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UNITED NATIONS HUMAN RIGHTS COMMISSION WORKSHOP ON UNILATERAL COERCIVE MEASURES Gallup World Poll Iran May 23, 2014 Geneva

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Page 1: UNITED NATIONS HUMAN RIGHTS COMMISSION WORKSHOP ON UNILATERAL COERCIVE MEASURES Gallup World Poll Iran May 23, 2014 Geneva

UNITED NATIONS HUMAN RIGHTS COMMISSIONWORKSHOP ON UNILATERAL COERCIVE MEASURES

Gallup World Poll

Iran

May 23, 2014

Geneva

Page 2: UNITED NATIONS HUMAN RIGHTS COMMISSION WORKSHOP ON UNILATERAL COERCIVE MEASURES Gallup World Poll Iran May 23, 2014 Geneva

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GALLUP WORLD POLL COVERAGE

Copyright © 2014 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved.

Page 3: UNITED NATIONS HUMAN RIGHTS COMMISSION WORKSHOP ON UNILATERAL COERCIVE MEASURES Gallup World Poll Iran May 23, 2014 Geneva

3

METHODOLOGY

• Results are based on telephone interviews with 4,507 adults, aged 15 and older, conducted Dec. 16, 2011-Jan. 10, 2012; Nov. 6- Dec. 11, 2012; and May 24-June 6, 2013.

• For results based on the total sample of national adults, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error ranges from ±2.8 to ±4 percentage points.

Copyright © 2014 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved.

Page 4: UNITED NATIONS HUMAN RIGHTS COMMISSION WORKSHOP ON UNILATERAL COERCIVE MEASURES Gallup World Poll Iran May 23, 2014 Geneva

LIFE EVALUATION:THE METRICS THAT MATTER

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Page 5: UNITED NATIONS HUMAN RIGHTS COMMISSION WORKSHOP ON UNILATERAL COERCIVE MEASURES Gallup World Poll Iran May 23, 2014 Geneva

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

$6,000

$7,000

$8,000

$9,000

$10,000

$5,028

$5,435

$5,838 $6,056

$6,337

$6,466 $6,614 $6,553

GDP per capita, PPP*

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

29%25%

13% 13%12%

9%8%

9%

Thriving

5

EGYPT GDP AND WELL-BEING

Copyright © 2014 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved.

*In current international dollar, 2009-2012 data from World Bank, 2013 data projected by IMF

Page 6: UNITED NATIONS HUMAN RIGHTS COMMISSION WORKSHOP ON UNILATERAL COERCIVE MEASURES Gallup World Poll Iran May 23, 2014 Geneva

6

UKRAINE GDP AND WELL-BEING

Copyright © 2014 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved.

*In current international dollar, 2009-2012 data from World Bank, 2013 data projected by IMF

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

$6,000

$7,000

$8,000

$9,000

$10,000

$6,217 $6,927

$7,264

$6,265

$6,633 $7,141 $7,298 $7,422

GDP per capita, PPP*

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

16%

22%

20%

21%

16%

21%

18%

11%

Thriving

Page 7: UNITED NATIONS HUMAN RIGHTS COMMISSION WORKSHOP ON UNILATERAL COERCIVE MEASURES Gallup World Poll Iran May 23, 2014 Geneva

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2006 2007 2008 2011 2012 20130%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

24%26%

20% 20%

16%

19%

12%

15% 14%

26%

31%

22%

Iran: Life Evaluation Index

Thriving Suffering

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Page 8: UNITED NATIONS HUMAN RIGHTS COMMISSION WORKSHOP ON UNILATERAL COERCIVE MEASURES Gallup World Poll Iran May 23, 2014 Geneva

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% Suffering

Afghanistan 55%

Armenia 36%

Turkey 35%

Egypt 34%

Yemen 27%

Lebanon 26%

Syria 23%

Iran 22%

Georgia 21%

Jordan 18%

Countries With the Highest Rates of “Suffering” in the Middle East and Central Asia, 2013

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Page 9: UNITED NATIONS HUMAN RIGHTS COMMISSION WORKSHOP ON UNILATERAL COERCIVE MEASURES Gallup World Poll Iran May 23, 2014 Geneva

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2006 2007 2008 2011 2012 201310%12%14%16%18%20%22%24%26%28%30%

Iran: Thriving by Gender

Male Female

Male Female

Urban 15% 20%

Rural 8% 23%

Urban Males More Likely to be Thriving

Nov. 2012 - May 2013

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Page 10: UNITED NATIONS HUMAN RIGHTS COMMISSION WORKSHOP ON UNILATERAL COERCIVE MEASURES Gallup World Poll Iran May 23, 2014 Geneva

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2006 2007 2008 2011 2012 201310%

12%

14%

16%

18%

20%

22%

24%

26%

28%

Iran: Thriving by Have Children or Not

No Children Have Children

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Page 11: UNITED NATIONS HUMAN RIGHTS COMMISSION WORKSHOP ON UNILATERAL COERCIVE MEASURES Gallup World Poll Iran May 23, 2014 Geneva

IMPACT OF SANCTIONS

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Page 12: UNITED NATIONS HUMAN RIGHTS COMMISSION WORKSHOP ON UNILATERAL COERCIVE MEASURES Gallup World Poll Iran May 23, 2014 Geneva

12

2011: The United Nations, the U.S., and Western Europe have recently imposed sanctions on Iran. Do you think these sanctions will hurt the livelihood of Iranians a great deal, somewhat, or not at all?

