united states agriculture cotton: world markets and trade...2009/04/09 · approved by the world...

United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board/USDA

Circular Series FOP 04 - 09 April 2009

Cotton: World Markets and Trade

World Consumption Continues to Weaken as Economic Situation Shows

Few Signs of Improvement

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Con

sum

ptio

n, M

illio

n ba

les

China India & Pakistan U.S. & Turkey Others

Due to the worsening economic recession, world cotton consumption is now forecast to fall more than 10 percent from the 2007/08 level, which is the largest year-to-year global decline since records began in 1920. Virtually every major consuming country is experiencing the largest shrinkage in some 30 years. Consumption in China is falling faster than previously expected and accounts for nearly half of the decline. India and Pakistan will see reductions averaging about 8 percent, while in Turkey and the United States consumption will tumble about 20 percent.

In April, USDA lowered the 2008/09 world consumption by 1.3 million bales. Further decline in China’s consumption accounted for most of the change, as new evidence indicates that the spinning sector is now faring worse than in many other countries. U.S. consumption was lowered by 100,000 bales due to recent very bearish data from the spinning sector.

COTTON: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

22/04

/2007

20/05

/2007

17/06

/2007

15/07

/2007

12/8/

2007

9/9/20

07

7/10/2

007

4/11/2

007

2/12/2

007

30/12

/2007

27/01/2

008

24/02

/2008

23/03

/2008

20/04

/2008

18/05

/2008

15/06

/2008

13/07

/2008

10/8/

2008

7/9/20

08

5/10/20

08

2/11/2

008

30/11

/2008

28/12

/2008

25/01

/2009

22/02

/2009

22/03

/2009

Cen

ts p

er p

ound

U.S. Average Price A-Index

TRADE CHANGES IN 2008/2009

• India is cut by one-third to 2 million bales due to sales from government controlled stocks not being competitive in export markets.

• United States is up 500,000 bales to 12.5 million due to less competition from India.

• Brazil is up 150,000 bales due to less competition from India.

• Australia is up 50,000 bales due to less competition from India.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis

April 2009

Summary of Changes in estimates and Forecasts from Last Month (Working Statistics)

(1,000 480 lb Bales and 1,000 Ha)

Country Mktg Year Area

Harvested

Beginning

Stocks

Production Imports Exports Use Loss Total Dom.

Cons.

Ending

Stocks

Algeria

010010010000 2007/08

Australia

-50000500000 2008/09

Belgium-Luxembourg

0000-5-5000 2008/09

Brazil

-225000150-75000 2008/09

China, Peoples Republic of

1,000-1,0000-1,00000000 2008/09

Colombia

40-400-4000000 2007/08

56-350-35040-5940-7 2008/09

Czech Republic

-10-200-200-30000 2008/09

Egypt

50000005000 2008/09

Germany

10000-30-20000 2008/09

Guatemala

5-250-250-20000 2008/09

India

1,000000-1,0000000 2008/09

Iran

-105-200-2000-1250-30 2008/09

Italy

-5-200-200-25000 2008/09

Kazakhstan, Republic of

35000003500 2008/09

Pakistan

-212000-31-243000 2007/08

-337000-75-2000-2120 2008/09


April 2009

Summary of Changes in estimates and Forecasts from Last Month (Working Statistics) (Continued)

(1,000 480 lb Bales and 1,000 Ha)


Harvested

Beginning

Stocks

Production Imports Exports Use Loss Total Dom.

Cons.

Ending

Stocks

Paraguay

10000-100000 2008/09

Portugal

0-150-150-15000 2008/09

Thailand

-25-750-750-100000 2008/09

Turkey

25000-250000 2008/09

United States

0025-2500000 2007/08

-600-106-6-1005000-20600 2008/09

Uzbekistan, Republic of

50000005000 2007/08

50000000500 2008/09

World

World

-122-3025-55-31-2335000 2007/08

884-1,316-6-1,310-445-450-305-122-37 2008/09


April 2009

Table 01 Cotton World Supply, Use, and Trade (Season Beginning August 1)

(1000 MT)

