urban systems collaborative seminar | michael batty, perspectives on smart cities - representing,...

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Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College London Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis Perspectives on Smart Cities Perspectives on Smart Cities Representing, Modelling, and Tracking Urban Futures Representing, Modelling, and Tracking Urban Futures Michael Batty University College London [email protected] [email protected] @jmichaelbatty @jmichaelbatty www.casa.ucl.ac.uk www.casa.ucl.ac.uk www.complexCity.info Webinar, Friday 21 Webinar, Friday 21 st st October 2011, 4pm ET October 2011, 4pm ET http://www.join.me/openplans http://www.join.me/openplans

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Page 1: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

Perspectives on Smart CitiesPerspectives on Smart CitiesRepresenting, Modelling, and Tracking Urban FuturesRepresenting, Modelling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Michael Batty

University College [email protected]@ucl.ac.uk

@jmichaelbatty@jmichaelbatty

www.casa.ucl.ac.ukwww.casa.ucl.ac.ukwww.complexCity.info

Webinar, Friday 21Webinar, Friday 21stst October 2011, 4pm ETOctober 2011, 4pm EThttp://www.join.me/openplanshttp://www.join.me/openplans

Page 2: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

Our View (in CASA) of Smart Cities

To an extent, everything we do in our Centre is aboutSmart Cities,

And in a sense, everything happening today and in thefuture in the City will be about Smart Cities

It is thus impossible to provide a complete overview so Iwill provide a sample of projects that we are involvedin to give you some flavour of what we do and whatwe think the potential is

Our focus is on modelling and visualising what goes inin cities and their design & we outline seven streams

Page 3: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

My Seven Themes: Exemplars

1. Modelling Land Use Transportation, Energy, etc

2. Modelling the Geometry of Cities: Virtual Cities

3. Representing Networks: Telecoms, Subways and Rail

4. Simulating Crowds:

5. Eliciting Data: Online Mapping and Crowdsourcing

6. Extracting and Mapping Social Media

7. A Framework for All of This: The Complexity Sciences

But first a note about what is the Smart City

Page 4: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

The Smart City goes back a long way �– certainly beforethe web �– all about the wired city �– installing fibre

Page 5: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

After the initial period of installing networks, the focusmoved in smart cities (read intelligent cities, virtualcities, digital cities, �…) to the provision of servicesand this still represents a main focus.

But the development of new data sets from sensing isnow one of the key foci and linking our varioustechnologies to understanding the city is providing anew momentum for modelling and prediction

The evolution of the smart city idea is following thesame line as computation:

First hardware, then software, then data and orgware

Page 6: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

In fact, the smart city idea is joining with data capture,data mining and visualisation to generate a newmomentum in our understanding & modelling cities

BIG DATA + SMART CITY = New ModelsThis is our focus really today. As a research group, weare not into applications that are robust enough tobe implementable en masse but we have manyproofs of concept, with potential for wider apps.

Our take on smart cities is about how smartness canenable longer term, less routine intelligence aboutour urban future. About strategy as well as tactics.

Page 7: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

The longer term science of cities that we are concernedwith involves computation to provide services

�• initially in terms our understanding and long termplanning

�• and now complemented by providing more routineservices across networks

�• all of this involves online data, networks, simulations,optimisations and participation

�• it involves treating the city as a online system, anintegrated set of databases whose origins lie in theway we are able to sense what is happening

Page 8: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

Modelling Land Use Transportation, Energy, etc

Our core expertise is in land use transportationmodelling and we have several such models for theLondon region:

Page 9: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

http://www.casa.ucl.ac.uk/movies-weblog/GoogleEarth.mov

Page 10: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

Modelling the Geometry of Cities: Virtual Cities

We have built a large scale 3 D model for London basedon RS data at parcel levels. The model is differentfrom our LUT models �– requiring different skills

The models is being tagged with socio economic data.We have used it for flooding, visualising air pollution,we have looked at the morphology of building form,and used it to visualise 2D to 3D design proposals.

What is intriguing is the way iconic and symbolicmodels are beginning to merge �– land use transportmodels with virtual city models

Page 11: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

http://www.londonair.org.uk/

Page 12: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

Representing Networks: Telecoms, Subways &Rail

Many new sources of network data now exist, much ofcoming from digital sources and we are working withmining this data and extracting functionality from it

Our key data sets are telecoms data (landline) for theUK, the online travel card data (Oyster) for publictransport schemes in London, and the online bikemovement data for the London bikes scheme. Theseare big data sets that record every phone call, trip etcover a period of days with each object time stamped.Let me show three shots of this data.

