleo under the direction of Dr Ary lorde was establshed in 1971 as the first government-approved program to include Maternal and Child Health care and Family Planning Sine that time research on these eubjects has improved and brought a conropltant understanding of popultin dyamices in haitti

Y The Division I by law the only oranlsation which operates family planning activities Other small but related organtttlons have recently been created eS oroanisations concerned with the role of voaen In April 1979 Prestdemt for Life Duvalier made a statement in which he recognised the need to curb population growth both as a public health measure and as an adjunct to Hlitian economic developmenti this conern was repeated ina public speech InSeptember 1979

Many Haitians believe that nov is a good time to encourage awareness of popshyulatten issues The Preosidenta statements demonstrate a certain It yet undefined coitment to l1v population growth Family planning progrwms through the Division diygione Yalliale have been underway for several years and continue to expand through new channels such as househeld alA iomercial contraceptive distribution programs

The lecrtatrerie du Plan is currently preparing a five-year devlopment plan 19I14 During the past calendar year the plamins organization was rasled to cabinet-level status Slowly it is beginnng to take On in reality its dIu functions ef resource allocation and overall decision making These clilges make it all the mere imerative that population concerns enter met directly into the internaldeeision process Of what ti sv theI eretalrerie d Plan

In view ef the need to premte the recognition of population dynamics 4s a first $tep tovard their integration into development Battelle DP representsshytives V 11114 Mer 4vy and Anm Kubiloch traveled to Hiti In Nevember 1979 to consult with Dr ferdes planning officials uadCAID personnel to determine a framoverk for Siattois 1activitis in Haiti

++ + +++ +++ +S 9 ++ +________m____________________________

Meestings with the various roprosentatives identified support tor u b~tet t4 sponsored conference on Population Public Health and Development in Haiti currently scheduled to take place In late 190 The objective of the ceonfavese will be to bring together researchers government officials and program directors inorder to learn about and discuss population related issues The conference vuldprovide a forum for presentation of results from the heition Fertility Survey which could then serve as demograhic background for disculien e other ongoing and completed research endeavors inHaiti The Division d Hyltone Fautlialo i the most appropriate host tnatitution for the conference and Inpreparation Iattelle PDP plans to conduct a series of mnt-workshopsinorder to train the Division staff

The lattelle PDP sponsored analysis of the data from the Deschap) Jo region was capleteJ during the reprtitn period (PI00OAhtO6H07O) -The investigators have submitted a fellow-en proposal requstin8 fundinig for nine project papers which vill synthestie the results of their research

in the Deechapelles and Petit Goave areas (P0NAOOD)

Blatilelle DP currently developing a strategy paper for poulation and developnit asslstance to tgypt deslgned to prnote the utiliatin of population dynamics indevelopwnt planninl To this end the following subcentracts were Awarded during the reporting period

I Amiean University Celrol Workshop on gotial Research far Develepmot (PO57rYO)8 Dr $and cadalla

2 National Center for Soeieloacal and Criminological Research Catrnt Fertility Dyni r in Rural rgypt (POIAOLO)iDr Atof Rhalffa

Ale wder active coreidorati o ia

University of North Carolina Carolina Population Contert Ilrcalng Population Priority And Awareneo Aig Folitital And Cultural LeadershIp inEIypti Dr Abdei Oaran

Although e aettvitte were ueortaken in Jorde and Tunisia during this tim recent atttlle PVIear lat bureau meetinP have focused4n the eed for Battelle to itnlfltantly augment Its presone In the are Thereshytare prieuity will be Acerded to Rypt Turkey Jlrdan And Irte as Battelle PoP unands its actlvities InNorth Africa and the Near test

2I trCoitutriesl Brazil Nepal

awarded a subcontract to the AfsoclactooBra51151a doBattelle PDP hean Estudoo Populaitiona s (PO55BRO06) to publish aniddistribute the proceedings of a conference hed inOctober 1978 entitled IEncontro Nacional do

Dr Elsa Berquo isthe principal investigatorEstudos Populacion4ta

At the request of tne AIDMission Battelle PDP sent two technicians to to develop a film and to effect subcontractNepal inNovemberiDecemsber

activities on population and development issues Due to the extended nature

of their vipet (through mid-January) details of the trip will bu reported

later inBattelle PDs Trip Report series and subsequent Annual Report

1i1 MULTI-COUNTRY SUPPORT ACTIVITIES

A CUDICRS V)gJja

During the teporting period the design of this project underwent revision

Originally the focus wasn a hemispheric conference to encourage government to initiate commercial and comuunity-based family planningpolicyuaketr

lattells PDP undertook to arrange for seven presentations atservices the conference five reporting on major CBICRS projects inCentral and

South America and two reviewing and critiquing currentCBD and CRS activities

throughout the region These presentations prepared by Latin American experts the basisfor discussion of thewith Battelle DPassistancewere to serve as

utility and viability of such projects first at two small regional workshops for project manager contemplating similar activities and then after further

revision at a major meeting for poltymakers to be hosted by the Mexican

government

In line with the Initial plan seven Latin American experts identiAfied and assisted by Battelle D prepared reports on existing CUD and CKS projects and presented then inAugust 1979 at two workshops organised by Development

Associates Inc one inthDominican Republicand the other inColombia

The workhope did spark interest on the part of participants from three other Hooevertdicuesion with governshyeouptries inconsidtrins similar programs

ment officials cteal scientists and additional experts inthe field led

Battelle PD to suggest that an alternative and more effective mechanism for

extending distslbution of contraceptives in the region would be a publication presenters inassembling the collective experience and expertise of the seven

document could help convince policymakers planners healthone volume Ruch a administrators and program managers that CD and CAS progeraming on a large

cle hap proven to be a safe and acceptable approach to family planning in

both urban and rural coimunitiea toawell as provided how to do program guidelines

-13-

AccordinglyL BattelleiPDP developed and began to implement inthe remaining

experts will work intensively withthe presenters to revise and expand the

scope of their presentations through additional information data and analysis

B Assistance to the USAIDSudan CDSS (CountryDevelopment Strathay Statement)

In an effort to strengthen the analyses of population growth dynamice vis-a-vim the econoac development priorities of LDCs and AIDAfrica field missions the

Africa Bureau provided technical assistance to several sub-Sahara based missions in the preparation of their 1982 Country Development Strategy Statements With the concurrence of AIDSudan Battelle PVP dispatched two staff officials to Khartoum for two weeks in December 1979 Battelle PDPs analynis of the poor in Sudan and its overall input for the Sudan CDSS is contained in Trip Report 054

C Egypt - Population and Developmen Policy Pa er

At the request of AIDs Near East Bureau a policy paper on population and development dynamics in fgypt was prepared Thin document was used to orient Bureau officials on related events and patterns in Egypt and as a briefing paper for the Egypt consultative group meetings

D AfrIca-Initiatives

In concert with the Africa Bureaus strategy for population assistance to sub-Saharan Africa (reported in Battelle PDPs 1978-79 Annual Report Battelle intends to pursue popilation and development objectives in twelve (12)

countries (including Nigeria) designated as priority We have submitted at the Africa Bureaus request an abstract which outline the preparation of 1 country profiles entitled Assess Status of African Attitudes and Recommendations via-a-vis AID Population Assistance to Africa One outshystanding feature of this proposed activity Is the establishment of an African Advisory Committee on Population Assistance

-14shyP

IV OOUNT(Y PROJECT SUPPORTACTIVITIES---

A Proposal Development Review Process

As proposals are submitted to the Battelle PDP Program Battelle PD staff review them thoroughly for technical quality and program relevance In order to facilitate this complexs review procedure a Management Information System (MIS) has been created which documents each of the three Major steps required for all proposalat Project Development Activities Proposal Technical Review and Processing and Subcontract status

The Project Development Activities section shows trips made by Battelle PDP

staff the proposals related to each-trip and their receipt date Request included as well as travel and tripand concurence date for each trip are

report dates During the reporting period Battelle PDP staff made 10 trips to 11 countries

The Proposal Review Process section demonstrates specific steps required of are recorded as proposals enter each phases acknowltdgi

-Dateseach proposal ment and summary monitor and Battelle PDP staff review AIDPOP approval USAID (Mission) approval subcontract writing and signing This section also

sh wnvvhen and at which step proposals have been rejected or referred proposals submitted to Battelle PD receive a thorough review for technical quality and contractual specificity During the reporting period 15 proposals

4 have been funded 5 are currently under consideration~were reviewed of these for funding 2were rejected and 4 were referred

The section describing Subcontract Status indicates start and completion dates of subcontracts and due dates and receipt dates for both progress reports

Trom June 1977 through December 1979 64 proposals wereand final reports received by Rattelle PDPI 23 have become subcontracts obligating a total of

$665900 5 remain under consideration for funding-and 36 have been rejected or referred (see Table 1)

The MIS allows Battelle POP staff to identify clearly the processing stage of any proposal at any time This information has served to point out bottleshynecks which habitually delay the efficient processing of proposals and implementation of a project

--

Table I

PROJECT-TV-DATE SLWM O PROPOSAL ACTIVITY

June 1977- December 1979

Iroposays funded Under Rejectd or Country -~ ~ ~ Consideration Rfre

- o o1000) _~1000)-3ratl 3 8751 60 2 811

Chile 2 -- - - 2 -

Colombia 4 3256 1 27 - 3 297

Cost Rica 1 36 1 3

Ecuador S 2262 1 11 2 1289 2 66C

Egypt 3 1332 2 543 1 789 - shy

31 Salvador 4 610 2 573 -- - 2 237

customs 10 2917 5 1275 -- -- 5 1642

Haiti 2 1432 1 672 1 7860

Honduras 4 527 2 158 -- 2 369

Kopal 2 71)3- - 1 90 1 623 Nigeria 3 132j -- - -- - 3 132 Pakisatan 2 887 shy f-~ - - 2 88 Peru 14 4966 6 M)0 - 8 2416

Philippines 1 133 -- -- -1 133

s5 Total$ 64 1242401 23 AMS S 29481 31 1463

-16-

B Battelle PDP Fellows Program

The Battelle PDp Fllowis program isdesigned to increase the effectiveness of LDC decisionmakers who reside temporarily in the US for research or

training The program gives moderate financial assistance of up to $1500 to LDC dectsionmakers to facilitate their research and writing during their

periods of USresidence In addition PDP Fellows are brought together

with the Battelle PDP staff toediscuss at semiannual workshops the population policy implications of their research for their home countries

Funds provided to the Fellows may be used for computer costs research toassistance manuscript typing and limited travel within the US

professional meetings No stipends for maintenance are provided

Since its inception the Fellows Program has provideJ support for 19

Fellows Those completing their stays in the US have finished five

doctoral dissertations two MPH degrees and a number of research papers Five Fellows have returned tofor publication In their borne countries

their home countries and are working in population related activities

DrPL Joshi is Director of Research Planning and Evaluation for the

epat Drs Bayona Saravia and Alauddin havePopulation Commission of returned to teaching posts Elena Hurtado and Claudia Lecaros have resumed

research activities In9Guatemal and Colombi Two Fellows Teresa HO and

Helena Rib have been acepto to the Young Professionals program at the

World Bank and M Nisamuddin is currently on a short-term mission to Somalia for the Carolina Population Laboratories Several Fellows have

published articles in 1979 Including

Teresa Measuring Time Costs of Child Rearing In the Philippineo

Poplation and Development Review 514

and tconomic Change Battelle P orkingRio Roberto Family Sis Paper 13

Karim Nehtab 3ocioeconomic and Cultural Aspects of Marriage and

Fertility in Urban Pakistan task-West Population Institute

Pager 64

1attelle PD has designated certain of its Follows as Ovlrnla Follows in the U andIndicating that they have completed their residence

returned to their hoe country or they have Completed the intensive phase of their relationship with lattello pD rellows program and have accepted

now professional duties- attelle POP does in any ease send materials concerning the ellows progrm to all its current and Overseas Fellows

of intellectualwith the objective of maintaining and esnarging this network exchange long after the Fellows have returned to their roles as decisionshy

makern on population issues in their own coumtries

-17-

Battelle PDP Fellow

jMohsuuad AIAUVDIN Bangladesh ISWR Dacca Univereityl PhD Population Planning University of Michigan

Dr Alauddin completed his doctoral work in May 1979 on rural developshy

mnt and family planning behavior in Bangladesh villages His work as based

on the Bangladesh WFS data in combination with area data on rural fertility

He has returned to his administrative and teaching position with the Dacca University Institute of Social Welfare and Rsearch

Alberto BAYONAS Colombia Universidad Javerianat Fulbright Visiting Professhy

sor of Sociology Tulane University

Dr Bayonae study of population has included analysis of the 1973

census data on contextual factors influencing fertility and mortality in

Colombia He has nov returned to his post as Director of $ocial Studies at

Javerians University in Bogota

Melinda BACOL-MO TLLA Philippines NCSOg PhD candidate Sociology Utah

State University

Ms Bacol-Montilla began writing her dissertation on ethnolinguistic Her work is based on thegroup differentials in the Philippines in 1979

1973 National Demographic Survey

ur EZEKWK Nigeria

has focused her studies on marital patterns includingtMS Esekwe at marriage (IMAM) in selected Africanestimation of singulate mean age

countries assessing a reliable measure of marital patterns among European and non-European populations and the effect of bride price an fertility

hiu l Bangladesh University of Chittagonli PhD candidate - -ch of Education University of Michigan

was a student of Everett Rogers He received a Ford Foundation grant for five

Mr Haider became interested in population education while he

onmonths of field study in Bangladesh (Dec 78- May 79) to Bather data

nonformal population education programs associated with the integrated rural to the University of ichtdevelopment program He has recently returned

tan and is scheduled to complete his dissertation work in December 1979

anilal PhDTeresa JO Philippines University of the Philippines

candidate Food Research Institute Stanford University

Me No is investigating foale labor fore participation drawing on

Filipino data such as the tlma Multipurpose Household survey in which she

assisted as well so the andlMlysia surveys Upon finlshin8 her dissertashytion in April 1980 she will join the World lank in the Young Professioals

program In December 1979 Ma Mo published am article Msauring Time

Costs of Child Rearing inthe Philippines in gPoulatio and Devlopoetl

Overseas Fellows

GW INCA and Pu cHealth University of California Los Anampee

aHurtadooind ho-fa1owsproaramvhils-e avs tudyina-at UCLA

lin HD uatemala VSAIDGuatenalot MPH4 candidate School Of

where she wrote on determinants of use and Intended us of modern coetracepshytton in traditional and modern village of Guatemala InJuly of197$ she returned to Gustemals where she worked on an AID evaluation of family planning program In I1Quiche She isamong the firat of the PDP allows to return to her country and begin to contribute to policy development

L jOHIM Itepal esoarch ampad Ivaluation 1IQ ltnistry of Health Government of lepalPhD itastatstics University of California lerkley Dr Joahi completed his doctoral work inJune 1979 on the evaluation

of fatmly planning contination rates Nis research was based on data from the Nepal IS Ne has recently returned to his positton a director of re search planning and evaluation for the Population Comission of Nepal and he ebttted a proposal for PW fndin to Anilyss data on mternal and child health InNepal

a htab Pakiltan Institute of Developmest nocmies Qaid Al an U rItyi PhD Candidateo SocloLy Cornell Universlty

Mr WrIN has viittoe on age at marriagO and fertility inPakistan using data free the Nlational Impact Survey for his doctoral work he to developing a project with I the Sysod of the Population Pilenins Costenson and Profaeor Peter Slth on the female life cycle from monrche to first parturition Ne has Just publishd Secoen mc and Cultural Aspects of

rriage 4n PeitilY tn Urban Pakistan through the hatVetdeg leatitato d pians to complete his dissertation tn Spring log0

-- A Colombis Universdad do to Adeel PhD Scheol of Ucatiml S-Ita atv roltyfrO

or locares wrete her diesertation On education dovelopmet and incom Inl rural Celembia Ner work is based an data draw fromi the 1913 onsum and the Agrarian Cemleus of 1910-71 She returned to the Umiversidad do lee asdea Cele nas in0 eteOer 1978

JII OM Pakistan Ppulatte plamaing Cnteslt lalmabd PhD ulaioPlon holveraity of Mightn

is 191 tDr IiamddIn iished his dissearation the aeeptability ot faally planimg itrural Pakista So direteild the Pakistan Fertility Survey as Deputy Diretor of the Populatiu Planns Coissie snd analyced that dataF his doetoral eeare e I currently a Shert-term misa1Lim te SeMeli for the Carolina Poplaties lob

pound ailm 15 and NanaemeatE Philippines College of Develepaset 9eonsees aivr 17 C the lPili PhD candidate I eesice Vale UaivorlI lsont Alty

me qwiu stJene the POP follews Program ioJune 1919 She Isworkshytnl wits data fro the Lagima ad Steel Surveys to 0ema1n the Lber supply in the Philippnlse

Imctute

PhD nLdiddte schl of public eilth Karvard ilvers ty

Mrs Raymand to werktag with date (trm tho niliPPIn Satiftsl DOshygraphic Survey of 19) Rho i eganinlng postparLm t

GiMsa RJ A Phillppiei i oerty W1 the Phllptsi r ltwatiO

enoorrhea breasfeodnll

f bull bull bull bull bull - l

practice socioeconomic differential and their relationships to fortilityi lihe plantia completeherdiaertationin Jne 1990

ejlena R Colombia Univerldad do Jos Andes logota PhD Economics University

Msi Ribs completed het dissertation on the consequences of migration in Colombia in October 1979 She Is currently working on a postdoctoral research project on fertility aspects of the 1973 census Ma Ribs has been selected to join the Young Professionals program at the World Bank

Robertol0e Peru Univereidad do gan Harcost PhD candidate Columbia svermity 14

Mr Rios is In the last phase of completion of a doctoral dissertation eamning ocular trends In mortality and fertility In Latin America He haos noted in his work a mote rapid fertility decline than was typical of the Eushy

ropean demolraphic transition Mr Rios recently contributed 1PW Working Paper 913 entitled Family Site and Economic Change

lgnira MSYZi21 CkGatmala Instituto do Nutriclon de Centro Aaerica y anma (INCA) Guatemala City PhD candidate School of Public Health University of California Los Angeles

Ms Rosenhouse Is writing her dissertation on the evaluation of the validity of attitudinal survey data on fertility-related topics adminisshytared i Guatela Nter work is based on the INCAP-AXD data and focuses primarily on doetted family ise

JsL1AMVampA Colombia Univereidad del Vll del Caucal PhD Land Tenure Center University of Wisconsin Madison

Dr Saravia coploted his doctoral work In 1971 on rural development and health status in Colombia He ueed data from a 1973 health and nutrition survey Ne has returned to his faculty position in the School af Economies iniversidad del Vails del Caous

2911hotu L oJBrasil Iatitute Getull Vargas PhD candidate teshyi 7nosteUiversity of ChicagoJ

Mr sedlacek joined tle POP allows progrm im October 1971 shortly after he began work en a stud- of fertility and wmons work patterns In Brasil and the US with JamoeHeckia and the Stanford Research Institute No Intends to adapt economttii modeling techniques ho t currently developshyn to use on survey data fro eoaulo Brasil

la MUAP Nepeli PhD adidat Population Studies ad Training Center

grown University

FDP Fellw hapa s Frtility survey Of 1974 us carried out the initial parof the research

at the Rest-Vest Cater and has returned to rown University to complete his dissertation in September 1910 is research currently underway concerns estimating trends and levels of Infant mortality and fertility

As the novst Mr I analysing data tree the Sepal

-20

IsttelriP Vokpra~~-c--

Battelle pDp staff and Yellos are encouraged to submit papers for The foloingincorporation Into the Battelle PD Working Paper seies

papers have been issued to date

AlMtLL PDKiUna Iufi

Title Authow(s) Date

ChanOle UP Heareesep Ot Is ThirhouIptan foetility

I 1041i0camOo$ ond family Plsnnisu

Nfi l2 BoxDifeoso Itthe Wsteot to i P 1tle OctIo A4gotlu si Owlelo in C Yarrolil Clas n$lt

J aiSNRIal Guatemsala 1pound11

14

olt iIConsequence 0Mo0llos to S ahCentitbution of Auihroelogsts to VCetoe vI

ot Iamp Velltell p~ |t13lNeceove NisPopltie evele V Ntlpm[ ga It 4 l afliiplatt - Note Punittenm lat Anlst$ V1tteteooy fobIt shy

tleferilityp MWAsols4 later- J lltlt robt7 eatol ind~t Variables fit 5~t Afab Cowmttto

I I The Impe of uralt pitqPM so lt WV letI Kay to

pliteti otth CA Crrsie A i Sashil

May 19I LaePlaifiteaiea 4d Weeleore Numasseew g Peubda goost le itatePOistIeleis

i t May ItiNCtle rtil JnitAli

ISMS to 1 l t t ilatVariables Al

isatal 11i1tt

it The~w to1OfS e e a e t Phte g 5 I 4P sot Hpdel JunA1oi Th eeLatin A erte s Su I il

I lit o f Usual Union tuaotet 1 Alsn JI

t aillttel

Change A Rios et toI r)eally it ampn toonwmto it14 Plt IIIa PorTuitc4nd Reality vile 1311i1101o bull

CA Cctvise I

335 Close Weeit ethe Uitd Steill A ctititl ampos4$- JA 1enioto The losses of iUdenem40 Nealtae mocers

S - aunt ) bull

Page 8: vBallelle - United States Agency for International

44

yunding and technical ass istance for research was to be procured from Satshytells PDe and other sources and results presented in a subsequent National Seminar on Population and Development The process though was impeded by difficulties encountered within the L Iinaccepting several clause in the standard battelleAID subcontract format A new format acceptable to lattells snd the Go was-finally tgred upon

Once Sattell PD activities resumed new nOslbilItlis wee identified in several areas Pending projects include studies on rural social change and

fertilit tterns of peasant women the demographic behavlior of urban

pesants demographic history of Icuados and a Publt Interest Group on Population Information Attvitisa Proposals ae epecte shortly for a PopulationInformation Center anhAnnotated Sibliography of Utant Verks on Yopulation in Icuadlor aend a National Conference on Population ad Deshyvelopment Acollaboration is being discussed with the 005s National Deshyvelopment Councils Population and pevolopmetn unit for Rattelle PD technical assistance in Population tmpact Analysis of Ecuadoran development prejntes posibilar arrangement with the USAtD Nission bas been discussed as nother

finally the development of an Ecuadorampnl P DIiP-type activity coca contemshyplated by PAZ is now to be proposed to the institute for Social-N ical Research at the MIinistry of Health

The data analysis anidforml Peers discussing findinas from the PODP fundedirojet wt the rundlcdo de Zdacaelnf Superier tns) (POCL Iei-7S))

to this project prepotion its undrwyAs a supplemotarTefor alowmtomlte i 418A ltlW b Iini ih i ut A i lu

th 0 xfta htTIT rl health~ pelikymeris planners and menaten In October 179 a cenferne wa held ACasiciceIl-Al FAh ti m ofe ii 9218abieathed 111 1fhapter e and lreathingewwv ltIn New Orleans for the purpose of reviewing draft agreement ne teo oerll direction th e should takenograph

CoeMbiau researchers from Corperactd Centro Aegional do e etblcia (CCI) art developing a project which will study the consequences of the C61leaa fertility decline (9O)0C=13)o AIfminar for which national planers and researchers will prepare pressestions em the effects of the fertility decline ea seeioaceomie varibbles teeprieso the first stage of the study Salle plans to suppert this project oad mist 4 revised proposal from

CMthe ew principal ltvstigatr nmed b 11 in Deember 1979

- 4 - i4-

VpAuatios o1 a rAsissal tpwattoo ft11 for Oatemula has saint eaud Srowed during the Pastsi Nevilleth Thasa to the Offtrs at

severat owafitm sd asrasevtteaamp rgioasdtCi polIqeMAher are sare avare thai over bere of the lotorroIaSionship Wewon populattoo asA scieal sail eoesss feletr to their eeustryCs deslopmsw Qrppsitteu to faily plasiu Mo rpol tes vithis the Nsatifal iqylty of 1sam Carl$ be t0049004 - third year W10eaI046041 siwdetn 66 aSW revetIs

Keyl etsl at mun t~sheUtotitraintog to family ptaulog]PIam1ie Cousll are teeroaalMapseIv to osalderotti of tiattoo

oppo ~iio did artoo from osroncereS to the plAMISeS preoe Althouagh 7 msisr 1 NesIth he has (me reversed his septive atoams

UsudI W~wete tos active d5$1- the period covered by this report to Mterat t Is vory evcttI Awems Previously ProgrsoeYat Mel loved is oeowiCI Stllt Sop projets latod6eiiCO4 irdees

tampsral OW40 aid Diftergsia Srtlisy (valverldad delproject asTa1it r1001htUP43)ampad Jorge Artas p~ots rprtosi

of tw wrAC a pepeatles O eeeaWt(iiwr~d~s~~b~t dc1 val P90140MIS 4lO 114181sisry fooest free AW Owdy have stroadyi ssfood the ltoftwof pleawav s 1itiofJ~ei wotal

211 l -oIsepermtbof the Aeilvoa do CtceesaC ItIest (NO hWOorsid y isohla sad adufeerrast to diftisoscs hap o he twirt fitam er SoISS popiv18sla m sheresmt Ubigh will

vikestmsalWe ready for distriwvils fi oarly 1o (Isaeviosoa chommss MOW gsv4e have showa istemleto otislas(sho

Now estteilie deriod shis period 101l040 AfeppaI fo lt sdy CS 5Vc otoses tly st w p9lsolso (101100110ICAMICOafl

aid avtsmat o mfoloee MSpelats lo s epth(PSOWG)TI held oeve t9) Ffogeoel hot$$ Csthe SsOf3UiOfA dWiOP of rurs lastly ate bIe vwald he rarried me ocojwt Willi S111Cacef OAIt rual daoipum Proeee usrvo4t of tooa for umdt Pricrectus with 00SAPI gltch bad led te -Sstormsl nreost to isplsee the possibility of DesseU POP seshaicit celetANC6 ts Pepsat ea IEMt Ma44016 are Wel Fwrecd A(

Proviow teseesss by Sstotts nw oil had sad to the tornwtsef sm Wse eslnnit to the orgeuistIsltotg~roit of froaafdrobwee

The igsvp slottedof she OCCSCUSleC Aoseslsiif for Ppcite-aI keeert a board of01ffealet so puras for11a FVP0111614Cl ONaltepfaIM44111 Ylsh tgreob5 oCf a simlar gu1046wsdC e1soka to establish C410161t got a 1e061se1 C001ral pmariwass AeeeeltiPsm it to sipwi Bese

M Psiewty byas 141194y Vas biinGhgltha$e doveleSesl of owk am tpattoo ISooeort Topieepars liipauts Is she let Local Osfrew

ussietod obe VIlh a eWd Iattvi5P tease Is ftasemtl this project latlatiive will he operitRokl5id

Aampof this wlial latiolls iSP el bas flerastd a 911ra14gy PAV~r etshe latolie IN proosesfor 0641044 for tow redof

2 H reu e o

pouastive I se ionduras but the level of thedebtae is more sub~duedthan In other countries The National Plannin=

Council (cONSIMAIK) has been resivins technical assistance In populati masters for one year from Corporeac6n Centre Rtegonal d Poblactn (CCtp) in 10o0t supported by lttello (MIHNN10II0O) The areas covere are economic modeling and long-term seocal serviced plannini in both cesshya population component has been built Itto the planning mechanism

A now agreement with CCIP (POASIiK04) was reached calling for technical assistance to ODMIULANZ in preparing an emplifted follow-on to the deoglraphic-economic modeling and disoeulnation octivities The asplified program to being designed at the request of MIlDIHonduras

CONSMLtNZ to particularly positive toward CCXo hortionel-technlcali assistance Coetinuation of the woiA should strese pect(- issues (populatiem and educational services family planning and population enhagag etc) and Incorporate some of the population concerns developed at the oetieMl level into the regional development plane The outlook given the relatively modest level of effort seema extremely encouraging COOIMPiAXs pre-prposal for the fellow-on project has been received And 0te formal proposal is epcted by April 1980

The CCI03 t1LANX model first presented publicly in ay 1979 at the Ceetral Amercan Conference on topulation and Pevelopeent sponsored by Sttelle to already being incorporated Into the proeae for the National Development Flan of Nenduras follw-er activities will emphaise dliesemlties of the model and its Use no ter WoNagancee eavell as

other Central American euntrieseoin

The is formal opposition in principle to family Plaing octivitltetom to loendras The problem it snes is the sense of depepulatiee vi -vti the presence of Stghly populated Ii Salvador nearby In thip atmosphere It Vld see diffitlt toimpart a sne of urgency for soeving population growth rates i order to benefit the nation Individual hmn rights woud shythoe be the ealy point of argument for the met Still the CMWtAUl

MYP verb ohold serve ts hiAhlight sm of the important cofequemee ef rapid rowth rates In regard to the previotn of Gects) services d

the Wdl lagal esplicit fAmil plannIrA fopeoent it viii A Alloi etitsion to the beneflts of a tuational service deivor) proolL

kdwr~f aha llI teduntvar Ityrurricu Is The single University in -the

country lacks programs in several disciplines in the social sciences (for

example there is no RocloloSy Anthropology or Psychology) and provides CSUCA the no effective opportunity for research by faculty members

superior Council of Central American Universities apportioned several

regional Graduate programs among its members and Honduras was assigned

With attelle funding the Programthe Ecotouics and Planning Program sponsored a Ieogonl Central American Conference on Population and

Development in Hay 1979 attended by representatives from government agencies

Central America (037U0071l2) As a result of and universities throughout this conference a second one on Population Labor force and basic

Human Heeds wan later sponsored by the University of Costa Ricea with A proposal for a follow-up conferencepartial Sattelle PD support

on Population and the Environment in Central America is now being

developed by the University of Honduras

The USAID mission has expressed enthusiasm for both the CONSUPLANZ

project and the regional Conference on Population The staff of both

projects in turn has expressed satisfaction with the collaborative

support received from USAIP mission staff

In addition a proposal has been received from the newly formed Honduran

Association for Research on Population Inspired by Perus AMtIDP and

actively promoted by attelle PDP the Association is expected to be

the 4eduran member of the planned Central American Association for

Population Research (see section on Central America)

deg Work was completed on both Sattells PDP agreements with

Asooscn and r OO A045H701-02)

Salvador deteriorated last OctoberDe gTaflea Salvadorena (ADS) (POOISA01VIH701o0

before the politital situation in El The f(llowing three publications edited by Ales A Aloes Z

ADS

principal investigator emanated from the ADS projects and serve to

document much of the groundwork underway for population policy formation

and population research in El Salvadort

1 1 Edo4IfL (October 1978 356 pp)Powlo gln 2 es9arolloJ

u fltrsn e om tnfntoel ul---114tnbor 1974 143 pIp)

MIA 120lo IpeItiAuci(gfulfto PelNCItics Y tgaeelou lntedlolpln~rnIfero Pnl(August 1971 NOg pp)

toItabtilsed If and when the preset political situation in 1

Salvador hattelle tPo staff espects Or Rosa Jdith Clsneree

irector of MDSas called In Octobert199 withof July 079 will reschedule a meeting she

planners and resoarherts and representative of Internationalnational ADS project The meeting Vould evaluate

Sorgaisations hich funded Alenso

the projeets finding and repereussolns and suggest future ceursee of

action

4 Westna Central Amrica

Given th relative lmi of the Central Aneriaen countrie (especiallywith regard to their scientific coomunitie) and their historical and institutional links itwas decided that certain Battelle Pop aetivitiss be 4irected to the region as a whole

Stops have been taken conducive to Improved vommniration between populationspecialists In the region and the development of a regional Astociatton tor Research on Population Battelle PDP has wholly or partly funded regionalseminars on Population and Development (Honduras May 1979) and PopulationLabor Force andBasi Human Needs (Coa Rica October 1979) Discussions for the formtion of country associations and a regional link have been held with sroups from Gatoma I Honduras and Costa Rtca It to now intended that the regional association be housed under the Council of Central American Universities (CIUCA) vith initial participation frow those countriesPanamanian researchers hive exprosed an Interest to Battelle PDP far an association in their country whitle political events in Nicaragua end ItSalvador would suggest that these countries not receive concentrated

program activity for the moment

At the request of A14s Latin America Bureau attelle PD undertook an assessment of the tpact of illegal hexican miration upon the United states The investigation took the form of a stlte of the art report consisting of a systematic reviev of scholarly studies and an analysis of their contents bymajer categories vith special attention to the poliey-relevant findingsDuring the course of this work Battelle staff attempted to contact all persons In the United Ioates conducting serious research on the topic in order to Insure that the report be as comprehensive as possible

Sone significant flndins of this report ore as followu

iO - qUA- Depite an apparent cencurrenceaclosee mat o our mast utilized vstimatins techniques reveals a bread range of between 2 and S million Hniitian living Illegally in the US in the mido1970s

a 4Lfliuju Int contrast to studies suggesting that unshydocmented rre do met displaco eitison werke there i incireaing evidenc that seow job displacement does in (et ecwr The estt of this displaeenut depends upo the specific labor market

bull brylstola 115il1saI short-torm Illegal milgrants (seshytimesalled lttlo 01gjantsW) maintain a low profile and make limited Use of welfare health or edvuatie nal fneilitlo8 tonsshyterm utirants Millise social services much the same as citiens and letal roedent Little i known 4t the key team of what portion at the Nexlean migrant pepulattee reafins 10m4tlin the 1-

L

The full results appear as Battelle PRP WoriaPs N lS entitled The Impact of Undocumented Mexican Worker on the t Statesi A Critical Assessment (November 1979 pp 115 bibliography appendices) + -

Blsdes distribution within the Department of State and AID the report has been utilled by the folloving groupso IllsJoint US and Mexican Migration Working Group Washington D C and Mexico Cityamp the Select Comission on IImlgratlon and Refuge Policy Washington D C the California State Lagislature Hearings on Undocumented Mexican Migration Sacramento Califshyorni the San Diego County Board of Supervisors Task force on the Impact of illegal Migration on San Diegol and a joint US-Mcxican Policy Conference on Mexican Migration three locations California Center for Ethics and Social Policy Berkeley

Since Jean-Claude Duvalier assumed the presidency after his fathers death in 1971 foreign aid and governm~ent programs have Increased substantially in Haiti As part of that trend the Division dHygiene Familtaleo under the direction of Dr Ary lorde was establshed in 1971 as the first government-approved program to include Maternal and Child Health care and Family Planning Sine that time research on these eubjects has improved and brought a conropltant understanding of popultin dyamices in haitti

Y The Division I by law the only oranlsation which operates family planning activities Other small but related organtttlons have recently been created eS oroanisations concerned with the role of voaen In April 1979 Prestdemt for Life Duvalier made a statement in which he recognised the need to curb population growth both as a public health measure and as an adjunct to Hlitian economic developmenti this conern was repeated ina public speech InSeptember 1979

Many Haitians believe that nov is a good time to encourage awareness of popshyulatten issues The Preosidenta statements demonstrate a certain It yet undefined coitment to l1v population growth Family planning progrwms through the Division diygione Yalliale have been underway for several years and continue to expand through new channels such as househeld alA iomercial contraceptive distribution programs

The lecrtatrerie du Plan is currently preparing a five-year devlopment plan 19I14 During the past calendar year the plamins organization was rasled to cabinet-level status Slowly it is beginnng to take On in reality its dIu functions ef resource allocation and overall decision making These clilges make it all the mere imerative that population concerns enter met directly into the internaldeeision process Of what ti sv theI eretalrerie d Plan

In view ef the need to premte the recognition of population dynamics 4s a first $tep tovard their integration into development Battelle DP representsshytives V 11114 Mer 4vy and Anm Kubiloch traveled to Hiti In Nevember 1979 to consult with Dr ferdes planning officials uadCAID personnel to determine a framoverk for Siattois 1activitis in Haiti

++ + +++ +++ +S 9 ++ +________m____________________________

Meestings with the various roprosentatives identified support tor u b~tet t4 sponsored conference on Population Public Health and Development in Haiti currently scheduled to take place In late 190 The objective of the ceonfavese will be to bring together researchers government officials and program directors inorder to learn about and discuss population related issues The conference vuldprovide a forum for presentation of results from the heition Fertility Survey which could then serve as demograhic background for disculien e other ongoing and completed research endeavors inHaiti The Division d Hyltone Fautlialo i the most appropriate host tnatitution for the conference and Inpreparation Iattelle PDP plans to conduct a series of mnt-workshopsinorder to train the Division staff

The lattelle PDP sponsored analysis of the data from the Deschap) Jo region was capleteJ during the reprtitn period (PI00OAhtO6H07O) -The investigators have submitted a fellow-en proposal requstin8 fundinig for nine project papers which vill synthestie the results of their research

in the Deechapelles and Petit Goave areas (P0NAOOD)

Blatilelle DP currently developing a strategy paper for poulation and developnit asslstance to tgypt deslgned to prnote the utiliatin of population dynamics indevelopwnt planninl To this end the following subcentracts were Awarded during the reporting period

I Amiean University Celrol Workshop on gotial Research far Develepmot (PO57rYO)8 Dr $and cadalla

2 National Center for Soeieloacal and Criminological Research Catrnt Fertility Dyni r in Rural rgypt (POIAOLO)iDr Atof Rhalffa

Ale wder active coreidorati o ia

University of North Carolina Carolina Population Contert Ilrcalng Population Priority And Awareneo Aig Folitital And Cultural LeadershIp inEIypti Dr Abdei Oaran

Although e aettvitte were ueortaken in Jorde and Tunisia during this tim recent atttlle PVIear lat bureau meetinP have focused4n the eed for Battelle to itnlfltantly augment Its presone In the are Thereshytare prieuity will be Acerded to Rypt Turkey Jlrdan And Irte as Battelle PoP unands its actlvities InNorth Africa and the Near test