2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08

Mar

2008/09

Apr

2008/09

Production none

6,597 China, Peoples Republic of 6,183 7,729 8,056 7,795 7,795

4,137 India 4,148 4,746 5,356 5,008 5,008

5,062 United States 5,201 4,700 4,182 2,838 2,793

2,425 Pakistan 2,213 2,155 1,938 1,960 1,960

1,285 Brazil 1,023 1,524 1,602 1,263 1,263

1,132 Uzbekistan, Republic of 1,208 1,165 1,208 1,089 1,089

904 Turkey 773 827 675 501 501

4,898 Other 4,632 3,713 3,241 3,203 3,181

26,440 Total 25,382 26,560 26,258 23,655 23,588

USE Dom. Consumption none


3,222 India 3,636 3,941 3,984 3,701 3,701

2,286 Pakistan 2,504 2,722 2,722 2,504 2,504

1,546 Turkey 1,502 1,589 1,306 1,023 1,023

938 Brazil 969 996 1,002 936 936

1,457 United States 1,278 1,074 998 816 795

408 Bangladesh 479 540 599 599 599

468 Indonesia 474 474 484 435 435

457 Mexico 457 457 435 392 392

457 Thailand 446 425 425 408 392

4,035 Other 3,785 3,771 3,545 3,252 3,223

23,658 Total 25,328 26,875 26,713 24,192 23,907

Imports none


403 Bangladesh 482 540 610 599 599

382 Pakistan 352 502 851 544 501

743 Turkey 762 877 712 468 468

479 Indonesia 479 479 501 435 435

497 Thailand 412 415 420 414 392

394 Mexico 380 295 333 283 283

148 Vietnam 153 196 207 229 229

316 Russian Federation 310 305 261 207 207

292 Korea, Republic of 220 233 212 191 191

2,238 Other 1,937 1,999 1,665 1,439 1,407

7,283 Total 9,685 8,144 8,281 6,333 6,235

Exports none

3,143 United States 3,821 2,833 2,973 2,613 2,722

860 Uzbekistan, Republic of 1,045 980 958 653 653

339 Brazil 429 283 486 490 523

144 India 751 994 1,531 653 435

435 Australia 628 464 265 250 261

212 Burkina 305 294 169 174 174

255 Greece 294 272 229 142 142

82 Turkmenistan 120 152 174 114 114

136 Benin 103 109 109 93 93

136 Kazakhstan, Republic of 192 189 115 82 82

1,882 Other 2,019 1,507 1,358 1,062 1,030

7,623 Total 9,707 8,077 8,366 6,326 6,229

Ending Stocks none


1,908 India 1,756 1,669 1,608 2,359 2,577

1,196 United States 1,321 2,064 2,187 1,589 1,459

1,063 Brazil 787 1,177 1,361 1,268 1,219

1,077 Pakistan 1,069 953 955 920 847

283 Uzbekistan, Republic of 272 261 293 489 500

390 Turkey 376 425 424 332 337

3,240 Other 3,057 2,658 2,402 2,588 2,582

13,160 Total 13,545 13,678 13,586 13,619 13,811


April 2009

Table 02 Cotton World Supply, Use, and Trade (Season Beginning August 1)

(1000 Bales)

2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08

Mar

2008/09

Apr

2008/09

Production none

5,900 Brazil 4,700 7,000 7,360 5,800 5,800


19,000 India 19,050 21,800 24,600 23,000 23,000

11,138 Pakistan 10,165 9,900 8,900 9,000 9,000

4,150 Turkey 3,550 3,800 3,100 2,300 2,300

23,251 United States 23,890 21,588 19,207 13,036 12,830


22,498 Other 21,274 17,052 14,884 14,709 14,610

121,437 Total 116,579 121,990 120,601 108,645 108,340

USE Dom. Consumption none

1,875 Bangladesh 2,200 2,480 2,750 2,750 2,750

4,310 Brazil 4,452 4,573 4,600 4,300 4,300


14,800 India 16,700 18,100 18,300 17,000 17,000

2,150 Indonesia 2,175 2,175 2,225 2,000 2,000

2,100 Mexico 2,100 2,100 2,000 1,800 1,800

10,500 Pakistan 11,500 12,500 12,500 11,500 11,500

2,100 Thailand 2,050 1,950 1,950 1,875 1,800

7,100 Turkey 6,900 7,300 6,000 4,700 4,700

6,691 United States 5,871 4,935 4,584 3,750 3,650

18,533 Other 17,382 17,320 16,280 14,938 14,803

108,659 Total 116,330 123,433 122,689 111,113 109,803

Imports none

1,850 Bangladesh 2,214 2,480 2,800 2,750 2,750


2,200 Indonesia 2,200 2,200 2,300 2,000 2,000

1,343 Korea, Republic of 1,011 1,068 975 875 875

1,810 Mexico 1,744 1,353 1,530 1,300 1,300

1,756 Pakistan 1,615 2,305 3,907 2,500 2,300

1,450 Russian Federation 1,425 1,400 1,200 950 950

2,282 Thailand 1,892 1,905 1,928 1,900 1,800

3,414 Turkey 3,501 4,029 3,268 2,150 2,150

680 Vietnam 703 900 950 1,050 1,050

10,279 Other 8,895 9,179 7,647 6,610 6,460

33,449 Total 44,484 37,407 38,035 29,085 28,635

Exports none

1,998 Australia 2,884 2,129 1,219 1,150 1,200

625 Benin 475 500 500 425 425

1,557 Brazil 1,972 1,300 2,231 2,250 2,400

975 Burkina 1,400 1,350 775 800 800

1,170 Greece 1,350 1,250 1,050 650 650

660 India 3,450 4,565 7,030 3,000 2,000

625 Kazakhstan, Republic of 883 869 530 375 375

375 Turkmenistan 550 700 800 525 525

14,436 United States 17,549 13,010 13,653 12,000 12,500


8,643 Other 9,271 6,923 6,236 4,878 4,733

35,014 Total 44,584 37,096 38,424 29,053 28,608

Ending Stocks none

4,882 Brazil 3,616 5,408 6,251 5,826 5,601


8,764 India 8,064 7,664 7,384 10,834 11,834

4,945 Pakistan 4,912 4,375 4,388 4,225 3,888

1,790 Turkey 1,725 1,951 1,949 1,524 1,549

5,495 United States 6,069 9,479 10,044 7,300 6,700


14,882 Other 14,042 12,210 11,032 11,888 11,859

60,444 Total 62,212 62,821 62,400 62,549 63,433


April 2009

Table 04 Cotton Area, Yield, and Production

From last month From last year

MBalesPercent

Yield

(Kilograms per hectare)

Apr 2006/07 MBales

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production

(Million 480 lb. bales)

Change in Production

2006/07

Prel.

2007/08 Mar Mar

Prel.

2007/08 Apr

Prel.

