value of data science for manufacturing · failures on install successful replacements pending part...
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Value of Data Science for manufacturing
September 7, 2017
Sergey Patsko, Ph.D.Data Science Engagement Leader, Data Science Services
Demand Forecasting
Optimize Scheduling and operator productivity
Scrap reduction
Machine Life & Predictive Maintenance
Root cause analysis of fluctuations in cost
!GE Data Science Services: most valuable applications in manufacturing
September 7, 2017GE Data Science Services
From applications & integrations to apps and APIs
10 applications12 months/release
100+ apps7 days/release
Value is tied to capabilities
Industrial APPLICATIONS
Number of features
Valu
e of
App
licat
ion
v.2 v.3 v.4 v.n
Value is tied to purpose
Industrial APPS
Number of features
CompromiseFunctional sweet spot Lost purpose
Valu
e of
App
TODAYYESTERDAY
GE Data Science Services September 7, 2017
Deriving Business Value through a virtuous data cycle
Martin Giles, “The Wing Data-First 50: AI-powered Business Applications
GE Data Science Services September 7, 2017
3D METAL PRINTING: QUALITY MONITORING WITH DATA SCIENCE
Need a monitoring tool to classify true gross anomalous behavior in the additive build process.
• All defects that were caught at CT scan are now found during the build process (Predix real time data science application)
• 50% reduction in CT scanning
Impact of Industrial Data Science:
Bottom-up approach
Customer Challenge:
September 7, 2017GE Data Science Services
§ Identify cost reduction opportunities
§ Root-causes for incremental cost identified§ Predictive models for key indicators that
drive cost have been developed
Impact of Industrial Data Science:
Top-down approach
Customer Challenge:
DISCRETE MANUFACTURING: COST REDUCTION WITH DATA SCIENCE
GE Data Science Services September 7, 2017
1st STEP IN INDUSTRY 4.0? DATA SCIENCE!
September 7, 2017GE Data Science Services
Think of the Business Value first!
VolumeData Quantity
VarietyData Types
VelocityData Speed
ValueData Impact
September 7, 2017GE Data Science Services
DATA SCIENCE: BUSINESS OUTCOME FOCUSED FRAMEWORK
1W 1W 4W 3W 1W 2W
Establish relevant data sources
Develop model
Explore the data, develop & validate
features
Verify Analytic Performance
Deploy model against live
data
Define project hypothesis
§ Increase productivity across 400+ CT scanners and 700+ radiologists
§ Increased productivity;§ Optimized machine usage time
Impact of Industrial Data Science:
Digital Industrial Transformation
Customer Challenge:
September 7, 2017GE Data Science Services
DATA SCIENCE: THROUGHPUT OPTIMIZATION
§ Reduce parts inventory while improving the service
§ Inventory reduced by $4M§ Optimized field engineers deployment
Impact of Industrial Data Science:
Digital Industrial Transformation
Customer Challenge:
Part Dashboard
Top Customer Sites-Last 30 DaysCustomer Name QuantityHIGHLANDS CASHIERS HO …ADMIN-Ohio_OHIOVALLEY_ …HOLLAND COMMUNITY HO …PARKVIEW ORTHOPAEDIC …UNIV OF TX M D ANDERSO …ST FRANCIS MEDICAL CEN …ADMIN-Kansas_DALLAS_S …ADMIN-SouthNewJersey_PH …OEC MEDICAL SYSTEMS INCADMIN-UrbanLA_SOUTHWE …