2I trCoitutriesl Brazil Nepal

awarded a subcontract to the AfsoclactooBra51151a doBattelle PDP hean Estudoo Populaitiona s (PO55BRO06) to publish aniddistribute the proceedings of a conference hed inOctober 1978 entitled IEncontro Nacional do

Dr Elsa Berquo isthe principal investigatorEstudos Populacion4ta

At the request of tne AIDMission Battelle PDP sent two technicians to to develop a film and to effect subcontractNepal inNovemberiDecemsber

activities on population and development issues Due to the extended nature

of their vipet (through mid-January) details of the trip will bu reported

later inBattelle PDs Trip Report series and subsequent Annual Report

1i1 MULTI-COUNTRY SUPPORT ACTIVITIES

A CUDICRS V)gJja

During the teporting period the design of this project underwent revision

Originally the focus wasn a hemispheric conference to encourage government to initiate commercial and comuunity-based family planningpolicyuaketr

lattells PDP undertook to arrange for seven presentations atservices the conference five reporting on major CBICRS projects inCentral and

South America and two reviewing and critiquing currentCBD and CRS activities

throughout the region These presentations prepared by Latin American experts the basisfor discussion of thewith Battelle DPassistancewere to serve as

utility and viability of such projects first at two small regional workshops for project manager contemplating similar activities and then after further

revision at a major meeting for poltymakers to be hosted by the Mexican

government

In line with the Initial plan seven Latin American experts identiAfied and assisted by Battelle D prepared reports on existing CUD and CKS projects and presented then inAugust 1979 at two workshops organised by Development

Associates Inc one inthDominican Republicand the other inColombia

The workhope did spark interest on the part of participants from three other Hooevertdicuesion with governshyeouptries inconsidtrins similar programs

ment officials cteal scientists and additional experts inthe field led

Battelle PD to suggest that an alternative and more effective mechanism for

extending distslbution of contraceptives in the region would be a publication presenters inassembling the collective experience and expertise of the seven

document could help convince policymakers planners healthone volume Ruch a administrators and program managers that CD and CAS progeraming on a large

cle hap proven to be a safe and acceptable approach to family planning in

both urban and rural coimunitiea toawell as provided how to do program guidelines

-13-

AccordinglyL BattelleiPDP developed and began to implement inthe remaining

experts will work intensively withthe presenters to revise and expand the

scope of their presentations through additional information data and analysis

B Assistance to the USAIDSudan CDSS (CountryDevelopment Strathay Statement)

In an effort to strengthen the analyses of population growth dynamice vis-a-vim the econoac development priorities of LDCs and AIDAfrica field missions the

Africa Bureau provided technical assistance to several sub-Sahara based missions in the preparation of their 1982 Country Development Strategy Statements With the concurrence of AIDSudan Battelle PVP dispatched two staff officials to Khartoum for two weeks in December 1979 Battelle PDPs analynis of the poor in Sudan and its overall input for the Sudan CDSS is contained in Trip Report 054

C Egypt - Population and Developmen Policy Pa er

At the request of AIDs Near East Bureau a policy paper on population and development dynamics in fgypt was prepared Thin document was used to orient Bureau officials on related events and patterns in Egypt and as a briefing paper for the Egypt consultative group meetings

D AfrIca-Initiatives

In concert with the Africa Bureaus strategy for population assistance to sub-Saharan Africa (reported in Battelle PDPs 1978-79 Annual Report Battelle intends to pursue popilation and development objectives in twelve (12)

countries (including Nigeria) designated as priority We have submitted at the Africa Bureaus request an abstract which outline the preparation of 1 country profiles entitled Assess Status of African Attitudes and Recommendations via-a-vis AID Population Assistance to Africa One outshystanding feature of this proposed activity Is the establishment of an African Advisory Committee on Population Assistance

-14shyP

IV OOUNT(Y PROJECT SUPPORTACTIVITIES---

A Proposal Development Review Process

As proposals are submitted to the Battelle PDP Program Battelle PD staff review them thoroughly for technical quality and program relevance In order to facilitate this complexs review procedure a Management Information System (MIS) has been created which documents each of the three Major steps required for all proposalat Project Development Activities Proposal Technical Review and Processing and Subcontract status

The Project Development Activities section shows trips made by Battelle PDP

staff the proposals related to each-trip and their receipt date Request included as well as travel and tripand concurence date for each trip are

report dates During the reporting period Battelle PDP staff made 10 trips to 11 countries

The Proposal Review Process section demonstrates specific steps required of are recorded as proposals enter each phases acknowltdgi

-Dateseach proposal ment and summary monitor and Battelle PDP staff review AIDPOP approval USAID (Mission) approval subcontract writing and signing This section also

sh wnvvhen and at which step proposals have been rejected or referred proposals submitted to Battelle PD receive a thorough review for technical quality and contractual specificity During the reporting period 15 proposals

4 have been funded 5 are currently under consideration~were reviewed of these for funding 2were rejected and 4 were referred

The section describing Subcontract Status indicates start and completion dates of subcontracts and due dates and receipt dates for both progress reports

Trom June 1977 through December 1979 64 proposals wereand final reports received by Rattelle PDPI 23 have become subcontracts obligating a total of

$665900 5 remain under consideration for funding-and 36 have been rejected or referred (see Table 1)

The MIS allows Battelle POP staff to identify clearly the processing stage of any proposal at any time This information has served to point out bottleshynecks which habitually delay the efficient processing of proposals and implementation of a project

--

Table I

PROJECT-TV-DATE SLWM O PROPOSAL ACTIVITY

June 1977- December 1979

Iroposays funded Under Rejectd or Country -~ ~ ~ Consideration Rfre

- o o1000) _~1000)-3ratl 3 8751 60 2 811

Chile 2 -- - - 2 -

Colombia 4 3256 1 27 - 3 297

Cost Rica 1 36 1 3

Ecuador S 2262 1 11 2 1289 2 66C

Egypt 3 1332 2 543 1 789 - shy

31 Salvador 4 610 2 573 -- - 2 237

customs 10 2917 5 1275 -- -- 5 1642

Haiti 2 1432 1 672 1 7860

Honduras 4 527 2 158 -- 2 369

Kopal 2 71)3- - 1 90 1 623 Nigeria 3 132j -- - -- - 3 132 Pakisatan 2 887 shy f-~ - - 2 88 Peru 14 4966 6 M)0 - 8 2416

Philippines 1 133 -- -- -1 133

s5 Total$ 64 1242401 23 AMS S 29481 31 1463

-16-

B Battelle PDP Fellows Program

The Battelle PDp Fllowis program isdesigned to increase the effectiveness of LDC decisionmakers who reside temporarily in the US for research or

training The program gives moderate financial assistance of up to $1500 to LDC dectsionmakers to facilitate their research and writing during their

periods of USresidence In addition PDP Fellows are brought together

with the Battelle PDP staff toediscuss at semiannual workshops the population policy implications of their research for their home countries

Funds provided to the Fellows may be used for computer costs research toassistance manuscript typing and limited travel within the US

professional meetings No stipends for maintenance are provided

Since its inception the Fellows Program has provideJ support for 19

Fellows Those completing their stays in the US have finished five

doctoral dissertations two MPH degrees and a number of research papers Five Fellows have returned tofor publication In their borne countries

their home countries and are working in population related activities

DrPL Joshi is Director of Research Planning and Evaluation for the

epat Drs Bayona Saravia and Alauddin havePopulation Commission of returned to teaching posts Elena Hurtado and Claudia Lecaros have resumed

research activities In9Guatemal and Colombi Two Fellows Teresa HO and

Helena Rib have been acepto to the Young Professionals program at the

World Bank and M Nisamuddin is currently on a short-term mission to Somalia for the Carolina Population Laboratories Several Fellows have

published articles in 1979 Including

Teresa Measuring Time Costs of Child Rearing In the Philippineo

Poplation and Development Review 514

and tconomic Change Battelle P orkingRio Roberto Family Sis Paper 13

Karim Nehtab 3ocioeconomic and Cultural Aspects of Marriage and

Fertility in Urban Pakistan task-West Population Institute

Pager 64

1attelle PD has designated certain of its Follows as Ovlrnla Follows in the U andIndicating that they have completed their residence

returned to their hoe country or they have Completed the intensive phase of their relationship with lattello pD rellows program and have accepted

now professional duties- attelle POP does in any ease send materials concerning the ellows progrm to all its current and Overseas Fellows

of intellectualwith the objective of maintaining and esnarging this network exchange long after the Fellows have returned to their roles as decisionshy

makern on population issues in their own coumtries

-17-

Battelle PDP Fellow

jMohsuuad AIAUVDIN Bangladesh ISWR Dacca Univereityl PhD Population Planning University of Michigan

Dr Alauddin completed his doctoral work in May 1979 on rural developshy

mnt and family planning behavior in Bangladesh villages His work as based

on the Bangladesh WFS data in combination with area data on rural fertility

He has returned to his administrative and teaching position with the Dacca University Institute of Social Welfare and Rsearch

Alberto BAYONAS Colombia Universidad Javerianat Fulbright Visiting Professhy

sor of Sociology Tulane University

Dr Bayonae study of population has included analysis of the 1973

census data on contextual factors influencing fertility and mortality in

Colombia He has nov returned to his post as Director of $ocial Studies at

Javerians University in Bogota

Melinda BACOL-MO TLLA Philippines NCSOg PhD candidate Sociology Utah

State University

Ms Bacol-Montilla began writing her dissertation on ethnolinguistic Her work is based on thegroup differentials in the Philippines in 1979

1973 National Demographic Survey

ur EZEKWK Nigeria

has focused her studies on marital patterns includingtMS Esekwe at marriage (IMAM) in selected Africanestimation of singulate mean age

countries assessing a reliable measure of marital patterns among European and non-European populations and the effect of bride price an fertility

hiu l Bangladesh University of Chittagonli PhD candidate - -ch of Education University of Michigan

was a student of Everett Rogers He received a Ford Foundation grant for five

Mr Haider became interested in population education while he

onmonths of field study in Bangladesh (Dec 78- May 79) to Bather data

nonformal population education programs associated with the integrated rural to the University of ichtdevelopment program He has recently returned

tan and is scheduled to complete his dissertation work in December 1979

anilal PhDTeresa JO Philippines University of the Philippines

candidate Food Research Institute Stanford University

Me No is investigating foale labor fore participation drawing on

Filipino data such as the tlma Multipurpose Household survey in which she

assisted as well so the andlMlysia surveys Upon finlshin8 her dissertashytion in April 1980 she will join the World lank in the Young Professioals

program In December 1979 Ma Mo published am article Msauring Time

Costs of Child Rearing inthe Philippines in gPoulatio and Devlopoetl

Overseas Fellows

GW INCA and Pu cHealth University of California Los Anampee

aHurtadooind ho-fa1owsproaramvhils-e avs tudyina-at UCLA

lin HD uatemala VSAIDGuatenalot MPH4 candidate School Of

where she wrote on determinants of use and Intended us of modern coetracepshytton in traditional and modern village of Guatemala InJuly of197$ she returned to Gustemals where she worked on an AID evaluation of family planning program In I1Quiche She isamong the firat of the PDP allows to return to her country and begin to contribute to policy development

L jOHIM Itepal esoarch ampad Ivaluation 1IQ ltnistry of Health Government of lepalPhD itastatstics University of California lerkley Dr Joahi completed his doctoral work inJune 1979 on the evaluation

of fatmly planning contination rates Nis research was based on data from the Nepal IS Ne has recently returned to his positton a director of re search planning and evaluation for the Population Comission of Nepal and he ebttted a proposal for PW fndin to Anilyss data on mternal and child health InNepal

a htab Pakiltan Institute of Developmest nocmies Qaid Al an U rItyi PhD Candidateo SocloLy Cornell Universlty

Mr WrIN has viittoe on age at marriagO and fertility inPakistan using data free the Nlational Impact Survey for his doctoral work he to developing a project with I the Sysod of the Population Pilenins Costenson and Profaeor Peter Slth on the female life cycle from monrche to first parturition Ne has Just publishd Secoen mc and Cultural Aspects of

rriage 4n PeitilY tn Urban Pakistan through the hatVetdeg leatitato d pians to complete his dissertation tn Spring log0

-- A Colombis Universdad do to Adeel PhD Scheol of Ucatiml S-Ita atv roltyfrO

or locares wrete her diesertation On education dovelopmet and incom Inl rural Celembia Ner work is based an data draw fromi the 1913 onsum and the Agrarian Cemleus of 1910-71 She returned to the Umiversidad do lee asdea Cele nas in0 eteOer 1978

JII OM Pakistan Ppulatte plamaing Cnteslt lalmabd PhD ulaioPlon holveraity of Mightn

is 191 tDr IiamddIn iished his dissearation the aeeptability ot faally planimg itrural Pakista So direteild the Pakistan Fertility Survey as Deputy Diretor of the Populatiu Planns Coissie snd analyced that dataF his doetoral eeare e I currently a Shert-term misa1Lim te SeMeli for the Carolina Poplaties lob

pound ailm 15 and NanaemeatE Philippines College of Develepaset 9eonsees aivr 17 C the lPili PhD candidate I eesice Vale UaivorlI lsont Alty

me qwiu stJene the POP follews Program ioJune 1919 She Isworkshytnl wits data fro the Lagima ad Steel Surveys to 0ema1n the Lber supply in the Philippnlse

Imctute

PhD nLdiddte schl of public eilth Karvard ilvers ty

Mrs Raymand to werktag with date (trm tho niliPPIn Satiftsl DOshygraphic Survey of 19) Rho i eganinlng postparLm t

GiMsa RJ A Phillppiei i oerty W1 the Phllptsi r ltwatiO

enoorrhea breasfeodnll

f bull bull bull bull bull - l

practice socioeconomic differential and their relationships to fortilityi lihe plantia completeherdiaertationin Jne 1990

ejlena R Colombia Univerldad do Jos Andes logota PhD Economics University

Msi Ribs completed het dissertation on the consequences of migration in Colombia in October 1979 She Is currently working on a postdoctoral research project on fertility aspects of the 1973 census Ma Ribs has been selected to join the Young Professionals program at the World Bank

Robertol0e Peru Univereidad do gan Harcost PhD candidate Columbia svermity 14

Mr Rios is In the last phase of completion of a doctoral dissertation eamning ocular trends In mortality and fertility In Latin America He haos noted in his work a mote rapid fertility decline than was typical of the Eushy

ropean demolraphic transition Mr Rios recently contributed 1PW Working Paper 913 entitled Family Site and Economic Change

lgnira MSYZi21 CkGatmala Instituto do Nutriclon de Centro Aaerica y anma (INCA) Guatemala City PhD candidate School of Public Health University of California Los Angeles

Ms Rosenhouse Is writing her dissertation on the evaluation of the validity of attitudinal survey data on fertility-related topics adminisshytared i Guatela Nter work is based on the INCAP-AXD data and focuses primarily on doetted family ise

JsL1AMVampA Colombia Univereidad del Vll del Caucal PhD Land Tenure Center University of Wisconsin Madison

Dr Saravia coploted his doctoral work In 1971 on rural development and health status in Colombia He ueed data from a 1973 health and nutrition survey Ne has returned to his faculty position in the School af Economies iniversidad del Vails del Caous

2911hotu L oJBrasil Iatitute Getull Vargas PhD candidate teshyi 7nosteUiversity of ChicagoJ

Mr sedlacek joined tle POP allows progrm im October 1971 shortly after he began work en a stud- of fertility and wmons work patterns In Brasil and the US with JamoeHeckia and the Stanford Research Institute No Intends to adapt economttii modeling techniques ho t currently developshyn to use on survey data fro eoaulo Brasil

la MUAP Nepeli PhD adidat Population Studies ad Training Center

grown University

FDP Fellw hapa s Frtility survey Of 1974 us carried out the initial parof the research

at the Rest-Vest Cater and has returned to rown University to complete his dissertation in September 1910 is research currently underway concerns estimating trends and levels of Infant mortality and fertility

As the novst Mr I analysing data tree the Sepal

-20

IsttelriP Vokpra~~-c--

Battelle pDp staff and Yellos are encouraged to submit papers for The foloingincorporation Into the Battelle PD Working Paper seies

papers have been issued to date

AlMtLL PDKiUna Iufi

Title Authow(s) Date

ChanOle UP Heareesep Ot Is ThirhouIptan foetility

I 1041i0camOo$ ond family Plsnnisu

Nfi l2 BoxDifeoso Itthe Wsteot to i P 1tle OctIo A4gotlu si Owlelo in C Yarrolil Clas n$lt

J aiSNRIal Guatemsala 1pound11

14

olt iIConsequence 0Mo0llos to S ahCentitbution of Auihroelogsts to VCetoe vI

ot Iamp Velltell p~ |t13lNeceove NisPopltie evele V Ntlpm[ ga It 4 l afliiplatt - Note Punittenm lat Anlst$ V1tteteooy fobIt shy

tleferilityp MWAsols4 later- J lltlt robt7 eatol ind~t Variables fit 5~t Afab Cowmttto

I I The Impe of uralt pitqPM so lt WV letI Kay to

pliteti otth CA Crrsie A i Sashil

May 19I LaePlaifiteaiea 4d Weeleore Numasseew g Peubda goost le itatePOistIeleis

i t May ItiNCtle rtil JnitAli

ISMS to 1 l t t ilatVariables Al

isatal 11i1tt

it The~w to1OfS e e a e t Phte g 5 I 4P sot Hpdel JunA1oi Th eeLatin A erte s Su I il

I lit o f Usual Union tuaotet 1 Alsn JI

t aillttel

Change A Rios et toI r)eally it ampn toonwmto it14 Plt IIIa PorTuitc4nd Reality vile 1311i1101o bull

CA Cctvise I

335 Close Weeit ethe Uitd Steill A ctititl ampos4$- JA 1enioto The losses of iUdenem40 Nealtae mocers

S - aunt ) bull

Page 9: vBallelle - United States Agency for International

VpAuatios o1 a rAsissal tpwattoo ft11 for Oatemula has saint eaud Srowed during the Pastsi Nevilleth Thasa to the Offtrs at

severat owafitm sd asrasevtteaamp rgioasdtCi polIqeMAher are sare avare thai over bere of the lotorroIaSionship Wewon populattoo asA scieal sail eoesss feletr to their eeustryCs deslopmsw Qrppsitteu to faily plasiu Mo rpol tes vithis the Nsatifal iqylty of 1sam Carl$ be t0049004 - third year W10eaI046041 siwdetn 66 aSW revetIs

Keyl etsl at mun t~sheUtotitraintog to family ptaulog]PIam1ie Cousll are teeroaalMapseIv to osalderotti of tiattoo

oppo ~iio did artoo from osroncereS to the plAMISeS preoe Althouagh 7 msisr 1 NesIth he has (me reversed his septive atoams

UsudI W~wete tos active d5$1- the period covered by this report to Mterat t Is vory evcttI Awems Previously ProgrsoeYat Mel loved is oeowiCI Stllt Sop projets latod6eiiCO4 irdees

tampsral OW40 aid Diftergsia Srtlisy (valverldad delproject asTa1it r1001htUP43)ampad Jorge Artas p~ots rprtosi

of tw wrAC a pepeatles O eeeaWt(iiwr~d~s~~b~t dc1 val P90140MIS 4lO 114181sisry fooest free AW Owdy have stroadyi ssfood the ltoftwof pleawav s 1itiofJ~ei wotal

211 l -oIsepermtbof the Aeilvoa do CtceesaC ItIest (NO hWOorsid y isohla sad adufeerrast to diftisoscs hap o he twirt fitam er SoISS popiv18sla m sheresmt Ubigh will

vikestmsalWe ready for distriwvils fi oarly 1o (Isaeviosoa chommss MOW gsv4e have showa istemleto otislas(sho

Now estteilie deriod shis period 101l040 AfeppaI fo lt sdy CS 5Vc otoses tly st w p9lsolso (101100110ICAMICOafl

aid avtsmat o mfoloee MSpelats lo s epth(PSOWG)TI held oeve t9) Ffogeoel hot$$ Csthe SsOf3UiOfA dWiOP of rurs lastly ate bIe vwald he rarried me ocojwt Willi S111Cacef OAIt rual daoipum Proeee usrvo4t of tooa for umdt Pricrectus with 00SAPI gltch bad led te -Sstormsl nreost to isplsee the possibility of DesseU POP seshaicit celetANC6 ts Pepsat ea IEMt Ma44016 are Wel Fwrecd A(

Proviow teseesss by Sstotts nw oil had sad to the tornwtsef sm Wse eslnnit to the orgeuistIsltotg~roit of froaafdrobwee

The igsvp slottedof she OCCSCUSleC Aoseslsiif for Ppcite-aI keeert a board of01ffealet so puras for11a FVP0111614Cl ONaltepfaIM44111 Ylsh tgreob5 oCf a simlar gu1046wsdC e1soka to establish C410161t got a 1e061se1 C001ral pmariwass AeeeeltiPsm it to sipwi Bese

M Psiewty byas 141194y Vas biinGhgltha$e doveleSesl of owk am tpattoo ISooeort Topieepars liipauts Is she let Local Osfrew

ussietod obe VIlh a eWd Iattvi5P tease Is ftasemtl this project latlatiive will he operitRokl5id

Aampof this wlial latiolls iSP el bas flerastd a 911ra14gy PAV~r etshe latolie IN proosesfor 0641044 for tow redof

2 H reu e o

pouastive I se ionduras but the level of thedebtae is more sub~duedthan In other countries The National Plannin=

Council (cONSIMAIK) has been resivins technical assistance In populati masters for one year from Corporeac6n Centre Rtegonal d Poblactn (CCtp) in 10o0t supported by lttello (MIHNN10II0O) The areas covere are economic modeling and long-term seocal serviced plannini in both cesshya population component has been built Itto the planning mechanism

A now agreement with CCIP (POASIiK04) was reached calling for technical assistance to ODMIULANZ in preparing an emplifted follow-on to the deoglraphic-economic modeling and disoeulnation octivities The asplified program to being designed at the request of MIlDIHonduras

CONSMLtNZ to particularly positive toward CCXo hortionel-technlcali assistance Coetinuation of the woiA should strese pect(- issues (populatiem and educational services family planning and population enhagag etc) and Incorporate some of the population concerns developed at the oetieMl level into the regional development plane The outlook given the relatively modest level of effort seema extremely encouraging COOIMPiAXs pre-prposal for the fellow-on project has been received And 0te formal proposal is epcted by April 1980

The CCI03 t1LANX model first presented publicly in ay 1979 at the Ceetral Amercan Conference on topulation and Pevelopeent sponsored by Sttelle to already being incorporated Into the proeae for the National Development Flan of Nenduras follw-er activities will emphaise dliesemlties of the model and its Use no ter WoNagancee eavell as

other Central American euntrieseoin

The is formal opposition in principle to family Plaing octivitltetom to loendras The problem it snes is the sense of depepulatiee vi -vti the presence of Stghly populated Ii Salvador nearby In thip atmosphere It Vld see diffitlt toimpart a sne of urgency for soeving population growth rates i order to benefit the nation Individual hmn rights woud shythoe be the ealy point of argument for the met Still the CMWtAUl

MYP verb ohold serve ts hiAhlight sm of the important cofequemee ef rapid rowth rates In regard to the previotn of Gects) services d

the Wdl lagal esplicit fAmil plannIrA fopeoent it viii A Alloi etitsion to the beneflts of a tuational service deivor) proolL

kdwr~f aha llI teduntvar Ityrurricu Is The single University in -the

country lacks programs in several disciplines in the social sciences (for

example there is no RocloloSy Anthropology or Psychology) and provides CSUCA the no effective opportunity for research by faculty members

superior Council of Central American Universities apportioned several

regional Graduate programs among its members and Honduras was assigned

With attelle funding the Programthe Ecotouics and Planning Program sponsored a Ieogonl Central American Conference on Population and

Development in Hay 1979 attended by representatives from government agencies

Central America (037U0071l2) As a result of and universities throughout this conference a second one on Population Labor force and basic

Human Heeds wan later sponsored by the University of Costa Ricea with A proposal for a follow-up conferencepartial Sattelle PD support

on Population and the Environment in Central America is now being

developed by the University of Honduras

The USAID mission has expressed enthusiasm for both the CONSUPLANZ

project and the regional Conference on Population The staff of both

projects in turn has expressed satisfaction with the collaborative

support received from USAIP mission staff

In addition a proposal has been received from the newly formed Honduran

Association for Research on Population Inspired by Perus AMtIDP and

actively promoted by attelle PDP the Association is expected to be

the 4eduran member of the planned Central American Association for

Population Research (see section on Central America)

deg Work was completed on both Sattells PDP agreements with

Asooscn and r OO A045H701-02)

Salvador deteriorated last OctoberDe gTaflea Salvadorena (ADS) (POOISA01VIH701o0

before the politital situation in El The f(llowing three publications edited by Ales A Aloes Z

ADS

principal investigator emanated from the ADS projects and serve to

document much of the groundwork underway for population policy formation

and population research in El Salvadort

1 1 Edo4IfL (October 1978 356 pp)Powlo gln 2 es9arolloJ

u fltrsn e om tnfntoel ul---114tnbor 1974 143 pIp)

MIA 120lo IpeItiAuci(gfulfto PelNCItics Y tgaeelou lntedlolpln~rnIfero Pnl(August 1971 NOg pp)

toItabtilsed If and when the preset political situation in 1

Salvador hattelle tPo staff espects Or Rosa Jdith Clsneree

irector of MDSas called In Octobert199 withof July 079 will reschedule a meeting she

planners and resoarherts and representative of Internationalnational ADS project The meeting Vould evaluate

Sorgaisations hich funded Alenso

the projeets finding and repereussolns and suggest future ceursee of

action

4 Westna Central Amrica

Given th relative lmi of the Central Aneriaen countrie (especiallywith regard to their scientific coomunitie) and their historical and institutional links itwas decided that certain Battelle Pop aetivitiss be 4irected to the region as a whole

Stops have been taken conducive to Improved vommniration between populationspecialists In the region and the development of a regional Astociatton tor Research on Population Battelle PDP has wholly or partly funded regionalseminars on Population and Development (Honduras May 1979) and PopulationLabor Force andBasi Human Needs (Coa Rica October 1979) Discussions for the formtion of country associations and a regional link have been held with sroups from Gatoma I Honduras and Costa Rtca It to now intended that the regional association be housed under the Council of Central American Universities (CIUCA) vith initial participation frow those countriesPanamanian researchers hive exprosed an Interest to Battelle PDP far an association in their country whitle political events in Nicaragua end ItSalvador would suggest that these countries not receive concentrated

program activity for the moment

At the request of A14s Latin America Bureau attelle PD undertook an assessment of the tpact of illegal hexican miration upon the United states The investigation took the form of a stlte of the art report consisting of a systematic reviev of scholarly studies and an analysis of their contents bymajer categories vith special attention to the poliey-relevant findingsDuring the course of this work Battelle staff attempted to contact all persons In the United Ioates conducting serious research on the topic in order to Insure that the report be as comprehensive as possible

Sone significant flndins of this report ore as followu

iO - qUA- Depite an apparent cencurrenceaclosee mat o our mast utilized vstimatins techniques reveals a bread range of between 2 and S million Hniitian living Illegally in the US in the mido1970s

a 4Lfliuju Int contrast to studies suggesting that unshydocmented rre do met displaco eitison werke there i incireaing evidenc that seow job displacement does in (et ecwr The estt of this displaeenut depends upo the specific labor market

bull brylstola 115il1saI short-torm Illegal milgrants (seshytimesalled lttlo 01gjantsW) maintain a low profile and make limited Use of welfare health or edvuatie nal fneilitlo8 tonsshyterm utirants Millise social services much the same as citiens and letal roedent Little i known 4t the key team of what portion at the Nexlean migrant pepulattee reafins 10m4tlin the 1-

L

The full results appear as Battelle PRP WoriaPs N lS entitled The Impact of Undocumented Mexican Worker on the t Statesi A Critical Assessment (November 1979 pp 115 bibliography appendices) + -

Blsdes distribution within the Department of State and AID the report has been utilled by the folloving groupso IllsJoint US and Mexican Migration Working Group Washington D C and Mexico Cityamp the Select Comission on IImlgratlon and Refuge Policy Washington D C the California State Lagislature Hearings on Undocumented Mexican Migration Sacramento Califshyorni the San Diego County Board of Supervisors Task force on the Impact of illegal Migration on San Diegol and a joint US-Mcxican Policy Conference on Mexican Migration three locations California Center for Ethics and Social Policy Berkeley

Since Jean-Claude Duvalier assumed the presidency after his fathers death in 1971 foreign aid and governm~ent programs have Increased substantially in Haiti As part of that trend the Division dHygiene Familtaleo under the direction of Dr Ary lorde was establshed in 1971 as the first government-approved program to include Maternal and Child Health care and Family Planning Sine that time research on these eubjects has improved and brought a conropltant understanding of popultin dyamices in haitti

Y The Division I by law the only oranlsation which operates family planning activities Other small but related organtttlons have recently been created eS oroanisations concerned with the role of voaen In April 1979 Prestdemt for Life Duvalier made a statement in which he recognised the need to curb population growth both as a public health measure and as an adjunct to Hlitian economic developmenti this conern was repeated ina public speech InSeptember 1979

Many Haitians believe that nov is a good time to encourage awareness of popshyulatten issues The Preosidenta statements demonstrate a certain It yet undefined coitment to l1v population growth Family planning progrwms through the Division diygione Yalliale have been underway for several years and continue to expand through new channels such as househeld alA iomercial contraceptive distribution programs

The lecrtatrerie du Plan is currently preparing a five-year devlopment plan 19I14 During the past calendar year the plamins organization was rasled to cabinet-level status Slowly it is beginnng to take On in reality its dIu functions ef resource allocation and overall decision making These clilges make it all the mere imerative that population concerns enter met directly into the internaldeeision process Of what ti sv theI eretalrerie d Plan

In view ef the need to premte the recognition of population dynamics 4s a first $tep tovard their integration into development Battelle DP representsshytives V 11114 Mer 4vy and Anm Kubiloch traveled to Hiti In Nevember 1979 to consult with Dr ferdes planning officials uadCAID personnel to determine a framoverk for Siattois 1activitis in Haiti

++ + +++ +++ +S 9 ++ +________m____________________________

Meestings with the various roprosentatives identified support tor u b~tet t4 sponsored conference on Population Public Health and Development in Haiti currently scheduled to take place In late 190 The objective of the ceonfavese will be to bring together researchers government officials and program directors inorder to learn about and discuss population related issues The conference vuldprovide a forum for presentation of results from the heition Fertility Survey which could then serve as demograhic background for disculien e other ongoing and completed research endeavors inHaiti The Division d Hyltone Fautlialo i the most appropriate host tnatitution for the conference and Inpreparation Iattelle PDP plans to conduct a series of mnt-workshopsinorder to train the Division staff

The lattelle PDP sponsored analysis of the data from the Deschap) Jo region was capleteJ during the reprtitn period (PI00OAhtO6H07O) -The investigators have submitted a fellow-en proposal requstin8 fundinig for nine project papers which vill synthestie the results of their research

in the Deechapelles and Petit Goave areas (P0NAOOD)

Blatilelle DP currently developing a strategy paper for poulation and developnit asslstance to tgypt deslgned to prnote the utiliatin of population dynamics indevelopwnt planninl To this end the following subcentracts were Awarded during the reporting period

I Amiean University Celrol Workshop on gotial Research far Develepmot (PO57rYO)8 Dr $and cadalla

2 National Center for Soeieloacal and Criminological Research Catrnt Fertility Dyni r in Rural rgypt (POIAOLO)iDr Atof Rhalffa

Ale wder active coreidorati o ia

University of North Carolina Carolina Population Contert Ilrcalng Population Priority And Awareneo Aig Folitital And Cultural LeadershIp inEIypti Dr Abdei Oaran

Although e aettvitte were ueortaken in Jorde and Tunisia during this tim recent atttlle PVIear lat bureau meetinP have focused4n the eed for Battelle to itnlfltantly augment Its presone In the are Thereshytare prieuity will be Acerded to Rypt Turkey Jlrdan And Irte as Battelle PoP unands its actlvities InNorth Africa and the Near test

2I trCoitutriesl Brazil Nepal

awarded a subcontract to the AfsoclactooBra51151a doBattelle PDP hean Estudoo Populaitiona s (PO55BRO06) to publish aniddistribute the proceedings of a conference hed inOctober 1978 entitled IEncontro Nacional do

Dr Elsa Berquo isthe principal investigatorEstudos Populacion4ta

At the request of tne AIDMission Battelle PDP sent two technicians to to develop a film and to effect subcontractNepal inNovemberiDecemsber

activities on population and development issues Due to the extended nature

of their vipet (through mid-January) details of the trip will bu reported

later inBattelle PDs Trip Report series and subsequent Annual Report

1i1 MULTI-COUNTRY SUPPORT ACTIVITIES

A CUDICRS V)gJja

During the teporting period the design of this project underwent revision

Originally the focus wasn a hemispheric conference to encourage government to initiate commercial and comuunity-based family planningpolicyuaketr

lattells PDP undertook to arrange for seven presentations atservices the conference five reporting on major CBICRS projects inCentral and

South America and two reviewing and critiquing currentCBD and CRS activities

throughout the region These presentations prepared by Latin American experts the basisfor discussion of thewith Battelle DPassistancewere to serve as

utility and viability of such projects first at two small regional workshops for project manager contemplating similar activities and then after further

revision at a major meeting for poltymakers to be hosted by the Mexican

government

In line with the Initial plan seven Latin American experts identiAfied and assisted by Battelle D prepared reports on existing CUD and CKS projects and presented then inAugust 1979 at two workshops organised by Development

Associates Inc one inthDominican Republicand the other inColombia

The workhope did spark interest on the part of participants from three other Hooevertdicuesion with governshyeouptries inconsidtrins similar programs

ment officials cteal scientists and additional experts inthe field led

Battelle PD to suggest that an alternative and more effective mechanism for

extending distslbution of contraceptives in the region would be a publication presenters inassembling the collective experience and expertise of the seven

document could help convince policymakers planners healthone volume Ruch a administrators and program managers that CD and CAS progeraming on a large

cle hap proven to be a safe and acceptable approach to family planning in

both urban and rural coimunitiea toawell as provided how to do program guidelines

-13-

AccordinglyL BattelleiPDP developed and began to implement inthe remaining

experts will work intensively withthe presenters to revise and expand the

scope of their presentations through additional information data and analysis

B Assistance to the USAIDSudan CDSS (CountryDevelopment Strathay Statement)

In an effort to strengthen the analyses of population growth dynamice vis-a-vim the econoac development priorities of LDCs and AIDAfrica field missions the

Africa Bureau provided technical assistance to several sub-Sahara based missions in the preparation of their 1982 Country Development Strategy Statements With the concurrence of AIDSudan Battelle PVP dispatched two staff officials to Khartoum for two weeks in December 1979 Battelle PDPs analynis of the poor in Sudan and its overall input for the Sudan CDSS is contained in Trip Report 054

C Egypt - Population and Developmen Policy Pa er

At the request of AIDs Near East Bureau a policy paper on population and development dynamics in fgypt was prepared Thin document was used to orient Bureau officials on related events and patterns in Egypt and as a briefing paper for the Egypt consultative group meetings

D AfrIca-Initiatives

In concert with the Africa Bureaus strategy for population assistance to sub-Saharan Africa (reported in Battelle PDPs 1978-79 Annual Report Battelle intends to pursue popilation and development objectives in twelve (12)

countries (including Nigeria) designated as priority We have submitted at the Africa Bureaus request an abstract which outline the preparation of 1 country profiles entitled Assess Status of African Attitudes and Recommendations via-a-vis AID Population Assistance to Africa One outshystanding feature of this proposed activity Is the establishment of an African Advisory Committee on Population Assistance

-14shyP

IV OOUNT(Y PROJECT SUPPORTACTIVITIES---

A Proposal Development Review Process

As proposals are submitted to the Battelle PDP Program Battelle PD staff review them thoroughly for technical quality and program relevance In order to facilitate this complexs review procedure a Management Information System (MIS) has been created which documents each of the three Major steps required for all proposalat Project Development Activities Proposal Technical Review and Processing and Subcontract status

The Project Development Activities section shows trips made by Battelle PDP

staff the proposals related to each-trip and their receipt date Request included as well as travel and tripand concurence date for each trip are

report dates During the reporting period Battelle PDP staff made 10 trips to 11 countries

The Proposal Review Process section demonstrates specific steps required of are recorded as proposals enter each phases acknowltdgi

-Dateseach proposal ment and summary monitor and Battelle PDP staff review AIDPOP approval USAID (Mission) approval subcontract writing and signing This section also

sh wnvvhen and at which step proposals have been rejected or referred proposals submitted to Battelle PD receive a thorough review for technical quality and contractual specificity During the reporting period 15 proposals

4 have been funded 5 are currently under consideration~were reviewed of these for funding 2were rejected and 4 were referred

The section describing Subcontract Status indicates start and completion dates of subcontracts and due dates and receipt dates for both progress reports

Trom June 1977 through December 1979 64 proposals wereand final reports received by Rattelle PDPI 23 have become subcontracts obligating a total of

$665900 5 remain under consideration for funding-and 36 have been rejected or referred (see Table 1)

The MIS allows Battelle POP staff to identify clearly the processing stage of any proposal at any time This information has served to point out bottleshynecks which habitually delay the efficient processing of proposals and implementation of a project

--

Table I

PROJECT-TV-DATE SLWM O PROPOSAL ACTIVITY

June 1977- December 1979

Iroposays funded Under Rejectd or Country -~ ~ ~ Consideration Rfre

- o o1000) _~1000)-3ratl 3 8751 60 2 811

Chile 2 -- - - 2 -

Colombia 4 3256 1 27 - 3 297

Cost Rica 1 36 1 3

Ecuador S 2262 1 11 2 1289 2 66C

Egypt 3 1332 2 543 1 789 - shy

31 Salvador 4 610 2 573 -- - 2 237

customs 10 2917 5 1275 -- -- 5 1642

Haiti 2 1432 1 672 1 7860

Honduras 4 527 2 158 -- 2 369

Kopal 2 71)3- - 1 90 1 623 Nigeria 3 132j -- - -- - 3 132 Pakisatan 2 887 shy f-~ - - 2 88 Peru 14 4966 6 M)0 - 8 2416