2007/08 Mar Apr Percent

2008/09 Proj.2008/09 Proj. 2008/09 Proj.

2006/07

34.71World -10.17-12.26-0.28-0.31108.3433.09 31.03 30.99 765.00 794.00 762.00 761.00 121.99 120.60 108.65

5.15United States -33.20-6.38-1.58-0.2112.834.25 3.13 3.13 912.00 985.00 907.00 893.00 21.59 19.21 13.04

29.55Total Foreign -5.80-5.88-0.10-0.1095.5128.84 27.90 27.86 740.00 765.00 746.00 746.00 100.40 101.39 95.61

none

Western Hemisphere

1.09 Brazil -21.20-1.560.000.005.801.08 0.89 0.89 1,393.00 1,488.00 1,427.00 1,427.00 7.00 7.36 5.80

0.12 Mexico -0.81-0.010.000.000.620.11 0.10 0.10 1,231.00 1,227.00 1,326.00 1,326.00 0.65 0.62 0.62

0.40 Argentina -7.54-0.050.000.000.650.31 0.30 0.30 435.00 494.00 472.00 472.00 0.80 0.70 0.65

0.13 Paraguay -25.00-0.030.000.000.080.06 0.06 0.06 279.00 363.00 272.00 272.00 0.16 0.10 0.08

0.09 Peru 0.000.000.000.000.300.09 0.09 0.09 726.00 726.00 726.00 726.00 0.30 0.30 0.30

0.05 Colombia -28.13-0.05-29.95-0.060.140.04 0.04 0.04 862.00 995.00 997.00 835.00 0.20 0.19 0.20

Africa

0.70 Burkina 25.930.180.000.000.850.40 0.44 0.44 404.00 367.00 421.00 421.00 1.30 0.68 0.85

0.46 Mali -22.22-0.100.000.000.350.28 0.19 0.19 375.00 345.00 401.00 401.00 0.79 0.45 0.35

0.21 Cote d'Ivoire 0.000.000.000.000.230.20 0.19 0.19 317.00 245.00 258.00 258.00 0.31 0.23 0.23

0.20 Cameroon 19.050.040.000.000.250.14 0.16 0.16 397.00 327.00 340.00 340.00 0.37 0.21 0.25

0.23 Benin -8.00-0.040.000.000.460.23 0.21 0.21 448.00 465.00 489.00 489.00 0.48 0.50 0.46

0.25 Chad 5.260.010.000.000.200.18 0.18 0.18 174.00 230.00 242.00 242.00 0.20 0.19 0.20

0.07 Togo -27.27-0.030.000.000.080.07 0.07 0.07 268.00 368.00 249.00 249.00 0.08 0.11 0.08

0.04 Senegal 7.950.010.000.000.100.04 0.05 0.05 495.00 435.00 460.00 460.00 0.10 0.09 0.10

0.25 Egypt -47.50-0.4810.530.050.530.24 0.13 0.13 863.00 907.00 796.00 879.00 0.98 1.00 0.48

0.35 Zimbabwe -3.16-0.020.000.000.460.38 0.38 0.38 311.00 272.00 264.00 264.00 0.50 0.48 0.46

0.38 Nigeria 4.440.020.000.000.470.40 0.40 0.40 229.00 248.00 259.00 259.00 0.40 0.45 0.47

Asia Oceania

6.00 China, Peoples Republic of -3.24-1.200.000.0035.806.20 6.00 6.00 1,288.00 1,299.00 1,299.00 1,299.00 35.50 37.00 35.80

9.17 India -6.50-1.600.000.0023.009.44 9.35 9.35 518.00 567.00 536.00 536.00 21.80 24.60 23.00

3.25 Pakistan 1.120.100.000.009.003.00 2.90 2.90 663.00 646.00 676.00 676.00 9.90 8.90 9.00

0.20 Kazakhstan, Republic of -30.40-0.198.750.040.440.20 0.16 0.16 698.00 680.00 544.00 592.00 0.63 0.63 0.40

0.26 Tajikistan, Republic of -20.83-0.130.000.000.480.25 0.23 0.23 551.00 523.00 450.00 450.00 0.65 0.60 0.48

0.60 Turkmenistan 3.850.050.000.001.350.60 0.60 0.60 435.00 472.00 490.00 490.00 1.20 1.30 1.35

1.43 Uzbekistan, Republic of -9.91-0.550.000.005.001.45 1.42 1.42 815.00 833.00 767.00 767.00 5.35 5.55 5.00

0.63 Turkey -25.81-0.800.000.002.300.52 0.38 0.38 1,313.00 1,298.00 1,318.00 1,318.00 3.80 3.10 2.30

0.14 Australia 125.810.780.000.001.400.07 0.16 0.16 2,041.00 2,077.00 1,859.00 1,859.00 1.35 0.62 1.40

0.21 Syria -17.39-0.200.000.000.950.20 0.17 0.17 1,038.00 1,252.00 1,217.00 1,217.00 1.02 1.15 0.95

0.30 Burma, Union of 0.000.000.000.000.270.30 0.30 0.30 196.00 196.00 196.00 196.00 0.27 0.27 0.27

Europe

0.33 Greece -16.98-0.230.000.001.100.32 0.25 0.25 924.00 916.00 958.00 958.00 1.40 1.33 1.10

2.03Others 6.690.18-4.15-0.132.892.05 2.11 2.08 316.00 287.00 311.00 302.00 2.94 2.71 3.01

Note: Yeild for Total Foreign and Others is an incorrect calculation.


