upper and lower basin coordinated operations lake powell coordinated operations

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Upper and Lower Basin Coordinated Operations Lake Powell Coordinated Operations Water Year 2011 Projected Operations CRFS Technical Committee Meeting November 16, 2010

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Upper and Lower Basin Coordinated Operations Lake Powell Coordinated Operations Water Year 2011 Projected Operations CRFS Technical Committee Meeting November 16, 2010. Lake Powell & Lake Mead Operational Diagrams and Projected Conditions. 3,629. 14.7. 1/1/11 Projection. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Upper and Lower Basin Coordinated Operations Lake Powell Coordinated Operations

Upper and Lower BasinCoordinated Operations

Lake Powell Coordinated OperationsWater Year 2011 Projected Operations

CRFS Technical Committee MeetingNovember 16, 2010

Page 2: Upper and Lower Basin Coordinated Operations Lake Powell Coordinated Operations

Lake Powell & Lake MeadOperational Diagrams and Projected Conditions

1,086 10.31/1/11

Projection

1/1/11 Projection

3,629 14.71/1/11

Projection

1/1/11 Projection

Page 3: Upper and Lower Basin Coordinated Operations Lake Powell Coordinated Operations
Page 4: Upper and Lower Basin Coordinated Operations Lake Powell Coordinated Operations

Lake Powell Equalization Table

Water Year Lake Powell Elevation (feet)

2008 3,636

2009 3,639

2010 3,642

2011 3,643

2012 3,645

2013 3,646

2014 3,648

2015 3,649

2016 3,651

2017 3,652

2018 3,654

2019 3,655

2020 3,657

2021 3,659

2022 3,660

2023 3,662

2024 3,663

2025 3,664

2026 3,666

Page 5: Upper and Lower Basin Coordinated Operations Lake Powell Coordinated Operations

Annual Operating Plan Lake Powell Unregulated Inflow Scenarios

Inflow Scenario

2010 AOPWY 2010

2011 AOPWY 2011

August October August October

MinimumProbable

5.00 maf(42 %)

4.70 maf(39 %)

4.85 maf(40 %)

4.50 maf(37 %)

MostProbable

11.00 maf(91 %)

10.00 maf(83 %)

10.75 maf(89 %)

9.60 maf(80 %)

Maximum Probable

18.00 maf(149 %)

16.50 maf(137 %)

17.10 maf(142 %)

15.80 maf(131 %)

Page 6: Upper and Lower Basin Coordinated Operations Lake Powell Coordinated Operations

Water Year 2011 Operations under Interim GuidelinesScenario Initial Operational

TierApril

AdjustmentProjected

Annual Release Volume

MinimumProbable

Upper Elevation Balancing

Balancing between 8.23 and 9.0 maf

9.0 maf

MostProbable

Balancing between 8.23 and 9.0 maf

9.0 maf

Maximum Probable

Equalization controlled by

Powell Elevation 3623’

13.45* maf

*To achieve Equalization by September 30, 2011, the water year release under the Maximum Probable Inflow forecast is 13.45 maf. The powerplant capacity for WY2011 is estimated to be about 12.93 maf.

Page 7: Upper and Lower Basin Coordinated Operations Lake Powell Coordinated Operations
Page 8: Upper and Lower Basin Coordinated Operations Lake Powell Coordinated Operations

24-Month Study

ProjectedPowell

WY Unreg Inflow

ProjectedPowell Apr- Jul Unreg Inflow

ProjectedLake Powell

EOWY Elevation

w/ 8.23 maf Release

Projected Glen

Canyon WY

Release

Projected Amount of EQ

Release

ProjectedLake Mead EOWY

Elevation

Probability of EQ

Aug2010

89%10.75 maf

89%7.10 maf 3649.48 ft 11.58 maf 3.35 maf 1104.7 ft 63%

Sep2010

89%10.71 maf

89%7.10 maf 3647.26 ft 11.28 maf 3.05 maf 1102.0 ft 58%

Oct2010

79%9.60 maf

76%6.03 maf 3639.33 ft 9.0 maf 0 maf 1076.90 ft 50%

Nov2010

80%9.64 maf

76%6.03 maf 3639.83 ft 9.0 maf 0 maf 1077.69 ft 48%

Dec2010

Summary of Lake Powell and Lake Mead OperationsReview of 24-Month Study 2011 Water Year Projections

In 2011, the Equalization Elevation is 3643 ft.

Page 9: Upper and Lower Basin Coordinated Operations Lake Powell Coordinated Operations
Page 10: Upper and Lower Basin Coordinated Operations Lake Powell Coordinated Operations

Unit Number

Oct 2010

Nov 2010

Dec 2010

Jan 2011

Feb 2011

Mar 2011

Apr 2011

May 2011

Jun 2011

Jul 2011

Aug 2011

Sep 2011

1

2

3

4

5

6 (3/4 Unit)

7

8

Units Available 4.75 5.75 6.75 6.75 4.75 4.75 5.75 6.75 6.75 6.75 6.75 4.75

Capacity (kaf) 1001 1243 1450 1450 977 992 1168 1453 1406 1453 1453 933

Max (kaf) 495 810 845 865 820 1093 1350 1400 1420 1500 1415 1428

Most (kaf) 495 810 845 865 820 805 716 710 745 838 875 476

Min (kaf) 495 810 845 865 820 805 716 710 745 838 875 476

Glen Canyon Power Plant Planned Unit Outage Schedule for Water Year 2011(updated 11-01-2010)

Page 11: Upper and Lower Basin Coordinated Operations Lake Powell Coordinated Operations