university koblenz landau joint research centre - jrc -...

National Technical University of Athens (Coordinator)(Coordinator)

Tech4i2 Limited European Projects & Management Agency

University Koblenz‐Landau Joint Research CentreEuropean Commission




4th International Conference on Theory and Practice of Electronic Governance (ICEGOV2010) Beijing, China, 26-28 October 2010

EU Research on ICT for governance and policy modellingThe CROSSROAD Project and the Future Research Roadmap

Gianluca Misuraca, IPTS Information Society Unit Acknowledgements: CROSSROAD Partners and DG-INGSO/H2 PO

The views expressed by the author are not necessarily those of the EC

OutlineOutline

Rationale for EU Research on ICT for Governance and Policy Modelling

Ongoing Research (ICT WP 2009‐2010 ‐ Obj. 7.3)

CSA – CROSSROADProject’s Overview and Results

Scenarios Design: Digital Europe 2030

Draft Research Roadmap: Grand Challenges

FP7 ICT WP2011‐2012 – Obj. 5.6Principles & Funding Schemes

Next Events & More Information

ICEGOV2010, Beijing, China, 26th October, 2010

EC FP 7th ICT‐WP 2009‐2010 (Objective 7.3) joins two complementary research fields (traditionally separated):

the Governance and Participation Toolbox (technologies such as mass conversation and collaboration tools); and

the Policy Modelling domain (forecasting, agent‐based modelling, simulation and visualisation)

Aiming at:improving public decision‐making in the age of complexity

making policy‐making and governance more effective and more ‘intelligent’ and

accelerating learning path and implementation in the policy cycle

ICT for governance and policy ICT for governance and policy modellingmodelling??


Governments struggle to regulate an increasingly interdependent and complex world, as the financial crisis and other emergencies have shown Citizens are becoming more vocal in monitoring and influencing policy decisionsFuture scenarios are likely to show greater complexity and citizens’ involvementCurrent ICT tools for collaborative governance and policy modelling start to show great opportunities for decision‐making, but they still remain an exception rather than the rule, and research is fragmented between academic fields, application areas, and approaches to innovation (theory vs. practice led)

RationaleRationale


FP7 ICT WP2009‐10, November 2008:

First call on “ICT for governance and policy modelling”

FP7 ICT WP2009‐10, 1 January 2010

Start of the 8 selected proposals (STREPs ‐ CSA), total funding 15M€

FP7 ICT WP 2011‐12, September 2010

Call 7 launch during ICT2010 (Brussels, 27‐29 September 2010)

Deadline for submissions: 18 January 2011

Ongoing research on ICT for governance and Ongoing research on ICT for governance and policy modellingpolicy modelling


CROSSROAD ‐ www.crossroad‐eu.netSupport Action with the aim of developing a Roadmap on future research on ICT for governance and policy Modelling

Coordination & Support Actions

FP7 WP 2009FP7 WP 2009‐‐10: Funded Projects 10: Funded Projects

STREPsCOCKPIT ‐ www.cockpit‐project.eua new governance model for the next‐generation public service deliveryand decision making process, supporting the notion of ‘Open Public Administrations’


WE‐GOV ‐ www.wegov‐project.eua toolset to make use of social networking sites to engage citizens in two‐way dialogues as part of the governance and policy‐making process

UbiPOL ‐ www.ubipol.eua ubiquitous platform that allows citizens to be involved in policy making processes regardless of their current locations and time

PADGETS ‐ www.padgets.eumicro web applications (policy gadgets) that will be used to collate and convey inputs from citizens to policy makers, thus facilitating the management of the full policy making cycle

FP7 WP 2009FP7 WP 2009‐‐10: Funded Projects10: Funded Projects


OCOPOMO ‐ www.ocopomo.euan integrated platform for efficient policy development by integrating formal modelling, scenario generation and open collaborationsupporting the engagement of a wide range of stakeholder groups

+Spaces ‐ www.positivespaces.eunovel technologies and instruments that will allow government bodies to measure public opinion on a large scale by using Virtual Worlds (VWs)as testbeds for policy simulation

IMPACT ‐ www.policy‐impact.euformal, computational models of policy and arguments to facilitate deliberations about policy at a conceptual, language‐independent level