April 2009

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Table 05 Cotton Supply and Distribution MY 2008/09

Area

Harvested

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply

ImportsProductionBeginning

Stocks

Country

85 0709801350 Afghanistan 15

1 035423471 Albania 0

0 020272070 Algeria 0

5 0510322 Angola 3

650 97751,579150779300 Argentina 35

0 012110 Armenia, Republic of 0

1,400 -75501,9800580164 Australia 1,200

0 0405540150 Austria 2

110 06520909951 Azerbaijan, Republic of 50

0 0758975140 Bahrain 0

60 102,7503,3942,75058442 Bangladesh 0

0 030353050 Belarus 0

0 0508470140 Belgium-Luxembour 25

460 0105980138205 Benin 425

48 070113254020 Bolivia 5

5,800 -1504,30012,1511006,251885 Brazil 2,400

10 0607350132 Bulgaria 0

850 041,0520202440 Burkina 800

270 0180343073300 Burma, Union of 90

0 020262060 Cambodia 0

250 045315065160 Cameroon 200

0 0253220120 Canada 0

12 05160425 Central African Republic 5

200 015263063180 Chad 150

0 0607860180 Chile 0

35,800 -2,50045,50062,8047,00020,0046,000 China, Peoples Republic of 100

138 536551525012736 Colombia 5

15 0303515530 Congo, Democratic Rep of the 0

1 023111 Costa Rica 0

225 0503980173190 Cote d'Ivoire 200

0 034310 Croatia 0

4 045484044 Cuba 0

0 000000 Cyprus 0

0 0557560150 Czech Republic 10

0 000000 Denmark 0


April 2009

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Table 05 Cotton Supply and Distribution MY 2008/09 (Continued)

Area

Harvested

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply


Stocks

Country

3 0810524 Dominican Republic 0

9 0759165173 Ecuador 0

525 138001,636450661130 Egypt 250

1 0135169135331 El Salvador 0

0 015231580 Estonia 0

85 07510602160 Ethiopia 10

0 08010790170 France 10

0 0200268230380 Germany 20

23 015310815 Ghana 10

1,100 502251,51020390250 Greece 650

3 0100120100172 Guatemala 0

14 00180414 Guinea 15

5 01011517 Haiti 0

4 023291962 Honduras 0

0 01852891751140 Hong Kong 40

0 010121020 Hungary 0

23,000 017,00030,8344507,3849,350 India 2,000

30 502,0002,4192,0003899 Indonesia 20

325 0600730225180100 Iran 40

30 0100119701920 Iraq 0

0 011100 Ireland 0

50 04895347 Israel 55

0 0280340275650 Italy 20

0 0550638550880 Japan 0

435 05067150186160 Kazakhstan, Republic of 375

25 05580401537 Kenya 10

55 01501851003019 Korea, Democratic Peoples Rep 0

1 08751,1148752381 Korea, Republic of 5

130 0517204233 Kyrgyzstan, Republic of 100

0 034310 Latvia 0

0 034310 Lebanon 0

0 013210 Lithuania 1

1 020252041 Macedonia, Republic of 0

60 0507101130 Madagascar 10

130 0522609670 Malawi 115


April 2009

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)


Area

Harvested

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply


Stocks

Country

0 0200229200290 Malaysia 0

350 0254670117190 Mali 325

0 0145179145340 Mauritius 0

615 251,8002,8471,300932101 Mexico 150

0 010141040 Moldova, Republic of 0

1 0175211175351 Morocco 0

135 010193058168 Mozambique 120

0 010161060 Netherlands 1

10 0112024 Nicaragua 9

5 048035 Niger 1

470 034065950139395 Nigeria 175

9,000 2511,50015,6882,3004,3882,900 Pakistan 275

0 000000 Panama 0

75 03013455460 Paraguay 50

300 052591022538590 Peru 5

10 0607950194 Philippines 0

0 055615560 Poland 0

1 0185238160771 Portugal 2

0 015211560 Romania 1

0 09751,1479501970 Russian Federation 0

95 02012903445 Senegal 75

0 014181440 Serbia and Montenegro 0

0 00232030 Singapore 20

0 000000 Slovakia 0

0 015211560 Slovenia 1

7 010113112 Somalia 0

40 0210300165959 South Africa, Republic of 0

85 050130103550 Spain 60

5 069135 Sri Lanka 0

190 08296010690 Sudan 170

0 000000 Sweden 0

0 025322570 Switzerland 0

950 07251,2440294170 Syria 250

0 08001,0157502650 Taiwan 0

475 0407370262230 Tajikistan, Republic of 350


April 2009

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)


Area

Harvested

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply


Stocks

Country

570 01658550285510 Tanzania, United Republic of 250

15 251,8002,1311,8003168 Thailand 2

80 01512204270 Togo 75

10 08510885132 Tunisia 10

2,300 04,7006,3992,1501,949380 Turkey 150

1,350 04402,0090659600 Turkmenistan 525

100 020160060270 Uganda 75

0 0506450140 Ukraine 0

0 00171520 United Kingdom 15

12,830 293,65022,879510,0443,128 United States 12,500

0 023210 Uruguay 0

5,000 01,0506,34801,3481,420 Uzbekistan, Republic of 3,000

60 075105202510 Venezuela 0

28 01,0501,3161,05023813 Vietnam 0

65 025740940 Yemen 40

215 0803750160215 Zambia 125

460 15906310171380 Zimbabwe 325

World

108,340 -2,469109,803199,37528,63562,40030,989 World 28,608


April 2009

(1000 MT)

Table 05A Cotton Supply and Distribution MY 2008/09

Beginning

Stocks

Ending

Stocks

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply

ImportsProductionCountry

0 301521193 Afghanistan 3

7 008902 Albania 2

4 004602 Algeria 2

1 101210 Angola 0

33 82169344142170 Argentina 165


0 261-1611431305126 Australia 175

9 0091203 Austria 3


16 00161903 Bahrain 3

599 0259973913127 Bangladesh 138

7 007801 Belarus 1


0 930213010030 Benin 35

5 101525109 Bolivia 8

22 523-339362,6461,2631,361 Brazil 1,219

11 00131623 Bulgaria 3

0 1740122918544 Burkina 54

0 20039755916 Burma, Union of 16

4 004601 Cambodia 1

0 44010695414 Cameroon 15

4 005703 Canada 2


0 3303574414 Chad 21

13 00131704 Chile 4

1,524 22-5449,90713,6747,7954,355 China, Peoples Republic of 4,290

54 11791123028 Colombia 30



0 44011874938 Cote d'Ivoire 32

1 001100 Croatia 0

9 00101011 Cuba 1

0 000000 Cyprus 0


0 000000 Denmark 0


April 2009

(1000 MT)

Table 05A Cotton Supply and Distribution MY 2008/09 (Continued)

Beginning

Stocks

Ending

Stocks

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply



14 00162024 Ecuador 3

98 543174356114144 Egypt 125

29 00293707 El Salvador 7

3 003502 Estonia 2

0 201623195 Ethiopia 5

20 20172304 France 4

50 40445808 Germany 10

0 203752 Ghana 1

4 142114932923985 Greece 127

22 00222614 Guatemala 4

0 300431 Guinea 1

1 002210 Haiti 0

4 005611 Honduras 1

38 904063025 Hong Kong 14

2 002300 Hungary 0

98 43503,7016,7135,0081,608 India 2,577

435 411435527785 Indonesia 76

49 901311597139 Iran 20

15 00222674 Iraq 4

0 000000 Ireland 0

1 120119117 Israel 7

60 406174014 Italy 9

120 00120139019 Japan 19


9 20121753 Kenya 3


191 10191243052 Korea, Republic of 51


1 001100 Latvia 0

1 001100 Lebanon 0



0 201115132 Madagascar 2

0 2501492821 Malawi 23


April 2009

(1000 MT)


Beginning

Stocks

Ending

Stocks

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply


44 00445006 Malaysia 6

0 71051027625 Mali 25

32 00323907 Mauritius 7

283 335392620134203 Mexico 190


38 00384608 Morocco 8

0 2602422913 Mozambique 14



0 001211 Niger 1

11 3807414310230 Nigeria 31

501 6052,5043,4161,960955 Pakistan 847

0 000000 Panama 0

1 1107291612 Paraguay 12

49 101141986584 Peru 83


12 00121301 Poland 1

35 004052017 Portugal 11

3 003501 Romania 1

207 00212250043 Russian Federation 37

0 160428217 Senegal 7


4 400501 Singapore 1

0 000000 Slovakia 0

3 003501 Slovenia 1

1 002220 Somalia 0


2 1301128198 Spain 4


0 3702644123 Sudan 26

0 000000 Sweden 0


0 54015827120764 Syria 59

163 00174221058 Taiwan 47



April 2009

(1000 MT)


Beginning

Stocks

Ending

Stocks

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply



392 05392464369 Thailand 66

0 160327179 Togo 7

19 20192423 Tunisia 3

468 3301,0231,393501424 Turkey 337

0 114096437294143 Turkmenistan 227

0 1604352213 Uganda 14

11 00111403 Ukraine 3


1 2,72267954,9812,7932,187 United States 1,459

0 000100 Uruguay 0

0 65302291,3821,089293 Uzbekistan, Republic of 500

4 001623135 Venezuela 7

229 00229287652 Vietnam 58

0 90516142 Yemen 2

0 27017824735 Zambia 37

0 7132013710037 Zimbabwe 44

World

6,235 6,229-53823,90743,40923,58813,586 World 13,811


April 2009

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Table 06: Cotton Supply and Distribution by Country 2007/2008

Area

Harvested

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply


Stocks

Country

85 0709801350 Afghanistan 15

1 035423471 Albania 0

0 030373070 Algeria 0

5 0510322 Angola 3

703 98251,627181743310 Argentina 14


620 -50501,79901,17965 Australia 1,219

0 045635490 Austria 3


0 0758975140 Bahrain 0

39 102,7503,3442,80050529 Bangladesh 0

0 030353050 Belarus 0


500 0106480148234 Benin 500

48 070115283920 Bolivia 5

7,360 -1504,60012,9321645,4081,077 Brazil 2,231

10 0607350132 Bulgaria 0

675 049810306400 Burkina 775

270 0180343073300 Burma, Union of 90

0 020262060 Cambodia 0

210 0453100100140 Cameroon 200

0 0506240220 Canada 0


190 015253063180 Chad 175

0 0607861170 Chile 0

37,000 -2,50051,50069,06611,53020,5366,200 China, Peoples Republic of 62

192 537050420410842 Colombia 2



225 0504480223200 Cote d'Ivoire 225

0 034220 Croatia 0

4 045494054 Cuba 0

0 000000 Cyprus 0


0 011100 Denmark 0


April 2009

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Table 06: Cotton Supply and Distribution by Country 2007/2008 (Continued)

Area

Harvested

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply


Stocks

Country


9 0759269143 Ecuador 0

1,000 139502,253450803240 Egypt 629

1 0145178143341 El Salvador 0

0 015241770 Estonia 1

85 07510602160 Ethiopia 10

0 0100131106250 France 14

0 0230323287360 Germany 55

23 0153801515 Ghana 15

1,325 503001,79020445315 Greece 1,050

3 0125142114252 Guatemala 0

14 00190514 Guinea 15

5 01011517 Haiti 0

4 023291962 Honduras 0

0 03005084001080 Hong Kong 94

0 01012840 Hungary 0

24,600 018,30032,7144507,6649,439 India 7,030

32 502,2252,6842,30035210 Indonesia 20

400 0620825250175120 Iran 25

30 0100119701920 Iraq 0

0 022200 Ireland 0

82 0412854113 Israel 90

0 0475563484790 Italy 23

0 0585673581920 Japan 0


25 05580401537 Kenya 10


1 01,0001,2429752661 Korea, Republic of 4


0 034220 Latvia 0

0 034310 Lebanon 0



60 0507101130 Madagascar 10

130 0521608670 Malawi 115


April 2009

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)


Area

Harvested

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply


Stocks

Country

0 0200231198330 Malaysia 2

450 0236400190284 Mali 500

0 0150184160240 Mauritius 0

620 252,0003,1771,5301,027110 Mexico 220


1 0175210180291 Morocco 0

115 010178063196 Mozambique 110



5 048035 Niger 1

450 035063970119395 Nigeria 150

8,900 2512,50017,1823,9074,3753,000 Pakistan 269

0 000000 Panama 0

100 030164105460 Paraguay 80

300 052591427034490 Peru 4


0 0707763140 Poland 1

1 0250329247811 Portugal 2

0 0202717100 Romania 1

0 01,2251,4221,2002220 Russian Federation 0

88 02012904144 Senegal 75


0 00232030 Singapore 20

0 000000 Slovakia 0

0 020272160 Slovenia 1

7 010113112 Somalia 0


185 090257135954 Spain 132


110 08274016460 Sudan 160

0 000000 Sweden 0


1,150 07251,4690319200 Syria 450

0 01,0251,2909643260 Taiwan 0



April 2009

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)


Area

Harvested

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply


Stocks

Country


15 251,9502,2951,9283528 Thailand 4

110 01515704765 Togo 100

10 09011390132 Tunisia 10

3,100 06,0008,3193,2681,951520 Turkey 370

1,300 04401,8990599600 Turkmenistan 800

60 020145085270 Uganda 65

0 0607457170 Ukraine 0


19,207 4174,58428,698129,4794,245 United States 13,653

0 023210 Uruguay 0

5,550 01,0006,74801,1981,450 Uzbekistan, Republic of 4,400

60 075100172310 Venezuela 0

26 09501,18895021213 Vietnam 0

65 025740940 Yemen 40

160 0803650205200 Zambia 125

475 15906760201380 Zimbabwe 400

World

120,601 -2,056122,689221,45738,03562,82133,088 World 38,424


April 2009

(1,000 Metric Tons)

Table 06A: Cotton Supply and Distribution by Country 2007/2008

Area

Harvested

ExportsEnding

Stocks

LossUseImportsProductionBeginning

Stocks

Country

19 30150311 Afghanistan 3

0 208720 Albania 0

0 207720 Algeria 0

1 001100 Angola 1

153 17021803916267 Argentina 3


135 126-1111025714 Australia 265

0 30101220 Austria 1


0 30161630 Bahrain 0

8 12725996101106 Bangladesh 0

0 107710 Belarus 0


109 300203251 Benin 109

10 9015684 Bolivia 1

1,602 1,361-331,002361,177234 Brazil 486

2 30131130 Bulgaria 0

147 440106787 Burkina 169

59 1603901665 Burma, Union of 20

0 104410 Cambodia 0

46 1401002230 Cameroon 44

0 3011950 Canada 0


41 140301439 Chad 38

0 40131340 Chile 0

8,056 4,355-54411,2132,5104,4711,350 China, Peoples Republic of 13

42 2818144249 Colombia 0



49 3801104944 Cote d'Ivoire 49

0 001000 Croatia 0

1 1010911 Cuba 0

0 000000 Cyprus 0


0 000000 Denmark 0


April 2009

(1,000 Metric Tons)

Table 06A: Cotton Supply and Distribution by Country 2007/2008 (Continued)

Area

Harvested

ExportsEnding

Stocks


Stocks

Country


2 40161531 Ecuador 0

218 14432079817552 Egypt 137

0 70323170 El Salvador 0

0 203420 Estonia 0

19 50160513 Ethiopia 2

0 40222350 France 3

0 80506280 Germany 12

5 203033 Ghana 3

288 85116549769 Greece 229

1 40272550 Guatemala 0

3 100013 Guinea 3

1 002102 Haiti 0

1 105410 Honduras 0

0 2506587240 Hong Kong 20

0 002210 Hungary 0

5,356 1,60803,984981,6692,055 India 1,531

7 8511484501772 Indonesia 4

87 390135543826 Iran 5

7 40221544 Iraq 0

0 000000 Ireland 0

18 701193 Israel 20

0 140103105170 Italy 5

0 190127126200 Japan 0


5 3012938 Kenya 2


0 520218212580 Korea, Republic of 1


0 001000 Latvia 0

0 001100 Lebanon 0



13 2011027 Madagascar 2

28 210101915 Malawi 25


April 2009

(1,000 Metric Tons)