Philippines 1 133 -- -- -1 133

s5 Total$ 64 1242401 23 AMS S 29481 31 1463

-16-

B Battelle PDP Fellows Program

The Battelle PDp Fllowis program isdesigned to increase the effectiveness of LDC decisionmakers who reside temporarily in the US for research or

training The program gives moderate financial assistance of up to $1500 to LDC dectsionmakers to facilitate their research and writing during their

periods of USresidence In addition PDP Fellows are brought together

with the Battelle PDP staff toediscuss at semiannual workshops the population policy implications of their research for their home countries

Funds provided to the Fellows may be used for computer costs research toassistance manuscript typing and limited travel within the US

professional meetings No stipends for maintenance are provided

Since its inception the Fellows Program has provideJ support for 19

Fellows Those completing their stays in the US have finished five

doctoral dissertations two MPH degrees and a number of research papers Five Fellows have returned tofor publication In their borne countries

their home countries and are working in population related activities

DrPL Joshi is Director of Research Planning and Evaluation for the

epat Drs Bayona Saravia and Alauddin havePopulation Commission of returned to teaching posts Elena Hurtado and Claudia Lecaros have resumed

research activities In9Guatemal and Colombi Two Fellows Teresa HO and

Helena Rib have been acepto to the Young Professionals program at the

World Bank and M Nisamuddin is currently on a short-term mission to Somalia for the Carolina Population Laboratories Several Fellows have

published articles in 1979 Including

Teresa Measuring Time Costs of Child Rearing In the Philippineo

Poplation and Development Review 514

and tconomic Change Battelle P orkingRio Roberto Family Sis Paper 13

Karim Nehtab 3ocioeconomic and Cultural Aspects of Marriage and

Fertility in Urban Pakistan task-West Population Institute

Pager 64

1attelle PD has designated certain of its Follows as Ovlrnla Follows in the U andIndicating that they have completed their residence

returned to their hoe country or they have Completed the intensive phase of their relationship with lattello pD rellows program and have accepted

now professional duties- attelle POP does in any ease send materials concerning the ellows progrm to all its current and Overseas Fellows

of intellectualwith the objective of maintaining and esnarging this network exchange long after the Fellows have returned to their roles as decisionshy

makern on population issues in their own coumtries

-17-

Battelle PDP Fellow

jMohsuuad AIAUVDIN Bangladesh ISWR Dacca Univereityl PhD Population Planning University of Michigan

Dr Alauddin completed his doctoral work in May 1979 on rural developshy

mnt and family planning behavior in Bangladesh villages His work as based

on the Bangladesh WFS data in combination with area data on rural fertility

He has returned to his administrative and teaching position with the Dacca University Institute of Social Welfare and Rsearch

Alberto BAYONAS Colombia Universidad Javerianat Fulbright Visiting Professhy

sor of Sociology Tulane University

Dr Bayonae study of population has included analysis of the 1973

census data on contextual factors influencing fertility and mortality in

Colombia He has nov returned to his post as Director of $ocial Studies at

Javerians University in Bogota

Melinda BACOL-MO TLLA Philippines NCSOg PhD candidate Sociology Utah

State University

Ms Bacol-Montilla began writing her dissertation on ethnolinguistic Her work is based on thegroup differentials in the Philippines in 1979

1973 National Demographic Survey

ur EZEKWK Nigeria

has focused her studies on marital patterns includingtMS Esekwe at marriage (IMAM) in selected Africanestimation of singulate mean age

countries assessing a reliable measure of marital patterns among European and non-European populations and the effect of bride price an fertility

hiu l Bangladesh University of Chittagonli PhD candidate - -ch of Education University of Michigan

was a student of Everett Rogers He received a Ford Foundation grant for five

Mr Haider became interested in population education while he

onmonths of field study in Bangladesh (Dec 78- May 79) to Bather data

nonformal population education programs associated with the integrated rural to the University of ichtdevelopment program He has recently returned

tan and is scheduled to complete his dissertation work in December 1979

anilal PhDTeresa JO Philippines University of the Philippines

candidate Food Research Institute Stanford University

Me No is investigating foale labor fore participation drawing on

Filipino data such as the tlma Multipurpose Household survey in which she

assisted as well so the andlMlysia surveys Upon finlshin8 her dissertashytion in April 1980 she will join the World lank in the Young Professioals

program In December 1979 Ma Mo published am article Msauring Time

Costs of Child Rearing inthe Philippines in gPoulatio and Devlopoetl

Overseas Fellows

GW INCA and Pu cHealth University of California Los Anampee

aHurtadooind ho-fa1owsproaramvhils-e avs tudyina-at UCLA

lin HD uatemala VSAIDGuatenalot MPH4 candidate School Of

where she wrote on determinants of use and Intended us of modern coetracepshytton in traditional and modern village of Guatemala InJuly of197$ she returned to Gustemals where she worked on an AID evaluation of family planning program In I1Quiche She isamong the firat of the PDP allows to return to her country and begin to contribute to policy development

L jOHIM Itepal esoarch ampad Ivaluation 1IQ ltnistry of Health Government of lepalPhD itastatstics University of California lerkley Dr Joahi completed his doctoral work inJune 1979 on the evaluation

of fatmly planning contination rates Nis research was based on data from the Nepal IS Ne has recently returned to his positton a director of re search planning and evaluation for the Population Comission of Nepal and he ebttted a proposal for PW fndin to Anilyss data on mternal and child health InNepal

a htab Pakiltan Institute of Developmest nocmies Qaid Al an U rItyi PhD Candidateo SocloLy Cornell Universlty

Mr WrIN has viittoe on age at marriagO and fertility inPakistan using data free the Nlational Impact Survey for his doctoral work he to developing a project with I the Sysod of the Population Pilenins Costenson and Profaeor Peter Slth on the female life cycle from monrche to first parturition Ne has Just publishd Secoen mc and Cultural Aspects of

rriage 4n PeitilY tn Urban Pakistan through the hatVetdeg leatitato d pians to complete his dissertation tn Spring log0

-- A Colombis Universdad do to Adeel PhD Scheol of Ucatiml S-Ita atv roltyfrO

or locares wrete her diesertation On education dovelopmet and incom Inl rural Celembia Ner work is based an data draw fromi the 1913 onsum and the Agrarian Cemleus of 1910-71 She returned to the Umiversidad do lee asdea Cele nas in0 eteOer 1978

JII OM Pakistan Ppulatte plamaing Cnteslt lalmabd PhD ulaioPlon holveraity of Mightn

is 191 tDr IiamddIn iished his dissearation the aeeptability ot faally planimg itrural Pakista So direteild the Pakistan Fertility Survey as Deputy Diretor of the Populatiu Planns Coissie snd analyced that dataF his doetoral eeare e I currently a Shert-term misa1Lim te SeMeli for the Carolina Poplaties lob

pound ailm 15 and NanaemeatE Philippines College of Develepaset 9eonsees aivr 17 C the lPili PhD candidate I eesice Vale UaivorlI lsont Alty

me qwiu stJene the POP follews Program ioJune 1919 She Isworkshytnl wits data fro the Lagima ad Steel Surveys to 0ema1n the Lber supply in the Philippnlse

Imctute

PhD nLdiddte schl of public eilth Karvard ilvers ty

Mrs Raymand to werktag with date (trm tho niliPPIn Satiftsl DOshygraphic Survey of 19) Rho i eganinlng postparLm t

GiMsa RJ A Phillppiei i oerty W1 the Phllptsi r ltwatiO

enoorrhea breasfeodnll

f bull bull bull bull bull - l

practice socioeconomic differential and their relationships to fortilityi lihe plantia completeherdiaertationin Jne 1990

ejlena R Colombia Univerldad do Jos Andes logota PhD Economics University

Msi Ribs completed het dissertation on the consequences of migration in Colombia in October 1979 She Is currently working on a postdoctoral research project on fertility aspects of the 1973 census Ma Ribs has been selected to join the Young Professionals program at the World Bank

Robertol0e Peru Univereidad do gan Harcost PhD candidate Columbia svermity 14

Mr Rios is In the last phase of completion of a doctoral dissertation eamning ocular trends In mortality and fertility In Latin America He haos noted in his work a mote rapid fertility decline than was typical of the Eushy

ropean demolraphic transition Mr Rios recently contributed 1PW Working Paper 913 entitled Family Site and Economic Change

lgnira MSYZi21 CkGatmala Instituto do Nutriclon de Centro Aaerica y anma (INCA) Guatemala City PhD candidate School of Public Health University of California Los Angeles

Ms Rosenhouse Is writing her dissertation on the evaluation of the validity of attitudinal survey data on fertility-related topics adminisshytared i Guatela Nter work is based on the INCAP-AXD data and focuses primarily on doetted family ise

JsL1AMVampA Colombia Univereidad del Vll del Caucal PhD Land Tenure Center University of Wisconsin Madison

Dr Saravia coploted his doctoral work In 1971 on rural development and health status in Colombia He ueed data from a 1973 health and nutrition survey Ne has returned to his faculty position in the School af Economies iniversidad del Vails del Caous

2911hotu L oJBrasil Iatitute Getull Vargas PhD candidate teshyi 7nosteUiversity of ChicagoJ

Mr sedlacek joined tle POP allows progrm im October 1971 shortly after he began work en a stud- of fertility and wmons work patterns In Brasil and the US with JamoeHeckia and the Stanford Research Institute No Intends to adapt economttii modeling techniques ho t currently developshyn to use on survey data fro eoaulo Brasil

la MUAP Nepeli PhD adidat Population Studies ad Training Center

grown University

FDP Fellw hapa s Frtility survey Of 1974 us carried out the initial parof the research

at the Rest-Vest Cater and has returned to rown University to complete his dissertation in September 1910 is research currently underway concerns estimating trends and levels of Infant mortality and fertility

As the novst Mr I analysing data tree the Sepal

-20

IsttelriP Vokpra~~-c--

Battelle pDp staff and Yellos are encouraged to submit papers for The foloingincorporation Into the Battelle PD Working Paper seies

papers have been issued to date

AlMtLL PDKiUna Iufi

Title Authow(s) Date

ChanOle UP Heareesep Ot Is ThirhouIptan foetility

I 1041i0camOo$ ond family Plsnnisu

Nfi l2 BoxDifeoso Itthe Wsteot to i P 1tle OctIo A4gotlu si Owlelo in C Yarrolil Clas n$lt

J aiSNRIal Guatemsala 1pound11

14

olt iIConsequence 0Mo0llos to S ahCentitbution of Auihroelogsts to VCetoe vI

ot Iamp Velltell p~ |t13lNeceove NisPopltie evele V Ntlpm[ ga It 4 l afliiplatt - Note Punittenm lat Anlst$ V1tteteooy fobIt shy

tleferilityp MWAsols4 later- J lltlt robt7 eatol ind~t Variables fit 5~t Afab Cowmttto

I I The Impe of uralt pitqPM so lt WV letI Kay to

pliteti otth CA Crrsie A i Sashil

May 19I LaePlaifiteaiea 4d Weeleore Numasseew g Peubda goost le itatePOistIeleis

i t May ItiNCtle rtil JnitAli

ISMS to 1 l t t ilatVariables Al

isatal 11i1tt

it The~w to1OfS e e a e t Phte g 5 I 4P sot Hpdel JunA1oi Th eeLatin A erte s Su I il

I lit o f Usual Union tuaotet 1 Alsn JI

t aillttel

Change A Rios et toI r)eally it ampn toonwmto it14 Plt IIIa PorTuitc4nd Reality vile 1311i1101o bull

CA Cctvise I

335 Close Weeit ethe Uitd Steill A ctititl ampos4$- JA 1enioto The losses of iUdenem40 Nealtae mocers

S - aunt ) bull

Page 10: vBallelle - United States Agency for International

2 H reu e o

pouastive I se ionduras but the level of thedebtae is more sub~duedthan In other countries The National Plannin=

Council (cONSIMAIK) has been resivins technical assistance In populati masters for one year from Corporeac6n Centre Rtegonal d Poblactn (CCtp) in 10o0t supported by lttello (MIHNN10II0O) The areas covere are economic modeling and long-term seocal serviced plannini in both cesshya population component has been built Itto the planning mechanism

A now agreement with CCIP (POASIiK04) was reached calling for technical assistance to ODMIULANZ in preparing an emplifted follow-on to the deoglraphic-economic modeling and disoeulnation octivities The asplified program to being designed at the request of MIlDIHonduras

CONSMLtNZ to particularly positive toward CCXo hortionel-technlcali assistance Coetinuation of the woiA should strese pect(- issues (populatiem and educational services family planning and population enhagag etc) and Incorporate some of the population concerns developed at the oetieMl level into the regional development plane The outlook given the relatively modest level of effort seema extremely encouraging COOIMPiAXs pre-prposal for the fellow-on project has been received And 0te formal proposal is epcted by April 1980

The CCI03 t1LANX model first presented publicly in ay 1979 at the Ceetral Amercan Conference on topulation and Pevelopeent sponsored by Sttelle to already being incorporated Into the proeae for the National Development Flan of Nenduras follw-er activities will emphaise dliesemlties of the model and its Use no ter WoNagancee eavell as

other Central American euntrieseoin

The is formal opposition in principle to family Plaing octivitltetom to loendras The problem it snes is the sense of depepulatiee vi -vti the presence of Stghly populated Ii Salvador nearby In thip atmosphere It Vld see diffitlt toimpart a sne of urgency for soeving population growth rates i order to benefit the nation Individual hmn rights woud shythoe be the ealy point of argument for the met Still the CMWtAUl

MYP verb ohold serve ts hiAhlight sm of the important cofequemee ef rapid rowth rates In regard to the previotn of Gects) services d

the Wdl lagal esplicit fAmil plannIrA fopeoent it viii A Alloi etitsion to the beneflts of a tuational service deivor) proolL

kdwr~f aha llI teduntvar Ityrurricu Is The single University in -the

country lacks programs in several disciplines in the social sciences (for

example there is no RocloloSy Anthropology or Psychology) and provides CSUCA the no effective opportunity for research by faculty members

superior Council of Central American Universities apportioned several

regional Graduate programs among its members and Honduras was assigned

With attelle funding the Programthe Ecotouics and Planning Program sponsored a Ieogonl Central American Conference on Population and

Development in Hay 1979 attended by representatives from government agencies

Central America (037U0071l2) As a result of and universities throughout this conference a second one on Population Labor force and basic

Human Heeds wan later sponsored by the University of Costa Ricea with A proposal for a follow-up conferencepartial Sattelle PD support

on Population and the Environment in Central America is now being

developed by the University of Honduras

The USAID mission has expressed enthusiasm for both the CONSUPLANZ

project and the regional Conference on Population The staff of both

projects in turn has expressed satisfaction with the collaborative

support received from USAIP mission staff

In addition a proposal has been received from the newly formed Honduran

Association for Research on Population Inspired by Perus AMtIDP and

actively promoted by attelle PDP the Association is expected to be

the 4eduran member of the planned Central American Association for

Population Research (see section on Central America)

deg Work was completed on both Sattells PDP agreements with

Asooscn and r OO A045H701-02)

Salvador deteriorated last OctoberDe gTaflea Salvadorena (ADS) (POOISA01VIH701o0

before the politital situation in El The f(llowing three publications edited by Ales A Aloes Z

ADS

principal investigator emanated from the ADS projects and serve to

document much of the groundwork underway for population policy formation

and population research in El Salvadort

1 1 Edo4IfL (October 1978 356 pp)Powlo gln 2 es9arolloJ

u fltrsn e om tnfntoel ul---114tnbor 1974 143 pIp)

MIA 120lo IpeItiAuci(gfulfto PelNCItics Y tgaeelou lntedlolpln~rnIfero Pnl(August 1971 NOg pp)

toItabtilsed If and when the preset political situation in 1

Salvador hattelle tPo staff espects Or Rosa Jdith Clsneree

irector of MDSas called In Octobert199 withof July 079 will reschedule a meeting she

planners and resoarherts and representative of Internationalnational ADS project The meeting Vould evaluate

Sorgaisations hich funded Alenso

the projeets finding and repereussolns and suggest future ceursee of

action

4 Westna Central Amrica

Given th relative lmi of the Central Aneriaen countrie (especiallywith regard to their scientific coomunitie) and their historical and institutional links itwas decided that certain Battelle Pop aetivitiss be 4irected to the region as a whole

Stops have been taken conducive to Improved vommniration between populationspecialists In the region and the development of a regional Astociatton tor Research on Population Battelle PDP has wholly or partly funded regionalseminars on Population and Development (Honduras May 1979) and PopulationLabor Force andBasi Human Needs (Coa Rica October 1979) Discussions for the formtion of country associations and a regional link have been held with sroups from Gatoma I Honduras and Costa Rtca It to now intended that the regional association be housed under the Council of Central American Universities (CIUCA) vith initial participation frow those countriesPanamanian researchers hive exprosed an Interest to Battelle PDP far an association in their country whitle political events in Nicaragua end ItSalvador would suggest that these countries not receive concentrated

program activity for the moment

At the request of A14s Latin America Bureau attelle PD undertook an assessment of the tpact of illegal hexican miration upon the United states The investigation took the form of a stlte of the art report consisting of a systematic reviev of scholarly studies and an analysis of their contents bymajer categories vith special attention to the poliey-relevant findingsDuring the course of this work Battelle staff attempted to contact all persons In the United Ioates conducting serious research on the topic in order to Insure that the report be as comprehensive as possible

Sone significant flndins of this report ore as followu

iO - qUA- Depite an apparent cencurrenceaclosee mat o our mast utilized vstimatins techniques reveals a bread range of between 2 and S million Hniitian living Illegally in the US in the mido1970s

a 4Lfliuju Int contrast to studies suggesting that unshydocmented rre do met displaco eitison werke there i incireaing evidenc that seow job displacement does in (et ecwr The estt of this displaeenut depends upo the specific labor market

bull brylstola 115il1saI short-torm Illegal milgrants (seshytimesalled lttlo 01gjantsW) maintain a low profile and make limited Use of welfare health or edvuatie nal fneilitlo8 tonsshyterm utirants Millise social services much the same as citiens and letal roedent Little i known 4t the key team of what portion at the Nexlean migrant pepulattee reafins 10m4tlin the 1-

L

The full results appear as Battelle PRP WoriaPs N lS entitled The Impact of Undocumented Mexican Worker on the t Statesi A Critical Assessment (November 1979 pp 115 bibliography appendices) + -

Blsdes distribution within the Department of State and AID the report has been utilled by the folloving groupso IllsJoint US and Mexican Migration Working Group Washington D C and Mexico Cityamp the Select Comission on IImlgratlon and Refuge Policy Washington D C the California State Lagislature Hearings on Undocumented Mexican Migration Sacramento Califshyorni the San Diego County Board of Supervisors Task force on the Impact of illegal Migration on San Diegol and a joint US-Mcxican Policy Conference on Mexican Migration three locations California Center for Ethics and Social Policy Berkeley

Since Jean-Claude Duvalier assumed the presidency after his fathers death in 1971 foreign aid and governm~ent programs have Increased substantially in Haiti As part of that trend the Division dHygiene Familtaleo under the direction of Dr Ary lorde was establshed in 1971 as the first government-approved program to include Maternal and Child Health care and Family Planning Sine that time research on these eubjects has improved and brought a conropltant understanding of popultin dyamices in haitti

Y The Division I by law the only oranlsation which operates family planning activities Other small but related organtttlons have recently been created eS oroanisations concerned with the role of voaen In April 1979 Prestdemt for Life Duvalier made a statement in which he recognised the need to curb population growth both as a public health measure and as an adjunct to Hlitian economic developmenti this conern was repeated ina public speech InSeptember 1979

Many Haitians believe that nov is a good time to encourage awareness of popshyulatten issues The Preosidenta statements demonstrate a certain It yet undefined coitment to l1v population growth Family planning progrwms through the Division diygione Yalliale have been underway for several years and continue to expand through new channels such as househeld alA iomercial contraceptive distribution programs

The lecrtatrerie du Plan is currently preparing a five-year devlopment plan 19I14 During the past calendar year the plamins organization was rasled to cabinet-level status Slowly it is beginnng to take On in reality its dIu functions ef resource allocation and overall decision making These clilges make it all the mere imerative that population concerns enter met directly into the internaldeeision process Of what ti sv theI eretalrerie d Plan

In view ef the need to premte the recognition of population dynamics 4s a first $tep tovard their integration into development Battelle DP representsshytives V 11114 Mer 4vy and Anm Kubiloch traveled to Hiti In Nevember 1979 to consult with Dr ferdes planning officials uadCAID personnel to determine a framoverk for Siattois 1activitis in Haiti

++ + +++ +++ +S 9 ++ +________m____________________________

Meestings with the various roprosentatives identified support tor u b~tet t4 sponsored conference on Population Public Health and Development in Haiti currently scheduled to take place In late 190 The objective of the ceonfavese will be to bring together researchers government officials and program directors inorder to learn about and discuss population related issues The conference vuldprovide a forum for presentation of results from the heition Fertility Survey which could then serve as demograhic background for disculien e other ongoing and completed research endeavors inHaiti The Division d Hyltone Fautlialo i the most appropriate host tnatitution for the conference and Inpreparation Iattelle PDP plans to conduct a series of mnt-workshopsinorder to train the Division staff

The lattelle PDP sponsored analysis of the data from the Deschap) Jo region was capleteJ during the reprtitn period (PI00OAhtO6H07O) -The investigators have submitted a fellow-en proposal requstin8 fundinig for nine project papers which vill synthestie the results of their research

in the Deechapelles and Petit Goave areas (P0NAOOD)

Blatilelle DP currently developing a strategy paper for poulation and developnit asslstance to tgypt deslgned to prnote the utiliatin of population dynamics indevelopwnt planninl To this end the following subcentracts were Awarded during the reporting period

I Amiean University Celrol Workshop on gotial Research far Develepmot (PO57rYO)8 Dr $and cadalla

2 National Center for Soeieloacal and Criminological Research Catrnt Fertility Dyni r in Rural rgypt (POIAOLO)iDr Atof Rhalffa

Ale wder active coreidorati o ia

University of North Carolina Carolina Population Contert Ilrcalng Population Priority And Awareneo Aig Folitital And Cultural LeadershIp inEIypti Dr Abdei Oaran

Although e aettvitte were ueortaken in Jorde and Tunisia during this tim recent atttlle PVIear lat bureau meetinP have focused4n the eed for Battelle to itnlfltantly augment Its presone In the are Thereshytare prieuity will be Acerded to Rypt Turkey Jlrdan And Irte as Battelle PoP unands its actlvities InNorth Africa and the Near test

2I trCoitutriesl Brazil Nepal

awarded a subcontract to the AfsoclactooBra51151a doBattelle PDP hean Estudoo Populaitiona s (PO55BRO06) to publish aniddistribute the proceedings of a conference hed inOctober 1978 entitled IEncontro Nacional do

Dr Elsa Berquo isthe principal investigatorEstudos Populacion4ta

At the request of tne AIDMission Battelle PDP sent two technicians to to develop a film and to effect subcontractNepal inNovemberiDecemsber

activities on population and development issues Due to the extended nature

of their vipet (through mid-January) details of the trip will bu reported

later inBattelle PDs Trip Report series and subsequent Annual Report

1i1 MULTI-COUNTRY SUPPORT ACTIVITIES

A CUDICRS V)gJja

During the teporting period the design of this project underwent revision

Originally the focus wasn a hemispheric conference to encourage government to initiate commercial and comuunity-based family planningpolicyuaketr

lattells PDP undertook to arrange for seven presentations atservices the conference five reporting on major CBICRS projects inCentral and

South America and two reviewing and critiquing currentCBD and CRS activities

throughout the region These presentations prepared by Latin American experts the basisfor discussion of thewith Battelle DPassistancewere to serve as

utility and viability of such projects first at two small regional workshops for project manager contemplating similar activities and then after further

revision at a major meeting for poltymakers to be hosted by the Mexican

government

In line with the Initial plan seven Latin American experts identiAfied and assisted by Battelle D prepared reports on existing CUD and CKS projects and presented then inAugust 1979 at two workshops organised by Development

Associates Inc one inthDominican Republicand the other inColombia

The workhope did spark interest on the part of participants from three other Hooevertdicuesion with governshyeouptries inconsidtrins similar programs

ment officials cteal scientists and additional experts inthe field led

Battelle PD to suggest that an alternative and more effective mechanism for

extending distslbution of contraceptives in the region would be a publication presenters inassembling the collective experience and expertise of the seven

document could help convince policymakers planners healthone volume Ruch a administrators and program managers that CD and CAS progeraming on a large

cle hap proven to be a safe and acceptable approach to family planning in

both urban and rural coimunitiea toawell as provided how to do program guidelines

-13-

AccordinglyL BattelleiPDP developed and began to implement inthe remaining

experts will work intensively withthe presenters to revise and expand the

scope of their presentations through additional information data and analysis

B Assistance to the USAIDSudan CDSS (CountryDevelopment Strathay Statement)

In an effort to strengthen the analyses of population growth dynamice vis-a-vim the econoac development priorities of LDCs and AIDAfrica field missions the

Africa Bureau provided technical assistance to several sub-Sahara based missions in the preparation of their 1982 Country Development Strategy Statements With the concurrence of AIDSudan Battelle PVP dispatched two staff officials to Khartoum for two weeks in December 1979 Battelle PDPs analynis of the poor in Sudan and its overall input for the Sudan CDSS is contained in Trip Report 054

C Egypt - Population and Developmen Policy Pa er

At the request of AIDs Near East Bureau a policy paper on population and development dynamics in fgypt was prepared Thin document was used to orient Bureau officials on related events and patterns in Egypt and as a briefing paper for the Egypt consultative group meetings

D AfrIca-Initiatives

In concert with the Africa Bureaus strategy for population assistance to sub-Saharan Africa (reported in Battelle PDPs 1978-79 Annual Report Battelle intends to pursue popilation and development objectives in twelve (12)

countries (including Nigeria) designated as priority We have submitted at the Africa Bureaus request an abstract which outline the preparation of 1 country profiles entitled Assess Status of African Attitudes and Recommendations via-a-vis AID Population Assistance to Africa One outshystanding feature of this proposed activity Is the establishment of an African Advisory Committee on Population Assistance

-14shyP

IV OOUNT(Y PROJECT SUPPORTACTIVITIES---

A Proposal Development Review Process

As proposals are submitted to the Battelle PDP Program Battelle PD staff review them thoroughly for technical quality and program relevance In order to facilitate this complexs review procedure a Management Information System (MIS) has been created which documents each of the three Major steps required for all proposalat Project Development Activities Proposal Technical Review and Processing and Subcontract status

The Project Development Activities section shows trips made by Battelle PDP

staff the proposals related to each-trip and their receipt date Request included as well as travel and tripand concurence date for each trip are

report dates During the reporting period Battelle PDP staff made 10 trips to 11 countries

The Proposal Review Process section demonstrates specific steps required of are recorded as proposals enter each phases acknowltdgi

-Dateseach proposal ment and summary monitor and Battelle PDP staff review AIDPOP approval USAID (Mission) approval subcontract writing and signing This section also

sh wnvvhen and at which step proposals have been rejected or referred proposals submitted to Battelle PD receive a thorough review for technical quality and contractual specificity During the reporting period 15 proposals

4 have been funded 5 are currently under consideration~were reviewed of these for funding 2were rejected and 4 were referred

The section describing Subcontract Status indicates start and completion dates of subcontracts and due dates and receipt dates for both progress reports

Trom June 1977 through December 1979 64 proposals wereand final reports received by Rattelle PDPI 23 have become subcontracts obligating a total of

$665900 5 remain under consideration for funding-and 36 have been rejected or referred (see Table 1)

The MIS allows Battelle POP staff to identify clearly the processing stage of any proposal at any time This information has served to point out bottleshynecks which habitually delay the efficient processing of proposals and implementation of a project

--

Table I

PROJECT-TV-DATE SLWM O PROPOSAL ACTIVITY

June 1977- December 1979

Iroposays funded Under Rejectd or Country -~ ~ ~ Consideration Rfre

- o o1000) _~1000)-3ratl 3 8751 60 2 811

Chile 2 -- - - 2 -

Colombia 4 3256 1 27 - 3 297

Cost Rica 1 36 1 3

Ecuador S 2262 1 11 2 1289 2 66C

Egypt 3 1332 2 543 1 789 - shy

31 Salvador 4 610 2 573 -- - 2 237

customs 10 2917 5 1275 -- -- 5 1642

Haiti 2 1432 1 672 1 7860

Honduras 4 527 2 158 -- 2 369

Kopal 2 71)3- - 1 90 1 623 Nigeria 3 132j -- - -- - 3 132 Pakisatan 2 887 shy f-~ - - 2 88 Peru 14 4966 6 M)0 - 8 2416

Philippines 1 133 -- -- -1 133

s5 Total$ 64 1242401 23 AMS S 29481 31 1463

-16-

B Battelle PDP Fellows Program

The Battelle PDp Fllowis program isdesigned to increase the effectiveness of LDC decisionmakers who reside temporarily in the US for research or

training The program gives moderate financial assistance of up to $1500 to LDC dectsionmakers to facilitate their research and writing during their

periods of USresidence In addition PDP Fellows are brought together

with the Battelle PDP staff toediscuss at semiannual workshops the population policy implications of their research for their home countries

Funds provided to the Fellows may be used for computer costs research toassistance manuscript typing and limited travel within the US

professional meetings No stipends for maintenance are provided

Since its inception the Fellows Program has provideJ support for 19

Fellows Those completing their stays in the US have finished five

doctoral dissertations two MPH degrees and a number of research papers Five Fellows have returned tofor publication In their borne countries

their home countries and are working in population related activities

DrPL Joshi is Director of Research Planning and Evaluation for the

epat Drs Bayona Saravia and Alauddin havePopulation Commission of returned to teaching posts Elena Hurtado and Claudia Lecaros have resumed

research activities In9Guatemal and Colombi Two Fellows Teresa HO and

Helena Rib have been acepto to the Young Professionals program at the

World Bank and M Nisamuddin is currently on a short-term mission to Somalia for the Carolina Population Laboratories Several Fellows have

published articles in 1979 Including

Teresa Measuring Time Costs of Child Rearing In the Philippineo

Poplation and Development Review 514

and tconomic Change Battelle P orkingRio Roberto Family Sis Paper 13

Karim Nehtab 3ocioeconomic and Cultural Aspects of Marriage and

Fertility in Urban Pakistan task-West Population Institute

Pager 64

1attelle PD has designated certain of its Follows as Ovlrnla Follows in the U andIndicating that they have completed their residence

returned to their hoe country or they have Completed the intensive phase of their relationship with lattello pD rellows program and have accepted

now professional duties- attelle POP does in any ease send materials concerning the ellows progrm to all its current and Overseas Fellows

of intellectualwith the objective of maintaining and esnarging this network exchange long after the Fellows have returned to their roles as decisionshy

makern on population issues in their own coumtries

-17-

Battelle PDP Fellow

jMohsuuad AIAUVDIN Bangladesh ISWR Dacca Univereityl PhD Population Planning University of Michigan

Dr Alauddin completed his doctoral work in May 1979 on rural developshy

mnt and family planning behavior in Bangladesh villages His work as based

on the Bangladesh WFS data in combination with area data on rural fertility

He has returned to his administrative and teaching position with the Dacca University Institute of Social Welfare and Rsearch

Alberto BAYONAS Colombia Universidad Javerianat Fulbright Visiting Professhy

sor of Sociology Tulane University

Dr Bayonae study of population has included analysis of the 1973

census data on contextual factors influencing fertility and mortality in

Colombia He has nov returned to his post as Director of $ocial Studies at

Javerians University in Bogota

Melinda BACOL-MO TLLA Philippines NCSOg PhD candidate Sociology Utah

State University

Ms Bacol-Montilla began writing her dissertation on ethnolinguistic Her work is based on thegroup differentials in the Philippines in 1979

1973 National Demographic Survey

ur EZEKWK Nigeria

has focused her studies on marital patterns includingtMS Esekwe at marriage (IMAM) in selected Africanestimation of singulate mean age

countries assessing a reliable measure of marital patterns among European and non-European populations and the effect of bride price an fertility

hiu l Bangladesh University of Chittagonli PhD candidate - -ch of Education University of Michigan

was a student of Everett Rogers He received a Ford Foundation grant for five

Mr Haider became interested in population education while he

onmonths of field study in Bangladesh (Dec 78- May 79) to Bather data

nonformal population education programs associated with the integrated rural to the University of ichtdevelopment program He has recently returned

tan and is scheduled to complete his dissertation work in December 1979

anilal PhDTeresa JO Philippines University of the Philippines

candidate Food Research Institute Stanford University

Me No is investigating foale labor fore participation drawing on

Filipino data such as the tlma Multipurpose Household survey in which she

assisted as well so the andlMlysia surveys Upon finlshin8 her dissertashytion in April 1980 she will join the World lank in the Young Professioals

program In December 1979 Ma Mo published am article Msauring Time

Costs of Child Rearing inthe Philippines in gPoulatio and Devlopoetl

Overseas Fellows

GW INCA and Pu cHealth University of California Los Anampee

aHurtadooind ho-fa1owsproaramvhils-e avs tudyina-at UCLA

lin HD uatemala VSAIDGuatenalot MPH4 candidate School Of

where she wrote on determinants of use and Intended us of modern coetracepshytton in traditional and modern village of Guatemala InJuly of197$ she returned to Gustemals where she worked on an AID evaluation of family planning program In I1Quiche She isamong the firat of the PDP allows to return to her country and begin to contribute to policy development

L jOHIM Itepal esoarch ampad Ivaluation 1IQ ltnistry of Health Government of lepalPhD itastatstics University of California lerkley Dr Joahi completed his doctoral work inJune 1979 on the evaluation

of fatmly planning contination rates Nis research was based on data from the Nepal IS Ne has recently returned to his positton a director of re search planning and evaluation for the Population Comission of Nepal and he ebttted a proposal for PW fndin to Anilyss data on mternal and child health InNepal

a htab Pakiltan Institute of Developmest nocmies Qaid Al an U rItyi PhD Candidateo SocloLy Cornell Universlty

Mr WrIN has viittoe on age at marriagO and fertility inPakistan using data free the Nlational Impact Survey for his doctoral work he to developing a project with I the Sysod of the Population Pilenins Costenson and Profaeor Peter Slth on the female life cycle from monrche to first parturition Ne has Just publishd Secoen mc and Cultural Aspects of

rriage 4n PeitilY tn Urban Pakistan through the hatVetdeg leatitato d pians to complete his dissertation tn Spring log0

-- A Colombis Universdad do to Adeel PhD Scheol of Ucatiml S-Ita atv roltyfrO

or locares wrete her diesertation On education dovelopmet and incom Inl rural Celembia Ner work is based an data draw fromi the 1913 onsum and the Agrarian Cemleus of 1910-71 She returned to the Umiversidad do lee asdea Cele nas in0 eteOer 1978

JII OM Pakistan Ppulatte plamaing Cnteslt lalmabd PhD ulaioPlon holveraity of Mightn

is 191 tDr IiamddIn iished his dissearation the aeeptability ot faally planimg itrural Pakista So direteild the Pakistan Fertility Survey as Deputy Diretor of the Populatiu Planns Coissie snd analyced that dataF his doetoral eeare e I currently a Shert-term misa1Lim te SeMeli for the Carolina Poplaties lob

pound ailm 15 and NanaemeatE Philippines College of Develepaset 9eonsees aivr 17 C the lPili PhD candidate I eesice Vale UaivorlI lsont Alty

me qwiu stJene the POP follews Program ioJune 1919 She Isworkshytnl wits data fro the Lagima ad Steel Surveys to 0ema1n the Lber supply in the Philippnlse

Imctute

PhD nLdiddte schl of public eilth Karvard ilvers ty

Mrs Raymand to werktag with date (trm tho niliPPIn Satiftsl DOshygraphic Survey of 19) Rho i eganinlng postparLm t

GiMsa RJ A Phillppiei i oerty W1 the Phllptsi r ltwatiO

enoorrhea breasfeodnll

f bull bull bull bull bull - l

practice socioeconomic differential and their relationships to fortilityi lihe plantia completeherdiaertationin Jne 1990

ejlena R Colombia Univerldad do Jos Andes logota PhD Economics University

Msi Ribs completed het dissertation on the consequences of migration in Colombia in October 1979 She Is currently working on a postdoctoral research project on fertility aspects of the 1973 census Ma Ribs has been selected to join the Young Professionals program at the World Bank

Robertol0e Peru Univereidad do gan Harcost PhD candidate Columbia svermity 14

Mr Rios is In the last phase of completion of a doctoral dissertation eamning ocular trends In mortality and fertility In Latin America He haos noted in his work a mote rapid fertility decline than was typical of the Eushy

ropean demolraphic transition Mr Rios recently contributed 1PW Working Paper 913 entitled Family Site and Economic Change

lgnira MSYZi21 CkGatmala Instituto do Nutriclon de Centro Aaerica y anma (INCA) Guatemala City PhD candidate School of Public Health University of California Los Angeles

Ms Rosenhouse Is writing her dissertation on the evaluation of the validity of attitudinal survey data on fertility-related topics adminisshytared i Guatela Nter work is based on the INCAP-AXD data and focuses primarily on doetted family ise

JsL1AMVampA Colombia Univereidad del Vll del Caucal PhD Land Tenure Center University of Wisconsin Madison

Dr Saravia coploted his doctoral work In 1971 on rural development and health status in Colombia He ueed data from a 1973 health and nutrition survey Ne has returned to his faculty position in the School af Economies iniversidad del Vails del Caous

2911hotu L oJBrasil Iatitute Getull Vargas PhD candidate teshyi 7nosteUiversity of ChicagoJ

