upi/cvoter international election day projections vs. perceptions, 11/5
TRANSCRIPT
Perception_vs_Projection@Nov_3
No State Total_ECV Obama Romney Can't Say Obama Romney Can't Say Obama Romney1 Alabama 9 40 57 20% 39% 41% 7% 25% 68%
2 Alaska 3 39 57 32% 32% 37% 16% 11% 74%
3 Arizona 11 44 52 11% 37% 51% 7% 13% 80%
4 Arkansas 6 40 55 9% 35% 56% 6% 15% 79%
11 Georgia 16 44 52 14% 51% 36% 5% 31% 64%
13 Idaho 4 38 58 5% 40% 55% 0% 10% 90%
15 Indiana 11 47 51 10% 53% 37% 5% 23% 72%
17 Kansas 6 41 55 14% 49% 38% 11% 22% 68%
18 Kentucky 8 41 55 2% 55% 43% 2% 23% 75%
19 Louisiana 8 40 56 8% 54% 39% 6% 32% 62%
25 Mississippi 6 42 55 13% 44% 44% 9% 22% 69%
26 Missouri 10 46 51 13% 47% 40% 10% 23% 66%
27 Montana 3 44 51 23% 31% 46% 0% 15% 85%
28 Nebraska 5 41 55 15% 46% 39% 4% 23% 73%
35 North Dakota 3 43 53 0% 40% 60% 20% 30% 50%
37 Oklahoma 7 38 60 4% 37% 60% 4% 23% 73%
41 South Carolina 9 43 53 14% 46% 40% 14% 30% 56%
42 South Dakota 3 43 54 0% 70% 30% 0% 40% 60%
43 Tennessee 11 42 55 10% 48% 42% 3% 24% 73%
44 Texas 38 43 53 9% 45% 46% 3% 23% 74%
45 Utah 6 38 57 5% 28% 67% 0% 5% 95%
49 West Virginia 5 42 54 21% 42% 38% 13% 17% 71%
51 Wyoming 3 36 60 9% 64% 27% 9% 36% 56%
Regardless of the candidate or party you wish to
support; which candidate do you think is going to
win the US presidency?
Regardless of the candidate you think eventually win
the US presidency; which candidate in your opinion
will WIN in YOUR OWN state?
Percept ion Vs Projec t ions : Findings of UPI/Cvot er Pol lSample Size 3633 LV; CATI Dates 15th October to 31st October 2012
UPI/CVOTER Vote Share
Projections As On TodayState And Electoral College Votes
PRO-ROMNEY STATES
Perception_vs_Projection@Nov_3
Percept ion Vs Projec t ions : Findings of UPI/Cvot er Pol lSample Size 3633 LV; CATI Dates 15th October to 31st October 2012
No State Total_ECV Obama Romney Can't Say Obama Romney Can't Say Obama Romney5 California 55 53 42 10% 61% 29% 6% 85% 10%
7 Connecticut 7 54 43 8% 64% 28% 7% 65% 28%
8 Delaware 3 54 42 44% 44% 13% 13% 81% 6%
12 Hawaii 4 58 38 15% 60% 25% 5% 85% 10%
14 Illinois 20 54 42 12% 62% 26% 5% 78% 16%
20 Maine 4 52 44 0% 57% 44% 17% 48% 35%
21 Maryland 10 54 42 15% 56% 29% 7% 79% 13%
22 Massachusetts 11 54 41 8% 63% 29% 6% 81% 13%
23 Michigan 16 52 44 7% 53% 41% 8% 58% 34%
31 New Jersey 14 52 45 14% 46% 41% 9% 72% 19%
32 New Mexico 5 52 46 17% 63% 21% 4% 83% 13%
33 New York 29 54 42 9% 60% 31% 6% 80% 14%
38 Oregon 7 51 44 15% 48% 37% 10% 67% 23%
40 Rhode Island 4 55 41 0% 80% 20% 7% 80% 13%
46 Vermont 3 58 38 8% 67% 25% 8% 67% 25%
48 Washington 12 51 44 11% 47% 42% 10% 75% 15%
PRO-OBAMA STATES
State And Electoral College VotesUPI/CVOTER Vote Share
Projections As On Today
Regardless of the candidate or party you wish to
support; which candidate do you think is going to
win the US presidency?
Regardless of the candidate you think eventually win
the US presidency; which candidate in your opinion
will WIN in YOUR OWN state?
Perception_vs_Projection@Nov_3
Percept ion Vs Projec t ions : Findings of UPI/Cvot er Pol lSample Size 3633 LV; CATI Dates 15th October to 31st October 2012
No State Total_ECV Obama Romney Can't Say Obama Romney Can't Say Obama Romney
6 Colorado 9 50 48 14% 51% 36% 12% 54% 34%
10 Florida 29 48 51 13% 39% 48% 11% 39% 50%
16 Iowa 6 50 48 12% 49% 39% 12% 55% 33%
24 Minnesota 10 50 47 18% 58% 25% 9% 77% 14%
29 Nevada 6 51 46 2% 52% 45% 5% 57% 38%
30 New Hampshire 4 50 48 21% 36% 43% 14% 29% 57%
34 North Carolina 15 46 51 14% 42% 44% 9% 30% 60%
36 Ohio 18 48 47 9% 49% 42% 7% 48% 45%
39 Pennsylvania 20 51 47 13% 50% 37% 9% 61% 30%
47 Virginia 13 49 49 8% 46% 46% 7% 41% 52%
50 Wisconsin 10 51 45 9% 54% 37% 8% 54% 38%
Grand Total : USA 538 49% 48% 11% 50% 39% 7% 51% 42%
TOSS-UP STATES
State And Electoral College VotesUPI/CVOTER Vote Share
Projections As On Today
Regardless of the candidate or party you wish to
support; which candidate do you think is going to
win the US presidency?
Regardless of the candidate you think eventually win
the US presidency; which candidate in your opinion
will WIN in YOUR OWN state?