Area

Harvested

ExportsEnding

Stocks


Stocks

Country

0 60444370 Malaysia 0

98 250504162 Mali 109

0 70333550 Mauritius 0

135 203543533322424 Mexico 48


0 80383960 Morocco 0

25 130201443 Mozambique 24



1 101011 Niger 0

98 30076152686 Nigeria 33

1,938 95552,722851953653 Pakistan 59

0 000000 Panama 0

22 120721213 Paraguay 17

65 840114597520 Peru 1


0 10151430 Poland 0

0 1705454180 Portugal 0

0 104420 Romania 0

0 430267261480 Russian Federation 0

19 7040910 Senegal 16


0 100410 Singapore 4

0 000000 Slovakia 0

0 104510 Slovenia 0

2 002103 Somalia 0


40 802031312 Spain 29


24 230203613 Sudan 35

0 000000 Sweden 0


250 64015806944 Syria 98

0 580223210710 Taiwan 0



April 2009

(1,000 Metric Tons)


Area

Harvested

ExportsEnding

Stocks


Stocks

Country


3 695425420772 Thailand 1

24 90301014 Togo 22

2 30202030 Tunisia 2

675 42401,306712425113 Turkey 81

283 1430960130131 Turkmenistan 174

13 130401959 Uganda 14

0 30131240 Ukraine 0


4,182 2,1879199832,064924 United States 2,973

0 000000 Uruguay 0

1,208 29302180261316 Uzbekistan, Republic of 958

13 5016452 Venezuela 0

6 520207207463 Vietnam 0

14 205029 Yemen 9

35 3501704544 Zambia 27

103 3732004483 Zimbabwe 87

World

26,258 13,586-44826,7138,28113,6787,204 World 8,366


April 2009

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Table 09: World Cotton Supply and Distribution

Area

Harvested

LossUseExportsTotal

Supply


Stocks

Country Mktg Year

World

World

63,908 61,02226,441113,40827,12022,38033,576 1977/78 308

59,496 63,22927,253112,26227,12925,63732,814 1978/79 -76

65,446 65,90430,662117,80830,50621,85632,219 1979/80 10

63,377 65,02126,265111,86227,25321,23232,369 1980/81 -33

68,839 63,30925,764115,14625,69820,60932,938 1981/82 239

66,332 66,96625,515118,23726,07125,83431,394 1982/83 302

66,277 68,68025,333118,79027,05925,45430,920 1983/84 496

88,706 70,81627,200140,61627,62924,28133,741 1984/85 474

80,142 75,33028,078151,24928,98142,12631,581 1985/86 252

70,359 82,09533,350151,04133,09347,58929,347 1986/87 179

81,446 84,14630,103147,39230,52935,41730,871 1987/88 534

84,220 85,23833,481150,41133,58232,60933,831 1988/89 642

79,716 86,90531,357143,46932,70331,05031,696 1989/90 234

87,149 85,52429,560142,70030,57824,97333,151 1990/91 170

95,295 86,19228,249151,76329,02227,44634,786 1991/92 368

82,348 86,33225,475146,35527,05336,95432,667 1992/93 63

77,720 85,55026,660140,15627,95134,48530,743 1993/94 143

86,345 84,61728,157144,43530,28727,80332,278 1994/95 -330

93,873 85,94027,361152,86126,99731,99135,947 1995/96 -544

90,115 87,93626,838158,79628,57740,10433,769 1996/97 -585

92,281 87,26726,722162,81625,92844,60733,800 1997/98 -581

86,096 84,76023,524159,98424,48049,40832,894 1998/99 -1,114

87,964 91,08227,170168,75427,97652,81432,356 1999/00 -602

89,099 92,15826,200166,43026,22751,10432,016 2000/01 -1,339

98,702 94,44229,149177,41729,30449,41133,728 2001/02 -706

90,977 98,39030,457175,69630,18754,53230,752 2002/03 -779

96,758 98,02333,198178,39834,01247,62832,310 2003/04 -884

121,437 108,65935,014202,94733,44948,06135,709 2004/05 -1,170

116,579 116,33044,584221,50744,48460,44434,737 2005/06 -1,619

121,990 123,43337,096221,60937,40762,21234,705 2006/07 -1,741

120,601 122,68938,424221,45738,03562,82133,088 2007/08 -2,056

108,340 109,80328,608199,37528,63562,40030,989 2008/09 -2,469


April 2009

Table 10: United States Cotton Supply and Distribution

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)