Mr sedlacek joined tle POP allows progrm im October 1971 shortly after he began work en a stud- of fertility and wmons work patterns In Brasil and the US with JamoeHeckia and the Stanford Research Institute No Intends to adapt economttii modeling techniques ho t currently developshyn to use on survey data fro eoaulo Brasil

la MUAP Nepeli PhD adidat Population Studies ad Training Center

grown University

FDP Fellw hapa s Frtility survey Of 1974 us carried out the initial parof the research

at the Rest-Vest Cater and has returned to rown University to complete his dissertation in September 1910 is research currently underway concerns estimating trends and levels of Infant mortality and fertility

As the novst Mr I analysing data tree the Sepal

-20

IsttelriP Vokpra~~-c--

Battelle pDp staff and Yellos are encouraged to submit papers for The foloingincorporation Into the Battelle PD Working Paper seies

papers have been issued to date

AlMtLL PDKiUna Iufi

Title Authow(s) Date

ChanOle UP Heareesep Ot Is ThirhouIptan foetility

I 1041i0camOo$ ond family Plsnnisu

Nfi l2 BoxDifeoso Itthe Wsteot to i P 1tle OctIo A4gotlu si Owlelo in C Yarrolil Clas n$lt

J aiSNRIal Guatemsala 1pound11

14

olt iIConsequence 0Mo0llos to S ahCentitbution of Auihroelogsts to VCetoe vI

ot Iamp Velltell p~ |t13lNeceove NisPopltie evele V Ntlpm[ ga It 4 l afliiplatt - Note Punittenm lat Anlst$ V1tteteooy fobIt shy

tleferilityp MWAsols4 later- J lltlt robt7 eatol ind~t Variables fit 5~t Afab Cowmttto

I I The Impe of uralt pitqPM so lt WV letI Kay to

pliteti otth CA Crrsie A i Sashil

May 19I LaePlaifiteaiea 4d Weeleore Numasseew g Peubda goost le itatePOistIeleis

i t May ItiNCtle rtil JnitAli

ISMS to 1 l t t ilatVariables Al

isatal 11i1tt

it The~w to1OfS e e a e t Phte g 5 I 4P sot Hpdel JunA1oi Th eeLatin A erte s Su I il

I lit o f Usual Union tuaotet 1 Alsn JI

t aillttel

Change A Rios et toI r)eally it ampn toonwmto it14 Plt IIIa PorTuitc4nd Reality vile 1311i1101o bull

CA Cctvise I

335 Close Weeit ethe Uitd Steill A ctititl ampos4$- JA 1enioto The losses of iUdenem40 Nealtae mocers

S - aunt ) bull

Page 11: vBallelle - United States Agency for International

kdwr~f aha llI teduntvar Ityrurricu Is The single University in -the

country lacks programs in several disciplines in the social sciences (for

example there is no RocloloSy Anthropology or Psychology) and provides CSUCA the no effective opportunity for research by faculty members

superior Council of Central American Universities apportioned several

regional Graduate programs among its members and Honduras was assigned

With attelle funding the Programthe Ecotouics and Planning Program sponsored a Ieogonl Central American Conference on Population and

Development in Hay 1979 attended by representatives from government agencies

Central America (037U0071l2) As a result of and universities throughout this conference a second one on Population Labor force and basic

Human Heeds wan later sponsored by the University of Costa Ricea with A proposal for a follow-up conferencepartial Sattelle PD support

on Population and the Environment in Central America is now being

developed by the University of Honduras

The USAID mission has expressed enthusiasm for both the CONSUPLANZ

project and the regional Conference on Population The staff of both

projects in turn has expressed satisfaction with the collaborative

support received from USAIP mission staff

In addition a proposal has been received from the newly formed Honduran

Association for Research on Population Inspired by Perus AMtIDP and

actively promoted by attelle PDP the Association is expected to be

the 4eduran member of the planned Central American Association for

Population Research (see section on Central America)

deg Work was completed on both Sattells PDP agreements with

Asooscn and r OO A045H701-02)

Salvador deteriorated last OctoberDe gTaflea Salvadorena (ADS) (POOISA01VIH701o0

before the politital situation in El The f(llowing three publications edited by Ales A Aloes Z

ADS

principal investigator emanated from the ADS projects and serve to

document much of the groundwork underway for population policy formation

and population research in El Salvadort

1 1 Edo4IfL (October 1978 356 pp)Powlo gln 2 es9arolloJ

u fltrsn e om tnfntoel ul---114tnbor 1974 143 pIp)

MIA 120lo IpeItiAuci(gfulfto PelNCItics Y tgaeelou lntedlolpln~rnIfero Pnl(August 1971 NOg pp)

toItabtilsed If and when the preset political situation in 1

Salvador hattelle tPo staff espects Or Rosa Jdith Clsneree

irector of MDSas called In Octobert199 withof July 079 will reschedule a meeting she

planners and resoarherts and representative of Internationalnational ADS project The meeting Vould evaluate

Sorgaisations hich funded Alenso

the projeets finding and repereussolns and suggest future ceursee of

action

4 Westna Central Amrica

Given th relative lmi of the Central Aneriaen countrie (especiallywith regard to their scientific coomunitie) and their historical and institutional links itwas decided that certain Battelle Pop aetivitiss be 4irected to the region as a whole

Stops have been taken conducive to Improved vommniration between populationspecialists In the region and the development of a regional Astociatton tor Research on Population Battelle PDP has wholly or partly funded regionalseminars on Population and Development (Honduras May 1979) and PopulationLabor Force andBasi Human Needs (Coa Rica October 1979) Discussions for the formtion of country associations and a regional link have been held with sroups from Gatoma I Honduras and Costa Rtca It to now intended that the regional association be housed under the Council of Central American Universities (CIUCA) vith initial participation frow those countriesPanamanian researchers hive exprosed an Interest to Battelle PDP far an association in their country whitle political events in Nicaragua end ItSalvador would suggest that these countries not receive concentrated

program activity for the moment

At the request of A14s Latin America Bureau attelle PD undertook an assessment of the tpact of illegal hexican miration upon the United states The investigation took the form of a stlte of the art report consisting of a systematic reviev of scholarly studies and an analysis of their contents bymajer categories vith special attention to the poliey-relevant findingsDuring the course of this work Battelle staff attempted to contact all persons In the United Ioates conducting serious research on the topic in order to Insure that the report be as comprehensive as possible

Sone significant flndins of this report ore as followu

iO - qUA- Depite an apparent cencurrenceaclosee mat o our mast utilized vstimatins techniques reveals a bread range of between 2 and S million Hniitian living Illegally in the US in the mido1970s

a 4Lfliuju Int contrast to studies suggesting that unshydocmented rre do met displaco eitison werke there i incireaing evidenc that seow job displacement does in (et ecwr The estt of this displaeenut depends upo the specific labor market

bull brylstola 115il1saI short-torm Illegal milgrants (seshytimesalled lttlo 01gjantsW) maintain a low profile and make limited Use of welfare health or edvuatie nal fneilitlo8 tonsshyterm utirants Millise social services much the same as citiens and letal roedent Little i known 4t the key team of what portion at the Nexlean migrant pepulattee reafins 10m4tlin the 1-

L

The full results appear as Battelle PRP WoriaPs N lS entitled The Impact of Undocumented Mexican Worker on the t Statesi A Critical Assessment (November 1979 pp 115 bibliography appendices) + -

Blsdes distribution within the Department of State and AID the report has been utilled by the folloving groupso IllsJoint US and Mexican Migration Working Group Washington D C and Mexico Cityamp the Select Comission on IImlgratlon and Refuge Policy Washington D C the California State Lagislature Hearings on Undocumented Mexican Migration Sacramento Califshyorni the San Diego County Board of Supervisors Task force on the Impact of illegal Migration on San Diegol and a joint US-Mcxican Policy Conference on Mexican Migration three locations California Center for Ethics and Social Policy Berkeley

Since Jean-Claude Duvalier assumed the presidency after his fathers death in 1971 foreign aid and governm~ent programs have Increased substantially in Haiti As part of that trend the Division dHygiene Familtaleo under the direction of Dr Ary lorde was establshed in 1971 as the first government-approved program to include Maternal and Child Health care and Family Planning Sine that time research on these eubjects has improved and brought a conropltant understanding of popultin dyamices in haitti

Y The Division I by law the only oranlsation which operates family planning activities Other small but related organtttlons have recently been created eS oroanisations concerned with the role of voaen In April 1979 Prestdemt for Life Duvalier made a statement in which he recognised the need to curb population growth both as a public health measure and as an adjunct to Hlitian economic developmenti this conern was repeated ina public speech InSeptember 1979

Many Haitians believe that nov is a good time to encourage awareness of popshyulatten issues The Preosidenta statements demonstrate a certain It yet undefined coitment to l1v population growth Family planning progrwms through the Division diygione Yalliale have been underway for several years and continue to expand through new channels such as househeld alA iomercial contraceptive distribution programs

The lecrtatrerie du Plan is currently preparing a five-year devlopment plan 19I14 During the past calendar year the plamins organization was rasled to cabinet-level status Slowly it is beginnng to take On in reality its dIu functions ef resource allocation and overall decision making These clilges make it all the mere imerative that population concerns enter met directly into the internaldeeision process Of what ti sv theI eretalrerie d Plan

In view ef the need to premte the recognition of population dynamics 4s a first $tep tovard their integration into development Battelle DP representsshytives V 11114 Mer 4vy and Anm Kubiloch traveled to Hiti In Nevember 1979 to consult with Dr ferdes planning officials uadCAID personnel to determine a framoverk for Siattois 1activitis in Haiti

++ + +++ +++ +S 9 ++ +________m____________________________

Meestings with the various roprosentatives identified support tor u b~tet t4 sponsored conference on Population Public Health and Development in Haiti currently scheduled to take place In late 190 The objective of the ceonfavese will be to bring together researchers government officials and program directors inorder to learn about and discuss population related issues The conference vuldprovide a forum for presentation of results from the heition Fertility Survey which could then serve as demograhic background for disculien e other ongoing and completed research endeavors inHaiti The Division d Hyltone Fautlialo i the most appropriate host tnatitution for the conference and Inpreparation Iattelle PDP plans to conduct a series of mnt-workshopsinorder to train the Division staff

The lattelle PDP sponsored analysis of the data from the Deschap) Jo region was capleteJ during the reprtitn period (PI00OAhtO6H07O) -The investigators have submitted a fellow-en proposal requstin8 fundinig for nine project papers which vill synthestie the results of their research

in the Deechapelles and Petit Goave areas (P0NAOOD)

Blatilelle DP currently developing a strategy paper for poulation and developnit asslstance to tgypt deslgned to prnote the utiliatin of population dynamics indevelopwnt planninl To this end the following subcentracts were Awarded during the reporting period

I Amiean University Celrol Workshop on gotial Research far Develepmot (PO57rYO)8 Dr $and cadalla

2 National Center for Soeieloacal and Criminological Research Catrnt Fertility Dyni r in Rural rgypt (POIAOLO)iDr Atof Rhalffa

Ale wder active coreidorati o ia

University of North Carolina Carolina Population Contert Ilrcalng Population Priority And Awareneo Aig Folitital And Cultural LeadershIp inEIypti Dr Abdei Oaran

Although e aettvitte were ueortaken in Jorde and Tunisia during this tim recent atttlle PVIear lat bureau meetinP have focused4n the eed for Battelle to itnlfltantly augment Its presone In the are Thereshytare prieuity will be Acerded to Rypt Turkey Jlrdan And Irte as Battelle PoP unands its actlvities InNorth Africa and the Near test

2I trCoitutriesl Brazil Nepal

awarded a subcontract to the AfsoclactooBra51151a doBattelle PDP hean Estudoo Populaitiona s (PO55BRO06) to publish aniddistribute the proceedings of a conference hed inOctober 1978 entitled IEncontro Nacional do

Dr Elsa Berquo isthe principal investigatorEstudos Populacion4ta

At the request of tne AIDMission Battelle PDP sent two technicians to to develop a film and to effect subcontractNepal inNovemberiDecemsber

activities on population and development issues Due to the extended nature

of their vipet (through mid-January) details of the trip will bu reported

later inBattelle PDs Trip Report series and subsequent Annual Report

1i1 MULTI-COUNTRY SUPPORT ACTIVITIES

A CUDICRS V)gJja

During the teporting period the design of this project underwent revision

Originally the focus wasn a hemispheric conference to encourage government to initiate commercial and comuunity-based family planningpolicyuaketr

lattells PDP undertook to arrange for seven presentations atservices the conference five reporting on major CBICRS projects inCentral and

South America and two reviewing and critiquing currentCBD and CRS activities

throughout the region These presentations prepared by Latin American experts the basisfor discussion of thewith Battelle DPassistancewere to serve as

utility and viability of such projects first at two small regional workshops for project manager contemplating similar activities and then after further

revision at a major meeting for poltymakers to be hosted by the Mexican

government

In line with the Initial plan seven Latin American experts identiAfied and assisted by Battelle D prepared reports on existing CUD and CKS projects and presented then inAugust 1979 at two workshops organised by Development

Associates Inc one inthDominican Republicand the other inColombia

The workhope did spark interest on the part of participants from three other Hooevertdicuesion with governshyeouptries inconsidtrins similar programs

ment officials cteal scientists and additional experts inthe field led

Battelle PD to suggest that an alternative and more effective mechanism for

extending distslbution of contraceptives in the region would be a publication presenters inassembling the collective experience and expertise of the seven

document could help convince policymakers planners healthone volume Ruch a administrators and program managers that CD and CAS progeraming on a large

cle hap proven to be a safe and acceptable approach to family planning in

both urban and rural coimunitiea toawell as provided how to do program guidelines

-13-

AccordinglyL BattelleiPDP developed and began to implement inthe remaining

experts will work intensively withthe presenters to revise and expand the

scope of their presentations through additional information data and analysis

B Assistance to the USAIDSudan CDSS (CountryDevelopment Strathay Statement)

In an effort to strengthen the analyses of population growth dynamice vis-a-vim the econoac development priorities of LDCs and AIDAfrica field missions the

Africa Bureau provided technical assistance to several sub-Sahara based missions in the preparation of their 1982 Country Development Strategy Statements With the concurrence of AIDSudan Battelle PVP dispatched two staff officials to Khartoum for two weeks in December 1979 Battelle PDPs analynis of the poor in Sudan and its overall input for the Sudan CDSS is contained in Trip Report 054

C Egypt - Population and Developmen Policy Pa er

At the request of AIDs Near East Bureau a policy paper on population and development dynamics in fgypt was prepared Thin document was used to orient Bureau officials on related events and patterns in Egypt and as a briefing paper for the Egypt consultative group meetings

D AfrIca-Initiatives

In concert with the Africa Bureaus strategy for population assistance to sub-Saharan Africa (reported in Battelle PDPs 1978-79 Annual Report Battelle intends to pursue popilation and development objectives in twelve (12)

countries (including Nigeria) designated as priority We have submitted at the Africa Bureaus request an abstract which outline the preparation of 1 country profiles entitled Assess Status of African Attitudes and Recommendations via-a-vis AID Population Assistance to Africa One outshystanding feature of this proposed activity Is the establishment of an African Advisory Committee on Population Assistance

-14shyP

IV OOUNT(Y PROJECT SUPPORTACTIVITIES---

A Proposal Development Review Process

As proposals are submitted to the Battelle PDP Program Battelle PD staff review them thoroughly for technical quality and program relevance In order to facilitate this complexs review procedure a Management Information System (MIS) has been created which documents each of the three Major steps required for all proposalat Project Development Activities Proposal Technical Review and Processing and Subcontract status

The Project Development Activities section shows trips made by Battelle PDP

staff the proposals related to each-trip and their receipt date Request included as well as travel and tripand concurence date for each trip are

report dates During the reporting period Battelle PDP staff made 10 trips to 11 countries

The Proposal Review Process section demonstrates specific steps required of are recorded as proposals enter each phases acknowltdgi

-Dateseach proposal ment and summary monitor and Battelle PDP staff review AIDPOP approval USAID (Mission) approval subcontract writing and signing This section also

sh wnvvhen and at which step proposals have been rejected or referred proposals submitted to Battelle PD receive a thorough review for technical quality and contractual specificity During the reporting period 15 proposals

4 have been funded 5 are currently under consideration~were reviewed of these for funding 2were rejected and 4 were referred

The section describing Subcontract Status indicates start and completion dates of subcontracts and due dates and receipt dates for both progress reports

Trom June 1977 through December 1979 64 proposals wereand final reports received by Rattelle PDPI 23 have become subcontracts obligating a total of

$665900 5 remain under consideration for funding-and 36 have been rejected or referred (see Table 1)

The MIS allows Battelle POP staff to identify clearly the processing stage of any proposal at any time This information has served to point out bottleshynecks which habitually delay the efficient processing of proposals and implementation of a project

--

Table I

PROJECT-TV-DATE SLWM O PROPOSAL ACTIVITY

June 1977- December 1979

Iroposays funded Under Rejectd or Country -~ ~ ~ Consideration Rfre

- o o1000) _~1000)-3ratl 3 8751 60 2 811

Chile 2 -- - - 2 -

Colombia 4 3256 1 27 - 3 297

Cost Rica 1 36 1 3

Ecuador S 2262 1 11 2 1289 2 66C

Egypt 3 1332 2 543 1 789 - shy

31 Salvador 4 610 2 573 -- - 2 237

customs 10 2917 5 1275 -- -- 5 1642

Haiti 2 1432 1 672 1 7860

Honduras 4 527 2 158 -- 2 369

Kopal 2 71)3- - 1 90 1 623 Nigeria 3 132j -- - -- - 3 132 Pakisatan 2 887 shy f-~ - - 2 88 Peru 14 4966 6 M)0 - 8 2416

Philippines 1 133 -- -- -1 133

s5 Total$ 64 1242401 23 AMS S 29481 31 1463

-16-

B Battelle PDP Fellows Program

The Battelle PDp Fllowis program isdesigned to increase the effectiveness of LDC decisionmakers who reside temporarily in the US for research or

training The program gives moderate financial assistance of up to $1500 to LDC dectsionmakers to facilitate their research and writing during their

periods of USresidence In addition PDP Fellows are brought together

with the Battelle PDP staff toediscuss at semiannual workshops the population policy implications of their research for their home countries

Funds provided to the Fellows may be used for computer costs research toassistance manuscript typing and limited travel within the US

professional meetings No stipends for maintenance are provided

Since its inception the Fellows Program has provideJ support for 19

Fellows Those completing their stays in the US have finished five

doctoral dissertations two MPH degrees and a number of research papers Five Fellows have returned tofor publication In their borne countries

their home countries and are working in population related activities

DrPL Joshi is Director of Research Planning and Evaluation for the

epat Drs Bayona Saravia and Alauddin havePopulation Commission of returned to teaching posts Elena Hurtado and Claudia Lecaros have resumed

research activities In9Guatemal and Colombi Two Fellows Teresa HO and

Helena Rib have been acepto to the Young Professionals program at the

World Bank and M Nisamuddin is currently on a short-term mission to Somalia for the Carolina Population Laboratories Several Fellows have

published articles in 1979 Including

Teresa Measuring Time Costs of Child Rearing In the Philippineo

Poplation and Development Review 514

and tconomic Change Battelle P orkingRio Roberto Family Sis Paper 13

Karim Nehtab 3ocioeconomic and Cultural Aspects of Marriage and

Fertility in Urban Pakistan task-West Population Institute

Pager 64

1attelle PD has designated certain of its Follows as Ovlrnla Follows in the U andIndicating that they have completed their residence

returned to their hoe country or they have Completed the intensive phase of their relationship with lattello pD rellows program and have accepted

now professional duties- attelle POP does in any ease send materials concerning the ellows progrm to all its current and Overseas Fellows

of intellectualwith the objective of maintaining and esnarging this network exchange long after the Fellows have returned to their roles as decisionshy

makern on population issues in their own coumtries

-17-

Battelle PDP Fellow

jMohsuuad AIAUVDIN Bangladesh ISWR Dacca Univereityl PhD Population Planning University of Michigan

Dr Alauddin completed his doctoral work in May 1979 on rural developshy

mnt and family planning behavior in Bangladesh villages His work as based

on the Bangladesh WFS data in combination with area data on rural fertility

He has returned to his administrative and teaching position with the Dacca University Institute of Social Welfare and Rsearch

Alberto BAYONAS Colombia Universidad Javerianat Fulbright Visiting Professhy

sor of Sociology Tulane University

Dr Bayonae study of population has included analysis of the 1973

census data on contextual factors influencing fertility and mortality in

Colombia He has nov returned to his post as Director of $ocial Studies at

Javerians University in Bogota

Melinda BACOL-MO TLLA Philippines NCSOg PhD candidate Sociology Utah

State University

Ms Bacol-Montilla began writing her dissertation on ethnolinguistic Her work is based on thegroup differentials in the Philippines in 1979

1973 National Demographic Survey

ur EZEKWK Nigeria

has focused her studies on marital patterns includingtMS Esekwe at marriage (IMAM) in selected Africanestimation of singulate mean age

countries assessing a reliable measure of marital patterns among European and non-European populations and the effect of bride price an fertility

hiu l Bangladesh University of Chittagonli PhD candidate - -ch of Education University of Michigan

was a student of Everett Rogers He received a Ford Foundation grant for five

Mr Haider became interested in population education while he

onmonths of field study in Bangladesh (Dec 78- May 79) to Bather data

nonformal population education programs associated with the integrated rural to the University of ichtdevelopment program He has recently returned

tan and is scheduled to complete his dissertation work in December 1979

anilal PhDTeresa JO Philippines University of the Philippines

candidate Food Research Institute Stanford University

Me No is investigating foale labor fore participation drawing on

Filipino data such as the tlma Multipurpose Household survey in which she

assisted as well so the andlMlysia surveys Upon finlshin8 her dissertashytion in April 1980 she will join the World lank in the Young Professioals

program In December 1979 Ma Mo published am article Msauring Time

Costs of Child Rearing inthe Philippines in gPoulatio and Devlopoetl

Overseas Fellows

GW INCA and Pu cHealth University of California Los Anampee

aHurtadooind ho-fa1owsproaramvhils-e avs tudyina-at UCLA

lin HD uatemala VSAIDGuatenalot MPH4 candidate School Of

where she wrote on determinants of use and Intended us of modern coetracepshytton in traditional and modern village of Guatemala InJuly of197$ she returned to Gustemals where she worked on an AID evaluation of family planning program In I1Quiche She isamong the firat of the PDP allows to return to her country and begin to contribute to policy development

L jOHIM Itepal esoarch ampad Ivaluation 1IQ ltnistry of Health Government of lepalPhD itastatstics University of California lerkley Dr Joahi completed his doctoral work inJune 1979 on the evaluation

of fatmly planning contination rates Nis research was based on data from the Nepal IS Ne has recently returned to his positton a director of re search planning and evaluation for the Population Comission of Nepal and he ebttted a proposal for PW fndin to Anilyss data on mternal and child health InNepal

a htab Pakiltan Institute of Developmest nocmies Qaid Al an U rItyi PhD Candidateo SocloLy Cornell Universlty

Mr WrIN has viittoe on age at marriagO and fertility inPakistan using data free the Nlational Impact Survey for his doctoral work he to developing a project with I the Sysod of the Population Pilenins Costenson and Profaeor Peter Slth on the female life cycle from monrche to first parturition Ne has Just publishd Secoen mc and Cultural Aspects of

rriage 4n PeitilY tn Urban Pakistan through the hatVetdeg leatitato d pians to complete his dissertation tn Spring log0

-- A Colombis Universdad do to Adeel PhD Scheol of Ucatiml S-Ita atv roltyfrO

or locares wrete her diesertation On education dovelopmet and incom Inl rural Celembia Ner work is based an data draw fromi the 1913 onsum and the Agrarian Cemleus of 1910-71 She returned to the Umiversidad do lee asdea Cele nas in0 eteOer 1978

JII OM Pakistan Ppulatte plamaing Cnteslt lalmabd PhD ulaioPlon holveraity of Mightn

is 191 tDr IiamddIn iished his dissearation the aeeptability ot faally planimg itrural Pakista So direteild the Pakistan Fertility Survey as Deputy Diretor of the Populatiu Planns Coissie snd analyced that dataF his doetoral eeare e I currently a Shert-term misa1Lim te SeMeli for the Carolina Poplaties lob

pound ailm 15 and NanaemeatE Philippines College of Develepaset 9eonsees aivr 17 C the lPili PhD candidate I eesice Vale UaivorlI lsont Alty

me qwiu stJene the POP follews Program ioJune 1919 She Isworkshytnl wits data fro the Lagima ad Steel Surveys to 0ema1n the Lber supply in the Philippnlse

Imctute

PhD nLdiddte schl of public eilth Karvard ilvers ty

Mrs Raymand to werktag with date (trm tho niliPPIn Satiftsl DOshygraphic Survey of 19) Rho i eganinlng postparLm t

GiMsa RJ A Phillppiei i oerty W1 the Phllptsi r ltwatiO

enoorrhea breasfeodnll

f bull bull bull bull bull - l

practice socioeconomic differential and their relationships to fortilityi lihe plantia completeherdiaertationin Jne 1990

ejlena R Colombia Univerldad do Jos Andes logota PhD Economics University

Msi Ribs completed het dissertation on the consequences of migration in Colombia in October 1979 She Is currently working on a postdoctoral research project on fertility aspects of the 1973 census Ma Ribs has been selected to join the Young Professionals program at the World Bank

Robertol0e Peru Univereidad do gan Harcost PhD candidate Columbia svermity 14

Mr Rios is In the last phase of completion of a doctoral dissertation eamning ocular trends In mortality and fertility In Latin America He haos noted in his work a mote rapid fertility decline than was typical of the Eushy

ropean demolraphic transition Mr Rios recently contributed 1PW Working Paper 913 entitled Family Site and Economic Change

lgnira MSYZi21 CkGatmala Instituto do Nutriclon de Centro Aaerica y anma (INCA) Guatemala City PhD candidate School of Public Health University of California Los Angeles

Ms Rosenhouse Is writing her dissertation on the evaluation of the validity of attitudinal survey data on fertility-related topics adminisshytared i Guatela Nter work is based on the INCAP-AXD data and focuses primarily on doetted family ise

JsL1AMVampA Colombia Univereidad del Vll del Caucal PhD Land Tenure Center University of Wisconsin Madison

Dr Saravia coploted his doctoral work In 1971 on rural development and health status in Colombia He ueed data from a 1973 health and nutrition survey Ne has returned to his faculty position in the School af Economies iniversidad del Vails del Caous

2911hotu L oJBrasil Iatitute Getull Vargas PhD candidate teshyi 7nosteUiversity of ChicagoJ

Mr sedlacek joined tle POP allows progrm im October 1971 shortly after he began work en a stud- of fertility and wmons work patterns In Brasil and the US with JamoeHeckia and the Stanford Research Institute No Intends to adapt economttii modeling techniques ho t currently developshyn to use on survey data fro eoaulo Brasil

la MUAP Nepeli PhD adidat Population Studies ad Training Center

grown University

FDP Fellw hapa s Frtility survey Of 1974 us carried out the initial parof the research

at the Rest-Vest Cater and has returned to rown University to complete his dissertation in September 1910 is research currently underway concerns estimating trends and levels of Infant mortality and fertility

As the novst Mr I analysing data tree the Sepal

-20

IsttelriP Vokpra~~-c--

Battelle pDp staff and Yellos are encouraged to submit papers for The foloingincorporation Into the Battelle PD Working Paper seies

papers have been issued to date

AlMtLL PDKiUna Iufi

Title Authow(s) Date

ChanOle UP Heareesep Ot Is ThirhouIptan foetility

I 1041i0camOo$ ond family Plsnnisu

Nfi l2 BoxDifeoso Itthe Wsteot to i P 1tle OctIo A4gotlu si Owlelo in C Yarrolil Clas n$lt

J aiSNRIal Guatemsala 1pound11

14

olt iIConsequence 0Mo0llos to S ahCentitbution of Auihroelogsts to VCetoe vI

ot Iamp Velltell p~ |t13lNeceove NisPopltie evele V Ntlpm[ ga It 4 l afliiplatt - Note Punittenm lat Anlst$ V1tteteooy fobIt shy

tleferilityp MWAsols4 later- J lltlt robt7 eatol ind~t Variables fit 5~t Afab Cowmttto

I I The Impe of uralt pitqPM so lt WV letI Kay to

pliteti otth CA Crrsie A i Sashil

May 19I LaePlaifiteaiea 4d Weeleore Numasseew g Peubda goost le itatePOistIeleis

i t May ItiNCtle rtil JnitAli

ISMS to 1 l t t ilatVariables Al

isatal 11i1tt

it The~w to1OfS e e a e t Phte g 5 I 4P sot Hpdel JunA1oi Th eeLatin A erte s Su I il

I lit o f Usual Union tuaotet 1 Alsn JI

t aillttel

Change A Rios et toI r)eally it ampn toonwmto it14 Plt IIIa PorTuitc4nd Reality vile 1311i1101o bull

CA Cctvise I

335 Close Weeit ethe Uitd Steill A ctititl ampos4$- JA 1enioto The losses of iUdenem40 Nealtae mocers

S - aunt ) bull

Page 12: vBallelle - United States Agency for International

4 Westna Central Amrica

Given th relative lmi of the Central Aneriaen countrie (especiallywith regard to their scientific coomunitie) and their historical and institutional links itwas decided that certain Battelle Pop aetivitiss be 4irected to the region as a whole

Stops have been taken conducive to Improved vommniration between populationspecialists In the region and the development of a regional Astociatton tor Research on Population Battelle PDP has wholly or partly funded regionalseminars on Population and Development (Honduras May 1979) and PopulationLabor Force andBasi Human Needs (Coa Rica October 1979) Discussions for the formtion of country associations and a regional link have been held with sroups from Gatoma I Honduras and Costa Rtca It to now intended that the regional association be housed under the Council of Central American Universities (CIUCA) vith initial participation frow those countriesPanamanian researchers hive exprosed an Interest to Battelle PDP far an association in their country whitle political events in Nicaragua end ItSalvador would suggest that these countries not receive concentrated

program activity for the moment

At the request of A14s Latin America Bureau attelle PD undertook an assessment of the tpact of illegal hexican miration upon the United states The investigation took the form of a stlte of the art report consisting of a systematic reviev of scholarly studies and an analysis of their contents bymajer categories vith special attention to the poliey-relevant findingsDuring the course of this work Battelle staff attempted to contact all persons In the United Ioates conducting serious research on the topic in order to Insure that the report be as comprehensive as possible

Sone significant flndins of this report ore as followu

iO - qUA- Depite an apparent cencurrenceaclosee mat o our mast utilized vstimatins techniques reveals a bread range of between 2 and S million Hniitian living Illegally in the US in the mido1970s

a 4Lfliuju Int contrast to studies suggesting that unshydocmented rre do met displaco eitison werke there i incireaing evidenc that seow job displacement does in (et ecwr The estt of this displaeenut depends upo the specific labor market

bull brylstola 115il1saI short-torm Illegal milgrants (seshytimesalled lttlo 01gjantsW) maintain a low profile and make limited Use of welfare health or edvuatie nal fneilitlo8 tonsshyterm utirants Millise social services much the same as citiens and letal roedent Little i known 4t the key team of what portion at the Nexlean migrant pepulattee reafins 10m4tlin the 1-

L

The full results appear as Battelle PRP WoriaPs N lS entitled The Impact of Undocumented Mexican Worker on the t Statesi A Critical Assessment (November 1979 pp 115 bibliography appendices) + -

Blsdes distribution within the Department of State and AID the report has been utilled by the folloving groupso IllsJoint US and Mexican Migration Working Group Washington D C and Mexico Cityamp the Select Comission on IImlgratlon and Refuge Policy Washington D C the California State Lagislature Hearings on Undocumented Mexican Migration Sacramento Califshyorni the San Diego County Board of Supervisors Task force on the Impact of illegal Migration on San Diegol and a joint US-Mcxican Policy Conference on Mexican Migration three locations California Center for Ethics and Social Policy Berkeley

Since Jean-Claude Duvalier assumed the presidency after his fathers death in 1971 foreign aid and governm~ent programs have Increased substantially in Haiti As part of that trend the Division dHygiene Familtaleo under the direction of Dr Ary lorde was establshed in 1971 as the first government-approved program to include Maternal and Child Health care and Family Planning Sine that time research on these eubjects has improved and brought a conropltant understanding of popultin dyamices in haitti

Y The Division I by law the only oranlsation which operates family planning activities Other small but related organtttlons have recently been created eS oroanisations concerned with the role of voaen In April 1979 Prestdemt for Life Duvalier made a statement in which he recognised the need to curb population growth both as a public health measure and as an adjunct to Hlitian economic developmenti this conern was repeated ina public speech InSeptember 1979

Many Haitians believe that nov is a good time to encourage awareness of popshyulatten issues The Preosidenta statements demonstrate a certain It yet undefined coitment to l1v population growth Family planning progrwms through the Division diygione Yalliale have been underway for several years and continue to expand through new channels such as househeld alA iomercial contraceptive distribution programs

The lecrtatrerie du Plan is currently preparing a five-year devlopment plan 19I14 During the past calendar year the plamins organization was rasled to cabinet-level status Slowly it is beginnng to take On in reality its dIu functions ef resource allocation and overall decision making These clilges make it all the mere imerative that population concerns enter met directly into the internaldeeision process Of what ti sv theI eretalrerie d Plan

In view ef the need to premte the recognition of population dynamics 4s a first $tep tovard their integration into development Battelle DP representsshytives V 11114 Mer 4vy and Anm Kubiloch traveled to Hiti In Nevember 1979 to consult with Dr ferdes planning officials uadCAID personnel to determine a framoverk for Siattois 1activitis in Haiti

++ + +++ +++ +S 9 ++ +________m____________________________

Meestings with the various roprosentatives identified support tor u b~tet t4 sponsored conference on Population Public Health and Development in Haiti currently scheduled to take place In late 190 The objective of the ceonfavese will be to bring together researchers government officials and program directors inorder to learn about and discuss population related issues The conference vuldprovide a forum for presentation of results from the heition Fertility Survey which could then serve as demograhic background for disculien e other ongoing and completed research endeavors inHaiti The Division d Hyltone Fautlialo i the most appropriate host tnatitution for the conference and Inpreparation Iattelle PDP plans to conduct a series of mnt-workshopsinorder to train the Division staff

The lattelle PDP sponsored analysis of the data from the Deschap) Jo region was capleteJ during the reprtitn period (PI00OAhtO6H07O) -The investigators have submitted a fellow-en proposal requstin8 fundinig for nine project papers which vill synthestie the results of their research

in the Deechapelles and Petit Goave areas (P0NAOOD)

Blatilelle DP currently developing a strategy paper for poulation and developnit asslstance to tgypt deslgned to prnote the utiliatin of population dynamics indevelopwnt planninl To this end the following subcentracts were Awarded during the reporting period

I Amiean University Celrol Workshop on gotial Research far Develepmot (PO57rYO)8 Dr $and cadalla

2 National Center for Soeieloacal and Criminological Research Catrnt Fertility Dyni r in Rural rgypt (POIAOLO)iDr Atof Rhalffa

Ale wder active coreidorati o ia

University of North Carolina Carolina Population Contert Ilrcalng Population Priority And Awareneo Aig Folitital And Cultural LeadershIp inEIypti Dr Abdei Oaran

Although e aettvitte were ueortaken in Jorde and Tunisia during this tim recent atttlle PVIear lat bureau meetinP have focused4n the eed for Battelle to itnlfltantly augment Its presone In the are Thereshytare prieuity will be Acerded to Rypt Turkey Jlrdan And Irte as Battelle PoP unands its actlvities InNorth Africa and the Near test

2I trCoitutriesl Brazil Nepal

awarded a subcontract to the AfsoclactooBra51151a doBattelle PDP hean Estudoo Populaitiona s (PO55BRO06) to publish aniddistribute the proceedings of a conference hed inOctober 1978 entitled IEncontro Nacional do

Dr Elsa Berquo isthe principal investigatorEstudos Populacion4ta

At the request of tne AIDMission Battelle PDP sent two technicians to to develop a film and to effect subcontractNepal inNovemberiDecemsber

activities on population and development issues Due to the extended nature

of their vipet (through mid-January) details of the trip will bu reported

later inBattelle PDs Trip Report series and subsequent Annual Report

1i1 MULTI-COUNTRY SUPPORT ACTIVITIES

A CUDICRS V)gJja

During the teporting period the design of this project underwent revision

Originally the focus wasn a hemispheric conference to encourage government to initiate commercial and comuunity-based family planningpolicyuaketr

lattells PDP undertook to arrange for seven presentations atservices the conference five reporting on major CBICRS projects inCentral and

South America and two reviewing and critiquing currentCBD and CRS activities

throughout the region These presentations prepared by Latin American experts the basisfor discussion of thewith Battelle DPassistancewere to serve as

utility and viability of such projects first at two small regional workshops for project manager contemplating similar activities and then after further

revision at a major meeting for poltymakers to be hosted by the Mexican

government

In line with the Initial plan seven Latin American experts identiAfied and assisted by Battelle D prepared reports on existing CUD and CKS projects and presented then inAugust 1979 at two workshops organised by Development

Associates Inc one inthDominican Republicand the other inColombia

The workhope did spark interest on the part of participants from three other Hooevertdicuesion with governshyeouptries inconsidtrins similar programs

ment officials cteal scientists and additional experts inthe field led

Battelle PD to suggest that an alternative and more effective mechanism for

extending distslbution of contraceptives in the region would be a publication presenters inassembling the collective experience and expertise of the seven

document could help convince policymakers planners healthone volume Ruch a administrators and program managers that CD and CAS progeraming on a large

cle hap proven to be a safe and acceptable approach to family planning in

both urban and rural coimunitiea toawell as provided how to do program guidelines