FP7 WP 2009FP7 WP 2009‐‐10: Funded Projects10: Funded Projects


A Participative Roadmap for ICT Research in Electronic Governance & Policy Modelling

FP7 ICT WP2009‐2010 Coordination & Support Action – Roadmapping

January – December 2010

CROSSROAD CROSSROAD –– www.crossroadwww.crossroad‐‐eu.neteu.net





The main goal of the CROSSROAD project isto drive the identification of emerging technologies, new governance models and novel application scenarios in the domain of ICT for governance and policy modelling

leading to the structuring of a beyond the state‐of‐the‐art research agenda and roadmap, fully embraced by the research and practice communities

An indirect (but crucial) goal of CROSSROAD is also to build the community of stakeholders and shape the research domain of ICT for governance and policy modelling

GoalGoal


Obj A ‐ Towards the research community

“Raising awareness and creating consensus among the e‐Governance and ICT research community on new research directions in the field of participation,

governance and policy modelling.”

Obj B ‐ Towards present and future users of research results

“Setting forward‐looking, socio‐technological scenarios for combined governance and ICT applications, exceeding the current state of play and ensuring that the

identified research roadmap responds to then need of present and future users of the research results.”

Obj C ‐ Towards research policy‐makers

“Providing a sustainable decision support tool to policy‐makers for managing the research roadmap and steering research on governance and policy modelling.”

12

ThreeThree‐‐fold Objectivefold Objective


13

Implementation PhasesImplementation Phases


14

MONTH MONTH 1212

Inputs from WP1: SotA;

WP2 Scenarios;WP3: Gap Analysis

Inputs from Inputs from WP1: WP1: SotASotA; ;

WP2 Scenarios;WP2 Scenarios;WP3: Gap AnalysisWP3: Gap Analysis

RoadmappingRoadmapping Methodological FrameworkMethodological Framework


D4.3: Roadmap D4.4: Final PolicyRecommendations

15

March 2010 May 2010 July 2010

November 2010 December 2010


Online Public ConsultationOnline Public Consultation


Internal Space:Deliverables

PresentationsTemplates

etc.

Deliberation on:State of the Art

ScenariosGaps

Roadmap

1. COMMUNITY

2. ROADMAP

3. PROJECT

CROSSROAD CROSSROAD Supportive SystemsSupportive Systems

18

Knowledge Base

Public Space:Consortium

Public MaterialNews

EventsContact Us

Experts Scientific

Committee

Public

Consortium

CMS for Project Mngmnt

Supportive Systems DevelopmentSupportive Systems Development


19

Supportive Systems ResultsSupportive Systems Results


20

Supportive Systems ResultsSupportive Systems Results


Experts Scientific CommitteePetra Ahrweiler, University College DublinSteven Bishop, University College London

David Chadwick, University of KentBruce Edmonds, Manchester Metropolitan UniversityEnrico Ferro, Istituto Superiore Mario Boella (ISMB)

Yola Georgiadou, University of TwenteAlan Hartman, IBM Research IndiaJoern Kohlhammer, Fraunhofer IGD

Vittorio Loreto, Sapienza University of RomeWainer Lusoli, IPTS

Carlo Medaglia, Sapienza University of RomeInes Mergel, Syracuse University

José Moreno‐Jimenez, University of ZaragozaLucio Picci, University of Bologna

Jeremy Pitt, Imperial College LondonStefan Steglich, Fraunhofer FOKUS, FAMELjupco Todorovski, University of Ljubljana

Michael Witbrock, CYCORP

21ICEGOV2010, Beijing, China, 26th October, 2010

Seville State of Play & Visionary Scenario Design Validation Workshop, 29‐30 April 2010

Samos 2010 Summit on ICT for Governance and Policy Modelling, 6‐9 July 2010

22

DG‐INFSO Constituency Building Workshop Brussels, 13 July 2010

Validation Workshops & Constituency BuildingValidation Workshops & Constituency Building

Research Community Workshop, Lausanne 30 August 2010

ICEGOV 2010, Beijing 25‐28 October 2010Open Government Conference, 15‐16

December 2010

Networking Session on Research Roadmap on ICT for Governance and Policy

Modelling, ICT Events 27 September 2010


CROSSROAD Research Taxonomy for ICT for CROSSROAD Research Taxonomy for ICT for Governance and Policy Governance and Policy ModellingModelling


Work conducted by IPTS under CROSSROAD WP2 aiming at developing a visionary scenario analysis based on a foresight exercise to:

identify key areas of expected change in the context of radical different future scenarios anticipate for each scenario, the risks and opportunities offered by ICT tools for governance and policy modelling

The proposed visionary scenarios are instrumentalto develop a shared vision to inspire collaborative and interdisciplinary researchto mobilize the various governance stakeholders in addressing current and future societal challengesto provide inputs to the CROSSROAD Roadmap to provide strategic directions for the future research on ICT for Governance and Policy Modelling

Visionary Scenarios Design: Visionary Scenarios Design: Digital Europe 2030Digital Europe 2030

ICEGOV2010, Beijing, China, 26th October, 2010 24

Conceptual & Methodological FrameworkConceptual & Methodological Framework

Trends1. 1. IdentifyIdentify TrendsTrends

Key dimension 1: extreme 0




SCENARIO A SCENARIO B

SCENARIO C SCENARIO D

4. 4. DimensionsDimensions combinedcombined to to identifyidentify scenariosscenarios

5. 5. ScenariosScenarios storiesstories and and descriptiondescription

Source: Popper, 2008



1. 1. IdentifyIdentify TrendsTrends

Less impact

More impact

Uncertainty low

Uncertainty high

2. 2. ClassificationClassification of trends of trends 5. 5. ScenariosScenarios storiesstories and and

descriptiondescription

Governance/Policy modelling

CivilServants

TransactionalTransactional environmentenvironment

Government

PrivateSector

Technologysuppliers

Civil society organisations ContextualContextual

environmentenvironment

National politics and

policies

Socio-demographicdevelopments

Economics

...........

Research Community

EU policies

technology

Administrativeculture and

attitudes

Otherpractitioners



Trends1. 1. IdentifyIdentify TrendsTrends

Less impact

More impact

Uncertainty low

Uncertainty high

2. 2. ClassificationClassification of trends of trends

KEY DIMENSION ONE

KEY DIMENSION TWO 3 . 3 . Extraction of key Extraction of key dimensions of uncertaintiesdimensions of uncertainties





SCENARIO A SCENARIO B

SCENARIO C SCENARIO D

4. 4. DimensionsDimensions combinedcombined to to identifyidentify scenariosscenarios

5. 5. ScenariosScenarios storiesstories and and descriptiondescription

Source: Popper, 2008


Visionary Scenarios Design FrameworkVisionary Scenarios Design Framework

The key societal, policy and technology‐research trends we are witnessing nowadays can be distilled in two basic uncertainties related to the way the European society and individual member states will shape their policies and research agendas in the future:

the societal value systems we will be living in (more inclusive, open and transparent or exclusive fractured and restrictive), and

the response (partial or complete, proactive or reactive) to theacquisition and integration of policy intelligence techniques insupport of data processing, visualization and simulation for evidence‐based policy modelling

These uncertainties are translated into two key dimensions of impact:

Degree of Openness and Transparency (Axis Y) and

Degree of Integration in Policy Intelligence (Axis X)


Envisioning Digital Europe 2030Envisioning Digital Europe 2030


Application Scenario Storyboard: exampleApplication Scenario Storyboard: exampleOpen Solution for energy efficiency ‐ Friday PM, Seville, hot summer…

Smart‐grid intelligent network in 100% of private and public buildingsdecentralised system of energy source production, distribution and consumption

self programmable network allowing for energy savings and redistribution

guaranteeing optimal delivery of energy at any time according to the needs of users

Developed by local universities and international partners members of an Open Network for Smart Ambient Intelligence

IPTS environmental modelling system open and reusable EU‐wide permitting to turn raw data in real time into reliable and usable information to monitor energy use and impact on the environment

City: make available the open ICT‐enabled platforms and distributed business laboratories where social entrepreneurs can launch experiments and cooperate

