unfccc secretariat, sustainable development mechanisms victoria novikova associate programme...
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UNFCCC Secretariat, Sustainable Development Mechanisms
Victoria NovikovaAssociate Programme Officer-Methodology Development and Improvement
Large scale CDM methodologies for mass rapid transport systems
Practitioner Workshop
Improvement of CDM methodologies for transportation
Bonn, Germany, March 2011
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Outline
• Overview of large scale methodologies for transportation
under CDM
• AM0031: determination of baseline, project & leakage
emissions
• ACM0016: determination of baseline, project & leakage
emissions
• Applicability of AM0031 & ACM0016
• Methodology application
• Key challenges of CDM transport projects
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Overview of large scale methodologies for transportation
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AM0031
Baseline methodology for bus rapid transit projects
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AM0031 Baseline methodology for bus rapid transit projects
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AM0031: determination of baseline emissions
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AM0031: project emissions
Only from the new transport system:
• Option 1. fuel consumption data
• Option 2. specific fuel consumption & distance data
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AM0031: leakage emissions
Emissions included as leakageCongestion change provoked by project resulting in (inter alia):• Increased vehicle speed• Rebound effect• Upstream emissions of gaseous fuels in case more gaseous
fuels are used by the project case compared to the baseline case
Change of baseline factors monitored during project and included as leakage:
• Change of load factors of taxis provoked indirectly by project• Change of load factor of remaining conventional buses
provoked indirectly by project
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ACM0016
Baseline methodology for mass rapid transit projects
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ACM0016 Baseline methodology for mass rapid transit projects
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ACM0016: determination of baseline emissions
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ACM0016: project emissions
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ACM0016: leakage emissions
– Changes in the load factor of taxes & busses ;
– Reduced congestion on affected roads (provoking
higher average speeds, determined for passenger
cars & taxis)
– Induced traffic (for passenger cars & taxis) and
rebound effect
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Applicability
AM0031 ACM0016
Construction & operation of BRTS (feeder + trunk routes)
Construction & operation of MRTS or BRTS (trunk routes)
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Methodology application
Projects AM0031 ACM0016
Under validation 5 2
At registration 2 2
Registered 2 0
Registered emissions 464,630 0
Request for issuance 4 0
Issued 1 0
Total Issued CERs (tonnes)
277,044 0
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Key challenges of CDM transport projects
• Baseline emissions determination
– many dispersed emission sources
– methodologies require surveys
– indirect effects can be significant (e.g. positive and
negative rebound effects)
• Additionality demonstration
– Investment analysis is more difficult in case of
public investors (e.g. consideration of subsidies)
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Thank you for your attention!
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Supplementary slides
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Methodology improvement: objectivity, applicability, and usability of methodologies
• Readability and language
• Internal consistency and consistency with other methodologies
• Referencing tools
• Use of conservative default values or discount factors to
calculate emissions
• Omitting insignificant emission sources
• Relaxing applicability conditions (e.g. by making conservative
assumptions for the calculation of emission reductions for the
relevant project types)
• Simplifying or replacing with conservative default values certain
monitoring requirements