500356300225208203170160135133
Jun Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
2015
2016
40000
30000
20000
10000
0
# Parts Consumed over TimeM A M J J A S O N D J F
2018
2019
1100 %
150 %
00 %
Series byDemanC2D
C2D Ratio Trend- Last 12 Months
Frequently Consumed PartsPart Number - Description Quantity5368545-Battery Pack Assembly5192958-2-LVLE2 Power Supply2188371-2-Handswitch Cable - …5555146-Battery Pack Dischar …5350000-2-Firefly Charger Boa …5503500-SUPERBEE WIRED H …5392190-Wired Handswitch Ho …5311985-Mantis AC-DC Conver …5423551-Blank USB with Label
5686107
82805151413330
Failure CategoriesPhase QuantityIFR180FOAInstallation
3039218
Fe Se N Ja M M Ju Se N Ja
2014
2015
2016
400
300
200
100
0
Color byphase
FOAIFR180Installati
Failure Categories
Filter settings
hc_consumption_tracker_Information link- Time hierarchy: 2015 2016 hc_most_consumed_parts Info link- order_part_number: (5368545)vw_demand_consume_ratio Info- part_num: (5368545)hc_early_life_cycle_ Info link- part_num: (5368545)vw_demand_consume_calc Info link- Part No.: (5368545)vw_consume_increase Info link- part_num: (5368545) GE Healthcare Contact | FAQ | Suggestions Part Failure Analytics Dasboard
Most Frequent Problem Code Most Malfunctioning Part Products by Popularity Facility by
Damaged in shipment 345 300GB SAS HDD 789 DL OPTICAL MOUSE GPO-US-001-000-V02 980
Scan problem 234 750W Power Supply 435 PERFORMIX PRO VCT 100 ECO GPO-CN-GE2-828-017 678
Image quality 123 300GB SAS Hard Drive 312 MRI-400 GPO-US-004-091-004 453
FOA (failed on arrival) 89 DVD-RW Optical Drive 115 XRAY AUTO 12 GPO-CN-GE2-215-004 234
Not starting 74 RF HUB CONTROL 3T 89 GP TUBES GPO-CN-GE2-215-004 221
FOI (failed on install) 65 RFSB2-3T 34 MR750W GPO-JP-KNS-KYT-021 109
Welcome Mikolaj Glybin Customize your Dashboard
16/03/2016 16/04/2016 Show me range from to Confirm Data Overview # of Ordered Parts
# of Part Failures
# of Products
37%
25%
13%
10%
8% 7%
Damaged in shipment
Scan problem
Image quality
FOA (failed on arrival)
Not starting
FOI (failed on install)
44%
25%
18%
6% 5% 2%
300GB SAS HDD
750W Power Supply
300GB SAS Hard Drive
DVD-RW Optical Drive
RF HUB CONTROL 3T
RFSB2-3T
378 345
212
89 45 31
DL OPTICALMOUSE
PERFORMIXPRO VCT 100
ECO
MRI-400 GP TUBES XRAY AUTO 12 MR750W
# of Units Sold
# of Units Ordered
# of Units Returned
Show Top 10
Part Failure Analytics
żż http://analytics.gehealthcare.com
66% 32% 452 234 more malfunctions than last month
new parts are in the top 6 failures
products ordered In this period
customers placed order this month
435
234
903
312
515
234
544
712
221 328
EMEA ASIA USCAN ANZ LATAM
04/2016 03/2016
Default Dasboard
By Product
By Part
By Facility
By Problem Code
For a given customer, here’s the list of most occurring problems (problem code from text analyltcs)
For a given customer, here’s the top X parts were replaced the most
For a given customer, the list of parts mostly sold, ordered and returned
For that customer, list the total # of parts ordered per customer’s facility.