2012-2013: The United Nations, the U.S., and Western Europe continue to impose sanctions on Iran. Do you think these sanctions have hurt the livelihood of Iranians a great deal, somewhat, or not at all?

2011 2012 20130%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

27%

56%62%

38%

29%28%25%

10%7%

Effects of Sanctions on Iranians' Livelihoods

A great deal Somewhat Not at all

Page 13: UNITED NATIONS HUMAN RIGHTS COMMISSION WORKSHOP ON UNILATERAL COERCIVE MEASURES Gallup World Poll Iran May 23, 2014 Geneva

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Male Female

Efforts to Deal with the Poor (satisfied)

62% 55%

City Economy Getting Better 32% 28%

Good Affordable Housing (satisfied) 25% 15%

Children Respected 77% 66%

Children Learn and Grow 73% 67%

Males More Satisfied with Current Situation

In Iran, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with efforts to deal with the poor?

Right now, do you think that economic conditions in the city or area where you live, as a whole, are getting better or getting worse?

In the city or area where you live, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the availability of good affordable housing?

Do you believe that children in Iran are treated with respect and dignity, or not?

Do most children in Iran have the opportunity to learn and grow every day, or not? May 2013

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Page 14: UNITED NATIONS HUMAN RIGHTS COMMISSION WORKSHOP ON UNILATERAL COERCIVE MEASURES Gallup World Poll Iran May 23, 2014 Geneva

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No Children Have Children

Living comfortably on present income 13% 11%Getting by on present income 47% 44%Finding it difficult on present income 24% 25%Finding it very difficult on present income 16% 20%

Feelings about Household Income

No ChildrenHave

ChildrenFood 36% 42%Shelter 37% 44%

Not Enough Money for Basic Needs

Which one of these phrases comes closest to your own feelings about your household income these days?

Have there been times in the past 12 months when you did not have enough money to buy food that you or your family needed?Have there been times in the past 12 months when you did not have enough money to provide adequate shelter or housing for you and your family?

Nov. 2012 & May 2013

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Page 15: UNITED NATIONS HUMAN RIGHTS COMMISSION WORKSHOP ON UNILATERAL COERCIVE MEASURES Gallup World Poll Iran May 23, 2014 Geneva

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Hurt A Great Deal Male FemalePersonal Livelihood 47% 50%Iranians’ Livelihood 55% 61%

Females More Likely to Think Sanctions Hurt A Great Deal

Male FemaleYes 68% 62%No 18% 17%

Given the scale of sanctions against Iran, do you think Iran should continue to develop its nuclear power capabilities, or not?

Nov. 2012 & May 2013

Support for Nuclear Programs

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Page 16: UNITED NATIONS HUMAN RIGHTS COMMISSION WORKSHOP ON UNILATERAL COERCIVE MEASURES Gallup World Poll Iran May 23, 2014 Geneva

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No Children Have Children

Sanctions Hurt Personal Livelihood A Great Deal

49% 48%

Iran Should Continue Develop Nuclear Power

64% 66%

Sanctions and Nuclear Power

Have these sanctions personally hurt your livelihood a great deal, hurt it somewhat, or have they not hurt your livelihood at all?

Given the scale of sanctions against Iran, do you think Iran should continue to develop its nuclear power capabilities, or not?

Nov. 2012 & May 2013

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Page 17: UNITED NATIONS HUMAN RIGHTS COMMISSION WORKSHOP ON UNILATERAL COERCIVE MEASURES Gallup World Poll Iran May 23, 2014 Geneva

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Groups Responsible for Sanctions

Which of the following groups do you hold MOST RESPONSIBLE for the sanctions against Iran?

2012 2013

The U.S. 47% 46%

The Iranian government 10% 13%

Israel 9% 9%

Western European countries 7% 6%

The United Nations 7% 6%

DK 16% 15%

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Page 18: UNITED NATIONS HUMAN RIGHTS COMMISSION WORKSHOP ON UNILATERAL COERCIVE MEASURES Gallup World Poll Iran May 23, 2014 Geneva

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Do you approve or disapprove of each of the following? Iran cutting off ties with countries that impose economic sanctions on Iran

Female MaleHave

ChildrenNo

ChildrenUrban Rural

Approve 42% 50% 53% 41% 43% 52%

Disapprove 30% 31% 26% 35% 35% 25%

DK 25% 17% 19% 22% 20% 21%

Male, Households with Children and Rural Residents More Likely to Approve Cutting Ties with Countries Responsible for Sanctions

Nov. 2012

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Page 19: UNITED NATIONS HUMAN RIGHTS COMMISSION WORKSHOP ON UNILATERAL COERCIVE MEASURES Gallup World Poll Iran May 23, 2014 Geneva
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COPYRIGHT STANDARDS

This document contains proprietary research, copyrighted materials, and literary property of Gallup, Inc. It is for the guidance of your company only and is not to be copied, quoted, published, or divulged to others outside of your organization. Gallup®, and (list trademarks with appropriate trademark symbols here) are trademarks of Gallup, Inc. All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners.

This document is of great value to both your organization and Gallup, Inc. Accordingly, international and domestic laws and penalties guaranteeing patent, copyright, trademark, and trade secret protection protect the ideas, concepts, and recommendations related within this document.

No changes may be made to this document without the express written permission of Gallup, Inc.

Copyright © 2014 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved.