using phabsim to investigate effects of altered streamflow ......used hec ras modeled flows to...
TRANSCRIPT
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Using PHABSIM to Investigate Effects of Altered Streamflow on Fish in the Chehalis River, Washington
Marie WinkowskiNeala Kendall, Hal Beecher
WDFWChehalis Basin Strategy - Technical Workshop Sept. 22, 2015
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Overview
• Brief background• Summary of results and
discussion• Key gaps and next steps• Implications for
restoration efforts
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Background
• PHABSIM predicts stream depth and current velocity distributions in relation to streambed characteristics (not temperature)
• Compares distribution of these characteristics within a reach to calculate an index of habitat quality and quantity
• Produces an estimate of weighted usable area (WUA) for each species
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Background
• Habitat Suitability Indices (HSIs) used with PHABSIM to identify different WUA for different species and life stages
• HSIs describe each species and life stage habitat preferences
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3Depth (ft.)
Pacific lamprey rearing(Stone & Barndt 2005)
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Background
HSIs
PHABSIM
WUA
Used HEC RAS modeled flows to select/compare
WUA
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Background
HSIs
PHABSIM
WUA
Used HEC RAS modeled flows to select/compare
WUA
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Background
HSIs
PHABSIM
WUA
Used HEC RAS modeled flows to select/compare
WUA
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Background
HSIs
PHABSIM
WUA
Used HEC RAS modeled flows to select/compare
WUA
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Species Assessed
(K. Brady, WDFW)
(J. Tyson, WDFW)
(J. Tyson, WDFW)
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Species Assessed
(J. Tyson, WDFW)
(J. Tyson, WDFW)
(K. Brady, WDFW)
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Species Assessed
(K. Brady, WDFW)
(J. Tyson, WDFW)
(J. Tyson, WDFW)
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Species Assessed
(K. Brady, WDFW)
(J. Tyson, WDFW)
(J. Tyson, WDFW)
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Species Assessed
(K. Brady, WDFW)
(J. Tyson, WDFW)
(J. Tyson, WDFW)
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Species Assessed
(K. Brady, WDFW)
(J. Tyson, WDFW)
(J. Tyson, WDFW)
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Research objectives
• The goal of this study is to employ PHABSIM to compare WUAs for select species present in the Chehalis River Basin under two stream flow conditions:
1) An average water year (WY)2) An average WY with stream flows altered by
a multi-purpose dam (MPD)
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Three analyses
1. Flows that maximize WUA compared to median monthly flows for an average WY
2. Monthly baseline flow WUAs for spawning and rearing compared to MPD flows
3. Spawning and rearing WUA were combined to give overall WUA changes
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Three analyses
1. Flows that maximize WUA compared to median monthly flows for an average WY
2. Monthly baseline flow WUAs for spawning and rearing compared to MPD flows
3. Spawning and rearing WUA were combined to give overall WUA changes
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Median monthly flows are higher than flows that maximize WUAMedian monthly flows are lower than flows that maximize WUAMedian monthly flows are within 5 cfs of flows that maximize WUASpecies not present in reach at any life stage
- Species not present in reach during this time
WUA under modeled baseline flows
Elk Creek to SF Chehalis SF Chehalis to Newaukum
Species Oct
N
ov Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
N
ov Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Pacific (S) - - - - - - # # # - - - - - - - - - # # # - - -
Lamprey (R) # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # #
Largemouth (S) - - - - - - - - # # - - - - - - - - - - # # - -
Bass (R) # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # #
Smallmouth (S) - - - - - - - - 2 # - - - - - - - - - - # # - -
Bass (R) # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # #
Speckled dace (R) # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # #
Largescale (S) - - - - - - # # # - - - - - - - - - # # # - - -
Sucker (R) # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # #
Western toad (R) # - - - - - - - # # # #
Mountain (S) # # # - - - - - - - - # # # # - - - - - - - - #
Whitefish (R) # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # #
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0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
20 40 60 80 100 140 180 220 260 300 400 500 700 900 1100
WUA
(ft2
/100
0 ft
rive
r)
Flow (cfs)
Pacific lamprey (s)
Pacific lamprey (r)
Largescale sucker (s)
Largescale sucker (r)
WUA varies by streamflow
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Three analyses
1. Flows that maximize WUA compared to median monthly flows for an average WY
2. Monthly baseline flow WUAs for spawning and rearing compared to MPD flows
3. Spawning and rearing WUA were combined to give overall WUA changes
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Modeled median monthly flows at baseline conditions vs. with MPD
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
Mon
thly
med
ian
flow
s (cf
s)
Elk Cr to SF Chehalis reach at baseline
Elk Cr to SF Chehalis reach with dam
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Percent changes in WUA with a MPD
Elk Creek to SF Chehalis SF Chehalis to Newaukum
Species Oct
N
ov Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
N
ov Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Pacific (S) - - - - - 0 0 # # # - - - - - - - 0 0 # # # - -
lamprey (R) 3 6 6 0 0 0 0 # # # # # 6 # 1 0 0 0 0 # # # # #
Largemouth (S) - - - - - - - - # # - - - - - - - - - - # # - -
bass (R) 1 5 3 0 0 0 0 # # # # # 9 # # 0 0 0 0 # # # # #
Smallmouth (S) - - - - - - - # # # - - - - - - - - - # # # - -
bass (R) 6 8 # 0 0 0 0 # # # # # 5 # # 0 0 0 0 # # # # #
Speckled dace (R) 3 9 3 0 0 0 0 # # # # # 1 0 2 3 0 0 0 5 3 6 6 0
Largescale (S) - - - - - - 0 # # # - - - - - - - - 0 # # 0 - -
sucker (R) 6 # 2 0 0 0 0 # # # # # 3 # 1 0 0 0 0 # # # # #
Western toad (R) 2 - - - - - - - # # # #
Mountain (S) # # 6 - - - - - - - - 4 # # 6 - - - - - - - - 4
whitefish (R) # # 8 0 0 0 0 # # # # 5 # # 3 0 0 0 0 # # # # 4
If 1 to 5If 6 to10If 11 to15If 16 to20If >20Species not present in reach at life stage
If < -20If -16 to -20If -11 to -15If -6 to -10If -1 to -5If 0
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Three analyses
1. Flows that maximize WUA compared to median monthly flows for an average WY
2. Monthly baseline flow WUAs for spawning and rearing compared to MPD flows
3. Spawning and rearing WUA were combined to give overall yearly WUA changes
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Estimated % change in WUA from baseline to MPD
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
Pe Ell to ElkCreek
Elk Creek toSouth Fork
South Fork toNewaukum
Newaukum toSkookumchuck
Skookumchuckto Porter
WUA
(% C
hang
e fr
om B
asel
ine)
Pacific lamprey
LM Bass
SM Bass
Speckled dace*
Largescale Sucker
Mtn Whitefish
Chum
Western toad
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-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
Pe Ell to ElkCreek
Elk Cr to SouthFork
South Fork toNewaukum
Newaukum toSkookumchuck
Skookumchuckto Porter
WUA
(% C
hang
e fr
om B
asel
ine)
Pacific lamprey
Largemouth bass
Smallmouth bass
Speckled dace*
Largescale sucker
Mountain whitefish
Western toad
Estimated % Change in WUA with MPD and Climate ChangeSummer months only
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What was interesting or surprising about the results?
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What was interesting or surprising about the results?
• Variety of flows is favorable for the breadth of species present
• WUA increases for some species and diminishes for others
• (i.e., spawning Pacific lamprey and mountain whitefish vs rearing Pacific lamprey)
• Dependent on the species, life stage, location, time of year
• Increased summer flows exceed flows that maximize WUA, subsequently decreasing WUA
• Limiting aquatic habitat by increasing flow
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Key gaps
• Incorporate temperature– Task for 2015-2017
• Validate habitat suitability for Chehalis River– Task for 2015-2017
• Climate change is only considered with MPD in summer months
• Substrate changes• Reservoir impacts
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Restoration of non-salmonids
• Diversity of streamflow and depths is required for diversity of species
• To better answer restoration requirements, we need to understand more about these species– i.e., habitat preferences
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Acknowledgements
• Thomas Payne and crew, Normandeau Associates for PHABSIM model
• Brad Caldwell and James Pacheco, Washington Department of Ecology
• Adam Hill, Anchor QEA and Larry Karpack, Watershed Science and Engineering for HEC RAS modeling
• Funding: Washington State legislature