upl ltd final
TRANSCRIPT
MACROECONOMIC ANALYSIS
GDP growth 7.4%
Agricultural GDP growth rate 0.3%
Per capita net National Income ₹88,538 (12.3% growth rate)
Average retail inflation 6.3% (declined from 8.9%)
Food inflation 4.8% (declined from 9.5%)
Manufacturing PMI (Sep 2015) 51.2 (decline from 52.3)
Unemployment rate 4.9%
INDIAN AGROCHEMICALS SCENARIO
TAIWAN
CHINA
JAPAN
USA
KOREA
FRANCE UKIN
DIA0
4
8
12
1617
13 12
7 75 5
0.6
PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION OF PESTICIDES (KG/HA)
Crop protection chemicals accounts for 2% of the total chemicals market in India
Industry size-21000 crores (50% exports)
India due to its inherent strength of low-cost manufacturing and qualified low-cost manpower is a net exporter of pesticides to countries such as USA and some European and African countries
Consumption of crop protection products in India is among the lowest in the world
low consumption in India are low purchasing power of farmers, lack of awareness among farmers, limited reach and lower accessibility of products provides immense opportunity for crop protection to grow in India *Data compiled from FICCI AGROCHEM REPORTS
MICROECONOMIC ANALYSIS
Agriculture Decrease in production due to erratic rains and market manipulation
Raw materials Increase in price of raw materials
Government Subsidy Government provides pesticides to farmers at subsidized rates
Commodity prices Highly volatile and declining
Substitutes Rising sale of spuriouspesticides and spiked bio-pesticides
Tax free import on R&D equipment
5% of export earnings
Custom duty on Import of raw materials
Reduced in 2015 budget
REVENUES BY GEOGRAPHY
21%
27%
14%
20%
INDIA LATIN AMERICAEUROPE REST OF THE WORLDNORTH AMERICA
Incorporated on January 2, 1985 with the
name Vishwanath Commercials Ltd.
In September 30, 2003, the name of the
company was changed to United Phosphorus
Ltd. UPL has 23 manufacturing sites, which
includes nine in India, four in France and two in Spain.
UPL operates in three segments :
1.Agrochemicals 2.Industrial Chemicals 3.Chemical Intermediates
COMPETITOR ANALYSIS
2014-15 2013-14 2012-130
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
Turnover in Cr
UPL Ltd PI Industries Rallis India
STRENGHTS Operates through 23 manufacturing sites across the
world with world class technology and quality control facilities to aid in the production of red phosphorus.
Year-on-year growth of revenue
Customer base in more than 123 countries and operations in every continent speak volumes of the company’s strong network and market reach.
Strong applied R&D capabilities in every continent they operate in.
The Company offers a range of goods that includes insecticides, fungicides, fumigants, herbicides and rodenticides
WEAKNESS The company has been unable to pass on the benefits of
costs to the end-users due to fluctuations in the raw material prices
Seasonal agricultural demand is affecting revenue growth and cash flows
OPPORTUNITIES Innovative technologies in agricultural sector are
aiding the company’s R&D efforts as it brings out newer methods and scenarios of fertilizer products
Seed development has received a big boost due to WTO and UN approvals across the world.
THREATS Genetically Modified (GM) crops are a threat to the
fertilizer companies due to their adaptability and long shelf-life.
Environmental agencies keep scrutinizing the company’s manufacturing processes
CAPACITY UTILIZATION
UPL commissioned 50 MW equivalent coal-fired boiler in record time and cost (at Rs88 crore in 15 months) in jhagadia district of gujarat.
UPL also completed a new herbicide plant in a record 11 months (industry benchmark: nearly 36 months) to enhance capacity and raise the level of our customer service.
This will save nearly Rs75 crore in total annual energy bills
CASH FLOW ANALYSIS
Operating Activities Investing Activities Financing Activities
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Cash flow
UPL Ltd PI Industries Rallis India
R&D
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
2014-15
0200
400600
8001000
12001400
1600
1344
1319
1241
1022
1072
1291
PRODUCT POTFOLIO
PRODUCT POT-FOLIO
ANALYSIS
Company spends 2% of turnover in R&D
The Company launched 55 products in the last two years, emphasizing strategic effectiveness
UPL has had 4965 registrations in 2014-15
Invested extensively in research to create a pipeline of globally patented products. The result: 388 Patents filed;124 Patents granted
The Company’s innovation index (measures the revenue contribution of products launched during the past four years) increased from 2.5% in 2013-14 to 5% in 2014-15
PROFITABILITY ANALYSIS
FY 11 FY 12 FY 13 FY 14 FY 150.00
2,000.00
4,000.00
6,000.00
8,000.00
10,000.00
12,000.00
14,000.00
COMMENTARY
During FY 15, all the operating subsidiaries have performed very well.