-13-

AccordinglyL BattelleiPDP developed and began to implement inthe remaining

experts will work intensively withthe presenters to revise and expand the

scope of their presentations through additional information data and analysis

B Assistance to the USAIDSudan CDSS (CountryDevelopment Strathay Statement)

In an effort to strengthen the analyses of population growth dynamice vis-a-vim the econoac development priorities of LDCs and AIDAfrica field missions the

Africa Bureau provided technical assistance to several sub-Sahara based missions in the preparation of their 1982 Country Development Strategy Statements With the concurrence of AIDSudan Battelle PVP dispatched two staff officials to Khartoum for two weeks in December 1979 Battelle PDPs analynis of the poor in Sudan and its overall input for the Sudan CDSS is contained in Trip Report 054

C Egypt - Population and Developmen Policy Pa er

At the request of AIDs Near East Bureau a policy paper on population and development dynamics in fgypt was prepared Thin document was used to orient Bureau officials on related events and patterns in Egypt and as a briefing paper for the Egypt consultative group meetings

D AfrIca-Initiatives

In concert with the Africa Bureaus strategy for population assistance to sub-Saharan Africa (reported in Battelle PDPs 1978-79 Annual Report Battelle intends to pursue popilation and development objectives in twelve (12)

countries (including Nigeria) designated as priority We have submitted at the Africa Bureaus request an abstract which outline the preparation of 1 country profiles entitled Assess Status of African Attitudes and Recommendations via-a-vis AID Population Assistance to Africa One outshystanding feature of this proposed activity Is the establishment of an African Advisory Committee on Population Assistance

-14shyP

IV OOUNT(Y PROJECT SUPPORTACTIVITIES---

A Proposal Development Review Process

As proposals are submitted to the Battelle PDP Program Battelle PD staff review them thoroughly for technical quality and program relevance In order to facilitate this complexs review procedure a Management Information System (MIS) has been created which documents each of the three Major steps required for all proposalat Project Development Activities Proposal Technical Review and Processing and Subcontract status

The Project Development Activities section shows trips made by Battelle PDP

staff the proposals related to each-trip and their receipt date Request included as well as travel and tripand concurence date for each trip are

report dates During the reporting period Battelle PDP staff made 10 trips to 11 countries

The Proposal Review Process section demonstrates specific steps required of are recorded as proposals enter each phases acknowltdgi

-Dateseach proposal ment and summary monitor and Battelle PDP staff review AIDPOP approval USAID (Mission) approval subcontract writing and signing This section also

sh wnvvhen and at which step proposals have been rejected or referred proposals submitted to Battelle PD receive a thorough review for technical quality and contractual specificity During the reporting period 15 proposals

4 have been funded 5 are currently under consideration~were reviewed of these for funding 2were rejected and 4 were referred

The section describing Subcontract Status indicates start and completion dates of subcontracts and due dates and receipt dates for both progress reports

Trom June 1977 through December 1979 64 proposals wereand final reports received by Rattelle PDPI 23 have become subcontracts obligating a total of

$665900 5 remain under consideration for funding-and 36 have been rejected or referred (see Table 1)

The MIS allows Battelle POP staff to identify clearly the processing stage of any proposal at any time This information has served to point out bottleshynecks which habitually delay the efficient processing of proposals and implementation of a project

--

Table I

PROJECT-TV-DATE SLWM O PROPOSAL ACTIVITY

June 1977- December 1979

Iroposays funded Under Rejectd or Country -~ ~ ~ Consideration Rfre

- o o1000) _~1000)-3ratl 3 8751 60 2 811

Chile 2 -- - - 2 -

Colombia 4 3256 1 27 - 3 297

Cost Rica 1 36 1 3

Ecuador S 2262 1 11 2 1289 2 66C

Egypt 3 1332 2 543 1 789 - shy

31 Salvador 4 610 2 573 -- - 2 237

customs 10 2917 5 1275 -- -- 5 1642

Haiti 2 1432 1 672 1 7860

Honduras 4 527 2 158 -- 2 369

Kopal 2 71)3- - 1 90 1 623 Nigeria 3 132j -- - -- - 3 132 Pakisatan 2 887 shy f-~ - - 2 88 Peru 14 4966 6 M)0 - 8 2416

Philippines 1 133 -- -- -1 133

s5 Total$ 64 1242401 23 AMS S 29481 31 1463

-16-

B Battelle PDP Fellows Program

The Battelle PDp Fllowis program isdesigned to increase the effectiveness of LDC decisionmakers who reside temporarily in the US for research or

training The program gives moderate financial assistance of up to $1500 to LDC dectsionmakers to facilitate their research and writing during their

periods of USresidence In addition PDP Fellows are brought together

with the Battelle PDP staff toediscuss at semiannual workshops the population policy implications of their research for their home countries

Funds provided to the Fellows may be used for computer costs research toassistance manuscript typing and limited travel within the US

professional meetings No stipends for maintenance are provided

Since its inception the Fellows Program has provideJ support for 19

Fellows Those completing their stays in the US have finished five

doctoral dissertations two MPH degrees and a number of research papers Five Fellows have returned tofor publication In their borne countries

their home countries and are working in population related activities

DrPL Joshi is Director of Research Planning and Evaluation for the

epat Drs Bayona Saravia and Alauddin havePopulation Commission of returned to teaching posts Elena Hurtado and Claudia Lecaros have resumed

research activities In9Guatemal and Colombi Two Fellows Teresa HO and

Helena Rib have been acepto to the Young Professionals program at the

World Bank and M Nisamuddin is currently on a short-term mission to Somalia for the Carolina Population Laboratories Several Fellows have

published articles in 1979 Including

Teresa Measuring Time Costs of Child Rearing In the Philippineo

Poplation and Development Review 514

and tconomic Change Battelle P orkingRio Roberto Family Sis Paper 13

Karim Nehtab 3ocioeconomic and Cultural Aspects of Marriage and

Fertility in Urban Pakistan task-West Population Institute

Pager 64

1attelle PD has designated certain of its Follows as Ovlrnla Follows in the U andIndicating that they have completed their residence

returned to their hoe country or they have Completed the intensive phase of their relationship with lattello pD rellows program and have accepted

now professional duties- attelle POP does in any ease send materials concerning the ellows progrm to all its current and Overseas Fellows

of intellectualwith the objective of maintaining and esnarging this network exchange long after the Fellows have returned to their roles as decisionshy

makern on population issues in their own coumtries

-17-

Battelle PDP Fellow

jMohsuuad AIAUVDIN Bangladesh ISWR Dacca Univereityl PhD Population Planning University of Michigan

Dr Alauddin completed his doctoral work in May 1979 on rural developshy

mnt and family planning behavior in Bangladesh villages His work as based

on the Bangladesh WFS data in combination with area data on rural fertility

He has returned to his administrative and teaching position with the Dacca University Institute of Social Welfare and Rsearch

Alberto BAYONAS Colombia Universidad Javerianat Fulbright Visiting Professhy

sor of Sociology Tulane University

Dr Bayonae study of population has included analysis of the 1973

census data on contextual factors influencing fertility and mortality in

Colombia He has nov returned to his post as Director of $ocial Studies at

Javerians University in Bogota

Melinda BACOL-MO TLLA Philippines NCSOg PhD candidate Sociology Utah

State University

Ms Bacol-Montilla began writing her dissertation on ethnolinguistic Her work is based on thegroup differentials in the Philippines in 1979

1973 National Demographic Survey

ur EZEKWK Nigeria

has focused her studies on marital patterns includingtMS Esekwe at marriage (IMAM) in selected Africanestimation of singulate mean age

countries assessing a reliable measure of marital patterns among European and non-European populations and the effect of bride price an fertility

hiu l Bangladesh University of Chittagonli PhD candidate - -ch of Education University of Michigan

was a student of Everett Rogers He received a Ford Foundation grant for five

Mr Haider became interested in population education while he

onmonths of field study in Bangladesh (Dec 78- May 79) to Bather data

nonformal population education programs associated with the integrated rural to the University of ichtdevelopment program He has recently returned

tan and is scheduled to complete his dissertation work in December 1979

anilal PhDTeresa JO Philippines University of the Philippines

candidate Food Research Institute Stanford University

Me No is investigating foale labor fore participation drawing on

Filipino data such as the tlma Multipurpose Household survey in which she

assisted as well so the andlMlysia surveys Upon finlshin8 her dissertashytion in April 1980 she will join the World lank in the Young Professioals

program In December 1979 Ma Mo published am article Msauring Time

Costs of Child Rearing inthe Philippines in gPoulatio and Devlopoetl

Overseas Fellows

GW INCA and Pu cHealth University of California Los Anampee

aHurtadooind ho-fa1owsproaramvhils-e avs tudyina-at UCLA

lin HD uatemala VSAIDGuatenalot MPH4 candidate School Of

where she wrote on determinants of use and Intended us of modern coetracepshytton in traditional and modern village of Guatemala InJuly of197$ she returned to Gustemals where she worked on an AID evaluation of family planning program In I1Quiche She isamong the firat of the PDP allows to return to her country and begin to contribute to policy development

L jOHIM Itepal esoarch ampad Ivaluation 1IQ ltnistry of Health Government of lepalPhD itastatstics University of California lerkley Dr Joahi completed his doctoral work inJune 1979 on the evaluation

of fatmly planning contination rates Nis research was based on data from the Nepal IS Ne has recently returned to his positton a director of re search planning and evaluation for the Population Comission of Nepal and he ebttted a proposal for PW fndin to Anilyss data on mternal and child health InNepal

a htab Pakiltan Institute of Developmest nocmies Qaid Al an U rItyi PhD Candidateo SocloLy Cornell Universlty

Mr WrIN has viittoe on age at marriagO and fertility inPakistan using data free the Nlational Impact Survey for his doctoral work he to developing a project with I the Sysod of the Population Pilenins Costenson and Profaeor Peter Slth on the female life cycle from monrche to first parturition Ne has Just publishd Secoen mc and Cultural Aspects of

rriage 4n PeitilY tn Urban Pakistan through the hatVetdeg leatitato d pians to complete his dissertation tn Spring log0

-- A Colombis Universdad do to Adeel PhD Scheol of Ucatiml S-Ita atv roltyfrO

or locares wrete her diesertation On education dovelopmet and incom Inl rural Celembia Ner work is based an data draw fromi the 1913 onsum and the Agrarian Cemleus of 1910-71 She returned to the Umiversidad do lee asdea Cele nas in0 eteOer 1978

JII OM Pakistan Ppulatte plamaing Cnteslt lalmabd PhD ulaioPlon holveraity of Mightn

is 191 tDr IiamddIn iished his dissearation the aeeptability ot faally planimg itrural Pakista So direteild the Pakistan Fertility Survey as Deputy Diretor of the Populatiu Planns Coissie snd analyced that dataF his doetoral eeare e I currently a Shert-term misa1Lim te SeMeli for the Carolina Poplaties lob

pound ailm 15 and NanaemeatE Philippines College of Develepaset 9eonsees aivr 17 C the lPili PhD candidate I eesice Vale UaivorlI lsont Alty

me qwiu stJene the POP follews Program ioJune 1919 She Isworkshytnl wits data fro the Lagima ad Steel Surveys to 0ema1n the Lber supply in the Philippnlse

Imctute

PhD nLdiddte schl of public eilth Karvard ilvers ty

Mrs Raymand to werktag with date (trm tho niliPPIn Satiftsl DOshygraphic Survey of 19) Rho i eganinlng postparLm t

GiMsa RJ A Phillppiei i oerty W1 the Phllptsi r ltwatiO

enoorrhea breasfeodnll

f bull bull bull bull bull - l

practice socioeconomic differential and their relationships to fortilityi lihe plantia completeherdiaertationin Jne 1990

ejlena R Colombia Univerldad do Jos Andes logota PhD Economics University

Msi Ribs completed het dissertation on the consequences of migration in Colombia in October 1979 She Is currently working on a postdoctoral research project on fertility aspects of the 1973 census Ma Ribs has been selected to join the Young Professionals program at the World Bank

Robertol0e Peru Univereidad do gan Harcost PhD candidate Columbia svermity 14

Mr Rios is In the last phase of completion of a doctoral dissertation eamning ocular trends In mortality and fertility In Latin America He haos noted in his work a mote rapid fertility decline than was typical of the Eushy

ropean demolraphic transition Mr Rios recently contributed 1PW Working Paper 913 entitled Family Site and Economic Change

lgnira MSYZi21 CkGatmala Instituto do Nutriclon de Centro Aaerica y anma (INCA) Guatemala City PhD candidate School of Public Health University of California Los Angeles

Ms Rosenhouse Is writing her dissertation on the evaluation of the validity of attitudinal survey data on fertility-related topics adminisshytared i Guatela Nter work is based on the INCAP-AXD data and focuses primarily on doetted family ise

JsL1AMVampA Colombia Univereidad del Vll del Caucal PhD Land Tenure Center University of Wisconsin Madison

Dr Saravia coploted his doctoral work In 1971 on rural development and health status in Colombia He ueed data from a 1973 health and nutrition survey Ne has returned to his faculty position in the School af Economies iniversidad del Vails del Caous

2911hotu L oJBrasil Iatitute Getull Vargas PhD candidate teshyi 7nosteUiversity of ChicagoJ

Mr sedlacek joined tle POP allows progrm im October 1971 shortly after he began work en a stud- of fertility and wmons work patterns In Brasil and the US with JamoeHeckia and the Stanford Research Institute No Intends to adapt economttii modeling techniques ho t currently developshyn to use on survey data fro eoaulo Brasil

la MUAP Nepeli PhD adidat Population Studies ad Training Center

grown University

FDP Fellw hapa s Frtility survey Of 1974 us carried out the initial parof the research

at the Rest-Vest Cater and has returned to rown University to complete his dissertation in September 1910 is research currently underway concerns estimating trends and levels of Infant mortality and fertility

As the novst Mr I analysing data tree the Sepal

-20

IsttelriP Vokpra~~-c--

Battelle pDp staff and Yellos are encouraged to submit papers for The foloingincorporation Into the Battelle PD Working Paper seies

papers have been issued to date

AlMtLL PDKiUna Iufi

Title Authow(s) Date

ChanOle UP Heareesep Ot Is ThirhouIptan foetility

I 1041i0camOo$ ond family Plsnnisu

Nfi l2 BoxDifeoso Itthe Wsteot to i P 1tle OctIo A4gotlu si Owlelo in C Yarrolil Clas n$lt

J aiSNRIal Guatemsala 1pound11

14

olt iIConsequence 0Mo0llos to S ahCentitbution of Auihroelogsts to VCetoe vI

ot Iamp Velltell p~ |t13lNeceove NisPopltie evele V Ntlpm[ ga It 4 l afliiplatt - Note Punittenm lat Anlst$ V1tteteooy fobIt shy

tleferilityp MWAsols4 later- J lltlt robt7 eatol ind~t Variables fit 5~t Afab Cowmttto

I I The Impe of uralt pitqPM so lt WV letI Kay to

pliteti otth CA Crrsie A i Sashil

May 19I LaePlaifiteaiea 4d Weeleore Numasseew g Peubda goost le itatePOistIeleis

i t May ItiNCtle rtil JnitAli

ISMS to 1 l t t ilatVariables Al

isatal 11i1tt

it The~w to1OfS e e a e t Phte g 5 I 4P sot Hpdel JunA1oi Th eeLatin A erte s Su I il

I lit o f Usual Union tuaotet 1 Alsn JI

t aillttel

Change A Rios et toI r)eally it ampn toonwmto it14 Plt IIIa PorTuitc4nd Reality vile 1311i1101o bull

CA Cctvise I

335 Close Weeit ethe Uitd Steill A ctititl ampos4$- JA 1enioto The losses of iUdenem40 Nealtae mocers

S - aunt ) bull

Page 13: vBallelle - United States Agency for International

The full results appear as Battelle PRP WoriaPs N lS entitled The Impact of Undocumented Mexican Worker on the t Statesi A Critical Assessment (November 1979 pp 115 bibliography appendices) + -

Blsdes distribution within the Department of State and AID the report has been utilled by the folloving groupso IllsJoint US and Mexican Migration Working Group Washington D C and Mexico Cityamp the Select Comission on IImlgratlon and Refuge Policy Washington D C the California State Lagislature Hearings on Undocumented Mexican Migration Sacramento Califshyorni the San Diego County Board of Supervisors Task force on the Impact of illegal Migration on San Diegol and a joint US-Mcxican Policy Conference on Mexican Migration three locations California Center for Ethics and Social Policy Berkeley

Since Jean-Claude Duvalier assumed the presidency after his fathers death in 1971 foreign aid and governm~ent programs have Increased substantially in Haiti As part of that trend the Division dHygiene Familtaleo under the direction of Dr Ary lorde was establshed in 1971 as the first government-approved program to include Maternal and Child Health care and Family Planning Sine that time research on these eubjects has improved and brought a conropltant understanding of popultin dyamices in haitti

Y The Division I by law the only oranlsation which operates family planning activities Other small but related organtttlons have recently been created eS oroanisations concerned with the role of voaen In April 1979 Prestdemt for Life Duvalier made a statement in which he recognised the need to curb population growth both as a public health measure and as an adjunct to Hlitian economic developmenti this conern was repeated ina public speech InSeptember 1979

Many Haitians believe that nov is a good time to encourage awareness of popshyulatten issues The Preosidenta statements demonstrate a certain It yet undefined coitment to l1v population growth Family planning progrwms through the Division diygione Yalliale have been underway for several years and continue to expand through new channels such as househeld alA iomercial contraceptive distribution programs

The lecrtatrerie du Plan is currently preparing a five-year devlopment plan 19I14 During the past calendar year the plamins organization was rasled to cabinet-level status Slowly it is beginnng to take On in reality its dIu functions ef resource allocation and overall decision making These clilges make it all the mere imerative that population concerns enter met directly into the internaldeeision process Of what ti sv theI eretalrerie d Plan

In view ef the need to premte the recognition of population dynamics 4s a first $tep tovard their integration into development Battelle DP representsshytives V 11114 Mer 4vy and Anm Kubiloch traveled to Hiti In Nevember 1979 to consult with Dr ferdes planning officials uadCAID personnel to determine a framoverk for Siattois 1activitis in Haiti

++ + +++ +++ +S 9 ++ +________m____________________________

Meestings with the various roprosentatives identified support tor u b~tet t4 sponsored conference on Population Public Health and Development in Haiti currently scheduled to take place In late 190 The objective of the ceonfavese will be to bring together researchers government officials and program directors inorder to learn about and discuss population related issues The conference vuldprovide a forum for presentation of results from the heition Fertility Survey which could then serve as demograhic background for disculien e other ongoing and completed research endeavors inHaiti The Division d Hyltone Fautlialo i the most appropriate host tnatitution for the conference and Inpreparation Iattelle PDP plans to conduct a series of mnt-workshopsinorder to train the Division staff

The lattelle PDP sponsored analysis of the data from the Deschap) Jo region was capleteJ during the reprtitn period (PI00OAhtO6H07O) -The investigators have submitted a fellow-en proposal requstin8 fundinig for nine project papers which vill synthestie the results of their research

in the Deechapelles and Petit Goave areas (P0NAOOD)

Blatilelle DP currently developing a strategy paper for poulation and developnit asslstance to tgypt deslgned to prnote the utiliatin of population dynamics indevelopwnt planninl To this end the following subcentracts were Awarded during the reporting period

I Amiean University Celrol Workshop on gotial Research far Develepmot (PO57rYO)8 Dr $and cadalla

2 National Center for Soeieloacal and Criminological Research Catrnt Fertility Dyni r in Rural rgypt (POIAOLO)iDr Atof Rhalffa

Ale wder active coreidorati o ia

University of North Carolina Carolina Population Contert Ilrcalng Population Priority And Awareneo Aig Folitital And Cultural LeadershIp inEIypti Dr Abdei Oaran

Although e aettvitte were ueortaken in Jorde and Tunisia during this tim recent atttlle PVIear lat bureau meetinP have focused4n the eed for Battelle to itnlfltantly augment Its presone In the are Thereshytare prieuity will be Acerded to Rypt Turkey Jlrdan And Irte as Battelle PoP unands its actlvities InNorth Africa and the Near test

2I trCoitutriesl Brazil Nepal

awarded a subcontract to the AfsoclactooBra51151a doBattelle PDP hean Estudoo Populaitiona s (PO55BRO06) to publish aniddistribute the proceedings of a conference hed inOctober 1978 entitled IEncontro Nacional do

Dr Elsa Berquo isthe principal investigatorEstudos Populacion4ta

At the request of tne AIDMission Battelle PDP sent two technicians to to develop a film and to effect subcontractNepal inNovemberiDecemsber

activities on population and development issues Due to the extended nature

of their vipet (through mid-January) details of the trip will bu reported

later inBattelle PDs Trip Report series and subsequent Annual Report

1i1 MULTI-COUNTRY SUPPORT ACTIVITIES

A CUDICRS V)gJja

During the teporting period the design of this project underwent revision

Originally the focus wasn a hemispheric conference to encourage government to initiate commercial and comuunity-based family planningpolicyuaketr

lattells PDP undertook to arrange for seven presentations atservices the conference five reporting on major CBICRS projects inCentral and

South America and two reviewing and critiquing currentCBD and CRS activities

throughout the region These presentations prepared by Latin American experts the basisfor discussion of thewith Battelle DPassistancewere to serve as

utility and viability of such projects first at two small regional workshops for project manager contemplating similar activities and then after further

revision at a major meeting for poltymakers to be hosted by the Mexican

government

In line with the Initial plan seven Latin American experts identiAfied and assisted by Battelle D prepared reports on existing CUD and CKS projects and presented then inAugust 1979 at two workshops organised by Development

Associates Inc one inthDominican Republicand the other inColombia

The workhope did spark interest on the part of participants from three other Hooevertdicuesion with governshyeouptries inconsidtrins similar programs

ment officials cteal scientists and additional experts inthe field led

Battelle PD to suggest that an alternative and more effective mechanism for

extending distslbution of contraceptives in the region would be a publication presenters inassembling the collective experience and expertise of the seven

document could help convince policymakers planners healthone volume Ruch a administrators and program managers that CD and CAS progeraming on a large

cle hap proven to be a safe and acceptable approach to family planning in

both urban and rural coimunitiea toawell as provided how to do program guidelines

-13-

AccordinglyL BattelleiPDP developed and began to implement inthe remaining

experts will work intensively withthe presenters to revise and expand the

scope of their presentations through additional information data and analysis

B Assistance to the USAIDSudan CDSS (CountryDevelopment Strathay Statement)

In an effort to strengthen the analyses of population growth dynamice vis-a-vim the econoac development priorities of LDCs and AIDAfrica field missions the

Africa Bureau provided technical assistance to several sub-Sahara based missions in the preparation of their 1982 Country Development Strategy Statements With the concurrence of AIDSudan Battelle PVP dispatched two staff officials to Khartoum for two weeks in December 1979 Battelle PDPs analynis of the poor in Sudan and its overall input for the Sudan CDSS is contained in Trip Report 054

C Egypt - Population and Developmen Policy Pa er

At the request of AIDs Near East Bureau a policy paper on population and development dynamics in fgypt was prepared Thin document was used to orient Bureau officials on related events and patterns in Egypt and as a briefing paper for the Egypt consultative group meetings

D AfrIca-Initiatives

In concert with the Africa Bureaus strategy for population assistance to sub-Saharan Africa (reported in Battelle PDPs 1978-79 Annual Report Battelle intends to pursue popilation and development objectives in twelve (12)

countries (including Nigeria) designated as priority We have submitted at the Africa Bureaus request an abstract which outline the preparation of 1 country profiles entitled Assess Status of African Attitudes and Recommendations via-a-vis AID Population Assistance to Africa One outshystanding feature of this proposed activity Is the establishment of an African Advisory Committee on Population Assistance

-14shyP

IV OOUNT(Y PROJECT SUPPORTACTIVITIES---

A Proposal Development Review Process

As proposals are submitted to the Battelle PDP Program Battelle PD staff review them thoroughly for technical quality and program relevance In order to facilitate this complexs review procedure a Management Information System (MIS) has been created which documents each of the three Major steps required for all proposalat Project Development Activities Proposal Technical Review and Processing and Subcontract status

The Project Development Activities section shows trips made by Battelle PDP

staff the proposals related to each-trip and their receipt date Request included as well as travel and tripand concurence date for each trip are

report dates During the reporting period Battelle PDP staff made 10 trips to 11 countries

The Proposal Review Process section demonstrates specific steps required of are recorded as proposals enter each phases acknowltdgi

-Dateseach proposal ment and summary monitor and Battelle PDP staff review AIDPOP approval USAID (Mission) approval subcontract writing and signing This section also

sh wnvvhen and at which step proposals have been rejected or referred proposals submitted to Battelle PD receive a thorough review for technical quality and contractual specificity During the reporting period 15 proposals

4 have been funded 5 are currently under consideration~were reviewed of these for funding 2were rejected and 4 were referred

The section describing Subcontract Status indicates start and completion dates of subcontracts and due dates and receipt dates for both progress reports

Trom June 1977 through December 1979 64 proposals wereand final reports received by Rattelle PDPI 23 have become subcontracts obligating a total of

$665900 5 remain under consideration for funding-and 36 have been rejected or referred (see Table 1)

The MIS allows Battelle POP staff to identify clearly the processing stage of any proposal at any time This information has served to point out bottleshynecks which habitually delay the efficient processing of proposals and implementation of a project

--

Table I

PROJECT-TV-DATE SLWM O PROPOSAL ACTIVITY

June 1977- December 1979

Iroposays funded Under Rejectd or Country -~ ~ ~ Consideration Rfre

- o o1000) _~1000)-3ratl 3 8751 60 2 811

Chile 2 -- - - 2 -

Colombia 4 3256 1 27 - 3 297

Cost Rica 1 36 1 3

Ecuador S 2262 1 11 2 1289 2 66C

Egypt 3 1332 2 543 1 789 - shy

31 Salvador 4 610 2 573 -- - 2 237

customs 10 2917 5 1275 -- -- 5 1642

Haiti 2 1432 1 672 1 7860

Honduras 4 527 2 158 -- 2 369

Kopal 2 71)3- - 1 90 1 623 Nigeria 3 132j -- - -- - 3 132 Pakisatan 2 887 shy f-~ - - 2 88 Peru 14 4966 6 M)0 - 8 2416

Philippines 1 133 -- -- -1 133

s5 Total$ 64 1242401 23 AMS S 29481 31 1463

-16-

B Battelle PDP Fellows Program

The Battelle PDp Fllowis program isdesigned to increase the effectiveness of LDC decisionmakers who reside temporarily in the US for research or

training The program gives moderate financial assistance of up to $1500 to LDC dectsionmakers to facilitate their research and writing during their

periods of USresidence In addition PDP Fellows are brought together

with the Battelle PDP staff toediscuss at semiannual workshops the population policy implications of their research for their home countries

Funds provided to the Fellows may be used for computer costs research toassistance manuscript typing and limited travel within the US

professional meetings No stipends for maintenance are provided

Since its inception the Fellows Program has provideJ support for 19

Fellows Those completing their stays in the US have finished five

doctoral dissertations two MPH degrees and a number of research papers Five Fellows have returned tofor publication In their borne countries

their home countries and are working in population related activities

DrPL Joshi is Director of Research Planning and Evaluation for the

epat Drs Bayona Saravia and Alauddin havePopulation Commission of returned to teaching posts Elena Hurtado and Claudia Lecaros have resumed

research activities In9Guatemal and Colombi Two Fellows Teresa HO and

Helena Rib have been acepto to the Young Professionals program at the

World Bank and M Nisamuddin is currently on a short-term mission to Somalia for the Carolina Population Laboratories Several Fellows have

published articles in 1979 Including

Teresa Measuring Time Costs of Child Rearing In the Philippineo

Poplation and Development Review 514

and tconomic Change Battelle P orkingRio Roberto Family Sis Paper 13

Karim Nehtab 3ocioeconomic and Cultural Aspects of Marriage and

Fertility in Urban Pakistan task-West Population Institute

Pager 64

1attelle PD has designated certain of its Follows as Ovlrnla Follows in the U andIndicating that they have completed their residence

returned to their hoe country or they have Completed the intensive phase of their relationship with lattello pD rellows program and have accepted

now professional duties- attelle POP does in any ease send materials concerning the ellows progrm to all its current and Overseas Fellows

of intellectualwith the objective of maintaining and esnarging this network exchange long after the Fellows have returned to their roles as decisionshy

makern on population issues in their own coumtries

-17-

Battelle PDP Fellow

jMohsuuad AIAUVDIN Bangladesh ISWR Dacca Univereityl PhD Population Planning University of Michigan

Dr Alauddin completed his doctoral work in May 1979 on rural developshy

mnt and family planning behavior in Bangladesh villages His work as based

on the Bangladesh WFS data in combination with area data on rural fertility

He has returned to his administrative and teaching position with the Dacca University Institute of Social Welfare and Rsearch

Alberto BAYONAS Colombia Universidad Javerianat Fulbright Visiting Professhy

sor of Sociology Tulane University

Dr Bayonae study of population has included analysis of the 1973

census data on contextual factors influencing fertility and mortality in

Colombia He has nov returned to his post as Director of $ocial Studies at

Javerians University in Bogota

Melinda BACOL-MO TLLA Philippines NCSOg PhD candidate Sociology Utah

State University

Ms Bacol-Montilla began writing her dissertation on ethnolinguistic Her work is based on thegroup differentials in the Philippines in 1979

1973 National Demographic Survey

ur EZEKWK Nigeria

has focused her studies on marital patterns includingtMS Esekwe at marriage (IMAM) in selected Africanestimation of singulate mean age

countries assessing a reliable measure of marital patterns among European and non-European populations and the effect of bride price an fertility

hiu l Bangladesh University of Chittagonli PhD candidate - -ch of Education University of Michigan

was a student of Everett Rogers He received a Ford Foundation grant for five

Mr Haider became interested in population education while he

onmonths of field study in Bangladesh (Dec 78- May 79) to Bather data

nonformal population education programs associated with the integrated rural to the University of ichtdevelopment program He has recently returned

tan and is scheduled to complete his dissertation work in December 1979

anilal PhDTeresa JO Philippines University of the Philippines

candidate Food Research Institute Stanford University

Me No is investigating foale labor fore participation drawing on

Filipino data such as the tlma Multipurpose Household survey in which she

assisted as well so the andlMlysia surveys Upon finlshin8 her dissertashytion in April 1980 she will join the World lank in the Young Professioals

program In December 1979 Ma Mo published am article Msauring Time

Costs of Child Rearing inthe Philippines in gPoulatio and Devlopoetl

Overseas Fellows

GW INCA and Pu cHealth University of California Los Anampee

aHurtadooind ho-fa1owsproaramvhils-e avs tudyina-at UCLA

lin HD uatemala VSAIDGuatenalot MPH4 candidate School Of

where she wrote on determinants of use and Intended us of modern coetracepshytton in traditional and modern village of Guatemala InJuly of197$ she returned to Gustemals where she worked on an AID evaluation of family planning program In I1Quiche She isamong the firat of the PDP allows to return to her country and begin to contribute to policy development

L jOHIM Itepal esoarch ampad Ivaluation 1IQ ltnistry of Health Government of lepalPhD itastatstics University of California lerkley Dr Joahi completed his doctoral work inJune 1979 on the evaluation

of fatmly planning contination rates Nis research was based on data from the Nepal IS Ne has recently returned to his positton a director of re search planning and evaluation for the Population Comission of Nepal and he ebttted a proposal for PW fndin to Anilyss data on mternal and child health InNepal

a htab Pakiltan Institute of Developmest nocmies Qaid Al an U rItyi PhD Candidateo SocloLy Cornell Universlty

Mr WrIN has viittoe on age at marriagO and fertility inPakistan using data free the Nlational Impact Survey for his doctoral work he to developing a project with I the Sysod of the Population Pilenins Costenson and Profaeor Peter Slth on the female life cycle from monrche to first parturition Ne has Just publishd Secoen mc and Cultural Aspects of

rriage 4n PeitilY tn Urban Pakistan through the hatVetdeg leatitato d pians to complete his dissertation tn Spring log0

-- A Colombis Universdad do to Adeel PhD Scheol of Ucatiml S-Ita atv roltyfrO

or locares wrete her diesertation On education dovelopmet and incom Inl rural Celembia Ner work is based an data draw fromi the 1913 onsum and the Agrarian Cemleus of 1910-71 She returned to the Umiversidad do lee asdea Cele nas in0 eteOer 1978

JII OM Pakistan Ppulatte plamaing Cnteslt lalmabd PhD ulaioPlon holveraity of Mightn

is 191 tDr IiamddIn iished his dissearation the aeeptability ot faally planimg itrural Pakista So direteild the Pakistan Fertility Survey as Deputy Diretor of the Populatiu Planns Coissie snd analyced that dataF his doetoral eeare e I currently a Shert-term misa1Lim te SeMeli for the Carolina Poplaties lob

pound ailm 15 and NanaemeatE Philippines College of Develepaset 9eonsees aivr 17 C the lPili PhD candidate I eesice Vale UaivorlI lsont Alty

me qwiu stJene the POP follews Program ioJune 1919 She Isworkshytnl wits data fro the Lagima ad Steel Surveys to 0ema1n the Lber supply in the Philippnlse

Imctute

PhD nLdiddte schl of public eilth Karvard ilvers ty

Mrs Raymand to werktag with date (trm tho niliPPIn Satiftsl DOshygraphic Survey of 19) Rho i eganinlng postparLm t

GiMsa RJ A Phillppiei i oerty W1 the Phllptsi r ltwatiO

enoorrhea breasfeodnll

f bull bull bull bull bull - l

practice socioeconomic differential and their relationships to fortilityi lihe plantia completeherdiaertationin Jne 1990

ejlena R Colombia Univerldad do Jos Andes logota PhD Economics University

Msi Ribs completed het dissertation on the consequences of migration in Colombia in October 1979 She Is currently working on a postdoctoral research project on fertility aspects of the 1973 census Ma Ribs has been selected to join the Young Professionals program at the World Bank

Robertol0e Peru Univereidad do gan Harcost PhD candidate Columbia svermity 14

Mr Rios is In the last phase of completion of a doctoral dissertation eamning ocular trends In mortality and fertility In Latin America He haos noted in his work a mote rapid fertility decline than was typical of the Eushy

ropean demolraphic transition Mr Rios recently contributed 1PW Working Paper 913 entitled Family Site and Economic Change

lgnira MSYZi21 CkGatmala Instituto do Nutriclon de Centro Aaerica y anma (INCA) Guatemala City PhD candidate School of Public Health University of California Los Angeles

Ms Rosenhouse Is writing her dissertation on the evaluation of the validity of attitudinal survey data on fertility-related topics adminisshytared i Guatela Nter work is based on the INCAP-AXD data and focuses primarily on doetted family ise

JsL1AMVampA Colombia Univereidad del Vll del Caucal PhD Land Tenure Center University of Wisconsin Madison

Dr Saravia coploted his doctoral work In 1971 on rural development and health status in Colombia He ueed data from a 1973 health and nutrition survey Ne has returned to his faculty position in the School af Economies iniversidad del Vails del Caous

2911hotu L oJBrasil Iatitute Getull Vargas PhD candidate teshyi 7nosteUiversity of ChicagoJ

Mr sedlacek joined tle POP allows progrm im October 1971 shortly after he began work en a stud- of fertility and wmons work patterns In Brasil and the US with JamoeHeckia and the Stanford Research Institute No Intends to adapt economttii modeling techniques ho t currently developshyn to use on survey data fro eoaulo Brasil

la MUAP Nepeli PhD adidat Population Studies ad Training Center

grown University

FDP Fellw hapa s Frtility survey Of 1974 us carried out the initial parof the research

at the Rest-Vest Cater and has returned to rown University to complete his dissertation in September 1910 is research currently underway concerns estimating trends and levels of Infant mortality and fertility

As the novst Mr I analysing data tree the Sepal

-20

IsttelriP Vokpra~~-c--

Battelle pDp staff and Yellos are encouraged to submit papers for The foloingincorporation Into the Battelle PD Working Paper seies

papers have been issued to date

AlMtLL PDKiUna Iufi

Title Authow(s) Date

ChanOle UP Heareesep Ot Is ThirhouIptan foetility

I 1041i0camOo$ ond family Plsnnisu

Nfi l2 BoxDifeoso Itthe Wsteot to i P 1tle OctIo A4gotlu si Owlelo in C Yarrolil Clas n$lt

J aiSNRIal Guatemsala 1pound11

14

olt iIConsequence 0Mo0llos to S ahCentitbution of Auihroelogsts to VCetoe vI

ot Iamp Velltell p~ |t13lNeceove NisPopltie evele V Ntlpm[ ga It 4 l afliiplatt - Note Punittenm lat Anlst$ V1tteteooy fobIt shy

tleferilityp MWAsols4 later- J lltlt robt7 eatol ind~t Variables fit 5~t Afab Cowmttto

I I The Impe of uralt pitqPM so lt WV letI Kay to

pliteti otth CA Crrsie A i Sashil

May 19I LaePlaifiteaiea 4d Weeleore Numasseew g Peubda goost le itatePOistIeleis

i t May ItiNCtle rtil JnitAli

ISMS to 1 l t t ilatVariables Al

isatal 11i1tt

it The~w to1OfS e e a e t Phte g 5 I 4P sot Hpdel JunA1oi Th eeLatin A erte s Su I il

I lit o f Usual Union tuaotet 1 Alsn JI

t aillttel

Change A Rios et toI r)eally it ampn toonwmto it14 Plt IIIa PorTuitc4nd Reality vile 1311i1101o bull

CA Cctvise I

335 Close Weeit ethe Uitd Steill A ctititl ampos4$- JA 1enioto The losses of iUdenem40 Nealtae mocers

S - aunt ) bull

Page 14: vBallelle - United States Agency for International

Meestings with the various roprosentatives identified support tor u b~tet t4 sponsored conference on Population Public Health and Development in Haiti currently scheduled to take place In late 190 The objective of the ceonfavese will be to bring together researchers government officials and program directors inorder to learn about and discuss population related issues The conference vuldprovide a forum for presentation of results from the heition Fertility Survey which could then serve as demograhic background for disculien e other ongoing and completed research endeavors inHaiti The Division d Hyltone Fautlialo i the most appropriate host tnatitution for the conference and Inpreparation Iattelle PDP plans to conduct a series of mnt-workshopsinorder to train the Division staff