Harvested

Yield Beginning

Stocks

Production Imports Total

Supply

Exports Use Loss Ending

Stocks

Stock to

Use %

United States

324,221-3057,7695,31116,9963413,7043,2585685,255 1972/73

283,808-1607,4726,12317,2434812,9744,2215834,844 1973/74

585,708-1125,8603,92615,3823411,5403,8084945,086 1974/75

353,681-1407,2503,31114,102928,3025,7085083,560 1975/76

262,928-866,6744,78414,3003810,5813,6815224,417 1976/77

455,34786,4835,48417,322514,3892,9285835,372 1977/78

323,958-2836,3526,18016,207410,8565,3474715,018 1978/79

193,000-1436,5069,22918,592514,6293,9586135,193 1979/80

232,668-3355,8915,92614,1502811,1223,0004535,348 1980/81

566,632-1235,2646,56718,3402615,6462,6686085,601 1981/82

747,937-425,5135,20718,6152011,9636,6326613,939 1982/83

222,7752385,9216,78615,720127,7717,9375692,973 1983/84

354,102-745,5386,21515,7812412,9822,7756734,200 1984/85

1129,348-1546,4131,96017,5673313,4324,1027064,140 1985/86

365,026-807,4526,68419,08239,7319,3486183,427 1986/87

415,771-1827,6176,58219,788214,7605,0267924,059 1987/88

517,0921657,7826,14821,187515,4115,7716944,835 1988/89

183,000-1638,7597,69419,290212,1967,0926883,860 1989/90

142,344-2858,6577,79318,509415,5053,0007114,748 1990/91

233,70489,6136,64619,9711317,6142,3447315,245 1991/92

304,662-19010,2505,20119,923116,2183,7047854,501 1992/93

203,530-810,4186,86220,802616,1344,6626795,173 1993/94

132,650-3811,1989,40223,2122019,6623,5307945,391 1994/95

142,6092710,6477,67520,95840817,9002,6506026,478 1995/96

223,971-811,1266,86521,95440318,9422,6097915,216 1996/97

213,8874111,3497,50022,7771318,7933,9717545,425 1997/98

273,939-39410,4014,29818,24443913,9183,8877014,324 1998/99

233,91514510,1946,75021,0049716,9683,9396805,433 1999/00

386,000-4838,8626,74021,1191617,1883,9157085,282 2000/01

407,4481807,69611,00026,3242120,3036,0007905,596 2001/02

285,3851667,27311,90024,7246717,2097,4487465,025 2002/03

173,4502116,26613,75823,6854518,2555,3858184,858 2003/04

265,4951086,69114,43626,7302923,2513,4509585,284 2004/05

266,069-765,87117,54929,4132823,8905,4959315,586 2005/06

539,4792524,93513,01027,6761921,5886,0699125,152 2006/07

5510,0444174,58413,65328,6981219,2079,4799854,245 2007/08

416,700293,65012,50022,879512,83010,0448933,128 2008/09


April 2009

Table 11: Foreign Cotton Supply and Distribution

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)


Harvested

Yield Beginning

Stocks

Production Imports Total

Supply

Exports Use Loss Ending

Stocks

Total Foreign

20,26619651,73022,50594,69727,34348,16319,19137128,285 1972/73

23,35022352,79620,09796,46626,69649,50420,26638528,001 1973/74

27,64422351,18120,36999,41723,79052,27723,35040028,421 1974/75

22,22028554,35022,65699,51126,19445,67327,64437826,310 1975/76

19,45222453,56419,81993,05924,89345,94622,22038326,116 1976/77

20,29030054,53920,95796,08627,11549,51919,45238228,204 1977/78

17,89820756,87721,07396,05527,12548,64020,29038127,796 1978/79

18,23215359,39821,43399,21630,50150,81717,89840927,026 1979/80

17,94130259,13020,33997,71227,22552,25518,23242127,021 1980/81

19,20236258,04519,19796,80625,67253,19317,94142427,337 1981/82

17,51734461,45320,30899,62226,05154,36919,20243127,455 1982/83

21,50625862,75918,547103,07027,04758,50617,51745627,947 1983/84

38,02454865,27820,985124,83527,60575,72421,50655829,541 1984/85

38,24140668,91726,118133,68228,94866,71038,02452927,441 1985/86

30,39125974,64326,666131,95933,09060,62838,24150925,920 1986/87

26,83871676,52923,521127,60430,52766,68630,39154226,812 1987/88

23,95847777,45627,333129,22433,57768,80926,83851728,996 1988/89

21,97339778,14623,663124,17932,70167,52023,95852827,836 1989/90

25,10245576,86721,767124,19130,57471,64421,97354928,403 1990/91

33,25036076,57921,603131,79229,00977,68125,10257329,541 1991/92

29,82325376,08220,274126,43227,05266,13033,25051128,166 1992/93

24,27315175,13219,798119,35427,94561,58629,82352425,570 1993/94

29,341-29273,41918,755121,22330,26766,68324,27354026,887 1994/95

37,495-57175,29319,686131,90326,58975,97329,34156129,469 1995/96

40,636-57776,81019,973136,84228,17471,17337,49554328,553 1996/97

45,521-62275,91819,222140,03925,91573,48840,63656428,375 1997/98

48,875-72074,35919,226141,74024,04172,17845,52155028,570 1998/99

47,189-74780,88820,420147,75027,87970,99648,87557426,923 1999/00

43,411-85683,29619,460145,31126,21171,91147,18958626,734 2000/01

47,084-88686,74618,149151,09329,28378,39943,41160728,132 2001/02

42,243-94591,11718,557150,97230,12073,76847,08462425,727 2002/03

44,611-1,09591,75719,440154,71333,96778,50342,24362327,452 2003/04

54,949-1,278101,96820,578176,21733,42098,18644,61170330,425 2004/05

56,143-1,543110,45927,035192,09444,45692,68954,94969229,151 2005/06

53,342-1,993118,49824,086193,93337,388100,40256,14374029,553 2006/07

52,356-2,473118,10524,771192,75938,023101,39453,34276528,843 2007/08

56,733-2,498106,15316,108176,49628,63095,51052,35674627,861 2008/09


April 2009

united states agriculture cotton: world markets and trade...2009/04/09 · approved by the world...

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