Changing role from centralised controller to platform enabler

Emergence of Innovative solutions and new energy services

Users: decide and programme their own consumption needsReducing costs of users

Accommodate users’preferences

Greenhouse emissions are minimized and climate change has been detained Changing lifestyle and contribution by all on solving the climate change issue

International cooperation for ensuring environmental protection

The future of Europe and the entire world is green again… time for Tapas in the Doñana park


CROSSROAD Vision for Digital Europe 2030CROSSROAD Vision for Digital Europe 2030The Internet will move beyond being a network to connect computers to being a platform that connects everything together... based on virtualization, cloud computing and open standards and applications.. and supported by effective application of AI and augmented reality… giving birth to an Internet of Services embedded into a ‘Smart Ambient Living Space’Open Innovation and collaboration will take place on ordinary base and online communities will be key building blocks in establishing ICT‐enabled governance mechanisms and policy modelling toolkits which provide connection, deliberation, forecasting and processing modules, harnessing genuine political commitment through fully exploiting engagementmethodologies and technologies on a mass‐scaleReputation‐based governance mechanisms will characterize decision‐making processes anchored to principles and mechanisms of freedom of information and reuse of public sector data, also enabling new business opportunities and innovative solutions to improve public service delivery‘Real‐time’ ‘always on’ users coming from current Y‐generation will benefit of unprecedented changes in the use of collaborative ICT and enhanced participation in the building of the European and global Knowledge Society


Society increasingly interconnected, flexible, fast‐evolving, unpredictable

Governance processes often silos‐based, linear, obscure, hierarchical, over‐simplified

Policies Health R&D Social

Disciplines Economics Mathematics ICT

Actors Government Citizens Industry

33

The challenge: filling the gap between societal The challenge: filling the gap between societal behaviours and governance processesbehaviours and governance processes


State of the art: research pushState of the art: State of the art: research pushresearch push

Future scenarios:

demand pull

Future Future scenarios: scenarios:

demand pulldemand pullGapsGapsGaps

GrandGrand challenges (draft)challenges (draft)

Research challengesResearch Research challengeschallenges

Research challengesResearch Research challengeschallenges

Research roadmap

(final)

Research Research roadmap roadmap

(final)(final)

34

Methodological approachMethodological approach


More people involved

More accurate analytical, modelling and simulation tools

More data available

20102010

20302030

35

The opportunity: a paradigm shift in policyThe opportunity: a paradigm shift in policy‐‐makingmaking


Model-based collaborative governance

ModelModel--based based collaborative collaborative governancegovernance

Data-powered collective

intelligence and action

DataData--powered powered collective collective

intelligence intelligence and actionand action

Government service utilityGovernment Government service utilityservice utility

Science base of ICT enabled governanceScience base of ICT Science base of ICT enabled governanceenabled governance

36

How to get there: 4 Research Grand ChallengesHow to get there: 4 Research Grand Challenges


StateState

Citizens

Citizens

37

Governance Cycle Governance Cycle vsvs Management CycleManagement Cycle


GC 3GC 3GC 3

GC 1GC 1

GC 2GC 2

StateState

Citizens

Citizens

38

Governance Cycle Governance Cycle vsvs Management CycleManagement Cycle


This challenge envisions pervasive system thinking and modelling applied to policy impact assessment thanks to standardization and reusability of models and tools

Model building and simulation would be carried out directly by the responsible civil servants, collaborating with different domain experts and colleagues from other departments

Visual dynamic interface allow users to directly manipulate the simulation parameters and the underlying model

Research Challenges:Integrated, composable and reusable modelsCollaborative modellingEasy access to information and knowledge creationModel validationInteractive simulation Output analysis and knowledge synthesis


GC1: ModelGC1: Model‐‐based collaborative governancebased collaborative governance

40

Today’s complex societal challenges require wide collaborative action and behavioural change by all stakeholders

Current collaboration tools engage only highly interested people, and rarely enable real action and impact, by citizens and government alike

Challenges to wider participation include information overload, trust in user‐generated data, privacy, debate manipulation, inclusion and representativeness

Research Challenges:Privacy‐compliant participatory sensing for real‐time policy‐makingReal‐time, high‐quality, reusable open government data Federated dynamic identity managementPeer‐to‐peer public opinion mining