The lattelle PDP sponsored analysis of the data from the Deschap) Jo region was capleteJ during the reprtitn period (PI00OAhtO6H07O) -The investigators have submitted a fellow-en proposal requstin8 fundinig for nine project papers which vill synthestie the results of their research

in the Deechapelles and Petit Goave areas (P0NAOOD)

Blatilelle DP currently developing a strategy paper for poulation and developnit asslstance to tgypt deslgned to prnote the utiliatin of population dynamics indevelopwnt planninl To this end the following subcentracts were Awarded during the reporting period

I Amiean University Celrol Workshop on gotial Research far Develepmot (PO57rYO)8 Dr $and cadalla

2 National Center for Soeieloacal and Criminological Research Catrnt Fertility Dyni r in Rural rgypt (POIAOLO)iDr Atof Rhalffa

Ale wder active coreidorati o ia

University of North Carolina Carolina Population Contert Ilrcalng Population Priority And Awareneo Aig Folitital And Cultural LeadershIp inEIypti Dr Abdei Oaran

Although e aettvitte were ueortaken in Jorde and Tunisia during this tim recent atttlle PVIear lat bureau meetinP have focused4n the eed for Battelle to itnlfltantly augment Its presone In the are Thereshytare prieuity will be Acerded to Rypt Turkey Jlrdan And Irte as Battelle PoP unands its actlvities InNorth Africa and the Near test

2I trCoitutriesl Brazil Nepal

awarded a subcontract to the AfsoclactooBra51151a doBattelle PDP hean Estudoo Populaitiona s (PO55BRO06) to publish aniddistribute the proceedings of a conference hed inOctober 1978 entitled IEncontro Nacional do

Dr Elsa Berquo isthe principal investigatorEstudos Populacion4ta

At the request of tne AIDMission Battelle PDP sent two technicians to to develop a film and to effect subcontractNepal inNovemberiDecemsber

activities on population and development issues Due to the extended nature

of their vipet (through mid-January) details of the trip will bu reported

later inBattelle PDs Trip Report series and subsequent Annual Report

1i1 MULTI-COUNTRY SUPPORT ACTIVITIES

A CUDICRS V)gJja

During the teporting period the design of this project underwent revision

Originally the focus wasn a hemispheric conference to encourage government to initiate commercial and comuunity-based family planningpolicyuaketr

lattells PDP undertook to arrange for seven presentations atservices the conference five reporting on major CBICRS projects inCentral and

South America and two reviewing and critiquing currentCBD and CRS activities

throughout the region These presentations prepared by Latin American experts the basisfor discussion of thewith Battelle DPassistancewere to serve as

utility and viability of such projects first at two small regional workshops for project manager contemplating similar activities and then after further

revision at a major meeting for poltymakers to be hosted by the Mexican

government

In line with the Initial plan seven Latin American experts identiAfied and assisted by Battelle D prepared reports on existing CUD and CKS projects and presented then inAugust 1979 at two workshops organised by Development

Associates Inc one inthDominican Republicand the other inColombia

The workhope did spark interest on the part of participants from three other Hooevertdicuesion with governshyeouptries inconsidtrins similar programs

ment officials cteal scientists and additional experts inthe field led

Battelle PD to suggest that an alternative and more effective mechanism for

extending distslbution of contraceptives in the region would be a publication presenters inassembling the collective experience and expertise of the seven

document could help convince policymakers planners healthone volume Ruch a administrators and program managers that CD and CAS progeraming on a large

cle hap proven to be a safe and acceptable approach to family planning in

both urban and rural coimunitiea toawell as provided how to do program guidelines

-13-

AccordinglyL BattelleiPDP developed and began to implement inthe remaining

experts will work intensively withthe presenters to revise and expand the

scope of their presentations through additional information data and analysis

B Assistance to the USAIDSudan CDSS (CountryDevelopment Strathay Statement)

In an effort to strengthen the analyses of population growth dynamice vis-a-vim the econoac development priorities of LDCs and AIDAfrica field missions the

Africa Bureau provided technical assistance to several sub-Sahara based missions in the preparation of their 1982 Country Development Strategy Statements With the concurrence of AIDSudan Battelle PVP dispatched two staff officials to Khartoum for two weeks in December 1979 Battelle PDPs analynis of the poor in Sudan and its overall input for the Sudan CDSS is contained in Trip Report 054

C Egypt - Population and Developmen Policy Pa er

At the request of AIDs Near East Bureau a policy paper on population and development dynamics in fgypt was prepared Thin document was used to orient Bureau officials on related events and patterns in Egypt and as a briefing paper for the Egypt consultative group meetings

D AfrIca-Initiatives

In concert with the Africa Bureaus strategy for population assistance to sub-Saharan Africa (reported in Battelle PDPs 1978-79 Annual Report Battelle intends to pursue popilation and development objectives in twelve (12)

countries (including Nigeria) designated as priority We have submitted at the Africa Bureaus request an abstract which outline the preparation of 1 country profiles entitled Assess Status of African Attitudes and Recommendations via-a-vis AID Population Assistance to Africa One outshystanding feature of this proposed activity Is the establishment of an African Advisory Committee on Population Assistance

-14shyP

IV OOUNT(Y PROJECT SUPPORTACTIVITIES---

A Proposal Development Review Process

As proposals are submitted to the Battelle PDP Program Battelle PD staff review them thoroughly for technical quality and program relevance In order to facilitate this complexs review procedure a Management Information System (MIS) has been created which documents each of the three Major steps required for all proposalat Project Development Activities Proposal Technical Review and Processing and Subcontract status

The Project Development Activities section shows trips made by Battelle PDP

staff the proposals related to each-trip and their receipt date Request included as well as travel and tripand concurence date for each trip are

report dates During the reporting period Battelle PDP staff made 10 trips to 11 countries

The Proposal Review Process section demonstrates specific steps required of are recorded as proposals enter each phases acknowltdgi

-Dateseach proposal ment and summary monitor and Battelle PDP staff review AIDPOP approval USAID (Mission) approval subcontract writing and signing This section also

sh wnvvhen and at which step proposals have been rejected or referred proposals submitted to Battelle PD receive a thorough review for technical quality and contractual specificity During the reporting period 15 proposals

4 have been funded 5 are currently under consideration~were reviewed of these for funding 2were rejected and 4 were referred

The section describing Subcontract Status indicates start and completion dates of subcontracts and due dates and receipt dates for both progress reports

Trom June 1977 through December 1979 64 proposals wereand final reports received by Rattelle PDPI 23 have become subcontracts obligating a total of

$665900 5 remain under consideration for funding-and 36 have been rejected or referred (see Table 1)

The MIS allows Battelle POP staff to identify clearly the processing stage of any proposal at any time This information has served to point out bottleshynecks which habitually delay the efficient processing of proposals and implementation of a project

--

Table I

PROJECT-TV-DATE SLWM O PROPOSAL ACTIVITY

June 1977- December 1979

Iroposays funded Under Rejectd or Country -~ ~ ~ Consideration Rfre

- o o1000) _~1000)-3ratl 3 8751 60 2 811

Chile 2 -- - - 2 -

Colombia 4 3256 1 27 - 3 297

Cost Rica 1 36 1 3

Ecuador S 2262 1 11 2 1289 2 66C

Egypt 3 1332 2 543 1 789 - shy

31 Salvador 4 610 2 573 -- - 2 237

customs 10 2917 5 1275 -- -- 5 1642

Haiti 2 1432 1 672 1 7860

Honduras 4 527 2 158 -- 2 369

Kopal 2 71)3- - 1 90 1 623 Nigeria 3 132j -- - -- - 3 132 Pakisatan 2 887 shy f-~ - - 2 88 Peru 14 4966 6 M)0 - 8 2416

Philippines 1 133 -- -- -1 133

s5 Total$ 64 1242401 23 AMS S 29481 31 1463

-16-

B Battelle PDP Fellows Program

The Battelle PDp Fllowis program isdesigned to increase the effectiveness of LDC decisionmakers who reside temporarily in the US for research or

training The program gives moderate financial assistance of up to $1500 to LDC dectsionmakers to facilitate their research and writing during their

periods of USresidence In addition PDP Fellows are brought together

with the Battelle PDP staff toediscuss at semiannual workshops the population policy implications of their research for their home countries

Funds provided to the Fellows may be used for computer costs research toassistance manuscript typing and limited travel within the US

professional meetings No stipends for maintenance are provided

Since its inception the Fellows Program has provideJ support for 19

Fellows Those completing their stays in the US have finished five

doctoral dissertations two MPH degrees and a number of research papers Five Fellows have returned tofor publication In their borne countries

their home countries and are working in population related activities

DrPL Joshi is Director of Research Planning and Evaluation for the

epat Drs Bayona Saravia and Alauddin havePopulation Commission of returned to teaching posts Elena Hurtado and Claudia Lecaros have resumed

research activities In9Guatemal and Colombi Two Fellows Teresa HO and

Helena Rib have been acepto to the Young Professionals program at the

World Bank and M Nisamuddin is currently on a short-term mission to Somalia for the Carolina Population Laboratories Several Fellows have

published articles in 1979 Including

Teresa Measuring Time Costs of Child Rearing In the Philippineo

Poplation and Development Review 514

and tconomic Change Battelle P orkingRio Roberto Family Sis Paper 13

Karim Nehtab 3ocioeconomic and Cultural Aspects of Marriage and

Fertility in Urban Pakistan task-West Population Institute

Pager 64

1attelle PD has designated certain of its Follows as Ovlrnla Follows in the U andIndicating that they have completed their residence

returned to their hoe country or they have Completed the intensive phase of their relationship with lattello pD rellows program and have accepted

now professional duties- attelle POP does in any ease send materials concerning the ellows progrm to all its current and Overseas Fellows

of intellectualwith the objective of maintaining and esnarging this network exchange long after the Fellows have returned to their roles as decisionshy

makern on population issues in their own coumtries

-17-

Battelle PDP Fellow

jMohsuuad AIAUVDIN Bangladesh ISWR Dacca Univereityl PhD Population Planning University of Michigan

Dr Alauddin completed his doctoral work in May 1979 on rural developshy

mnt and family planning behavior in Bangladesh villages His work as based

on the Bangladesh WFS data in combination with area data on rural fertility

He has returned to his administrative and teaching position with the Dacca University Institute of Social Welfare and Rsearch

Alberto BAYONAS Colombia Universidad Javerianat Fulbright Visiting Professhy

sor of Sociology Tulane University

Dr Bayonae study of population has included analysis of the 1973

census data on contextual factors influencing fertility and mortality in

Colombia He has nov returned to his post as Director of $ocial Studies at

Javerians University in Bogota

Melinda BACOL-MO TLLA Philippines NCSOg PhD candidate Sociology Utah

State University

Ms Bacol-Montilla began writing her dissertation on ethnolinguistic Her work is based on thegroup differentials in the Philippines in 1979

1973 National Demographic Survey

ur EZEKWK Nigeria

has focused her studies on marital patterns includingtMS Esekwe at marriage (IMAM) in selected Africanestimation of singulate mean age

countries assessing a reliable measure of marital patterns among European and non-European populations and the effect of bride price an fertility

hiu l Bangladesh University of Chittagonli PhD candidate - -ch of Education University of Michigan

was a student of Everett Rogers He received a Ford Foundation grant for five

Mr Haider became interested in population education while he

onmonths of field study in Bangladesh (Dec 78- May 79) to Bather data

nonformal population education programs associated with the integrated rural to the University of ichtdevelopment program He has recently returned

tan and is scheduled to complete his dissertation work in December 1979

anilal PhDTeresa JO Philippines University of the Philippines

candidate Food Research Institute Stanford University

Me No is investigating foale labor fore participation drawing on

Filipino data such as the tlma Multipurpose Household survey in which she

assisted as well so the andlMlysia surveys Upon finlshin8 her dissertashytion in April 1980 she will join the World lank in the Young Professioals

program In December 1979 Ma Mo published am article Msauring Time

Costs of Child Rearing inthe Philippines in gPoulatio and Devlopoetl

Overseas Fellows

GW INCA and Pu cHealth University of California Los Anampee

aHurtadooind ho-fa1owsproaramvhils-e avs tudyina-at UCLA

lin HD uatemala VSAIDGuatenalot MPH4 candidate School Of

where she wrote on determinants of use and Intended us of modern coetracepshytton in traditional and modern village of Guatemala InJuly of197$ she returned to Gustemals where she worked on an AID evaluation of family planning program In I1Quiche She isamong the firat of the PDP allows to return to her country and begin to contribute to policy development

L jOHIM Itepal esoarch ampad Ivaluation 1IQ ltnistry of Health Government of lepalPhD itastatstics University of California lerkley Dr Joahi completed his doctoral work inJune 1979 on the evaluation

of fatmly planning contination rates Nis research was based on data from the Nepal IS Ne has recently returned to his positton a director of re search planning and evaluation for the Population Comission of Nepal and he ebttted a proposal for PW fndin to Anilyss data on mternal and child health InNepal

a htab Pakiltan Institute of Developmest nocmies Qaid Al an U rItyi PhD Candidateo SocloLy Cornell Universlty

Mr WrIN has viittoe on age at marriagO and fertility inPakistan using data free the Nlational Impact Survey for his doctoral work he to developing a project with I the Sysod of the Population Pilenins Costenson and Profaeor Peter Slth on the female life cycle from monrche to first parturition Ne has Just publishd Secoen mc and Cultural Aspects of

rriage 4n PeitilY tn Urban Pakistan through the hatVetdeg leatitato d pians to complete his dissertation tn Spring log0

-- A Colombis Universdad do to Adeel PhD Scheol of Ucatiml S-Ita atv roltyfrO

or locares wrete her diesertation On education dovelopmet and incom Inl rural Celembia Ner work is based an data draw fromi the 1913 onsum and the Agrarian Cemleus of 1910-71 She returned to the Umiversidad do lee asdea Cele nas in0 eteOer 1978

JII OM Pakistan Ppulatte plamaing Cnteslt lalmabd PhD ulaioPlon holveraity of Mightn

is 191 tDr IiamddIn iished his dissearation the aeeptability ot faally planimg itrural Pakista So direteild the Pakistan Fertility Survey as Deputy Diretor of the Populatiu Planns Coissie snd analyced that dataF his doetoral eeare e I currently a Shert-term misa1Lim te SeMeli for the Carolina Poplaties lob

pound ailm 15 and NanaemeatE Philippines College of Develepaset 9eonsees aivr 17 C the lPili PhD candidate I eesice Vale UaivorlI lsont Alty

me qwiu stJene the POP follews Program ioJune 1919 She Isworkshytnl wits data fro the Lagima ad Steel Surveys to 0ema1n the Lber supply in the Philippnlse

Imctute

PhD nLdiddte schl of public eilth Karvard ilvers ty

Mrs Raymand to werktag with date (trm tho niliPPIn Satiftsl DOshygraphic Survey of 19) Rho i eganinlng postparLm t

GiMsa RJ A Phillppiei i oerty W1 the Phllptsi r ltwatiO

enoorrhea breasfeodnll

f bull bull bull bull bull - l

practice socioeconomic differential and their relationships to fortilityi lihe plantia completeherdiaertationin Jne 1990

ejlena R Colombia Univerldad do Jos Andes logota PhD Economics University

Msi Ribs completed het dissertation on the consequences of migration in Colombia in October 1979 She Is currently working on a postdoctoral research project on fertility aspects of the 1973 census Ma Ribs has been selected to join the Young Professionals program at the World Bank

Robertol0e Peru Univereidad do gan Harcost PhD candidate Columbia svermity 14

Mr Rios is In the last phase of completion of a doctoral dissertation eamning ocular trends In mortality and fertility In Latin America He haos noted in his work a mote rapid fertility decline than was typical of the Eushy

ropean demolraphic transition Mr Rios recently contributed 1PW Working Paper 913 entitled Family Site and Economic Change

lgnira MSYZi21 CkGatmala Instituto do Nutriclon de Centro Aaerica y anma (INCA) Guatemala City PhD candidate School of Public Health University of California Los Angeles

Ms Rosenhouse Is writing her dissertation on the evaluation of the validity of attitudinal survey data on fertility-related topics adminisshytared i Guatela Nter work is based on the INCAP-AXD data and focuses primarily on doetted family ise

JsL1AMVampA Colombia Univereidad del Vll del Caucal PhD Land Tenure Center University of Wisconsin Madison

Dr Saravia coploted his doctoral work In 1971 on rural development and health status in Colombia He ueed data from a 1973 health and nutrition survey Ne has returned to his faculty position in the School af Economies iniversidad del Vails del Caous

2911hotu L oJBrasil Iatitute Getull Vargas PhD candidate teshyi 7nosteUiversity of ChicagoJ

Mr sedlacek joined tle POP allows progrm im October 1971 shortly after he began work en a stud- of fertility and wmons work patterns In Brasil and the US with JamoeHeckia and the Stanford Research Institute No Intends to adapt economttii modeling techniques ho t currently developshyn to use on survey data fro eoaulo Brasil

la MUAP Nepeli PhD adidat Population Studies ad Training Center

grown University

FDP Fellw hapa s Frtility survey Of 1974 us carried out the initial parof the research

at the Rest-Vest Cater and has returned to rown University to complete his dissertation in September 1910 is research currently underway concerns estimating trends and levels of Infant mortality and fertility

As the novst Mr I analysing data tree the Sepal

-20

IsttelriP Vokpra~~-c--

Battelle pDp staff and Yellos are encouraged to submit papers for The foloingincorporation Into the Battelle PD Working Paper seies

papers have been issued to date

AlMtLL PDKiUna Iufi

Title Authow(s) Date

ChanOle UP Heareesep Ot Is ThirhouIptan foetility

I 1041i0camOo$ ond family Plsnnisu

Nfi l2 BoxDifeoso Itthe Wsteot to i P 1tle OctIo A4gotlu si Owlelo in C Yarrolil Clas n$lt

J aiSNRIal Guatemsala 1pound11

14

olt iIConsequence 0Mo0llos to S ahCentitbution of Auihroelogsts to VCetoe vI

ot Iamp Velltell p~ |t13lNeceove NisPopltie evele V Ntlpm[ ga It 4 l afliiplatt - Note Punittenm lat Anlst$ V1tteteooy fobIt shy

tleferilityp MWAsols4 later- J lltlt robt7 eatol ind~t Variables fit 5~t Afab Cowmttto

I I The Impe of uralt pitqPM so lt WV letI Kay to

pliteti otth CA Crrsie A i Sashil

May 19I LaePlaifiteaiea 4d Weeleore Numasseew g Peubda goost le itatePOistIeleis

i t May ItiNCtle rtil JnitAli

ISMS to 1 l t t ilatVariables Al

isatal 11i1tt

it The~w to1OfS e e a e t Phte g 5 I 4P sot Hpdel JunA1oi Th eeLatin A erte s Su I il

I lit o f Usual Union tuaotet 1 Alsn JI

t aillttel

Change A Rios et toI r)eally it ampn toonwmto it14 Plt IIIa PorTuitc4nd Reality vile 1311i1101o bull

CA Cctvise I

335 Close Weeit ethe Uitd Steill A ctititl ampos4$- JA 1enioto The losses of iUdenem40 Nealtae mocers

S - aunt ) bull

Page 15: vBallelle - United States Agency for International

2I trCoitutriesl Brazil Nepal

awarded a subcontract to the AfsoclactooBra51151a doBattelle PDP hean Estudoo Populaitiona s (PO55BRO06) to publish aniddistribute the proceedings of a conference hed inOctober 1978 entitled IEncontro Nacional do

Dr Elsa Berquo isthe principal investigatorEstudos Populacion4ta

At the request of tne AIDMission Battelle PDP sent two technicians to to develop a film and to effect subcontractNepal inNovemberiDecemsber

activities on population and development issues Due to the extended nature

of their vipet (through mid-January) details of the trip will bu reported

later inBattelle PDs Trip Report series and subsequent Annual Report

1i1 MULTI-COUNTRY SUPPORT ACTIVITIES

A CUDICRS V)gJja

During the teporting period the design of this project underwent revision

Originally the focus wasn a hemispheric conference to encourage government to initiate commercial and comuunity-based family planningpolicyuaketr

lattells PDP undertook to arrange for seven presentations atservices the conference five reporting on major CBICRS projects inCentral and

South America and two reviewing and critiquing currentCBD and CRS activities

throughout the region These presentations prepared by Latin American experts the basisfor discussion of thewith Battelle DPassistancewere to serve as

utility and viability of such projects first at two small regional workshops for project manager contemplating similar activities and then after further

revision at a major meeting for poltymakers to be hosted by the Mexican

government

In line with the Initial plan seven Latin American experts identiAfied and assisted by Battelle D prepared reports on existing CUD and CKS projects and presented then inAugust 1979 at two workshops organised by Development

Associates Inc one inthDominican Republicand the other inColombia

The workhope did spark interest on the part of participants from three other Hooevertdicuesion with governshyeouptries inconsidtrins similar programs

ment officials cteal scientists and additional experts inthe field led

Battelle PD to suggest that an alternative and more effective mechanism for

extending distslbution of contraceptives in the region would be a publication presenters inassembling the collective experience and expertise of the seven

document could help convince policymakers planners healthone volume Ruch a administrators and program managers that CD and CAS progeraming on a large

cle hap proven to be a safe and acceptable approach to family planning in

both urban and rural coimunitiea toawell as provided how to do program guidelines

-13-

AccordinglyL BattelleiPDP developed and began to implement inthe remaining

experts will work intensively withthe presenters to revise and expand the

scope of their presentations through additional information data and analysis

B Assistance to the USAIDSudan CDSS (CountryDevelopment Strathay Statement)

In an effort to strengthen the analyses of population growth dynamice vis-a-vim the econoac development priorities of LDCs and AIDAfrica field missions the

Africa Bureau provided technical assistance to several sub-Sahara based missions in the preparation of their 1982 Country Development Strategy Statements With the concurrence of AIDSudan Battelle PVP dispatched two staff officials to Khartoum for two weeks in December 1979 Battelle PDPs analynis of the poor in Sudan and its overall input for the Sudan CDSS is contained in Trip Report 054

C Egypt - Population and Developmen Policy Pa er

At the request of AIDs Near East Bureau a policy paper on population and development dynamics in fgypt was prepared Thin document was used to orient Bureau officials on related events and patterns in Egypt and as a briefing paper for the Egypt consultative group meetings

D AfrIca-Initiatives

In concert with the Africa Bureaus strategy for population assistance to sub-Saharan Africa (reported in Battelle PDPs 1978-79 Annual Report Battelle intends to pursue popilation and development objectives in twelve (12)

countries (including Nigeria) designated as priority We have submitted at the Africa Bureaus request an abstract which outline the preparation of 1 country profiles entitled Assess Status of African Attitudes and Recommendations via-a-vis AID Population Assistance to Africa One outshystanding feature of this proposed activity Is the establishment of an African Advisory Committee on Population Assistance

-14shyP

IV OOUNT(Y PROJECT SUPPORTACTIVITIES---

A Proposal Development Review Process

As proposals are submitted to the Battelle PDP Program Battelle PD staff review them thoroughly for technical quality and program relevance In order to facilitate this complexs review procedure a Management Information System (MIS) has been created which documents each of the three Major steps required for all proposalat Project Development Activities Proposal Technical Review and Processing and Subcontract status

The Project Development Activities section shows trips made by Battelle PDP

staff the proposals related to each-trip and their receipt date Request included as well as travel and tripand concurence date for each trip are

report dates During the reporting period Battelle PDP staff made 10 trips to 11 countries

The Proposal Review Process section demonstrates specific steps required of are recorded as proposals enter each phases acknowltdgi

-Dateseach proposal ment and summary monitor and Battelle PDP staff review AIDPOP approval USAID (Mission) approval subcontract writing and signing This section also

sh wnvvhen and at which step proposals have been rejected or referred proposals submitted to Battelle PD receive a thorough review for technical quality and contractual specificity During the reporting period 15 proposals

4 have been funded 5 are currently under consideration~were reviewed of these for funding 2were rejected and 4 were referred

The section describing Subcontract Status indicates start and completion dates of subcontracts and due dates and receipt dates for both progress reports

Trom June 1977 through December 1979 64 proposals wereand final reports received by Rattelle PDPI 23 have become subcontracts obligating a total of

$665900 5 remain under consideration for funding-and 36 have been rejected or referred (see Table 1)

The MIS allows Battelle POP staff to identify clearly the processing stage of any proposal at any time This information has served to point out bottleshynecks which habitually delay the efficient processing of proposals and implementation of a project

--

Table I

PROJECT-TV-DATE SLWM O PROPOSAL ACTIVITY

June 1977- December 1979

Iroposays funded Under Rejectd or Country -~ ~ ~ Consideration Rfre

- o o1000) _~1000)-3ratl 3 8751 60 2 811

Chile 2 -- - - 2 -

Colombia 4 3256 1 27 - 3 297

Cost Rica 1 36 1 3

Ecuador S 2262 1 11 2 1289 2 66C

Egypt 3 1332 2 543 1 789 - shy

31 Salvador 4 610 2 573 -- - 2 237

customs 10 2917 5 1275 -- -- 5 1642

Haiti 2 1432 1 672 1 7860

Honduras 4 527 2 158 -- 2 369

Kopal 2 71)3- - 1 90 1 623 Nigeria 3 132j -- - -- - 3 132 Pakisatan 2 887 shy f-~ - - 2 88 Peru 14 4966 6 M)0 - 8 2416

Philippines 1 133 -- -- -1 133

s5 Total$ 64 1242401 23 AMS S 29481 31 1463

-16-

B Battelle PDP Fellows Program

The Battelle PDp Fllowis program isdesigned to increase the effectiveness of LDC decisionmakers who reside temporarily in the US for research or

training The program gives moderate financial assistance of up to $1500 to LDC dectsionmakers to facilitate their research and writing during their

periods of USresidence In addition PDP Fellows are brought together

with the Battelle PDP staff toediscuss at semiannual workshops the population policy implications of their research for their home countries

Funds provided to the Fellows may be used for computer costs research toassistance manuscript typing and limited travel within the US

professional meetings No stipends for maintenance are provided

Since its inception the Fellows Program has provideJ support for 19

Fellows Those completing their stays in the US have finished five

doctoral dissertations two MPH degrees and a number of research papers Five Fellows have returned tofor publication In their borne countries

their home countries and are working in population related activities

DrPL Joshi is Director of Research Planning and Evaluation for the

epat Drs Bayona Saravia and Alauddin havePopulation Commission of returned to teaching posts Elena Hurtado and Claudia Lecaros have resumed

research activities In9Guatemal and Colombi Two Fellows Teresa HO and

Helena Rib have been acepto to the Young Professionals program at the

World Bank and M Nisamuddin is currently on a short-term mission to Somalia for the Carolina Population Laboratories Several Fellows have

published articles in 1979 Including

Teresa Measuring Time Costs of Child Rearing In the Philippineo

Poplation and Development Review 514

and tconomic Change Battelle P orkingRio Roberto Family Sis Paper 13

Karim Nehtab 3ocioeconomic and Cultural Aspects of Marriage and

Fertility in Urban Pakistan task-West Population Institute

Pager 64

1attelle PD has designated certain of its Follows as Ovlrnla Follows in the U andIndicating that they have completed their residence

returned to their hoe country or they have Completed the intensive phase of their relationship with lattello pD rellows program and have accepted

now professional duties- attelle POP does in any ease send materials concerning the ellows progrm to all its current and Overseas Fellows

of intellectualwith the objective of maintaining and esnarging this network exchange long after the Fellows have returned to their roles as decisionshy

makern on population issues in their own coumtries

-17-

Battelle PDP Fellow

jMohsuuad AIAUVDIN Bangladesh ISWR Dacca Univereityl PhD Population Planning University of Michigan

Dr Alauddin completed his doctoral work in May 1979 on rural developshy

mnt and family planning behavior in Bangladesh villages His work as based

on the Bangladesh WFS data in combination with area data on rural fertility

He has returned to his administrative and teaching position with the Dacca University Institute of Social Welfare and Rsearch

Alberto BAYONAS Colombia Universidad Javerianat Fulbright Visiting Professhy

sor of Sociology Tulane University

Dr Bayonae study of population has included analysis of the 1973

census data on contextual factors influencing fertility and mortality in

Colombia He has nov returned to his post as Director of $ocial Studies at

Javerians University in Bogota

Melinda BACOL-MO TLLA Philippines NCSOg PhD candidate Sociology Utah

State University

Ms Bacol-Montilla began writing her dissertation on ethnolinguistic Her work is based on thegroup differentials in the Philippines in 1979

1973 National Demographic Survey

ur EZEKWK Nigeria

has focused her studies on marital patterns includingtMS Esekwe at marriage (IMAM) in selected Africanestimation of singulate mean age

countries assessing a reliable measure of marital patterns among European and non-European populations and the effect of bride price an fertility

hiu l Bangladesh University of Chittagonli PhD candidate - -ch of Education University of Michigan

was a student of Everett Rogers He received a Ford Foundation grant for five

Mr Haider became interested in population education while he

onmonths of field study in Bangladesh (Dec 78- May 79) to Bather data

nonformal population education programs associated with the integrated rural to the University of ichtdevelopment program He has recently returned

tan and is scheduled to complete his dissertation work in December 1979

anilal PhDTeresa JO Philippines University of the Philippines

candidate Food Research Institute Stanford University

Me No is investigating foale labor fore participation drawing on

Filipino data such as the tlma Multipurpose Household survey in which she

assisted as well so the andlMlysia surveys Upon finlshin8 her dissertashytion in April 1980 she will join the World lank in the Young Professioals

program In December 1979 Ma Mo published am article Msauring Time

Costs of Child Rearing inthe Philippines in gPoulatio and Devlopoetl

Overseas Fellows

GW INCA and Pu cHealth University of California Los Anampee

aHurtadooind ho-fa1owsproaramvhils-e avs tudyina-at UCLA

lin HD uatemala VSAIDGuatenalot MPH4 candidate School Of

where she wrote on determinants of use and Intended us of modern coetracepshytton in traditional and modern village of Guatemala InJuly of197$ she returned to Gustemals where she worked on an AID evaluation of family planning program In I1Quiche She isamong the firat of the PDP allows to return to her country and begin to contribute to policy development

L jOHIM Itepal esoarch ampad Ivaluation 1IQ ltnistry of Health Government of lepalPhD itastatstics University of California lerkley Dr Joahi completed his doctoral work inJune 1979 on the evaluation

of fatmly planning contination rates Nis research was based on data from the Nepal IS Ne has recently returned to his positton a director of re search planning and evaluation for the Population Comission of Nepal and he ebttted a proposal for PW fndin to Anilyss data on mternal and child health InNepal

a htab Pakiltan Institute of Developmest nocmies Qaid Al an U rItyi PhD Candidateo SocloLy Cornell Universlty

Mr WrIN has viittoe on age at marriagO and fertility inPakistan using data free the Nlational Impact Survey for his doctoral work he to developing a project with I the Sysod of the Population Pilenins Costenson and Profaeor Peter Slth on the female life cycle from monrche to first parturition Ne has Just publishd Secoen mc and Cultural Aspects of

rriage 4n PeitilY tn Urban Pakistan through the hatVetdeg leatitato d pians to complete his dissertation tn Spring log0

-- A Colombis Universdad do to Adeel PhD Scheol of Ucatiml S-Ita atv roltyfrO

or locares wrete her diesertation On education dovelopmet and incom Inl rural Celembia Ner work is based an data draw fromi the 1913 onsum and the Agrarian Cemleus of 1910-71 She returned to the Umiversidad do lee asdea Cele nas in0 eteOer 1978

JII OM Pakistan Ppulatte plamaing Cnteslt lalmabd PhD ulaioPlon holveraity of Mightn

is 191 tDr IiamddIn iished his dissearation the aeeptability ot faally planimg itrural Pakista So direteild the Pakistan Fertility Survey as Deputy Diretor of the Populatiu Planns Coissie snd analyced that dataF his doetoral eeare e I currently a Shert-term misa1Lim te SeMeli for the Carolina Poplaties lob

pound ailm 15 and NanaemeatE Philippines College of Develepaset 9eonsees aivr 17 C the lPili PhD candidate I eesice Vale UaivorlI lsont Alty

me qwiu stJene the POP follews Program ioJune 1919 She Isworkshytnl wits data fro the Lagima ad Steel Surveys to 0ema1n the Lber supply in the Philippnlse

Imctute

PhD nLdiddte schl of public eilth Karvard ilvers ty

Mrs Raymand to werktag with date (trm tho niliPPIn Satiftsl DOshygraphic Survey of 19) Rho i eganinlng postparLm t

GiMsa RJ A Phillppiei i oerty W1 the Phllptsi r ltwatiO

enoorrhea breasfeodnll

f bull bull bull bull bull - l

practice socioeconomic differential and their relationships to fortilityi lihe plantia completeherdiaertationin Jne 1990

ejlena R Colombia Univerldad do Jos Andes logota PhD Economics University

Msi Ribs completed het dissertation on the consequences of migration in Colombia in October 1979 She Is currently working on a postdoctoral research project on fertility aspects of the 1973 census Ma Ribs has been selected to join the Young Professionals program at the World Bank

Robertol0e Peru Univereidad do gan Harcost PhD candidate Columbia svermity 14

Mr Rios is In the last phase of completion of a doctoral dissertation eamning ocular trends In mortality and fertility In Latin America He haos noted in his work a mote rapid fertility decline than was typical of the Eushy

ropean demolraphic transition Mr Rios recently contributed 1PW Working Paper 913 entitled Family Site and Economic Change

lgnira MSYZi21 CkGatmala Instituto do Nutriclon de Centro Aaerica y anma (INCA) Guatemala City PhD candidate School of Public Health University of California Los Angeles

Ms Rosenhouse Is writing her dissertation on the evaluation of the validity of attitudinal survey data on fertility-related topics adminisshytared i Guatela Nter work is based on the INCAP-AXD data and focuses primarily on doetted family ise

JsL1AMVampA Colombia Univereidad del Vll del Caucal PhD Land Tenure Center University of Wisconsin Madison

Dr Saravia coploted his doctoral work In 1971 on rural development and health status in Colombia He ueed data from a 1973 health and nutrition survey Ne has returned to his faculty position in the School af Economies iniversidad del Vails del Caous

2911hotu L oJBrasil Iatitute Getull Vargas PhD candidate teshyi 7nosteUiversity of ChicagoJ

Mr sedlacek joined tle POP allows progrm im October 1971 shortly after he began work en a stud- of fertility and wmons work patterns In Brasil and the US with JamoeHeckia and the Stanford Research Institute No Intends to adapt economttii modeling techniques ho t currently developshyn to use on survey data fro eoaulo Brasil

la MUAP Nepeli PhD adidat Population Studies ad Training Center

grown University

FDP Fellw hapa s Frtility survey Of 1974 us carried out the initial parof the research

at the Rest-Vest Cater and has returned to rown University to complete his dissertation in September 1910 is research currently underway concerns estimating trends and levels of Infant mortality and fertility

As the novst Mr I analysing data tree the Sepal

-20

IsttelriP Vokpra~~-c--

Battelle pDp staff and Yellos are encouraged to submit papers for The foloingincorporation Into the Battelle PD Working Paper seies

papers have been issued to date

AlMtLL PDKiUna Iufi

Title Authow(s) Date

ChanOle UP Heareesep Ot Is ThirhouIptan foetility

I 1041i0camOo$ ond family Plsnnisu

Nfi l2 BoxDifeoso Itthe Wsteot to i P 1tle OctIo A4gotlu si Owlelo in C Yarrolil Clas n$lt

J aiSNRIal Guatemsala 1pound11

14

olt iIConsequence 0Mo0llos to S ahCentitbution of Auihroelogsts to VCetoe vI

ot Iamp Velltell p~ |t13lNeceove NisPopltie evele V Ntlpm[ ga It 4 l afliiplatt - Note Punittenm lat Anlst$ V1tteteooy fobIt shy

tleferilityp MWAsols4 later- J lltlt robt7 eatol ind~t Variables fit 5~t Afab Cowmttto

I I The Impe of uralt pitqPM so lt WV letI Kay to

pliteti otth CA Crrsie A i Sashil

May 19I LaePlaifiteaiea 4d Weeleore Numasseew g Peubda goost le itatePOistIeleis

i t May ItiNCtle rtil JnitAli

ISMS to 1 l t t ilatVariables Al

isatal 11i1tt

it The~w to1OfS e e a e t Phte g 5 I 4P sot Hpdel JunA1oi Th eeLatin A erte s Su I il

I lit o f Usual Union tuaotet 1 Alsn JI

t aillttel

Change A Rios et toI r)eally it ampn toonwmto it14 Plt IIIa PorTuitc4nd Reality vile 1311i1101o bull

CA Cctvise I

335 Close Weeit ethe Uitd Steill A ctititl ampos4$- JA 1enioto The losses of iUdenem40 Nealtae mocers

S - aunt ) bull

Page 16: vBallelle - United States Agency for International

-13-

AccordinglyL BattelleiPDP developed and began to implement inthe remaining

experts will work intensively withthe presenters to revise and expand the

scope of their presentations through additional information data and analysis

B Assistance to the USAIDSudan CDSS (CountryDevelopment Strathay Statement)

In an effort to strengthen the analyses of population growth dynamice vis-a-vim the econoac development priorities of LDCs and AIDAfrica field missions the

Africa Bureau provided technical assistance to several sub-Sahara based missions in the preparation of their 1982 Country Development Strategy Statements With the concurrence of AIDSudan Battelle PVP dispatched two staff officials to Khartoum for two weeks in December 1979 Battelle PDPs analynis of the poor in Sudan and its overall input for the Sudan CDSS is contained in Trip Report 054