GE Healthcare Contact | FAQ | Suggestions Part Failure Analytics Dasboard
Problem Reports by Month (Open Cases) Most Common Problems with A012345678 Parts Orders Open vs. Closed Problems
04/2016 234 Compared to 04/2015 FOI (failure on install) 12 DVD-RW Optical Drive 217 04/2016 54 12
03/2016 123 Compared to 03/2015 FOA (failure on arrival) 9 RF HUB CONTROL 3T 67.853 03/2016 45 44
02/2016 23 Compared to 02/2015 Chipset overheating 7 RFSB2-3T 111.122 02/2016 22 21
01/2016 2 Compared to 01/2015 Incorrect installation 5 RFSB2 RoHS 3T 42.416 01/2016 18 18
12/2015 12 Compared to 12/2014 Component missing 3 ePDB 8.878 12/2015 72 72
11/2015 378 Compared to 11/2014 Incomplete 1 NEW IPS PSD BYPASS CABLE 52 11/2015 63 62
Welcome Mikolaj Glybin
11/04/2016 17/04/2016 Show me range from to Confirm Data Overview for part type (Coil), model (A012345678)
04/2016 03/2016 02/2016 01/2016 12/2015 11/2015
0
50
100
150
200
250
217
67853
111122
42416
8878 52
DVD-RW Optical
Drive
RF HUB
CONTROL 3T
RFSB2-3T RFSB2 RoHS 3T ePDB NEW IPS PSD
BYPASS CABLE
Part Failure Analytics
żż http://analytics.gehealthcare.com
31% 12 165 18 less malfunctions
than last month failures on install
successful
replacements
pending part
replacements
45
22 18
72 63
44
21 18
72
62
03/2016 02/2016 01/2016 12/2015 11/2015
Parts Dasboard Coils A012345678 or exact Part ID Done
04/2015
03/2016# of ordered parts
How often this part is replaced over time
This page is at the part number level. There will be 4 bottoms to display in weekly, monthly, quarterly and yearly. (in additional to the time range)
For those replaced parts, what are the top return reason codes and the counts.
Most commonly ordered parts and its qty with that part. (Similar to Nikhil’s pareto)
This section is still TBD. Need to check with the users to confirm
Part type info is in question. Need Kiran and Jagruthi to find out part type hierarchy from CRM (Ex from Jacob: MR system -> sub-system -> part types (Coil) -> part number
GE Data Science Services September 7, 2017
DATA SCIENCE: INVENTORY OPTIMIZATION
How is Industrial Data Science Different?
September 7, 2017
Industrial applications are way more sensitive to predictions accuracy
Event à Equipmentcomponent failure
Ad click-thru Media purchase
Cost/value per event Huge tiny smallFrequency of event tiny Huge Large
Diversity/# of “cause” variables Large small small
Data Quality low Very high Very high
Data Quantity Widely varied Huge Large
Physics-based models Many, & highly relevant ? ?
Legacy / process integration Critical Minimal Minimal
… … … …
GE Data Science Services
Industrial Data Science: not just machine learning!
September 7, 2017
We work in the intersection of Physical, Empirical, and Digital
Physical• Based on First Principles
& Domain Knowledge• Little Data Needed• Loses Impact Over Time
Empirical• Intuitive• Leverages Accumulated
Expert Knowledge • Updates Along with
Domain Experts
Digital (AI)• Easy to Maintain & Scale• Limited Data from Industrial
Domain• Bias: Predictively Limited
to Past Events
GE Data Science Services
Industrial Data Science: Disparate Data!
Aggregated Feature Set
Measurement Data•Sampling Plan
Sensor Data•Streaming at 60KHz
Maintenance Data•Daily Frequency
GE Data Science Services September 7, 2017
Reducing risk with Collaborative Rapid Development Process
DISCOVER
ObservationProblem FramingPlan the Pilot
GET INSIGHTS
Design PrototypesIterate & RefineProof of Concept
LEARN
Value VerifiedGo or No Go DevelopScale/Pivot/Next
DEVELOP&DEPLOY
Value CreatedOperationalize
GE Data Science Services September 7, 2017
Turn your data into value with GE Data Science!
Discover actionable insights
Dom
ain • Physics
Knowledge
• Data (lots)
• Compute (lots)
• Experience MODEL
Deliver custom-built analytics
• Model
• Data (less, low-latency)
• Compute (less)
• Actionable in a Workflow!!
BUSINESS OUTCOMES
Self-learn & Improve
GE Data Science Services September 7, 2017