GC2: DataGC2: Data‐‐powered collective intelligence & actionpowered collective intelligence & action

Traditional public services have not delivered their promised added value or lived up to the expectations of citizens and businesses for actual cost‐effective, one stop‐shop provisionsThis challenge aims to prove how Collaboration and Interoperability can turn a “introvert” public sector into a citizen‐oriented one that leverages Future Internet technologies into its everyday operationResearch Challenges:

Intuitive, collaborative visual analytics of data for policy‐makingUser‐generated simulation and gaming tools for public actionNew institutional design of collaborative governanceDigital public services value proposition for all User‐driven innovation shaping Public Services Change the “DNA” of Public ServicesMassive Public Information as a Service

GC3 Government Service UtilityGC3 Government Service Utility


Traditional public services have not delivered their promised added value or lived up to the expectations of citizens and businesses for actual cost‐effective, one stop‐shop provisionsThis challenge aims to prove how Collaboration and Interoperability can turn a “introvert” public sector into a citizen‐oriented one that leverages Future Internet technologies into its everyday operationResearch Challenges:

Intuitive, collaborative visual analytics of data for policy‐makingUser‐generated simulation and gaming tools for public actionNew institutional design of collaborative governanceDigital public services value proposition for all User‐driven innovation shaping Public Services Change the “DNA” of Public ServicesMassive Public Information as a Service

GC3 Government Service UtilityGC3 Government Service Utility

The 1‐1‐1 Concept:every service can be provided in one stop, one second, with one euro cost

The 1‐1‐1 Concept:every service can be provided in one stop, one second, with one euro cost


ICT for Governance and Policy Modelling appears as a key enablerfor unlocking the full potential of participative decision making which is expected to drive society to a new era of open collaboration between citizens and decision makersYet, this domain is still very much unstructured and unchartered, still at the margin of the decision making processTo shift from a fragmented research field to a scientific domain, it has to be studied and developed as a rigorous scientifically‐sound phenomenon, following scientific practices similar to its neighbouring domains (e.g. Social sciences, Political sciences, Systems/Complexity science, Services science as well as Economic sciences)

Research Challenges:Formal methods and tools for categorising and analysing the concepts, the problems and solution paths in ICT‐enabled governanceMetrics and assessment models, Decision Support, Modelling & Simulation Tools (supporting problem‐solution relation, utilising BPM/BPR tools, vertical approaches)Multi‐disciplinary issues and relations with neighbouring domainsContinuous evolution of the domain to meet new societal challenges

GC4 Science Base of ICTGC4 Science Base of ICT‐‐enabled governanceenabled governance


Full draft roadmap available and commentable online at www.crossroad‐eu.net

November 30th: publication of final roadmap

Presentation of Final Roadmap at EU Open Government Ministerial Conference, Ghent & Brussels 15‐16 Dec. 2010 (TBC)


Next building blocksNext building blocks


www.crossroad-eu.net

FP7 WP ICT 2011FP7 WP ICT 2011‐‐12: Objective 5.6 12: Objective 5.6 ““ICT ICT solutions for governance and policy modellingsolutions for governance and policy modelling””

Building on the previous call

Continuity to reinforce research in the domain

Focus

Bigger and wider impact (scaled‐up application)

Stakeholders

International cooperation


a) ICT solutions for governance and policy modelling

IP/ STREPs

EUR 7 million/ EUR 17 million

b) Roadmapping & Networking, International Cooperation

• Coordination and Support Actions

• EUR 1 million

FP7 WP ICT 2011FP7 WP ICT 2011‐‐12: Objective 5.6 12: Objective 5.6 Funding SchemesFunding Schemes


FP7 Infoday on WP2011‐12 in Madrid, Spain, 26 October 2010

ICT Proposers’ Day 2011 19 ‐ 20 May, Budapest, Networking for European ICT R&D

Encouraged to organise networking events with all relevant stakeholders

Next EventsNext Events

http://ec.europa.eu/ictproposersday


More informationMore information

DG‐INFSO/H2

http://ec.europa.eu/egovernance

INFSO‐EGOV‐[email protected]





Gianluca Gianluca MisuracaMisuraca, IPTS, [email protected]@ec.europa.eu

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