C Egypt - Population and Developmen Policy Pa er

At the request of AIDs Near East Bureau a policy paper on population and development dynamics in fgypt was prepared Thin document was used to orient Bureau officials on related events and patterns in Egypt and as a briefing paper for the Egypt consultative group meetings

D AfrIca-Initiatives

In concert with the Africa Bureaus strategy for population assistance to sub-Saharan Africa (reported in Battelle PDPs 1978-79 Annual Report Battelle intends to pursue popilation and development objectives in twelve (12)

countries (including Nigeria) designated as priority We have submitted at the Africa Bureaus request an abstract which outline the preparation of 1 country profiles entitled Assess Status of African Attitudes and Recommendations via-a-vis AID Population Assistance to Africa One outshystanding feature of this proposed activity Is the establishment of an African Advisory Committee on Population Assistance

-14shyP

IV OOUNT(Y PROJECT SUPPORTACTIVITIES---

A Proposal Development Review Process

As proposals are submitted to the Battelle PDP Program Battelle PD staff review them thoroughly for technical quality and program relevance In order to facilitate this complexs review procedure a Management Information System (MIS) has been created which documents each of the three Major steps required for all proposalat Project Development Activities Proposal Technical Review and Processing and Subcontract status

The Project Development Activities section shows trips made by Battelle PDP

staff the proposals related to each-trip and their receipt date Request included as well as travel and tripand concurence date for each trip are

report dates During the reporting period Battelle PDP staff made 10 trips to 11 countries

The Proposal Review Process section demonstrates specific steps required of are recorded as proposals enter each phases acknowltdgi

-Dateseach proposal ment and summary monitor and Battelle PDP staff review AIDPOP approval USAID (Mission) approval subcontract writing and signing This section also

sh wnvvhen and at which step proposals have been rejected or referred proposals submitted to Battelle PD receive a thorough review for technical quality and contractual specificity During the reporting period 15 proposals

4 have been funded 5 are currently under consideration~were reviewed of these for funding 2were rejected and 4 were referred

The section describing Subcontract Status indicates start and completion dates of subcontracts and due dates and receipt dates for both progress reports

Trom June 1977 through December 1979 64 proposals wereand final reports received by Rattelle PDPI 23 have become subcontracts obligating a total of

$665900 5 remain under consideration for funding-and 36 have been rejected or referred (see Table 1)

The MIS allows Battelle POP staff to identify clearly the processing stage of any proposal at any time This information has served to point out bottleshynecks which habitually delay the efficient processing of proposals and implementation of a project

--

Table I

PROJECT-TV-DATE SLWM O PROPOSAL ACTIVITY

June 1977- December 1979

Iroposays funded Under Rejectd or Country -~ ~ ~ Consideration Rfre

- o o1000) _~1000)-3ratl 3 8751 60 2 811

Chile 2 -- - - 2 -

Colombia 4 3256 1 27 - 3 297

Cost Rica 1 36 1 3

Ecuador S 2262 1 11 2 1289 2 66C

Egypt 3 1332 2 543 1 789 - shy

31 Salvador 4 610 2 573 -- - 2 237

customs 10 2917 5 1275 -- -- 5 1642

Haiti 2 1432 1 672 1 7860

Honduras 4 527 2 158 -- 2 369

Kopal 2 71)3- - 1 90 1 623 Nigeria 3 132j -- - -- - 3 132 Pakisatan 2 887 shy f-~ - - 2 88 Peru 14 4966 6 M)0 - 8 2416

Philippines 1 133 -- -- -1 133

s5 Total$ 64 1242401 23 AMS S 29481 31 1463

-16-

B Battelle PDP Fellows Program

The Battelle PDp Fllowis program isdesigned to increase the effectiveness of LDC decisionmakers who reside temporarily in the US for research or

training The program gives moderate financial assistance of up to $1500 to LDC dectsionmakers to facilitate their research and writing during their

periods of USresidence In addition PDP Fellows are brought together

with the Battelle PDP staff toediscuss at semiannual workshops the population policy implications of their research for their home countries

Funds provided to the Fellows may be used for computer costs research toassistance manuscript typing and limited travel within the US

professional meetings No stipends for maintenance are provided

Since its inception the Fellows Program has provideJ support for 19

Fellows Those completing their stays in the US have finished five

doctoral dissertations two MPH degrees and a number of research papers Five Fellows have returned tofor publication In their borne countries

their home countries and are working in population related activities

DrPL Joshi is Director of Research Planning and Evaluation for the

epat Drs Bayona Saravia and Alauddin havePopulation Commission of returned to teaching posts Elena Hurtado and Claudia Lecaros have resumed

research activities In9Guatemal and Colombi Two Fellows Teresa HO and

Helena Rib have been acepto to the Young Professionals program at the

World Bank and M Nisamuddin is currently on a short-term mission to Somalia for the Carolina Population Laboratories Several Fellows have

published articles in 1979 Including

Teresa Measuring Time Costs of Child Rearing In the Philippineo

Poplation and Development Review 514

and tconomic Change Battelle P orkingRio Roberto Family Sis Paper 13

Karim Nehtab 3ocioeconomic and Cultural Aspects of Marriage and

Fertility in Urban Pakistan task-West Population Institute

Pager 64

1attelle PD has designated certain of its Follows as Ovlrnla Follows in the U andIndicating that they have completed their residence

returned to their hoe country or they have Completed the intensive phase of their relationship with lattello pD rellows program and have accepted

now professional duties- attelle POP does in any ease send materials concerning the ellows progrm to all its current and Overseas Fellows

of intellectualwith the objective of maintaining and esnarging this network exchange long after the Fellows have returned to their roles as decisionshy

makern on population issues in their own coumtries

-17-

Battelle PDP Fellow

jMohsuuad AIAUVDIN Bangladesh ISWR Dacca Univereityl PhD Population Planning University of Michigan

Dr Alauddin completed his doctoral work in May 1979 on rural developshy

mnt and family planning behavior in Bangladesh villages His work as based

on the Bangladesh WFS data in combination with area data on rural fertility

He has returned to his administrative and teaching position with the Dacca University Institute of Social Welfare and Rsearch

Alberto BAYONAS Colombia Universidad Javerianat Fulbright Visiting Professhy

sor of Sociology Tulane University

Dr Bayonae study of population has included analysis of the 1973

census data on contextual factors influencing fertility and mortality in

Colombia He has nov returned to his post as Director of $ocial Studies at

Javerians University in Bogota

Melinda BACOL-MO TLLA Philippines NCSOg PhD candidate Sociology Utah

State University

Ms Bacol-Montilla began writing her dissertation on ethnolinguistic Her work is based on thegroup differentials in the Philippines in 1979

1973 National Demographic Survey

ur EZEKWK Nigeria

has focused her studies on marital patterns includingtMS Esekwe at marriage (IMAM) in selected Africanestimation of singulate mean age

countries assessing a reliable measure of marital patterns among European and non-European populations and the effect of bride price an fertility

hiu l Bangladesh University of Chittagonli PhD candidate - -ch of Education University of Michigan

was a student of Everett Rogers He received a Ford Foundation grant for five

Mr Haider became interested in population education while he

onmonths of field study in Bangladesh (Dec 78- May 79) to Bather data

nonformal population education programs associated with the integrated rural to the University of ichtdevelopment program He has recently returned

tan and is scheduled to complete his dissertation work in December 1979

anilal PhDTeresa JO Philippines University of the Philippines

candidate Food Research Institute Stanford University

Me No is investigating foale labor fore participation drawing on

Filipino data such as the tlma Multipurpose Household survey in which she

assisted as well so the andlMlysia surveys Upon finlshin8 her dissertashytion in April 1980 she will join the World lank in the Young Professioals

program In December 1979 Ma Mo published am article Msauring Time

Costs of Child Rearing inthe Philippines in gPoulatio and Devlopoetl

Overseas Fellows

GW INCA and Pu cHealth University of California Los Anampee

aHurtadooind ho-fa1owsproaramvhils-e avs tudyina-at UCLA

lin HD uatemala VSAIDGuatenalot MPH4 candidate School Of

where she wrote on determinants of use and Intended us of modern coetracepshytton in traditional and modern village of Guatemala InJuly of197$ she returned to Gustemals where she worked on an AID evaluation of family planning program In I1Quiche She isamong the firat of the PDP allows to return to her country and begin to contribute to policy development

L jOHIM Itepal esoarch ampad Ivaluation 1IQ ltnistry of Health Government of lepalPhD itastatstics University of California lerkley Dr Joahi completed his doctoral work inJune 1979 on the evaluation

of fatmly planning contination rates Nis research was based on data from the Nepal IS Ne has recently returned to his positton a director of re search planning and evaluation for the Population Comission of Nepal and he ebttted a proposal for PW fndin to Anilyss data on mternal and child health InNepal

a htab Pakiltan Institute of Developmest nocmies Qaid Al an U rItyi PhD Candidateo SocloLy Cornell Universlty

Mr WrIN has viittoe on age at marriagO and fertility inPakistan using data free the Nlational Impact Survey for his doctoral work he to developing a project with I the Sysod of the Population Pilenins Costenson and Profaeor Peter Slth on the female life cycle from monrche to first parturition Ne has Just publishd Secoen mc and Cultural Aspects of

rriage 4n PeitilY tn Urban Pakistan through the hatVetdeg leatitato d pians to complete his dissertation tn Spring log0

-- A Colombis Universdad do to Adeel PhD Scheol of Ucatiml S-Ita atv roltyfrO

or locares wrete her diesertation On education dovelopmet and incom Inl rural Celembia Ner work is based an data draw fromi the 1913 onsum and the Agrarian Cemleus of 1910-71 She returned to the Umiversidad do lee asdea Cele nas in0 eteOer 1978

JII OM Pakistan Ppulatte plamaing Cnteslt lalmabd PhD ulaioPlon holveraity of Mightn

is 191 tDr IiamddIn iished his dissearation the aeeptability ot faally planimg itrural Pakista So direteild the Pakistan Fertility Survey as Deputy Diretor of the Populatiu Planns Coissie snd analyced that dataF his doetoral eeare e I currently a Shert-term misa1Lim te SeMeli for the Carolina Poplaties lob

pound ailm 15 and NanaemeatE Philippines College of Develepaset 9eonsees aivr 17 C the lPili PhD candidate I eesice Vale UaivorlI lsont Alty

me qwiu stJene the POP follews Program ioJune 1919 She Isworkshytnl wits data fro the Lagima ad Steel Surveys to 0ema1n the Lber supply in the Philippnlse

Imctute

PhD nLdiddte schl of public eilth Karvard ilvers ty

Mrs Raymand to werktag with date (trm tho niliPPIn Satiftsl DOshygraphic Survey of 19) Rho i eganinlng postparLm t

GiMsa RJ A Phillppiei i oerty W1 the Phllptsi r ltwatiO

enoorrhea breasfeodnll

f bull bull bull bull bull - l

practice socioeconomic differential and their relationships to fortilityi lihe plantia completeherdiaertationin Jne 1990

ejlena R Colombia Univerldad do Jos Andes logota PhD Economics University

Msi Ribs completed het dissertation on the consequences of migration in Colombia in October 1979 She Is currently working on a postdoctoral research project on fertility aspects of the 1973 census Ma Ribs has been selected to join the Young Professionals program at the World Bank

Robertol0e Peru Univereidad do gan Harcost PhD candidate Columbia svermity 14

Mr Rios is In the last phase of completion of a doctoral dissertation eamning ocular trends In mortality and fertility In Latin America He haos noted in his work a mote rapid fertility decline than was typical of the Eushy

ropean demolraphic transition Mr Rios recently contributed 1PW Working Paper 913 entitled Family Site and Economic Change

lgnira MSYZi21 CkGatmala Instituto do Nutriclon de Centro Aaerica y anma (INCA) Guatemala City PhD candidate School of Public Health University of California Los Angeles

Ms Rosenhouse Is writing her dissertation on the evaluation of the validity of attitudinal survey data on fertility-related topics adminisshytared i Guatela Nter work is based on the INCAP-AXD data and focuses primarily on doetted family ise

JsL1AMVampA Colombia Univereidad del Vll del Caucal PhD Land Tenure Center University of Wisconsin Madison

Dr Saravia coploted his doctoral work In 1971 on rural development and health status in Colombia He ueed data from a 1973 health and nutrition survey Ne has returned to his faculty position in the School af Economies iniversidad del Vails del Caous

2911hotu L oJBrasil Iatitute Getull Vargas PhD candidate teshyi 7nosteUiversity of ChicagoJ

Mr sedlacek joined tle POP allows progrm im October 1971 shortly after he began work en a stud- of fertility and wmons work patterns In Brasil and the US with JamoeHeckia and the Stanford Research Institute No Intends to adapt economttii modeling techniques ho t currently developshyn to use on survey data fro eoaulo Brasil

la MUAP Nepeli PhD adidat Population Studies ad Training Center

grown University

FDP Fellw hapa s Frtility survey Of 1974 us carried out the initial parof the research

at the Rest-Vest Cater and has returned to rown University to complete his dissertation in September 1910 is research currently underway concerns estimating trends and levels of Infant mortality and fertility

As the novst Mr I analysing data tree the Sepal

-20

IsttelriP Vokpra~~-c--

Battelle pDp staff and Yellos are encouraged to submit papers for The foloingincorporation Into the Battelle PD Working Paper seies

papers have been issued to date

AlMtLL PDKiUna Iufi

Title Authow(s) Date

ChanOle UP Heareesep Ot Is ThirhouIptan foetility

I 1041i0camOo$ ond family Plsnnisu

Nfi l2 BoxDifeoso Itthe Wsteot to i P 1tle OctIo A4gotlu si Owlelo in C Yarrolil Clas n$lt

J aiSNRIal Guatemsala 1pound11

14

olt iIConsequence 0Mo0llos to S ahCentitbution of Auihroelogsts to VCetoe vI

ot Iamp Velltell p~ |t13lNeceove NisPopltie evele V Ntlpm[ ga It 4 l afliiplatt - Note Punittenm lat Anlst$ V1tteteooy fobIt shy

tleferilityp MWAsols4 later- J lltlt robt7 eatol ind~t Variables fit 5~t Afab Cowmttto

I I The Impe of uralt pitqPM so lt WV letI Kay to

pliteti otth CA Crrsie A i Sashil

May 19I LaePlaifiteaiea 4d Weeleore Numasseew g Peubda goost le itatePOistIeleis

i t May ItiNCtle rtil JnitAli

ISMS to 1 l t t ilatVariables Al

isatal 11i1tt

it The~w to1OfS e e a e t Phte g 5 I 4P sot Hpdel JunA1oi Th eeLatin A erte s Su I il

I lit o f Usual Union tuaotet 1 Alsn JI

t aillttel

Change A Rios et toI r)eally it ampn toonwmto it14 Plt IIIa PorTuitc4nd Reality vile 1311i1101o bull

CA Cctvise I

335 Close Weeit ethe Uitd Steill A ctititl ampos4$- JA 1enioto The losses of iUdenem40 Nealtae mocers

S - aunt ) bull

Page 17: vBallelle - United States Agency for International

-14shyP

IV OOUNT(Y PROJECT SUPPORTACTIVITIES---

A Proposal Development Review Process

As proposals are submitted to the Battelle PDP Program Battelle PD staff review them thoroughly for technical quality and program relevance In order to facilitate this complexs review procedure a Management Information System (MIS) has been created which documents each of the three Major steps required for all proposalat Project Development Activities Proposal Technical Review and Processing and Subcontract status

The Project Development Activities section shows trips made by Battelle PDP

staff the proposals related to each-trip and their receipt date Request included as well as travel and tripand concurence date for each trip are

report dates During the reporting period Battelle PDP staff made 10 trips to 11 countries

The Proposal Review Process section demonstrates specific steps required of are recorded as proposals enter each phases acknowltdgi

-Dateseach proposal ment and summary monitor and Battelle PDP staff review AIDPOP approval USAID (Mission) approval subcontract writing and signing This section also

sh wnvvhen and at which step proposals have been rejected or referred proposals submitted to Battelle PD receive a thorough review for technical quality and contractual specificity During the reporting period 15 proposals

4 have been funded 5 are currently under consideration~were reviewed of these for funding 2were rejected and 4 were referred

The section describing Subcontract Status indicates start and completion dates of subcontracts and due dates and receipt dates for both progress reports

Trom June 1977 through December 1979 64 proposals wereand final reports received by Rattelle PDPI 23 have become subcontracts obligating a total of

$665900 5 remain under consideration for funding-and 36 have been rejected or referred (see Table 1)

The MIS allows Battelle POP staff to identify clearly the processing stage of any proposal at any time This information has served to point out bottleshynecks which habitually delay the efficient processing of proposals and implementation of a project

--

Table I

PROJECT-TV-DATE SLWM O PROPOSAL ACTIVITY

June 1977- December 1979

Iroposays funded Under Rejectd or Country -~ ~ ~ Consideration Rfre

- o o1000) _~1000)-3ratl 3 8751 60 2 811

Chile 2 -- - - 2 -

Colombia 4 3256 1 27 - 3 297

Cost Rica 1 36 1 3

Ecuador S 2262 1 11 2 1289 2 66C

Egypt 3 1332 2 543 1 789 - shy

31 Salvador 4 610 2 573 -- - 2 237

customs 10 2917 5 1275 -- -- 5 1642

Haiti 2 1432 1 672 1 7860

Honduras 4 527 2 158 -- 2 369

Kopal 2 71)3- - 1 90 1 623 Nigeria 3 132j -- - -- - 3 132 Pakisatan 2 887 shy f-~ - - 2 88 Peru 14 4966 6 M)0 - 8 2416

Philippines 1 133 -- -- -1 133

s5 Total$ 64 1242401 23 AMS S 29481 31 1463

-16-

B Battelle PDP Fellows Program

The Battelle PDp Fllowis program isdesigned to increase the effectiveness of LDC decisionmakers who reside temporarily in the US for research or

training The program gives moderate financial assistance of up to $1500 to LDC dectsionmakers to facilitate their research and writing during their

periods of USresidence In addition PDP Fellows are brought together

with the Battelle PDP staff toediscuss at semiannual workshops the population policy implications of their research for their home countries

Funds provided to the Fellows may be used for computer costs research toassistance manuscript typing and limited travel within the US

professional meetings No stipends for maintenance are provided

Since its inception the Fellows Program has provideJ support for 19

Fellows Those completing their stays in the US have finished five

doctoral dissertations two MPH degrees and a number of research papers Five Fellows have returned tofor publication In their borne countries

their home countries and are working in population related activities

DrPL Joshi is Director of Research Planning and Evaluation for the

epat Drs Bayona Saravia and Alauddin havePopulation Commission of returned to teaching posts Elena Hurtado and Claudia Lecaros have resumed

research activities In9Guatemal and Colombi Two Fellows Teresa HO and

Helena Rib have been acepto to the Young Professionals program at the

World Bank and M Nisamuddin is currently on a short-term mission to Somalia for the Carolina Population Laboratories Several Fellows have

published articles in 1979 Including

Teresa Measuring Time Costs of Child Rearing In the Philippineo

Poplation and Development Review 514

and tconomic Change Battelle P orkingRio Roberto Family Sis Paper 13

Karim Nehtab 3ocioeconomic and Cultural Aspects of Marriage and

Fertility in Urban Pakistan task-West Population Institute

Pager 64

1attelle PD has designated certain of its Follows as Ovlrnla Follows in the U andIndicating that they have completed their residence

returned to their hoe country or they have Completed the intensive phase of their relationship with lattello pD rellows program and have accepted

now professional duties- attelle POP does in any ease send materials concerning the ellows progrm to all its current and Overseas Fellows

of intellectualwith the objective of maintaining and esnarging this network exchange long after the Fellows have returned to their roles as decisionshy

makern on population issues in their own coumtries

-17-

Battelle PDP Fellow

jMohsuuad AIAUVDIN Bangladesh ISWR Dacca Univereityl PhD Population Planning University of Michigan

Dr Alauddin completed his doctoral work in May 1979 on rural developshy

mnt and family planning behavior in Bangladesh villages His work as based

on the Bangladesh WFS data in combination with area data on rural fertility

He has returned to his administrative and teaching position with the Dacca University Institute of Social Welfare and Rsearch

Alberto BAYONAS Colombia Universidad Javerianat Fulbright Visiting Professhy

sor of Sociology Tulane University

Dr Bayonae study of population has included analysis of the 1973

census data on contextual factors influencing fertility and mortality in

Colombia He has nov returned to his post as Director of $ocial Studies at

Javerians University in Bogota

Melinda BACOL-MO TLLA Philippines NCSOg PhD candidate Sociology Utah

State University

Ms Bacol-Montilla began writing her dissertation on ethnolinguistic Her work is based on thegroup differentials in the Philippines in 1979

1973 National Demographic Survey

ur EZEKWK Nigeria

has focused her studies on marital patterns includingtMS Esekwe at marriage (IMAM) in selected Africanestimation of singulate mean age

countries assessing a reliable measure of marital patterns among European and non-European populations and the effect of bride price an fertility

hiu l Bangladesh University of Chittagonli PhD candidate - -ch of Education University of Michigan

was a student of Everett Rogers He received a Ford Foundation grant for five

Mr Haider became interested in population education while he

onmonths of field study in Bangladesh (Dec 78- May 79) to Bather data

nonformal population education programs associated with the integrated rural to the University of ichtdevelopment program He has recently returned

tan and is scheduled to complete his dissertation work in December 1979

anilal PhDTeresa JO Philippines University of the Philippines

candidate Food Research Institute Stanford University

Me No is investigating foale labor fore participation drawing on

Filipino data such as the tlma Multipurpose Household survey in which she

assisted as well so the andlMlysia surveys Upon finlshin8 her dissertashytion in April 1980 she will join the World lank in the Young Professioals

program In December 1979 Ma Mo published am article Msauring Time

Costs of Child Rearing inthe Philippines in gPoulatio and Devlopoetl

Overseas Fellows

GW INCA and Pu cHealth University of California Los Anampee

aHurtadooind ho-fa1owsproaramvhils-e avs tudyina-at UCLA

lin HD uatemala VSAIDGuatenalot MPH4 candidate School Of

where she wrote on determinants of use and Intended us of modern coetracepshytton in traditional and modern village of Guatemala InJuly of197$ she returned to Gustemals where she worked on an AID evaluation of family planning program In I1Quiche She isamong the firat of the PDP allows to return to her country and begin to contribute to policy development

L jOHIM Itepal esoarch ampad Ivaluation 1IQ ltnistry of Health Government of lepalPhD itastatstics University of California lerkley Dr Joahi completed his doctoral work inJune 1979 on the evaluation

of fatmly planning contination rates Nis research was based on data from the Nepal IS Ne has recently returned to his positton a director of re search planning and evaluation for the Population Comission of Nepal and he ebttted a proposal for PW fndin to Anilyss data on mternal and child health InNepal

a htab Pakiltan Institute of Developmest nocmies Qaid Al an U rItyi PhD Candidateo SocloLy Cornell Universlty

Mr WrIN has viittoe on age at marriagO and fertility inPakistan using data free the Nlational Impact Survey for his doctoral work he to developing a project with I the Sysod of the Population Pilenins Costenson and Profaeor Peter Slth on the female life cycle from monrche to first parturition Ne has Just publishd Secoen mc and Cultural Aspects of

rriage 4n PeitilY tn Urban Pakistan through the hatVetdeg leatitato d pians to complete his dissertation tn Spring log0

-- A Colombis Universdad do to Adeel PhD Scheol of Ucatiml S-Ita atv roltyfrO

or locares wrete her diesertation On education dovelopmet and incom Inl rural Celembia Ner work is based an data draw fromi the 1913 onsum and the Agrarian Cemleus of 1910-71 She returned to the Umiversidad do lee asdea Cele nas in0 eteOer 1978

JII OM Pakistan Ppulatte plamaing Cnteslt lalmabd PhD ulaioPlon holveraity of Mightn

is 191 tDr IiamddIn iished his dissearation the aeeptability ot faally planimg itrural Pakista So direteild the Pakistan Fertility Survey as Deputy Diretor of the Populatiu Planns Coissie snd analyced that dataF his doetoral eeare e I currently a Shert-term misa1Lim te SeMeli for the Carolina Poplaties lob

pound ailm 15 and NanaemeatE Philippines College of Develepaset 9eonsees aivr 17 C the lPili PhD candidate I eesice Vale UaivorlI lsont Alty

me qwiu stJene the POP follews Program ioJune 1919 She Isworkshytnl wits data fro the Lagima ad Steel Surveys to 0ema1n the Lber supply in the Philippnlse

Imctute

PhD nLdiddte schl of public eilth Karvard ilvers ty

Mrs Raymand to werktag with date (trm tho niliPPIn Satiftsl DOshygraphic Survey of 19) Rho i eganinlng postparLm t

GiMsa RJ A Phillppiei i oerty W1 the Phllptsi r ltwatiO

enoorrhea breasfeodnll

f bull bull bull bull bull - l

practice socioeconomic differential and their relationships to fortilityi lihe plantia completeherdiaertationin Jne 1990

ejlena R Colombia Univerldad do Jos Andes logota PhD Economics University

Msi Ribs completed het dissertation on the consequences of migration in Colombia in October 1979 She Is currently working on a postdoctoral research project on fertility aspects of the 1973 census Ma Ribs has been selected to join the Young Professionals program at the World Bank

Robertol0e Peru Univereidad do gan Harcost PhD candidate Columbia svermity 14

Mr Rios is In the last phase of completion of a doctoral dissertation eamning ocular trends In mortality and fertility In Latin America He haos noted in his work a mote rapid fertility decline than was typical of the Eushy

ropean demolraphic transition Mr Rios recently contributed 1PW Working Paper 913 entitled Family Site and Economic Change

lgnira MSYZi21 CkGatmala Instituto do Nutriclon de Centro Aaerica y anma (INCA) Guatemala City PhD candidate School of Public Health University of California Los Angeles

Ms Rosenhouse Is writing her dissertation on the evaluation of the validity of attitudinal survey data on fertility-related topics adminisshytared i Guatela Nter work is based on the INCAP-AXD data and focuses primarily on doetted family ise

JsL1AMVampA Colombia Univereidad del Vll del Caucal PhD Land Tenure Center University of Wisconsin Madison

Dr Saravia coploted his doctoral work In 1971 on rural development and health status in Colombia He ueed data from a 1973 health and nutrition survey Ne has returned to his faculty position in the School af Economies iniversidad del Vails del Caous

2911hotu L oJBrasil Iatitute Getull Vargas PhD candidate teshyi 7nosteUiversity of ChicagoJ

Mr sedlacek joined tle POP allows progrm im October 1971 shortly after he began work en a stud- of fertility and wmons work patterns In Brasil and the US with JamoeHeckia and the Stanford Research Institute No Intends to adapt economttii modeling techniques ho t currently developshyn to use on survey data fro eoaulo Brasil

la MUAP Nepeli PhD adidat Population Studies ad Training Center

grown University

FDP Fellw hapa s Frtility survey Of 1974 us carried out the initial parof the research

at the Rest-Vest Cater and has returned to rown University to complete his dissertation in September 1910 is research currently underway concerns estimating trends and levels of Infant mortality and fertility

As the novst Mr I analysing data tree the Sepal

-20

IsttelriP Vokpra~~-c--

Battelle pDp staff and Yellos are encouraged to submit papers for The foloingincorporation Into the Battelle PD Working Paper seies

papers have been issued to date

AlMtLL PDKiUna Iufi

Title Authow(s) Date

ChanOle UP Heareesep Ot Is ThirhouIptan foetility

I 1041i0camOo$ ond family Plsnnisu

Nfi l2 BoxDifeoso Itthe Wsteot to i P 1tle OctIo A4gotlu si Owlelo in C Yarrolil Clas n$lt

J aiSNRIal Guatemsala 1pound11

14

olt iIConsequence 0Mo0llos to S ahCentitbution of Auihroelogsts to VCetoe vI

ot Iamp Velltell p~ |t13lNeceove NisPopltie evele V Ntlpm[ ga It 4 l afliiplatt - Note Punittenm lat Anlst$ V1tteteooy fobIt shy

tleferilityp MWAsols4 later- J lltlt robt7 eatol ind~t Variables fit 5~t Afab Cowmttto

I I The Impe of uralt pitqPM so lt WV letI Kay to

pliteti otth CA Crrsie A i Sashil

May 19I LaePlaifiteaiea 4d Weeleore Numasseew g Peubda goost le itatePOistIeleis

i t May ItiNCtle rtil JnitAli

ISMS to 1 l t t ilatVariables Al

isatal 11i1tt

it The~w to1OfS e e a e t Phte g 5 I 4P sot Hpdel JunA1oi Th eeLatin A erte s Su I il

I lit o f Usual Union tuaotet 1 Alsn JI

t aillttel

Change A Rios et toI r)eally it ampn toonwmto it14 Plt IIIa PorTuitc4nd Reality vile 1311i1101o bull

CA Cctvise I

335 Close Weeit ethe Uitd Steill A ctititl ampos4$- JA 1enioto The losses of iUdenem40 Nealtae mocers

S - aunt ) bull

Page 18: vBallelle - United States Agency for International

--

Table I

PROJECT-TV-DATE SLWM O PROPOSAL ACTIVITY

June 1977- December 1979

Iroposays funded Under Rejectd or Country -~ ~ ~ Consideration Rfre

- o o1000) _~1000)-3ratl 3 8751 60 2 811

Chile 2 -- - - 2 -

Colombia 4 3256 1 27 - 3 297

Cost Rica 1 36 1 3

Ecuador S 2262 1 11 2 1289 2 66C

Egypt 3 1332 2 543 1 789 - shy

31 Salvador 4 610 2 573 -- - 2 237

customs 10 2917 5 1275 -- -- 5 1642

Haiti 2 1432 1 672 1 7860

Honduras 4 527 2 158 -- 2 369

Kopal 2 71)3- - 1 90 1 623 Nigeria 3 132j -- - -- - 3 132 Pakisatan 2 887 shy f-~ - - 2 88 Peru 14 4966 6 M)0 - 8 2416

Philippines 1 133 -- -- -1 133

s5 Total$ 64 1242401 23 AMS S 29481 31 1463

-16-

B Battelle PDP Fellows Program

The Battelle PDp Fllowis program isdesigned to increase the effectiveness of LDC decisionmakers who reside temporarily in the US for research or

training The program gives moderate financial assistance of up to $1500 to LDC dectsionmakers to facilitate their research and writing during their

periods of USresidence In addition PDP Fellows are brought together

with the Battelle PDP staff toediscuss at semiannual workshops the population policy implications of their research for their home countries

Funds provided to the Fellows may be used for computer costs research toassistance manuscript typing and limited travel within the US

professional meetings No stipends for maintenance are provided

Since its inception the Fellows Program has provideJ support for 19

Fellows Those completing their stays in the US have finished five

doctoral dissertations two MPH degrees and a number of research papers Five Fellows have returned tofor publication In their borne countries

their home countries and are working in population related activities

DrPL Joshi is Director of Research Planning and Evaluation for the

epat Drs Bayona Saravia and Alauddin havePopulation Commission of returned to teaching posts Elena Hurtado and Claudia Lecaros have resumed

research activities In9Guatemal and Colombi Two Fellows Teresa HO and

Helena Rib have been acepto to the Young Professionals program at the

World Bank and M Nisamuddin is currently on a short-term mission to Somalia for the Carolina Population Laboratories Several Fellows have

published articles in 1979 Including

Teresa Measuring Time Costs of Child Rearing In the Philippineo

Poplation and Development Review 514

and tconomic Change Battelle P orkingRio Roberto Family Sis Paper 13

Karim Nehtab 3ocioeconomic and Cultural Aspects of Marriage and

Fertility in Urban Pakistan task-West Population Institute

Pager 64

1attelle PD has designated certain of its Follows as Ovlrnla Follows in the U andIndicating that they have completed their residence

returned to their hoe country or they have Completed the intensive phase of their relationship with lattello pD rellows program and have accepted

now professional duties- attelle POP does in any ease send materials concerning the ellows progrm to all its current and Overseas Fellows

of intellectualwith the objective of maintaining and esnarging this network exchange long after the Fellows have returned to their roles as decisionshy

makern on population issues in their own coumtries

-17-

Battelle PDP Fellow

jMohsuuad AIAUVDIN Bangladesh ISWR Dacca Univereityl PhD Population Planning University of Michigan

Dr Alauddin completed his doctoral work in May 1979 on rural developshy

mnt and family planning behavior in Bangladesh villages His work as based

on the Bangladesh WFS data in combination with area data on rural fertility

He has returned to his administrative and teaching position with the Dacca University Institute of Social Welfare and Rsearch

Alberto BAYONAS Colombia Universidad Javerianat Fulbright Visiting Professhy

sor of Sociology Tulane University

Dr Bayonae study of population has included analysis of the 1973

census data on contextual factors influencing fertility and mortality in

Colombia He has nov returned to his post as Director of $ocial Studies at

Javerians University in Bogota

Melinda BACOL-MO TLLA Philippines NCSOg PhD candidate Sociology Utah

State University

Ms Bacol-Montilla began writing her dissertation on ethnolinguistic Her work is based on thegroup differentials in the Philippines in 1979

1973 National Demographic Survey

ur EZEKWK Nigeria

has focused her studies on marital patterns includingtMS Esekwe at marriage (IMAM) in selected Africanestimation of singulate mean age

countries assessing a reliable measure of marital patterns among European and non-European populations and the effect of bride price an fertility

hiu l Bangladesh University of Chittagonli PhD candidate - -ch of Education University of Michigan

was a student of Everett Rogers He received a Ford Foundation grant for five

Mr Haider became interested in population education while he

onmonths of field study in Bangladesh (Dec 78- May 79) to Bather data

nonformal population education programs associated with the integrated rural to the University of ichtdevelopment program He has recently returned

tan and is scheduled to complete his dissertation work in December 1979

anilal PhDTeresa JO Philippines University of the Philippines

candidate Food Research Institute Stanford University

Me No is investigating foale labor fore participation drawing on

Filipino data such as the tlma Multipurpose Household survey in which she

assisted as well so the andlMlysia surveys Upon finlshin8 her dissertashytion in April 1980 she will join the World lank in the Young Professioals

program In December 1979 Ma Mo published am article Msauring Time

Costs of Child Rearing inthe Philippines in gPoulatio and Devlopoetl

Overseas Fellows

GW INCA and Pu cHealth University of California Los Anampee

aHurtadooind ho-fa1owsproaramvhils-e avs tudyina-at UCLA

lin HD uatemala VSAIDGuatenalot MPH4 candidate School Of

where she wrote on determinants of use and Intended us of modern coetracepshytton in traditional and modern village of Guatemala InJuly of197$ she returned to Gustemals where she worked on an AID evaluation of family planning program In I1Quiche She isamong the firat of the PDP allows to return to her country and begin to contribute to policy development

L jOHIM Itepal esoarch ampad Ivaluation 1IQ ltnistry of Health Government of lepalPhD itastatstics University of California lerkley Dr Joahi completed his doctoral work inJune 1979 on the evaluation

of fatmly planning contination rates Nis research was based on data from the Nepal IS Ne has recently returned to his positton a director of re search planning and evaluation for the Population Comission of Nepal and he ebttted a proposal for PW fndin to Anilyss data on mternal and child health InNepal

a htab Pakiltan Institute of Developmest nocmies Qaid Al an U rItyi PhD Candidateo SocloLy Cornell Universlty

Mr WrIN has viittoe on age at marriagO and fertility inPakistan using data free the Nlational Impact Survey for his doctoral work he to developing a project with I the Sysod of the Population Pilenins Costenson and Profaeor Peter Slth on the female life cycle from monrche to first parturition Ne has Just publishd Secoen mc and Cultural Aspects of

rriage 4n PeitilY tn Urban Pakistan through the hatVetdeg leatitato d pians to complete his dissertation tn Spring log0

-- A Colombis Universdad do to Adeel PhD Scheol of Ucatiml S-Ita atv roltyfrO

or locares wrete her diesertation On education dovelopmet and incom Inl rural Celembia Ner work is based an data draw fromi the 1913 onsum and the Agrarian Cemleus of 1910-71 She returned to the Umiversidad do lee asdea Cele nas in0 eteOer 1978

JII OM Pakistan Ppulatte plamaing Cnteslt lalmabd PhD ulaioPlon holveraity of Mightn

is 191 tDr IiamddIn iished his dissearation the aeeptability ot faally planimg itrural Pakista So direteild the Pakistan Fertility Survey as Deputy Diretor of the Populatiu Planns Coissie snd analyced that dataF his doetoral eeare e I currently a Shert-term misa1Lim te SeMeli for the Carolina Poplaties lob

pound ailm 15 and NanaemeatE Philippines College of Develepaset 9eonsees aivr 17 C the lPili PhD candidate I eesice Vale UaivorlI lsont Alty

me qwiu stJene the POP follews Program ioJune 1919 She Isworkshytnl wits data fro the Lagima ad Steel Surveys to 0ema1n the Lber supply in the Philippnlse

Imctute

PhD nLdiddte schl of public eilth Karvard ilvers ty

Mrs Raymand to werktag with date (trm tho niliPPIn Satiftsl DOshygraphic Survey of 19) Rho i eganinlng postparLm t

GiMsa RJ A Phillppiei i oerty W1 the Phllptsi r ltwatiO

enoorrhea breasfeodnll

f bull bull bull bull bull - l

practice socioeconomic differential and their relationships to fortilityi lihe plantia completeherdiaertationin Jne 1990

ejlena R Colombia Univerldad do Jos Andes logota PhD Economics University

Msi Ribs completed het dissertation on the consequences of migration in Colombia in October 1979 She Is currently working on a postdoctoral research project on fertility aspects of the 1973 census Ma Ribs has been selected to join the Young Professionals program at the World Bank