Page 13: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

Telecoms �– Jon Reades�’ work with a large UK telecoms providerand with Sensable City Lab at MIT

Page 14: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

Oyster Card Data �– interpreting urban structure, multitrips, etc.

Page 15: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

Public Transport Vehicle (not People) Flows from Timetable andOS Streetline Data by Joan Serras (CASA)

Page 16: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

Page 17: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

Bikes Data �– 4200 bikes, started November 2010, a years data �–everything �– all trips, at all times and between all stations

Page 18: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

Page 19: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

Simulating Crowds: Fine Scale Modelling andSensing

In a different tradition but one whichis rapidly converging with ourinterests in sensing and networks, wehave developed a number ofpedestrian models, first for theNotting Hill Carnival, and then formany town centres

Page 20: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

We are now workingon fine scale modelswhich are mirrordiffusion and spreadin situations rangingfrom epidemics toevacuation andshopping.

We have a simplemodel of epidemicson networks inLondon and we arelooking atevacuations of majorshopping centressuch as CoventGarden (right)

Page 21: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

Eliciting Data: Online Mapping & Crowdsourcing

We have a number of mapping projects using Web 2and these involve using these online mappingsystems to elicit simple data from the crowd �– butdata that is geotagged, hence the production ofonline maps of the crowdsourced data in real time

We have looked at Manchester congestion charge, antisocial behaviour and credit crunch where in all caseswe have used the BBC to broadcast the questionsand provide the forum for response while our serversand software have produced the maps. Here aresome examples.

Page 22: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

23,475 responsesApril, May, June 2008

A new credit crunch survey started in October and currently has 3,802 responses.

Page 23: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

http://www.maptube.org/creditcrunch/

Page 24: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

http://www.maptube.org/lookeast

July, August,September 20086,902 responses

BBC Look East: Anti Social Behaviour

Page 25: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

Manchester Congestion Charge15,902 responsesOctober to December 2008

Page 26: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

Page 27: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

BBC Look East Survey - Broadband Speed Test

Page 28: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

Extracting and Mapping Social Media

We have started to mine, map, interpret much socialmedia because of the ease of its availability �– and wehave started looking at Short Text Messaging �–Twitter data.

We have also begun to look at phone tracking data �–from the iPhone for example but many of our datasets such as the bikes data, the Oyster card and suchlike data are really part of the same domain of newbottom up data. We have no control over this butsome of the social media data we are mining wehave greater control over. Here are some examples.

Page 29: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

Spatial Analysis of Urban Activity using Twitterdata

Page 30: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

Page 31: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

Tweets as Background Radiation about Dynamics in the City

Page 32: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

New York London Paris Moscow

Page 33: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

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Page 34: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

A Framework for All of This: The ComplexitySciences

I will not labour this much longer but much of our workis informed by our general interest in understandingcities using the complexity sciences.

We are thus interested in understanding the socialphysics of the city, networks, flows morphology,dynamics, resilience, emergence and so on

I refer you to my own weblog �– www.complexCity.info

Which I call A Science of CitiesA Science of Cities (because I believe thereis more than one science �– there are many)

Page 35: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

Let me finish by listing some resources:

Our blog aggregator

http://blogs.casa.ucl.ac.uk/

Page 36: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

And some of our blogsA Science of Cities http://www.complexcity.info/

Spatial Complexity http://www.spatialcomplexity.info/

Big Data ToolKit http://bigdatatoolkit.org/

Digital Urban http://www.digitalurban.org/

GIS and Agent Based Modelling http://gisagents.blogspot.com/

Simulacra http://simulacra.blogs.casa.ucl.ac.uk/

Sociable Physics http://sociablephysics.wordpress.com/

Spatial Analysis http://spatialanalysis.co.uk/

Suprageography http://oliverobrien.co.uk/

The Mapping London Blog http://mappinglondon.co.uk/

Urban Tick http://urbantick.blogspot.com/

Page 37: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

And some of our books

Page 38: Urban Systems Collaborative Seminar | Michael Batty,  Perspectives on Smart Cities - Representing, Modeling, and Tracking Urban Futures

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College LondonCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis

And last but not least, as part of a major initiative inEurope led by Dirk Helbing at ETH Zurich and SteveBishop at UCL, we are bidding to the EU for aninitiative for a large Europe wide project calledFuturITCFuturITC

This will mobilise complexity science to explore thefuture human problems and as part of this there willbe a significant focus on �“Smart Cities�”. We inviteyou to be involved; The web site is at

http://www.futurict.eu/And the proposal will be submitted March April 2012