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UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy Formulation June 4, 2018 Amjad Rabi

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Page 1: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy Formulation

June 4, 2018Amjad Rabi

Page 2: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

PRESENTATION OUTLINE

◼ Motivation

◼ UNICEF Equity Focus

◼ Lots of examples

Page 3: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

Motivation

Page 4: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

Motivation

◼ Conclusion:

– we need detailed information to make sound judgement in public

policy

– But structured in a way that is informative and guides policy

formulation

Page 5: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

PRESENTATION OUTLINE

◼ Motivation

◼ UNICEF Equity Focus

◼ Lots of examples

Page 6: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

◼ UNICEF will promote the rights of every child, everywhere, in

everything the organization does.

◼ The equity strategy, emphasizing the most disadvantaged and

excluded children and families, translates this commitment to

children's rights into action.

REALIZING THE RIGHTS OF EVERY CHILD

Page 7: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

UNICEF EQUITY FOCUS

Conceptual Framework

Sources of Inequity

Material Deprivations

(income and

basic social services)

Yes No

Discrimination(gender, ethnicity,

disability,

noncitizen,

refugee,

orphanhood, etc.)

Yes

No

Who? Vulnerable

groups

What?

Multidimensional

Page 8: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

VULNERABLE GROUPS

Who?

Economic Quintiles (income, wealth), Poor/non-poor

Sexual orientation and

gender identity

Male, female, LGBT

Educational attainment None, primary, secondary, diploma, university

Geography Residence (Urban/rural), Province

Ethnicity, religion, linguistic,

national

Dominant/non-dominant

Demographic Age groups, elderly/working age, children/adults

Status Parent’s occupation, type of employment

Ability People with disability

Page 9: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

◼ Why focus on Vulnerable groups?

– National averages mask huge disparities between groups within a

country

– Disaggregating by ethnicity, region, educational level, etc. can lead

to more effective policies

– Mapping inequities can better focus interventions and services toensure universal access

VULNERABLE GROUPS

Why?

Page 10: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

Note that this is after all social programs. The gaps will be even much wider in theabsence of the various programs

VULNERABLE GROUPS

Averages Mask Huge Disparities

Page 11: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

Example 2:

Argentina:

On average,

things look

great, but..

Page 12: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

VULNERABLE GROUPS

Example 3: Education Deprivation in Egypt

7.8

4.3

3.2

Q1

Perc

en

t

Education Deprivations

2000 2005 2008

Source: UNICEF, Trends of Child Poverty and Disparities in Egypt

Page 13: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

– 28 % of children with disability have never attended school (compared with 3.2 % national average)

VULNERABLE GROUPS

Example 3: Education Deprivation in Egypt -Continued

1.4 1.41.9

2.2

6.7

5.00

Urban G. Urban LE Rural LE Urban UE Rural UE Frontier G.

Perc

en

t

By Location, 2008

6.5

1.8

0.8 0.6

Average (all children) =

3.2 %

No education Some primaryeducation

Some secondaryeducation

Secondary degreeand above

By Mothers Education, 2008

20.5

0.5

12.7

0.6

9.1

0.8

Q1 Q5

Perc

en

t

Education Deprivation by Wealth Quantiles

2000 2005 2008

4.32

11.50

4.20

5.60

2.4

4.10

Male Female

Perc

en

t

Education Deprivation by Sex

2000 2005 2008

Page 14: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

VULNERABLE GROUPS

Example 3: Education Deprivation in Egypt -Continued

◼ Why Children Do not Go to School?

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

Cannot affordit

Parents do notwant

Work Health relatedreasons

Customs andtraditions

Don't want tolearn

Help withhousehold

Male

Female

Page 15: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

VULNERABLE GROUP

Poverty in Malaysia

1957 2017

GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199

Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016)

U5 mortality rate [‘000] 111.2 8.6

Source: Department of Statistics Malaysia, ‘Household Income and Basic Amenities Survey Report 2016’, Putrajaya, October 2017, pp.129; Department of Statistics

Malaysia, Malaysia Economic Statistics, Time-Series Data, available at

https://www.dosm.gov.my/v1/index.php?r=column/ctimeseries&menu_id=NHJlaGc2Rlg4ZXlGTjh1SU1kaWY5UT09