Robertol0e Peru Univereidad do gan Harcost PhD candidate Columbia svermity 14

Mr Rios is In the last phase of completion of a doctoral dissertation eamning ocular trends In mortality and fertility In Latin America He haos noted in his work a mote rapid fertility decline than was typical of the Eushy

ropean demolraphic transition Mr Rios recently contributed 1PW Working Paper 913 entitled Family Site and Economic Change

lgnira MSYZi21 CkGatmala Instituto do Nutriclon de Centro Aaerica y anma (INCA) Guatemala City PhD candidate School of Public Health University of California Los Angeles

Ms Rosenhouse Is writing her dissertation on the evaluation of the validity of attitudinal survey data on fertility-related topics adminisshytared i Guatela Nter work is based on the INCAP-AXD data and focuses primarily on doetted family ise

JsL1AMVampA Colombia Univereidad del Vll del Caucal PhD Land Tenure Center University of Wisconsin Madison

Dr Saravia coploted his doctoral work In 1971 on rural development and health status in Colombia He ueed data from a 1973 health and nutrition survey Ne has returned to his faculty position in the School af Economies iniversidad del Vails del Caous

2911hotu L oJBrasil Iatitute Getull Vargas PhD candidate teshyi 7nosteUiversity of ChicagoJ

Mr sedlacek joined tle POP allows progrm im October 1971 shortly after he began work en a stud- of fertility and wmons work patterns In Brasil and the US with JamoeHeckia and the Stanford Research Institute No Intends to adapt economttii modeling techniques ho t currently developshyn to use on survey data fro eoaulo Brasil

la MUAP Nepeli PhD adidat Population Studies ad Training Center

grown University

FDP Fellw hapa s Frtility survey Of 1974 us carried out the initial parof the research

at the Rest-Vest Cater and has returned to rown University to complete his dissertation in September 1910 is research currently underway concerns estimating trends and levels of Infant mortality and fertility

As the novst Mr I analysing data tree the Sepal

-20

IsttelriP Vokpra~~-c--

Battelle pDp staff and Yellos are encouraged to submit papers for The foloingincorporation Into the Battelle PD Working Paper seies

papers have been issued to date

AlMtLL PDKiUna Iufi

Title Authow(s) Date

ChanOle UP Heareesep Ot Is ThirhouIptan foetility

I 1041i0camOo$ ond family Plsnnisu

Nfi l2 BoxDifeoso Itthe Wsteot to i P 1tle OctIo A4gotlu si Owlelo in C Yarrolil Clas n$lt

J aiSNRIal Guatemsala 1pound11

14

olt iIConsequence 0Mo0llos to S ahCentitbution of Auihroelogsts to VCetoe vI

ot Iamp Velltell p~ |t13lNeceove NisPopltie evele V Ntlpm[ ga It 4 l afliiplatt - Note Punittenm lat Anlst$ V1tteteooy fobIt shy

tleferilityp MWAsols4 later- J lltlt robt7 eatol ind~t Variables fit 5~t Afab Cowmttto

I I The Impe of uralt pitqPM so lt WV letI Kay to

pliteti otth CA Crrsie A i Sashil

May 19I LaePlaifiteaiea 4d Weeleore Numasseew g Peubda goost le itatePOistIeleis

i t May ItiNCtle rtil JnitAli

ISMS to 1 l t t ilatVariables Al

isatal 11i1tt

it The~w to1OfS e e a e t Phte g 5 I 4P sot Hpdel JunA1oi Th eeLatin A erte s Su I il

I lit o f Usual Union tuaotet 1 Alsn JI

t aillttel

Change A Rios et toI r)eally it ampn toonwmto it14 Plt IIIa PorTuitc4nd Reality vile 1311i1101o bull

CA Cctvise I

335 Close Weeit ethe Uitd Steill A ctititl ampos4$- JA 1enioto The losses of iUdenem40 Nealtae mocers

S - aunt ) bull

Page 19: vBallelle - United States Agency for International

-16-

B Battelle PDP Fellows Program

The Battelle PDp Fllowis program isdesigned to increase the effectiveness of LDC decisionmakers who reside temporarily in the US for research or

training The program gives moderate financial assistance of up to $1500 to LDC dectsionmakers to facilitate their research and writing during their

periods of USresidence In addition PDP Fellows are brought together

with the Battelle PDP staff toediscuss at semiannual workshops the population policy implications of their research for their home countries

Funds provided to the Fellows may be used for computer costs research toassistance manuscript typing and limited travel within the US

professional meetings No stipends for maintenance are provided

Since its inception the Fellows Program has provideJ support for 19

Fellows Those completing their stays in the US have finished five

doctoral dissertations two MPH degrees and a number of research papers Five Fellows have returned tofor publication In their borne countries

their home countries and are working in population related activities

DrPL Joshi is Director of Research Planning and Evaluation for the

epat Drs Bayona Saravia and Alauddin havePopulation Commission of returned to teaching posts Elena Hurtado and Claudia Lecaros have resumed

research activities In9Guatemal and Colombi Two Fellows Teresa HO and

Helena Rib have been acepto to the Young Professionals program at the

World Bank and M Nisamuddin is currently on a short-term mission to Somalia for the Carolina Population Laboratories Several Fellows have

published articles in 1979 Including

Teresa Measuring Time Costs of Child Rearing In the Philippineo

Poplation and Development Review 514

and tconomic Change Battelle P orkingRio Roberto Family Sis Paper 13

Karim Nehtab 3ocioeconomic and Cultural Aspects of Marriage and

Fertility in Urban Pakistan task-West Population Institute

Pager 64

1attelle PD has designated certain of its Follows as Ovlrnla Follows in the U andIndicating that they have completed their residence

returned to their hoe country or they have Completed the intensive phase of their relationship with lattello pD rellows program and have accepted

now professional duties- attelle POP does in any ease send materials concerning the ellows progrm to all its current and Overseas Fellows

of intellectualwith the objective of maintaining and esnarging this network exchange long after the Fellows have returned to their roles as decisionshy

makern on population issues in their own coumtries

-17-

Battelle PDP Fellow

jMohsuuad AIAUVDIN Bangladesh ISWR Dacca Univereityl PhD Population Planning University of Michigan

Dr Alauddin completed his doctoral work in May 1979 on rural developshy

mnt and family planning behavior in Bangladesh villages His work as based

on the Bangladesh WFS data in combination with area data on rural fertility

He has returned to his administrative and teaching position with the Dacca University Institute of Social Welfare and Rsearch

Alberto BAYONAS Colombia Universidad Javerianat Fulbright Visiting Professhy

sor of Sociology Tulane University

Dr Bayonae study of population has included analysis of the 1973

census data on contextual factors influencing fertility and mortality in

Colombia He has nov returned to his post as Director of $ocial Studies at

Javerians University in Bogota

Melinda BACOL-MO TLLA Philippines NCSOg PhD candidate Sociology Utah

State University

Ms Bacol-Montilla began writing her dissertation on ethnolinguistic Her work is based on thegroup differentials in the Philippines in 1979

1973 National Demographic Survey

ur EZEKWK Nigeria

has focused her studies on marital patterns includingtMS Esekwe at marriage (IMAM) in selected Africanestimation of singulate mean age

countries assessing a reliable measure of marital patterns among European and non-European populations and the effect of bride price an fertility

hiu l Bangladesh University of Chittagonli PhD candidate - -ch of Education University of Michigan

was a student of Everett Rogers He received a Ford Foundation grant for five

Mr Haider became interested in population education while he

onmonths of field study in Bangladesh (Dec 78- May 79) to Bather data

nonformal population education programs associated with the integrated rural to the University of ichtdevelopment program He has recently returned

tan and is scheduled to complete his dissertation work in December 1979

anilal PhDTeresa JO Philippines University of the Philippines

candidate Food Research Institute Stanford University

Me No is investigating foale labor fore participation drawing on

Filipino data such as the tlma Multipurpose Household survey in which she

assisted as well so the andlMlysia surveys Upon finlshin8 her dissertashytion in April 1980 she will join the World lank in the Young Professioals

program In December 1979 Ma Mo published am article Msauring Time

Costs of Child Rearing inthe Philippines in gPoulatio and Devlopoetl

Overseas Fellows

GW INCA and Pu cHealth University of California Los Anampee

aHurtadooind ho-fa1owsproaramvhils-e avs tudyina-at UCLA

lin HD uatemala VSAIDGuatenalot MPH4 candidate School Of

where she wrote on determinants of use and Intended us of modern coetracepshytton in traditional and modern village of Guatemala InJuly of197$ she returned to Gustemals where she worked on an AID evaluation of family planning program In I1Quiche She isamong the firat of the PDP allows to return to her country and begin to contribute to policy development

L jOHIM Itepal esoarch ampad Ivaluation 1IQ ltnistry of Health Government of lepalPhD itastatstics University of California lerkley Dr Joahi completed his doctoral work inJune 1979 on the evaluation

of fatmly planning contination rates Nis research was based on data from the Nepal IS Ne has recently returned to his positton a director of re search planning and evaluation for the Population Comission of Nepal and he ebttted a proposal for PW fndin to Anilyss data on mternal and child health InNepal

a htab Pakiltan Institute of Developmest nocmies Qaid Al an U rItyi PhD Candidateo SocloLy Cornell Universlty

Mr WrIN has viittoe on age at marriagO and fertility inPakistan using data free the Nlational Impact Survey for his doctoral work he to developing a project with I the Sysod of the Population Pilenins Costenson and Profaeor Peter Slth on the female life cycle from monrche to first parturition Ne has Just publishd Secoen mc and Cultural Aspects of

rriage 4n PeitilY tn Urban Pakistan through the hatVetdeg leatitato d pians to complete his dissertation tn Spring log0

-- A Colombis Universdad do to Adeel PhD Scheol of Ucatiml S-Ita atv roltyfrO

or locares wrete her diesertation On education dovelopmet and incom Inl rural Celembia Ner work is based an data draw fromi the 1913 onsum and the Agrarian Cemleus of 1910-71 She returned to the Umiversidad do lee asdea Cele nas in0 eteOer 1978

JII OM Pakistan Ppulatte plamaing Cnteslt lalmabd PhD ulaioPlon holveraity of Mightn

is 191 tDr IiamddIn iished his dissearation the aeeptability ot faally planimg itrural Pakista So direteild the Pakistan Fertility Survey as Deputy Diretor of the Populatiu Planns Coissie snd analyced that dataF his doetoral eeare e I currently a Shert-term misa1Lim te SeMeli for the Carolina Poplaties lob

pound ailm 15 and NanaemeatE Philippines College of Develepaset 9eonsees aivr 17 C the lPili PhD candidate I eesice Vale UaivorlI lsont Alty

me qwiu stJene the POP follews Program ioJune 1919 She Isworkshytnl wits data fro the Lagima ad Steel Surveys to 0ema1n the Lber supply in the Philippnlse

Imctute

PhD nLdiddte schl of public eilth Karvard ilvers ty

Mrs Raymand to werktag with date (trm tho niliPPIn Satiftsl DOshygraphic Survey of 19) Rho i eganinlng postparLm t

GiMsa RJ A Phillppiei i oerty W1 the Phllptsi r ltwatiO

enoorrhea breasfeodnll

f bull bull bull bull bull - l

practice socioeconomic differential and their relationships to fortilityi lihe plantia completeherdiaertationin Jne 1990

ejlena R Colombia Univerldad do Jos Andes logota PhD Economics University

Msi Ribs completed het dissertation on the consequences of migration in Colombia in October 1979 She Is currently working on a postdoctoral research project on fertility aspects of the 1973 census Ma Ribs has been selected to join the Young Professionals program at the World Bank

Robertol0e Peru Univereidad do gan Harcost PhD candidate Columbia svermity 14

Mr Rios is In the last phase of completion of a doctoral dissertation eamning ocular trends In mortality and fertility In Latin America He haos noted in his work a mote rapid fertility decline than was typical of the Eushy

ropean demolraphic transition Mr Rios recently contributed 1PW Working Paper 913 entitled Family Site and Economic Change

lgnira MSYZi21 CkGatmala Instituto do Nutriclon de Centro Aaerica y anma (INCA) Guatemala City PhD candidate School of Public Health University of California Los Angeles

Ms Rosenhouse Is writing her dissertation on the evaluation of the validity of attitudinal survey data on fertility-related topics adminisshytared i Guatela Nter work is based on the INCAP-AXD data and focuses primarily on doetted family ise

JsL1AMVampA Colombia Univereidad del Vll del Caucal PhD Land Tenure Center University of Wisconsin Madison

Dr Saravia coploted his doctoral work In 1971 on rural development and health status in Colombia He ueed data from a 1973 health and nutrition survey Ne has returned to his faculty position in the School af Economies iniversidad del Vails del Caous

2911hotu L oJBrasil Iatitute Getull Vargas PhD candidate teshyi 7nosteUiversity of ChicagoJ

Mr sedlacek joined tle POP allows progrm im October 1971 shortly after he began work en a stud- of fertility and wmons work patterns In Brasil and the US with JamoeHeckia and the Stanford Research Institute No Intends to adapt economttii modeling techniques ho t currently developshyn to use on survey data fro eoaulo Brasil

la MUAP Nepeli PhD adidat Population Studies ad Training Center

grown University

FDP Fellw hapa s Frtility survey Of 1974 us carried out the initial parof the research

at the Rest-Vest Cater and has returned to rown University to complete his dissertation in September 1910 is research currently underway concerns estimating trends and levels of Infant mortality and fertility

As the novst Mr I analysing data tree the Sepal

-20

IsttelriP Vokpra~~-c--

Battelle pDp staff and Yellos are encouraged to submit papers for The foloingincorporation Into the Battelle PD Working Paper seies

papers have been issued to date

AlMtLL PDKiUna Iufi

Title Authow(s) Date

ChanOle UP Heareesep Ot Is ThirhouIptan foetility

I 1041i0camOo$ ond family Plsnnisu

Nfi l2 BoxDifeoso Itthe Wsteot to i P 1tle OctIo A4gotlu si Owlelo in C Yarrolil Clas n$lt

J aiSNRIal Guatemsala 1pound11

14

olt iIConsequence 0Mo0llos to S ahCentitbution of Auihroelogsts to VCetoe vI

ot Iamp Velltell p~ |t13lNeceove NisPopltie evele V Ntlpm[ ga It 4 l afliiplatt - Note Punittenm lat Anlst$ V1tteteooy fobIt shy

tleferilityp MWAsols4 later- J lltlt robt7 eatol ind~t Variables fit 5~t Afab Cowmttto

I I The Impe of uralt pitqPM so lt WV letI Kay to

pliteti otth CA Crrsie A i Sashil

May 19I LaePlaifiteaiea 4d Weeleore Numasseew g Peubda goost le itatePOistIeleis

i t May ItiNCtle rtil JnitAli

ISMS to 1 l t t ilatVariables Al

isatal 11i1tt

it The~w to1OfS e e a e t Phte g 5 I 4P sot Hpdel JunA1oi Th eeLatin A erte s Su I il

I lit o f Usual Union tuaotet 1 Alsn JI

t aillttel

Change A Rios et toI r)eally it ampn toonwmto it14 Plt IIIa PorTuitc4nd Reality vile 1311i1101o bull

CA Cctvise I

335 Close Weeit ethe Uitd Steill A ctititl ampos4$- JA 1enioto The losses of iUdenem40 Nealtae mocers

S - aunt ) bull

Page 20: vBallelle - United States Agency for International

-17-

Battelle PDP Fellow

jMohsuuad AIAUVDIN Bangladesh ISWR Dacca Univereityl PhD Population Planning University of Michigan

Dr Alauddin completed his doctoral work in May 1979 on rural developshy

mnt and family planning behavior in Bangladesh villages His work as based

on the Bangladesh WFS data in combination with area data on rural fertility

He has returned to his administrative and teaching position with the Dacca University Institute of Social Welfare and Rsearch

Alberto BAYONAS Colombia Universidad Javerianat Fulbright Visiting Professhy

sor of Sociology Tulane University

Dr Bayonae study of population has included analysis of the 1973

census data on contextual factors influencing fertility and mortality in

Colombia He has nov returned to his post as Director of $ocial Studies at

Javerians University in Bogota

Melinda BACOL-MO TLLA Philippines NCSOg PhD candidate Sociology Utah

State University

Ms Bacol-Montilla began writing her dissertation on ethnolinguistic Her work is based on thegroup differentials in the Philippines in 1979

1973 National Demographic Survey

ur EZEKWK Nigeria

has focused her studies on marital patterns includingtMS Esekwe at marriage (IMAM) in selected Africanestimation of singulate mean age

countries assessing a reliable measure of marital patterns among European and non-European populations and the effect of bride price an fertility

hiu l Bangladesh University of Chittagonli PhD candidate - -ch of Education University of Michigan

was a student of Everett Rogers He received a Ford Foundation grant for five

Mr Haider became interested in population education while he

onmonths of field study in Bangladesh (Dec 78- May 79) to Bather data

nonformal population education programs associated with the integrated rural to the University of ichtdevelopment program He has recently returned

tan and is scheduled to complete his dissertation work in December 1979

anilal PhDTeresa JO Philippines University of the Philippines

candidate Food Research Institute Stanford University

Me No is investigating foale labor fore participation drawing on

Filipino data such as the tlma Multipurpose Household survey in which she

assisted as well so the andlMlysia surveys Upon finlshin8 her dissertashytion in April 1980 she will join the World lank in the Young Professioals

program In December 1979 Ma Mo published am article Msauring Time

Costs of Child Rearing inthe Philippines in gPoulatio and Devlopoetl

Overseas Fellows

GW INCA and Pu cHealth University of California Los Anampee

aHurtadooind ho-fa1owsproaramvhils-e avs tudyina-at UCLA

lin HD uatemala VSAIDGuatenalot MPH4 candidate School Of

where she wrote on determinants of use and Intended us of modern coetracepshytton in traditional and modern village of Guatemala InJuly of197$ she returned to Gustemals where she worked on an AID evaluation of family planning program In I1Quiche She isamong the firat of the PDP allows to return to her country and begin to contribute to policy development

L jOHIM Itepal esoarch ampad Ivaluation 1IQ ltnistry of Health Government of lepalPhD itastatstics University of California lerkley Dr Joahi completed his doctoral work inJune 1979 on the evaluation

of fatmly planning contination rates Nis research was based on data from the Nepal IS Ne has recently returned to his positton a director of re search planning and evaluation for the Population Comission of Nepal and he ebttted a proposal for PW fndin to Anilyss data on mternal and child health InNepal

a htab Pakiltan Institute of Developmest nocmies Qaid Al an U rItyi PhD Candidateo SocloLy Cornell Universlty

Mr WrIN has viittoe on age at marriagO and fertility inPakistan using data free the Nlational Impact Survey for his doctoral work he to developing a project with I the Sysod of the Population Pilenins Costenson and Profaeor Peter Slth on the female life cycle from monrche to first parturition Ne has Just publishd Secoen mc and Cultural Aspects of

rriage 4n PeitilY tn Urban Pakistan through the hatVetdeg leatitato d pians to complete his dissertation tn Spring log0

-- A Colombis Universdad do to Adeel PhD Scheol of Ucatiml S-Ita atv roltyfrO

or locares wrete her diesertation On education dovelopmet and incom Inl rural Celembia Ner work is based an data draw fromi the 1913 onsum and the Agrarian Cemleus of 1910-71 She returned to the Umiversidad do lee asdea Cele nas in0 eteOer 1978

JII OM Pakistan Ppulatte plamaing Cnteslt lalmabd PhD ulaioPlon holveraity of Mightn

is 191 tDr IiamddIn iished his dissearation the aeeptability ot faally planimg itrural Pakista So direteild the Pakistan Fertility Survey as Deputy Diretor of the Populatiu Planns Coissie snd analyced that dataF his doetoral eeare e I currently a Shert-term misa1Lim te SeMeli for the Carolina Poplaties lob

pound ailm 15 and NanaemeatE Philippines College of Develepaset 9eonsees aivr 17 C the lPili PhD candidate I eesice Vale UaivorlI lsont Alty

me qwiu stJene the POP follews Program ioJune 1919 She Isworkshytnl wits data fro the Lagima ad Steel Surveys to 0ema1n the Lber supply in the Philippnlse

Imctute

PhD nLdiddte schl of public eilth Karvard ilvers ty

Mrs Raymand to werktag with date (trm tho niliPPIn Satiftsl DOshygraphic Survey of 19) Rho i eganinlng postparLm t

GiMsa RJ A Phillppiei i oerty W1 the Phllptsi r ltwatiO

enoorrhea breasfeodnll

f bull bull bull bull bull - l

practice socioeconomic differential and their relationships to fortilityi lihe plantia completeherdiaertationin Jne 1990

ejlena R Colombia Univerldad do Jos Andes logota PhD Economics University

Msi Ribs completed het dissertation on the consequences of migration in Colombia in October 1979 She Is currently working on a postdoctoral research project on fertility aspects of the 1973 census Ma Ribs has been selected to join the Young Professionals program at the World Bank

Robertol0e Peru Univereidad do gan Harcost PhD candidate Columbia svermity 14

Mr Rios is In the last phase of completion of a doctoral dissertation eamning ocular trends In mortality and fertility In Latin America He haos noted in his work a mote rapid fertility decline than was typical of the Eushy

ropean demolraphic transition Mr Rios recently contributed 1PW Working Paper 913 entitled Family Site and Economic Change

lgnira MSYZi21 CkGatmala Instituto do Nutriclon de Centro Aaerica y anma (INCA) Guatemala City PhD candidate School of Public Health University of California Los Angeles

Ms Rosenhouse Is writing her dissertation on the evaluation of the validity of attitudinal survey data on fertility-related topics adminisshytared i Guatela Nter work is based on the INCAP-AXD data and focuses primarily on doetted family ise

JsL1AMVampA Colombia Univereidad del Vll del Caucal PhD Land Tenure Center University of Wisconsin Madison

Dr Saravia coploted his doctoral work In 1971 on rural development and health status in Colombia He ueed data from a 1973 health and nutrition survey Ne has returned to his faculty position in the School af Economies iniversidad del Vails del Caous

2911hotu L oJBrasil Iatitute Getull Vargas PhD candidate teshyi 7nosteUiversity of ChicagoJ

Mr sedlacek joined tle POP allows progrm im October 1971 shortly after he began work en a stud- of fertility and wmons work patterns In Brasil and the US with JamoeHeckia and the Stanford Research Institute No Intends to adapt economttii modeling techniques ho t currently developshyn to use on survey data fro eoaulo Brasil

la MUAP Nepeli PhD adidat Population Studies ad Training Center

grown University

FDP Fellw hapa s Frtility survey Of 1974 us carried out the initial parof the research

at the Rest-Vest Cater and has returned to rown University to complete his dissertation in September 1910 is research currently underway concerns estimating trends and levels of Infant mortality and fertility

As the novst Mr I analysing data tree the Sepal

-20

IsttelriP Vokpra~~-c--

Battelle pDp staff and Yellos are encouraged to submit papers for The foloingincorporation Into the Battelle PD Working Paper seies

papers have been issued to date

AlMtLL PDKiUna Iufi

Title Authow(s) Date

ChanOle UP Heareesep Ot Is ThirhouIptan foetility

I 1041i0camOo$ ond family Plsnnisu

Nfi l2 BoxDifeoso Itthe Wsteot to i P 1tle OctIo A4gotlu si Owlelo in C Yarrolil Clas n$lt

J aiSNRIal Guatemsala 1pound11

14

olt iIConsequence 0Mo0llos to S ahCentitbution of Auihroelogsts to VCetoe vI

ot Iamp Velltell p~ |t13lNeceove NisPopltie evele V Ntlpm[ ga It 4 l afliiplatt - Note Punittenm lat Anlst$ V1tteteooy fobIt shy

tleferilityp MWAsols4 later- J lltlt robt7 eatol ind~t Variables fit 5~t Afab Cowmttto

I I The Impe of uralt pitqPM so lt WV letI Kay to

pliteti otth CA Crrsie A i Sashil

May 19I LaePlaifiteaiea 4d Weeleore Numasseew g Peubda goost le itatePOistIeleis

i t May ItiNCtle rtil JnitAli

ISMS to 1 l t t ilatVariables Al

isatal 11i1tt

it The~w to1OfS e e a e t Phte g 5 I 4P sot Hpdel JunA1oi Th eeLatin A erte s Su I il

I lit o f Usual Union tuaotet 1 Alsn JI

t aillttel

Change A Rios et toI r)eally it ampn toonwmto it14 Plt IIIa PorTuitc4nd Reality vile 1311i1101o bull

CA Cctvise I

335 Close Weeit ethe Uitd Steill A ctititl ampos4$- JA 1enioto The losses of iUdenem40 Nealtae mocers

S - aunt ) bull

Page 21: vBallelle - United States Agency for International

GW INCA and Pu cHealth University of California Los Anampee

aHurtadooind ho-fa1owsproaramvhils-e avs tudyina-at UCLA

lin HD uatemala VSAIDGuatenalot MPH4 candidate School Of

where she wrote on determinants of use and Intended us of modern coetracepshytton in traditional and modern village of Guatemala InJuly of197$ she returned to Gustemals where she worked on an AID evaluation of family planning program In I1Quiche She isamong the firat of the PDP allows to return to her country and begin to contribute to policy development

L jOHIM Itepal esoarch ampad Ivaluation 1IQ ltnistry of Health Government of lepalPhD itastatstics University of California lerkley Dr Joahi completed his doctoral work inJune 1979 on the evaluation

of fatmly planning contination rates Nis research was based on data from the Nepal IS Ne has recently returned to his positton a director of re search planning and evaluation for the Population Comission of Nepal and he ebttted a proposal for PW fndin to Anilyss data on mternal and child health InNepal

a htab Pakiltan Institute of Developmest nocmies Qaid Al an U rItyi PhD Candidateo SocloLy Cornell Universlty

Mr WrIN has viittoe on age at marriagO and fertility inPakistan using data free the Nlational Impact Survey for his doctoral work he to developing a project with I the Sysod of the Population Pilenins Costenson and Profaeor Peter Slth on the female life cycle from monrche to first parturition Ne has Just publishd Secoen mc and Cultural Aspects of

rriage 4n PeitilY tn Urban Pakistan through the hatVetdeg leatitato d pians to complete his dissertation tn Spring log0

-- A Colombis Universdad do to Adeel PhD Scheol of Ucatiml S-Ita atv roltyfrO

or locares wrete her diesertation On education dovelopmet and incom Inl rural Celembia Ner work is based an data draw fromi the 1913 onsum and the Agrarian Cemleus of 1910-71 She returned to the Umiversidad do lee asdea Cele nas in0 eteOer 1978

JII OM Pakistan Ppulatte plamaing Cnteslt lalmabd PhD ulaioPlon holveraity of Mightn

is 191 tDr IiamddIn iished his dissearation the aeeptability ot faally planimg itrural Pakista So direteild the Pakistan Fertility Survey as Deputy Diretor of the Populatiu Planns Coissie snd analyced that dataF his doetoral eeare e I currently a Shert-term misa1Lim te SeMeli for the Carolina Poplaties lob

pound ailm 15 and NanaemeatE Philippines College of Develepaset 9eonsees aivr 17 C the lPili PhD candidate I eesice Vale UaivorlI lsont Alty

me qwiu stJene the POP follews Program ioJune 1919 She Isworkshytnl wits data fro the Lagima ad Steel Surveys to 0ema1n the Lber supply in the Philippnlse

Imctute

PhD nLdiddte schl of public eilth Karvard ilvers ty

Mrs Raymand to werktag with date (trm tho niliPPIn Satiftsl DOshygraphic Survey of 19) Rho i eganinlng postparLm t

GiMsa RJ A Phillppiei i oerty W1 the Phllptsi r ltwatiO

enoorrhea breasfeodnll

f bull bull bull bull bull - l

practice socioeconomic differential and their relationships to fortilityi lihe plantia completeherdiaertationin Jne 1990

ejlena R Colombia Univerldad do Jos Andes logota PhD Economics University

Msi Ribs completed het dissertation on the consequences of migration in Colombia in October 1979 She Is currently working on a postdoctoral research project on fertility aspects of the 1973 census Ma Ribs has been selected to join the Young Professionals program at the World Bank

Robertol0e Peru Univereidad do gan Harcost PhD candidate Columbia svermity 14

Mr Rios is In the last phase of completion of a doctoral dissertation eamning ocular trends In mortality and fertility In Latin America He haos noted in his work a mote rapid fertility decline than was typical of the Eushy

ropean demolraphic transition Mr Rios recently contributed 1PW Working Paper 913 entitled Family Site and Economic Change

lgnira MSYZi21 CkGatmala Instituto do Nutriclon de Centro Aaerica y anma (INCA) Guatemala City PhD candidate School of Public Health University of California Los Angeles

Ms Rosenhouse Is writing her dissertation on the evaluation of the validity of attitudinal survey data on fertility-related topics adminisshytared i Guatela Nter work is based on the INCAP-AXD data and focuses primarily on doetted family ise

JsL1AMVampA Colombia Univereidad del Vll del Caucal PhD Land Tenure Center University of Wisconsin Madison

Dr Saravia coploted his doctoral work In 1971 on rural development and health status in Colombia He ueed data from a 1973 health and nutrition survey Ne has returned to his faculty position in the School af Economies iniversidad del Vails del Caous

2911hotu L oJBrasil Iatitute Getull Vargas PhD candidate teshyi 7nosteUiversity of ChicagoJ

Mr sedlacek joined tle POP allows progrm im October 1971 shortly after he began work en a stud- of fertility and wmons work patterns In Brasil and the US with JamoeHeckia and the Stanford Research Institute No Intends to adapt economttii modeling techniques ho t currently developshyn to use on survey data fro eoaulo Brasil

la MUAP Nepeli PhD adidat Population Studies ad Training Center

grown University

FDP Fellw hapa s Frtility survey Of 1974 us carried out the initial parof the research

at the Rest-Vest Cater and has returned to rown University to complete his dissertation in September 1910 is research currently underway concerns estimating trends and levels of Infant mortality and fertility

As the novst Mr I analysing data tree the Sepal

-20

IsttelriP Vokpra~~-c--

Battelle pDp staff and Yellos are encouraged to submit papers for The foloingincorporation Into the Battelle PD Working Paper seies

papers have been issued to date

AlMtLL PDKiUna Iufi

Title Authow(s) Date

ChanOle UP Heareesep Ot Is ThirhouIptan foetility

I 1041i0camOo$ ond family Plsnnisu

Nfi l2 BoxDifeoso Itthe Wsteot to i P 1tle OctIo A4gotlu si Owlelo in C Yarrolil Clas n$lt

J aiSNRIal Guatemsala 1pound11

14

olt iIConsequence 0Mo0llos to S ahCentitbution of Auihroelogsts to VCetoe vI

ot Iamp Velltell p~ |t13lNeceove NisPopltie evele V Ntlpm[ ga It 4 l afliiplatt - Note Punittenm lat Anlst$ V1tteteooy fobIt shy

tleferilityp MWAsols4 later- J lltlt robt7 eatol ind~t Variables fit 5~t Afab Cowmttto

I I The Impe of uralt pitqPM so lt WV letI Kay to

pliteti otth CA Crrsie A i Sashil

May 19I LaePlaifiteaiea 4d Weeleore Numasseew g Peubda goost le itatePOistIeleis

i t May ItiNCtle rtil JnitAli

ISMS to 1 l t t ilatVariables Al

isatal 11i1tt

it The~w to1OfS e e a e t Phte g 5 I 4P sot Hpdel JunA1oi Th eeLatin A erte s Su I il

I lit o f Usual Union tuaotet 1 Alsn JI

t aillttel

Change A Rios et toI r)eally it ampn toonwmto it14 Plt IIIa PorTuitc4nd Reality vile 1311i1101o bull

CA Cctvise I

335 Close Weeit ethe Uitd Steill A ctititl ampos4$- JA 1enioto The losses of iUdenem40 Nealtae mocers

S - aunt ) bull

Page 22: vBallelle - United States Agency for International

f bull bull bull bull bull - l

practice socioeconomic differential and their relationships to fortilityi lihe plantia completeherdiaertationin Jne 1990

ejlena R Colombia Univerldad do Jos Andes logota PhD Economics University

Msi Ribs completed het dissertation on the consequences of migration in Colombia in October 1979 She Is currently working on a postdoctoral research project on fertility aspects of the 1973 census Ma Ribs has been selected to join the Young Professionals program at the World Bank

Robertol0e Peru Univereidad do gan Harcost PhD candidate Columbia svermity 14

Mr Rios is In the last phase of completion of a doctoral dissertation eamning ocular trends In mortality and fertility In Latin America He haos noted in his work a mote rapid fertility decline than was typical of the Eushy

ropean demolraphic transition Mr Rios recently contributed 1PW Working Paper 913 entitled Family Site and Economic Change

lgnira MSYZi21 CkGatmala Instituto do Nutriclon de Centro Aaerica y anma (INCA) Guatemala City PhD candidate School of Public Health University of California Los Angeles

Ms Rosenhouse Is writing her dissertation on the evaluation of the validity of attitudinal survey data on fertility-related topics adminisshytared i Guatela Nter work is based on the INCAP-AXD data and focuses primarily on doetted family ise

JsL1AMVampA Colombia Univereidad del Vll del Caucal PhD Land Tenure Center University of Wisconsin Madison

Dr Saravia coploted his doctoral work In 1971 on rural development and health status in Colombia He ueed data from a 1973 health and nutrition survey Ne has returned to his faculty position in the School af Economies iniversidad del Vails del Caous

2911hotu L oJBrasil Iatitute Getull Vargas PhD candidate teshyi 7nosteUiversity of ChicagoJ

Mr sedlacek joined tle POP allows progrm im October 1971 shortly after he began work en a stud- of fertility and wmons work patterns In Brasil and the US with JamoeHeckia and the Stanford Research Institute No Intends to adapt economttii modeling techniques ho t currently developshyn to use on survey data fro eoaulo Brasil

la MUAP Nepeli PhD adidat Population Studies ad Training Center

grown University

FDP Fellw hapa s Frtility survey Of 1974 us carried out the initial parof the research

at the Rest-Vest Cater and has returned to rown University to complete his dissertation in September 1910 is research currently underway concerns estimating trends and levels of Infant mortality and fertility

As the novst Mr I analysing data tree the Sepal

-20

IsttelriP Vokpra~~-c--

Battelle pDp staff and Yellos are encouraged to submit papers for The foloingincorporation Into the Battelle PD Working Paper seies

papers have been issued to date

AlMtLL PDKiUna Iufi

Title Authow(s) Date

ChanOle UP Heareesep Ot Is ThirhouIptan foetility

I 1041i0camOo$ ond family Plsnnisu

Nfi l2 BoxDifeoso Itthe Wsteot to i P 1tle OctIo A4gotlu si Owlelo in C Yarrolil Clas n$lt

J aiSNRIal Guatemsala 1pound11

14

olt iIConsequence 0Mo0llos to S ahCentitbution of Auihroelogsts to VCetoe vI

ot Iamp Velltell p~ |t13lNeceove NisPopltie evele V Ntlpm[ ga It 4 l afliiplatt - Note Punittenm lat Anlst$ V1tteteooy fobIt shy

tleferilityp MWAsols4 later- J lltlt robt7 eatol ind~t Variables fit 5~t Afab Cowmttto

I I The Impe of uralt pitqPM so lt WV letI Kay to

pliteti otth CA Crrsie A i Sashil

May 19I LaePlaifiteaiea 4d Weeleore Numasseew g Peubda goost le itatePOistIeleis

i t May ItiNCtle rtil JnitAli

ISMS to 1 l t t ilatVariables Al

isatal 11i1tt

it The~w to1OfS e e a e t Phte g 5 I 4P sot Hpdel JunA1oi Th eeLatin A erte s Su I il

I lit o f Usual Union tuaotet 1 Alsn JI

t aillttel

Change A Rios et toI r)eally it ampn toonwmto it14 Plt IIIa PorTuitc4nd Reality vile 1311i1101o bull

CA Cctvise I

335 Close Weeit ethe Uitd Steill A ctititl ampos4$- JA 1enioto The losses of iUdenem40 Nealtae mocers

S - aunt ) bull

Page 23: vBallelle - United States Agency for International

-20

IsttelriP Vokpra~~-c--

Battelle pDp staff and Yellos are encouraged to submit papers for The foloingincorporation Into the Battelle PD Working Paper seies

papers have been issued to date

AlMtLL PDKiUna Iufi

Title Authow(s) Date

ChanOle UP Heareesep Ot Is ThirhouIptan foetility

I 1041i0camOo$ ond family Plsnnisu

Nfi l2 BoxDifeoso Itthe Wsteot to i P 1tle OctIo A4gotlu si Owlelo in C Yarrolil Clas n$lt

J aiSNRIal Guatemsala 1pound11

14

olt iIConsequence 0Mo0llos to S ahCentitbution of Auihroelogsts to VCetoe vI

ot Iamp Velltell p~ |t13lNeceove NisPopltie evele V Ntlpm[ ga It 4 l afliiplatt - Note Punittenm lat Anlst$ V1tteteooy fobIt shy

tleferilityp MWAsols4 later- J lltlt robt7 eatol ind~t Variables fit 5~t Afab Cowmttto

I I The Impe of uralt pitqPM so lt WV letI Kay to

pliteti otth CA Crrsie A i Sashil

May 19I LaePlaifiteaiea 4d Weeleore Numasseew g Peubda goost le itatePOistIeleis

i t May ItiNCtle rtil JnitAli

ISMS to 1 l t t ilatVariables Al

isatal 11i1tt

it The~w to1OfS e e a e t Phte g 5 I 4P sot Hpdel JunA1oi Th eeLatin A erte s Su I il

I lit o f Usual Union tuaotet 1 Alsn JI

t aillttel

Change A Rios et toI r)eally it ampn toonwmto it14 Plt IIIa PorTuitc4nd Reality vile 1311i1101o bull

CA Cctvise I

335 Close Weeit ethe Uitd Steill A ctititl ampos4$- JA 1enioto The losses of iUdenem40 Nealtae mocers

S - aunt ) bull