vanity metrics #qs: stop to measure the wrong things

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VANITY METRICS Stop to measure the wrong things

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Why I think the term "vanity metrics" applies to a lot of quantified self measurements we take. What I actually measure instead to determine my health.

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Page 1: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

VANITY METRICS

Stop to measure the wrong things

Page 2: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

What you will learn in the next 15 min

Vanity metrics ≠ Actionable metrics

What I actually measure, and why

How you can implement some of my findings

Page 3: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

Vanity Metrics “They might make you feel good, but they don’t offer clear guidance for what to do”

Eric Ries

Page 4: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

Lean Startup –

Eric Ries Startup Bible of silicon

valley

Page 5: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

Example

vanity metric actionable metric

website “Hits”

How many people have

visited my website?

What do I learn?

A/B split test

group A

group B: 20% more

revenue

Go with design B =>

more revenue

Page 6: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

What has this got to

do with #QS?

Page 7: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

We are measuring the wrong

things

Page 8: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

Medicine: Surrogate Markers

In clinical trials, a surrogate endpoint (or

marker) is a measure of effect of a specific

treatment that may correlate with a real

clinical endpoint but does not necessarily

have a guaranteed relationship

Page 9: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

Measuring the wrong things

vanity actionable

weight / BMI

calories

blood value

“Total Cholesterol”

body-fat%

waist-to-height ratio

nutrient density

new formula &

meaningful ratios

Page 10: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

Vanity Metric: Weight

Page 11: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

2005-2009

I went from 70+ to 80+ kg

Height: 181cm -> stayed the same

(155 lbs to 180lbs, Height: 5 ft 11in)

Page 12: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

Low Fat + Low Calorie

What I would, in hindsight, call an

Eating Disorder

2009 – 2012

Depression / Anxiety attacks

Muscle loss

Bad health

Page 13: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

March 2011

From 80+ (180lbs in

2009)

I went to 60 kg (135lbs)

Depression

No energy

constantly sick

Page 14: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

Weight graph: less is not good

Page 15: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

Weight & BMI

Statistical value to

compare weight for

different heights

Doesn„t measure

„dangerous“ body fat

Graphic from the book ”Escape the Diet Trap” – Dr. John Briffa MD

Page 16: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

Alternative: Waist to Height Ratio

WHtR

Waist: 73 cm /

Height 181cm

0,4

< 40yr: 0,5 or less

> 40yr: between 0,5 and 0,6

The Predictive Value of Different Measures of Obesity for Incident

Cardiovascular Events and Mortality

Harald J. Schneider, et al.

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1210/jc.2009-1584

Published Online: July 02, 2013

Page 17: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

Vanity Metric: Calories

Page 18: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

A calorie is not a calorie

Different foods go through different biochemical pathways, some of which are inefficient and cause energy (calories) to be lost as heat.

Even more important is the fact that different foods and macronutrients have a major effect on the hormones and brain centers that control hunger and eating behavior.

The foods we eat can have a huge impact on the biological processes that govern when, what and how much we eat

Page 19: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

Which is healthier?

37%

48%

15%

Carb

Fat

Protein

41%

47%

12%

Carb

Fat

Protein

932 kcal 930 kcal

Page 20: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

How about now?

37%

48%

15%

Carb

Fat

Protein

41%

47%

12%

Carb

Fat

Protein

Page 21: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

Q: But aren‟t eggs unhealthy?

A: No, they are actually extremely

healthy

Page 22: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

Vanity Metric: blood cholesterol

Page 23: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

Cholesterol

Changing your diet (~ ¼ of cholesterol)

will not have a huge influence on your

cholesterol

Eating eggs is healthy

Rong Y, et al. Egg consumption and risk of coronary heart disease and stroke: dose-response meta-analysis of

prospective cohort studies. British Medical Journal, 2013.

Fernandez ML. Dietary cholesterol provided by eggs and plasma lipoproteins in healthy populations. Current

Opinion in Clinical Nutrition & Metabolic Care, 2006.

Blesso CN, et al. Whole egg consumption improves lipoprotein profiles and insulin sensitivity to a greater extent

than yolk-free egg substitute in individuals with metabolic syndrome. Metabolism, 2013.

Page 24: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

Cholesterol

Essential structural

component of cell

membranes

Precursor for

biosynthesis of

Steroid hormones

Bile acid

Vitamin D

Page 25: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

Cholesterol

Typical body production (Male, 68kg) =

1000mg

Typical dietary intake = 300mg (23%)

Page 26: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

How did we get in this cholesterol

mess?

Page 27: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

How did we get here [Video]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v8WA5wcaHp4

on Slideshare: see next slide

Page 28: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

My current diet: LCHF

70% fat – 20% protein – 10% carbs

More usage of fat as energy source

(ketones)

Body prefers saturated fats => uses them

as preferred fuel (= they are gone quicker)

LDL (“bad cholesterol”) is mostly good

Page 30: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

My lipid profile

TC 273 | HDL 69 | LDL 192 | TG 62

Page 31: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

This is what my doctor sees

Total cholesterol 273

(goal < 200)

LDL cholesterol (calculated) 192

(goal < 160)

Page 32: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

This is what my doctor sees

Total cholesterol 273

(goal < 200)

LDL cholesterol (calculated) 192

(goal < 160)

Page 33: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

LDL calculated Friedewald (1972)

LDL = TC – HDL – (TG / 5)

New Formulas (if your TG < 100 mg/dl)

Ahmadi (2008) http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18426324

LDL (mg/dl) = TC/1.19 + TG/1.9 – HDL/1.1 – 38

de Cordova (2013) http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23108766

LDL = 3/4 (TC - HDL)

Page 34: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

My LDL Math (<160) TC 273 | HDL 69 | LDL 192 | TG 62

Friedewald

192 mg/dl

Ahmadi

161 mg/dl

Cordova

153 mg/dl

Page 35: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

My LDL Math (<160) TC 273 | HDL 69 | LDL 157 | TG 62

Friedewald

192 mg/dl

Ahmadi

161 mg/dl

Cordova

153 mg/dl

Page 36: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

Heartscore.org

Page 37: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

Low Risk: TG / HDL < 2.5

TC 273 | HDL 69 | LDL 157 | TG 62

62 / 69 = 0,89

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24402298

Page 39: Vanity Metrics #QS: Stop to measure the wrong things

Conclusion (*IANAD + I do not play one on TV *)

Stop counting calories. Eat nutritious food. Go LCHF

Waist / Height

(< 40yr: 0,5 or less | > 40yr: between 0,5 and 0,6)

Calculate your own LDL with Ahmadi

LDL = TC/1.19 + TG/1.9 – HDL/1.1 – 38

Check your heartscore.org

TG / HDL (< 2,5 for men | < 3,5 for women)

Questions: @khbites [email protected]