Page 16: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

VULNERABLE GROUP

Poverty in Malaysia

Page 17: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

VULNERABLE GROUP

Poverty in Malaysia

Page 18: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

VULNERABLE GROUP

Poverty in Malaysia

Page 19: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

VULNERABLE GROUP

Poverty in Malaysia

Page 20: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

RELATIVE POVERTY IN OECD COUNTRIES AND

MALAYSIA, 2012

Source: MWCD and UNICEF, 2017

Page 21: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

UNICEF EQUITY FOCUS

Conceptual Framework

Sources of Inequity

Material Deprivations

(income and

basic social services)

Yes No

Discrimination(gender, ethnicity,

disability,

noncitizen,

refugee,

orphanhood, etc.)

Yes

No

Who? Vulnerable

groups

What?

Multidimensional

Page 22: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

MULTIDIMENSIONAL CHILD POVERTY

Page 23: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

NUTRITION STATUS

Page 24: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

FINDINGS FROM THE URBAN POVERTY STUDY

51% of childrenwho are 5 and 6 years old are not in preschool.

The UNICEF Urban Child Poverty and Deprivation Study

Page 25: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

FINDINGS FROM THE URBAN POVERTY STUDY

Almost 4 in 10 householdswith children less than 5 years old have no toys.

The UNICEF Urban Child Poverty and Deprivation Study

Page 26: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

FINDINGS FROM THE URBAN POVERTY STUDY

By Default, they are entitled for the national Social Assistance Program, BR1M

Yet, 4 out of 10 did NOTreceive it

The UNICEF Urban Child Poverty and Deprivation Study

Page 27: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

POLICY RECOMMENDATION

Page 28: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

SUGAR TAX

28 Countries Implemented Including Brunei, Philippines and Thailand

Page 29: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

THE PROPOSAL: FISCAL NEUTRALITY

Revenue from SSB Tax Reinjected into Household Income

Universalchild careallowance

Taxes on sugar-

sweetened beverages

(SSB)

Page 30: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

THE PROPOSAL: FISCAL NEUTRALITY

Revenue from SSB Tax Reinjected into Household Income

Page 31: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

THE PROPOSAL

Costed Scenarios

Eligibility

2017

Monthly

Amount

(MR)

Number of Beneficiaries (in

thousands)

Expenditure

(% of GDP)

2017 2021 2031 2017 2021 2031

1000 Days

(From Pregnancy

until Under 2)

150

1,286.37 1,227.93

1,201.54

0.17% 0.13% 0.08%

200 0.23% 0.18% 0.11%

Under 5

150

2,082.19 2,074.4

2,040.32

0.34% 0.28% 0.17%

200 0.45% 0.37% 0.23%

Page 32: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

THE PROPOSAL

Constructing a Social Protection Floor

Page 33: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

THE PROPOSAL

Constructing a Social Protection Floor

1- Child grant: All

children under an

age cutoff receive a

monthly benefit

Universal Maternity

Benefit

Universal Social

Pension

Page 34: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

SOCIAL PROTECTION AND SDGS

The Social Protection Agenda of the SDGs.

◼ Out of the 17 SDGs, 11 have a direct link to social protection

systems. 27 of the targets belonging to these 11 goals likewise have

a link to social protection.

◼ Goal 1 (“End poverty in all its forms everywhere.”)

– Target 1.3: “Implement nationally appropriate social protection

systems and measures for all, including floors, and by 2030

achieve substantial coverage of the poor and the vulnerable.”

◼ Goal 3 (“Ensure healthy lives and promote well-being for all at all

ages.”)

– Target Target 3.8, i.e. “Achieve universal health coverage,

including _financial risk protection, access to quality essential

health-care services and access to safe, effective, quality and

affordable essential medicines and vaccines for all.”

◼ Other goals and targets have a direct relationship to social protection

Page 35: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

IF FURTHER FUNDING IS AVAILABLE, YOU CAN

ADD MORE BENEFITS

Costed Scenarios

Page 36: UNICEF Equity Focus: From Data to Policy FormulationVULNERABLE GROUP Poverty in Malaysia 1957 2017 GDP per capita RM816 RM42,199 Poverty rate 50% 0.4% (2016) U5 mortality rate [‘000]

SHARE OF PERSONS IN RELATIVE POVERTY, 2012

Before and After the Addition of Taxes and Transfers

Source: MWCD and UNICEF, 2017