There has been rapid progress in the companies acquired in the recent past, such as Cerexagri, Agchem, Riceco, UPL do Brasil, Dva Agro etc.
UPL will focus more on organic growth which will help company to increase its topline and market share while keeping the capital
employed and debt under check
No major impact of seasonality on the UPL’s business performance due to better Geographical-mix
EARNINGS PER SHARE
EPS0
5
10
15
20
25
30
12.08 12.03
17.12
21.59
26.69
FY11FY12FY13FY14FY15
D/E Interest coverage0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
FY11FY12FY13FY14FY15
COMMENTS
UPL has rupee & foreign currency loans
50% of its loans is in rupee terms and remaining 50% in Foreign currency
Interest rate cycle in India is in declining phase
The company paid finance cost of Rs.486 cr in FY14 as compared to Rs.429 cr in FY13
UPL will have to pay less interest cost which will improve its interest coverage ratio
Deleveraging its balance sheet which will result in improved bottom-line and EPS growth in the coming quarters
DIVERSIFICATION
Product diversification
Entered seeds market through its previous acquisition of Dutch company Advanta
Widened its formulations portfolio from 1,319 to 1,344 to cover all weather patterns
Company has extended beyond agrochemicals and diversified its seed treatment solutions and post-harvest solutions
Market diversification
UPL acquired 40% stake in Brazilian firm Sinagro group
Bought Cerexagri which has a presence in US and Europe
AGRICULTURE DEVELOPMENT Adoption of systemic rice intensification(SRI) 270 famers benefitted across five villages in dang
district UPL aims bring in 1,100 farmers under the ambit of
SRI over the next two years to enhance paddy productivity in the dang district
Farming is best learned handson and at UPL we do that at the Farmers’ Training School (FTS) at Vikram Farm, Naholi
HEALTH
UPL organised two general health camps covering areas like general health, eye and dental care were organised in association with the Haria L.G. Rotary Hospital, Vapi
Tricycles were provided to the differently-abled so that they could pursue active and independent lifestyles
EMPLOYMENT UPL has formed the self-help group (Jai Yogeshwar
Mahila Mandal) to build the capacity of tribal women via an entrepreneurial skill development programme on artificial jewelry making
Sewa Rural is a voluntary development organisation involved in health and development activities in rural
tribal areas of South Gujarat at Jhagadia since 1980.
EDUCATION
To encourage sports and recreation activities in the schools, the WAU volunteers participated with seven schools from six villages of Mandava cluster under Ankleshwar taluka
UPL provided need-based educational items like stationery kits, examination kits along with school bags and black boards benefitting around 40 children.
CSR
DIVIDENDS
Announcement Date Dividend (%) Remarks
27-04-15 250.00 Rs.5.00 per share
25-04-14 200.00 Rs.4.00 per share
25-04-13 125.00 Rs.2.50 per share
30-04-12 25.00 Rs.0.50 per share
52 WEEK HIGH/LOW
FUTURE OUTLOOK
2010 2015 2030 20500
0.050.1
0.150.2
0.250.3
0.350.4
0.450.5
DEVELOPED WORLD DEVELOPING
COMMENTS India has 190 Mn hectares of gross cultivated
area and the scope for bringing new areas under cultivation is severely limited. Available arable land per capita has been reducing globally and is expected to reduce further .
The pressure is therefore to increase yield per hectare which can be achieved through increased usage of agrochemicals.
Average productivity in India stands at 2MT/Ha as compared to 6 MT/Ha in USA and world average is 3MT/Ha
This provides an immense opportunity for UPL to deepen its access into markets in India and abroad and widen its portfolio by providing holistic services to farmers .
ARABLE LAND PER CAPITA (ha)
*Data taken from NABARD Data Bank,MOA, GOI
WHY YOU SHOULD INVEST?
Sustained revenue growth - set to continue
UPL Has been expanding its footprint into multiple geographies and enhances its reach through acquiring brands that are reasonably valued and having a payback period of 3-4 years
The management has set an estimated revenue target of USD 4 bn in the next 4 years, which if achieved, will set UPL apart from the competition in terms of ROE and ROI
International penetration de-risks UPL’s business model
Increased focus on per hectare productivity will increase demand for Agrochemicals:
The world’s population is estimated to reach 11 bn in 2100, posing grave challenges for food supplies. Hence, it is crucial to increase per hectare productivity to meet food supply that can be achieved through use of agrochemicals. UPL, being one of the largest players in the segment, is expected to benefit proportionately from strong demand for agrochemical